DEMAN

DA DE
BUSES
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
TOTAL

NBUSES X
1018
1232
1661
1463
1352
1303
1563
9592

X2
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
0

9592=7a+0b
A=

9592
7

A=1370.29
1468=a(0)+28b

b=

1468
28

b=52.43
Y= 1370.29+52.43x

Y2016= 1370.29+52.43*4=1580,01
Y2017=1370.29+52.43*5=1632,44
Y2018=1370.29+52.43*6= 1684,87
Y2019=1370.29+52.43*7= 1737,3
Y2020=1370.29+52.43*8=1789,73
DEMANDA ACTUAL
Y FUTURA DE BUSES
2016
1580,01
2017
1632,44
2018
1684,87
2019
1737,3
2020
1789,73

XY
9
4
1
0
1
4
9
28

-3054
-2464
-1661
0
1352
2606
4689
1468

DEMANDA DE AUTOMOVILES
NAUTOMOVI
AO
LES
X
X2 XY
2009
35869 -3
9 -107607
2010
57278 -2
4 -114556
2011
62585 -1
1
-62585
2012
53526
0
0
0
2013
47102
1
1
47102
2014
47851
2
4
95702
2015
30344
3
9
91032
TOTAL
334555
0 28
-50912
334555=7a+0b

A=

334555
7

A=47793.57
-50912=a(0)+28b

b=

50912
28

b=-1818.29(-1)
Y= 47793.57+1818.29x

Y2016= 47793.57+1818.29*4=1580,01
Y2017=47793.57+1818.29*5=1632,44
Y2018=47793.57+1818.29*6= 1684,87
Y2019=47793.57+1818.29*7= 1737,3
Y2020=47793.57+1818.29*8=1789,73
DEMANDA
ACTUAL Y FUTURA
DE AUTOMOVILES
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

55066,73
56884,98
58703,27
60521,56
162339,85

DEMANDA DE YOGURT
X
AO
NYOGURT
X 2 XY
43.348.060
2011
1 1
-43348060
66.645.331 0 0
2012
0
33.530.866
2013
1 1
33530866
TOTAL
143524257 0 2
-9817194
143524257=3a+0b

A=

143524257
3

A= 47841419
-9817194=a(0)+2b

b=

9817194
2

b=- 4908597 (-1)

Y= 4908597x
Y2014= 47841419+4908597*2=1580,01
Y2015=47841419+4908597*3=1632,44
Y2016=47841419+4908597*4= 1684,87
Y2017= 47841419+4908597*5=1580,01
Y2018=47841419+4908597*6=1632,44
Y2019=47841419+4908597*7= 1684,87
Y2020=47841419+4908597*8=1789,73
DEMANDA
ACTUAL Y FUTURA
DE YOGURT
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

57658613
62567210
67475807
72384404
77293001
82201598
87110195

DEMANDA DE PROVINCIA DE PICHINCHA

X
AO
PROV. PICHINCHA
X 2 XY
1.829.775
2010
3 9
-5489325
1.854.768
2011
2 4
-3709536
1.878.968
2012
1 1
-1878968
1.902.227 0
2013
0
0
1.924.479
2014
1 1
1924479
1.945.662 2
2015
4
3891324
1.965.753 3
2016
9
5897259
TOTAL
13.301.632 0 28
635.233

13301632=7a+0b

A=

13301632
7

A= 1900233,14
635233=a(0)+28b

b=

635233
28

b= 22686,89
Y= 1900233.14+22686.89x
Y2017=1900233.14+22686.89*4= 1990980.7
Y2018= 1900233.14+22686.89*5=2013667.59
Y2019=1900233.14+22686.89*6=203654.48
Y2020=41900233.14+22686.89*7= 2059041.37
DEMANDA
ACTUAL Y FUTURA
DE PICHINCHA
2017
2018

1990980,7
2013667,59

2019
2020

2036354,48
2059041,37

DEMANDA DE HELADOS
AO
HELADOS
X X2 XY
12,56
2011
-1 1
-12,56
14,81
2012
0 0
0
14,11
2013
1 1
14,11
TOTAL
41 0 2
2

41=3a+0b

A=

41
3

A= 13.67
2=a(0)+2b

b=

2
2

b= 1
Y= 13.67+1X
Y2014=13.67+1*2= 15.67
Y2015= 13.67+1*3=16.67
Y2016=13.67+1*4=17.67
Y2017=13.67+1*5= 18.67
Y2018=13.67+1*6= 19.67
Y2019= 13.67+1*7=20.67
Y2020=13.67+1*8=21.67
DEMANDA HELADOS PROVINCIA
PICHINCHA
PICHINC DEMAND
AO HELADOS
HA
A
1.924.479 3015658
2014
15,67

2015

16,67

2016

17,67

2017

18,67

2018

19,67

2019

20,67

2020

21,67

1.945.662
1.965.753
1.984.667
2.002.385
2.018.892
2.034.139

5,9
3243418
5,5
3473485
5,5
3705373
2,9
3938691
3
4173049
7,6
4407979
2,1

DEMANDA HELADOS CANTON QUITO

DEMAND
AO HELADOS
QUITO
A
2014

2.505.34
15,67 4

3925874
0,5

2015

2.551.72
16,67 1

4253718
9,1

2016

2.597.98
17,67 9

4590646
5,6

2017

2.644.14
18,67 5

4936618
7,2

2018

2.690.15
19,67 0

5291525
0,5

2019

2.735.98
20,67 7

5655285
1,3

2020

2.781.64
21,67 1

6027816
0,5

DEMANDA HELADOS ECUADOR

ECUADO DEMAND
AO HELADOS
R
A
10.145.87 1589858
5
2014
15,67
61
10.326.38 1721408
4
2015
16,67
21
10.505.18 1856265
0
2016
17,67
31

2017

18,67

2018

19,67

2019

20,67

2020

21,67

10.682.14
8
10.857.20
8
11.030.21
6
11.201.13
1

1994357
03
2135612
81
2279945
65
2427285
09

DEMANDA DE CARNE DE POLLO

X
AO
CARNE DE POLLO
X 2 XY
5,56
2011
1 1 5,56
2012
13,56 0 0
0
2013
12,49
1 1
12,4928824
TOTAL
32 0 2
7
32=3a+0b

A=

32
3

A= 10.67
2=a(0)+2b

b=

2
7

b= 0.29

Y= 10.67+0.29X
Y2014=10.67+0.29*2= 11.25
Y2015= 10.67+0.29*3=11.54
Y2016=10.67+0.29*4=11.83
Y2017=10.67+0.29*5= 12.12
Y2018=10.67+0.29*6= 12.41
Y2019= 10.67+0.29*7=12.7
Y2020=10.67+0.29*8=12.99
DEMANDA HELADOS PROV. PICHINCHA
HELADO
AO
S
PICHINCHA DEMANDA
1.924.479 21650388
2014
11,25

2015
2016
2017

11,54
11,83
12,12

2018

12,41

2019

12,7

2020

12,99

1.945.662
1.965.753
1.984.667
2.002.385
2.018.892
2.034.139

,8
22452939
,5
23254858
24054164
24849597
,9
25639928
,4
26423465
,6

DEMANDA HELADOS CANTON

QUITO
HELAD
DEMAND
AO
OS
QUITO
A
2.505.3 2818512
2014
11,25
44
0
2.551.7 2944686
2015
11,54
21
0,3
2.597.9 3073420
2016
11,83
89
9,9
2.644.1 3204703
2017
12,12
45
7,4
2.690.1 3338476
2018
12,41
50
1,5
2.735.9 3474703
2019
12,7
87
4,9
2.781.6 3613351
2020
12,99
41
6,6
DEMANDA HELADOS ECUADOR
ECUADO DEMAND
AO HELADOS
R
A
10.145.87 1141410
5
2014
11,25
94
10.326.38 1191664
4
2015
11,54
71
1242762
10.505.18
0
2016
11,83
79
10.682.14 1294676
8
2017
12,12
34
1347379
10.857.20
8
2018
12,41
51
11.030.21 1400837
6
2019
12,7
43
1455026
11.201.13
1
2020
12,99
92

DEMANDA DE CARNE DE LECHE

CARNE DE
AO
POLLO
X
X2 XY
2011 34,64
-1
1 34,64
2012 30,52

2013 11,19
TOTAL

1
0

1
2

76

0
11,19336
04
-23

76=3a+0b

A=

76
3

A= 25.33
2=a(0)+2b

b=

2
23

b= -0.09(-1)
B=0.09

Y= 25.33+0.09X
Y2014=25.33+0.09*2= 11.25
Y2015= 25.33+0.09*3=11.54
Y2016=25.33+0.09*4=11.83
Y2017=25.33+0.09*5= 12.12
Y2018=25.33+0.09*6= 12.41
Y2019= 25.33+0.09*7=12.7
Y2020=25.33+0.09*8=12.99
DEMANDA LECHE PROV. GUAYAS
A HELAD
O
OS
GUAYAS DEMANDA
201
3.406.105
4
11,25
38318681,3
201
3.459.103
5
11,54
39918048,6
201
3.511.815
6
11,83
41544771,5
201
3.564.222
7
12,12
43198370,6

201
8
201
9
202
0

12,41
12,7
12,99

3.616.285

44878096,9

3.668.006

46583676,2

3.719.376

48314694,2

DEMANDA LECHE CANTON GUAYAQUIL

AO

HELADOS

GUAYAQUIL DEMANDA

2014

11,25 2.560.505

28805681,3

2015

11,54 2.589.229

29879702,7

2016

11,83 2.617.349

30963238,7

2017

12,12 2.644.891

32056078,9

2018

12,41 2.671.801

33157050,4

2019

12,7 2.698.077

34265577,9

2020

12,99 2.723.665

35380408,4

DEMANDA LECHE REGION COSTA

HELAD REGION
AO
OS
COSTA
DEMANDA
64877613
5.766.899
2014
11,25
,8
67746954
5.870.620
2015
11,54
,8
5.973.706
2016
11,83
70668942
73641944
6.076.068
2017
12,12
,2
6.177.556 76663470
2018
12,41
79732339
6.278.137
2019
12,7
,9
82846504
6.377.714
2020
12,99
,9