From: Justin Mayhew, Public Policy Polling

To: Interested Parties

Subject: State Rep. Victoria Steele Emerges as Strongest
Challenger to Incumbent Martha McSally in Arizonas Second
Congressional District
Date: January 21, 2016
A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that Arizona State Rep. Victoria Steele is within
single digits of incumbent Congresswoman Martha McSally in a hypothetical general
election matchup, compared to a double digit deficit for fellow Democrat Matt Heinz.
Steele, who has represented Arizonas 9th District in the State House of Representatives
since 2012, trails the first-term Republican congresswoman 39/48, while Heinz is behind
13 points (35/48). McSallys failure to clear the 50% threshold is a telltale sign that
Novembers general election will be tight once again, after the 2014 race ended with
McSally winning by just 167 votes.
In our latest poll, Fmr. State Rep. Victoria Steele emerges as the strongest challenger to
incumbent Martha McSally. McSallys failure to clear the 50% threshold is a telltale sign that
Novembers general election will be tight once again, after the 2014 race ended with McSally
winning by just 167 votes. Steele mounts a strong challenge to McSally despite just 35% name
recognition. With so few voters familiar with the two-term state representative, Steele is well
positioned to see her support rise as she continues to campaign and reach out to voters.

Key findings from the survey include:

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Steele mounts a strong challenge to McSally despite just 35% name recognition.
With so few voters familiar with the two-term state representative, Steele is well
positioned to see her support rise as she continues to campaign and reach out to
voters.

Despite being a relative unknown, Steele has already won the support of key
Democratic consitituencies. In her matchup against McSally, Steele wins with
women, Democrats, Hispanics, and African-Americans. Steele trails just six
points39/45among young voters (ages 18 to 45), and she is behind just one

Public Policy Polling

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point44/45with middle-aged voters (ages 46 to 65).

In a preview of the August 30 Democratic primary election, Steele is knotted with

former State Rep. Matt Heinz at 29%. A plurality41%of Democratic primary
voters have not yet decided whom they will support.

PPP surveyed 741 AZ-2 voters from January 15-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/3.6%. This poll was conducted by automated telephone interviews.

Public Policy Polling

3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988

Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com