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N D B Securities (Pvt) Ltd, 5th Floor, # 40, NDB Building, Nawam Mawatha, Colombo 02.

Tel: +94 11 2131000 Fax: +9411 2314180 +9411 2314181

Alumex Limited (ALUM)


Details of the Offering
Details of the offering Number of securities to be offered Offer price Total subscription Offer for sale (42,003,400 shares) Offer for subscription (17,857,200 shares) Opening of the offering Earliest closing Latest closing 59,860,600 LKR 14.00 LKR 838,048,400 LKR 588,047,600 LKR 250,000,800 6-Mar-14 6-Mar-14 25-Mar-14

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd and NDB Investment Bank Ltd are subsidiary companies of NDB Capital Holdings PLC. NDB Investment Bank is the financial advisor and manager to the offering.

Initial Public Offering

The company is to be listed on the Diri Savi Board of the Colombo Stock Exchange under the Manufacturing sector. The applications should be made for a minimum of 100 shares and in multiples of 100 shares thereof. Offer for sale tranche of approximately 14% is to facilitate a public holding of 20% in order to be eligible for 3 year tax benefit (see objectives of the issue on page 4).

Shareholder structure - Post IPO Hayleys PLC Rosewood (Private) Limited Akbar Brothers (Private) Limited Star Pack Investments (Private) Limited Mr. D. W. P. N. Dediwela Mr. T. H. D. I. U. Thirimanne Mr. J. M. Iqbal Roshan Trading Company (Private) Limited Public
Operations of the Company

No. of shares 152,644,500 29,340,300 29,340,300 16,003,700 10,669,200 1,111,040 222,180 111,020 59,860,600

% 51.00 9.80 9.80 5.35 3.56 0.37 0.07 0.04 20.00

Source - Prospectus

ALUM groups operations include manufacturing of aluminium logs, dies (molds), extruded and surface coated profiles for industrial and architectural sectors. ALUM is a subsidiary of the diversified conglomerate Hayleys PLC. With a life span of over 25 years, ALUM currently holds over 50% of the local market share. ALUM group has three extrusion plants, two powder coating lines, two anodizing lines and one wood effect coating facility in Sri Lanka. The group operates with an island wide distribution network of 57 dealers along with 5 Alumex distribution centres.
Group Structure

Alumex Limited

Avro Enterprises (Private) Limited 100%

Alco Industries (Private) Limited 100%


Source - Prospectus

Sri Lankas Aluminium industry Sri Lankas aluminium extrusion industry is predominantly driven by the construction sector. In addition, its applications are also seen in industries such as aviation, defense, solar, power and electrical.
Aluminium products in Sri Lanka Extrusion technology & services

Aging ovens, anodizing chemicals, anodizing systems, automated handling, belts, billet casting equipment, billet suppliers, CNC fabrication centres, die cleaning equipment, die design, die ovens/ die preheat furnaces, die polishing equipment, die storage systems, dies, dross treatment/removal, furnaces billet heating, gas suppliers/systems, handling systems & materials Building & construction, transportation, solar, electrical, industrial, defense Metal working tools, consulting, software, media, publication
Source - Prospectus

Extruded profiles Other products & services

Governments heavy focus on infrastructure development and mega scale development projects undertaken by the private sector have put the construction sector in the forefront where demand for aluminium profiles are mainly emanated from. GDP growth
% 10 8 6 4 2 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (E)

Construction sector growth


% 25 20 15 10 5 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source - CBSL

Accordingly, the demand for aluminium is expected to increase by few folds in the medium term in order to keep up with the growth anticipated. Further, investments in roads and highways and especially in the mega scale high rise condominiums and other mixed developments would bolster the demand for high quality aluminium products which compiles with international standards.

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Undisputed market leader ALUM has positioned itself well to cater to a niche market segment which demands superior quality. As competitors mainly focus on the aluminium extrusions for the hardware segment, ALUM has specialized in the architectural proprietary systems which entail higher margins in addition to catering to the hardware segment. As a result, ALUM has been granted the opportunity to manufacture the profiles of international brands such as Aluk and Fletcher Aluminium.
Product/ Plant Extrusion Anodizing Powder Coating* Wood effect Die manufacturing Aluminium melting Capacity (per annum) 12,000 MT 5,400 MT 3,600MT 360MT 2400 units 4,800 MT Current utilization 40% 40% 50% 50% 40% 45%

* Includes the proposed state of the art Powder Coating Plant scheduled to start commercial production in April/May 2014 with a capacity of 2400 metric tons.

Source - Prospectus

As the only fully integrated manufacturer of aluminium profiles in the country, ALUM is the only company capable of designing and manufacturing extrusion dies (molds). In addition, its the only manufacturer of high performance aluminium proprietary systems and several other products. This has positioned ALUM ahead of its competitors with the company being able to maintain its overall market share over 50% while the figure being 70% for the architectural industry. Sri Lankan Aluminium extrusion sales Capacity of Aluminium extruders in Sri Lanka

LKR, 000

5,000 4,000 3,000 17%

10%

56% 2,000 17% 1,000 0 FY11/12 FY12/13 Alumex Lanka Aluminium FY13/14 H1 Swisstech Alumex Lanka Aluminium Swisstek Hemnette

Source Alumex Investor Presentation

In addition to its local dominance, ALUMs regional presence can be seen in Maldives, India and Bangladesh. The company is aiming to become a leading supplier of aluminium extrusions in the South Asian sub continent. Meanwhile, plans are underway to expand its operations to Myanmar in 2014.

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

ALUMs plans to move up in the high value addition product range are expected to augur well for companys future prospects. In FY08/09, anodized products dominated with a contribution of approximately 67%. However, by FY13/14 this has come down to 51% with value added products (powder coated and wood effect) gaining ground to increase its share to 38%. Meanwhile, the trend is expected to continue with the company anticipating to increase the value added product contribution to 53% by FY18/19. Moving up in the high value addition products range

14%

11%

3% 9%

6%

19% 51% 67% 35% 38%

47%

FY08/09
Anodizing

FY13/14
Powder coated Extrusions

FY18/19
Wood effect

Source Alumex Investor Presentation

Risks A sudden increase in global aluminium prices could hinder the demand while hurting companys margins. Since majority of the raw materials are imported (which contributes to approximately 60% of cost of sales), the depreciation of the LKR could have an adverse impact. In addition, increasing energy costs (which contributes to approximately 10% of cost of sales), slow down in the construction sector, increased competition could affect the company negatively. Utilization of proceeds of the IPO LKR 838 Mn will be raised through the IPO with LKR 250 Mn being through an offer for subscription while LKR 588 Mn through an offer for sale. The proceeds received through the offer for subscription will be utilized for companys future growth by way of an expansion in its powder coating capacity. Objectives of the IPO are depicted as follows. To finance the capital requirement to setup a powder coating plant To be eligible for the 3 year tax benefit offered by the Government for entities obtaining a listing on the CSE (estimated at LKR 38.3 Mn for FY13/14) To facilitate Alumex to obtain a listing on the CSE and broadbase the public ownership

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Recommendation
In LKR Mn Revenue Profit after tax EPS (LKR) DPS (LKR) BV (LKR) Net profit margin (%) ROE (%) FY09/10 (A) 1,593.21 31.59 0.11 0.36 0.94 1.98 20.18 FY10/11 (A) 2,279.54 37.23 0.13 0.06 2.18 1.63 10.63 FY11/12 (A) FY12/13 (A) FY13/14 (E) FY14/15 (E) 2,189.74 2,429.98 2,784.80 3,442.60 114.50 306.35 417.50 527.80 0.41 1.09 1.48 1.76 0.06 0.36 0.53 2.52 3.50 4.93 5.81 5.23 12.61 14.99 15.33 17.42 36.20 33.96 32.85

Source - Prospectus & Alumex Investor Presentation


In LKR EPS (LKR, FY13/14)* PER (X)** BV (latest available) PBV (X)** Gearing (%)*** (as at 31.03.2013) ROE (%) ROA (%) Earnings growth - FY13/14 (%) Dividend Yield (%)
*Based on annualized and forecasted figures ** Based on current prices ***Calculated as Total Debt/Debt+Equity Based on book value forecast for 31/03/2014, the Alumex PBV is 2.84x

ALUM 1.48 9.44 3.94 3.55 14.56 33.96 21.06 36.28 3.79

TILE 11.37 6.25 65.17 1.09 30.72 18.00 14.08 21.00 5.30

TKYO 7.56 4.31 28.36 1.15 39.69 29.00 11.14 195.00 3.80

ACL 8.92 7.07 95.39 0.66 34.52 9.00 9.05 -4.00 1.50

TJL 1.67 9.10 9.64 1.58 5.89 18.00 12.40 16.00 8.00

Source - Alumex Investor Presentation & NDBS Research

As opposed to the manufacturing sector PER of 8.84X (based on the universe of stocks covered by us whereas according to CSE the sector PER is 12.9X), ALUM is priced (IPO price of LKR 14.00) at a PER of 9.46X. We feel the manufacturing sector is currently undervalued compared to the broader market as the sector is trading below the market PER of 13.8X (based on the universe of stocks covered by us, according to the CSE the market PER is 15.6X). Therefore, we expect ALUM to be an attractive investment option for investors looking at diversifying investments into the manufacturing sector. As we anticipate the broader market to pick up as well, the counter could offer notable upside potential.

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Appendix 1 Cost break down of the powder coating facility


Item description Powder coating plant Italtechno powder coating plant Building Freight/ insurance, taxes Power supply/ air dryers/ waste water system/ installation/ other Die Manufacturing Process Die Polishing Plant Wire Cutter General Power Supply 1000 KVA Generator Total Approximate cost (LKR Mn)

100 32 35 23 190 22 18 40 10 10 240


Source - Prospectus

Appendix 2 Offer for sale divestiture of existing shares


Selling shareholder Hayleys PLC Rosewood (Private) Limited Akbar Brothers (Private) Limited Star Pack Investments (Private) Limited No. of shares offered 18,687,700 9,159,700 9,159,700 4,996,300 42,003,400 Date of acquisition 4-Nov-10 22-Nov-10 22-Nov-10 22-Nov-10
Source - Prospectus

Appendix 3 Main shareholders of comparable manufacturing sector companies


Company Shareholder's Name TILE TKYO Lanka Walltiles PLC St. Anthony's Consolidated (Pvt) Ltd Nippon Coke & Engineering Co. Ltd South Asian Investment (Pvt) Ltd Mr. U. G. Madanayake Mr. Suren Madanayake Pacific Textured Jersey Holdings Brandix Lanka Ltd Shareholding as at 31st Dec 2013 % 68.22 27.50 23.65 20.13 38.13 22.21 40.00 30.08

ACL TJL

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Appendix 4 Income statement

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Appendix 5 Balance sheet

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Appendix 6 Income statement for the nine months ending 31 December 2013

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

Appendix 7 Balance sheet as at 31 December 2013

NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd Alumex Ltd Initial Public Offering 28th February 2014

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)$B Securities /Pvt0 1td


Mrs. Prasansini Mendis Sales Head Office Mr. Gihan R. Cooray Mr. !ayantha Sa"arasin#he Mr. Channa a Munasin#he Mr. Aroos %aleel Mr. Au&urn Senn Mr. 'ditha Silva Mr. *aa"ara $e Silva Mr. +"ran Reyal Mr. Ra"esh Anthony Mr. )i"al (u"ara Mr. Sanjaya Pra&ath Mr. A ra" *hadani Mr. +shan a %ernando Mr. ,arsha Sritharan Mr. Sajed Sallay Mr. Stefan $e Alwis O-erations gihan@ndbs.lk jayantha@ndbs.lk hannaka@ndbs.lk aroos!aleel@ndbs.lk auburn@ndbs.lk uditha@ndbs.lk taamara@ndbs.lk imran@ndbs.lk ramesh@ndbs.lk kumara@ndbs.lk sanjaya@ndbs.lk akram@ndbs.lk ishanka@ndbs.lk harsha@ndbs.lk sajed@ndbs.lk ste!an@ndbs.lk 011 2131010 011 2131011 011 2131014 011 2131012 011 2131013 011 213101" 011 213101# 012 2131021 011 2131023 011 2131022 011 2131024 011 2131025 011 2131054 011 2131017 011 2131019 011 2131015 Chief Executive Officer prasansini@ndbs.lk Branches CSE Mr. Sujeewa Athu orala Mrs. Shiro"i $e Silva Kiribathgoda Mr. Gayan Pathirana Matara Mr. (ithsiri )ishantha Mr. Sri"al Gunawardana Galle Mr. * A A Aravinda Gampaha Mr. Cha"esh ,ettiarachchi Mr. 'ddee-a Peiris Mr. Priyashantha Senevirathne Kaluthara Ran#anath .ijethun#e Mr. A A !eewantha Jaffna Mr. C Pad"anathan Contacts 's mail@ndbs.lk 011 2131000 Ms. Sanji a Ranjith u"ar Rathnapura )$B Securities /Pvt0 1td 5th %loor& '() )uilding& 40& 'awam *awatha& +olombo 02 Mr. +ndrajith 1o uhetti#e Ampara Mr. Ravi $e Mel ra$i@ndbs.lk 0"3 2224245 indrajith@ndbs.lk 045 2230#00 handru@ndbs.lk sanjika@ndbs.lk 021 5"71155 021 5"71155 ranganath@ndbs.lk jeewantha@ndbs.lk 034 22215#9 035 22215#9 hamesh@ndbs.lk uddeepa@ndbs.lk priyashantha@ndbs.lk 033 2231117 033 2231117 033 2231117 ara$inda@ndbs.lk 091 2225447 kithsiri@ndbs.lk srimal@ndbs.lk 041 223"757 041 223"757 gayan@ndbs.lk 011 2907515 sujeewa@ndbs.lk shiromi@ndbs.lk 011 3135495 011 2131073 011 2131005

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Disclaimer This document is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but NDB Securities (Pvt) Ltd., (NDBS) accepts no responsibility or makes no warranties or representations, express or implied, as to whether the information provided in this document is accurate, complete or up-to-date. Furthermore, no representation or warranty is made by NDBS as to the sufficiency, relevance, importance, appropriateness, completeness or comprehensiveness of the information contained herein for any specific purpose. Prices, opinions and estimates reflect our judgment on the date of original publication and are subject to change at any time without notice. NDBS reserves the right to change their opinion at any point in time as they deem necessary. There is no guarantee that the target price for the stock will be met or that predicted business results for the company will be met. NDBS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss or damage arising from any use of these reports or their contents. References to tax are based on our understanding of current law and Inland Revenue practices, which may change from time to time. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is for the information of addressee only and is not to be taken as substitution for the exercise of judgment by addressee. The information contained in any research report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or the solicitation of an offer to buy, or recommendation for investment in, any securities within Sri Lanka or any other jurisdiction. The information in any research report is not intended as financial advice. Moreover, none of the research reports is intended as a prospectus within the meaning of the applicable laws of any jurisdiction and none of the research reports is directed to any person in any country in which the distribution of such research report is unlawful. Past results do not guarantee future performance. NDBS cautions that any forward-looking statements in any research report implied by such words as anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, and similar expressions as they relate to a company or its management are not guarantees of future performance. The investments in undertakings, securities or other financial instruments involve risks. Any discussion of the risks contained herein should not be considered to be a disclosure of all risks or complete discussion of the risks which are mentioned. NDBS and its associates, their directors, and/or employees may have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other financial services for these companies.

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