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IBM SPSS STATISTICS
2
IBM SPSS STATISTICS
:
:
ISBN: 978-960-603-123-6
Copyright , 2015
Creative Commons -
- 3.0.
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/gr/
9, 15780
www.kallipos.gr
3
4
......................................................................................................................... 5
- ................................................................................................. 14
............................................................................................................................................. 15
............................................................................................................................................ 16
1.......................................................................................................................................... 18
............................................................................................................................................................................... 18
................................................................................................................................................... 18
1.1 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 18
1.2 ................................................................................................................. 19
1.2.1 .................................................................................................................................................................. 19
1.2.2. ........................................................................................................................................................ 19
1.2.3. ........................................................................................................................ 20
1.2.4. ....................................................................................... 21
1.2.5. - ................................................... 23
1.2.6. - .............................................................................................................................. 25
1.3. ................................................................................................................................. 25
1.3.1 ............................................................................................................................................................... 25
1.3.2 ................................................................................................................................................................ 26
1.3.3 ..................................................................................................................... 26
........................................................................................................................................................................... 26
................................................................................................................................ 27
1.4 (-) .................................................................................................. 27
1.5 ..................................................................................................................................................... 27
1.6 ............................................................................................................................. 28
1.7 ............................................................................................................................................................ 29
1.7.1 ......................................................................................................................................................... 29
.................................................................................................................................................... 29
....................................................................................................................................................................... 30
1.7.2 ............................................................................................................................ 31
( ) .................................................................................................... 31
( ) ................................................................................................................. 32
....................................................................... 33
........................................ 34
........................................................ 34
1 .................................................................................................................................................................... 36
5
2 .................................................................................................................................................................... 37
1.7.3 .......................................................................................................................................... 39
1.7.3.1 ............................................................................................................................ 39
1.7.3.2 .................................................................................................................................. 42
1.8 ................................................................................................................................................... 43
1.8.1 .......................................................................................................................................................... 43
1.8.1.1 .................................................................................................... 43
1.8.1.2 .......................................................................................................................... 44
1.8.1.3 .......................................................................................................................................................... 44
1.8.1.4 ................................................................................................................................................... 45
1.8.1.5 ............................................................................................................... 46
1.8.2 ......................................................................................................................................... 46
1.8.2.1 ................................................................................................................................................... 46
1.8.2.2. ..................................................................................................... 47
1.8.2.3 ...................................................................................................... 47
1.8.2.4 ............................................................................................................................................. 47
1.8.2.5 ....................................................................................................... 48
1.8.3 ........................................................................................................................................ 48
1.8.3.1 ...................................................................................................................... 48
1.8.3.2 .............................................................................................................................. 48
1.8.3.3 - - ............................................................................................................................. 49
1.8.3.4 ............................................................................................................................................ 49
1.8.3.5 ...................................................................................................................... 50
1.8.3.6 ........................................................................................................................................................... 50
1.8.3.7 .......................................................................................................... 51
1.8.3.8 .................................................................................................................... 51
1.8.3.9 .................................................................................................................................. 51
1.8.4 .................................................................................................................... 52
1.8.4.1 .................................................................................................................... 52
1.8.4.2 ............................................................................................................ 53
............................................................................................................................ 54
................................................................................................................................................................. 54
...................................................................................................................................................................... 54
2.......................................................................................................................................... 56
............................................................................................................................................................................... 56
................................................................................................................................................... 56
2.1. .................................................................................................................................................................... 56
2.2.1 ...................................................................................................................................................... 56
6
2.2.2 .................................................................................................................................... 58
1 ............................................................................................................................................................ 59
2 ............................................................................................................................................................ 65
....................................................................................................................................... 65
..................................................................................................................................................... 69
..................................................................................................................................... 71
..................................................................................................................................................... 73
2.2.3 ............................................................................................................ 75
2.2.4 .................................................................................................................................. 76
2.2.5 .......................................................................................................................... 76
2.2.6 ...................................................................................................................................... 76
2.2.7 ................................................................................................................................................. 76
2.2.8 .............................................................................................. 76
2.2.9 .......................................................................................................................................... 77
2.2.10 ............................................................................................................................................. 77
2.2.11 .......................................................................................... 78
2.2.12 ............................................................................................................................................ 78
2.2.13 .......................................................................................................................... 78
2.3 : ................................................. 79
2.3.1 ...................................................................................................................................... 79
............................................................................................................................................................ 79
........................................................................................................................................................... 80
2.3.2 ................................................................................................................... 80
1 () ................................................................................................................................................. 80
2 () ................................................................................................................................................. 80
1 () ................................................................................................................................................ 80
2 () ................................................................................................................................................ 80
3 () ................................................................................................................................................ 81
2.3.3 ...................................................................................................................... 81
.................................................................................................................................................................. 82
3 ............................................................................................................................................................ 82
............................................................................................................................................... 82
............................................................................................................................................. 83
................................................................................................................................................. 86
............................................................................................................................................. 88
...................................................................................................................................................................... 89
2.4 ............................................................................................................................................................ 89
2.4.1 ............................................................................................................................................................... 89
7
2.4.2 ...................................................................................................................................... 90
2.4.3 ....................................................................................................................................................... 90
2.4.4 .............................................................................................................. 91
2.4.4.1 Exit-Polls ................................................................................................................................................................ 91
2.4.4.2 SMS................................................................................................................................... 92
2.4.5 .................................................................................................................. 92
............................................................................................................................ 93
................................................................................................................................................................. 93
...................................................................................................................................................................... 93
3.......................................................................................................................................... 95
............................................................................................................................................................................... 95
................................................................................................................................................... 95
3.1 SPSS............................................................................................................................................ 95
Data View .......................................................................................................................................................................... 96
Variable View .................................................................................................................................................................... 97
3.2 File.................................................................................................................................................................... 99
3.2.1 IBM SPSS ................................................................................................................ 99
.............................................................................................................................. 99
Excel ...................................................................................................................... 100
File > Open > Data .......................................................................................................................................................... 100
File > Save As .................................................................................................................................................................. 102
3.2.2 .................................................................................................................................... 102
............................................................................................................................................................. 102
..................................................................................................................................................................... 102
................................................................................................................................................................. 102
3.3 Edit................................................................................................................................................................. 103
3.4 View ............................................................................................................................................................... 103
3.5 Data ................................................................................................................................................................ 103
3.5.1 Sort Cases ............................................................................................................................................................... 103
3.5.2 Sort Variables......................................................................................................................................................... 104
3.5.3 Transpose................................................................................................................................................................ 105
3.5.4 Select Cases............................................................................................................................................................. 105
3.5.5 Merge Files ............................................................................................................................................................. 108
Merge > Add Cases ......................................................................................................................................................... 108
Merge > Add Variables .................................................................................................................................................. 109
3.5.6 Split File .................................................................................................................................................................. 112
3.5.7 Weight Cases .......................................................................................................................................................... 112
3.5.8 Restructure ............................................................................................................................................................. 113
8
3.6 Transform ..................................................................................................................................................... 121
3.6.1 Recode ..................................................................................................................................................................... 121
Transform > Recode > Into Same Variable .................................................................................................................. 121
Old Values ....................................................................................................................................................................... 122
New Values ...................................................................................................................................................................... 122
Transform > Recode > Into Different Variable............................................................................................................ 123
3.6.2 Compute.................................................................................................................................................................. 124
3.6.3 Replace Missing Values ......................................................................................................................................... 125
................................................................................................................... 126
3.6.4 Random Number Generator ................................................................................................................................. 127
3.7 Analyze .......................................................................................................................................................... 127
.......................................................................................................................... 128
............................................................................................................................................................... 128
.................................................................................................................................................................... 128
4........................................................................................................................................ 129
............................................................................................................................................................................. 129
................................................................................................................................................. 129
4.1 .................................................................................................................................. 129
(Descriptive Statistics) ......................................................................................................... 129
......................................................................................................................................... 130
(population) ............................................................................................................................ 130
(Variable) ................................................................................................................................. 130
........................................................................................................................................................... 130
4.2 Frequencies ................................................................................................................................................................ 131
..................................................................................................................................................... 131
....................................................................................................................................................... 133
Percentile Values ............................................................................................................................................................. 134
Quartiles - ............................................................................................................................................... 134
Percentiles - ........................................................................................................................................... 135
Central Tendency............................................................................................................................................................ 135
Mean - ...................................................................................................................... 135
Median - .......................................................................................................................................................... 135
Mode - E .............................................................................................................................................. 135
Sum - .............................................................................................................................................................. 135
Dispersion ........................................................................................................................................................................ 136
Std. Deviation - ................................................................................................................................. 136
Variance - ................................................................................................................................................... 136
Range - ................................................................................................................................................................. 136
9
S.E. Mean - ........................................................................................................................................... 136
Distribution ..................................................................................................................................................................... 136
Skewness - .......................................................................................................................... 137
Kurtosis - ................................................................................................................................ 137
4.3 Descriptives ............................................................................................................................................................... 139
4.4 Explore ....................................................................................................................................................................... 140
Trimmed Mean - ...................................................................................................................... 142
Confidence Interval for Mean - .................................................................... 142
4.5 Crosstabs ................................................................................................................................................................... 144
Count................................................................................................................................................................................ 145
Percentages ...................................................................................................................................................................... 146
Residuals .......................................................................................................................................................................... 146
4.6 Correlate .................................................................................................................................................................... 147
Correlation Coefficients ................................................................................................................................................. 148
Test of Significance ......................................................................................................................................................... 149
.................................................................................................................................................... 149
............................................................................................................................................. 150
4.7 Multiple Response ..................................................................................................................................................... 152
4.7.1 Analyze > Multiple Response > Define Multiple Response Sets ........................................................................ 152
4.7.2 Analyze > Multiple Response > Frequencies ....................................................................................................... 153
4.7.3 Analyze > Multiple Response > CrossTabs ......................................................................................................... 154
4.8 Graphs ....................................................................................................................................................................... 155
4.9 - Bar Charts .................................................................................................................................. 156
Simple .............................................................................................................................................................................. 157
Clustered.......................................................................................................................................................................... 159
4.10 - Line ...................................................................................................................................................... 159
Simple .............................................................................................................................................................................. 160
Multiple............................................................................................................................................................................ 162
4.11 - Area...................................................................................................................................... 163
Simple .............................................................................................................................................................................. 163
4. 12 () - Pie .............................................................................................................................. 165
4.13 High - Low ............................................................................................................................................................... 167
Simple .............................................................................................................................................................................. 168
Clustered.......................................................................................................................................................................... 169
4.14 BoxPlots ............................................................................................... 170
Simple .............................................................................................................................................................................. 171
Clustered.......................................................................................................................................................................... 172
4.15 - Scatter/ Dot ........................................................................................................................................ 173
10
Simple .............................................................................................................................................................................. 174
Matrix Scatter ................................................................................................................................................................. 175
4.16 - Histogram .................................................................................................................................... 176
.......................................................................................................................... 178
...................................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
........................................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
5........................................................................................................................................ 179
............................................................................................................................................................................. 179
................................................................................................................................................. 179
5.1 ................................................................................................................................................................... 179
5.2 .................................................................................................................................. 179
5.3 .......................................................................................................................... 181
5.3.1 ......................................................................................................................................................... 181
5.3.2 P-P Plots.................................................................................................................................................................. 181
5.3.3 Q-Q Plots ................................................................................................................................................................ 183
5.4 ...................................................................................................................... 184
5.4.1 One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) Test .................................................................................................... 184
: .............................................................................................................................................. 184
5.4.2 Shapiro-Wilk est .................................................................................................................................................. 186
................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined.
...................................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
........................................................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
6........................................................................................................................................ 189
............................................................................................................................................................................. 189
................................................................................................................................................. 189
6.1 T-Test .................................................................................................... 189
..................................................................................................................................... 190
6.2 T-test .......................................................... 191
6.3 Mann-Whitney U ...................................................................................................................................................... 193
6.4 T-test ...................................................... 196
6.5 Wilcoxon .................................................................................................................................................................... 198
6.6 Means ......................................................................................................................................................................... 200
6.7 One-Way ANOVA ......................................................................................................... 201
......................................................................................................................................................................... 201
..................................................................................................................................................... 202
Tukey Test ....................................................................................................................................................................... 206
......................................................................................................................................................................... 206
6.8 Kruskall-Wallis H ..................................................................................................................................................... 209
11
6.9 Two-Way ANOVA for Independent Samples ........................................................................................................ 212
..................................................................................................................................................... 212
......................................................................................................................................................................... 212
..................................................................................................................................................................... 213
6.10 Friedman ................................................................................................................................................................. 219
6.11 X2-test ....................................................................................................................................................................... 222
...................................................................................................................... 225
.......................................................................................................................................................................... 226
6.12 Mc Nemar test ......................................................................................................................................................... 227
6.13 : Crosstabs > Cell ................................................................................................................................ 229
(Counts) ....................................................................................................................................................... 229
(Percentages) ................................................................................................................................................... 229
(Residuals)...................................................................................................................................................... 230
6.14 : Crosstabs > Statistics ....................................................................................................................... 231
.......................................................................................................................... 234
............................................................................................................................................................... 234
.................................................................................................................................................................... 234
7........................................................................................................................................ 235
............................................................................................................................................................................. 235
................................................................................................................................................. 235
7.1 (Linear Regression) ................................................................... 235
.............................................................................................................................. 240
F- (overall F-test) ......................................................................... 242
Partial F-tests (variables-added-in-order Type I F-tests) ........................................................................................ 243
Variables-added-last Type III F-tests ........................................................................................................................ 244
........................................................................................................... 244
......................................................................... 246
......................................................................................................................................................................... 248
SPSS ............................................................................................................................. 257
Regression Equation ....................................................................................................................................................... 258
........................................................................................................................................................ 259
........................................................... 262
........................................................................................................................... 262
................................................................................................................................... 262
7.2 (Logistic Regression) .................................................................................................... 263
............................................................................................................................................................. 267
ROC Curve ...................................................................................................................................................................... 272
.......................................................................................................................... 275
12
............................................................................................................................................................... 275
.................................................................................................................................................................... 275
....................................................................................................................................... 276
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6 5 2,571 6,232727 38,84689 5,142 26,44016
7 6 2,447 5,932121 35,19006 4,894 23,95124
8 7 2,365 5,733333 32,87111 4,73 22,3729
9 8 2,306 5,590303 31,25149 4,612 21,27054
10 9 2,262 5,483636 30,07027 4,524 20,46658
11 10 2,228 5,401212 29,17309 4,456 19,85594
12 11 2,201 5,335758 28,47031 4,402 19,3776
13 12 2,179 5,282424 27,90401 4,358 18,99216
14 13 2,160 5,236364 27,4195 4,32 18,6624
15 14 2,145 5,2 27,04 4,29 18,4041
16 15 2,131 5,166061 26,68818 4,262 18,16464
17 16 2,12 5,139394 26,41337 4,24 17,9776
18 17 2,11 5,115152 26,16478 4,22 17,8084
19 18 2,101 5,093333 25,94204 4,202 17,6568
20 19 2,093 5,073939 25,74486 4,186 17,5226
21 20 2,086 5,05697 25,57294 4,172 17,40558
22 21 2,08 5,042424 25,42604 4,16 17,3056
23 22 2,074 5,027879 25,27957 4,148 17,2059
24 23 2,069 5,015758 25,15782 4,138 17,12304
25 24 2,064 5,003636 25,03638 4,128 17,04038
26 25 2,06 4,993939 24,93943 4,12 16,9744
27 26 2,056 4,984242 24,84267 4,112 16,90854
28 27 2,052 4,974545 24,7461 4,104 16,84282
29 28 2,048 4,964848 24,64972 4,096 16,77722
30 29 2,045 4,957576 24,57756 4,09 16,7281
1.1: n
6
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2
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53
. 15 , 2015
http://www.fhw.gr/chronos/02/crete/gr/artsandtechnology/fayence.html
, . (1955). . : .
, . & , . (2002). . :
, . (1994). . : .
, . . & , . (2011). .
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, . (1987). : , ,
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Creswell, J. W. (2012). . ,
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.
Losee, J. (1993). . . : .
Mason, J. (2003). . : : .
Hawkes, J. & Wooley L. (1963) , : .
Babbie, E. (2007). The practice of social research. Thomson Wadsworth. Belmont, CA.
Begon, M. (1979). Investigating animal abundance: capture-recapture for biologists. Edward Arnold
(Publishers) Ltd.
Campbell, D. T., Stanley, J. C. & Gage, N. L. (1963). Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for
research (No. 04; Q175, C3.). Boston: Houghton Mifflin.
Cook, T. D., Campbell, D.T. & Day, A. (1979). Quasi-experimentation: Design & analysis issues for field
settings (Vol. 351). Boston: Houghton Mifflin.
Gagnon, Y. C. (2010). The case study as research method. PUQ.
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Krebs, C. J. (1999). Ecological methodology (Vol. 620). Menlo Park, California: Benjamin/Cummings.
Krueger, R. A. (1997). Analyzing and reporting focus group results (Vol. 6). Sage publications.
Morgan, D. L. (1993). Successful focus groups: Advancing the state of the art (Vol. 156). Sage Publications.
Rubin, H. J. & Rubin, I. S. (2011). Qualitative interviewing: The art of hearing data. Sage.
Seber, G. A. F. (1982). The estimation of animal abundance and related parameters. London: Griffin.
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54
Webb, E. J., Campbell, D. T., Schwartz, R. D. & Sechrest, L. (1966). Unobtrusive measures: Nonreactive
research in the social sciences (Vol. 111). Chicago: Rand McNally.
55
2
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.
Babbie, E. (2007). The practice of social research Thomson Wadsworth. Belmont, CA.
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l'opinion des Franais. Les Presses de Sciences Po.
Livne, A., Simmons, M. P., Adar, E. & Adamic, L. A. (2011). The Party Is Over Here: Structure and Content
in the 2010 Election. ICWSM, 11, pp. 17-21.
Metaxas, P. T., Mustafaraj, E. & Gayo-Avello, D. (2011). How (not) to predict elections. In Privacy, Security,
Risk and Trust (PASSAT) and 2011 IEEE Third Inernational Conference on Social Computing
(SocialCom), 2011 IEEE Third International Conference on (pp. 165-171). IEEE.
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Michelat, G. & Simon, M. (1977). Classe, religion et comportement politique. Presses de Sciences Po.
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Mustafaraj, E. & Metaxas, P. T. (2010). From obscurity to prominence in minutes: Political speech and real-
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Mustafaraj, E., Finn, S., Whitlock, C. & Metaxas, P. T. (2011). Vocal minority versus silent majority:
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IEEE Third Inernational Conference on Social Computing (SocialCom), 2011 IEEE Third
International Conference on (pp. 103-110). IEEE.
O'Connor, B., Balasubramanyan, R., Routledge, B. R. & Smith, N. A. (2010). From Tweets to Polls: Linking
Text Sentiment to Public Opinion Time Series. ICWSM, 11(pp. 122-129), 1-2.
Rivire, E. & Martelli-Bangas, D. (2002). Chapitre 10. Pour un usage apais des sondages. Acadmique, pp.
293-309.
93
Visser, P. S., Krosnick, J. A., Marquette, J. & Curtin, M. (1996). Mail surveys for election forecasting? An
evaluation of the Columbus Dispatch poll. Public Opinion Quarterly, 60(2), pp. 181-227.
94
3
IBM SPSS
SPSS
Run the Tutorial, Type in data, Run an existing query, Create new query using Database Wizard
Data View Variable View. File
Data, Syntax, Output Script. IBM SPSS
( Excel)
. Edit View Data Sort Variables,
Transpose, Select Cases, Merge Files ( ), Split File
( ), Weight Cases (
), Restructure (
), Recode (
), Compute (
() ), Replace Missing Values ( ).
.
.
SPSS
D. Howitt, D. Cramer, Carver Nash, Coakes Steed, Field, Huber Norousis.
3.1 SPSS
. 3.1.
.sav Open an existing data
source OK.
Open another type of file OK.
,
, Cancel.
95
3.1: SPSS
:
Run the Tutorial - .
Type in data - .
Run an existing query - .
Create new query using Database Wizard -
Database Wizard.
Cancel 3.2 editor
Excel .
H (menu) ,
() Data View Variable View .
Data View
,
()
( . IBM SPSS).
96
3.1: SPSS
Variable View
Data View,
. , ,
(.. VAR00001), E
3.4. ,
Variable View.
97
,
.
,
Name
. .
Label.
.
Numeric,
Type
String.
Date.
Width
.
Decimals
.
Label () .
, .
. ,
Values (sex) 1- 2- ,
1 & 2 Value
Value Label .
.
99 999 .
Missing ( ),
.
, .. ,
( )
Missing System.
Columns
Data View.
Align
.
.
:
Measure Scale - ,
Nominal - ,
Ordinal - .
3.1:
.
, Copy, ,
Paste, , Clear , Insert New Variable.
(), ,
SPSS.
98
3.2 File
, , New,
, Open Open Database, , Save Save As, , Print,
Display Data File Information ..
, New,
, :
Data: .
Syntax: .
, .
SPSS ,
OK, PASTE Syntax,
.
Output: .
(
, ),
. ,
.
Script:
, Basic Python,
SPSS.
.
SPSS.
/ .
, .
, Data > Transpose,
.
99
3.2: SPSS
,
.
, ,
SPSS. , :
1. .
2. .
3. ,
.
Excel
:
3.3:
,
, .. Excel .xls, .xlsx.
100
Open, Worksheet
, xcel
.
3.4:
3.5:
, OK, SPSS.
101
3.6: Data View
3.2.2
, ,
.
.
, ,
, Q001, Q002
... , , , Label Variable
View.
, , ,
, ,
, .
, 1 - 2 - .
1 2, .
,
, String / Text ,
102
, ( )
( ).
,
, ,
.
3.3 Edit
, Undo, , Copy, , Cut, ,
Paste, , Insert Variable.
,
.
3.4 View
Data Editor, .
.
Status Bar, Data Editor,
Fonts, Values Labels.
,
.
.
3.5 Data
,
Select Cases, Sort Cases, Split File
Merge Files.
, :
103
3.7: Sort Cases
Ascending
Descending. OK.
104
3.5.3 Transpose
Data > Transpose,
( ) () .
.
, .. , Excel.
,
, ( ).
3.9: Transpose
OK.
105
3.10: Select Cases
3.11: Menu Data > Select Cases > If condition is satisfied
106
.
OK.
, :
1. Data View .
,
.
3.13:
2. Variable View
filter_$,
.
107
3.14:
108
3.15: Merge > Add Cases > Step 1
109
3.17: Merge > Add Variables > Step 1
:
Excluded Variables:
.
New Active Dataset: .
Key Variables: Match cases on key
variables in sorted files - (ID)
( ).
(
) :
1. ,
2. (. Sort Cases).
.
3.18:
3.19:
110
3.20: Merge > Add Variables > Step 2
3.21: Merge
111
3.5.6 Split File
Data > Split File,
Merge, . .
Compare Groups
.
Groups Based n,
...
Select Cases,
Sort Cases.
OK.
112
3.23:
Frequency Variable .
OK.
3.5.8 Restructure
Data > Restructure,
, .
ranspose, ,
.
, .
, .
, . 3.27:
113
3.25: Wide Format
time1, 2, 3
( ). /
:
Data > Restructure > Restructure selected variables into cases.
Wide Long Format.
Data > Restructure > Restructure selected cases into variables.
Long Wide Format.
,
.
, :
GLM Repeated Measures
Paired Sample T- test
2 Repeated Samples
k - Repeated Samples
.
, ,
(long)
, .
.
,
.
7 .
114
1 7
,
. (. ) Wide
:
Data > Restructure > Restructure selected variables into cases Next.
3.26: . 1 7
2 7
. (.
) time1, time 2, time 3
.
, One. More than one
.
115
3.27: . 2 7
3 7
. Case Group Identification
.
Subject, Label.
Target Variable ,
, Time1, Time2, Time3.
Fixed Variable(s)
( sex,age), . .
116
3.28: . 3 7
4 7
- (Indexes),
. (..
Repeated Measurement Analysis) .
, .
,
-.
117
3.29: -. 4 7
5 7
, -.
sequential numbers
variable name.
Edit the Index Variable Name and Label
-.
6 7
(Options)
Handling of Variables not Selected,
System Missing, Create Count Variable
.
118
3.30: -. 5 7
3.31: . 6 7
119
7 7
Finish. ,
.
3.32: . 7 7
3.33:
120
3.34: . long format
3.6 Transform
,
.
:
3.6.1 Recode
Transform > Recode,
.
:
Transform > Recode > Into Same Variable -
.
Transform > Recode > Into Different Variable -
,
.
121
3.35: Recode Into Same Variables
,
.
Old & New Values, :
Old Values
, ,
.
, .
New Values
.
122
Add Old > New,
Change Remove .
.
,
, If (optional case
selection condition) If cases.
Compute
. Function Group.
123
3.38: If cases
,
. , 1 - 5 ( Likert)
-1, -0,5, 0, +0,5, +1,
.
3.6.2 Compute
Transform > Compute,
() .
Target Variable ,
Numeric Expression ( )
.
, ..
GHz MHz,
.
Function Group.
124
3.39: Compute
. Numeric
Expression : 2015-brthyear, brthyear .
125
3.40: Replace Missing Values
( ) , value labels (
).
New Variable
Method .
:
Mean:
.
Mean or nearby points:
.
( )
span of nearby points.
.
Median or nearby points:
.
( )
span of nearby points.
.
Linear Interpolation:
,
. ,
.
Linear Trend at point:
.
.
.
126
3.6.4 Random Number Generator
Transform > Random Number Generators,
() .
Active Generator, Active
Generator Initialization Set Starting Point . O
Value Fixed Values
.
3.7 Analyze
,
.
.
127
Carver, R. & Nash, J. (2011). Doing Data Analysis with SPSS: Version 18.0. 5th Edition Easton Cengage
Learning.
Coakes, S. J. & Steed, L. G. (1999). SPSS: Analysis without anguish: Versions 7.0, 7.5, 8.0 for Windows.
Bresbane: Jacaranda Wiley.
Field, A. (2013). Discovering statistics using IBM SPSS statistics. London:Sage.
Huber, P. J. (1973). Robust regression: asymptotics, conjectures and Monte Carlo. The Annals of Statistics,
pp. 799-821.
Marques de Sa, J. P. (2007). Applied Statistics Using SPSS. STATISTICA, MATLAB and R, 2nd Edition, Porto:
Universitado de Porto
Norusis Marija, J. (2002). SPSS 11.0 Guide to data analysis. Upper Saddle River New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
128
4
,
.
SPSS Descriptive Statistics > Frequencies, Descriptive Statistics > Descriptives,
Descriptive Statistics > Explore, Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs.
, Trimmed
Mean - Confidence Interval for Mean - .
,
( Correlate). Multiple
Response (Analyze > Multiple Response > Define Multiple Response Sets).
Graphs. Bar Charts (Simple
Clustered), Line ( Simple Multiple) Area,
Pie, - High - Low ( Simple Clustered)
BoxPlots ( Simple Clustered), Scatter/ Dot ( Simple Matrix
Scatter) , Histogram.
( ).
3.
4.1
(Statistic) (), ,
.
:
.
/ (..
Excel) (.. SPSS, STATA, SAS, R, SPlus, Minitab .).
,
.
[.. (linear
regression)].
,
(Descriptive Statistics), ,
(Inferential Statistics), .
(Descriptive Statistics)
.
. (, ),
129
(, , ..), ( ,
).
(population)
. .
, .
.
(Variable)
,
(variable). (),
, , ..
().
( ) (observations)
. .
.
(.. = 75kg) (.. = ).
.
(quantitative) (qualitative)
.
(continues)
(discrete) .
, , (.. , ).
, (..
).
(nominal) (ordinal).
,
[.. , (,
, , , )].
(.. , ).
,
.
:
130
-
(.. , ).
- , , ()
(..
- ).
, , ,
- (..
, , ).
4.1:
SPSS ,
, :
Descriptive Statistics > Frequencies,
Descriptive Statistics > Descriptives,
Descriptive Statistics > Explore,
Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs,
Tables,
Correlate,
Multiple Response,
Graphs.
4.2 Frequencies
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Frequencies,
.
,
, .
. (frequency
distributions) .
.
, (nominal) (ordinal),
.
.
(one-way table).
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs,
.
Display frequency tables,
.
131
, ,
Descriptives, Explore.
Variable(s) ()
. Charts Pie
Chart Bar Chart. .
. Chart Values
Frequencies Percentages .
,
:
4.43:
() .
132
() (Frequency) , .
xi.
(Relative Frequency) fi xi,
n . H
Percent (fi%).
. n
(valid)
.
.
(cumulative percent), .
xi . ,
11,1%
44 , 22,2% 59 , , 77,8% 74 , ...
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics >
Frequencies, .
Display frequency tables.
Statistics ,
Charts Histograms
With normal curve
.
133
4.45: To menu Frequencies - Statistics
Statistics :
Percentile Values
. (location measures)
.
Quartiles -
, 25%
. :
(first quartile), Q1,
25%
.
(second quartile), Q2,
50%
. , .
(third quartile), Q3,
75%
.
H , n
.
n +1
Q1 =
4
4.1
2(n + 1)
Q2 =
4
134
4.2
3(n + 1)
Q3 =
4
4.3
Percentiles -
100 . 25
25% 75%, 50
, ...
k- k% (100 -
k)%. , ,
Cut
points for n equal groups. n = 4 .
, Percentile(s) (.
5, 10 ...)
Add.
Central Tendency
. (central tendency measures)
, . SPSS
.
Mean -
n
:
n
x i
x= i =1
n
4.4
Median -
n
, n , ()
n .
Mode - E
.
Sum -
.
135
Dispersion
. (measures of variability)
, , ).
Std. Deviation -
.
s = S2
4.5
Variance -
n
(x x )
i
2
S2 = i =1
n
4.6
Range -
Minimum Maximum ,
:
=R X max X min
4.7
S.E. Mean -
.
s
s.e =
n
4.8
Distribution
, .
(measures of skewness) (kurtosis measures).
,
.
136
Skewness -
:
n
z 3
i
1 = i =1
n
4.9
:
xi x
zi =
s
4.10
.
:
1 = 0, ,
1 < 0, ,
1 > 0, .
4.46:
Kurtosis -
.
, .
n
z 4
i
2 = i =1
n
4.11
137
2 = 3, ,
2 < 3, ,
2 > 3, .
4.47:
,
.
H Values are group midpoints
( Age
4.2, 40-44
42,5 ( ), ...]. ,
(interpolation).
4.48: Frequencies
138
4.3 Descriptives
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Descriptives,
.
Explore .
Variable(s). Save standardized values as variables
,
, :
xi x
zi =
s
4.12
,
.
N(0,1) . ,
, ,
.
Options
, , , ,
.
,
Display Order
Variable(s), Alphabetic,
Ascending Means, Descending
Means.
139
4.50: To menu Descriptives - Options
Frequencies
,
.
4.51: Descriptives
4.4 Explore
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore,
.
Descriptives, ,
, ,
Shapiro-Wilks Kolmogorov-Smirnov,
(Factors), Box - Plot, Stem &
Leaf plots.
:
140
4.52: To menu Explore
:
95% .. ,
,
,
,
,
,
.
141
Trimmed Mean -
5%
5% . 90%
(trimmed) ,
(outliers).
.
a = 5% 95% ,
( ) .
, , 5 5
() Outliers, Percentiles,
.
Plots
Box - Plot, Stem - and - leaf Stem - and - leaf Histogram
Q - Q Plots Normality plots with tests (
, . ).
Normality plots with tests
Shapiro-Wilks Kolmogorov-Smirnov,
.
142
Options , :
Exclude cases listwise,
( dependents), ( Factors)
.
..
,
.
Exclude cases pairwise,
, .
Report values, .
Explore.
4.56: - - Explore.
4.57: - - Explore
143
4.58: - - Explore
4.59: - - Explore
4.5 Crosstabs
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs,
.
,
,
.
.
144
4.60: To menu Crosstabs
Cells ..
, . :
Count
Observed:
.
Expected:
.
145
Percentages
Row: % .
Column: % .
Total: %
.
Residuals
Unstandardized:
.
Standardized:
.
Adjusted standardized: .
2 ,
, 0
1. 1,96 (
2,0)
, ,
0,05. -2,0
.
,
2 .
2x2,
, 2 .
Noninteger Weights:
. ,
,
.
( 1,25),
.
Statistics
.
.
OK :
146
4.62: Crosstabs
, .
100% ,
100% ,
100% .
4.6 Correlate
Analyze > Correlate > Bivariate,
.
(r) Pearson () Spearman ( ).
( ),
,
-1, 1, :
p = 1=> ,
p = -1=> ,
p = 0=> .
(, )
Scatter plots, . .
Variables (
) .
147
4.63: menu Bivariate Correlations
Correlation Coefficients
r - Pearson -
. :
Cov( x, y )
p=
Var ( x)Var ( y )
4.14
:
Cov( x, y ) = E ( x x )( y y )
4.15
,
:
n
( x x )( y y )
i i
r= i =1
n n
=i 1 =i 1
( xi x )2 ( y y)
i
2
4.16
r - Spearman - .
Pearson,
xi yi ,
(ranks - ) , .
:
148
n
(x ri x )( yr i y )
r= i =1
n n
=i 1 =i 1
( xr i x )2 (y ri y )2
4.17
:
n
6 d i 2
rs = 1 i =1
n(n 1)
2
4.18
, di (ranks - ) xi yi.
Test of Significance
p r,
, ,
:
Ho : p = 0
H1 : p 0
4.19
:
r
t=
1 r2
n2
4.20
1 r2
Var (r ) =
n2
4.21
| t |> ta /2;n
4.22
149
, .
:
H o : ps = 0
H 1 : ps 0
4.23
:
rs
t=
1 rs 2
n2
4.24
1 rs 2
Var (r ) =
n2
4.25
| t |> ta /2;n
4.26
Two -
tailed One - tailed.
,
, .
Flag significant correlations, ,
.. = 5%, ,
.. = 1% ,
.
150
Options Statistics
Pearson:
Means and standard deviations -
( ) .
.
Cross-product deviations and covariances -
. cross-product
( - mean
corrected), . r.
cross-product
N-1.
Missing Values
.
Exclude cases pairwise -
.
Exclude cases listwise -
.
OK,
, ,
. ( 24)
Variables.
1, 1.
, (r = 0,413),
p-value ( ) (p-value =
0,126 - ),
. ,
.
.
4.65: Correlate
151
4.7 Multiple Response
Analyze > Multiple Response,
.
. -
, 1 0 .
;, :
,
/ projector,
,
.
, ,
, .
4.66:
;
, Multiple Responses.
4.7.1 Analyze > Multiple Response > Define Multiple Response Sets
. Variables in Set
() .
Variables are coded Dichotomies
(1 - ).
152
( )
. Categories Range.
Multiple Response Sets,
Name.
153
OK,
-. 67 .
( ) ,
100% .
50% (15/30) ,
(15/67) 22,4%.
154
OK. .
4.8 Graphs
.
(plot) .
, .
:
.
.
.
Legacy Dialogs Chart Builder
.
Chart Builder, ,
,
.
Excel,
Legacy Dialogs .
.. Word, Powerpoint
Copy, Paste.
155
:
156
Data in Chart Are - .
Summaries for groups of cases -
.
Summaries of separate variables
.. .
Values of individual cases.
Define.
Simple Clustered
.
Simple
Bars Represent . :
N of cases: ().
% of cases: ( ).
Cum N: .
Cum %: .
Other statistic (.. mean):
Variable.
Category Axis
.
Titles , Options
(.. )
.
157
4.75: To menu Bar Chart > Simple >Options
OK :
158
Clustered
Define Clusters by
.
OK :
4.10 - Line
Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Line,
,
. ,
, . x
() (time) y (
.).
159
Simple, ,
Multiple, .
Data in Chart Are, .
Summaries for groups of cases -
.
Summaries of separate variables
.. .
Values of individual cases.
Define.
Simple Multiple
.
Simple
Line Represents . :
N of cases: ().
% of cases: ( ).
Cum N: .
Cum %: .
Other statistic (.. mean):
Variable.
Category Axis () . Titles
, Options
(.. ).
160
4.80: Line Charts > Simple
OK 4.40.
161
Multiple
Define Lines by (
) .
OK 4.42.
162
4.11 - Area
Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Area,
.
,
(line chart) .
.
Simple, ,
Stacked, .
Simple
Area Represents .
:
N of cases - ().
% of cases - ( ).
Cum N - .
Cum % - .
Other statistic (e.g. mean) -
Variable.
Category Axis () . Titles
, Options
(.. ).
163
4.85: Area Charts > Simple
OK 4.45.
Define Areas by
( ) .
164
4.87: Area Charts > Stacked
OK 4.47.
4. 12 () - Pie
Graphs > Legacy Dialogs >Pie,
.
.
, ( )
.
165
4.89: menu Pie Charts
Slices Represent .
:
N of cases - ().
% of cases - ( ).
Cum N - .
Cum % - .
Other statistic (e.g. mean) -
Variable.
166
Defined Slices by
. Titles .
, ,
.
OK, .
.
167
Data in Chart Are - .
Summaries for groups of cases -
.
Summaries of separate variables -
.. .
Values of individual cases.
Define.
Simple
High-Low-Close ,
, .. . Category Axis () .
Titles .
Statistic .
.
168
4.94: To menu High - Low Chart > Simple > Statistic
OK, 4.54.
Clustered
. Next.
169
4.96: High - Low Charts > Clustered
OK, 4.56.
4.14 - BoxPlots
Graphs > Legacy Dialogs >Box Plot,
-. - ( )
.
() Q1,
() Q3.
. ( ) Q3+1.5(Q3 -
Q1) ( ) Q1-1.5(Q3-Q1).
170
Simple,
Clustered, .
Data in Chart Are: .
Summaries for groups of cases:
.
Summaries of separate variables:
.. .
Define.
Simple
Variable .
Category Axis
. Label Cases by
, Subject ID. Titles
.
171
OK .
Clustered
( )
, Define Clusters by ( ) .
OK :
172
4.102: Boxplot > Clustered
173
4.103:
:
Simple Scatter:
.
Matrix Scatter: ,
.
Simple Dot:
. ,
.
.
Overlay Scatter.
3-D Scatter: .
Define.
Simple
Y Axis X Axis .
174
4.105: Scatter / Dot > Simple
, Label Cases by
.
.
OK .
Matrix Scatter
Matrix Variables
.
175
4.107: Scatterplot > Matrix Scatter
OK .
4.16 - Histogram
Graphs > Legacy Dialogs >Histogram,
. .
.
176
.
x ,
.
.
Variable , Display
normal curve .
4.109: Histogram
OK .
4.110: Histogram
177
Carver, R. & Nash, J. (2011). Doing Data Analysis with SPSS: Version 18.0. 5th Edition Easton Cengage
Learning.
Coakes, S. J. & Steed, L. G. (1999). SPSS: Analysis without anguish: Versions 7.0, 7.5, 8.0 for Windows.
Bresbane: Jacaranda Wiley.
Field, A. (2013). Discovering statistics using IBM SPSS statistics. London:Sage.
Huber, P. J. (1973). Robust regression: asymptotics, conjectures and Monte Carlo. The Annals of Statistics,
pp. 799-821.
Marques de Sa, J. P. (2007). Applied Statistics Using SPSS. STATISTICA, MATLAB and R, 2nd Edition, Porto:
Universitado de Porto
Norusis Marija, J. (2002). SPSS 11.0 Guide to data analysis. Upper Saddle River New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
178
5
,
( Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Frequencies > Charts,
Show normal curve on Histogram, Analyze Descriptive Statistics > Explore > Plots,
Histogram, Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Histogram), P-P plots ( Analyze >
Descriptive Statistics > P-P Plots, Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore > Plots,
Normality plots with tests), Q-Q Plots ( Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Q-Q
Plots, Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore > Plots). ) One-Sample
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) Test ( Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore > Plots
Normality plots with tests Analyze > Nonparametric tests > Legacy Dialogs
> 1 sample K-S), ) Shapiro-Wilk est Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore >
Plots Normality plots with tests).
.
3.
5.1
,
,
.
, - (
) . ,
().
:
,
.
5.2
(statistical hypothesis) (
, , , ..)
.
. (null hypothesis) H0.
H0: = 0. H0
(alternative hypothesis),
H1 : H1 : 0,
0 ( ).
1: < 0, 0 ( ).
1: > 0, 0 ( ).
179
.
0 H0,
0 . ,
H0 , H0.
H0 (rejection region) R.
H0
(1-) . (significance
level) . ,
R. = 5%.
p-value.
5.111: .
H0 (test statistic) .
: ,
,
.
: ,
,
, .
:
H0.
H1.
.
.
R H0.
.
1. H0,
. .
= P [ H0 | H0 ]
5.1
2. H0,
. .
180
= P [ H0 | H0 ]
5.2
(power) H0,
, . .
= 1 - = P[ H0 | H0 ]
5.3
5.3
,
.
.
, :
H o : f ( x) = N ( , 2 )
H1 : f ( x ) N ( , 2 )
5.5
, ,
P-P Q-Q plots. :
5.3.1
, :
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Frequencies > Charts, Show
normal curve on Histogram.
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore > Plots, Histogram.
Graphs > Legacy Dialogs > Histogram.
181
.
Test Distribution.
Variables ,
Test Distribution (Normal) .
,
: Student, Pareto, Weibull, Uniform ..
182
5.3.3 Q-Q Plots
:
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Q-Q Plots.
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Explore > Plots, Normality
plots with tests .
Q-Q plot ( Q quantile)
,
.
Q-Q ,
, ,
. ,
.
- .
Q-Q
.
, Q-Q plot y = x.
, ,
' y = x. Q-Q S ,
.
183
5.115: Q-Q plot
5.4
,
.
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Shapiro-Wilk.
, .
:
Kolmogorov-Smirnov
. .
:
Poisson Exponential ( )
5.1: -
184
5.116: To menu One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Options ,
, .
, ,
. 25, 50, 75 , . 1 , 2
() 3 .
185
5.118: To menu One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test-Options
5%, .
186
(weighted) 3-50.
,
3 5.000.
:
, ,
5%, .
187
Carver, R. & Nash, J. (2011). Doing Data Analysis with SPSS: Version 18.0. 5th Edition Easton Cengage
Learning.
Coakes, S. J. & Steed, L. G. (1999). SPSS: Analysis without anguish: Versions 7.0, 7.5, 8.0 for Windows.
Bresbane: Jacaranda Wiley.
Field, A. (2013). Discovering statistics using IBM SPSS statistics. London:Sage.
Huber, P. J. (1973). Robust regression: asymptotics, conjectures and Monte Carlo. The Annals of Statistics,
pp. 799-821.
Marques de Sa, J. P. (2007). Applied Statistics Using SPSS. STATISTICA, MATLAB and R, 2nd Edition, Porto:
Universitado de Porto
Norusis Marija, J. (2002). SPSS 11.0 Guide to data analysis. Upper Saddle River New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
188
6
. : T-Test ,
T-test , Mann-Whitney U, T-test
, Wilcoxon, Means, One-Way ANOVA
, Kruskall-Wallis, Two-Way ANOVA for Independent samples Friedman, 2 test, Mc
Nemar test.
. 6.2, 6.6. 6.11
Princeton (. ).
(.
). 6.14 .
(. ).
2, (
).
6.1 T-Test
Analyze > Compare Means > One-Sample T-test,
0.
:
H o : = 0
H1 : 0
6.1
, .
, t-student .
6.122:
189
1 . :
x 0
z=
/ n
6.2
H0 :
=
R { z > za /2 }
6.3
2 . , n 30:
x 0
z=
s/ n
6.4
H0 :
=
R { z > za /2 }
6.5
3 . , n < 30
x 0
t=
s/ n
6.6
H0 :
=
R { t > tn 1; a /2 }
6.7
190
Options
( ).
:
6.124: 1000
, ,
. 24.372,2 0
= 1.000. 5%,
(p-value = 0,005 < 0,05).
6.2 T-test
Analyze > Compare Means > Independent-Samples T-test,
,
. ,
.
: / .
.
H o : 1 = 2
H1 : 1 2
6.8
, ,
.
191
6.125: To menu Independent-Samples T-test
Test Variable(s) ,
Grouping Variable .
. M Define Groups
T-test.
Options
1-2.
.
(
) .
.
6.127:
6.128: T-test
.
T-test .
, .
,
Levene .
5% (p-value = 0,094>0,05),
T-test ,
192
(p-value = 0,769 > 0,05),
.
6.3 Mann-Whitney U
, .
Analyze > Non Parametric Tests > Independent-Samples.
Mann-Whitney
.
H o : WA = WB
H1 : WA WB
6.9
,
. ,
.
:
U = min(U A , U B )
6.10
:
nA (nA + 1)
UA =
nA nB + WA
2
n (n + 1)
UB =
nA nB + B B WB
2
6.11
( )
( ) ( )
.
.
193
6.129: To menu Nonparametric Tests: Two or More Independent-Samples
194
6.131: To menu Nonparametric Tests: Two or More Independent-Samples > Settings
Settings Mann-
Whitney U (2 samples).
RUN :
6.132:
195
6.133: Mann-Whitney U
5% (p-value
= 0,132 > 0,05), .
6.4 T-test
Analyze > Compare Means > Paired-Samples T-test,
,
(.. ). , ,
.
(correlated) .
,
( ).
.
Ho : d = 0
H1 : d 0
6.12
d
t= ~ t N 1
D
6.13
:
n
xi yi
d =
i =1 n
6.14
196
1
d = sd
N
6.15
t > t N-1.
,
, . .
Paired Variables Variable1 & Variable2
.
! Wide
Format. , . Restructure
.
Options
.
.
.
.
6.135:
197
6.136: T-test
5% (p-value < 0,001), ()
() ( ).
6.5 Wilcoxon
T-test .
Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Related Samples.
Wilcoxon
.
:
T = min(T + , T )
6.16
:
+:
-: ( ).
198
6.138: To menu Nonparametric Tests: Two or More Independent-Samples > Fields
Test Fields
.
Settings Wilcoxon
matched-pair signed-rank (2 samples).
RUN :
199
6.140:
6.141: Wilcoxon
6.6 Means
Analyze > Compare Means > Means,
.
Dependent List
Independent List .
Options
Cell Statistics.
200
6.143: To menu Means > Options
OK :
6.144: Means
,
.
:
/ :
6.17
201
.
() .
, T-
test ,
. , :
k
2
6.18
k , T-test
( ),
k.
: = 5% / k.
.
T-test F-test.
:
= SSbg + SS wg
SST
6.19
:
k ni
=SST (X
=i 1 =j 1
ij X )2
6.20
.
1 k ni
X= X ij
N=i 1 =j 1
6.21
:
N = n1 + ... + nk
6.22
k ni
=SS wg (X
=i 1 =j 1
ij X i )2
6.23
202
, .
(within groups).
k ni
=SSbg (X
=i 1 =j 1
i X )2
6.24
,
(between groups).
:
6.25:
6.26:
,
.
H o : 1= 2= ...= =
H1 : 0<i<j k: i j
6.27
:
MSSbg
F= ~ Fk 1, N k
MSS wg
6.28
203
MSSbg, , MSSwg, .
F>Fk-1,k;a.
6.24.
20 4
, .
.
Dependent List / / / (..
) Factor .
.
Options , :
Descriptive, ( , ,
, 95% .. , ) .
Fixed and Random Effects,
.
Homogeneity of variance test,
. Levene.
.
Kruskal-Wallis, Brown-Forsythe Welch.
Means Plot, .
Missing Values, .
204
6.147: To menu One-way ANOVA > Options
One-way ANOVA ,
.
, ( ).
, , :
pairwise multiple comparisons tests range tests
(Tukey, Hochbergs GT2, Gabriel, Scheffe),
(Bonferroni,
Sidak, Dunnett C, LSD-Least Significant Difference).
Tukey.
205
Tukey Test
k
, :
H o : L = S
H1 : L S
6.29
Q :
XL XS
Q=
MSS wg
N p/s
6.30
XS
.
Q > Q,
Q ~ (k, dfwg).
, Np/s,
:
k
N p/s =
1 1
+ ... +
n1 nk
6.31
206
6.149:
,
ANOVA F-test,
(p-value = 0,005),
.
,
.
Post Hoc Multiple Comparisons.
6.151:
207
6.152: Tukey
Multiple Comparisons
, .
Tukey test :
MSS wg 7, 27
= = 1.2058
N p/s 5
6.32
MSS wg
X L X S < Qa 3.82 < 4.88
N p/s
6.33
H0 .
1 & 3:
MSS wg
X L X S < Qa 6.36 > 4.88
N p/s
6.34
H o ...
Homogeneous Subsets
.
208
4,3 2 1 ,
4 3 2 1.
6.153:
6.8 Kruskall-Wallis H
Analyze > Non parametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > k
Independent Samples, ,
.
One-Way ANOVA, .
, .
k
. One-way ANOVA
, .
Mann-Whitney U k .
(. )
.
(rank). :
k R 2j
SS k =
j =1 nj
6.35
:
nj
R j = rij
i =1
6.36
j-,
:
k nj
SS r = rij2
=j 1 =i 1
6.37
209
.
:
k R 2
12
=H j
N ( N + 1) j =1 n j
3( N + 1) ~ X k21
6.38
: H > X2k-1;a
210
6.155: menu ruska -Wallis H > Options
6.156:
6.157: .
6.158: Kruskal-Wallis
ruskal-Wallis (p-
value = 0,026).
Kruskall-Wallis ,
.
, ( ).
211
Mann-Whitney U test ,
( Bonferroni).
X1 ( )
X2 ( ), Y. , :
X1 Y.
X2 Y.
(interaction) X1 X2.
X1 Y
X2 .
, F-test.
X1 r X2 c .
Yijk.
:
i = 1, , r: X1,
j = 1, , c: X2,
k = 1, , NT: .
:
= ij + ijk
Yijk
6.39
:
ijk ~ N (0, 2 )
6.40
:
:
yijk ~ N ( ij , 2 )
6.41
212
6.42
,
. 40
. (0 1
). Y .
ANOVA-able :
1: .
2: , :
(Y )
2
= Y
2 i
SS i
N
= SSbg + SS wg
SST
SS wg = SS g1 + SS g 2 + SS g 3 + SS g 4
=
SS bg SST SS wg
SSbg = SS r + SSc + SS IN
6.43
r,
c .
3: :
df r = r 1
df c = c 1
df IN =(r 1)(c 1)
df=
T NT 1
= df=
df error wg NT rc
dfbg= rc 1
=
df T df wg + dfbg
dfbg = df r + df c + df IN
6.44
4: :
213
MS wg , MS r , MSc , MS IN ( MS rc )
SS r
MSS r =
df r
SSc
MSSc =
df c
SS IN SS wg
=
MSS IN MSS
= error =
MSS wg .
df IN df wg
6.45
5: F-tests:
1) F-test X1 Y .
:
H0: .
H1: .
MSS r
Fr =
MSSE
6.46
H0 :
Fr > Fr 1, NT rc;a
6.47
2) F-test X2 .
:
H0: .
H1: .
MSSc
Fc =
MSSE
6.48
H0 :
Fc > Fc 1, NT rc ;a
6.49
3) F-test X1 X2.
:
H0: .
H1: .
214
MSS IN
FIN =
MSSE
6.50
H0 :
FIN > F( r 1)( c 1), NT rc;a
6.51
Save
, (residuals) ,
. :
Predicted Values:
.
Unstandardized: .
Weighted: .
.
Standard error:
.
Diagnostics: . ..
.
Cook's distance: .
Leverage values: ()
.
215
6.160: To menu Univariate > Save
Residuals: ,
.
Unstandardized: .
Weighted: .
.
Standardized: . ,
1.
Studentized:
.
Deleted:
.
.
Coefficient Statistics: -
. , ,
T-test
.
.
().
216
6.161: menu Univariate > Options
Options ()
(fixed effects). :
Estimated Marginal Means:
. ,
.
(custom) .
Compare main effects:
,
.
Display Means For.
Confidence interval adjustment:
. LSD,
Bonferroni, Sidak. Compare main
effects.
Display , :
Descriptive statistics: ,
.
Estimates of effect size: 2
. 2
.
Observed power:
.
Parameter estimates: ,
, t tests, (p-values) .
Homogeneity tests: Levene ()
. , Box's M test
.
217
Spread-versus-level: ,
.
Residual plots: , ..
, ,
.
Lack of fit:
.
General estimable function: (custom)
.
Significance level:
(.. post hoc tests, ).
(p-value).
:
6.162:
6.163:
218
6.164: ANOVA Table
6.165: (b)
6.10 Friedman
Analyze > Non parametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > Related
Samples, .
Repeated Measures ANOVA, .
.
sign test k .
(rank)
.
:
k R 2
12
=T j
nk (k + 1) j =1 n j
3h(k + 1) ~ X k21
219
6.52
:
nj
R j = rij
i =1
6.53
j -.
:
T > X k21;a
6.54
6.166: menu Non parametric Tests: Two or More Related Samples > Step 1 Objective
220
6.167: menu Non parametric Tests: Two or More Related Samples > Step 2 Fields
Test Fields :
6.168: menu Non parametric Tests: Two or More Related Samples > Step 3 Settings
221
Cohrans Q (k samples): k
(.. ) .
Mc Nemar Test.
:
6.169:
6.170:
6.171: Friedman
, .
6.11 X2-test
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs,
.
(contingency table) .
:
H0: & ,
.
H1: & ,
.
:
222
r c (oi j ei j ) 2
X =
2
~ X (2r 1)( c 1);a
=i 1 =j 1 ei j
6.55
:
Oij: eij: ,
,
.
:
80% 5
2 , SPSS
Fishers xact est.
,
. :
Row(s) Column(s).
.
Cell Expected
. Cell . Crosstabs >
Cell.
Statistics Chi-square .
Statistics . Crosstabs > Statistics.
223
6.173: menu Crosstabs > Cell
224
6.175:
. ,
(199) / 36.
6.176: 2
2 ( ).
,
, .
, , 2x2 ,
, .. OR (Odds Ratio).
225
6.178: ,
,
.
.
6.179: 2x2
OR ,
,
, :
P( D + | E + ) a / (a + c) a
P( D | E + ) c / (a + c) ad
=
OR = = c=
P( D | E ) b / (b + d ) b bc
+
P( D | E ) d / (b + d ) d
6.56
OR = 1
.
OR = > 1 ,
. , OR
,
.
OR = < 1 ,
1- .
, R = 1,143
1,143
.
226
6.12 Mc Nemar test
Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs, Mc
Nemar Statistics.
,
. T-test
.
:
6.180: 2x2
:
H0:
H1:
H :
(d1 d 2 ) 2
X2 = ~ X 1:2a
d1 + d 2
6.57
Yates:
(| d1 d 2 | 1) 2
X2 = ~ X 1:2a
d1 + d 2
6.58
:
X 2 > X 1:a
2
6.59
227
6.181: menu Crosstabs
Statistics Mc Nemar .
:
6.182:
6.183:
.
(p-value = 0,041 < 0,05),
.
: Wide Format,
Weight Cases (. ).
228
6.184: Wide Format
(Counts)
Observed:
/ / /.
Expected:
/ / /.
(Percentages)
Row: (%)
.
Column: (%)
.
229
Total: (%)
.
(Residuals)
Unstandardized:
.
Standardized:
.
Adjusted standardized: .
2 ,
,
0 1. ,
1,96 ( 2,0)
,
, 0,05.
-2,0
, . ,
,
,
. 2x2,
, 2 .
Noninteger Weights: ,
. ,
(.. 1,25),
.
,
.
:
Round Cell Counts:
,
.
Truncate Cell Counts:
,
.
. ,
1,4142 1,4987 1,4.
Round Case Weights:
.
Truncate Case Weights:
.
No adjustments: .
, . ,
(
Exact tests),
.
230
6.14 : Crosstabs > Statistics
Statistics
.
X2
=
n
6.60
Pearson (Pearsons coefficient of mean square contigency). 2x2
-1, 1 .
231
V (Crammer, 1946) IxJ
I, J > 2 :
2
V=
q 1
6.61
:
q = min{I , J }
6.62
. V [0,1] V = 1
.
V 0.
Lambda: (Goodman & Kruskal, 1954)
, ,
. [0,1], = 0,
, = 1,
.
Uncertainty coefficient: U (Theils uncertainty coefficient,
1972) ,
(entropy coefficient).
( ).
[0,1], U = 0 , U = 1,
. , U =
0,83 ,
83%.
.
Ordinal:
. :
Gamma: (Goodman & Kruskal, 1954)
, (concordant)
(discordant). [-1, 1], = 1 = -1
, = 0 .
Somers' d: D (Somers, 1962)
. Gamma,
(ties) .
[-1, 1], D = 1
,
( ), D = -1
,
.
Kendall's tau-b: (Kendall, 1938) ,
. b
(ties). [-1, 1],
, .
232
Kendall's tau-c: (Kendall, 1938) ,
. c, ,
(ties). [-1, 1],
, .
Nominal by Interval:
() .
Eta: .
[0, 1], = 0 = 1
1, .
(.. )
, (.. ).
Kappa: k Cohen
.
[0, 1], 1 .
(string numeric) .
Risk: , 2x2
. ( )
.
1,
/.
.
McNemar:
,
. T-test
, . .
Cochran's and Mantel-Haenszel statistics:
Cochran Mantel-Haenszel
,
().
,
Cochran Mantel-Haenszel .
233
, . (2010). .
, , .
Cramr, H. (1946). Mathematical Methods of Statistics (Princeton New Jersey: Princeton Mathematical
Series, NJ, pp. 367-369.
Goodman, L. A. & Kruskal, W. H. (1954). Measures of association for cross classifications. Journal of the
American Statistical Association, 49(268), pp. 732-764.
Kendall, M. G. (1938). A new measure of rank correlation. Biometrika, pp. 81-93.
Somers, R. H. (1962). A new asymmetric measure of association for ordinal variables. American Sociological
Review, pp. 799-811.
Theil, H. (1972). Statistical decomposition analysis; with applications in the social and administrative
sciences Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Company.
Yule, G. U. (1912). On the methods of measuring association between two attributes. Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society, (75-76) pp. 579-652.
IBM Knowledge Center. Retrieved August 30, 2015 from http://www-
01.ibm.com/support/knowledgecenter/SSLVMB_20.0.0/com.ibm.spss.statistics.help/idh_glmu_sav.ht
m
234
7
,
.
.
. (solar.sav carcrash.sav)
,
( . ).
,
.
, (
), Student, X2 ,
.
Carver Nash, , , Coakes Steed,
Field, Norusis, Howit Cramer Montgomery and Peck .. (. ).
3-6
SPSS.
:
, x , 0 , .
x = 0, 1 , i (i) = 0,
E(Yi) = 0 + 1x.
235
Yi. xi
:
+ x
Y=i 0 1 i
7.2
Y=
i Yi + i
7.3
7.187:
,
, ( i)
. , 0 1
.
(-residuals).
2
n n n
e=i2
=i 1 =i 1
(Yi Y i )= =i 1
[Yi ( 0 + 1 xi )]2
7.4
,
2x2 , :
n
(X i X )(Yi Y )
1 = i =1
n
(X
i =1
i X )2
7.5
0= Y 1 X
7.6
236
(Y = 0 + 1xi),
(dependent) (independent) X.
: Y X, :
H 0 : 1 = 0
7.7
: Y X, :
H1 : 1 0
7.8:
(1-)% H0 :
1
T=
s.e.( 1 )
7.9
t- n-2 (T-test). : H0 :
T > tn 2;a /2
7.10:
(intercept) 0 .
, (SST), :
n
(Y Y )
i =1
i
2
7.11
:
n n n n
=i 1 =i 1
(Yi Y )= [(Yi Yi ) + (Yi Y )]=2
2
=i 1 =i 1
(Yi Yi )2 + (Yi Y )2
7.12
:
n
2 (Yi Y )(Yi Yi ) =
0
i =1
7.13
237
(regression sum of squares):
n
=
SSR (Y Y )
i =1
i
2
7.14
7.15
:
= SSR + SSE
SST
7.16
.
.
,
(coefficient of determination) :
SSR SST SSE SSE
R2 = = = 1
SST SST SST
7.17
. R2 = 0,78 78%
22% .
R2
.
(adjusted coefficient of the termination) :
SSE
n 1
R 2 adj =1 n 2 =1 (1 R 2 )
SST n2
n 1
7.18
238
nested .
(ANOVA-able).
ANOVA-able
SS MS
Source
( Df (..) ( F Prob > F
( )
) )
n
(Y Y )
Regression MSR
() =
SSR i
2 1 MSR = SSR F= P( F > F1,n 2;a )
i =1 MSE
n
Residuals
()
=
SSE (Y Y )
i i
2
n-2 MSE =
SSE
i =1 n2
n
(Y Y )
Total
() =
SST i
2 n-1
i =1
7.1: F-test
,
.
:
SSR (n 2) MSE
= ~ 2n 2
2 2
7.19
0 = 0 :
SSR
~ 12
2
7.20
:
MSR
F= ~ F1,n 2;a
MSE
7.21
F- X Y (
) :
n
2 + 12 ( xi x ) 2
E ( MSR ) =
i =1
7.22
239
:
=
E ( MSE (S 2 ) 2
) E=
7.23
. 1 0 (slope),
MSR MSE 2. :
MSR
<1
MSE
7.24
X Y :
MSR
>1
MSE
7.25
(1 0). F- X
Y :
H0:
7.26
H1:
7.27
MSR
F= ~ F1,n 2;a
MSE
7.28
H0 :
F > F1,n 2;a
7.29
F-test T-test .
T2 = F T~tn-2; FF1,n-2;.
(Multiple Linear Regression)
.
Y=
i 0 + 1 xi
7.30
240
:
Yi = 0 + 1 X i1 + ... + p 1 X i , p 1 + i i = 1,..., n
7.31
j, j = 1,, p-1 (
xij) :
Yi = 0 + 1 X i + 2 X i 2 + i i =
1,..., n
7.32:
Yi = 0 + 1 X i1 + 2 X i 2 + 3 X i 3 + i i =
1,..., n
7.33:
.
. n :
Y1 0 X 10 + 1 X 11 + ... + p 1 X 1, p 1 + 1
=
Y2 0 X 20 + 1 X 21 + ... + p 1 X 2, p 1 + 2
=
.......
Yn 0 X n 0 + 1 X n1 + ... + p 1 X n , p 1 + n
=
7.34
Y1 0 1
Y
2 1 2
. . .
= X + Y= X +
. . .
. . .
Yn p 1 n
7.35
X 10 X 11 ... X 1, p 1
X 20 X 21 ... X 2, p 1
X =
... ... ... ...
X n 0 X n1 ... X n , p 1
7.36: (Design Matrix)
241
, :
, = 1, , 1,
7.37
n n 2
SSE ( )= i 2=
=i 1 =i 1
Yi ( 0 + 1 X i1 + 2 X i 2 + 3 xi 3 + i ... + p 1 X i , p 1
(Y X )T (Y X )
=
7.38
p p .
:
X = Y X T X = X T Y = ( X T X ) 1 X T Y
7.39
pxp
:
ANOVA-able
Source SS MS
Df
( ( ( F Prob > F
(..)
) ) )
7.2: F-
F- (overall F-test)
, , F- . :
H 0 : 0= 1= ...= p 1= 0
7.40
:
1 : 0, = 1, , 1
7.41
242
:
MSR SSR / ( p 1)
=F = ~ Fp 1,n p ;a
MSE SSE / (n p )
7.42
0 :
7.43
SSR .
Yi
, .
, SS (2 | 1) X2
, Y X2
X1.
partial F-tests.
X1. Y (
).
X2
Y X1,
partial F-test. :
SSR( 1 , 2 ) SSR( 1 ) /1
F=
SSR( 1 , 2 ) / (n p )
7.45
:
[ SSR( *1 , *2 ,..., *k , 1 ,..., p ) SSR( 1 ,..., p )] / k
F ( X *1 , X *2 ,..., X * p / X 1 , X 2 ,..., X p ) =
SSR( *1 , *2 ,..., *k , 1 ,..., p ) / (n p k 1)
7.46
, p
, Y T-test.
243
:
H0 : p = 0
7.47
:
H1 : p 0
7.48
p
T= ~ tn p 2
s.e.( p )
7.49
H0 :
T > tn p 2;a
7.50
:
T 2 = partialF ( X * | X 1 ,..., X p )
7.51
1. : Yi
(
).
2. : Yi X1, X2. ., Xp-1
:
Y /X , X
1 2 ,..., X p 1
= 0 + 1 X i1 + ... + p 1 X i , p 1
244
7.53
i ~ N ( |1 ,..., 1 , 2 ) i ~ N (0, 2 )
7.55
:
1. :
=i Yi Yi
7.56
2.
2. 1, ., n :
i j : Cov( i , j ) =0
7.57
3. Yi :
E (Yi ) = 0 + 1 xi =Y / X
7.58
2 Yi Yj I j .
4. i N(0, 2), i
.
().
,
.
. ,
, .
.
245
() :
predictors Xi, i= 1, , k,
( ),
.
- predictors k + 1 = n ( n
), .
predictors :
SSE
R2 =
1 =
1,
SST
7.59
.
n-k-1 > 10.
n > 5k n 10k. , 50 predictors
k = 5 k-10.
predictors Xi.
:
Y = 0 + 1 X 1 + ... + p X p + ... + k X k +
7.60
:
Y = 0 + 1 X 1 + ... + p X p + ... + : p k
7.61
:
) R:
SSE
R 2 (Y | X1 ,..., X p ) = 1
SST
7.62
. :
SSE / (n p 1) n 1
R 2 adj = =1 (1 R 2 )( )
SST / (n 1) n p 1
7.62
R2 .
) F- :
[ SSE( p ) SSE( k ) ] /(k p ) SSE( k )
Fp = MSE( k ) =
MSE( k ) n k 1
246
7.63
Fp , k-p
predictors F(k-p)(,n-k-1) .
) :
SSE( p )
MSE( p ) =
n p 1
7.64
.
) C p Mallow s :
SSE( p )
=
Cp [n 2( p + 1)]
2
7.65
: Y :
2 = MSE( k )
7.66
MSE(k), Cp = k+1
. p- MSE(k)
Cp p+1.
. , :
( R 2 k R 2 p ) / (k p)
Fp =
(1 R 2 k ) / (n k 1)
7.67
C p = (k p ) Fp + (2 p k + 1)
7.68
(reliability) (split-sample ):
, ,
:
) , (training sample)
(validation sample).
)
Y1 = 0 + 1 X 1 + ... + p X p
7.69
247
:
{Yi1}i =1
n1
7.70
ni Yi :
=R 2 (1) R=
2
(Y1 / X 1 , X 2 ,..., X p ) r 2 (Y1 , Y1 )
7.71
) :
0 , 1 , ......, p
7.72
Yi
:
R 2 (2) = r 2 (Y2 , Y2 )
7.73
split-sample
. ,
, .
SPSS, Analyze >
Regression > Linear Regression.
248
Dependent , Independent(s)
. Method
. :
Enter:
.
Stepwise: forward,
(
), backward. 1,
p-value
. p-valueOUT < p < p-valueIN
. 2, , III partial F-tests
(adjusted)
. p-value p-
valueIN . 3, , partial F-tests
. p-value p-valueOUT
. B 3
.
B 2
.
Remove: ( )
.
Backward:
. 1
p-value
( 10%). 2, partial F-tests.
3, p-value p-value 1
. 4,
,
. , ,
( ) 2
.
Forward: .
1, p-value .
2, ,
. 3, F
2. 4, p-value F-
test p-value 1 ,
. 5,
, partial F-tests
(controlling) . , 4
.
(optimum) ,
.
(Reliability): Y
Y (be reliable).
(accurate) Y
.
249
(Validity): Y Xi
, (valid)
.
Selection Variable Rule
.
Statistics
. :
Estimates: ,
, , T-test
.
Confidence intervals:
,
Level.
Covariance matrix: -
.
, .
Model fit: /
, ,
R2, R2,
ANOVA.
R squared change: R2
.
,
.
Descriptives:
, , .
, .
Part and Partial Correlations: , .
.
250
,
.
Collinearity diagnostics:
. (Collinearity) (multicollinearity)
.
, .
, ,
,
.
,
XX , XX
,
:
= ( ' ) 1 '
7.74:
(Variance inflation factor-VIF),
.
. VIF > 5
.
.
Durbin-Watson: Durbin-Watson
().
Yt Yt-1, t
. serial correlation
Durbin-Watson test.
d < dL d > 4-dL .
d < du d > 4-du .
.
Casewise Diagnostics:
, (
).
(outliers) (influential-points).
(outliers) pattern
. ,
, ,
.
Cooks distance.
Cooks distance . Save.
Plots
, .
(Yi) patterns .
(Yi)
(Yi), ,
.
251
7.190: menu Linear Regression > Plots
,
Next Previous.
7.191: ( )
:
, .
(will funneling) Yi
.
7.192:
.
pattern
( , curvilinear) .
252
7.193:
. roughly
. ,
.
7.194: i
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Shapiro-Wilks, Q-Q P-P plots (
). , Q-Q P-P plots
, Histogram Normal Probability Plots, .
Save , ,
.
.
Predicted Values :
Unstandardized: , .
.
Standardized: ,
, ,
.
.
Adjusted: ,
.
S.E. of mean predictions: (
).
253
7.195: menu Linear Regression > Save
(Residuals) :
Unstandardized:
.
=i Yi Yi
7.75
Standardized:
.
i
=zi = E ( i ) 0
= Var ( i ) 1
s
7.76
Studentized: ,
,
.
i
ri =
s 1 hi
7.77
254
Deleted:
2,
i- .
i
ri ' =
S(i ) 1 hi
7.78
S2(i) 2
n-1 , . i- .
Studentized deleted: deleted .
Studentized deleted Studentized
.
Distances
,
. :
Mahalanobis:
.
Mahalanobis
.
Cooks:
.
i i- .
j
j(-i) studentized (ri) leverages (hi)
:
1 2 hi i 2 hi
=di = i
r
p + 1 1 hi ( p + 1) s (1 hi )
2
7.79
,
, .
di > 1 .
Leverage values: ( hii) H = X(X
X)-1 X (leverage). ,
. hij > 2p/n
.
Prediction Intervals
. Confidence
Interval.
Mean:
.
Individual:
.
255
Influence Statistics DfBeta (s)
(DfFit) .
:
DfBeta(s): B
.
,
.
Standardized DfBeta(s): .
2 /
.
DfFit:
.
Standardized DfFit: .
2 /
.
Covariance Ratio: ,
,
. 1,
.
Options :
Stepping Method Criteria:
,
(forward, backward stepwise).
Use Probability of F
F-test Use F Value. ,
(Entry)
(Removal). ,
F-test F-test ,
.
256
,
R2 .
, .
SPSS
solar.sav (. )
= 29 .
( = kwatts/m2). :
X1 (watts/m2),
X2 - (inches),
X3 - (inches),
X4 - (inches),
X5 - H ( ).
7.2.
. ,
:
7.197:
7.198:
257
p-value
, . , .
Ho : p = 0
H1 : p 0
7.80
1%
:
1 - 4: (watts/m2) (inches),
1 - 5: (watts/m2) ( ),
3 - 5: (inches) ( ),
4 - 5: (inches) ( ).
,
(T-test p-value = 0,199),
3 4 .
, ,
/ .
7.199:
Regression Equation
:
(kwatts/m2) = 324,6 + 0,067 (watts/m2) + 2,56 (inches)
+ 3,82 (inches) - 22,93 (inches) + 2,39 ( ).
, 00:00 ( ),
324.6 kwatts/m2.
2,56 kwatts/m2 .
,
3,82 kwatts/m2 22,93 kwatts/m2, .
10 watts
6,73 kwatts/m2. , 1
.
T-test ,
(p-value = 0,199 > 0,05) 5%,
(p-value = 0,052 >,05) 5%.
258
7.200: ANOVA Table
7.201:
7.202:
(tolerance) VIF
. VIF > 5
.
.
7.203:
259
7.204:
260
7.206:
,
.
, .. ,
Chart editor > Elements > Fit line at Total.
7.207:
Cook,
. 4
.
7.208: Cook
261
(added variable plot) (partial
residual plot).
:
X1 (watts/m2),
X2 - (inches),
X3 - (inches),
X4 - (inches),
X5 - H ( ).
,
1-4, (RESI1).
,
5 1-4.
(RESI2).
.
. 5
.
7.209: (5)
,
1-5, (RESI3).
:
= 2,39
5
7.81
262
(RESI4) : RESI4 = RESI3 + (2,39 *
5).
(5).
7.210: (5)
:
p
log( i )
1 pi
7.83
.
:
e 0 + 11 + 2 2 +...+ k k
pi =
1 + e 0 + 11 + 2 2 +...+ k k
7.84
(maximum likelihood method) .
, , ,
, , . e.
e.
( 7.83)
.
263
(.. 0 =
1 = ). :
p pA
log( A ) = 0 + 1 = e 0 + 1
1 pA 1 pA
7.85
, :
p p
log( ) =0 e 0
=
1 p 1 p
7.86
.
(odds ratio)
, .:
pA
1 p A e 0 + 1
= = e 1
p e 0
1 p
7.87
, ,
, .
:
H o : = 0
: 0
1
7.88
(1-)% H0 :
i
s.e.( i )
7.89
Wald, ,
X2- 1 .
X21;/2.
,
Deviance ( likelihood ratio test) :
D=
2{l2 l1 )
7.90
264
:
l2
2.
l1
H 1. 2
(nested) 1, X2 k-p-1 .
,
, .
Analyze > Regression > Binary Logistic.
Dependent , Covariates
. Method
. :
Enter:
.
Forward Selection (Conditional):
.
,
.
Forward Selection (Likelihood Ratio):
.
,
.
Forward Selection (Wald):
.
,
Wald.
Backward Elimination (Conditional):
.
.
265
Backward Elimination (Likelihood Ratio):
.
.
Backward Elimination (Wald):
.
Wald.
Selection Variable
.
Categorical
. , ,
.
, (velocity)
,
, Categorical
Covariates Contrast = Indicator.
:
Indicator: ,
-, 1
0.
k , k-1 .
.
Simple: -,
.
( )
.
Difference: ,
,
. Helmert.
Helmert: ,
,
.
266
Repeated: ,
,
.
Polynomial: ,
, ,
.
.
Deviation:
.
Deviation, Simple, Indicator,
(First) (Last) Reference Category.
Save
, , .
.
(Predicted Values) :
Probabilities:
.
.
Predicted Group membership: ,
.
(Influence) :
Cooks: ,
.
Leverage Values:
.
DfBeta(s):
.
, .
267
(Residuals) :
Unstandardized Residuals: , .
.
Logit Residual:
p(1-p), p .
Studentized Residual: deviance ,
.
Standardized Residuals: , Pearson,
.
p (1 p )
7.91
Deviance: deviance .
Options.
Classification plots: .
Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit: ,
(goodness-of-fit),
.
.
Correlations of estimates: .
CI for exp(B): e.
(At each step)
(At last step).
Probability for Stepwise:
,
(forward, backward stepwise). ,
( , .. likelihood ratio
statistic) (Entry),
(Removal).
268
Classification cutoff:
/ .
,
.
Maximum Iterations:
.
Include constant in model:
.
carcrash.sav (. )
= 58 . :
7.215:
.
.
.
7.216:
.
0 1,
Categorical > Reference Category, 0
() 1 .
7.217:
269
19-65 40 ,
40 - 61 km/h 50 km/h, 58-268 m/sec2,
123 m/sec2.
7.218:
:
p
log( )=
15.054 + 0.171age + 0.146velocity + 0.016acceleration
1 p
7.92
:
1 18,6%
. odds ratio (1,186 - 1) * 100 = 18,6%.
( 10 ),
5,53
.
10 km/h, 4,3
.
10 m/sec2, 1,173
.
,
(p-value < 0,001) Wald.
odds ratio.
7.219: -
Nagelkerke R 61%
.
270
7.220:
,
82,8%. 30/34 =
88,2% 18/24=75%. (PPV-Positive Predictive Value)
30/36=83,3% (NPV-Negative Predictive Value)
18/22=81,8%.
,
, .
(cutoff) 0,5
.
Options.
7.221:
Hosmer-Lemeshow
,
()
. .
7.222: Cook .
Cook ,
.
271
7.223: Leverage
:
2 p 23
Leverage > 0,103 [= = ]
n 58
7.93
7.224:
,
. .
ROC Curve
(ROC-Receiver Operating Characteristic).
(TPR-
True Positive Rate), (FPR-False Positive Rate)
. ,
1- (se-sensitivity), (sp-specificity)
. ROC se 1-sp.
Analyze > ROC Curve.
Test Variable
Save > Probabilities .
State Variable () ,
272
, Value of State Variable
.
273
(area under curve)
,
. 0 1,
, .
0,90-1 > .
0,80-0,90 > .
0,70-0,80 > .
0,60-0,70 > .
0,50-0,60 > .
0-0,5 > .
3 p-value
, 4 5 95%
.
274
Carver, R. & Nash, J. (2011). Doing Data Analysis with SPSS: Version 18.0. 5th Edition Easton Cengage
Learning.
Coakes, S. J. & Steed, L. G. (1999). SPSS: Analysis without anguish: Versions 7.0, 7.5, 8.0 for Windows.
Bresbane: Jacaranda Wiley.
Field, A. (2013). Discovering statistics using IBM SPSS statistics. London:Sage.
Marques de Sa, J. P. (2007). Applied Statistics Using SPSS. STATISTICA, MATLAB and R, 2nd Edition, Porto:
Universitado de Porto
Montgomery, D. C. & Peck, E. A. (1992). Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis. New York: Wiley-
Interscience Publication. New York, USA.
Norusis Marija, J. (2002). SPSS 11.0 Guide to data analysis. Upper Saddle River New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
IBM Knowledge Center. Retrieved August 30, 2015 from http://www-
01.ibm.com/support/knowledgecenter/SSLVMB_20.0.0/com.ibm.spss.statistics.help/idh_glmu_sav.ht
m
275
Exit-polls Exit-polls
F F distribution
F F statistic
Hosmer - Lemeshov
Hosmer - Lemeshov goodness of fit
Shapiro-Wilks Shapiro-Wilks
276
T
t t distribution
t t statistic
Cumulative percent
Outlier
Accuracy
Interaction
Reductionism
Analysis of variance
Factor Analysis
Expected value
() Independent (Variable)
Reliability
Rejection area
Autocorrelate
Degrees of freedom
277
Linear Interpolation
Linear Trend
Line Chart
Area plot
Sample
Sample Survey
Convenience sampling
Cluster sampling
Judgement sampling
Snowball sampling
() Indicator (Variable)
Polls
() Discrete (Variable)
Variance
Median
Confidence Interval
Ordinal Variables
Intercept
Double sampling
Validity
Test of Significance
Test statistic
278
Nested model
Alternative Hypothesis
Interquartile range
Conceptualization
() Dependent (Variable)
nduction
Mode
Level of significance
Epistimology
Content research
Questionnaire
Range
Emic perspective
Etic perspective
Positivism
Box - Plot
Idiographic approach
Histogram
Normal distribution
() Nominal (Variable)
Slope
279
Pie Chart
Logistic regression
Odds ratio
Cohort study
Panel study
Trend study
Partial Correlation
, Mean
Variables
- Post-testing
Measures of variability
Kurtosis measures
Measures of skewness
Unobtrusive research
Nominal Variables
Non parametric
Null Hypothesis
Units of analysis
Leverage
Nomothetic approach
Trimmed Mean
280
Occam's Razor
Ecological fallacy
Control Group
Focus groups
Homoscedacity
Regression
Deduction
Parametric
Influential points
Experimental Group
Experimental Designs
Descriptive Statistics
Quota sampling
- Covariance matrix
Frequency table
Contigency table
Population
Qualitive Variables
Multiple regression
ulticollinearity
Percentiles
Percent
Quantitive Variables
Pre-testing
281
Bar Chart
Inferential Statistics
Statistic
Stratified sampling
Stoic philosophers
Collinearity
Link function
Covariance
() Scale (Variable)
Skewness Coefficient
Kurtosis Coefficient
Coefficient of variation
Variability coefficient
Coefficient of determination
Systematic sampling
Correlation
Error
Relative frequency
Matching
Quartiles
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
Standard error
282
Random variable
Randomizing
Residual
Phenomenology
Dummy (Variable)
283