NOVA SCOTIA - MAY 10-11, 2017
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
1,000 Nova Scotians from May 10-11, 2017 through
Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened to
conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the
2011 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 3.1
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Halax
CMA specic results, the margin of error is 4.76
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Rest of
Nova Scotia specic results, the margin of error is
4.08 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The
response rate for this survey was 4%.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montral: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
 EMBARGOED UNTIL: MAY 14, 2017

NS LIBERALS DIP SLIGHTLY AS CAMPAIGN CONTINUES

May 14, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/iPolitics poll nds the Nova Scotia Liberals continue to lead
though they have dropped slightly, within the margin of error, provincially. The Mainstreet/iPolitics poll has
a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The Liberals have had some missteps this week, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.
While they have dipped outside the Greater Halifax area, they have gained within Halifax itself. The Liberals
now hold 10 point leads both within and outside the Greater Halifax area - this a trend the PCs and NDP will
need to reverse if they are to make seat gains - the rst past the post system rewards support that is
concentrated.

Amond Decided & Leaning Voters: Liberals 40% (-2), PCs 30% (+1), NDP 24% (-1), Greens 5% (+1)

The undecided rate has remained more or less stable this week with 24% of Nova Scotians telling us that
they still have yet to decide who they will mark a ballot for. We dont expect this number to shift
signicantly until the leaders debate. The upcoming televised debate will be the best opportunity for the
opposition leaders to introduce themselves to Nova Scotians. Expect the party leaders to take some time
o the campaign trail as they prepare themselves for what will be the campaigns biggest engagement.

The campaign dynamics so far point to a Liberal campaign that is doing well despite some early missteps
- but this is not a narrative the Liberals can allow to continue if they want to stay in the lead. For now, it
does not appear the PCs and NDP have been able to shake up the campaign in a real way. We see in the
polling numbers that while there is some movement, some of it can be ascribed to the randomness of
polling. Time is running out, with Election Day less than 18 days away, candidates of all parties will need to
focus their attention on identifying their supporters and getting out their vote.

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

Among All Voters
 HALIFAX CMA NON-HALIFAX CMA

Bedford Annapolis
Clayton Park West Antigonish
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage Argyle-Barrington
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley Cape Breton Centre
Dartmouth East Cape Breton-Richmond
Dartmouth North Chester-St. Margaret's
Dartmouth South Clare-Digby
Eastern Shore Colchester North
Fairview-Clayton Park Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Halifax Armdale Cumberland North
Halifax Atlantic Cumberland South
Halifax Chebucto Glace Bay
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island GuysboroughEastern ShoreTracadie
Halifax Needham Hammonds Plains-Lucasville
Preston-Dartmouth Hants East
Sackville-Beaver Bank Hants West
Sackville-Cobequid Inverness
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Kings North
Kings South
Kings West
Lunenburg
Lunenburg West
Northside-Westmount
Pictou Centre
Pictou East
Pictou West
Queens-Shelburne
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Sydney-Whitney Pier
Timberlea-Prospect
TruroBible HillMillbrookSalmon River
Victoria-The Lakes
Yarmouth