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Pakistan - Enewable - Presentation PDF
Pakistan - Enewable - Presentation PDF
Pakistan
Energy
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
0.0%
Pakistan has shown a close relationship between economic and energy growth,
for more than a decade. Unprecedented growth during 2001 2005.
Sources: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007; Pakistan Economic Survey 2007.
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Values
Pakistan
World
OECD
S. Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
China
India
Bangladesh
0.49
1.78
4.74
4.43
2.42
1.56
1.32
0.49
0.17
Region/ Country
Pakistans per capita energy consumption is significantly below the world average.
Sources: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007; IEA Energy Statistics, 2007.
KgOE/2000$
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Values
Pakistan
World
China
India
Thailand
Malaysia
0.82
0.32
0.83
0.83
0.64
0.54
0.34
OECD
Countries
0.20
Region/Country
Pakistans energy consumption per $ of GDP is much higher than the world
average and somewhat above the average for the developing countries.
Sources: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007; IEA Energy Statistics, 2007.
Conventional
33.2%
Gas 32.4%
Oil 20.4%
Conventional energy supplies account about one third of the total primary energy
supplies.
Source: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007.
Hydro 12.6%
Nuclear 0.9%
Oil 30.5%
Gas 48.6%
70
Imported Electricity
60
Nuclear
50
30
20
Hydro
Coal
40
LPG
Oil
10
Natural Gas
0
The leveling off of natural gas supply (after rapid increase in 2003-05) has resulted in growth
in oil imports a phenomenon which is expected to accelerate unless production of gas and
other indigenous sources of energy can be ramped up.
7
LPG
Coal
1.7%
11.0%
Hydro Nuclear
6.9% 0.5%
Gas
46.3%
2007: By sector
Oil
33.6%
Transport
27%
Agricultur
e
2%
Other
Govt.
2%
Domestic
21%
Commerci
al
4%
Industrial
44%
Domestic
Crude
19.1%
Domestic
Coal
36.8%
Crude &
POL
Imports
80.9%
Imported
Coal
63.2%
Oil
Natural Gas
Coal
Resource potential
3,622
6,849
82,846
Proven recoverable
reserves
126
1,075
886
Cumulative
production, so far
78
470
~89
Remaining
recoverable
reserves
47
605
797
Annual production
3.3
29.3
1.6
14 years
21 years
~400 years
Reserves to
production ratio
Pakistan has limited oil and gas reserves as compared to huge untapped coal
reserves.
Source: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007.
10
Coal, 0.1%
Hydel, 32.5%
Oil, 28.5%
Imported, 0.2%
Gas, 36.4%
Nuclear, 2.3%
Natural gas accounts for more than one third of electricity generation.
Source: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007.
11
100%
90%
80%
Hydro
Coal
70%
60%
Gas
50%
40%
30%
20%
Oil
10%
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
0%
Higher use of natural gas had slowed down oil imports in 2001 this gain has now eroded as gas supply
limits have been reached and the country has not been able to dramatically increase production of gas.
Source: Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2007 and earlier issues.
12
14,000
Demand
12,000
Indigenous Supply
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Expected shortages in indigenous gas supply 2.7 Bcfd in 2015, 5.8 Bcfd in 2020,
and 10.3 Bcfd in 2025.
Source: PWC/Hagler Bailly Pakistan IPI Pre-Feasibility Report, 2007
Nuclear
Renewable
Hydro
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
2010
2007
2010
2015
2020
2015
2025
2020
2025
2030
2030
Oil
18.12
20.69
32.51
45.47
57.93
66.84
Gas
29.31
38.99
52.98
77.85
114.84
162.58
4.4
7.16
14.45
24.77
38.28
68.56
7.62
11.03
16.4
21.44
30.5
38.93
0.84
1.6
5.58
9.2
0.54
0.69
2.23
4.81
8.24
15.11
60.38
79.4
120.16
177.34
255.37
361.82
Coal
Hydro
Renewable
Nuclear
Total
Potential (MW)
Solar
Wind
About 41,000
Hydro
About 46,000
Bio-fuels
Others
Wind
Class
Wind
Power
W/m2
Wind Speed
Land
m/s
Area km2
Percent
Windy
Land
Total
Potential
Capacity
MW
Fair
300-400
6.5 - 7.5
42,864
4.9
214,321
Good
400-500
7.0 - 7.5
18,105
2.1
90,529
Excellent
500-600
7.5 - 8.0
5218
0.6
26,091
Excellent
600-800
8.0 - 8.8
2495
0.3
12,475
Excellent
>800
>8.8
543
0.1
2,716
69,225
7.5
346,132
Total
Assumptions
Installed capacity per km2 = 5 MW
Total land area of Pakistan = 877,252 km2
Assume land area only
Source: USAID Renewable Energy Lab
PROVINCE/
AREA
IN OPERATION
(MW)
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION
(MW)
AVAILABLE
POTENTIAL
(MW)
TOTAL
(MW)
PUNJAB
64
174
238
SIND
87
87
NWFP
49
20
439
508
NORTHERN
AREAS
25
35
308
368
AJK
36
220
262
174
61
1228
1463
TOTAL:
Set Targets:
800 MW by 2010
1,600 MW by 2015
3,000 MW by 2020
9,700 MW by 2030
Wind Power:
16 MW in Northern Areas.
140 MW in Punjab.
Concluding Remarks
Need to Maximize use of Renewable Energy Technologies
40,000 villages in Pakistan are still un-electrified.
Renewable energy can solve the hidden energy
demand in rural areas not yet connected to the
grid.
Wind , Solar and small hydro are ideally suited to
cover small-scale, decentralized demands.
A solution for the hidden energy demand through renewable sources
23
Thank You