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Engineering Economics PDF
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P 36 ........................................................................................................ F
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50................................................................................
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50 ..................................................................................................
)( 54 ........................................................... EUAC , EUAB
59 ..........................................................................
60 ............................................................................................
65 ...................................................................................................
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69 ............................................................................................................
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73 ................................................................................................
75 ...............................................................
)75.................................................................................................................. (TX
75..................................................
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93 .......................................................................................................
)102 .......................................................................................................... (f
) ( 104 ............................................................
104 ...............................................................................................if
104 ...................................................................................................
108 .............................................................................................................
3 : : 48 : :
...
-1
.
)( . -2
-3
.
-
.
:
-2 -
.
-3
.
:
.
.
-
.
-5
.
6 7.
.
Capital
Labor
Land
Management
Technology
Goods
Services
.
.
8 .
.
-1
-2
-3
-4
) - (
.
-1
-2
.
-1
-2
.
2 .
Price Theory
:
.
Px -1
T -2
C -3
I -4
Pn -5
R -6
X :
)X= f (Px, T, C, I, Pn, R
- Px
- T
- C
- I
- Pn
- R
X :
X= f(px) ,
)Px= g(x :
Demand
Supply
Market Price
Demand Curve
: X .
1000 50
2000 40
3000 30
4000 20
5000 10
px
:
:
.
: x .
1000 10
2000 20
3000 30
4000 40
5000 50
px
)X= h(px
Px= k(x) :
Px
D )(Excess S
P N
M
Pe
P K L
)(Shortage
O X Xe X X
X
x
Ox Ox = xx = MN Pe
Ox Ox = xx = KL Pe
Pe
.
Equilibrium Price
: x Px= g(x)= - x + 4
px = k(x)= 2x + 1 : . .
.
: .
15
ep .
=ep
/ p x
= e = .
p p / p p
x y .
x
x y
= xy = x
y y x
y
: x .
= .
px
D
Elasticity
x P
( = E ( = ) (). (). )= = .
Px X
%1 %12
.
dx p
( = Ex px ).( x ) :
dp x x
: x x= 800-100p px=6
.
p = x =
dx p
(=E ).( x ) = =
dp x x
- )(
:
2
x=2px px=2 x - px + 3
.
px =
X = + =
dx
= px
dp x
dx p x p
= Ex px = ( p x ) x
dp x x x
)E x p x = ( = = .
( px = )x =
x
= p x . : x +
3
x +
= px p x = x + x = p x + p x = x =
dx p x
= Ex px = = .
dp x x
: n .
Xn= apn+bpi+cy
= Y
Pn = n
Pi = i
= C
( .
( .
X n = p n + (. ) + (. ) = p n +
X n = p n +
pn
o
xn
: (TR)16
TR=Px.X
:(AR)17
TR Px X
= AR = = Px
X X
Total Revenue
Average Revenue
:(MR)18 TR
dTR
= MR
dX
: Px=100-5x+2x2 . 10 (1 .
(2 (3 .
Px x = = + =
TR = Px . X = +
TR x = = =
dTR d
= MR = (x x + x ) = x = x
dx dx
MR>0 .
MR<0 .
MR=0 .
) :(TC
.
TC = Cx .x
) :(AC
.
AC = TC x /
) : (MC TC
.
MC = dTC/dx
) :(
= TR- TC ) (
Marginal Revenue
Total Cost
Average Cost
Marginal Cost
MC = MR
Px =100-4x :
TC = 50+20x .
.
MC = MR
MC =dTC/dx=
TR = Px.x = x-x
MR = dTR/dx= -x
-x= x= px=
: Px=20-x .
TC = x2 + 8x + 2.
.a
.b .
.c .
:
d/dX= -X+= X=
Px=-X=-=
=-x+x-=+-=
TR=P.X=()=
TC= + *+=
.
.
-1 .
-2
:
. " "
.
-
4 .
.1
.2
.3 ) -
(.......
.4
:
Pure Competition
.
PX
Pl
x
) (
x P
= E x Px =
Px x
Px
.
-
4
:
-2
-
.
: _ _
Perfect Competitio
)(
px
D
-
.
:
.
) (
.
.
.
(1
(2
(3
(4
(5
-
.
.
.
: )(
.
.
.
.
Px
Px D
.
.
24
.
)X= f(a,b,c
= X
= a,b,c
: .
: .
: A .
A
.
10 2
20 3
35 4
40 5
43 6
45 7
44 8
40 9
Production Function
35 10
50
40
30
20
10
l
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
:26
)(
.
)MP= MPP= dx/d = f (
:
.
)TP= x = f(
:
.
AP= x/ = f()/
:
.
.
.
(1
(2
(
: A
A
.
.
(
:
. ...
:
.
:
(1 :
. :
" " .
" " .
(2 :
) ( .
29 28
.
.
. .
. .
)C = K + f(x
TC TFX TVC
32
31
AC AFX AVC
) = TR TC = f(x) g(x
.
D / dx= f (x) g (x) =
)f(x) = g(x
:
MR=MC
TC = Total Cost
AC = Average Cost
:
D / dx <
.
:
.
:
... . .
.
.
:
.
: -
.
3 .
.1 .
.2 .
.3 .
3 :
.1
.2
.3 .
....
-1 ) (
-2 .
)(
-3 )(
.
) (
-3
.
.
" " .
.
.
%100
.
- ) 60 %5 (%4
- ) %0 ( %5/5
.
.
.
.
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5 ) (
.
.
.
.
.
-1
.
-2
.
.
.
.
.
. "
" " " .
.
)E = f (x , y
) = E (
) = X (
) = Y (
.
.
- :
(1
(2
(3
(4
(5
(6
(
( -
(7
(
(
.1
.2
.
.
:
(
(
(
(
(
: 1000 x .
( 1000
( 1100
( 2000
( 10000
1000 1250
1250 1000
.
: .
.
: ) ( 30000 8/5
.
)(
15 29550 23190
20 26050 32520
25 24175 42525
30 23075 53690
: 24 %6 1626 24
.
1626 24
1676 44208
1726 814324
1776 14999992
1826 276302169
1876 5089528576
1926 93749901511
1976 1726887648438
: A 100000
106000 . .
- =
= = %
: B 200000 %5 .
.
=200000*(%5) =10000
=200000+10000=210000
.
) *(1+ =
=200000*(1+%5) =210000
.
100 %10 110
.
33
/ = ) / - ( = ROR
ROR .
.
.
34
-1 )(P
-2 (F) 35
Present Worth
Future Worth
-3 (A) 36
-4 ) ((i) 37
38
)(n -5
+ n
1 2 3 n-1 n
.
.
Interest Rate
: 1000 4 500
. %10 .
.
?=F
n= 4
i= %10
? =F i= %10
0 1 2 3 4
P=1000
P F
) F = P + Pi = P( + i
F = F + Fi
F = F ( + i ) = P( + i)( + i ) = P( + i )
F = P( + i )
n
) Fn = Fn ( + i ) = P( + i n
) F = P ( + i ) n ) P=F
( + I ) n
P =i
n
0 1 2
n -2 n -1
F
( (1+i)n .
( 1 / (1+i)n .
P A
.
?=P
1 2 3 =i n -1 n
0
A A A A A
( + i) n I ( + I ) n
(P = A ) (A = P
i ( + i ) n ( + I ) n
F A
( + i ) n i
(F = A ) (A = F )
i ( + i ) n
)(X / Y , i% , n
:
(F/P, , ) =
:
?= )(A/P,%7/3 , 10
(A/P, %7 , 10) = 0/14238 = 0/1424
(A/P, %8 , 10) = 0/14903 =0/1490
%7 0/1424
a c
b %7/3 ?=X d
%8 0/1490
p F )(P/F , i% , n )P=F(P/F ,i% ,n
F P )(F/P , i% , n )F=P(F/P ,i% ,n
P A )(P/A , i% , n )P=A(P/A ,i% ,n
A P )(A/P , i% , n )A=P(A/P ,i% ,n
A F )(A/F , i% , n )A=F(A/F ,i% ,n
F A )(F/A , i% , n )F=A(F/A ,i% ,n
: %5 .
. 15 50000
15 1,000,000 . .
F=1,000,000
i= %5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
A=50000
) ( .
: %15 .
= PT
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
A= 1000 A=1500
?=PT
i= %15
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
PA
A= 1000
A=1500
PA
?=PA' ?=PA'
PT =PA + PA
)PA= PA'(P/F, %15 ,2) = PA(P/A, %15 ,3) (P/F, %15 ,2
= 1000 (2/283) (0/756)= 1/726
)PA= PA' (P/F, %15 ,8) = A(P/A, %15 ,5) (P/F, %15 ,8
= 1500(3/352) (0/327)= 1/644
PT= 1/726 + 1/644 = 3/370
. %10 . x :
x x x x
x x x
x x x
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
100,000
P x x x x
P
P x x x
x x x i=
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PT=100,000
PT = P+ P +P
) (
.
:
250
225
200
175
150 G=25
125
100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
7
G P
G ( + i ) n n
=P
) i i ( + i n
( + i ) n
)P = G ( P / G, i %, n
G A
n
A = G +
i ( + i )
n
)A = G ( A G , i %, n
: . %5 .
? = PT
1400
1300
1100 1200
1000
800 900
700
600
500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
? = PA
)( 1
A=500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
: .
.
? = PG
900
800
700 )( 2
600
500
300 400
100 200
G=100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PT = PA + PG
)PT = 500 (P /A, %5 , 10) + 100 (P/G ,%5 ,10
PT = 500(7/7217)+100(31/625)=7026/05
An
An-
A
A
A
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
= i
= j
= t
= At t
= A1
At = A ( + j ) t t = ,..., n
( + j ) n ( + i ) n
P = A i j
i j
) (nA
=P i= j
) ( + i
)P = A ( P A, i, j , n
j > 0 j = 0 i # j .
) ( F P, j , n)( P F , i, n
P = A j i j
i j
: %8 .
5
. %10 50000
. .
A= 50000
n = 5 i = %10 j = %8
P = 50000(4/3831) = 219155
%10 .
i = j = %
nA
= P= = .
+ i .
%1*12 = %12 : %1
ie= (1 + r/t)t 1
= ie
= r
41
= t
: %1 .
r = %1 * %12
12
ie = ( 1 + %12 / 12) 1 = 12/68
: 10000 30000
15000 %6
10
.
? =F
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
10000
15000
30000
2
ie = (1 + 0/06 /2) - 1 = 0/0609 = % 6/09
= 79/837
.
.
:
1 2 3 n
. %12
.
%1
%12
t
r
ie = +
t
.
.
F = P (+ r/t)tn
Continuous Compounding
= r
= t
= n .
F = Per.n e = 2/71828
)F = P(F/P, r, n
P = Fe rn
)P = F(P/F, r, n
ie=er - 1 .
: 10000 %12
15 .
%12 / 12 = %1
15 * 12 = 180
)F = A(F/A, ie, 15
= 10,000*12/68
: 200000 ) %12(
5 ) . (
F= 200000(1/8221) = 364420
43
-1
44
-2
-3
45
-4
-5
" " .
.
NPW<0
NPW>0 NPW=0
PW .
: .
: A B . %10 MARR .
A B
2500 3500
900 700
200 350
5 5
A .
.
.
.
: . .
. %15
A B
11000 18000
3500 3100
1000 2000
6 9
9 6 18 .
: A
1000
SV=1000
1000
A=3500
B :
SV=2000
18
A=3100 A=3100
18000 18000
PWA<PWB A
: .
.... .
n
i ( + i ) n
A=P
( + i ) n
i ( + i ) n
lim A = P lim = Pi
( + i ) n
n
A = Pi P = A i
: .
20000 .
350000
. . %5
.
PWB
A
=P = =
i .
)( EUAC , EUAB
) (
.
=P
=n
= SV
... .
: 80000 5000
. 8 . 9000
%6
.
) (A/P,i%,n
.
: EUAC %15 .
.
A B
26000 36000
800 300
11000 9600
2000 3000
6 10
)(i
.:
: ROR
NPW=
: 1000 500
1500 .
: i
-1 ) (
-2
-3
. i =%16/95 .
: .
5000 100 10
7000 10 .
P= 5,000
N=10
A= 100
F= 700
F=7000
A=100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
P = 5000
-5,000+100 (P/A , i% ,10) +7000 (P/F , i% ,10)=0
)
(
F=10*100+7000=8000
)5000=8000 (P/F , i% n,
%4<i<%5
. .
%5 69/46
a i b 0
c d
%6 - 355/19
a c
=
b d
a % %
= a = .
. . .
ROR = i = + . = .%
-2
NEUA=
NUAB=EUAC EUAB-EUAC=
-P(A/P,i%,n)+A+SV(A/F,i%,n) +0000=
= i
= MARR
.
= ROR .
RORMARR . .
MARR<ROR . .
ROR
) NPW ( ) NEUA
( .
ROR ) (A ) (B )(A
) (B .
.
. :
+ =
-1
MARR MARR
.
. <NPW = 0
. 0 >NPW
. <NEUA = 0
. 0 >NEUA
.
.
.
.
4 -2
.
PWB
:
NPW=
PWBZ Z MARR=a%
PWBY Y
PWBW W
PWBX X
MARR=a%
45 ROR MARR
45 ROR MARR
X Y Z .
W .
: X,Y XY 45 Y
.
: Z,Y YZ 45 Y
.
.
.
-1
MARR .
-2
.
-3
.
. -4
MARR
.
:
. %10 .
X Y
200 700
95 120
50 150
6 12
PWB
818 Y NPW=
800
700 45
647
600 X
500
400
300
200
100 652
269
XY MARR=10% 45 .
.
:2 . 20
. %6.
PWB=4703
X
PWC=2000
PWB=7329
Y
PWC=4000
PWB=8029
Z
PWC=5000
.
PWB NPW=
= MARR
Z
8000 Y
6000 C
X B
4000
A
2000
-1 ) % 6 45 ( .
.
-2 XY 45 . Y .
-3 YZ 45 . Y
.
:3
.
n= 20 , MARR= % 6
.
D B A C E
PWC 1000 2000 4000 6000 9000
PWB 1170 4100 6390 7610 7850
PWB
9000 NPW=
7850 MARR=
8000 E
7000 77610 C
6390 A
6000
5000
4100
4000 B
3000
2000
1000 D
0
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 PWC
1
A .
:1 NPW=0 45 MARR .
:2 .
:3 .
:4 PWC=PWB ) . ( NPW=0
. -1
. -2
) (MARR -3
.
-4
.
:
. 20 MARR=6%
.
A B C D E
4000 2000 6000 1000 9000
639 410 761 117 785
: .
D B A C E
1000 2000 4000 6000 9000
117 410 639 761 785
D B .
1000
293
2000-1000=1000 410-117=293
1000= 293(P/A, i%, 20) ROR=%29
%6 . B .
B : A
2000
ROR=%10
229
%6 A .
A : C
2000
ROR=%2
129
MARR=%6 . A
C .
A : E
5000
ROR~ %0 c
146
A 5 .
)( ) / ( = B / C
.
-
) PW) = (PWB / PWC PW /( =)(B/C
-
EUA = EUAB / EUAC EUA / =B/C
= 0 > B-C = 1 > B/C
.
B-C <0 B/C < 1
.
: .
1000000 )(
1 150000 )(
50000 )(
30000 )(
2 100000 )(
20 %10 .
.
B EUAB +
= = = . .
C EUAC ( A P,%,) +
: .
: .
:
.
.:
B /C =PWB /PWC
B /C =EUAB /EUAC
= 1> ) (B /C .
(B /C)<1 .
:
.
A B C D E
1000 2000 4000 6000 9000 PWC
1340 4700 7330 8730 9000 PWB
1/34 2/35 1/83 1/46 1 B/C
) ( .
BA
PWC= 1000
PWB= 3360 B / C = 3/36 > 1 B
CB
PWC= 2000
PWB= 2630 B / C = 1/32 > 1 C
CD
PWC= 2000
PWB=1400 B / C = 0/70 < 1 C
CE
PWC= 5000
PWB=1670 B / C = 0/33 < 1 C
C .
.
:
.
) ( -1
) ( -2
) ( -3
)( -4
) ( -5
:
.
-
.
D = (P-SV) / n
= D
= P
= SV
= n ) (
m .
BVm = P-m.D m= 1 , 2 , 3 , , n
Depreciation
Book Value
: 80,000 )( 10
10000 . 5
.
P SV
=D
n
BV = P D = ( ) =
= m= BV = P
m= n BVn = P- nD = SV
BVm= BVm- D
-
.
n m +
= Dm ) ( P SV
SYD
M = ,,..., n
= Dm m
= n ) (....
= m
= P ) (
= SV
n
)n(n +
= SYD = m
m =
-
)P m ( n ( m ) + .
= BVm ) ( P SV
SYD
: 80000 10 10000
. )
(
)(SOYD
P =
n =
SV =
n(n + )
= SYD = =
n m +
= Dm ) ( P SV
SYD
+
= D ( ) = .
)m(n (m ) + .
= BVm ) ( P SV
SYD
) ( ( ) + .
= BV ( ) = .
-
.
2/n " "
. .
)Dm = BVm-(d
BVm= P(-d)m
Dm = d.P(-d)m-
= d
.
.
.
n
)SV= BVn = P(-d
SV/P = (-d)n
d = - (SV/P)/n
: 0/188
.
P = 80000
n = 10
Dm = d.P(-d)m-
4-1
D = 0/188 * 80,000(1 0/188 ) = 8/909
BVm = P(-d)m
4
BV = 80000(1 0/188) = 34/779
-
.
.
n A
) (i% ) (P-SV
.
: 80000 10000
. 10 %10
.
-
.
.
Dm= (P-SV)Um / U
= Um m
= U
-
.
)Dm = (P-SV) (Qm / Q
= Qm m
= Q
.
:
n
)PWD = Dm (P/F, i%, m
m=
:
)EUAD = PWD(A/P, i%, n
.
PWD EUAD .
" " .
: 8 50000 .
10000 .
( ) 4(
(
.
(
.
.
)(TX
.
)(GI -
) .(...
)(GFAT -
.
)(OC -
.
)(TR -
.
)Cash Flow After Tax (CFAT
(1
Cash Flow Before Tax
(TX) TAX
Gross Income
Operating Costs
Tax Rate
=
CFBT = GI OC
(2
57
)(TI (3
=
TI = CFBT D
TI = GI OC D
)(Tax (4
* =
TX = TI .TR
)(CFAT (5
- =
CFAT = CFBT TX
CFAT = CFBT (CFBT D) TR
CFAT = CFBT (-TR) + D.TR
.
(1 )(NPW
n
)NPW = - P + CFATj (P/F, i%, j
j=
NPW 0 .
(2 )(NEUA
)NEUA = NPW (A/P, i%, n
NEUA 0 .
(3 ) (
NPW =
n
- P + CFATj (P/F, i%, j)= ?=i
j=
iMARR
i<MARR
Taxable Income
(4 ) (
NEUA =
NPW(A/P, i%, n) = ?=i
iMARR
i<MARR
: :
P= 50000
SV= 0
N= 5
K= 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
= 28000 1000 K )(GI
= 9500 + 500K )(OC
%40 .
. %7
: CFAT .
.
(a
(b
GI-OC CFBT-D TI.TR CFBT-TX
)(1 )(2 )(3 )( 4 )( 5 )(6 )( 7
GI OC CFBT D IT TX CFAT
)(3)=(1)-(2 ) (5)=(3)-(4 )(6)=0/4(5 )(7)=(3)-(6
0 - 5000 -5000 - - - -50000
1 27000 10000 17000 10000 7000 2800 14200
2 26000 10500 15500 10000 5500 2200 13300
3 25000 11000 14000 10000 4000 1600 12400
4 24000 11500 12500 10000 2500 1000 11500
5 23000 12000 11000 10000 1000 400 10600
n
)NPW = - P + CFATj (P/F, i%, j
j=
)NEUA=NPW(A/P, i%, n
:
)NPW= - 5000 + 14200 (P/F, %7 , 1) + 13300(P/F, %7 , 2) + 12400 (P/F, %7, 3
)+ 11500 (P/F, %7, 4) + 10600 (P/F, %7, 5
:
NPW= 1340/81
)NEUA= 1340/81 (A/P, %7, 5
NEUA= 327
%7 .
: 100000 10000 .
9 20000
%50
%10 .
:
.
CFBT D TI TX CFAT
0 -100000 - - - -100000
1-9 20000 10000 10000 5000 15000
9 10000 - - - 10000
.
-100000 + 15000(P/A, i%, 9) + 10000(P/F, i%, 9)=
ROR= %7/7
ROR<MARR : .
- .
-
.
-
.
-
. .
)(TS
.
CFAT=(GI-OC)-(GI-OC-D).TR
=(GI-OC)-(GI-OC)TR+D.TR
)=(CFBT)(-TR)+D(TR
Tax Saving
)TS=D(TR
D .
) D(TR
.
.
:
n
)PWTS = Dm (P/F, i%, m) (TR
m=
) (i
. .
.
59
(1 = PR
60
(2 = I
.
CFBT=GI-OC
TI=CFBT-D-I
TX=TI.TR
CFAT=CFBT-TX-I-PR
.
.
Principle
Interest
: .
15000 (1
0 (2
5 (3
7000 (4
1000 (5
(6
TR =%50 (7
MARR =%15 (8
( .
( %50 ) %10 (PR=1500
I=750 . .
(
-
=D =
Any year = GI-OC = 7000-1000=6000
CFBT D TI TX CFAT
0 -15000 - - - -15000
1-5 6000 3000 3000 1500 4500
7000-1000=6000
(
= 15000 * %50 = 7500
I= 7500 (%10)=750
PR= (7500) / 5 = 1500
CFBT D I PR TI TX CFAT
0 -7500 - - - - - -7500
1-5 6000 3000 750 1/500 2/250 1/125 2/625
CFAT = 6000-(1125+750+1500)=2625
NPW= 0 -7500 + 2/625 (P/A, i%, 5)= 0
i= ROR=%22/22
(
.
. .
) ( .
.
63 .
. 65 .
Replacement Analysis
Retirement
Defender
Replacement
Challenger
. ) n (
) n (
EUAC . EUAC
.
: 5 .
50000 .
%10
.
) ( )(SV
5 0 50000 -
6 1 40000 -
7 2 35000 1000
8 3 30000 2000
9 4 25000 3000
10 5 20000 4000
11 6 20000 5000
12 7 20000 6000
13 8 20000 7000
14 9 20000 8000
15 10 20000 9000
16 11 20000 10000
: EUAC .
)(
. 9
5 14 .
: 3 9500
3500 7 .
28000 14 3000
5500 . %15
3
EUACD = P(A/P, %15, 7) 3500 (A/F, %15, 7) + 9500 = 0/24036 P + 9/184
=9,184
EUACC = 28000(A/P,%15,14)- 3000(A/F,%15,14)+5500 = 10/342 =10,342
.
.
.
.
"
".
.
: 300000 . %10
%10 %5 %10
.
.
Sensivity Analysis
% %
PW .
PW .
/
.
Isoquant Curve
:
.
P= 170,000 MARR= %13
= 3000 N= 10
SV= 20,000
= 35,000
- .
-
.
- .
(
NEUA=170,000(A/P ,%13 ,10)-3,000 + 20,000(A/F ,%13 ,10)+35000=9530
(
)NEUA=170,000(A/P ,%13 ,10)-3,000(1+Y) + 20,000(A/F ,%13 ,10) +35000(1+X
=9530
NEUA= 1757+3500X-300Y
NEUA>0
NEUA=0
NEUA<0
) NEUA=0 ( .
) Y(
NEUA>0
0,5
NEUA<0 0,4
0,3
0,2
0,1
) X(
- - - - -
NEUA=0
) X( .
Y .
.
" .
. .
-1 : (M) 69
.
-2 : (O) 70 .
-3 : (P) 71 .
. 74
" "
O+M+P
=
O-P
=
.
.
:
P, O, M 15
.
Estimate
Most likely
Optimistic
Pessimistic
Mean
Variance
Beta Distribution
P M O
MARR
.
= (+ ()+ ) / =
= (+ ()+ ) / =
= (+ ()+ ) / =
= (+ ()+ ) / =
.
. .
.... .
.
Point to point
:
:
:1
= 230,000
= 40,000
= 10
= 120
= 1
= 35,000
= 8
:2
= 80,000
=
= 5
= 80
= 3
= 15,000
= 6
2000
.
:
1 120
( = 120 1 *) ( ( ) *X =) x=15X
8 8
= X
EUACD =80,000 (A/P ,%10 ,5) + 1500+4X
= 36/100+40X
EUACO = EUACD 69/920 + 15x = 36/100 + 40X x= 1352/8
/
1352/8
2000
.
) ( . -
-
.
-
-
-
.
77
78
79
A P1 P2
.
if = ((p P) / P )
)( = if
:
P(t) = t
P(t+t)= t
t :
)P(t+t)= P(t)(+if
Inflation
Price Inflation
Cost Inflation
Inflation Rate
.
n
)P(t+nt)= P(t)(+if
= n t
K
ifk K .
) * (+ifk = K . K
) ) / (K . + ifk = ( K .
) - ) / (K . ifk = ( K .
n
if1 if2 if3 ...
P1 n :
)Pn= P(+if) (+if) (+if) . (+ifn
) Y(t V ) P(t .
))V= (Y(t)) / (P(t
.
) . (
) . - - (
t0 . ) Y'(t .
)Y'(t)= (Y(t)) . (P(t)) / P(t
Actual Dollar
Constant Dollar
) Da , n= t - t / t( ) Dc /( = P(t) / P(t) = / (+if)n
.
)Y'(t)= D(t) Y(t
100
. .
: 3000 1375 1382 12000
. 1375 :
( / ) =
100 .
1n M .
= K
= n
= M
= Pnm m n
= PKm m )(K
.
.
Price Index
)In = ((PnW / PK) + (PnW / PK) + . + (PnmWm / PKm)) / (W+ W + + Wm
= Wi
- WPI
- - -
- - - - - -
- - - -
.
CPI
.
.
WPI .
IPI
.
.
If(t+)= ((CPI(t+) CPI(t)) / CPI(t))
:
.
: 1365 CPI 272,2 .
.
= (/) =
1940 ) 1988
( CPI
: 200,000 %14
150
.
16,000 . 5 %18
. .
16,000(150)= 2,400,000
2,400,000- 2,000,000= 400,000
5 )F= P(F/P, 14%, 5
5
F= 2,000,000(f/p, 14%, 5)= 2,000,000(1+./14) = 3,850,829
150 150(16,000) =2,4000
%18 :
5 F= 2,400,000 (F/P, %18, 5) = 5,491,200
2,400,000(1+if =0/18)5 = 5,491,200
5 5,491,200- 3,850,829= 1,640,371
1,640,371 5
400,000 .
. %15 %15
%15 (if= 15%) :
%15 - (/ )= .
CPI
. 1983 1967
0,335
1/0,335= 2,99 .
:
1980 1967 .
:
= (/) () = (/) ($) = $
2,468= (1+if)13 if 13
) . (1980- 1967 :
/(+)k = ()-k
:
(+)- = ()=
.
. 10
1620000
994518 . 10 0,6139
.
.
.
.
.
) ( ) (
114288 (1,05)-1= 0,9524 120000 1
108840 (1,05)-2= 0,9070 120000 2
103656 (1,05)-3= 0,8638 120000 3
98724 (1,05)-4= 0,8227 120000 4
94020 (1,05)-5= 0,7835 120000 5
89544 (1,05)-6= 0,7462 120000 6
85284 (1,05)-7= 0,7107 120000 7
81216 (1,05)-8= 0,6768 120000 8
77352 (1,05)-9= 0,6446 120000 9
994518 (1,05)-10= 0,6139 1620000 10
. .
86 .
.
i .
: i'
. ' i
.
' i=i . .
) : (if
... .
i ) ( .
' i ) (.
F
(+i)n
/ (+i)n
n- n
FC
/ (+if)n
(+if)n
(+i')n
n- n
if i' i
) (
.
) ( ...
.
f fC n ... .
:
20000000
. i= 15% 8
- .
- 6% 5 7%
.
4500 4500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
20,000 i=%15
)P = A(P/A, ,
)P = (P/A, ,
: 6%
.
aC= / (+ ) =
aC= / (+ ) =
aC= / (+ ) =
6%
7% . :
aC= / (+ ) (+) =
aC= / (+ ) (+) =
aC= / (+ ) (+) =
aC= / (+ ) (+) =
aC= / (+ ) (+) =
20000
. .
)(f
f .
: 200 216 . .
) (b a
= f
a
a
)(
= f = .
: 3 176 216 . .
( + f ) = + f =
f = % f = .%
) (
) 4(
. .
:
-1
-2
if
if .
P Ft t .
P= Ft / (+f)t (+i)t
P= Ft / (+if)t (+i)t (+f)t = (+if)t
if = i + f + if
: %10 %5 .
If = %10 + %5 + 0/050 = %15/05
) + (. .
= CPI = .
.
.
.:
= 100
)(Types of Inflation
. )(Demand-Pull Inflation
. )(Cost Push Inflation
.
.
"
" .
1985 800 2500 .
1923 42
.
)(Effects of Inflation
. ) (
.
.1 .
.2 .
.3 .
)(Inefficiency
.
.
.
.
)(Stagflation
.
.
. "
" .
)(Economic growth
.
.
.
)(Business Cycles
)( -
.
91 90 89 88
.1 -2 -3 -4
5 .
Recession
Slump
Expansion
Boom
)Gross National product (GNP
.
... ....
.... .
.
.
)Gross Domestic Product (GDP
) (
) ( . .
:
. . .
) (GDP
. .
+ =
GNP=GDP+NA