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How much closer to revolution was Russia in 1916 than she was in 1914?

Planning an introduction:

What is this question actually asking?

Russia was far closer due to the exacerbation of 1914 problems by 1916

1+6: what is your argument & how are you going to ensure consistency? Start off with the most important point &
work down to the least important
Development of the explanation/link back Evidence to back your points up- what
to your overall argument contextual knowledge will help you
develop this argument?
Reason 1: take the Peasants and the working class were highly Peasants were not selling surplus grain as there
first of the 6 and dissatisfied with their standard of living, more so was little incentive for them to do so: the
develop it in 1916 than 1914. In 1905 this was a reason for government would not pay higher prices and the
protests (Skocpol quote). In 1916 this had far conversion of factories military work meant
worsened (PP quote). Although strikes started in that there was little for peasants to buy-
1915, they were worse by 1916 showing that production of agricultural implements was at
Russia was more ready for revolution in 1916, as 15% of its pre-war value. Living standards
people were more upset. LINKING SENTANCE suffered as a result of overcrowding & food
shortages: strikes broke out in 1915 and
increased in frequency & militancy in 1916
"Agricultural productivity stagnated, while
international prices for grain dropped... War and
military preparations continued to consume
government revenues. the peasant taxpayers'
ability to pay was strained to the utmost, leading
to widespread famine in 1891. (States and
Social Revolutions States Theda Skocpol,)

Reason 2: take the The Govs incompetence became clear and it As with 1905, confidence in the government
second of the 6 seemed as if the people were better suited to evaporated as its incompetence & inability to
and develop it organise the country. How does this prepare for effectively organise supplies became apparent:
Rev? Why worse in 1916 than 1914? LINKING the Zemstva (a form of local government) started
SENTANCE forming their own bodies to provide medical
care, hospitals & hospital trains for thousands of
wounded soldiers. These organisations
eventually united to form one organisation:
ZEMGOR
The Zemgor went on to supply uniforms, boots
& tents. Professional groups & businessmen
formed War Industries Committees to shift
factories over to military production- leading
liberals often played a role in these non-
governmental organisation. Even though they
were supportive of the war, the autocracy viewed
them as suspicious & did not cooperate with
them

Reason 3: take the The Tsar made crucial mistakes after 1914 which The Tsar was pressurised into reconvening the
third of the 6 worsened his position and made Russia more Duma in July 1915- progressive elements in the
and develop it ready for revolution. Tsar had the opportunity in Duma (who made up 2/3) formed the
1915 to restore the dwindling national Progressive Bloc which called for a ministry of
confidence in the Gov. through a ministry of national confidence: to replace incompetent
national confidence. This was suggested by the ministers with deputies. The Tsar refused and
Duma he was pressured into reconvening in July. suspended the Duma, which only met again
This would have replaced incompetent ministers briefly in 1916 & 1917.
with deputies. He chose not to, allowing Crucially, in August 1915, the Tsar decided to
incompetent mister to worsen Russias condition take direct control of the army & went off to
and for national confidence to continue to military HQ in Mogilev, 600km from Petrograd.
decline. LINKING SENTANCE This had 2 main consequences:
1. He now became personally responsible
for the conduct of the war and thus its
failure
2. He was away from Petrograd which left
the Tsarina & Rasputin in control of the
government (nepotism for loyal
minsters)

Reason 4: take the Military planners (Ministers??) in Russia thought Russia had placed huge orders with British &
fourth of the 6 that the war would be relatively short & so did American manufacturers who proved unable to
and develop it not take steps to stockpile munitions or build up meet these demands As a result, the country
Russias armaments-making capacity. This meant suffered munitions shortages in spring 1915The
that as the war worsened so did the crisis= worse government responded slowly, but did eventually
in 1916 than 1914 when just started out and had set up a Special Committee for State Defence, to
munitions. Opponents of the autocratic regime control production of munitions.
used this as political capital against the Tsar- it
was symptomatic of the regimes
ineffectiveness= far more ready for war.

Reason 5: take the Inflation The main driver of inflation in wartime was
fifth of the 6 As the war went on, inflation became even more rising food prices, which was linked to
and develop it of a problem shortages, caused by:
Hold-ups on the railway system disrupted food Grain production fell in wartime, mainly because
supplies to the towns & cities some important food-producing areas were
The war imposed huge strains on Russias occupied by the Germans
transport system & in particular on the railways Hoarding of grain by peasants & speculators. In
Trains carrying food was often delayed & in normal circumstances, peasants sold surplus
many cases, actually arrived at its destination in grain in order to buy consumer goods, but there
a rotting state were few consumer goods for them to buy

Reason 6: _
Conclusion: summarise all of your points & restate your argument

Peasants and the working class were highly dissatisfied with their standard of living, more so in 1916 than 1914.
Govs incompetence more clear. Tsars mistakes, military planning and inflation.
Show that these all were worse in 1916 than 1914 and thus Russia=closer to revolution

"Agricultural productivity stagnated, while international prices for grain dropped, and Russias foreign debt and need
for imports grew. War and military preparations continued to consume government revenues. At the same time, the
peasant taxpayers' ability to pay was strained to the utmost, leading to widespread famine in 1891. (States and Social
Revolutions States Theda Skocpol,)

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