Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Environmental
Report 2007
Produced by the Environmental Unit of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)
in collaboration with FCM Communications Inc.
ICAO Environmental Report 2007 1
Foreword
Leadership in environmental protection requires consensus among a wide variety of stakeholders, some-
times with widely diverging interests, on highly complex social, economic and technological issues.
As the global forum for international civil aviation, ICAO has succeeded for more than forty years in bring-
ing the world together around increasingly stringent regulations for noise at airports and aircraft engine
emissions, yet more must be done. The growth of air transport in many parts of the world is outpacing our
capability to limit the impacts of air travel on local air quality and climate change.
Fortunately, there has emerged in recent years a willingness to confront the problems. Environmental con-
cerns now permeate the planning and strategies of global aviation stakeholders. There is a growing recog-
nition that solutions must and will come from the aviation sector.
We need to find the most effective way of reaching and maintaining an appropriate balance between the
growth of the air transport industry and environmental protection. As we proceed, it is imperative that we
base our discussions and decisions on the most authoritative and credible technical and scientific informa-
tion available. We need to better understand aviations contribution to climate change as we strive for effec-
tive and long-term solutions.
This is the raison dtre of the first-ever ICAO Environmental Report. It serves as a comprehensive update
on technical and policy aspects of aircraft noise and engine emissions. Readers will find within these pages
a detailed review of progress achieved under the leadership of ICAO, the official global forum for address-
ing aviation environmental matters.
As important as accurate and authoritative information is cooperation among all stakeholders and parties
concerned. Moving forward, we must ensure that whatever action is taken is done so in a harmonized
manner, taking into account diverging views on addressing environmental matters. Our common focus
must remain an appropriate balance between aviation and the environment.
It is my hope that this Environmental Report becomes a catalyst for generating a wide consensus, in a spir-
it of global cooperation, on the way to a sustainable air transport system.
Report Overview
As the world evolved to a truly global society over the years, the need for mobility increased. At the same
time, technological improvements and market forces made air travel more accessible and more affordable.
About 2.2 billion passengers fly on the scheduled services of the worlds airlines per year, one third of them
on international flights. Initiatives to promote the sustainability of aviation activities in synchronization with
the growth of the industry over the past four decades have been quite successful, with noise from aircraft
reduced by 75% and CO2 emissions intensity by 70%. New advances in technology and operational meas-
ures, however, will not be sufficient to offset the projected growth of the sector and new strategies to
achieve sustainability must be developed and implemented.
In this global pursuit, transparent and accurate information on aviations performance relative to the envi-
ronment is critical and must be available to decision makers and the public. A case in point is the latest
IPCC report which provides scientific evidence that human activities are contributing to climate change. It
reveals that aviations CO2 contribution (international and domestic operations) remains at about 2% of
total global amounts. This percentage is by far less important than the contributions from road transport or
power generation, amongst other sources. Nevertheless, ICAO is firmly committed to ensuring that inter-
national civil aviation contributes its share to efforts on climate change.
As with all of ICAO policies, those that deal with the environment are developed in keeping with the fun-
damental principle that aviation is a global industry and, as such, requires global solutions. In fact, this may
be more so with environmental matters (please see inset box).
The goal of this report is to consolidate in one single publication comprehensive and reliable information
on aviation and the environment. In accessible language, readers will find up to date information on the
work of ICAO and other relevant bodies. Intended primarily for ICAO Contracting States, the aviation com-
munity and interested members of the public, the Report focuses on the results of the seventh meeting
of ICAOs Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection (CAEP/7), held in February 2007 and on the
ICAO Aviation Emissions Colloquium (May 2007). It also pays particular attention to studies and reports
from the IPCC and developments emanating from other relevant UN fora such as the UNFCCC in refer-
ence to aviation.
The Report consists of six parts which, together, cover the full range of issues, developments and trends:
Aviation Outlook; Aircraft Noise; Local Emissions; Global Emissions; Modelling and Databases; and
International Cooperation. For ease of reading and consulting, each part begins with an overview to
bring readers up to speed on the subject discussed, followed by articles from experts. Most of the mate-
rial covered in this Report reflects the work of ICAO and its groups of experts, although some articles are
dedicated to main developments outside ICAO of relevance to the discussions on aviation and the envi-
ronment. The Report also contains advertorials which provide the opportunity for stakeholders to promote
their own perspective and activities.
ICAO Environmental Report 2007 3
We sincerely hope that this Report will stimulate productive and enlightened discussions on aviation and
the environment, while at the same time demystifying commonly-held beliefs and misconceptions.
Arriving at optimal solutions begins with clearly defining the challenges and these can only be done using
the most recent and sound information available. This is especially true for climate change, one of the most
pressing societal issues of this early part of the 21st century and a priority for both the UN and ICAO.
Without a global approach, unilateral actions may well lead to fragmented and ineffective measures.
As we prepare for the post-2012 period, we must consider a long-term global response in line with the
latest scientific findings. We must set development goals in a sustainable way; realizing the full potential
of technological, operational and market-based measures. Above all, we must do it together, under the
leadership of ICAO and in cooperation with all stakeholders.
Acknowledgements
This Report is a good example of global cooperation towards a common cause. ICAO wishes to thank the
authors from various countries and disciplines who have honoured by shared their expertise, imagination
and enthusiasm. We are truly grateful, for we feel that their collective insight will stimulate dialogue and
contribute to defining sustainable solutions.
We look forward to comments and suggestions on how we can improve the Environment Report which,
in years to come, will be published to coincide with the triennial Assemblies of ICAO.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Foreword
Mr. Roberto Kobeh Gonzlez, President of the ICAO Council 1
Report Overview
Mrs. Jane Hupe, Chief, Environmental Unit 2
Overview 6
Air Traffic Outlook 7
Development and Use of Global Air Traffic and Aircraft Fleet Forecasts 13
Overview 20
ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management 24
- Noise at Source 24
- Land-Use Planning 34
- Noise Abatement Operational Procedures 46
- Aircraft Operating Restrictions 49
Others Developments 55
Overview 62
Technology and Standards 66
Operational Measures 75
Market Based Measures 80
Airport Air Quality and Aircraft Emissions Charges Guidance 92
Overview 104
Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change - Impact Assessments 111
Technology 130
Operational Measures 135
Market-Based Measures 145
Alternative Fuels 168
Overview 186
ICAO Environmental Goals Assessment 187
Overview of Analytical Capabilities for CAEP Work 190
Research Activities Assisting CAEP Work 208
Overview 216
International Cooperation 220
Closing message
Mr. Tabeb Chrif, Secretary General 227
Masterfile
Aviation
Outlook
6 Part 1: Aviation Outlook
Aircraft utilization (hours per aircraft per year) 1 678 2 064 2 179 2 790 3 556
Figure 4 Trends in scheduled international and domestic traffic - World (1985 and 2005).
Source: ICAO Reporting Form A.
Trends In Aircraft Departures and The large gap between the growth rates for pas-
Distance Flown sengers carried and aircraft departures that exist-
The growing demand for passenger and freight ed in the 1960s and 1970s is primarily a reflection
air services since 1960 led to an expanded fleet of the increases in average aircraft size over this
capacity. Growth patterns of passenger numbers, period. In the 1980s, as this trend in aircraft size
aircraft departures and aircraft kilometres are por- levelled off, the growth rate for aircraft departures
trayed in Figure 62. increased towards the passenger growth rate.
Figure 5 - International passenger and freight traffic - Shares by region (1985 and 2005).
Source: ICAO
2 A statistical smoothing technique has been used to eliminate large, short term fluctuations in order to better illustrate
the trends in the relationships between the variables.
Chapter: Air Traffic Outlook
11
Per Cent
replacing piston engine aircraft.
World scheduled traffic measured in terms of On a regional basis, between 2005 and 2025, the
passenger-kilometres performed (PKPs) is fore- airlines of the Middle East and the Asia/Pacific
cast to increase at a most likely average annu- regions are expected to experience the highest
al rate of 4.6 per cent for the period 20052025. growth in passenger traffic at 5.8 per cent per
As shown in Table 4, international traffic is expect- annum, followed by the airlines of the African and
TOTAL
Passenger-kilometres (billions) 1 366 3 720 9 180 5.1 4.6
Freight tonne-kilometres (millions) 39 813 142 579 510 000 6.6 6.6
Passengers carried (millions) 896 2 022 4 500 4.2 4.1
Freight tonnes carried (thousands) 13 742 37 660 110 000 5.2 5.5
Aircraft-kilometres (millions)1 n.a. 30 845 69 040 n.a. 4.1
Aircraft departures (thousands)1 n.a. 24 904 50 450 n.a. 3.6
INTERNATIONAL
Passenger-kilometres (billions) 589 2 197 6 225 6.8 5.3
Freight tonne-kilometres (millions) 29 384 118 482 452 120 7.2 6.9
Passengers carried (millions) 194 704 1 950 6.7 5.2
Freight tonnes carried (thousands) 5 884 22 630 80 000 7.0 6.5
1. Data on operations of airlines registered in the former USSR not available for 1985.
Source: ICAO
12 Part 1: Aviation Outlook
the Latin American/Caribbean regions with a 5.1 cent per annum. Table 5 also shows variations in
and 4.8 per cent annual growth rates, respective- regional growth between international and
ly. Traffic of the airlines of the European and North domestic traffic.
American regions is expected to grow more slow-
ly than the world average at the rates, at 4.3 and Aircraft movements in terms of aircraft depar-
3.6 per cent per annum, respectively (Table 5). tures and aircraft kilometres flown for the period
20052025 are expected to increase at average
World scheduled freight traffic measured in terms annual rates of 3.6 and 4.1 per cent, respectively.
of tonne kilometres performed is forecast to
increase at an average annual rate of 6.6 per cent
for the period 20052025 (Table 4). International References
freight traffic is expected to increase at an aver- 1. ICAO Circular 313 Outlook for air transport to
age annual growth rate of 6.9 per cent compared the year 2025.
with a domestic freight traffic growth of 4.5 per
TOTAL
Passenger-kilometres (billions)
Africa 36.7 84.8 230 4.3 5.1
Asia/Pacific 222.3 967.4 2 980 7.6 5.8
Europe 428.2 1 004.9 2 350 4.4 4.3
Middle East 42.7 168.9 520 7.1 5.8
North America 567.4 1 334.5 2 690 4.4 3.6
Latin America and Caribbean 68.3 159.2 410 4.3 4.8
INTERNATIONAL
Passenger-kilometres (billions)
Africa 28.5 72.2 205 4.8 5.4
Asia/Pacific 150.3 622.5 2 100 7.4 6.3
Europe 214.4 865.9 2 160 7.2 4.7
Middle East 35.1 152.5 480 7.6 5.9
North America 124.5 389.2 1 020 5.9 4.9
Latin America and Caribbean 36.5 95.1 260 4.9 5.2
Source: ICAO
Chapter: Development and Use of Global Air Traffic and Aircraft Fleet Forecasts
13
International Domestic
1. North Atlantic 17. Africa
2. South Atlantic 18. Asia/Pacific
3. Mid Atlantic 19. Europe
4. Transpacific 20. Latin America
5. Europe Asia/Pacific 21. Middle East
6. Europe Africa 22. North America
Sylvie Mallet is Senior
Economist in the 7. Europe Middle East
Economic Analysis 8. North America South America
Directorate at Transport 9. North America Central America and Caribbean
Canada, where she has 10. Intra Africa
worked since 1997. She
has been a member of 11. Intra Asia/Pacific
ICAOs CAEP Forecasting 12. Intra Europe
and Economic Analysis 13. Intra Latin America
Support Group (FESG) 14. Intra Middle East
since 2004. Ms. Mallet
15. Intra North America
graduated from the
University of Montreal in 16. Other International Routes
Economics and is also
the holder of diplomas in
accounting for business
management from HEC Fleet Mix Forecast Aircraft average load factors are determined for
Montreal and in civil law The passenger aircraft fleet mix forecast also each route group from existing historical load
from University of
Ottawa. requires a number of inputs and assumptions, factors, recent trends, and consensus-driven
either defined through a consensus process with- assumptions for the forecast horizon. Similarly,
in FESG, or obtained from existing data sources. assumptions on aircraft utilization (i.e. the
These inputs comprise: number of hours flown per day per aircraft) are
defined for the forecast horizon through a con-
Base-year operational data for each defined sensus process based on existing data and
route group; trends.
5 The definitions of the route groups are the ones used by ICAO.
Chapter: Development and Use of Global Air Traffic and Aircraft Fleet Forecasts
15
As a new forecast is being produced, consider- aircraft, firm order backlog, and retired passenger Chaouki Mustapha
ation is given to aircraft with some remaining aircraft converted into freighter aircraft.
useful life but no longer in use. Through con-
sensus, an assumption is developed to deal Sensitivity Analysis of the Forecast
with parked (stored) aircraft determining the A sensitivity analysis is conducted of the forecast
percentage to return into service by type of air- at the time it is produced by varying passenger
craft. Known firm orders of new aircraft at the traffic growth rates of each of the major route
end of the base year are also considered in the groups.
development of the fleet mix forecast, as
these aircraft will be placed in service within Comparison of the Forecast
the forecast period. Passenger aircraft retire- with Actual Data Chaouki Mustapha is an
ment/survival curves projecting future retire- The CAEP/6 forecast under-estimated the aver- Economist in the
ments are developed using the most current age annual growth for the period 2000-2005, but Economic Analyses and
information on the age of aircraft in use and an the impact on the 2000-2020 forecast is expect- Databases Section of
analysis of actual historical aircraft retirements. ed to be insignificant. The comparison of the fore- ICAO. His responsibilities
include air traffic forecast-
Forecasts are then produced based on: the cast by route group to the actual traffic provided ing as well as economic
existing in-service fleet, stored aircraft, and the in Table 1, shows that the forecast exceeded the and financial appraisal of
firm order backlog over the forecast period. actual traffic for the years 2002 and 2003 while it projects in the air naviga-
under-estimated the steep recovery registered in tion field. He is also a
The freighter aircraft fleet mix forecast is devel- the years 2004 and 2005. Actual average growth member of CAEP's
Forecasting and
oped with a process similar to the one used for rates for the period 2005-2020 are expected to be Economic Analysis
the passenger aircraft fleet mix forecast, with somewhat lower than those of the CAEP/6 fore- Support Group. Before
cargo traffic measured in terms of revenue tonne- cast. joining ICAO in 2000, he
kilometres (RTK), adjustments for parked (stored) worked for the Civil
Aviation Administration of
Tunisia for 11 years. Mr.
Mustapha holds a degree
in industrial engineering
from the Ecole Nationale
For the last FESG forecast, four different survival curves were developed to project the retirement of d'Ingnieurs de Tunis, as
the in-service passenger aircraft fleet: one for each of the following technologies: well as an Aviation MBA
and Master of Economics
Newer generation aircraft (as well as the older two member flight crew aircraft) from Concordia
University in Montreal.
First generation wide body aircraft
Boeing 707 and 727 aircraft [B707/B727]
McDonnell Douglas MD-11 aircraft
The chart covers all passenger aircraft manufactured to the year 2001. The horizontal axis represents
the average aircraft age while the vertical axis represents proportion of aircraft remaining in passenger
service at each average age.
16 Part 1: Aviation Outlook
A comparison of the actual year-end active com- try has since been on the recovery path and the
mercial aviation fleet to the fleet mix forecast for next forecast, assuming no major event occurs,
the years 2002 to 2005 is presented in Table 2. should be more stable.
The passenger fleet forecast was higher than the
actual fleet by 11%, 9%, 4% and 1% for 2002, Use of the Forecast
2003, 2004 and 2005 respectively. The cargo air- The forecast is used to conduct economic analy-
craft projections were higher than actual fleet by ses that assess costs and benefits resulting from
10%, 10%, 8% and 8% respectively, for the same more stringent standard environmental options
four years. Clearly the difficulty of predicting air emissions or noise against a no policy action
transportation after the events of September base case. The forecast is also used, in conjunc-
11th, 2001 made the production of the last fore- tion with other models and databases, to deter-
cast quite a challenging task. However, the indus- mine costs incurred and benefits arising from var-
Chapter: Development and Use of Global Air Traffic and Aircraft Fleet Forecasts
17
ious stringency scenarios at different times over Costs and benefits based on various stringency
the forecast period. Generic new-delivery aircraft options are estimated over time, some occurring
in the fleet forecast are replaced by far into the future, and therefore yielding different
airframe/engine combinations from an in-produc- values than those occurring at earlier stages. A
tion airframe/engine combinations database con- discounting methodology is used to ensure com-
taining emissions/noise data developed by the parability of costs and benefits for each option
appropriate technical working group within CAEP. considered. Benefits are not monetized and are
18 Part 1: Aviation Outlook
Masterfile
Aircraft Noise
20 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
The Four Elements of the Balanced Certification of jet aircraft is addressed in Annex
Approach An Overview 16, Chapters 2, 3 and 4. Chapter 4 is the most
A brief overview of each element of the balanced recent one and is applicable to aircraft types cer-
approach is provided below. They are described in tificated after January 2006. The Annex also con-
more detail in a number of articles contained later tains provisions for the certification of propeller
in this part of the report. driven aeroplanes and helicopters.
Figure 4 Comparison of noise footprints of a Boeing 757-200 (Chapter 3) and of a Boeing 727-200 (Chapter 2).
levied is provided in the ICAO Manual of Airport ments of certain aircraft or limiting access of all
and Air Navigation Facility Tariffs (Doc 7100). In aircraft during certain hours of the day at an air-
general, the basis for user charges is defined as port. ICAO does not encourage applying aircraft
the full cost of providing the required airport serv- operating restrictions measures as a first resort;
ices and facilities. In the context of noise-related the other elements of the balanced approach
charges, this can include the costs of: noise mon- should be considered first.
itoring, noise insulation for housing, and purchas-
ing houses and land in areas adversely affected Future Work on Aircraft Noise
by noise. As projected growth in air traffic has the potential
to aggravate the problem of aircraft noise around
3. Noise Abatement Operational airports, ICAO will continue to work vigorously
Procedures towards the development of Standards and
It is possible to achieve noise reductions in a rel- Recommented Practices (SARPs) and other guid-
atively short time period through changes in air- ance material to support the balanced approach
craft operational procedures. In fact, noise abate- policy. To support the current work on evaluating
ment procedures are used to redistribute the the need for updating its aircraft noise certifica-
noise produced during the flight to alleviate the tion standards and to ensure that the latest tech-
impact of noise on the most sensitive areas. nology is always reflected, ICAO is currently
There are several operational measures that can developing medium-term (10 years) and long-
be adopted, such as changing runways and term (20 years) technology goals for aircraft noise.
routes, special noise abatement manoeuvres dur-
ing take-off and approach, thereby reducing the More work is also envisaged on noise standards
number of people exposed to noise in specific for future supersonic aircraft and rotorcraft.
areas around airports. Noise abatement proce-
dures are contained in Procedures for Air In addition, ICAO plans to carry on its continuous
Navigation Services Aircraft Operations, assessment of the evolution of aircraft noise
Volume I - Flight Procedures (Doc 8168), Part I, impacts by using models and indicators to reflect
Section 7. the number of people affected by noise in both
the present and the future. These ongoing
4. Aircraft Operating Restrictions assessments will facilitate future development of
Under the balanced approach, an operating cost-benefit approaches designed to alleviate the
restriction is defined as any noise-related action detrimental environmental health and welfare
that limits or reduces an aircrafts access to an air- impacts of aircraft noise. ICAO/CAEP is currently
port. Operating restrictions can improve the studying this subject and a workshop is planned
noise climate by limiting or prohibiting move- for October 2007 with experts in these areas.
24 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
Over the years, those requirements were expand- duce a limit on the sum of the noise indices at all
ed to include aircraft types with other than jet three measuring points. It therefore decided that
engines, and also to include helicopters. Noise this sum of the measured noise levels would
limits became applicable in 1975 for light pro- have to be lower (by 10 dB) than the sum of the
peller-driven aircraft and in 1977 for heavy pro- limits imposed by Chapter 3 of Annex 16.
peller-driven aircraft. In 1981, noise limits for heli-
copters were introduced. All of these provisions A further requirement was that the sum of the
have, with time, been refined and expanded. measured levels at any two measuring points
would have to be below the sum of the corre-
Chapter 4 Standards sponding Chapter 3 limits by at least 2 dB. These
In parallel with this, aircraft manufacturers were requirements subsequently became applicable in
continuously researching and developing tech- March 2002. This change in approach to the
nologies to reduce aircraft noise and striving for a method of applying noise limits, while ensuring
better understanding of the sources of aircraft an overall reduction in noise, still allowed manu-
noise. Accordingly, the inclusion of noise absorb- facturers some freedom to take advantage of
ing material in engines and engine nacelles, as large improvements at some measuring points to
well as overall nacelle design, and mechanical offset smaller reductions, or no reductions, at
refinements on engines, together with airframe others.
adjustments, have all contributed incrementally
to further reducing the noise of jet powered air- Additional changes to Annex 16, Volume I, are
craft. Although none of these improvements indi- proposed for applicability in November 2008. That
vidually has matched the step forward that came proposal includes: provisions related to atmos-
from the increase in bypass ratio, together they pheric conditions in noise certification testing and
have been significant. measurement conditions (e.g. clarification of def-
initions relating to wind speeds), the measure-
At its fifth meeting, ICAOs Committee on ment of aircraft noise perceived on the ground,
Aviation Environmental Protection (CAEP - the the evaluation method for noise certification of
successor to CAN), agreed that a further change helicopters, and an update to the guidelines for
to the jet aircraft noise limits could be introduced. obtaining helicopter noise data for land-use plan-
It concluded that although no increase in strin- ning purposes.
gency of the noise limit at any one measuring
point was possible, it was reasonable to intro- An illustration of the reduction in noise limits over
time is shown in Figure 3.
Conclusions
The reduction of noise at source has always been
one of the cornerstones of ICAOs noise mitiga-
tion efforts and will no doubt continue to be.
While research and development in noise reduc-
tion technology continues, it appears likely that
the future will be similar to the past, with steady
incremental progress in a number of areas; but
no dramatic improvement in any one area. We
may therefore expect small advances which will
only accumulate into significant changes over a
longer period of time.
Reference
This article is mainly based on information devel-
Figure 3 Progress made in noise reduction at source since imple- oped by CAEP as contained in the CAEP/7 Report
mentation of aircraft noise standards. (Doc 9886).
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management 27
Aircraft Community Noise Reduction
Technology Status and Prospects
For the past half century, aircraft and engine man- By ICCAIA
ufacturers, together with research establish- International Coordinating
Council of Aerospace
ments and universities, governments, and inter- Industries Associations
national organizations have worked aggressively
to reduce aircraft noise levels. With a focus on the
contributions of aircraft technology to noise
reduction; this article provides an overview of the
progress in aircraft noise reduction made to-date,
the technological advances that have driven that
progress, and the outlook for the future.
Historical Progress
Since the introduction of jet aircraft in the late
1950s and early 1960s about a 20 decibel reduc-
tion in perceived takeoff noise level has been Figure 2 Historical Progress in Propeller-Driven Regional
achieved (Figure 1). Compared with early turbo- Aircraft Noise Reduction
jets and first-generation turbofans, current-gener-
ation turbofans show a significant reduction in
total engine noise. In addition, major advances in The High-Bypass-Ratio1 Engine
airframe and propulsion system designs (engine Revolution
and nacelle), combined with improvements in air- The turbojets and first generation turbofans of the
craft performance have further contributed to 1960s were dominated by high jet exhaust noise
reducing aircraft noise. Over the same period, (a loud roar or rumble). The high-bypass-ratio tur-
major advances have also been made that bofans of the 1990s, however, significantly
reduced the noise of propeller-driven regional air- reduced jet velocities for the same thrust and
craft (Figure 2). Against the backdrop of this sig- consequently generated much less jet noise.
nificant progress toward reduced aircraft noise Although jet exhaust noise is still a significant
and in view of the anticipated growth of the world contributor to total aircraft noise at full power, fan
aircraft fleet, manufacturers are committed to noise (characterized by a high-pitched whine or
continuing their efforts to further mitigate the whistle) is now a more significant contributor to
impact of aircraft noise in and around the airport total noise, especially at reduced power and land-
communities. ing approach conditions (Figure 3).
1 The Bypass-Ratio (BPR) is the relationship between the amount of air passing through the core of a turbofan engine,
compared with the amount of air drawn in by the fan but bypassing the core.
28 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
Associated with the implementation of any new holders in this complex area toward the objective
low-noise technology is inevitably a benefit gap - of making substantial noise reduction through air-
a reduction in the noise benefit achieved com- craft operational procedures a reality. The devel-
pared with benefits identified early in the technol- opment of advanced aircraft systems will further
ogy development process. In other words, enable optimized procedures, but progress in this
expected noise benefits can erode significantly as area will be dependent upon the development of
the technology is developed for realistic applica- advanced ground infrastructure and ATM sys-
tions and incorporated into the product, with tems. The third element of the Balanced
attendant trade-offs between noise and other Approach, land use planning and management, is
requirements. There is also a product transition needed to protect the benefits gained from the
time - a delay between technology being available first two elements. Operating restrictions provide
on-the-shelf, its integration into a specific aircraft the final element, when all other elements have
development and the general spreading of such been exhausted.
technology throughout the worldwide fleet. The
benefit gap and product transition time need to In order to maximize the benefits from the large
be considered when relating research goals to investment in developing the technology to
future aircraft noise levels. reduce noise at source, it is essential that all
stakeholders work together on the multiple inter-
Balanced Approach dependent factors involved (technology, opera-
Noise reduction technologies are developed tional procedures, traffic and fleet developments,
through extensive programs whose scope and Air Traffic Management, airport infrastructure etc.)
timeframes cannot be related to the timeframe using a global systems approach. This implies a
associated with the design optimization of a par- high level of cooperation and a permanent pro-
ticular airplane. The aviation industry relies on a ductive dialogue among all the different parties.
rational, stable, internationally harmonized regula-
tory framework adapted to its long development The Future
cycles and long product life. During the later In the future, technology will continue to play a
stages of an aircraft design, local noise rules significant role in reducing the noise around air-
applied at specific airports may in some cases be ports. Significant progress has been made in
taken into account as additional constraints in the reducing aircraft noise over the past half century.
aircraft design optimization process. This can be Aircraft, engine, and nacelle manufacturers con-
done only when the development of an airplane tinue to invest in extensive research programs
permits such in terms of timing, performance and targeted at delivering additional technologically
fuel burn capability. The development of noise feasible and economically reasonable improve-
reduction technologies, however, is driven by a ments with timely and effective environmental
broad and balanced long-term vision of the world- benefits. Further significant noise reductions,
wide future environmental requirements. however, will require substantial progress in
reducing the many different complex noise
ICAOs Committee for Aviation Environmental sources that contribute to the aircraft noise signa-
Protection (CAEP ) provides a unique internation- ture, and will therefore necessitate sustained
al framework for developing rules and guidelines investment.
on aviation environmental issues. CAEP is an
unequalled platform for exchanging and consoli- Comprehensive international noise research pro-
dating data, developing and sharing visions, analy- grams have been launched, involving industry,
ses and proposals at different levels, from techno- research establishments and universities. Many
logical feasibility to policy imperatives. Thus, promising and exciting concepts for reducing
ICAO/CAEP provides a forum that helps in partic- noise are being evaluated and developed, but
ular to optimize the different design requirements substantial efforts will be required to prove and
and the balancing of the needs of all the stake- implement these ideas for practical aircraft appli-
holders. CAEP is central to ensuring the balance cation. In parallel with the development of such
between environmental benefit, technological technologies to reduce noise, it is crucial that
feasibility, and economic reasonableness. technology is not considered in isolation, but in
the broader context of the ICAO/CAEP Balanced
In developing and implementing technologies to Approach to reducing the noise around airports.
reduce airport noise at source, the manufacturing All possible cost-effective means to improve the
industry plays a major role in addressing one of noise situation must be explored, including noise
the four elements of the Balanced Approach to abatement procedures that can themselves ben-
managing noise in the vicinity of airports. The efit from technology advances. Finally those
manufacturing industry is also heavily involved in noise benefits achieved must be protected
the development of noise abatement operational through proper land-use management around air-
procedures, another element of the Balanced ports.
Approach. CAEP is working hard with all stake-
32 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
With increasing air traffic and growing sensitivity The method chosen to address this question was
of the populations around airports to aircraft to assess the distribution of noise-impacted pop-
noise, airport authorities have put in-place pro- ulation in terms of noise contribution made by air-
grammes for monitoring the actual noise levels craft departures and arrivals at various altitudes
generated by aircraft operations. These observa- and distances along flight tracks, and then associ-
tions have made it possible to make comparisons ating the problem (number of people exposed)
of noise levels required by the certification with aircraft operational factors (departure/arrival,
process with actual monitored levels. Some of distance, and aircraft altitude), which could then
these comparisons have raised questions about be related to one of the noise certification
the continuing validity of the existing ICAO noise demonstration procedures (i.e. flyover, lateral, or
certification scheme in reflecting the operational approach).
noise of modern aircraft.
Twenty-four airports were selected to provide a
Noise Level Comparison Study geographically and operationally diverse sample
ICAOs CAEP consequently decided that a study of airports representing worldwide exposure (as
should be conducted to determine the relevance shown in Table 1). The study used the MAGENTA1
of the current certification scheme. The study noise model [see part on Models and databases].
was divided into three parts: design process,
problem identification, and comparison of certifi- The study concluded that the majority of the pop-
cated noise levels with noise levels monitored ulation that was highly annoyed by departing
around airports during day-to-day operations. The aircraft would seem to be living some 7 to 12 km
main conclusions of this study are summarized in from start of take-off roll. At this distance, depart-
this article. ing aircraft would probably be in the lateral or fly-
over phases of flight, suggesting that the certifi-
Consideration of Noise Requirements in cation procedures are relevant and that noise
the Design Process of Jet Aircraft reduction achieved by technology is indeed
There are numerous criteria that must be reflected in reductions of noise close to the air-
addressed when designing a new aircraft and ports at the locations studied.
environmental performance is only one of them.
For noise, the design of an aircraft is driven by tar- It was further concluded that for arriving aircraft
gets expressed in terms of the noise levels there are two locations at which significant num-
required to obtain aircraft certification. If needed, bers of people are highly annoyed: between 0
a validation of the design is performed by assess- and 3 km and between 9 and 12 km from the run-
ing the anticipated acoustic performance of the way threshold. The certification point at 2 km is
aircraft in operational conditions. representative of the first location (0 to 3 km) and
a preliminary assessment suggests that it may
This part of the study concluded that, because also be representative, in terms of configuration
the noise design of an aircraft is driven by targets at least, of the second. However the study con-
1 MAGENTA stands for - Model for Assessing the Global Exposure to the Noise of Transport Aircraft.
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management 33
Table 1 Airports Included In the Analysis. cluded that noise problems at such far out loca-
tions, where they are shown to exist, would prob-
ably be best solved by operational means rather
than changing the aircraft technology certification
Airports Country
scheme.
Perth Australia
It was therefore concluded that the results of the
Sydney Australia study do not reveal a compelling need to change
the current certification scheme.
Sao Paulo Brazil
Comparison of Certificated Noise
Guangzhou China Levels with Noise Levels
Monitored Around Airports
Paris Roissy France This part of the study was carried out using the
noise levels recorded by airport noise monitoring
Cologne / Bonn Germany stations at airports located in North America,
Europe and Australia. The monitoring points were
Tehran Iran relative to the start of the take-off roll or landing
touchdown points, as representing the noise cer-
Fukuoka Japan tification reference points. Whenever possible,
each of the monitored events recorded at each of
Nagoya Japan the microphone locations around the airports was
associated with radar tracking information.
Osaka Japan Accepted statistical techniques were used for
assessing the correlation between noise certifica-
Tokyo Narita Japan
tion data and operational data.
Mexico City Mexico
The various statistical analyses applied yielded
Manila Philippines similar results. In nearly all cases the analyses
revealed significant correlation between the two
Madrid Spain types of noise levels; certification points and actu-
al noise observations.
Bangkok Thailand
Conclusion
Schiphol The Netherlands Although evidence from the overall study shows
that the current noise certification scheme does
Istanbul Turkey not necessarily simulate typical aircraft opera-
tional noise around airports, due to many factors,
London Heathrow UK there exists a reasonably high degree of correla-
tion between noise certification levels and meas-
Chicago OHare USA ured operational levels. Therefore, the current
noise certification scheme is still considered to be
Los Angeles USA very pertinent.
Miami USA
References
NY La Guardia USA This article is mainly based on information devel-
oped by CAEP as contained in the CAEP/7 Report
San Diego USA (Doc 9886).
Land-Use Planning
Land-Use Planning
and Management Issues
By Ms. Elizabeth Andrade Airports are major centres of attraction in urban Land Use Planning and
areas. Their impacts are many and usually include Management - Explained
economic, environmental (noise and emissions), Many airports in the world have been encroached
and land use issues; all of which may affect the by incompatible uses, thus forcing them to adopt
future development of the airport. costly operational restrictions to deal with the
adverse effects of aircraft noise. Also, the number
One of the major problems affecting the people of people affected by aircraft noise depends on,
living and working around airports is noise due to among other things, the way in which the use of
aircraft operations. Accordingly, residential devel- land surrounding an airport is planned and man-
opments near noise-sensitive airports have gen- aged. Noise-sensitive activities such as those
erated all sorts of complaints and community related to residences, schools and hospitals must
Elizabeth Andrade is head actions aiming to reduce noise due to aircraft
of the Land Use Compati- be controlled, so as to prevent constraints on
bility Group of the Civil operations. Of course, this may impose airport future airport development.
Aviation National Agency capacity constraints and significantly increase the
Brazil. She coordinates costs of providing commercial services. Consequently, considering the fact that airports
programs related to the
are usually located within the limits of large urban
compatibility between air-
ports and surrounding
Over the years, technological improvements to areas, in order to minimize the adverse impacts of
urban activities including: aircraft have managed to considerably reduce its operations, it is necessary to organize the air-
Brazilian airports Master noise at the source, which has required heavy port and surrounding areas through the develop-
Plans, development of investments from the air transport industry. ment and adoption of a set of plans that govern
legislation and land-use However, since noise reduction at source alone is
regulations for noise urban planning and management with respect to
impacted areas, and no longer sufficient there is a need to explore the airport. It is important to keep in mind that
Noise Compatibility additional solutions for noise problem manage- each airport is different in its operational charac-
Plans. As part of ICAOs ment. teristics, its social, economic and political situa-
Committee on Aviation
tion,as well as in the type of land use in its sur-
Environmental Protection
(CAEP) Working Group 2
Conscious of the need to incorporate new poli- rounding area. All of these factors must be taken
(WG2) Operations since cies and guidance material related to noise prob- into account when planning land use in the vicin-
2000, she was a co-focal lems due to aircraft operations, ICAO introduced ity of airports. Therefore, when adopting planning
point for WG2 Land Use the concept of the balanced approach to noise instruments, airport administrations should
Planning and Noise management in Assembly Resolution 33-7 (A33-
Management Task Group include a land use control system to assure that
(TG1). With TG1 she par- 7) Consolidated Statement of continuing ICAO the measures comply not only with the necessi-
ticipated in the develop- policies and practices related to environmental ties of the airport as a whole, but also with the
ment of the Guidance on protection. This was superseded by Assembly aspirations of the communities involved.
the Balanced Approach to Resolution 35-5 (A35-5), in 2004.
Aircraft Noise Manage-
ment (ICAO Doc 9829) With these issues in mind, ICAO dedicated an
and the review/ update of This article deals with land-use planning and appendix (Appendix F) of its Assembly Resolution
the Airport Planning management, which represents one of the ele- A35-5 to land use planning and management. In
Manual. ments of the balanced approach. this appendix, States are urged to:
Figure 1 Example of Noise Contours - Salgado Filho International Airport Porto Alegre, Brazil.
1 This chart reports the actual average number of noise events per day recorded around the airport
40 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
Figure 1 Diagram extracted from the Draft EIS for a proposed new parallel runway at Brisbane Airport, Queensland.
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management 41
Similar approaches are being adopted in the
United States. A segment of an area-wide repre-
sentation of aircraft noise around St Petersburg
Clearwater International Airport in Florida, using
the DNL2 metric, is shown in Figure 2. This figure
was extracted from a noise study that was carried
out to support ongoing work of the Airports
Noise Abatement Task Force [6].
Reduction of noise at source may be beneficial. Figure 2 Area wide noise information for an area to the south of St Petersburg Clearwater
However, for many residents living in outer areas, International Airport,Florida.
aircraft noise disturbance primarily arises from
high numbers of aircraft movements, and a lack
of respite, rather than the loudness of individual
flights. Implementation of operating restrictions (eg. cur-
fews and movement caps) will generally provide
Noise abatement operational procedures have relief for distant residents. However, application
potential beneficial application. For example, of the distant noise management strategies
these may be used to optimise the location of spelled out in the next section would probably be
flight paths relative to the location of housing in preferred if assessed using the cost/benefit
the distant areas and the use of noise preferred analysis principles specified in Chapter 9 of the
runways at an airport can impact on which flight Balanced Approach Guidance document.
paths are used at a significant distance from an
airport. The noise benefits of some specific oper- Specific Strategies for
ational procedures (eg. Continuous Descent Managing Distant Noise
Approachess) may have greatest positive effect in A number of strategies, which are distinctly differ-
the outer areas. ent to the conventional close in noise manage-
ment approaches, can be applied to manage
noise on an area-wide basis.
2 The Day-night average sound level (DNL) represents the noise as it occurs over a 24-hour period, with a 10 dB penal-
ty for noise events occurring at night to account for greater sensitivity to night-time noise and the fact that noise events
at night are perceived to be more intrusive because night-time ambient noise is less than daytime ambient noise.
42 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
Managing flight paths is a key tool in the outer that in order for these relationships to be estab-
areas. Close to an airport, the opportunities for lished there needs to be a fully transparent
varying flight paths are limited since aircraft have exchange of information between the parties. To
to be marshalled into relatively concentrated this end, information needs to be presented
flight path zones in order to safely land on, and using aircraft noise descriptors that can be easily
take off from, the runways. However, with understood and that show noise exposure pat-
increasing distance from the airport there are terns across the broad area around an airport.
greater opportunities to be selective about the
location of flight paths and to adopt strategies Emerging Issue in the Outer Areas
which influence the number, and times, the flight Noise/Emissions Trade-Offs
paths are used. Opportunities exist to disperse At present, many countries are putting great
aircraft noise across the outer areas through the emphasis on the introduction of new air traffic
spreading of tracks and the rotation of runways management (ATM) procedures in order to
and flight paths. increase operational efficiencies and to reduce
gaseous emissions from aircraft. Invariably these
Area wide noise disclosure is also a key aircraft new procedures involve some changes to exist-
noise management tool. In this context, noise ing flight paths. The opportunities for introducing
disclosure does not signify the conventional plac- more operationally efficient flight paths will gen-
ing of notifications on house titles or sales docu- erally increase with increasing distance from an
mentation. Rather, it means providing all mem- airport and hence introduction of these new pro-
bers of a community access to comprehensible, cedures will most likely involve relocation of flight
and up-to-date, area-wide aircraft noise informa- paths over areas that are situated outside the
tion. As indicated earlier, the residents of areas conventional noise contours.
located a long way from an airport commonly
have an expectation that they will not be subject- Commonly, flight paths in the vicinity of airports
ed to aircraft noise and have a heightened are negotiated with local communities and incor-
adverse reaction if they discover they are unex- porated into Noise Abatement Procedures (NAPs)
pectedly living under a busy flight path. With in order to minimise an airports noise impacts
recent advances in flight path tracking and home (eg. flight paths are designed to avoid overflying
computing it is relatively simple to provide the particular communities). In many cases the NAPs
community with ready access to effective area are implemented fully recognising that they will
wide aircraft noise information in order to manage require aircraft to travel greater distances, and
surprise noise. The information is likely to revolve hence burn more fuel and increase emissions.
around showing the location of flight paths and Historically, noise has been given a higher priority
the numbers and times of movements on those than emissions in optimising flight path design.
flight paths. Information on aircraft noise levels
can now be readily provided using single event With the advent of new navigational capabilities,
based noise metrics. In Australia the Federal there is now a large potential for reducing emis-
Transport and Environment agencies have jointly sions through redesigning flight paths and the
published Guidance Material on selecting and question arises to what extent, if any, the balance
providing aircraft noise information [7]. between noise and emissions should change in
response to the growing pressures to reduce avi-
Ultimately, if there is to be broad community sup- ation emissions. Some procedures such as con-
port for an airport there needs to be an avenue for tinuous descent approaches (CDAs) have the
all members of the community, both the close in potential to deliver both fuel burn and noise ben-
and those from the outer areas to have confi- efits. Other changes which provide emissions
dence that all options for managing aircraft noise benefits will inevitably have noise downsides. In
have been examined and that an equitable out- practice, a range of approaches could be adopted
come has been adopted. Experience has shown in an effort to achieve a balance between noise
43
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management
Figure 1 Noise Contours Map to 2013 at Liege Airport Belgium Socit Wallonne des Aroports (SOWAER).
45
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management
1 Mr. Erwin Lassooij and Mr. Vincent Galotti from ICAO Secretariat contributed to this article.
2 PANS OPS stands for Procedures for Air Navigation Services, Aircraft Operations.
47
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management
While CDA procedures currently exist at some air- in the field of standardization of CDAs, developing
ports in various forms, the fully optimized CDA for guidelines for ATM and flight operations to pre-
the environmental protection purposes would vent a proliferation of non-standard CDAs. The
involve an unrestricted descent from cruise alti- development of these standardized CDAs takes
tude to the final approach fix, at or near flight idle into account environmental aspects (noise and
thrust without level flight segments. emissions), as well as fuel efficiency issues,
Unfortunately, the complexity of the airspace and while ensuring safe and efficient operations of
lack of both airborne and ground based tools to the ATM operations.
control this, limits ATM personnel from managing
this type of operation on a large-scale. Currently, CDA is only one of many aspects of a complex
at high-density traffic airports, controllers typical- ATM system that is required to guarantee safe
ly resort to extensive vectoring and speed control and efficient operation of air traffic (i.e., capacity,
to synchronize traffic with minimum spacing to accessibility), while at the same time taking into
keep arrival rates at their optimum level. It is gen- account environmental concerns. Other impor-
erally accepted that CDAs for high-density traffic tant ATM operational improvements include per-
will only be possible with the next generation of formance-based navigation and optimized route
airborne avionics equipment and ground-based structures.
ATM management automation tools, coupled
with an airspace redesign. Conclusion
These measures are also rendering environmen-
The results of some specific unrestricted CDA tal benefits such as: shortened routes with less
demonstrations resulted in a 5 to 6 dB reduction emissions, more robust distribution of aircraft
in peak noise levels along some portions of the along the nominal flight path, and providing air
flight path, resulting in noise contour area reduc- navigation system providers with a better tool for
tions of approximately 30%. As with departure avoiding noise sensitive areas. Nevertheless, the
noise reductions, the exact amount of noise environmental problem cannot be viewed in isola-
reduction is airport and aircraft/engine specific. As tion and has to be considered in the context of
the continuous descent flight path under CDAs the efficient operation of a complex ATM system.
replaces level flight segments, there will be some To achieve this, ICAO is working with the various
segments that will be lower in altitude, but since regions on several initiatives based upon their
level flight segments require higher engine power individual performance objectives.
settings, the resulting noise along the ground
path could be offset.
1 See article Noise Reduction of Aircraft Noise At Source for more information on Chapter 2 and 3 aircraft.
Chapter: ICAOs Balanced Approach to Aircraft Noise Management 51
Summary - ICAO Chapter 2 Phase-Out
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
before fully assessing available measures to balance between the interests of developing and
address the noise problem at the airport con- developed States and took into account the con-
cerned, in accordance with the balanced cerns of the airline industry, airports, and environ-
approach. mental interests.
Operating restrictions of this kind can have signif- The ICAO policy on phase-outs is contained in
icant economic implications for the airlines con- Doc 9848 - Assembly Resolutions in Force as of
cerned, both those based in the States taking 8 October 2004 - Appendix D Phase out of sub-
action and those based in other States that oper- sonic jet aircraft which exceed the noise levels in
ate to and from the affected airports. On each Volume I of Annex 16. Table 1 presents examples
occasion, the ICAO Assembly succeeded in of measures taken by States for the implementa-
reaching an agreement in the form of an tion of ICAO Chapter 2.
Assembly resolution that represented a careful
Table 1 Examples of countries or regions that have implemented Chapter 2 noise phase-out rules.
Europe (European Union) Required phase-out of all Chapter 2 aircraft completed 1 April 2002.
Rule stated that: At 25 years of age, narrow-body Chapter 2
aircraft will be ineligible for operation in the European airspace
without Chapter 3 modifications.
Exceptions:
No more than 10% of an operators total fleet can be phased-out
in any given year.
Wide-body aircraft are exempted from the interim age-based
phase-out schedule, but must be phased-out by the final
compliance date of 1 April 2002.
52 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
Table 1 (contd)
Japan, Australia,
New Zealand Required phase-out of all Chapter 2 aircraft by 1 April 2002.
At 25 years of age, Chapter 2 narrow-body aircraft will be
prohibited from operating in Japan, unless modified to Chapter 3.
Phase-out of Chapter 2 aircraft began after 1 April 1995.
Exceptions:
No more than 10% of an operators total fleet can be phased-out
in any given year.
Wide-body aircraft exempted from the interim age-based phase-
out schedule, but had to be phased-out by the final compliance
date of 1 April 2002.
ICAOs Policy on
Operating Restrictions
The decisions of the 35th Session of the ICAO g) give operators a reasonable period of advance
Assembly regarding operating restrictions are notice.
contained in Assembly Resolution A35-5,
Appendix E - Local noise-related operating restric- In addition, ICAO encourages States to continue
tions at airports. to cooperate bilaterally, regionally and inter-
regionally with a view to alleviating the noise bur-
ICAO discourages the application of operating den on communities around airports without
restrictions as the first option to mitigate noise imposing severe economic hardship on aircraft
around a specific airport. As stated above, the operators, and taking into account the problems
other elements of the balanced approach should of operators of developing countries.
be considered first. Nevertheless, if operating
restrictions are to be considered, these should: Figure 1 illustrates the growth of noise restric-
tions at worldwide airports. As shown, the num-
a) be based on the noise performance of the air- ber of airports applying noise restrictions has
craft, as determined by the certification proce- increased significantly during the last 30 years.
dure conducted, consistent with Annex 16, Noise Abatement Procedures (NAPs) and cur-
Volume I; fews are the measures that have observed the
highest growth.
b) be tailored to the noise problem of the airport
concerned in accordance with the balanced
approach;
Curfews could affect many types of operations The issue of curfews and their environmental
carried out at night such as: scheduled short and impact will be studied further by ICAO. A case
long-haul passenger flights, passenger charter study for a major airport will be carried out and
flights, scheduled and charter freight flights, and results are expected by 2010.
express and mail flights. A curfew established at
a specific airport does not only affect that airport Conclusions
and its environs, it may also affect the departure Aircraft operating restrictions have the potential
and arrival times at other airports as well as the to provide fast and significant reductions of noise
noise situation in a different region or country. For around airports but they can also impose impacts
example, a curfew at a European airport with and constraints that may influence other aspects
flights to far away destinations (e.g. India) could of an airports operation (e.g. extra financial bur-
reduce the number of people exposed to noise den in operators, imposing fleet or route changes
during the night locally but could significantly on other airports).
increase the number of people exposed to noise
at the corresponding Indian airport of destination. Consistent with its goal of achieving maximum
compatibility between the safe, economically
Some States, expressed concerns during the effective and orderly development of civil avia-
35th Session of the ICAO Assembly about the tion, and taking into consideration the quality of
global impact of night curfews. Airports without the environment, ICAO advises its Contracting
curfews, because of the restrictions by other air- States not to introduce any operating restrictions
ports, will have to accommodate a large volume at airports before undertaking a cost-effective-
of international operations at less convenient ness assessment of available measures to
hours, as well as the potentially adverse effects address the noise problem in accordance with
for market access, the use of traffic rights and air the balanced approach.
transport growth. It was recognized by the
Assembly that this was a delicate matter and that
it should be further studied by ICAO, particularly
with a view to determine the scope and scale of References
the problem. Guidance on the Balanced Approach to Aircraft
Noise Management (Doc 9829).
In response to the Assemblys request, a study
was carried out by ICAO CAEP in 2007 to exam- Assembly Resolutions in Force (as of 8 October
ine the types, the reasons for, and the global 2004) (Doc 9848).
scope and scale of curfews. In this context, scale
is understood to be the number of airports that IATA Balanced approach to noise management
apply curfews, while scope is the type of restric- around airports.
tion (i.e. partial or total). In order to draw conclu-
sions and to have sound data on worldwide cur- Boeing database on Airport Noise regulations for
fews, a database of worldwide regulations on Commercial Airplanes.
noise was used. The Boeing database contains http://www.boeing.com/commercial/noise/index.
html
Chapter: Other Developments 55
Other Developments
Review of Supersonic Technology
and Standards
Until recently there has been no reason to be con- ideas on how one could design aircraft to have By Kenneth Orth
cerned about the adequacy of ICAO environmen- minimal sonic booms. Those ideas were expand-
tal standards for supersonic airplanes. In the past, ed by Mack and Darden (2) in the 1980s. As sonic
supersonic airplanes were believed to be so envi- boom is intimately linked to the detailed geomet-
ronmentally unfriendly that flight over populated rical shape of an aircraft and the lift distribution on
areas was considered unacceptable, making the wings, the basic idea was to carefully control
them not commercially viable. In fact, the only the cross-sectional area and lift of the aircraft.
commercial supersonic model, the Concorde, However, it wasnt until the last 15 or 20 years
was removed from service in 2003. It has been that there has been sufficient computing power,
assumed by most people that any supersonic advances in computational fluid dynamics, and
flight would create objectionable sonic boom optimization, that these shaping concepts could
Kenneth Orth is an
noise, like that of the Concorde, making future be significantly advanced. Associate Technical
supersonic models unlikely, and updates to their Fellow (Retired), Boeing
environmental standards a non-issue. However, As a result of those advancements, computation- Commercial Airplane
there have been advances in technology in recent al and design tools are now being developed that Company. Mr. Orth is a
years that are bringing the need for environmen- designers believe will allow them to create air- senior aircraft noise spe-
cialist with more than
tal standards related to supersonic aircraft back craft designs that will reduce or eliminate objec- thirty years in the aircraft
into focus. tionable sonic boom noise. With those rapidly manufacturing industry.
developing tools for designing sonic boom reduc- With Boeing he was
Background tion technologies, corporations and consortiums responsible for noise
design of future airplane
In the late 1960s and early 1970s, George and are currently seriously looking into commercial models and assisting air-
Seebass (1) and others put forward workable supersonic airplane programs. lines in selecting models
with noise profiles com-
patible with their commu-
nity noise requirements.
Mr. Orth was internation-
al manufacturers
Observer to the ICAO
Committee on Aviation
Environmental Protection
(CAEP) where he partici-
pated in working groups
developing policies and
standards dealing with
aviation noise and emis-
sions and he was leader
of the manufacturers at
the CAEP/4 and CAEP/5
meetings. He worked
closely with the FAA in
the US and with ICAO on
Noise Technology
Working Group (WG1) of
CAEP and served as focal
point for the Supersonic
Task Group of WG1 after
CAEP6 in 2004.
There are several different groups in the United they take due account of the problems which the
States and Europe that are right now developing operation of supersonic aircraft may create for the
smaller size supersonic airplanes for use as busi- public and, in particular, as regards sonic boom, to
ness jets. More visible among those groups are: take action to achieve international agreement on
Aerion Corporation, Gulfstream Aerospace, measurement of the sonic boom, the definition in
Dassault Aviation, and Supersonic Aerospace quantitative or qualitative terms of the expression
International. The Government of Japan is explor- unacceptable situations for the public and the
ing development of even larger supersonic air- establishment of the corresponding limits.
planes. An example concept of one of these
supersonic airplanes is shown in figure 1. A full discussion of the background for the current
noise and emissions Standards and
With these continuing advancements in sonic Recommended Practices (SARPs) for supersonic
boom reduction technologies, many experts now airplanes is available in the CAEP/7 documenta-
believe that designers may be able to design air- tion (4). Neither the emissions nor the noise
planes that would have sufficiently low sonic SARPs for supersonic airplanes have been
boom signatures, (or without sonic booms that revised in the last 30 years. The reason they have
reach the ground), that they may be acceptable not been updated in that time period is that new
for flight over populated areas. That raises the supersonic models were thought to be unlikely.
question as to what might be an acceptable sonic
boom level to permit over-flight of populated For noise, there is a note that states:
areas.
Standards and Recommended Practices for
Both Japan and the United States have looked these aeroplanes are not yet developed but the
into developing such acceptability criteria for noise levels of Chapter 3 of this Part applicable to
sonic boom and have done limited work in the subsonic jet aeroplanes may be used as guide-
area. Some work towards developing acceptabil- lines for aeroplanes for which the application for a
ity criteria in both countries has been done using certificate of airworthiness for the prototype was
sonic boom simulators. Background for previous accepted or another equivalent prescribed proce-
studies was described in more detail by Sparrow dure was carried out by the certificating authority
and Coulouvrat (3) in their February, 2007 paper on or after 1 January 1975.
presented to the 7th meeting of the ICAO
Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection As stated above, these are guidelines. New types
(CAEP/7). Much more of such work is believed to of subsonic airplanes must meet the recently
be required, primarily involving large-scale test- adopted Chapter 4 Noise Standards which are at
ing, involving flight demonstrations of low-boom least a cumulative of 10 EPNdB more stringent
test vehicles. than the current Chapter 3 Standards used as
guidelines for supersonic airplanes.
Regulatory Issues
ICAO instructed the Council in Assembly For engine emissions, there is a parallel situation.
Resolution 33-7 and reaffirmed in Appendix G of Since it was believed that there was little likeli-
Resolution 35-5 to review the Annexes and hood of another supersonic airplane, after the
other relevant documents, so as to ensure that Concorde, little effort was put into developing
Figure 2 Helicopter main rotor hub where the rotors drive shaft and blades connect.
Source: Marshall Brain
3 A Fenestron (or Fantail) is a totally enclosed tail rotor of a helicopter and is essentially a ducted fan. The term Fenestron
is a trademark of Eurocopter.
4 NOTAR - is an acronym for NO TAil Rotor, is a relatively new helicopter anti-torque system developed by McDonnell
Douglas Helicopter Systems which eliminates the use of the tail rotor on a helicopter, yielding quieter and safer opera-
tion.
60 Part 2: Aircraft Noise
Masterfile
Local Emissions
62 Part 3: Local Emissions
1 As part of its future work programme ICAOs CAEP/8 will examine and model the potential health effects of aviation.
This work will examine both aircraft emissions and aircraft noise concerns. The first phase will take place at the Scientific
Workshop on Aviation Health Effects, scheduled for October 29 30, 2007, ICAO Headquarters, Montreal, Canada, QC.
2 CAEP/7 IP/25 entitled, Aviation Environmental Portfolio Management Tool (APMT) Progress.
Chapter: Local Emissions Overview 63
For a snapshot of the progress made by ICAO 2 shows how technological innovations in aircraft
regarding technology and Standards (in collabora- engines have resulted in reductions of key air pol-
tion with its stakeholders from industry and aca- lutants. ICAOs leadership in the emissions
demia), one need not look any further than Standards setting process has been instrumental
advances in aviation over the past 20 to 40 years. to these achievements.
Since becoming effective in 19863, ICAO has
increased the stringency of international NOx Figure 2 illustrates the relative reductions in emis-
emission Standards by about 40% for newly cer- sion levels from landings and take-offs (LTO)
tificated aircraft engines4. This action has signifi- before and after implementation of ICAOs CAEP
cantly reduced the impact of NOx emissions from Standards. For example, in the first comparison
aircraft engines on local air quality, including from left to right for the Pratt & Whitney (P & W)
some mitigation effects on climate change since JT8D-200 engines, emissions levels for NOx,
NOx is a precursor to ozone. Additionally, todays UHC, and CO are at their highest. However, after
modern large transport jet aircraft are 70% more compliance with ICAOs Standards, overall emis-
fuel efficient than they were 40 years ago. Figure sions from the P&W JT8D-200 E-Kit, dropped sig-
3 This increase in the NO stringency standard of about 40 percent is based on a pressure ratio of 30, and it includes
x
the CAEP/6 NOx stringency increase of 12 percent, which takes place in 2008. ICAO/CAEP continues to evaluate the
merits of increasing its stringency standards for NOx emissions in its future work programme.
4 The standard for NO was adopted by ICAO in 1981 and became effective in 1986.
x
64 Part 3: Local Emissions
Figure 2 Reductions in Pollutants from Aviation by Engine Type. Before and After CAEP.
Source: Pratt & Whitney.
nificantly. In fact, unburned hydrocarbons have form of reducing the levels of aircraft engine
been virtually eliminated. Although this example emissions on LAQ, global climate, and aircraft
focuses on P&W aircraft engines, similar exam- noise.5
ples could be cited for aircraft engines from other
manufacturers. An example of CDAs potential mitigation benefits
on LAQ is shown in the Figure 3, where the aver-
To complement the standard-setting process, age NOx produced by the B757-200 (includes
CAEP/7 developed, with the assistance of a panel both engine types Pratt and Whitney and Rolls
of independent experts, medium and long term Royce) performing the CDA and the conventional
NOx technology goals (respectively 10 and 20 approach (referred to as baseline) is reduced by
years time). The medium-term NOx goal is a 37%, (from 1510g to 951g). The corresponding
reduction from current standards of 45% by reduction for the B767-300 is 39.9%, (from 2882g
2016. The long term NOx goal is an improvement to 1732g). These significant reductions in NOx
of engine emissions performance of 60% by were not surprising as they are very much in line
2026. with those reported by other studies.
5 The discussion of CDA, however, in this part of the report focuses only on the mitigation of aircraft emissions on LAQ
through fuel-burn reduction operating manoeuvres.
Chapter: Local Emissions Overview 65
effective approach to achieving CAEPs environ- The first part will help users create a regulatory
mental goals. Two articles on these MBMs are framework, inventories of airports, and airport
presented later in this part of the report. sources of emissions (already developed by
CAEP/7 in 2007),
Airport Air Quality and Aircraft
Emissions Charges Guidance The second part which includes dispersion mod-
One of ICAOs objectives is to develop harmo- elling, airport measurements, mitigation options,
nized best practices related to civil aviation. In etc., is expected to be developed for CAEP/8 in
keeping with this objective, ICAO/CAEP recently 2010.
developed guidance to Contracting States on
how to implement harmonized best practices Challenges
with respect to local air quality and emission The subject of emission sources is a complex
charges at airports. With respect to emissions topic. This complexity is compounded by the fact
charges, this part of the report include articles that sources of airport emissions other than
providing an overview of ICAOs newly devel- those associated with aircraft include ground sup-
oped guidance on aircraft emissions charges port equipment (e.g. passenger buses, mobile
related to LAQ (Guidance on Aircraft Emissions lounges, fuel trucks, aircraft tractors, etc.), land-
Charges Related to Local Air Quality, Document side vehicles (cars, taxis, trains, etc.) and station-
9884) and an overview of ICAO existing policy ary power generation plants. This makes it diffi-
guidance on charges and taxes. cult to determine the specific contribution of air-
craft to the local air quality situation.
Another key aspect of this part of the report per-
tain to the newly developed guidance of the air- Accordingly, there are many challenges con-
port air quality manual. This guidance manual fronting ICAO with respect to mitigating the
would provide assistant to States in assessing effects of aircraft emissions on local air quality.
and quatifying airpoirt sources of emissions Some of these challenges include: the continu-
(Airport Air Quality Guidance Manual, Document ous evaluation of the merits of imposing more
9889). stringent standards for NOx, reviewing medium
and long-term NOx technology goals, and explor-
ing the need to develop certification standards for
particulate matter due to its potential by adverse
impact on human health.
66 Part 3: Local Emissions
Unburned Hydrocarbons
Unburned hydrocarbons (HC) include a fairly long
list of compounds, also arising from incomplete
combustion within the engine. Some of these are
now known to be highly toxic or carcinogenic
with varying concentrations and exposure time,
thereby summoning the need to distinguish Figure 1 - How Aviation Emissions are produced.
between the different species. It is also apparent Source: Rolls Royce.
that for the identified species, as with species
that comprise NOx, chemical interactions contin-
ue to occur in the exhaust plume. The implication It is generally recognized that hydrocarbons pro-
in both cases is that measurement of emissions duced by modern engines are minimal but as
taken immediately downstream of the engine, as mentioned above, several different hydrocarbon
is now the practice for engine certification pur- compounds are emitted by an engine. It is neces-
poses, may not be adequate for the purposes of sary to know what compounds are produced,
evaluating all environmental impacts. how they react with other emissions and/or ambi-
ent air chemicals and what the ultimate environ-
Hydrocarbons (HC) and NOx are both known to mental impacts are. After these measurements
be involved in producing ozone, but some studies and analysis have been completed it will be nec-
have revealed that this also is a site-dependent essary to determine how such compounds
effect. For example, in the vicinity of Los Angeles should be handled in emissions inventories.
airport, analysis indicates that decreasing hydro-
carbons decreases ozone in much of the eastern Smoke
part of the LA basin, but decreasing NOx has little As mentioned above, smoke was originally con-
effect on ozone in the downtown area. In trolled because of its appearance and the percep-
Pasadena meanwhile, decreasing airport NOx tion that it was undesirable. It was considered to
emissions initially increases ozone. This is an be mainly a matter of visibility; and by that meas-
other example of, why it is very difficult to draw ure modern engines are essentially smoke-free.
any general conclusions concerning engine However, it is now known that the particulate
design measures which might be taken to trade matter that makes up smoke is still largely pres-
off one type of emission against another. ent in engine emissions, but reduced particle
size makes it less visible than before. Particulate
As mentioned above, several different hydrocar- matter continues to be emitted by modern
bon compounds are emitted by an engine. Before engines, but the particles are generally smaller in
any decision can be made concerning whether size and often fewer in number as well. In order
specific compounds need to be regulated, it is to quantify the particulate emissions and to cap-
necessary to know what compounds are pro- ture the trends as engine technology advances,
duced, how they react outside the engine with measurements are now focusing on the total
other emissions and/or ambient air chemicals, mass of particulate matter, along with a consider-
and what the ultimate environmental impacts are. ation of the particle size and number.
After that, it will then be necessary to determine
if such compounds can be included in a certifica-
tion scheme.
68 Part 3: Local Emissions
Sulphur
Sulphur and its compounds have always been
acknowledged as environmentally undesirable,
but, since their presence in the exhaust was sole-
ly a function of their presence in the fuel, and was
not affected by the design and operation of the
engine, they were not regulated by Annex 16,
Volume II, but were controlled through fuel spec-
ifications. It has been discovered, however, that if
fuel sulphur content increases, not only does the
concentration of sulphates in the exhaust
increase, adding to volatile particle contributions
as would be expected, but the amount of con- Reference
densed hydrocarbons in those particles also rises 1. This article is based largely on the work devel-
in concert with the increase in the sulphate in the oped for the ICAO/CAEP, by its Local Air Quality
volatile particles. These results raise the possibili- Science Focal Points and information contained in
ty that engine technology may be involved in the presentation entitled, Local Air Quality
determining volatile particle contributions, in addi- (LAQ) by Dr. Richard C. Miake-Lye (Director,
tion to the direct effect that fuel sulphur content Aerodyne, Inc. and CAEP Focal Point for LAQ),
has on the availability of sulphur to add to particle ICAO Colloquium on Aviation Emissions (14 - 16
mass. May 2007).
Chapter: Technology and Standards 69
Defining Technical Feasibility
for Setting Standards
In the process of setting engine emissions Technical Readiness Level By ICAO Secretariat
Standards for inclusion in Annex 16, Volume II CAEP, therefore, undertook a study to determine
Aircraft Engine Emissions, ICAOs Committee on whether a system of describing technical feasibil-
Aviation Environmental Protection (CAEP) estab- ity or readiness could be developed which
lished, several years ago, a set of principles for its encompassed both near-term standard-setting
own guidance. This was to ensure that there and mid/long term goals. The study determined
would be continuity and that future Standards that there was already in existence a Technical
would be developed using the same criteria that Readiness Level (TRL) scale that had been origi-
had been used previously. These three guiding nally developed by the National Aeronautical and
principles are that any Standard should be: tech- Space Administration in the United States (NASA)
nically feasible, economically reasonable, and and which was well-suited to CAEPs needs. This
environmentally beneficial. In the light of further scale, as adapted for CAEPs use, is illustrated in
experience, these have been expanded to ensure Figure 1. It contains nine levels, starting from
that interrelationships and trade-offs with other development of the basic principles of a technol-
environmental considerations are taken into ogy to the production systems being flight-
account; for example, to ensure that increased proven in operational conditions.
stringency of engine emissions Standards does
not have adverse effects on aircraft noise [1]. At its Seventh Meeting in February, 2007, the
Committee agreed to the use of this scale in its
Technical Feasibility future work for the purposes of standard-setting
ICAOs technology Standards for aircraft engine and for setting medium and long-term goals. It
emissions are based on the three principles also agreed that before setting standards for
noted above. The first of these principles con- emission levels, the technology involved would
cerns technical feasibility; it is clearly of no value, need to have reached Level 8 on the NASA TRL
at least in the short-term, to establish mandatory scale (as shown in Figure 1); that is, the system
emission levels which engine manufacturers can- must be completed and flight-qualified through
not achieve. Even in the longer term, for the pur- test and demonstration. It was further agreed
poses of establishing long-term emissions goals, that medium-term goals could be set for emis-
the industry, or supporting research establish- sion levels for which the technology demonstrat-
ments, must have some technological concept, ed at Levels 6 and 7, and long-term emission level
which, although undeveloped and unproven, goals could be set for technology at Levels 2 to 5
might at some future time be able to achieve the of the scale (as shown in Figure 1).
goals.
Since the stringency increases recommended by
CAEP found that to apply this principle in a con- CAEP typically become applicable to engines that
sistent manner, it needed a more precise under- will be individually certificated three or four years
standing of what was meant by technical feasibil- later, it can be seen that Levels 8 and 9 will
ity. It therefore, developed a working assumption include technologies that are already proven and
to the effect that technical feasibility refers to about to enter service or which are already in
any technology demonstrated to be safe and air- service; this being the technology level that CAEP
worthy, and available for application over a suffi- has historically used to determine technical fea-
cient range of newly certificated aircraft. For the sibility in the setting of Standards.
purposes of short-term standard setting, this def-
inition was adequate; however, CAEP needed to The TRL Scale shown in Figure 1 was originally
look further ahead to the possibility of setting developed by NASA as a general tool to character-
emissions goals at which the industry and ize the level of development of new technologies
research establishments should aim in the mid- across a wide range of applications including
dle- and long-term future. space vehicles, aircraft systems, aircraft engines
70 Part 3: Local Emissions
Reference
1. This above article is based on information con-
tained in ICAO/CAEP/7 Working Paper/9 and the
technical emissions section of the CAEP/7 Report
(Doc 9886). Useful information was also acquired
from the presentation entitled, Engine Exhaust
Emissions Standards and Transition Goals to
Standards by Curtis Holsclaw from the 2007
ICAO Colloquium on Aviation Emissions held in
Montreal.
Chapter: Technology and Standards 71
Setting Technology Goals
Technology goals in the context of aircraft engine was studied, as well as the currently evolving By ICAO Secretariat
emissions may be defined as statements of the technologies and longer term technology
capabilities of manufacturers to reduce emis- prospects. It should be stressed that a great deal
sions, as determined by an industry-wide assess- of judgement had to be exercised by the inde-
ment by independent experts (IEs). It should be pendent experts in coming to their conclusions
stressed that goals are not guarantees of future and their results were reached by consensus fol-
performance; progress in meeting the goals must lowing an iterative and advocative process.
be assessed over several years before they can
be used as a basis for the setting of emissions Results
standards. Goals are nevertheless valuable to The results of the study are illustrated in Figure 1
determine what the long-term trends in emis- titled LTTG Technology Goals: Mid- and Long-
sions reduction technology might be. They can term. It shows the NOx control parameter as a
also be used to provide inputs to long-term emis- function of pressure ratio for both the past and
sions impact scenarios. While in the ICAO/CAEP present Annex 16, Volume II Standards (the four
process long-term technological trends have top lines). A pale green band represents the
been reviewed before, the preparation of mid- range of performance of engines currently certifi-
and long-term emissions goals was carried out in cated, with brown dots and linking lines repre-
a systematic way for the first time for the recent senting specific engine families. The darker green
CAEP/7 meeting, held in February, 2007 [1]. band represents evolving technology, and the pur-
ple band represents what is predicted for new
The Goal Setting Process technologies. Based on these data and predic-
The process of goal setting was carried out by a tions, the IE panel, by consensus, set medium-
panel of six independent experts, nominated at term goals at 45% below the latest Annex 16,
CAEPs request by interested States. The inde- Volume II, Standards, and long-term goals 60%
pendence of the experts was a crucial element of below the current regulatory level; although it
the process. There was active participation by the was accepted that these were challenging tar-
major aircraft and engine manufacturers, six rep- gets. These goals were subsequently endorsed
resentatives of which joined the six IEs on the by the ICAO/CAEP Meeting.
panel heading the technology review. The review
assessed non-sensitive data presented by individ- Future Activity
ual manufacturers and deliberations were carried It was agreed that progress towards meeting
out in an open forum. This procedure was these goals would need to be continuously mon-
designed to ensure that the assessment would itored by CAEP. Moreover, it was agreed that the
not be seen as a self-assessment by manufactur- process should now be applied to noise, fuel con-
ers. This first attempt at goal setting was restrict- sumption and operational measures. It is believed
ed to NOx emissions and it was agreed that the that the goals will provide an added impetus to
goals would be set in terms of the regulatory the development of low-NOx technology and lead
parameters currently used in Annex 16, Volume II. ultimately to the possibility of more stringent
Goals were determined for both medium- and emissions standards. They could also be used in
long-terms, set at 10 and 20 years, respectively. developing longer term emission impact scenar-
ios so that the future effect of aviation on the
In addition to manufacturers, the review panel environment, and possible responses, if needed,
was addressed by atmospheric scientists, aca- can be better estimated. Such information will
demics, policy makers, and airline industry repre- help CAEP/ICAO analyse how the industry might
sentatives. The manufacturing industry presenta- evolve in the long-term.
tions were detailed; they covered the basic facts
of combustor technology and what technological
developments were possible, and what were not.
The technology of recently certificated engines
72 Part 3: Local Emissions
Conclusions
This first attempt at goal setting was successful Reference
and should be repeated for other factors affecting 1. This section and the remainder of the article is
emissions. A further major conclusion that can be based on information developed by CAEP as con-
drawn from the exercise is the value that was tained in the CAEP/7 Report ( Doc 9886) on Peter
gained by using independent experts. This con- Newtons presentation entitled, Long-term
ferred a great degree of credibility to the process, Technology Goals for CAEP, ICAO Colloquium on
although it also involved resource and cost impli- Aviation Emissions, 14 16 May 2007.
cations which will need more consideration in the
future. It was also concluded that it is essential to
carry out such assessments in a fully open and
transparent manner.
Chapter: Technology and Standards 73
Engine Technology Developments
for Reduced NOx
The latest ICAO Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx) These high temperatures, which are desirable By ICAO Secretariat
Emission Standards became applicable in from the viewpoint of minimizing fuel consump-
November 2005 and apply to engines manufac- tion and also minimizing carbon dioxide, CO and
tured after 31 December 2007. This article HC production, unfortunately create the condi-
reviews the mechanisms which affect the produc- tions in which oxides of nitrogen (NOx) are
tion of NOx inside an engine and examines the formed. The problem for the engine designer
technical prospects for developing engines with therefore is to maintain the fuel efficiency of the
lower NOx emissions, which would allow the set- engine while at the same time preventing the for-
ting of more stringent emission standards. It also mation of NOx. The designer faces further chal-
stresses the fact that engine design is a compro- lenges relating to the safety and economic oper-
mise between many different and sometimes ation of the aircraft. Despite the very high tem-
conflicting requirements. This sometimes neces- peratures the combustor must be capable of
sitates making choices about which emission is operating safely for long, trouble-free periods. The
more significant from an environmental view- engine must operate smoothly and reliably at set-
point, so that a design may be finalized. In this tings ranging from idle to maximum take-off
sense, engine designers need the advice of power, and it must be possible to restart the
atmospheric scientists concerning which emis- engine over a wide range of speeds and altitudes.
sion or emissions they should seek to minimize,
at the possible expense of others. Designing Engines for Reduced NOx
Since NOx is produced at the higher combustor
The Mechanisms of NOx Production temperatures, the challenge for designers is to
The energy required to produce the power to reduce the combustor temperature while main-
drive the fan of a turbojet engine (and to provide taining the overall fuel efficiency of the engine.
the residual thrust) comes from the chemical NOx production can also be reduced by minimiz-
energy released when fuel and air are mixed and ing the time that the products of combustion
burned in the combustor. The interior of the com- spend at the highest temperatures the so-called
bustor is a very hostile environment with high residence time. Reducing the temperature can
speed gas flows and a flame temperature well be achieved by running the combustor at air fuel
above the melting point of metals. Maximum ratios away from the optimum either with more
engine efficiency in terms of minimum fuel con- air than is actually required for combustion, e.g.
sumption (and hence minimum carbon dioxide lean, or with less air than is required, e.g. rich.
production) depends on having a high pressure Residence time is reduced by curtailing combus-
ratio which in turn leads to a high temperature at tor volume. All combustors in service today that
the inlet to the combustor even before the fuel is meet the latest ICAO emissions requirements
burned. In turn, burning fuel most efficiently at use a system known as rich quench lean (RQL).
the optimum fuel/air ratio, which minimizes fuel In this system, initial combustion occurs in the
consumption with the minimum production of rich zone which provides good running stability;
carbon monoxide (CO) and unburned hydrocar- more air is then added quickly to move combus-
bons (UHC), also results in the highest flame tem- tion into the lean zone; it is essential to add air
peratures. quickly to avoid time in the optimum but high
temperature zone; and this is a major technical
challenge. An illustration of where current produc-
tion engines stand in relation to the ICAO
Standards is shown in Figure 1, entitled, Recent
Certification Emissions Relative to Standards. It
can be seen that although all engines meet the
Standards at present, the margins they have from
the limits are generally quite small. This means
that on the basis of the technology currently in
service there is little or no scope for increasing
the stringency of the Standards.
74 Part 3: Local Emissions
Gas emissions depend on the engine power; These advanced RQL and lean burn combustors
some are produced mostly at high engine speed, are all at the TRL 5-6 stage (see earlier article in
like NOx, others at low engine speed, others pro- this Chapter on Technical Feasibility For Setting
portionally, like CO2. This depends on specific Standards), and therefore are not yet suitable as
physico-chemical generation processes. a basis for setting emission standards.
Summary
Figure 1 - Recent Certification Emissions Relative to Standards. The present situation is that there are engines
which meet the latest NOx Emissions Standards,
but with little margin to spare. Active efforts are
Manufacturers and research organizations are, underway to develop engines with lower NOx
however, investing a great deal of money and emissions, using RQL and lean burn concepts but
resources into the development of advanced they are as yet not developed to the point where
combustors which show promise for achieving greater stringency of the standards can be con-
lower NOx emission rates. All manufacturers are sidered. In the meantime industry needs clearer
working on further developing RQL combustors guidance on the direction it should be heading in
and also on designing lean burn combustors as a where the tradeoffs among pollutants are con-
way of reducing combustor temperatures. It is cerned.
known that lean burning reduces temperatures,
but an engine designed for lean burn at high
power tends not to run in a stable way at idle and
is difficult to relight under some conditions.
Possible ways of overcoming these problems
include pilot burning systems for use in idling
conditions, otherwise known as fuel staging.
Such systems, however, suffer from increased
weight, cost and complexity as well as other
technical drawbacks such as pre-ignition of the Reference
fuel and fuel coking. Nevertheless, at least one This article is based on the presentation entitled,
manufacturer has considerable development Engine Technology Development to Address
experience with a lean burn aero-engine and Local Air Quality Concerns, by John Moran (Rolls-
there is considerable experience with lean burn Royce Associate Fellow Combustion), ICAO
gas turbine engines for industrial use. The latter, Colloquium on Aviation Emissions (14 - 16 May
however, use natural gas as their fuel and are not 2007).
subject to exacting airworthiness requirements.
Chapter: Operational Measures 75
Operational Measures
Mitigating Local Emissions
Through Operational Procedures:
Continuous Descent Approach
Flight Test Results
Although aircraft noise issues are the primary This article describes and reports on the results By John-Paul Clarke
environmental challenge for airports, local air of an Area Navigation (RNAV) based Continuous and Liling Ren
quality is an increasing concern, despite the fact Descent Arrival (CDA) flight test conducted at
that emissions from aviation operations comprise Louisville International Airport (KSDF) in 2004
a relatively small portion of total gaseous emis- [Clarke et al 2006]. This was a joint effort of the
sions from all sources. Because of the strong Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), the
growth in aviation demand, emissions of some Boeing Company, FAA, NASA, KSDF, and UPS.
pollutants from aviation sources are increasing
against a background of emission reductions from Test Background
many other sources at airports [Waitz et al 2004]. The focus of this analysis was the local emissions
As the global economy and demand for air trans- produced in the atmospheric mixed layer during
portation continue to grow, the impacts of aircraft the approach/landing phase of the flight. The
John-Paul Clarke is an
engine exhaust emissions (along with the atmospheric mixed layer results from convective Associate Professor in
impacts of aircraft noise and runoff water from air motions. Typically, this is the region within the School of Aerospace
airports), may become a fundamental constraint 3,000 ft of the airport elevation. This region is Engineering and Director
on air transportation growth. On a global scale, important because the aircraft engine exhaust of the Air Transportation
Laboratory (ATL) at the
the climate impacts of aviation are considered the emissions that are produced within this region Georgia Institute of Tech-
most significant adverse impact of aviation. may play a role in local air quality. Hence the nology. His research and
assumption in all Landing and Take-Off (LTO) cycle teaching address issues
The effects of aviation on the environment result calculations for the corresponding ICAO emis- of optimization and ro-
from a complex system of interdependent tech- sions standard is that the mixing layer extends bustness in aircraft and
airline operations, air traf-
nologies, operations, policies and market condi- from the ground to 3,000 ft above ground level. fic management and the
tions. Thus there is no single solution to the prob- Thus, it is very appropriate that the difference in environmental impact of
lem. Aside from technological and policy options, the emissions produced by aircraft performing aviation. He received his
operational procedures provide a short to medi- the CDA and aircraft performing the conventional S.B. (1991), S.M. (1992)
and Sc.D. (1997) from the
um-term means to mitigate the environmental approach is determined for this region. Massachusetts Institute
impacts from aviation. of Technology, and was a
KSDF is the major hub for UPS overnight package faculty member there
delivery operations. Due to the nature of its busi- prior to moving to
ness, most UPS flight operations at KSDF occur Georgia Tech. He has also
been a researcher at the
during the night. Each weekday, about 100 jet NASA Jet Propulsion
transport aircraft (mostly UPS package freighters) Laboratory and a visiting
scholar at the Boeing
Company.
land at KSDF in the four-hour period between The arrival chart for the CDA flown in the KSDF
10:00 PM and 03:00 AM, when residents are 2004 flight test is shown in Figure 2. The proce-
most sensitive to noise disturbance. Thus, KSDF dure requires the Lateral Navigation (LNAV) and
was a perfect candidate site for conducting CDA Vertical Navigation (VNAV) functions of the
studies. As shown by the example radar tracks in onboard Flight Management System (FMS). The
Figure 1, in conventional operations, aircraft are nominal lateral flight path of the procedure was a
often laterally vectored for spacing prior to estab- routing via waypoints CENTRALIA, ZARDA,
lishing on the final approach. Successive altitude PENTO, SACKO, to CHERI and then to either run-
and speed commands are given to arrival aircraft, way 17R or 35L, depending on the prevailing
Liling Ren is a Research resulting in dive and drive step-down vertical pro- winds on a given day.
Engineer in the Air Trans- file.
portation Laboratory The vertical profile was a continuous descent
(ATL) at the Georgia Flight Test Parameters starting at the cruise altitude, and was defined by
Institute of Technology.
The CDA flight test started on September 14, altitude and speed constraints given at waypoints
His current research
interests include air traffic 2004 and lasted for two weeks. It involved 12 to TRN17, CHR27, and CHRCL for the CDA to runway
management, the envi- 14 UPS B757-200 and B767-300 revenue flights 17R, or waypoints TRN35, CRD27, and CRDNL for
ronmental impact of avia- each night. The objectives of this flight test includ- the CDA to runway 35L. The characteristics of the
tion, and weather model- ed: demonstration of the effectiveness of the vertical profile are shown in Figure 3. Two shal-
ing. He earned his Sc.D.
in Aerospace Systems separation analysis methodology for managing lower segments are facilitated by the FMS to
from Massachusetts CDA flights; demonstration of the consistency of allow proper deceleration. Ideally, the engine
Institute of Technology in the procedure; measurement of the reductions in throttle would remain at idle until the aircraft is
2006. Prior to returning to noise, fuel burn, emissions, and flight time; and established on the final approach.
graduate school, he had
collecting the data necessary to support the
held various research,
engineering, and market- approval to implement the procedure on a regular
ing positions in the aero- basis.
space industry in both
the United States and
China. He holds a M.S.
and a B.S. in Aerospace
Engineering from Beijing
University of Aeronautics
and Astronautics.
Figure 4 NOx produced below 3,000 ft vs. time and fuel burned.
78 Part 3: Local Emissions
Figure 1 Annual NO2 mean values in relation to the Swiss Clean Air Standards.
Chapter: Market Based Measures 81
1 Since this article only represents an overview of that study, some points may not be as clear as desired. It is for this
reason, the reader is encouraged to read CAEP7/IP4 for a more detailed discussion.
2 Revenue-Neutrality in this context represents the practice by which revenues collected from aircraft emissions charges
from aircraft operators below a given emissions compliance threshold would be offset by revenues paid for mitigation
measures and/or as compensation to aircraft operators above that same compliance threshold. Such aircraft emissions
charges are typically imposed and collected by airports. At the end of a given period (say, one year), the revenues col-
lected must be offset by the revenues paid out.
Chapter: Market Based Measures 85
At both airports studied, emission charges3 intro-
duced were in relation to landing fees. For Zurich
only, some aggregate level information on the
charges paid, coupled with carrier-specific infor-
mation on movements allowed the study to sep-
arate carriers into those from developed coun-
tries and those from developing countries. A sur-
vey of carriers conducted by IATA was helpful in
assessing the impacts of the charges on the
behaviour of carriers.
3 Prior to the introduction of the charge at Zurich, a 5% reduction of the landing fees was introduced. The decrease in
landing fees was calculated so that the introduction of the emission charge would translate into unchanged total rev-
enues for the airport, e.g. the emission charge was to be revenue neutral to the airport as its revenues were to just off-
set the airports overall reduction in the landing fees. The emission charge introduced at Zurich was in terms of a per-
centage of the landing fees between 0 and 40% depending on which one of five classes the engines of any given air-
craft belong. In Sweden, a Swedish State enterprise introduced an emission charge at its 19 airports, including the
Stockholm Airport. The charge introduced was for aircraft with a maximum take-off weight (MTOW) exceeding 9.0
tonnes, was linked to the landing charge, and was revenue-neutral to the State enterprise. The revenue neutrality was
achieved through the lowering of the landing charge by 12 percent to offset the revenues to come from the emission
charge. The objective behind the charge was to influence the nitrogen oxide (NOx) and hydrocarbon (HC) emissions.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) was left out, as it was felt that airlines would already have the incentive to reduce their CO2 emis-
sions since they are directly related to fuel consumption. The emission classes at Stockholm ranged between the worst,
e.g. category 0 and a 30% landing charge supplement, to the best, e.g. category 6, with a 0% landing charge supple-
ment. The NOx charge approach differed at the two airports both in terms of classes of charge and in terms of lev-
els.
4 SARS- Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
86 Part 3: Local Emissions
Source: Number of Flights and aircrafts type: OAG Emission Class: Extrapolated from Unique
Figure 3 Classification under the Zurich emission charge classes of aircraft landings at 10 airports and at Western
Europe airports.
5 Services to all airports in Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy,
Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and United Kingdom.
Chapter: Market Based Measures 87
airports. A statistical test (Chow test) was used to Impacts On Air Carriers
determine whether the regression model esti- The International Aviation Transport Association
mated parameters were the same before and (IATA) conducted a survey of air carriers affected
after the introduction of the charge, but the by the charges to determine the impact of the
results did not indicate a statistically supported emissions charges on them. IATAs survey gath-
conclusion for Zurich and Stockholm. But that test ered information on the reaction of air carriers to
did show that the time series behaved differently the charge. Responding airlines all stated that the
before and after the introduction of the charges; charge had no impact on their fleet-related deci-
thus implying external factors influencing the sions. SAS analysis software provided insights on
time series. But clearly, the emission charges how a NOx-charge could impact on carriers
were not the only external factors. In all likeli- behavior. The information presented by SAS,
hood, those external influences came from the seen in Table 1, shows that, for the smaller air-
introduction of less polluting aircraft across craft the importance of the emissions charge is a
Europe not only at the two airports under minor component of total direct operating costs
study the charge per se not being instrumental (DOC), but is much more significant for larger air-
in influencing the change of aircraft captured by craft. Replacing an older aircraft with a newer one
the linear model. A correlation analysis showed reduces the relative importance of the charge in
the changes in the average aircraft classes at air- total DOC, but substantially increases the total
ports with charges and the average at other air- DOC due to the heavier burden of the capital
ports without charges behaved the same way, costs. This indicates that a carriers reaction to a
also indicating a lack of influence by the charge. charge must be assessed in light of that reac-
tions impact on the total DOC. From the industry
This statistical analysis supported the conclusion information obtained, it can be inferred that there
that the introduction of the charges had a limited was no change in airline purchase behavior as a
influence in inducing a switch to aircraft with bet- result of the introduction of the charge.
ter NOx emission technology. This meant that the Consequently, carriers simply paid the charge as
causality between the change in NOx emissions just another cost of doing business.
and the charge could not be established, implying
that costs encountered to reduce the level of NOx
emissions could not be associated with the
charge.
At Stockholm, the last year before the shift in The limited influence of the emissions charge in
2004 to the ERLIG6 approach for the emission inducing changes to aircraft with better NOx emis-
charge, 81% of aircraft types flying into that air- sion technology, coupled with the net negative
port paid less than 40 Kroner per kg of NOx. The proceeds from the charge at Zurich, made it
average emission charge per kg of NOx in 2003 impossible to establish the cost/effectiveness of
was 19.2 Kr, and 73.9% of aircraft movements at the charge.
that airport paid less than that amount that year.
The average emission charge paid per kg of NOx
declined by 22.9% between 2000 and 2003 at
Stockholm airport.
6 In 2003, the European Civil Aviation Conference adopted recommendation 27-4 on a NO emissions Classification
x
Scheme, developed by the Emissions-Related Landing Charges Investigation (ERLIG) subgroup.
90 Part 3: Local Emissions
There are a variety of air pollutants present as Chapter Three: Temporal and Spatial
gaseous and particulate emissions from aviation- Distribution of Airport Emissions
related activities that can potentially impact The third chapter of the guidance manual is devot-
human health and the environment. However, ed to the temporal and spatial distribution of air-
data on all of them are not always relevant or port emissions. This is necessary because, at an
needed for emission inventories. Government airport, emissions occur at various locations and
(i.e. State) requirements will normally indicate during different time-periods, depending on the
which emission species are actually necessary purpose and operational characteristics of the
for the inventory. Generally, the following com- source. This results in the dispersion of emissions
mon species could be considered the primary becoming not only a temporal distribution (i.e. an
species in emission inventories: accounting of emission variations over time) but a
spatial three-dimensional (i.e. 3-D) considera-
NOx - Nitrogen oxides, including nitrogen diox- tion as well. The assessment of this variability of
ide (NO2) and nitrogen oxide (NO); location and emission density over time must be
VOC - Volatile organic compounds (including done by spatial and temporal analysis of the emis-
non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHC)); sions. This is especially true if dispersion model-
CO - Carbon monoxide; ling is to be performed as part of the overall air
PM - Particulate matter (fraction size PM2.5 and quality analysis. This chapter of the guidance doc-
PM10); ument describes the emission distribution
SOx - Sulphur oxides. process that occurs in the general vicinity of air-
ports.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) is sometimes included in
inventories (using the total fuel burn as a basis for Conclusions
calculation). It has to be recognized that CO2 is of The publication of this ICAO guidance material
a global rather than strictly local concern, but local will assist States, local authorities and airports
CO2 inventories can feed into global inventories that have to perform emissions assessments to
where required. do so using the best international practices avail-
able.
Additional emission species of potential health
and environmental concern may also need to be Although the material is not yet complete,
considered in emission inventories including so- enough information has already been prepared
called hazardous air pollutants (HAPs). Low levels and published to be of significant value. The work
of HAPs are also present in aircraft and ground is expected to be largely completed in about
support equipment exhaust in both gaseous and three years time (CAEP/8). However, the final
particulate forms. HAPs research is at an early guidance document chapters on Mitigation
stage and it should to be noted that knowledge of Options (Chapter 6) and Interrelationships
emission factors is therefore very limited for (Chapter 7) will most likely be completed for
many of these species. Therefore, the creation of CAEP/9.
an inventory of HAPs might not be possible, or
such an inventory cannot be expected to have the
same level of accuracy as other, more common
species. In such cases, the proper authorities
would have to provide further guidance.
Examples of HAPs that have been identified as
being representative of airport sources of air
emissions include (but are not necessarily limited
to): Acetaldehyde, Benzene, Diesel Particulate
Matter, Formaldehyde, Lead, Toluene, and Xylene.
Reference
1. This and the remaining sections of this article
are based on the work of CAEPs Task Group 4
(Airport Air Quality) focal points (Ms. Julie Draper
and Mr. Gardner) of Working Group 2, as con-
tained in CAEP/7 WP/28 entitled, Report of WG2
TG4 Airport Air Quality: Emissions LAQ
Guidance.
97
Chapter: Airport Air Quality and Aircraft Emissions Charges Guidance
Chapter 1 - Scope of Guidance and (4) Cost-Basis: States that are considering the
Application of Existing ICAO Policies introduction of emissions-related charges are
To Charges For Aircraft Emissions urged to take into account the principle that the
Charges Related to Local Air Quality charges should be related to costs. Further,
This chapter focuses on following four key items: charges should be based on the costs of mitigat-
ing the environmental impact of aircraft engine
The first item pertains to scope of the guidance. emissions to the extent that such costs can be
Aside from what has already been noted in the properly identified and directly attributed to air
background section, the appropriate scope of the transport.
guidance (as determined by CAEP) focused only
on emissions charges related to local air quality (5) Cost-Effective Measures: When market-
concerns. based measures, such as emissions charges, are
adopted, States are encouraged to evaluate the
The second item relates to the working assump- costs and benefits of the various measures,
tions used in developing the guidance. The guid- including existing measures, with the goal of
ance assumed (and acknowledged) that a State addressing aircraft engine emissions in the most
(or its delegated authority) that had chosen to pro- cost-effective manner.
ceed with a local charge on aircraft emissions
would have undertaken the necessary analysis to (6) Minimize Competitive Distortion: States
confirm that such a charge is an appropriate poli- that are considering the introduction of emis-
cy measure to address the local air quality situa- sions-related charges are urged to take into
tion. account the principle that the charges should not
discriminate against air transport compared with
The third item focuses on emphasizing the use of other modes of transport. In addition, authorities
existing ICAO policies on emissions charges as are urged to ensure there is no overcharging or
part of the new guidance. This item includes infor- other anti-competitive practice or abuse of domi-
mation that makes the distinction between a local nant position.
emissions charge and a tax, as well as a discus-
sion of the application of ICAOs existing policies (7) No Fiscal Aims: States that are considering
on emissions charges in the context of LAQ. the introduction of emissions-related charges are
These policies pertain to: urged to take into account the principle that
there should be no fiscal aims behind the
(1) Non-Discrimination: The ICAO Council urges charges.
States that are considering the introduction of
emissions-related charges to take into account (8) Charges, Rather Than Taxes: The ICAO
the non-discrimination principle in Article 15 of Council strongly recommends that any environ-
the Convention on International Civil Aviation. mental levies on air transport which States may
Further, charges must be non-discriminatory both introduce should be in the form of charges rather
between foreign users and those having the than taxes.
nationality of the State in which the airport is
located and engaged in similar international oper- The fourth item in Chapter 1 pertains to other
ations, and between two or more foreign users. existing ICAO guidance. This section recognizes
guidance not noted previously in this chapter. It
(2) Potential Impacts on the Developing World: reminds States that:
When market-based measures, such as emis-
sions charges, are adopted, Contracting States In Appendix A of ICAO Assembly Resolution
are encouraged to take into account the potential A35-5, ICAO agreed to strive to limit or
impacts on the developing world. reduce the impact of aviation emissions on
local air quality.
(3) Transparency: Charging authorities are urged
to ensure transparency as well as the availability Appendix I of ICAO A35-5 states that there has
and presentation of all financial data required to been increasing recognition by Governments
determine the basis for charges. of the need for each economic sector to pay
the full cost of the environmental damage it
causes.
Chapter: Airport Air Quality and Aircraft Emissions Charges Guidance 99
Appendix I of ICAO A35-5 contains Principle 16 Step 1: Identify Relevant Local Air Quality
of the Rio Declaration on Environment and Standards and Regulations
Development (1992). It states that national Responsibility for defining and achieving accept-
authorities should endeavour to promote the able air quality in and around airports rests with
internalization of external costs and the use of the State. In assessing local air quality in the
economic instruments, taking into account the vicinity of airports, it is important to identify any
approach that the polluter should, in principle, relevant local air quality standards and goals
bear the cost of pollution, with due regard to established by the State (or its delegate) to pro-
the public interest and without distorting inter- tect public health and welfare and the environ-
national trade and investment. ment in general.
Chapter 2 - Process for Implementing Step 2: Determine Current Airport Air Quality
Local Emissions Charges Airports and their associated activities are
First; this chapter of the guidance acknowledges sources of different gaseous and particulate
that implementing charging policies with due emissions. There are many air pollutants present
regard to ICAO policies and guidance is the in gaseous emissions from aviation-related activi-
responsibility of ICAO Contracting States, ties that impact the environment. Local air quality
although they may delegate this responsibility to in and around an airport is quantified in terms of
responsible authorities. At the same time, the pollutant concentrations. These concentrations
guidance notes that Appendix I of Assembly can be calculated from airport activity data and
Resolution A35-5 recognizes in the context of numerical models of the emissions of each
market-based measures that Contracting States source and their interaction with the physical
have legal obligations, existing agreements, cur- environment. Existing and/or predicted future
rent laws and established policies. concentration levels can be calculated utilizing
software tools (numerical models). Local air qual-
Second; the chapter notes that local emissions ity modelling consists of two basic elements: 1)
charging schemes should be tailored to the spe- preparation of an emissions inventory and 2) dis-
cific characteristics of the airport air quality situa- persion modelling to assess emission concentra-
tion of concern, by means of an airport-by-airport tions and impacts.
approach. Nonetheless, it recognizes that a gen-
eral framework may be implemented at a State- Step 3: Verify Compliance and Conduct Impact
level in order to set up a common methodology Assessment
for the implementation of the scheme. The next step is to compare the measured and/or
calculated existing and forecast pollutant concen-
Third; Chapter 2 notes that ICAO urges States to trations with the concentrations specified in appli-
institute or oversee an inclusive and transparent cable State regulations in order to assess existing
process when adopting and implementing local and future compliance with the standards and
emissions charges. The chapter also provides an requirements.
overview of the steps in such a process (similar to
the process in the balanced approach guidance Step 4: Quantify the Relative Contribution of
on aircraft noise). The detail of this step-by-step Aircraft
approach is given in the remaining chapters of the To determine the relative contribution of aircraft
guidance. to the LAQ situation, that contribution needs to
be put in context with other airport sources.
Chapter 3 - Local Air Quality Assessment Further, all airport sources may need to be put
This chapter of the guidance identifies and sum- into the larger context of whatever local area is
marizes the relevant steps in undertaking a local subject to the emissions standard or require-
air quality assessment on which emissions ment. The contribution of an airport sources
charges may be based. It cross-references to the emissions to the airports total emissions and its
Airport Air Quality Guidance Manual (Doc 9889) overall impact is dependent on the amount, time,
wherever possible to avoid duplicating this sepa- and location of the emissions
rate work. The recommended process involves
four steps as follows:
100 Part 3: Local Emissions
Reference
1. This and the remaining sections of this article
are based on the work of ICAO/CAEP/7
Emissions Charges Task Forces Working
Paper/36 entitled, The Emissions Charges Task
Force: Guidance on Emissions Charges Related
to Local Air Quality.
101
Chapter: Airport Air Quality and Aircraft Emissions Charges Guidance
ICAOs policies on emissions-related charges are Charging authorities should ensure trans-
contained in the three documents already men- parency by making available all financial data
tioned: Assembly Resolutions in force, Council required to determine the basis for charges.
Resolution of December 1996, and Doc 9082.
These environmental policies complement All funds collected through emission-related
ICAOs general policies on charges which have charges should be used to mitigate the envi-
their legal basis in Article 15 of the Chicago ronmental impact, through addressing the
Convention. Currently, there is no single docu- specific damage caused by these emissions, if
ment that groups the various policy elements in a that can be identified, or by funding emissions-
structured and comprehensive way. related research.
During preparation leading to the CAEP/7 meet- The establishment of charges should respect
ing, it was decided that aircraft engine emissions the non-discrimination principle among cate-
would be addressed in a different manner, based gories of users enunciated in Article 15 of
on the location where they occur. Guidance ICAOs Chicago Convention.
material was consequently developed to address
aircraft engine emissions that affect local air qual- Charges should minimize competitive dis-
ity (LAQ) at or around airports, and how emission- tortions by not penalizing air transport com-
related charges could be used to deal with those pared with other modes of transport.
local emissions.
When charges are established, the interests
However, with respect to greenhouse gas (GHG) of all parties concerned should be taken into
emissions that affect global climate change, it account, notably the potential impacts on the
was decided not to develop guidance on the pos- developing world.
sible use of GHG-related emissions charges. The
difficulties associated with tackling the problem When charges are being considered, States
at a global level without consensus among the are encouraged to evaluate the costs and ben-
parties concerned were thought to be too great. efits of the various proposed measures, includ-
It was considered more effective to address the ing existing measures, with the goal of
global climate change issue by other means addressing aircraft engine emissions in the
which were already generally accepted, such as most cost-effective manner.
emissions trading.
In theory, all of these principles could be applied
Current Emission Policy Features equally to both local (LAQ) and global (GHG) emis-
The main characteristics of ICAOs policies on sion-related charges. For the time being however,
emissions-related charges, as gathered from the the only application is local emission-related
various documents mentioned above can be charges, for reasons explained in a later article.
summarized as follows:
Conclusion
Charges should be directly related to costs. The issue of global emission-related charges is
These are the costs of mitigating the environ- likely to resurface some day because of the diffi-
mental impact of aircraft engine emissions to culties encountered in setting up other mecha-
the extent that such costs can be properly nisms, and/or the fact that other market-based
identifiable and directly attributed to air trans- measures may not be sufficient to completely
port. address the problem. Otherwise, taxation is still
an option which is being seriously considered by
There should be no fiscal targets behind the many States which may decide to adopt that
charges; that is to say that environmental approach on a unilateral basis if they are frustrat-
levies should be in the form of charges rather ed by lack of consensus at a multinational level.
than taxes.
Part 4
Masterfile
Global Emissions
104 Part 4: Global Emissions
According to IPCC, climate change is already hav- Figure 1 - The greenhouse effect on the atmosphere.
ing significant impacts in certain regions and on Sources: Okanagan university college in Canada, Department of geography, University of Oxford, school
most ecosystems, particularly in developing of geography; United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Washington; Climate change 1996,
countries. Economic assessment of climate The science of climate change, contribution to working group 1 to the second assessment report of the
change indicates that the cost of inaction will Intergovernmental panel on climate change; UNEP and WMO, Cambridge University press, 1996.
most probably exceed the cost of taking early
action.
Figure 3 Worldwide passenger air traffic fuel consumption (litres per passengers (pax) per 100 km). The new
Airbus A380 has the lowest fuel consumption per passenger of any large commercial airliner yet built.
Source : Airbus
108 Part 4: Global Emissions
In 2001, ICAO/CAEP discussed the question of ICAO guidance on achieving fuel efficiency
whether developing an ICAO Standard to limit avi- through operational measures is provided in the
ation CO2 emissions would be appropriate, or par- Circular 303 - Operational Opportunities to
ticularly relevant. After considering the different Minimize Fuel Use and Reduce Emissions. That
technical alternatives the group concluded that document identifies and reviews various opera-
the definition of a representative point or mis- tional opportunities and techniques for minimizing
sion on which to base a CO2 certification scheme fuel consumption, and therefore emissions, in
would be very difficult in view of the great diver- civil aviation operations. Operations covered in
sity of aircraft operations. There is also the danger the guidance are: aircraft ground-level and in-flight
that point certification would drive manufacturers operations, ground service equipment (GSE), and
to meet compliance at the reference point at the auxiliary power units (APUs), with potential
expense of overall CO2 reduction2. For the fore- actions to facilitate their broader application.
going reasons CAEP members did not consider it
desirable to pursue the possibility of developing a ICAO supported the development of Reduced
CO2 emissions standard. Vertical Separation Minimum (RVSM) which was
first implemented in 1997. RVSM will soon cover
In addition, the group noted that the market pres- all airspace around the world. RVSM has led to
sure already ensured that aircraft would become significant environmental benefits. For example,
more fuel efficient. Since CO2 production was studies in the European region3 showed that it
directly related to fuel consumption, these eco- results in a reduction of NOx emissions, sulphur
nomic pressures were also serving to minimize oxide emissions, and the reduction of total fuel
CO2 emissions. ICAO continues to explore the burn (average of 80 kg fuel saving per flight).
possibility of establishing a CO2 parameter and is
currently working on the definition of medium- Market-Based Measures
term (10 years) and long-term (20 years) goals for Market-based measures are policy tools that are
fuel burn. designed to achieve environmental goals at a
lower cost and in a more flexible manner than tra-
Operational Measures ditional command and control regulatory meas-
ICAO encourages the development of operational ures. In 2001, the ICAO Assembly requested the
measures and the improvement of air traffic man- Council to continue to develop guidance for
agement (ATM) to reduce aviation emissions. The States on the application of market-based meas-
United States and Europe have started a transi- ures aimed at mitigating the impact of aviation on
tion towards the next generation of ATM climate change. Three market-based measures
Systems. have been under consideration: emissions trad-
ing, voluntary measures, and emissions-related
The most important fuel saving opportunities charges.
come from ATM systems that permit more direct
routings and the use of more efficient conditions Emissions trading
such as optimum altitude and speed. Shortening Emissions trading schemes can be a cost effec-
routes can indeed significantly reduce CO2 emis- tive measure to reduce CO2 emissions. One
sions. approach sets an overall limit on emissions, then
allows companies to buy and sell emission
allowances to meet their reduction targets.
Impact of ATM Improvements One of the highlights of the ICAO/CAEP meeting
Improvements in ATM operational proce- in February 2007 was the development of guid-
dures could reduce aviation fuel burn by ance material for including international aviation
between 6 and 18%. emissions into the emissions trading schemes of
A further 2-6% could come from States, consistent with the United Nations
improvements in other operational meas- Framework Convention on the Climate Change
ures. process.
2 Report of the Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection, Fifth Meeting, Montral, 8 17 January 2001, (Doc
9777, CAEP/5).
3 EUROCONTROL January 2002.
Chapter: Global Emissions Overview 109
The draft guidance document (ICAO Doc 9885) Carbon Offsets
identifies a range of emission trading issues and Carbon offsetting involves calculating the emis-
is based on contributions from a wide range of sions created by one activity (e.g. aviation) and
aviation, climate change, and emissions trading then compensating for the emissions produced
experts from around the world. This draft guid- with an equivalent amount of carbon dioxide
ance focuses on aviation-specific issues, identi- (CO2) savings from emission-reduction projects.
fies options and offers potential solutions. It These projects will have prevented or removed an
addresses the various elements of a trading sys- equivalent amount of carbon dioxide elsewhere,
tem, such as: and in that way offset the emissions activity.
4 http://www.icao.int/icao/en/env/vets_report.pdf
110 Part 4: Global Emissions
Aircraft and engine manufacturers are currently Much effort is being channelled to the modelling
investigating synthetic jet fuels (e.g. from coal, activities and to the better understanding of the
natural gas, or other hydrocarbon feedstock) as interdependencies of actions to reduce aviation
well as bio-fuels. The type of fuel that is of imme- emissions. All the work done by ICAO/CAEP and
diate interest to aviation is termed a drop-in the information accrued from the scientific
fuel, (i.e. a direct substitute fuel) that can be used advances in the understanding of aviation
without substantial modification to engine or air- impacts on the environment will be brought to
craft (see articles on Alternative Fuels later in this the attention of the next ICAO Assembly.
Part of the report).
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 111
Conclusion
In summary, the IPCC Report noted that there
remained many uncertainties of a scientific, tech-
nical and socio-economic nature which could
influence future developments. Nevertheless, the
Report was the most comprehensive study of avi-
ations effect on the environment conducted to-
date. It had drawn together the relevant atmos-
pheric scientists and aviation experts and was the
first time that the IPCC had studied a particular
mode of transport. As a result of the study, it has
been possible to focus subsequent research on
specific areas of high uncertainty.
Figure 1 Radiative forcing from aircraft activity in 1992
and in 2050. The last formal appraisal of aviations contribution
to climate change was made by IPCC in 1999,
basis, and that further improvements could be using a base year of 1992. Our knowledge of
expected. However, it also notes that improve- atmospheric science has improved since then.
ments in oxides of nitrogen emissions in particu- Aircraft fleets have changed, and consequently,
lar require significant advances in combustor so have emissions inventories. Meanwhile ICAO,
technology. The need for careful balancing of through its CAEP, has continued to examine the
technological advances is stressed in view of the future effects of aviation on the environment and
danger of developments which might reduce the also to update aircraft emissions databases.
production of one emission at the cost of increas-
ing another.
References
This article is based largely on the work devel-
There did not appear to be any likelihood of an
oped for the ICAO/CAEP, by its CAEP/Working
alternative fuel becoming available in the near
Group 3.
future. Hydrogen, which would increase water
vapour production but not produce any carbon
All charts and graphs were taken from the presen-
dioxide, was recognized as a long-term possibili-
tation of Dr. D. Lister, Emissions Specialist with
ty, but its use would involve significant design
the UK Civil Aviation Authority, in the ICAO
changes to airframes as well as engines.
Environmental Colloquium on Aviation held in
Montreal in May 2007.
Improvements in air traffic management and
other operational procedures could reduce fuel
IPCC special reports Aviation and the Global
consumption by between 8 and 18%, with a 6 to
Atmosphere 1999 www.ipcc.ch/pub/online.htm
12% reduction coming from improved traffic
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 113
IPCC Guidelines for Estimating
National Greenhouse Gas Inventories
In order to develop cost-effective strategies and Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management By Simon Eggleston
policies to mitigate climate change it is important in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories[2] and
to have a clear understanding of the current emis- Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use
sions and removals of greenhouse gases (GHG), Change and Forestry[3] have to be used by so-
including their sources and means of removal. called ICAO Annex I parties (i.e. developed
Complete estimates of emissions and removals, countries). All other parties to the convention
called emission inventories, are thus an essential should use the Revised 1996 Guidelines, but the
part of any response to climate change. It is very use of the Good Practice Guidance is encour-
difficult to undertake successful international aged.
negotiations without a clear understanding of the
sources and removals of the greenhouse gases. The 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National
Inventories also provide a reliable way to monitor Greenhouse Gas Inventories[4] (2006 Guidelines) For the past 3 years, Dr.
progress on addressing climate change; they are represent a significant step forward in producing Simon Eggleston has
important in informing the public; and they are a reliable, accurate, consistent and comparable been Head of the
key input to scientific studies of the issues. inventories of emissions and removals of green- Technical Support Unit of
National GHG inventories provide the link house gases. These new guidelines were pro- the IPCCs National
Greenhouse Gas
between human activities and the greenhouse duced at the invitation of the UNFCCC in 2001 to Inventories Programme,
gases that impact on the environment. update the Revised 1996 Guidelines and associat- based in Japan, where
ed good practice guidance by 2006. The IPCCs he managed the produc-
It is important to gain a common understanding Task Force on Inventories undertook this task and tion of the IPCC 2006
Guidelines for National
so that the national GHG inventories compiled in the IPCC Panel XXV, (Port Louis, Mauritius, April Greenhouse Gas
different countries and/or for different years are 2006) accepted and adopted the 2006 Inventories. Earlier,
comparable and consistent. This facilitates a uni- Guidelines. The UNFCC is currently considering Simon developed and
versal understanding of emissions and removals. the 2006 Guidelines. However, the 2006 managed the UKs
This common knowledge and approach is Guidelines contain many improved default param- National Atmospheric
Emission Inventory
enhanced by making inventories transparent and eters and methods that can be used in the con- (NAEI) for 15 years cover-
well-documented which in-turn increases the text of the current UNFCCC reporting guidelines. ing emissions of local
credibility of the inventory results. All of this and regional air pollutants
needs clear guidelines to be agreed by all parties, The 2006 Guidelines update earlier guidance by as well as greenhouse
gases. Simon has con-
which provide not just methods but also guidance combining experience using earlier guidelines tributed to the develop-
on inventory quality, often called good practice with new scientific and technical information. ment of emission inven-
guidance. They are the work of over 250 authors nominated tories in Europe and
by governments and international organisations China, especially regard-
Background (ICAO and FAO provided authors for relevant sec- ing methods for energy
use and road transport
Parties to the UN Framework Convention on tions). The final list of authors was selected to and ways to estimate
Climate Change (UNFCCC) have agreed (amongst ensure as wide a geographic representation as uncertainties.
other things) to Develop, periodically update, possible, as well as to ensure sufficient coverage
publish and make available national inventories of all potential sources and sinks. Sectoral meet-
of anthropogenic emissions by sources and ings were held enabling authors to discuss and
removals by sinks of all greenhouse gases not agree on common approaches, followed by draft-
controlled by the Montreal Protocol, using com- ing and email exchanges to produce the complet-
parable methodologies to be agreed upon by the ed guidelines. Following drafting, the complete
Conference of the Parties; (Article 4, Para 1(a)). document was peer reviewed twice, first by
The comparable methodologies agreed on are experts alone and the second time by experts and
those produced by the Intergovernmental Panel governments. After each review, a meeting of
on Climate Change (IPCC). experts considered the comments and edited the
text, when necessary. In total, more than 6000
The Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National comments were received. Following a period of
Greenhouse Gas Inventories[1], together with the government1 consideration the final draft was
two volumes on inventory good practice, Good approved and adopted by the IPCC in April 2006.
1 The Governments are all members of the IPCC- membership is open to all member countries of the UNEP and the
WMO (virtually all countries in the world).
114 Part 4: Global Emissions
ICAO assisted the IPCC through the provision of emissions from fuel combustion in transport such
expert authors and access to data and model out- as aircraft and shipping, since these emissions
puts in the production of the chapter on aviation. often occur in international airspace or waters.
This long-standing co-operation between ICAO Thus, inventory guidance often involves preset
and the IPCC is valued as it ensures that the final pragmatic solutions that can be universally
results are the best possible. applied and understood.
Emission Inventories are complete estimates of The gases covered by the guidelines are shown in
all emissions (and removals) of specified gases Table 1. The Revised 1996 Guidelines only gave
from a specified region in a specified time-frame. guidance on six gases (or groups of gases) as
Under the UNFCCC we are concerned with shown. The Kyoto Protocol covers these six
anthropogenic, national, annual, emissions and gases. These gases are those that have Global
removals of greenhouse gases not covered by Warming Potentials (GWP) in the IPCCs Second
the Montral Protocol. Determining anthro- Assessment Report[5]. GWP is a comparative
pogenic emissions (i.e. caused by humans) is measure of the warming impact of a unit mass of
possible for emissions from energy use; however each gas with the GWP of CO2 = 12. Thus, the
it is sometimes impossible to disentangle natural mass emissions of each gas can be multiplied by
and anthropogenic components of some land-use their respective GWP to compare their impact.
emissions. For example, emissions from wild fire Emissions converted by the GWP are referred to
may be initially caused naturally (e.g. by lightning), as CO2 equivalent and can then be added to
but then be influenced by local management give an overall measure of the impact of the emis-
practices (e.g. fire suppression activity and har- sions of all the gases. For example, the GWP of
vesting regimes). Conversely, determining CO2, CH4, N2O, and SF6 are 1, 21, 310 and
national emissions is usually straightforward 23,900 respectively3.
for land-use emissions, but causes problems for
2 More precisely: An index, based upon radiative properties of well-mixed greenhouse gases, measuring the radiative
forcing of a unit mass of a given well-mixed greenhouse gas in todays atmosphere integrated over a chosen time hori-
zon, relative to that of carbon dioxide. The GWP represents the combined effect of the differing times these gases
remain in the atmosphere and their relative effectiveness in absorbing outgoing infrared radiation. The Kyoto Protocol is
based on GWPs from pulse emissions over a 100 year time-frame, using the values given in the IPCCs Second
Assessment Report (1995).
3 These are the values used for reporting to the UNFCCC and come from the IPCC Second Assessment Report with a
100 year time horizon. Use of a different time horizon gives different values and more recent calculations have changed
these values. See the IPCC Third and Forth Assessment Reports [6, 7] (2001 and 2007).
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 115
The IPCCs Third Assessment Report[6] (TAR) Clearly some of these estimation methods can
extended the list of gases that have GWP calcu- become complex and require considerable data
lated to ten, and the 2006 Guidelines extend the and resources to complete. In order to focus
coverage to these gases as well. In addition, resources on those sources that are significant in
methods are given for a few gases that may be an individual country, inventory compilers are
used as substitutes for gases already included in instructed to undertake a key category analysis
the guidelines but which did not have a GWP of their inventory. This Key Category analysis
available in the TAR. identifies significant sources in each country in a
systematic way across all emitting parties. A sim-
Estimating Emissions ple first-pass is to identify those major sources
Not all emissions can be measured. While large that cumulatively account for 95% or more of
factories can be fitted with automatic monitoring total emissions. In a second-pass, additional
equipment (and often are), this is not practical for sources that make a significant contribution to
the large number of smaller sources that produce the emissions trends can be included, as well as
many of the emissions, such as motor vehicles, estimates to cover uncertainty in more complex
small domestic water heaters, etc. So to cover situations.
most emission sources, estimation methods are
required that enable the emissions (or their Methods of differentiating levels of complexity
removal) to be calculated. This is often done by and resource requirements, called Tiers, are
making estimates based on parameters directly given in the guidelines:
associated with the emissions, such as activity
data. Fuel consumption is often used. This activ- Tier 1: These are simple methods with
ity data then has to be multiplied by an emis- defaults provided in the guidelines for all the
sion factor to give an emission estimate. Carbon required parameters. These methods are suit-
content of the fuel is often used as the basis of able for minor sources in all countries. Typically
an emission factor as it is directly related to the all that is needed is for some basic activity
emission of CO2 (except for a very small amount data (e.g. fuel use) to be provided by the
that is incompletely oxidised and is either emitted inventory compiler.
as CO, CH4 or a hydrocarbon, or remains as par-
ticulate carbon that can be emitted as an aerosol Tier 2: These are generally similar to Tier 1 but
or retained as ash). require country-specific data for the parame-
ters instead of the defaults in Tier 1. They are
Methane (CH4) emissions are often proportional generally suitable for significant sources (i.e.
to fuel use as well, but here the emission rate is key categories) or where abatement needs
dependent on a range of factors such as technol- to be treated.
ogy, combustion rate (load), and maintenance
variables. CO2 emissions from forests are esti- Tier 3: More complex, resource-intensive
mated from the changes in the various stocks of methods, often computer-based simulation
carbon in the forests taking account of re-growth models, can be used if a country wishes. The
and harvesting and other removals from the guidelines only sketch out what may be includ-
forests. A further complication for some sources ed in the methods but the results must be
is that the emissions may continue for many compatible with Tiers 1 and 2 in their coverage
years after the activity that causes the emissions. completeness.
For example, CH4 from waste disposal landfills
can occur over decades after the waste is These 2006 Guidelines are the most up-to-date
deposited, so a first-order decay model is used to guidance available for inventory compilers. They
simulate this. PFC and HFC gases emitted from are the latest in a series of publications started in
foams and refrigeration are other sources where 1994 and supersede all earlier guidance. The 2006
leakage can occur over many years. Guidelines provide users with a number of key
advantages compared to earlier guidance: they
should improve accuracy and reduce the scope
for errors, they are more complete, they integrate
good practices that make the guidelines clearer,
and they allow for differing levels of resources
and expertise.
116 Part 4: Global Emissions
1 Radiative forcing: a measure of change in climate impact. A parameter often used to compare the climate impact of
the different gases and particles.
120 Part 4: Global Emissions
Figure 4 Globally averaged radiative forcing estimates and ranges for anthropogenic increases in principal greenhouse
gases (carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O)) and for other important agents and mechanisms
between pre-industrial times and the present (2005). Also shown are the typical geographical extent (spatial scale) of
the forcing and the assessed level of scientific understanding (LOSU). The total net anthropogenic radiative forcing and
its range are also shown. The change in solar irradiance represents a natural climate-forcing agent. (IPCC, 2007; Figure
SPM-2).
IPCC 2007 Estimates of the Radiative In the 2007 IPCC assessment, the estimated
Forcing From Aviation Cloudiness radiative forcing of the 2005 aviation fleet is 0.01
Radiative forcing estimates of aviation cloudiness W m-2 with a factor-of-three uncertainty (see
depend on two key factors: the geographic extent Figure 4). The new value is one half of the 1999
of cloudiness and the contrail radiative properties. IPCC estimate, as illustrated in Figure 3, and also
To estimate persistent contrails cover one needs has a lower uncertainty. The downward adjust-
to know the formation conditions and traffic ment is due to refined estimates of contrail cover
amounts along aircraft routes. Estimating total from satellites and cloud radiative properties. It is
contrail cover is generally done by careful evalua- important to note that the 1999 and 2007 esti-
tions in selected regions that are then extended mates are for air traffic in 1992 and 2005, respec-
to the globe. Europe is an important example of a tively. Since air traffic increased substantially
well-studied region for air traffic effects as high- between 1992 and 2005, the climate sensitivity
lighted in Figure 1. Global cover requires predict- to contrail cloudiness decreased by more than
ing humidity distribution at cruise altitudes the reduction in radiative forcing estimates.
because contrail formation depends on humidity.
The uncertainty in predicting humidity causes Predictions of the climate impact of contrail cirrus
global contrail cover to be uncertain. The radiative are more difficult than predicting persistent con-
forcing or climate impact from contrail cover trails. The latter spread to form contrail cirrus due
requires defining the radiative properties of the to winds and wind shear along aircraft flight
calculated contrail cover. These properties tracks. Predicting precise wind conditions in flight
account for how contrail ice particles absorb corridors is an uncertain process. The uncertain-
and/or reflect solar radiation and heat radiation ties in the radiative properties of contrail cirrus are
from Earths atmosphere and surface. These prop- similar to those of persistent contrails. As a
erties are also uncertain, in part because of the result, estimates for contrail cirrus cover are suf-
variability in contrail properties that results from ficiently uncertain that only a range of best esti-
the variability in formation conditions (e.g., tem- mates was provided in IPCC 1999 (0 - 0.04 W
perature, humidity, winds) in air traffic regions. m-2) and no best estimate was provided in IPCC
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 121
2007. However, current estimates of contrail cir- Conclusion
rus are near 0.030 W m-2 with a range of 0.01 The IPCC international assessment process has
0.08 W m-2, strongly reinforcing the IPCC 1999 significantly contributed to the evaluation of the
conclusion that the climate contribution of con- effect of aviation on the Earths atmosphere.
trail cirrus cannot be neglected. A major limitation Increased cloudiness from persistent contrails
in the evaluation of contrail cirrus is that, as con- and contrail cirrus is a fixture of global aviation
trail spreading continues, contrail cirrus eventual- operations and will remain so in the foreseeable
ly becomes indistinguishable from background future.
cirrus cloudiness. Furthermore, scientists cannot
be certain that clouds would not have naturally
formed in the region of contrail cirrus if a persist- For 2005 aircraft operations, persistent con-
ent contrail had not been formed. trails added about 0.01 W m-2, with about a
factor-of-three uncertainty, to climate forc-
Aviation Aerosol ing from human activities. This is less than
Aviation aerosol2 is a source of sulfate and black 1% of the total climate contribution from
carbon (soot) aerosols found in the upper tropo- CO2 increases and of the total anthroprog-
sphere and lower stratosphere. Aviation aerosols enic radiative forcing. The contrail contribu-
accumulate in these regions before natural tion has been revised downward by about a
processes remove them. Increased aerosol acts factor of two from the 1999 IPCC assess-
to warm or cool the atmosphere depending on ment due to improved estimates of contrail
aerosol composition and can also alter cloud cover and cloud radiative effects.
processes in the atmosphere. The aviation
aerosol sources of both soot and sulfate have
been evaluated in mass units as small in compar- Contrail cirrus is an additional radiative forcing
ison to the total masses present from other natu- component, but currently has no best estimate.
ral and human sources. As a consequence, the
direct warming or cooling of climate is small from Finally, aviation soot aerosol is expected to
the accumulation of these aerosols, as shown in increase the number of atmosphere particles in
IPCC 1999 and in Figure 3. In IPCC 2007, no sep- the upper atmosphere, which can potentially
arate evaluation was made of the direct aerosol change cirrus cloud properties.
effects of aviation.
Robert Sausen, has been Therefore, several questions arise: How can avia- The water vapour emitted by an aircraft at cruise
Head of the Department tion impact climate? What is particular about avia- altitude can trigger the formation of contrails.
of Atmospheric
Dynamics at the Institute tion-induced climate change? What is the ratio Contrails are initially visible as line-shaped clouds.
of Atmospheric Physics between the total contributions and those from In cold and moist air masses, contrails may
of the German CO2? How can we reduce the climatic impact of spread and in some cases eventually form so-
Aerospace Center (DLR) aviation? called contrail cirrus, which resemble natural cir-
since 1991. He is also a
Professor at the
University Munich. His
expertise includes global
climate modelling includ-
ing climate impact of
transport emissions. He
was Coordinating Lead
Author of a chapter of
the IPCC report "Aviation
and the Global
Atmosphere (1999) and
contributed to several
other IPCC reports.
Currently, he coordinates
the EU-Project QUANTI-
FY, quantifying the cli-
mate impact of transport.
He is author of more
than 70 peer-reviewed
papers. Dr. Sausen was
awarded the Otto-
Lilienthal Research-
Semester.
1 This article was produced initially for ASD Focus, Summer 2007 Meeting the Challenges.
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 123
rus clouds. Finally, aviation induces aerosols (soot Because of a longer lifetime and lower ambient
and particles formed from sulfur oxides). These pollution, a NOx molecule emitted at cruise alti-
aerosols may interfere with the atmospheric radi- tude (8 - 14 km) produces a larger amount of O3
ation directly or indirectly after modifying clouds. than when emitted at the Earths surface. As the
atmospheric temperature at cruise altitude is
The magnitude of the perturbation of the atmos- lower than at the Earths surface, the radiative
pheres radiative budget is measured by radiative forcing per unit ozone is larger than the RF from
forcing (RF). A positive RF warms the atmos- the same amount of ozone near the surface (e.g.,
phere, a negative RF cools. For constant RF, after from road transport).
many decades, the Earth approaches a new cli-
mate, with a changed global mean temperature at Contrails and cirrus clouds only form at the low Ulrich Schumann has
the Earth surface approximately proportional to temperatures typically occurring at cruise alti- been Director of the
Institute of Atmospheric
RF. Therefore, RF is used as a metric to compare tudes. Long-lived contrails occur mainly in the Physics (DLR) since
the relative strengths of various perturbations to humid and cold regions near and below the 1982. He is also a
the atmosphere. tropopause. Thin cirrus clouds and contrails most Professor at the
probably cause a positive RF. University Munich. He
got his PhD on turbu-
In 1999 the IPCC Special Report Aviation and the
lence in 1973, and did his
Global Atmosphere showed a first estimate of Non CO2 Effects Under Scrutiny post-doctoral work at the
the aviation related radiative forcing. An update to International aviation and international shipping National Center for
those estimates was provided in 20052. Figure 1 are not included in the Kyoto Protocol because Atmospheric Research in
displays the results; the red bars show the most the parties could not agree on a national alloca- Boulder, Colorado. His
research covers atmos-
recent estimate. The largest contributions come tion of emitters during the negotiation of the pheric physics from tur-
from CO2, O3, contrails (all positive, warming) and Kyoto Protocol. Therefore, the parties asked the bulence, to global scales.
CH4 (negative, cooling). Small contributions are respective UN specialized agencies, ICAO and He has published 140
from H2O, direct sulfate aerosol and direct soot IMO to find a solution to the allocation problem, peer-reviewed papers,
was Coordinating Lead
aerosol. As can be seen from Figure 1, the total which has not yet been achieved.
Author of a chapter of
aviation-induced radiative forcing RF is about the IPCC report Aviation
twice that from CO2. Note that no best estimate Recently, the European Commission has devel- and the Global
for RF from cirrus clouds (beyond contrails) is pro- oped a scheme on how to include aviation Atmosphere (1999), and
vided due to presently poor knowledge. The total (domestic and international) in its Emission he coordinated several
EU projects including
amounts to about 3% of the radiative forcing Trading Scheme. In this context, how to include AERONOX and TROCCI-
from all man-made activity since the 18th centu- the non-CO2 effects of aviation into such a NOX. Dr. Schumanns
ry, with a substantial uncertainty. The largest scheme, has been discussed. awards include: the
uncertainty comes from aviation contributions to Alfred Wegener Medal
2002, the Aachen-Munich
changes in cirrus clouds, which are therefore not Is there a good method to account for the non-
Prize 2005, and the
included in the total. CO2 effects of aviation? One question is how to Richardson Medal 2007.
weigh the non-CO2 effects in relation to the CO2-
Impact of Emissions induced climate change. One might be tempted
Carbon dioxide has an atmospheric lifetime of to use the ratio between the total aviation-
more than 60 years and becomes well-mixed dur- induced RF, relative to the RF only from the CO2
ing this period regardless of where the emission emissions of aviation, the so-called Radiative
occurred. Hence, CO2 emissions from aviation Forcing Index (RFI). However, RF is a backward
have the same effect as CO2 emissions from looking metric, i.e., it accounts for all the effects
other sources. However, the RF caused by other of processes that happened in the past. For
emissions depends strongly on where and when example, aviation RF for the year 2000, as dis-
they are emitted. played by the red bars in Figure 1, accumulates all
2 Sausen, R., I. Isaksen, V. Grewe, D. Hauglustaine, D.S. Lee, G. Myhre, M.O. Khler, G. Pitari, U. Schumann, F. Stordal
and C. Zerefos, 2005: Aviation radiative forcing in 2000: An update on IPCC (1999). Meteorol. Z. 14, 555-561.
124 Part 4: Global Emissions
contributions of aviation since 1940 weighted Currently, several proposals for the inclusion of
with the lifetime of the various emission species. the non-CO2 effects are being discussed in the
While RF from NOx-induced ozone and contrails science community, including time-integrated RF
was essentially only from air traffic in 2000, RF from an aviation induced perturbation of the
from CO2 is from the accumulated CO2 since atmosphere or the temperature change resulting
1940. For constant air fleet and aviation emis- from such a perturbation after a certain time, e.g.,
sions, RF from ozone and contrails were con- after 100 years. The integrated RF would be in
stant, but aviation CO2-induced RF would grow analogy to the GWP currently applied by the
because CO2 would further accumulate. Kyoto Protocol. The temperature change would
Therefore, neither the total aviation-induced RF more directly measure the contribution of the
nor the RFI are suitable measures to weigh the perturbation to long-term global climate change.
non-CO2 climate effects of aviation. Proper methods to account for the climate effects
of non-CO2 effects have still to be established,
The fact that RF at a given time does not include and further research must be undertaken to
any information about the atmospheric lifetime of reduce uncertainties.
a perturbation to the atmosphere, is one of the
reasons why RF was not used in the Kyoto A scientifically sound solution for the inclusion of
Protocol to weigh non-CO2 gases, i.e., to transfer non-CO2 effects in an emissions trading scheme
them into equivalent CO2. The Kyoto Protocol (or other approaches) would eventually call for
rather makes use of the Global Warming Potential something other than a simple multiplication fac-
(GWP), which is the time-integrated RF arising tor. Such a simple multiplication factor would
over a given time horizon (100 years) from a unit weaken incentives to reduce the total climate
emission of a particular gas, normalized by the impact beyond a reduction of the fuel consump-
time-integrated RF from unit CO2 emission. In tion, i.e., there would be no benefit in reducing
this way the individual lifetimes of the various non-CO2 effects.
gases are considered.
Further Research
The GWP concept cannot be applied directly to
aviation, mainly because the atmospheric life-
times of important aviation effects are much
smaller than the lifetimes of the Kyoto gases.
Among the Kyoto gases, CH4 has the shortest
lifetime, in the order of 10 years. In the case of
aviation we also deal with phenomena, which
only last for a few hours, such as contrails.
Moreover, the aviation-induced climate effect
depends not only on the magnitude of the emis-
sions but also on geographical region and alti-
tude, and daytime and season of the emissions.
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 125
Comparing Effects of Different Aircraft
Emissions on Climate
This article presents an overview of the scientific Radiative Forcing and By Claus Brning
consensus to-date of the effects of aviation emis- and Malcolm Ko
Climate Change
sions on climate change in the context of how the Radiative forcing (RF) is a parameter often used to
information should be used in evaluating the envi- compare the climate impact of different gases
ronmental benefits of technology improvements and particles (see e.g. IPCC, 1999). RF (here
and changes in operations. measured in milli Watts per square meter, mW m-2)
expresses an instantaneous change in the energy
There are three steps in the process of evaluating balance of the earth-atmospheric system result-
climate impacts, each with uncertainties: the ing from a perturbation in concentrations of green
emissions, the changes in ambient air concentra- house gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere. A sus-
tions of greenhouse gases or cloud cover, and the tained positive radiative-forcing imposes a warm-
actual climate impacts (i.e. radiative forcing and/or ing effect, a negative radiative-forcing, a cooling Claus Bruning has con-
responses such as change in surface tempera- one. Carbon dioxide is the most important GHG ducted research into cli-
ture). because of the large quantities released and the mate change for the
European Commission in
long residence time of this gas in the atmos- the Directorate General
Background phere. Its RF is well known. for Research and
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Technology, in Brussels,
(IPCC) is the premier international organization Due to the long residence times (i.e. several Belgium since 1995,
established by the World Meteorological decades or longer), GHGs such as CO2 are well- where he is a specialist
in Transport and Climate
Organization (WMO) and United Nations mixed (WM) and the changes in concentrations and the Relationship
Environmental Program (UNEP) to assess the are independent of where the gas is emitted. Between Climate Change
problem of global climate change. It provides a Once emitted, the forcing will persist for decades and the Stratosphere. He
consensus view and policy-relevant scientific or centuries, and even if emissions were to holds a B.A. in
information on our latest understanding of causes Meteorology and a Ph.D.
cease, the temperature effects would persist in Oceanography from
and impacts of climate change including mitiga- even longer. the University of
tion options and measures. Hamburg. He returned
For reference; change in forcing due to accumula- there in 1991 and was
The impact of aviation on climate was addressed tion of WM GHGs emitted from industrial activi- involved in assimilating
wave data obtained from
by the IPCC Special Report on Aviation (IPCC, ties is estimated to be 2500 mW m-2. For exam- space sensors and buoys,
1999). The issues were revisited briefly in subse- ple, it is estimated that a future doubling of CO2 into wave prediction
quent climate assessment reports (IPCC, 2001; will lead to a change in forcing of about 4000 mW m-2 models. Before that,
IPCC, 2007). In the IPCC process, expert panels and a global average surface warming of some- Claus was with the
review the peer-reviewed results from top European Centre for
where from 1.5 to 4.5 degree Celsius. Medium Range Weather
research groups to synthesize a consensus view Forecasts in Reading, UK,
on different aspects of climate change. An individ- For these long-lived GHGs, the steady state tem- analyzing data from the
ual chapter usually involves many contributing perature change for a sustained forcing is expect- ERS-1 satellite, and prior
authors, and is twice reviewed by a wider scien- ed to be proportional to the RF, with approximate- to that he worked in
remote ocean sensing at
tific community and finally discussed and agreed ly the same (~20%) proportionality constant for the Max Planck Institute
on by government representatives. all WM GHGs. The CO2-equivalent impact of other for Meteorology in
long-lived GHGs, developed under UNFCCC and Hamburg,
This article includes updated results from peer- as used in European Emissions Trading Schemes
reviewed literature. However, one should keep in (ETS), is based on global warming potential
mind that those results have not gone through (GWP) with a specific integration time horizon.
the more rigorous process as implemented by For example, an integration time horizon of 100
IPCC. Currently, project ATTICA commissioned by years (GWP-100 weighted) gives the equivalence
the European Commission is in the process of mass of CO2 that would have the same cumula-
reviewing the impact of the transport sector tive forcing 100 years following the emission.
(including aviation) on climate change and ozone
depletion. Findings from the ATTICA could pro-
vide additional inputs for the ICAO/CAEP impact
assessment activity.
(http://www.pa.op.dlr.de/attica/)
126 Part 4: Global Emissions
IPCC acknowledges that there are much greater flight cause contrails under certain environmental
uncertainties associated with evaluating the cli- conditions that may, in turn, develop contrail cir-
mate impacts from short-lived gases with a life- rus, enhancing cirrus cloud cover. Contrails occur-
time typically less than 1 year. RF of short-lived ring at night have a larger net forcing than those
gases depends also on the spatial pattern of the during the day because the compensation from
emissions and when the emissions occur. reflected sunlight is absent.
Because only a small fraction of the NOx emitted
at the ground is transported to the upper tropo- CO2 emitted by aircraft at cruise altitudes has the
sphere, NOx emitted by aircraft at cruise altitudes same effect as CO2 emitted by a source at ground
Dr. Ko has more than 25 has a much larger impact on ozone in the upper level. Fuel use for aviation in 2000 was 2% of all
years of experience mod- troposphere than the same amount emitted at combustion sources, and accounted for 12% of
elling the distributions of ground level. the emissions for the transport sector alone. RF
trace gases and their associated with CO2 is well understood and its
photochemical and cli-
matic impacts on the Changes in concentrations will also be most sig- effects can be directly related to CO2 emitted by
environment. His special- nificant near flight routes and therefore have a other sources.
ty is the study of the more regional effect on climate. It is unclear
response of ozone to nat- whether the global average temperature For the following three short-lived species, the RF
ural and anthropogenic
response to the global average forcing will bear will depend on the location of emission (flight
activities such as emis-
sions of halocarbons; the same relationship as the long-lived GHGs. For path) in addition to the total fuel use:
operation of space shut- these reasons, there are conceptual difficulties in
tle, and supersonic and using a GWP for NOx/O3 as the chemical (and Water Vapour
subsonic aircraft. He has thus RF) effect varies in space (i.e. location, alti- The release of water vapour into the free tropo-
provided results for, and
participated in the prepa- tude). Finally, using 100-year integrated forcing sphere by subsonic aircraft has little effect on RF
ration of many national would artificially spread the effects over 100 years because of the copious amount of water already
and international reports, and would not capture the short-term impacts of in this part of the atmosphere. However, water
including: the World those forcings that really occur only in the first vapour (and particulate matter) emitted into the
Meteorological Organiza-
couple of years. upper (cold) regions of the troposphere often trig-
tion reports on Scientific
Assessment of Ozone gers the formation of line-shaped contrails, which
Depletion, the Radiative Forcing From tend to warm the earths surface. Persistent con-
Intergovernmental Panel Cruise Emissions trails may also disperse to form (optically thin) cir-
on Climate Change Emission inventories for aviation emissions at rus clouds (called contrail cirrus), which could
(IPCC) special report on
Aviation, and the IPCC cruise altitude are calculated using fuel use and have an additional warming effect. The direct RF
Climate Change reports. emission indices (g of pollutants emitted per Kg of H2O and the RF of linear contrails (for a given
of fuel use). Aircraft engine emissions consist of contrail coverage) is fairly well known, however,
(by mass) 70% CO2 (carbon dioxide), 30% H2O the RF associated with contrail cirrus is highly
(water), and less than 0.5% NOx (nitrogen oxide), uncertain. In addition, prediction of contrail cover-
CO (carbon), SO2 (sulphur), UHC (unburned age and cirrus remain a challenge. The residence
hydrocarbons), and soot. These emissions lead to times of water and contrail in the upper tropo-
changes in ambient concentration of the emitted sphere are of the order of days, and hours respec-
species (e.g. CO2), and indirectly to changes in tively.
concentrations of other species through photo-
chemical interactions (changes in concentration Sulphate and Soot Aerosols
of O3 and CH4 as a result of NOx emissions). For These have a much smaller direct forcing effect
CO2, H2O, and essentially for SO2, the amount compared with other aircraft emissions. Soot
emitted into the global atmosphere is directly pro- absorbs heat and has a warming effect; sulphate
portional to fuel use, implying that 90% of the reflects radiation and has a small cooling effect. In
emission occurs during, other than landing and addition, accumulation of sulphate and soot
takeoff operations (LTO). NOx emissions depend aerosols might influence the formation and the
strongly on engine power settings, with much radiative properties of clouds. Direct RFs are fair-
larger emission indices occurring during LTO ly well known; however, indirect RF through
operations. Approximately 60% is emitted at changing cloud properties is highly uncertain.
cruise altitudes. It is likely that LTO emissions Additional uncertainties are due to the lack of
around specific airports only have a small effect knowledge about the emission indices of soot.
on global concentrations of O3 (Tarrason et al.,
2004). In addition, aircraft in the cruising phase of
Chapter: Characterization of Aviation Emissions Climate Change Impact Assessments 127
Table 1 Radiative forcing (RFs) [mW/m2] due to aviation CO2 emissions from historical operation of the subsonic fleet
in the year 1992 as reported by IPCC (1999).
Emission/ RF/Range*
Concentration [mW/m2] Remarks
CO2/CO2 18 / 13 to 23 Instantaneous forcing due to a change in CO2 concentra-
tion of 1 ppmv resulting from cumulative CO2 emission
from historical operation of the fleet to 1992. For compar-
ison, the change in CO2 concentration from 1992 emission
is 0.07 ppmv.
NOx/O3 23 / 13 to 45 Instantaneous forcing from changes in concentration due
to the steady-state response of the atmosphere to a per-
NOx/CH4 -14 / -44 to -4 sistent operation of a fleet with 1992 emissions. Typical
time to reach steady-state is a few months for O3, about
10 years from CH4.
H2O/ H2O 1.5 / 1.5 to 3 Instantaneous forcing from changes in concentration due
to the steady-state response of the atmosphere to a per-
SOx,PM/SO4 -3 / -.5 to 0 sistent operation of a fleet with 1992 emissions. Typical
time constant is weeks.
Soot/ Soot 3 / 2 to 8
H2O, PM/ 20 / 0.5 to 60
Contrails, cirrus
*The ranges shown represent a subjective estimate (as cited in the IPCC report) that there is a 67% probability that the
true value falls within the range. The uncertainties arise from a combination of the uncertainties in predicting the change
in concentration and in predicting the environmental impact from a given concentration change.
Figure 1 Instantaneous radiative forcing (RF) [mW/m2] from cumulative emissions of the historical fleet for 1992 and
2000, based on IPCC (1999) and TRADEOFF results (Sausen et al., 2005). The whiskers denote the 2/3 confidence inter-
vals of the IPCC (1999) values. The lines with the circles at the end display different estimates for the possible range of
RF from aviation induced cirrus clouds. In addition, the dashed line with the crosses at the end denotes an estimate of
the range for RF from aviation-induced cirrus. The total does not include the contribution from cirrus clouds. Figure taken
from Sausen et al. (2005).
128 Part 4: Global Emissions
Both CO2 and NOx emissions remain impor- Contrail formation and persistence are influ-
tant. enced by a combination of environmental and
operational conditions, but the potential trade-
The climate impact of a pulse emission of a offs associated with contrail avoidance, such
GHG should be integrated over time to proper- as increased fuel burn, increased ground
ly capture its long-term effect. If the integrated delays, etc. require additional studies.
temperature response is used as the metric,
there is evidence that the warming from O3 Acknowledgement
production associated with NOx emissions This report draws on materials that were previ-
could be more important in approximately the ously submitted in a paper to CAEP 7 and is
first 50 years, while over longer timescales based largely on the work developed for the
CO2 becomes more important. The choice of ICAO/CAEP, by its CAEP/Working Group 3.
period for integration time is a policy decision.
The contributions from the co-authors in that
There are significant uncertainties associated paper, Dr. David Lee and Dr. Richard Miake-Lye,
with the predicted climate impact of contrail are acknowledged here.
and contrail cirrus, which could potentially be
important. It is apparent that technological
changes in engine development offer little
References
IPCC, 1999: Aviation and the global atmosphere - Shine, K.P., T.K. Bernstsen, J.S. Fuglestvedt, R.B.
A special report of IPCC working groups I and III. Skeie and N. Stuber, 2007: Comparing the climate
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, effect of emissions of short- and long-lived cli-
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and mate agents, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 365, 1903-
New York, NY, USA, 365 pp. 1914. Doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2050.
IPCC, 2001: Climate Change 2001 - The Scientific Tarrason, L., J.E. Jonson, T.K. Berntsen, and K.
Basis. Contributions of working group I to the Rypdal, Study on air quality impacts of non-LTO
Third Assessment Report of the emissions from aviation, Final report prepared by
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the Norwegian Meteorological Institute for the
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and European Commission. Available from
New York, NY, USA, 881 pp. http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/air/future
IPCC, 2007 _ceilings.htm
Lim L., Lee D. S., Sausen R. & Ponater M., 2006: Wit, R., B. Boon, A. van Velzen, M. Cames, O.
A climate response model for calculating aviation Deuber, D.S. Lee, Giving wings to emission trad-
effect. Proceedings of the conference Transport, ing: Inclusion of aviation under the European
Atmosphere and Climate Sausen R. and Lee D. Emission Trading System (ETS). CE Delft
S. (eds), Commission of the European Publication no.: 05.7789.20. Available from
Communities (in press, and also in preparation for www.ce.nl or
Meteorologische Zeitschrift). http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/climat/pd
f/aviation_et_study.pdf
Sausen, R., Isaksen I., Grewe V., Hauglustaine D.,
Lee D.S., Myhre G., Khler M.,Pitari, G.,
Schumann U., Stordal F. and Zerefos C., 2005:
Aviation radiative Forcing in 2000: An Update on
IPCC (1999); Meteorol. Z. Vol 14, No. 4, p. 555-
561.
130 Part 4: Global Emissions
Technology
Reducing Aviation Global
Climate Emissions:
The Role of Manufacturers and Technology
By International Aircraft engine and airframe manufacturers, in associated CO2 emissions have been kept to a
Coordinating Council of collaboration with research organizations and minimum for reasons of efficiency. Designing a
Aerospace Industries
Associations (ICCAIA)
other stakeholders, continuously strive to develop product able to fulfil its mission safely with the
innovative technology and design highly perform- lowest fuel consumption is a fundamental impe-
ing products to respond to the evolving demand tus behind reducing CO2 (and other) emissions
for transporting people, goods and services, for each new aircraft type. This is the reason why
while achieving this mission in the safest and aircraft engine and airframe manufacturers are
most cost-effective and environmentally-friendly always looking ahead at technological solutions
manner. This task involves the compromise of that will enable significant environmental
many challenges of differing natures, related in improvements. This is supported by extensive,
particular to technical, safety, economic and envi- continuous, and consistent research pro-
ronmental issues. Nonetheless, noteworthy grammes. In fact, generation after generation of
progress has been made to reduce the effects of aircraft have shown impressive weight reduction
aviation emissions on global climate largely results due to improvements in: materials, manu-
through technological innovations. This article dis- facturing processes and systems, aerodynamics,
cusses the role manufacturers have played and engine performance, and advances in specific
continue to play towards achieving such improve- combustion and acoustic focused technologies.
ments.
As a result, remarkable results have been
Aircraft Fuel Efficiency Improvements achieved, not only without compromising the
In parallel with the aviation industrys natural standards of safety and reliability, but by actually
vocation to develop high-performing products raising those to the highest levels. To give an
that respond to ever-increasing demands, market order of magnitude of the reductions in CO2
forces have always ensured that fuel burn and emissions; a 70% reduction in fuel consumption
was achieved between 1960 and 1990, thus more
than tripling fuel efficiency during that period.
From 1990 to 2004, that trend continued to the
point where it is estimated that fuel efficiency in
the commercial aviation fleet quadrupled from
1960 to 2004 (Figure 1).
studies by enabling the collection of data through ly to-date, this section focuses on six key ways (or
the placement of atmospheric measurement strands of progress) in which technology plays a
devices on their aircraft to meet the needs of role in reducing aircraft emission impacts on glob-
research scientists. The manufacturers and al climate. These key elements explain how past
research organizations are also plan, create and technological achievements were accomplished
share their technological programmes and goals and also cover some of the potential areas for
with regulatory authorities and decision-makers, future improvements. The six key elements are:
and seek the collaboration of scientists whenever 1) Propulsion Systems, 2) Materials, 3) Structure,
appropriate. Research funding is obviously key in Aero & Systems Design & Methods, 4)
this process. Manufacturing Processes, 5) Aircraft Systems
and 6) Operational Procedures. Table 1 describes
Six Elements Towards each of these elements and shows how they
Technology Improvements interact with corresponding factors such as
While the preceding text describes what technol- weight reductions, aerodynamic and engine per-
ogy has permitted industry to accomplish global- formance improvements, and operations - all
towards achieving reductions in aircraft emis-
sions. These elements illustrate the multiple
paths and opportunities often adopted by manu-
facturers to reduce emissions (e.g. propulsion
system, materials, systems design, etc.).
Structural Weight Reduction Trends Figure 5 - Example of Structural Weight/MTOW ratio Trend vs.
Figures 5 and 6 illustrate, through some typical Time.
Source: Airbus.
examples, showing the gains in terms of structur-
al weight reduction and structural productivity
increases over time.
Operational Measures
Operational Measures for Fuel
and Emissions Reductions
Applicable to Global Emissions
Through its Committee on Aviation Environmental ICAO Circular 303 Operational By Ted Mc Donald
Protection (CAEP), ICAO has taken a number of Opportunities to Minimize Fuel
steps to pursue the limitation or reduction of avi- Use and Reduce Emissions
ation emissions and to recommend appropriate Recognizing the potential for emissions reduc-
action. Upon ICAOs request, the Intergovern- tions from operational measures, ICAO/CAEP
mental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) prepared took it upon itself to ensure the development, dis-
a Special Report on Aviation and the Global semination, and to the maximum practical extent,
Atmosphere, issued in 1999. the use of best operating practices to achieve
near-term reductions in aircraft emissions.
That report indicated that air traffic management Operations covered are: aircraft ground-level and
(ATM) improvements and other operational meas- in-flight operations, ground service equipment Ted McDonald is
ures could reduce total aviation fuel burn on a (GSE), and auxiliary power units (APUs), with Manager of
global basis by between 8 and 18 per cent. The potential actions to facilitate their broader applica- Environmental Protection
report also identified existing national and interna- tion. This task led to the preparation of ICAO for Transport Canadas
tional ATM systems constraints that result, for Civil Aviation Directorate.
Circular 303, and in 2001 the ICAO Assembly He coordinates all civil
example, in aircraft having to fly in holding pat- requested the Council to promote the use of aviation environmental
terns (e.g. while waiting for permission to land), operational measures as a means of limiting or protection issues for
inefficient routings, and sub-optimal flight pro- reducing the impact of aircraft engine emissions. Canada. Domestically, he
files. These constraints result in excess fuel burn supports Canadas agen-
da for minimizing emis-
and, consequently, excess emissions. The circular was developed by CAEP, with valu- sions from civil aviation
able contributions provided by representatives of including: the voluntary
According to the IPCC Special Report, addressing the majority of aviation stakeholders, including agreement with the Air
only the ATM system constraints on the current the ICAO Secretariat, regulatory authorities, air Transport Association of
aircraft fleet and operations could reduce fuel Canada, environmental
traffic management providers, airport operators, programs which promote
burned by 6 to 12 per cent. The Report stated that manufacturers, airline associations and airlines. the adoption of opera-
the improvements needed for these fuel-burn tional measures in ICAO
reductions were anticipated to be fully imple- The development of the circular focused on three Circular 303, and
mented within a twenty-year time horizon, provid- key issues: Canadian environmental
research for the model-
ed that the necessary institutional and regulatory
ling and sampling of air-
arrangements were put in place. 1. Quantification of the benefits of CNS/ATM craft emissions.
measures; Internationally, Mr.
The IPCC Special Report identified other possible 2 Increased liaison with ICAOs planning and McDonald serves as
operational measures for reducing the amount of Canadas representative
regional implementation groups to help maxi- to ICAO/CAEP Working
fuel burned per passenger-kilometre such as: mize the emissions benefits of regional Group 3 Emissions, and
increasing the load factor (carrying more passen- CNS/ATM implementation plans; and as the Secretariat for
gers or freight on a given aircraft), eliminating 3. Identification and discussion of operational ICAO/CAEP Working
non-essential aircraft mass/weight, optimizing air- opportunities in the air and on the ground for Group 2 Operations.
Ted McDonald holds
craft speed, limiting the use of auxiliary power reducing fuel burn. degrees in Environmental
units, and reducing taxiing. The report concludes Science and Education.
that potential improvements to these areas could The circular identifies and reviews various opera-
reduce fuel burned and emissions by 2 to 6 per tional opportunities and techniques for minimizing
cent. fuel consumption, and therefore emissions, in
civil aviation operations. It is based on the prem-
ise that the most effective way to minimize air-
craft emissions is to minimize the amount of fuel
136 Part 4: Global Emissions
used in operating each flight. It is aimed at air- These results have been achieved while pursuing
lines, airports, air traffic management and air traf- noise reduction objectives and implementing
fic control service providers, airworthiness noise reduction design features and technologies.
authorities, environmental agencies, other gov-
ernment bodies, and other interested parties. From a design and manufacturing standpoint, all
manufacturers are pursuing technologies for
The circular begins by reviewing the impetus for reduced emissions in light of the environmental
minimizing fuel consumption in order to limit tradeoffs (e.g. noise). Improved aircraft and
engine emissions. Next, opportunities for engine designs and methodologies, the use of
improvements at airports are considered. The cir- composite and advanced materials and process-
cular then focuses on the historical record of fuel es, and investigating options for alternative fuels
saving in the civil aircraft fleet and the anticipated are but a few of the many examples of how man-
continued improvement in aircraft fuel efficiency ufacturers are working to reduce aviation emis-
in future. This is followed by the identification of sions.
fuel-saving opportunities during ground-based
activities before flight, including both mainte- From an operational standpoint, manufacturers
nance and the reduction of aircraft mass. The pos- are aware of and sensitive to the importance of
sibilities for in-flight fuel saving are then consid- the operational factors. Manufacturers provide
ered, with particular focus on the input from air- guidance on optimal operating conditions so that
lines and air traffic services providers. The poten- the maximum environmental benefit from all
tial for increased efficiency through load factor design and technology advances incorporated
improvement is then reviewed. Finally, some spe- into the product can be realized. This is achieved
cific examples are provided of changes that each through several means, including: the design
stakeholder (i.e. manufacturers, airlines, airports, itself, ground and flight testing, training, specific
air navigation service providers, airworthiness documentation, as well as dedicated services to
authorities, environmental agencies, other gov- operators covering the domains of ground, flight,
ernment bodies, and other interested parties) maintenance and overhaul procedures, and in par-
could consider in order to minimize the amount of ticular:
fuel used.
1. Incorporating capabilities for monitoring, data
Implementation of Circular 303 analysis, collection and transfer into the engine
Each sector is responding to the challenge of the and aircraft systems;
measures detailed in ICAO Circular 303, and a 2. Supplying all relevant software tools, docu-
number of significant achievements have been mentation and training (e.g. familiarization,
made including: starting before Entry Into Service);
3. Monitoring and supporting the in-service activ-
Manufacturers: ities, including periodic and ad-hoc visits,
Manufacturers of airframes and engines have a audits and conferences, and taking any action
good record of environmental achievements. necessary to adapt and improve further the
They are continually developing more efficient product and procedures,
technologies and clean manufacturing processes, 4. Supporting extensively the efforts made by
leading to the reduction and control of energy ICAO to promote best practices to reduce fuel
use, emissions, dangerous substances and burn (e.g. documentation, workshops and
waste. other dedicated CAEP activities).
The results have been substantial: This of course also addresses the environmental
interdependencies and tradeoff aspects in opera-
70% reduction in fuel consumption/CO2 emis- tions related to noise, fuel burn (climate), and
sions per passenger/km; NOx (local air quality).
Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) emissions have been These efforts are part of the integrated systemic
progressively reduced to meet four successive approach from the manufacturers to better man-
increases in ICAO stringency standards; age the whole environmental subject, targeting
simultaneously all fields of activity, every phase
Carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons and smoke of product life, all parts of the aircraft, and every
have been virtually eliminated. phase of aircraft operation (see previous article).
Chapter: Operational Measures 137
Airports: In 2000, member airlines of the International Air
One of the key environmental policies developed Transport Association (IATA) adopted a voluntary
by member airports of the Airports Council goal and committed to improving their fuel effi-
International (ACI) is to minimize or mitigate the ciency by 10% between 2000 and 2010. IATA air-
impact of aviation on climate change. ACI airports lines beat this goal ahead of time and in 2007
have committed to take action to minimize green- adopted a more ambitious goal to improve fuel
house gas emissions within their control and they efficiency 25% by 2020, relative to 2005. The sav-
support the development of technologies that will ing in CO2 emissions is projected to be about 345
reduce aircraft emissions globally. million tonnes.
Some examples of actions being undertaken Achieving the IATA fuel efficiency goal will be pre-
include: dominantly driven by very significant investments
in the continuous renewal of airline fleets.
Hong Kong International experiences signifi- Increasing load factors also play an important
cant levels of air pollution from neighboring part. The IATA goal does not however take into
China. To reduce local contributions of emis- account additional operational and infrastructure
sions, the airport provides power and pre-con- improvements, which, if pushed beyond historical
ditioned air to aircraft at the terminal gates, sig- trends, could yield significant extra benefits.
nificantly decreasing the need to run engines Recent initiatives, both by industry and by govern-
on the ground and the APUs (auxiliary power ment, suggest that additional potential indeed
units). Such infrastructure is becoming com- exists.
monplace at many Asian airports, following the
lead of Europe and North America. IATA is compiling industry best practices, publish-
ing guidance material, and establishing training
In the US, many major airports are located in programs for member airlines to improve existing
areas that do not comply with certain national fuel conservation measures.
ambient air quality standards. In these non-
attainment areas, any airport capacity expan- IATAs Go Teams are at the heart of efforts to help
sion project must be shown to not further airlines become more environmentally efficient.
impair a regions plans to achieve compliance. Since October 2005, Go Teams worked with 57
At Dallas-Fort Worth airport, 100% of the light airlines to identify and implement fuel conserva-
and medium-size ground vehicles, including tion initiatives that provided 6.6 Mt CO2 savings.
the bus and shuttle van fleet, and 72% of the Each team consists of experts in the areas of
heavy duty fleet, have been converted to alter- flight operations, flight planning and ATC, and
native fuels. Together with the upgrade of the maintenance and engineering. Using IATAs man-
central heating plant, ground-based NOx emis- ual, Guidance Material and Best Practices for Fuel
sions have been decreased 95% in 10 years. and Environmental Management, the teams iden-
tify quick solutions and opportunities, including
ACI intends to build on the considerable work weight savings, reserve fuel planning, aircraft
being done at airports all over the world and, structure alignment (slats, flaps, doors), engine
through encouraging the adoption of more envi- water wash, and aircraft flight management capa-
ronmental initiatives, play its own significant part bility optimization.
in stemming the impact that aviation has on the
environment. ACI, whose airport members In addition, IATA is working with ICAO, govern-
account for over 95 percent of the worlds pas- ments and air navigation service providers
senger traffic, is in a position to continue making (ANSPs) to optimize flight routings. In 2006, this
a real difference in this area. led to more than 350 route improvements in
Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Europe, resulting
Operators: in savings of 6 million tonnes of CO2 emissions.
Currently, the single most effective way to limit Examples include:
aviation carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is to cut
fuel consumption. On average, every minute of Shortened routes between Europe and China
flight uses 60 litres of fuel and produces 160 kg (IATA-1) eliminating 2,860 hours of flight time,
of CO2 emissions. Each kilogram of fuel saved 27,000 tonnes of fuel, and 84,800 tonnes of
reduces CO2 emissions by 3.16 kg. Given that a CO2 per year.
US$ 1 per barrel increase in fuel prices adds US$
1.4 billion to global aviation industry costs yearly,
it is obvious that reducing fuel use brings both
substantial environmental and economic bene-
fits.
138 Part 4: Global Emissions
New route between Cairo and Tripoli, cutting Airservices Australias flextracks programme
16 minutes of flight time and saving 7,000 enables aircraft to use the prevailing jet-stream
tonnes of CO2 per year. conditions to fly more efficient routes. For
example, one airline calculated it had saved
User-preferred routes for North Atlantic flights 8 408 kg of fuel and 43 minutes of flying-time
saving 4 to 7 minutes of flight time for some on a single service between the Middle East
180 flights per day, reducing 200 tonnes of and Australia by diverting from the straight
CO2 per year. path to hitch a ride on the high-speed jet-
streams.
For 2007, IATA has identified 240 more routes
where fuel and CO2 benefits can be achieved. The use of continuous descent
approaches/arrivals (CDAs) allowing the pilot
IATA has also put the spotlight on efficiency gains to set the aircraft engines to best-economy
in terminal operations: it has identified 80 airports power setting using near minimum thrust dur-
where arrival, departure, and approach proce- ing descent from cruise altitude and in the ter-
dures can be improved using Required Area minal area - can save between 100 and 300
Navigation (RNAV) or Required Navigation kilos of fuel per flight. Forms of CDAs have
Performance (RNP) resulting in significant envi- already been implemented in a number of
ronmental benefits. States and regions and are being tested for
implementation in others
Air Navigation Service Providers:
Air navigation service providers (ANSPs) are The opening of new polar routes into Russian
increasingly recognizing the importance of their airspace has allowed aircraft to fly routes that
contribution to mitigating the impact of aviation are much shorter and more fuel efficient than
on the environment. They are fully committed to previously. For example, a New York to Hong
playing their part in minimizing the negative Kong flight routed over the Arctic will save five
impacts of aviation on the local and global envi- hours of flight time.
ronment.
Government Regulators:
In May 2007, ANSP members of Civil Air Many ICAO Member States are taking proactive
Navigation Services Organization (CANSO) adopt- approaches with ongoing work in areas related to
ed a voluntary code of conduct which establishes en-route and terminal area operational measures
a framework within which ANSPs can seek to off- to reduce aviation noise, local air quality impacts,
set the environmental impacts of growth through and global climatic impacts. Specific examples
their own initiatives and collaboration with other include:
industry stakeholders.
Establishing multi-disciplinary domestic and
Over the last few years ANSPs have delivered international partnerships of aviation stake-
substantial, quantifiable reductions in aircraft pol- holders and research institutions to do such
lution levels through pioneering work to shorten things as expand the demonstration, imple-
routes, reduce delays, provide continuous mentation and adoption of operational meas-
descent approaches into airports, and optimize ures. Examples include the Opportunities for
flight profiles through the introduction of reduced Meeting the Environmental Challenge of
vertical separation minimum (RVSM). Growth in Aviation (OMEGA) project in the
United Kingdom, the Partnership for AiR
Individually, their environmental programmes Transportation Noise and Emissions Reduction
have provided major short-term gains in lowering (PARTNER) in the United States and Canada
fuel burn and decreasing emissions of green- and, the European Network of Excellence,
house gases examples include: Environmentally Compatible Air Transport
System (ECATS) in the European Commission.
In 2006 ANSPs cooperated with IATA to deliv-
er improvements on over 350 routes yielding
reductions in emissions of 6 million tonnes.
Chapter: Operational Measures 139
Including operational measures as part of Montreal, Canada, 20-21 September 2006.
domestic voluntary agreements for aviation
emissions reduction. Canada, for example, has Ottawa, Canada, 5-6 November 2002.
established a voluntary agreement for emis-
sions reductions with its air carrier association. Madrid, Spain, 21-22 May 2002.
The agreement builds upon measures identi-
fied in the ICAO Circular and will result in a col- The workshops included panels on aircraft main-
lective greenhouse gas emissions reduction of tenance, air traffic management, flight operations
24 per cent by 2012, when compared with and airport operations. Presentations from these
1990 levels. workshops can be found on the ICAO website at
http://www.icao.int/icao/en/env/workshops.htm
Conducting environmental studies to assess
the domestic potential for improved opera- ICAO also promotes the benefits of operational
tions. Italy, for example, has developed an measures when it is invited to speak at interna-
environmental program to compute and tional forums on aviation environmental protec-
assess that countrys greenhouse gas emis- tion. A presentation on operational measures
sions, in order to understand the extent of the was also made at the May 2007, ICAO
problem, and to establish a baseline reference Colloquium on Aviation Emissions that focused
for assessing the benefits of implementating on aviation emissions. Presentations from the
operational measures. colloquium can be found on the ICAO website at
http://www.icao.int/EnvClq/Clq07/Index.html
Implementating air traffic efficiency measures.
In the US, for example, measures implement- An ongoing program of similar workshops and
ed thus far have led to significant reductions colloquia is currently under development.
including:
1. Effective use of ground delays to balance Summary
demand versus capacity saved airlines As demonstrated in the foregoing article, opera-
approximately $150 million in fuel costs in tional measures present advantages over other
2006. methods of addressing aviation-related emissions
2. Implementing the Airspace Flow Program in several important respects.
(AFP) in 2006 saved customers more than
2.38 million delay minutes; equating to an Operational measures provide not only an
estimated savings of about $98 million in effective and quantifiable means, but also a
delay costs, of which 20 to 30 percent of near-term way, of minimizing aircraft emis-
that cost was fuel. sions.
3. Installing the User Request Evaluation Tool
(URET) at en-route air traffic control facili- Operational measures may also present fewer
ties in 2006 which has increased airspace of the legal, economic and technical challenges
capacity and enhanced fuel conservation, (e.g. engine redesign and replacement or mod-
and saved customers more than 25.6 mil- ification) that are associated with other
lion nautical miles of distance traveled and approaches.
$40 million in fuel expenditures in 2006
alone. Adoption of the most efficient operational
flight procedures may involve tradeoffs with
ICAO Member States are also conducting much other aviation environmental impacts. These
needed research and testing to expand the scope tradeoffs can be significant and must be taken
of application for operational measures, both into account.
domestically and internationally.
The identification, development and implementa-
Workshops and Colloquia tion of operational measures by aviation stake-
ICAO has been actively promoting measures ref- holders are being actively promoted as part of the
erenced in Circular 303. Detailed presentations international effort to reduce the impact of emis-
have been made at three ICAO Workshops on sions from civil aviation on the global atmos-
Aviation Operational Measures for Fuel and phere.
Emissions Reductions:
140 Part 4: Global Emissions
Table 1 Global plan initiatives and their relationships to the major ATM functional areas.
Members of the ATM community will have differ- A cost-benefit analysis in the North Pacific
ing performance demands of the system. All will showed a 0.5% to 1.0% reduction in fuel cost for
have either an explicit or implicit expectation of a saving of approximately US $8 million per year
safety. Some will have explicit economic expecta- for aircraft using this form of airspace. In Europe,
tions, others efficiency and predictability, and of it is estimated that RVSM saves airlines close to
course others will have as their main concern, the $60 million annually. In the Caribbean and South
environment. For optimum system performance, and Central American Regions, airlines will save
each of these sometimes competing expecta- approximately $400 million over a 15-year period
tions will need to be balanced. Interests must be for international flights due to RVSM, while for
considered on the basis of a weighted desired North America the fuel-saving benefits are esti-
outcome contribution. As stated previously, the mated to be approximately US $5.3 billion for the
environment is certainly one of the outcomes to same period.
be considered. The operational concept outlines a
total system performance framework to assist in Following the implementation of RVSM in the
the process. European Region in January 2002, the
Environmental Studies Business Area of the
The operational concept recognizes that the ATM EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre performed
system should contribute to the protection of the an analysis focusing on the environmental
environment by considering noise, gaseous emis- aspects and concluded that RVSM implementa-
sions and other environmental issues in the tion led to significant environmental benefits. The
implementation and operation of the global ATM report states that total NOx emissions were
system. reduced by 0.7 1% which represents about
3 500 tons less NOx per year emitted by aviation
The means and tools to establish performance into the atmosphere. Sulphur oxide emissions
targets and measure performance are under were reduced by around 260 tons per year and
development by several groups both within and total fuel burn, CO2 and H2O emissions were
outside of ICAO. It is important now that these reduced by 1.6 2.3%., which translates into
groups begin a dialogue where there is overlap in reduced costs for airlines operating in the EUR
order to: make maximum use of available expert- RVSM area of up to 310,000 tons of fuel per year.
ise, produce synergy, avoid misunderstanding The reports goes on to state that the environmen-
and conflicting goals, and ensure the establish- tal benefits were even more positive for the high
ment of realistic targets and effective measure- altitude band along and above the tropopause,
ment. between 8 and 10 kilometres. At these flight lev-
els NOx emissions were found to be reduced by
as much as 2.3 - 4.4%, fuel burn and directly pro-
portional emissions like CO2, SOx and especially
H2O were reduced by 3.5 5.0%.
Chapter: Operational Measures 143
ICAOs role in supporting the realization of RVSM To gain a first-order estimate of the environ-
was and continues to be significant. From the mental benefits of potential CNS/ATM changes in
detailed safety related work of the Review of the order to assess which options to carry forward, a
General Concept of Separation Panel (RGCSP), less accurate, rough-and-ready method may be all
now known as the Separation and Airspace that is necessary. Statistics relating to fuel burn
Safety Panel (SASP), the development of stan- and emissions are critically dependent on aircraft
dards and supporting guidance material, to the and engine types, operating procedures, air traffic
extensive planning and safety assessments con- management constraints, passenger and cargo
ducted by the regional planning groups; RVSM loading, maintenance procedures, fleet utiliza-
could not have been implemented globally with- tion, and other factors. Without more detailed
out ICAO leadership. analysis, it is impossible to be specific about the
performance of any particular aircraft or airline.
An important lesson learned from the success of The first order approximation approach used is
RVSM is that improving efficiency leads to envi- therefore only intended to provide broad-based
ronmental benefits. We should therefore contin- information for very general planning and assess-
ue working toward the establishment of a com- ment purposes. The two general estimates pro-
mon performance framework, establishing envi- vided below are based on common statistics and
ronmental and efficiency targets and developing assumptions and were provided by IATA/ICCAIA.
the methods to measure outcomes. Each of these may be applied more broadly as a
rule of thumb to obtain order of magnitude
Rules of Thumb For estimates:
Emissions Modelling
ICAO/CAEP has been involved in the develop-
ment of computer-based models to assess the
environmental benefits for CNS/ATM Systems
implementations since 1998, and the committee Average fuel burn per minute of flight
continues to support the development of the = 49 kg
sophisticated models capable of undertaking
these assessments (see Part 5 of this report). Average fuel burn per nautical mile (NM) of
flight = 11 kg
However, to help States make initial estimates of
savings accrued from the implementation of
measures such as RVSM, and to harmonize the
approaches for converting fuel savings into emis-
sions savings, CAEP prepared some initial rules Table 1 shows average additional fuel burn for a
of thumb that are summarized below. change in flight level (FL)1:
Table 1 First-order estimates of average fuel burn penalties for changes in flight level compared to an assumed opti-
mum altitude.
1 In order to minimize fuel burn, an aircraft should be flown at its optimum altitude. In reality, the optimum altitude
changes during flight. In this table, the flight level change is relative to the optimum altitude (referred to as zero 0).
144 Part 4: Global Emissions
The average range in fuel burn increase men- A major operational improvement was the imple-
tioned in ICAO Circular 303 Operational mentation of the Reduced Vertical Separation
Opportunities to Minimize Fuel Use and Reduce Minimum (RVSM) system, which yielded signifi-
Emissions is generally in line with the estimated cant operational benefits to aircraft operators in
percentages shown in Table 1. When making fuel terms of reduced fuel burn, availability of optimal
burn penalty estimations using Table 1, it should flight levels, increased capacity, as well as signif-
be noted that the numbers are based on the gen- icant spin-off environmental benefits.
eral assumption that the cruise phase of the flight
is, on average, representative of the entire flight. ICAO has a central role to play in planning for the
implementation of operational improvements. In
Detailed Modelling addition to developing the necessary standards
Detailed modelling is appropriate when accuracy and guidance material, ICAO has developed a
is essential; however, it is resource intensive and global ATM Operational Concept that has been
relatively complex. This methodology is distin- widely endorsed and used as the basis for plan-
guished by the calculation of fuel burn and emis- ning. ICAO also provides the planning framework
sions throughout the full trajectory of each flight through the Global Air Navigation Plan and sever-
segment using aircraft and engine-specific aero- al other documents and tools that support plan-
dynamic performance information. To use this ning and implementation efforts. Sophisticated
methodology (IPCC Tier 3B), sophisticated com- computer models are under development to
puter models are required to address all the assess the environmental benefits accrued
equipment, performance and trajectory variables through implementation of the various initiatives.
and calculations for all flights in a given year.
Models used for Tier 3B level can generally spec- Every ICAO Region has a list of identified per-
ify output in terms of aircraft, engine, airport, formance objectives and has developed work pro-
region, and global totals, as well as by latitude, grammes to bring near- and medium-term bene-
longitude, altitude and time, for fuel burn and fits, while integrating those programmes with the
emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), carbon extensive work already accomplished.
monoxide (CO), unburned hydrocarbons (HC),
nitrogen oxides (NOx), water (H2O), and sulfur An important lesson learned from the success of
oxides (SOx calculated as sulfur dioxide, SO2). RVSM is that the environmental and efficiency
missions can be achieved in parallel. We should
Examples of these types of modelling tools are therefore, continue to work together even more
AEM, AERO2K and SAGE. These, and other mod- closely towards the development of a common
els are discussed in detail in Part 5 of this report. performance framework, establishing joint envi-
ronmental and efficiency targets, and developing
Conclusions methods to measure performance outcomes.
The aviation community has been working on
ATM operational improvements steadily since the
1920s. The work accelerated with the onset of
CNS/ATM systems. Technology development has
been more rapid in recent years and improve-
ments are now occurring even more quickly.
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 145
Market-Based Measures
Overview Of CAEP/5 Analysis
of Market-Based Measures
This article provides an overview of the econom- other emission targets were 50% and 25% in By Nancy Young and
ic analysis that was conducted by the Forecasting projected emissions increase between 1990 and Michael Mann
and Economic analysis Support Group (FESG) of 2010. To perform the analysis, a base case was
ICAOs Committee on Aviation Environmental established first, projecting what fuel burn and
Protection (CAEP) for its fifth meeting (CAEP/5) in emissions might be expected without market-
January 2001. That analysis was done into the var- based measures. Based on forecast inputs pro-
ious market-based measures that might be used vided by ICAO/CAEPs FESG, the AERO-MS
to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from model estimated that in the base case (with no
aviation.1 The analysis focused on the economic additional policy action) global air traffic would
and environmental impacts of three types of mar- increase by 85% between 1992 and 2010, while
ket-based measures: emissions trading, environ- total fuel use would increase by only 40%,
mental levies, and voluntary measures. To con- reflecting improved aircraft fuel efficiency over Nancy N. Young is the
duct the analysis, ICAO/CAEP used the Aviation that period. As the amount of fuel burned has a Vice President of
Emissions and Evaluation of Reduction Options direct relationship to the amount of CO2 that is Environmental Affairs for
Modelling System (AERO-MS), developed by the released, projecting expected fuel burn and the Air Transport
Association of America,
Government of the Netherlands (see Part 5). resulting emissions was important for identifying Inc. Nancy has over sev-
the potential effects of the various market-based enteen years of environ-
The work was performed by ICAO/CAEP in measures. mental experience, and
response to provisions in ICAO Assembly has participated in the
Resolution A32-8, under which the ICAO To conduct the analysis, FESG had to identify and work of ICAOs
Committee on Aviation
Assembly called for the ICAO Council, through agree on various assumptions. Important among Environmental Protection
CAEP, to assess policy options, including an en- these was that total air transport demand (in the since 2000. Nancy previ-
route levy or a fuel levy to address global emis- base case), measured in terms of revenue ton ously was a partner in
sions and on other market-based measures kilometres (RTKs), would increase at an average the law firm of Beveridge
& Diamond, P.C. She is a
such as emissions trading. Since no specific pol- annual growth rate of 5.25%, while airport and graduate of the College
icy measure was defined by the ICAO Assembly airspace capacity to meet that projected demand of William & Mary and of
for study, ICAO/CAEP established the parameters would be unconstrained. The analysis also Harvard Law School.
of the study through a consensus process.2 assumed that all cost increases to airlines due to
market-based measures would be fully passed on
Background to customers through higher passenger fares and
For the purposes of the analysis, the three types freight rates. FESG also had to establish agreed
of market-based measures were assessed figures for price elasticity of demand and project-
against three alternative hypothetical emissions ed fuel efficiency improvements. So as to not
reduction targets, which were defined by unduly complicate the analysis, and so that the
ICAO/CAEP. The most stringent target was an potential effects of the market-based measures
actual overall reduction of 2010 emissions to 95% could be isolated, FESG assumed that fuel prices
of their 1990 level, roughly in line with the aver- would remain constant over the study period.
age of targets for ICAO Member States under the
Kyoto Protocol climate change treaty. The two
1 This article reports FESGs work, as presented in its CAEP/5 working paper, Economic Analysis of Potential Market-
Based Options for reduction of CO2 Emissions from Aviation, CAEP/5-WP/24.
2 CAEP had established a dedicated working group, Working Group 5, to study potential market-based options. This
group developed the design parameters for the options subject to analysis. Working Group 5s work is presented in the
information paper presented to CAEP/5 entitled Market-Based Measures, report from Working Group 5 to the Fifth
Meeting of the Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection, CAEP/5-IP/22.
146 Part 4: Global Emissions
3 A description of the screening process and of the findings regarding the screening process are presented in FESGs
detailed information paper, Report on Economic Analysis of Potential Market-Based Options for Reduction of CO2
Emissions from Aviation, CAEP/5-IP/9, which also was presented at CAEP/5. The quotations here are from Section
6.1.12 of that paper.
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 147
of a 25% reduction in the growth of emissions. for airline costs (up by almost 80%), with demand
With allowances grandfathered, the demand reductions of around one third, arising from high-
reduction for this target is estimated to be 1% er ticket prices. Even under the most relaxed
and the cost penalty is reduced by 90%, with a emission reduction target, a levy equivalent to
$1.6bn annual increase in airline operating costs.4 doubling the fuel price would be required.
Among the measures studied, an open emissions Analysis showed that the cost of meeting the
trading system was found to be the only way to three targets was between $47bn and $245bn
achieve the most stringent targets under the per year in 1992 US$.
assumptions applied,5 with all other options giv-
ing rise to substantially greater increases in airline Where the proceeds of environmental levies
costs as well as demand reductions. were assumed to be re-channelled back into the
aviation industry to provide an incentive for more
With aviation expected to be a net purchaser of rapid fleet replacement, the adverse effects on
permits due to the high cost of abatement action demand and airline operating costs were some-
within the sector,6 most of the emissions reduc- what dampened. The analysis showed that such a
tions would be achieved by other sectors, partic- system would be a viable option for achieving the
ularly under scenarios where allowance prices less stringent targets analysed. Options identi-
were assumed to be low. As noted above, includ- fied, but not considered in any detail, for re-chan-
ing different sectors in one scheme encourages nelling proceeds included their use for: accelerat-
efficient behaviour (in this case, encouraging ed retirement of older aircraft, funding technology
those who can reduce emissions at lower costs improvements, and improving ATC systems to
to do so), providing a more cost-effective way of reduce delays.
reducing emissions than if the measures
employed are limited to the aviation sector. This A revenue neutral CO2 charge, whereby less fuel
explains why the impact on airline costs and traf- efficient aircraft would pay higher en-route
fic levels is less pronounced under open emis- charges, with compensating savings for more
sions trading than with environmental levies. fuel efficient aircraft, was found to result in only
modest reductions in CO2 emissions. Such an
A closed emissions trading system limited to the instrument would only be feasible for achieving
aviation sector was found to be less economical- more relaxed emission reduction charges than
ly efficient and not capable of achieving stringent considered in this study.
emissions targets under the permit prices
assumed. Although this mechanism works differ- A combined/hybrid system of voluntary measures
ently from emissions-related levies, its economic to retire old aircraft early and open trading was
and environmental impacts would be identical to found to be less efficient than open trading on its
that of environmental levies. own, but more efficient than environmental
levies. Because of the high cost of implementing
If environmental levies are used to achieve the abatement measures within the aviation sector,
studys CO2 reduction targets, they would need the study found that voluntary measures on their
to be set at very high levels. For example, to meet own would likely achieve only the more relaxed
the most stringent Kyoto Protocol reduction tar- targets.
get (a 5% reduction from 1990 emission levels), a
fuel or en-route emissions levy would need to be To the extent that a particular market-based
set at around 8 times the fuel price used in the measure aimed at reducing CO2 has the effect of
base year (1992). An environmental levy of this reducing demand, the study noted that it would
scale was found to have substantial implications also result in a reduction of other emissions such
4 To meet the Kyoto-like target of a 5% reduction in emissions from a 1990 baseline, open emissions trading was esti-
mated to cost $63 billion annually, if permits were auctioned.
5 A key assumption in this regard was that the airlines would have full access to emissions permits, although the source
of those permits was not identified.
6 Abatement actions by the airlines are projected to be more costly due to several factors, including the fact that air-
lines already are motivated by the high cost of jet fuel (typically, the greatest or second greatest cost center for an air-
line, next to labor) to be highly fuel efficient, and the current unavailability of viable alternative fuels or carbon seques-
tration options.
148 Part 4: Global Emissions
as oxides of nitrogen (NOx). However, the study Environmental levies (taxes or charges) would
noted that operational or technology-related need to be set at very high levels to meet strin-
abatement measures taken in response to such gent CO2 reduction targets, with substantial
policies may have adverse effects in increasing increases in airline operating costs and demand
NOx and noise, as there are interrelationships reductions arising from higher ticket prices.
between these parameters in aircraft operation. Where the proceeds of levies were assumed to
be re-channelled back to the airline industry, for
Where targets are applied regionally, for example example to enable more rapid fleet replacement,
assumed to apply only to developed countries, these impacts were somewhat dampened and
environmental benefits were found to be corre- this was found to be a potentially viable measures
spondingly smaller, and the risk of economic dis- for achieving the less stringent targets.
tortions caused by such actions as destination
switching and tankering of fuel, as well as poten- For targets less restrictive than those used in the
tial competitive distortions, were identified. analysis, a revenue neutral charge and voluntary
agreements were found to be viable options.
Summary
In response to a request from the ICAO
Assembly, CAEP performed an extensive assess-
ment of the relative economic and environmental
impacts of various market-based measures that
might be employed to limit or reduce CO2 emis-
sions. While this analysis was concluded in 2001,
CAEP has reaffirmed the validity of this work
since, subject to the assumptions used.
1 Market-Based Measures: Report from Working Group 5 to the fifth meeting of the Committee on Aviation
Environmental Protection. CAEP/5-IP/22. 5/01/01.
150 Part 4: Global Emissions
measures to address aviation emissions and pro- The guidance recommends that the aircraft oper-
vides the basis for sound discussions, delibera- ator should be selected as the entity that is
tions and decisions as a way forward on emis- accountable for emissions from international avi-
sions trading at the upcoming 36th Session of the ation.
ICAO Assembly.
Emission Sources and
Guidance On Emissions Trading Inclusion Threshold
The scope of the guidance material extends The guidance recommends that obligations under
exclusively to international civil aircraft operations the scheme implemented should be applied on
Kalle Keldusild, is a and does not include State aircraft, which covers the basis of the total aggregated emissions from
Senior Advisor at the military, customs, and police services. The guid- all applicable flights performed by each aircraft
Swedish CAA and he is ance focuses on those aspects of emissions trad- operator included in the scheme. To establish an
also co-rapporteur of the ing that require consideration with respect to avi- adequate balance between emissions coverage
ICAO Emissions Trading
Task Force. Over the ation-specific issues; it identifies options and and administrative burden regarding small oper-
years Kalles responsibili- offers potential solutions where possible. ators the guidance recommends that States
ties have shifted from consider applying an inclusion threshold for air-
general air transport poli- The guidance on emissions trading is not of a reg- craft operators based on aggregate air transport
cy to environmental
ulatory nature. It is recognized that the guidance activity (e.g. CO2 emissions) and/or aircraft
issues, particularly cli-
mate change and market- material may not provide the level of detail neces- weight.
based measures. He sary to assist ICAO Contracting States in
served as Alternate addressing every issue that might arise, given Emissions Species Included
Permanent that there may be unique legal, technical or polit- The guidance recommends that States start with
Representative of
Norway on the ICAO ical situations for particular States. It is therefore an emissions trading scheme that includes CO2
Council from 1998-2001 advised that ICAO Contracting States use the alone, while not precluding inclusion of other non-
at which time he was guidance material as supporting material, to be CO2 aircraft emissions that contribute to climate
also appointed to coordi- shaped and applied to specific circumstances. It change, as scientific understanding of their
nate EU-related matters
is a new area and the guidance may need to be effects evolves.
in ICAO. He has repre-
sented Sweden at five revised as the world of emissions trading and avi-
sessions of the ICAO ation develops over time. International and Domestic Emissions
Assembly. He is also co- The guidance recommends that States use the
rapporteur of the new IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Market-Based Measures
Task Force. Kalle holds a The guidance on emissions trading address- Change) definition of international and domestic
Master of Political es the aviation-specific options for the vari- emissions for the purposes of accounting green-
Science (economics, ous elements of trading systems, such as: house gas emissions as applied to civil aviation as
management and States reporting obligations in the UNFCCC
finance).
Accountable entities process are based on the IPCC definition.
Emission sources included
Emission species included Geographic Scope
International and domestic emissions This was the most controversial issue. Based on
Geographical scope (jurisdiction) advice from the Council, the guidance material
Trading units (integration and linking) outlines advantages and disadvantages regarding
Types of trading systems approaches for inclusion of foreign aircraft opera-
Allowance distribution (benchmarking) tors in the scheme. One approach is for inclusion
Monitoring, reporting, verification, and through mutual agreement between the State or
enforcement States responsible for administering the scheme.
The other approach is that State(s) operating a
scheme that would seek the inclusion of foreign
Each of these elements is briefly addressed aircraft operators without distinction as to nation-
below. For more detailed information the guid- ality.
ance material and its glossary are available on the
ICAO website at: Also discussed in the document are different
http://www.icao.int/icao/en/env/document.htm. options for the architecture of geographic cover-
In addition, the ICAO website offers more gener- age based on routes, as well as on airspace.
al material on emissions trading at:
http://www.icao.int/icao/en/env/aee.htm. Trading Units (Integration & Linking)
As international aviation emissions are not cov-
Accountable Entities ered in national Kyoto Protocol inventories,
Possible accountable parties discussed are: air- options are discussed on how to integrate inter-
craft operators, fuel suppliers, air navigation serv- national aviation emissions in a scheme open to
ice providers, airport operators, and aircraft man- other sectors in consideration of the current
ufacturers. Kyoto accounting system. The general assump-
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 151
tion is that aviation is a net buyer of allowances. Monitoring, Reporting, Verification,
Several linking options are discussed: borrowing and Enforcement
of AAUs (Kyoto allowances), no allocation of Monitoring and reporting of emissions is an
allowances, buying of allowances above non-trad- important element of any trading system and is
able baseline or above tradable baseline. Gateway indeed aviation specific. For monitoring and
or clearing house mechanisms2 can be consid- reporting the guidance recommends that, when
ered if it is deemed necessary to prevent net sell- possible the method with the highest accuracy
ing of aviation allowances into the scheme. should be applied. Calculations based on actual
Whatever the choice, States are advised to put in trip-fuel data relating to each individual flight is
place an accounting arrangement that ensures the preferred option and should perhaps be
that emissions from international aviation are encouraged. Both the accuracy of the reported
counted separately and not whether deliberate- data as well as the environmental effectiveness
ly or inadvertently against the specific reduction of the emissions trading system would benefit
targets that States may have under the Kyoto from this approach.
Protocol.
If actual trip-fuel data cannot be easily obtained,
Types Of Trading Systems emission modelling techniques can be used to
This discussion includes different trading systems calculate estimates. The level of detail for data
such as: cap and trade systems, credit systems, can range from actual flight movement data with
absolute and relative trading systems, and proj- full flight trajectory information, to origin and des-
ect-based mechanisms such as the clean devel- tination data. For those trading entities that can-
opment mechanism (CDM) and joint implementa- not meet high reporting standards, a minimum
tion (JI) under the Kyoto Protocol. Different reporting standard based on emission modelling
approaches to generate a baseline or a cap for avi- techniques that are consistent across the sector
ation are discussed as well. could be applied.
2 a clearing house mechanism would refer to a central point where aircraft operators would jointly settle their
allowances to ensure that there would be no net flow of aviation allowances into the scheme.
152 Part 4: Global Emissions
Further, it is important to bear in mind that volun- In addition to the above three options, more
tary initiatives can range from unilateral actions at direct mechanisms may also be considered, for
the company level to negotiated agreements example:
between governments and sectors. Also, in prac-
tice, many voluntary agreements are in fact com- 4. Airline or Group of Airlines
bined with some sort of incentive and/or disin- Compensates for its Carbon Emissions
centive measures. That is why schemes that Under this scenario, airline players could decide
involve some kind of government incentive for to compensate directly for their emissions
companies to participate also fall under the defini- through investments in carbon-offset projects
tion of voluntary used in the report. that can play an important role in addressing cli-
mate change impacts from aviation. A carbon off-
set facility can either be run by the airline(s) itself
(possibly as an option for passengers/customers)
or by an independent service provider. In either
case, money is paid into a fund that sponsors
specific projects to reduce or avoid emissions
from sources or remove emissions from the
atmosphere through so-called sink projects.
1 http://www.icao.int/icao/en/env/vets_report.pdf
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 153
Key Considerations when Developing Cost Containment:
a Voluntary ETS Successful voluntary measures can help mini-
The second important question to deal with when mize costs, compared with regulatory actions. Of
trying to understand voluntary trading systems is course, as the report observes, the incentive to
How can it be made to work?. The report men- pursue voluntary trading diminishes as the cost
tions a number of considerations that are key in of achieving a reduction target approaches that of
designing a voluntary trading scheme that is both potential regulations. Therefore, voluntary meas-
workable and credible. These include, for exam- ures should be cost-effective and have low
ple, the following: administrative and transaction costs.
Kalle Keldusild, is a
Environmental Results: Competitiveness: Senior Advisor at the
How stringent are the environmental targets? Voluntary trading has potential to attract broad Swedish CAA and he is
geographic participation by both States and air- also co-rapporteur of the
With what degree of certainty will these results ICAO Emissions Trading
be achieved? How likely are entities to participate lines. Also, since operators would be unlikely to Task Force. Over the
and how broad is the emissions coverage under participate in voluntary trading if theres a risk of years Kalles responsibili-
the agreement? and; What factors might under- undermining their ability to compete, the compet- ties have shifted from
mine achieving the environmental results? itive impacts of a voluntary scheme are likely to general air transport poli-
cy to environmental
be small. issues, particularly cli-
Overall Cost and Cost-Effectiveness: mate change and market-
Does the option have adverse effects on the cost- Learning by Doing: based measures. He
effectiveness of control (i.e. the cost per tonne of A key benefit of voluntary trading might derive served as Alternate
from learning-by-doing, offering the important Permanent
CO2 reduced)? Or; Does it adversely affect over- Representative of
all control costs (i.e., the total costs of abatement advantage of allowing participants to develop Norway on the ICAO
plus purchase/sale of emission allowances and/or skills and learn trading strategies that may be Council from 1998-2001
credits) for the aviation sector (domestic or inter- useful as emissions trading schemes are devel- at which time he was
national)? oped in the future. also appointed to coordi-
nate EU-related matters
in ICAO. He has repre-
Political Acceptability: The CAEP report then goes on to describe key sented Sweden at five
How will the trading scheme be viewed by the elements of various voluntary trading schemes, sessions of the ICAO
relevant stakeholders, including airlines and other including: emissions trading schemes in Japan Assembly. He is also co-
and the UK, Chicago Climate Exchange, Montreal rapporteur of the new
industry parties that have an influence on aviation Market-Based Measures
emissions but are not direct participants in the Climate Exchange, European Climate Exchange, Task Force. Kalle holds a
agreement (e.g. engine manufacturers, air traffic Asia Carbon Exchange, as well as airline carbon Master of Political
controllers, governmental and non-governmental offset programs. Science (economics,
bodies, etc.)? management and
finance).
One aspect discussed in the report which is
Benefits of Voluntary worth particular attention, especially in light of
Trading Schemes current developments, is the increasing interest
The third question related to understanding volun- among private and corporate airline customers
tary trading schemes is; What would be reasons who want to voluntarily offset their flight-related
for participating in voluntary trading? To answer CO2 emissions. For a number of years now, con-
this question, the report advances a number of sumers have been able to do so through inde-
reasons why voluntary emissions trading pendent carbon offset providers who sponsor
schemes could be an attractive option for projects aimed at reducing carbon emissions.
addressing aviation emissions: Initially many of these were through reforestation
but they are increasingly related to renewable
Flexibility: energy and energy conservation projects in non-
Voluntary trading schemes are not necessarily Annex I countries. While the overall contribution
constrained by the framework of international of these schemes to global emissions reduction
agreements. This could allow early action under a is still quite small at the moment, as the report
voluntary framework while discussions on a pos- notes there seems to be potential for this type of
sible mandatory approach are ongoing. activity to multiply over time2.
2 Since CAEP/7 the number of airlines introducing carbon offset facilities has steadily increased. At the time of writing
British Airways, SAS, Air France/KLM, Lufthansa, Cathay Pacific, Qantas, Air New Zealand, Air Canada, Delta Airlines,
Continental, Virgin Blue, Flybe Please see article on carbon-off-set and the ICAO web site for information on the ICAO
aviation methodology for calculating aviation carbon offset emissions
154 Part 4: Global Emissions
Secondly, airlines might consider developing a Providing a forum to develop and review volun-
carbon offset capability. This could either be done tary emissions trading schemes;
as a service offered to customers, or alternatively
it could be funded directly by the operator itself. Encouraging the use and recognition of such
An important difference between these two schemes;
options besides the funding is that in the first
case, there is no predetermined amount of emis- Providing technical information to support such
sions reduction, while in the second case there schemes;
would be.
Encouraging consistency between such
Thirdly, airlines could consider the development schemes;
of voluntary agreements as a precursor to an
emissions trading system. Such agreements Facilitating or assisting in the verification of avi-
should then include an enforceable commitment ation emissions data.
to achieve emissions reductions below an appro-
priate baseline; for example, using a voluntary
fuel efficiency target. To the extent that voluntary
trading would be part of a voluntary agreement
between government and industry partners, the
ICAO Template for Voluntary Measures may be a
useful reference document, although in that case
the ICAO Template would have to be adapted for
this specific purpose.
1 As opposed to a closed system, open emission trading refers to a system in which emissions rights can be trad-
ed across sectors and not just within a given sector. Open trading is generally considered more economically efficient.
156 Part 4: Global Emissions
In parallel with work on the proposal, the The EU Emissions Trading Scheme
Commission and EU member States have active- The EU ETS is the cornerstone of the EUs mar-
ly participated in the development of ICAO guid- ket-based strategy to reduce greenhouse gas
ance on emissions trading. The guidance material emissions as cost-effectively as possible. The EU
has benefited greatly from experiences with ETS began operation on January 1, 2005 and sets
Europes existing scheme, as well as findings a mandatory cap on the absolute emissions from
from studies on aviation specific issues conduct- around 10,600 large energy intensive installations
ed by the Commission as part of developing its across the EU. It covers around 2 billion tonnes of
own strategy. CO2 or about half the EUs total CO2 emissions.
2See http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/aviation_en.htm
3 SESAR : Single European Sky ATM Research
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 157
The scheme would only cover CO2 emissions.
Benefits Of Carbon Trading For The Commission will carry out a study and
Developing Countries evaluation of the options to address nitrogen
Just as measures to combat climate change oxide (NOx) emissions and put forward a fur-
will benefit Europe and other developed ther proposal, supported by an impact assess-
nations, they are also in the long-term inter- ment, by the end of 2008.
est of less wealthy countries. Since vulnera-
ble populations are the first to suffer the Allocation
impact of floods, storms, droughts and the
other effects of climate change, developing In contrast to the existing EU scheme, the
countries have every interest in joining the method of allocating allowances would be har-
global effort. monized at EU and not at Member State level;
But also in a shorter timescale, the carbon The total number of allowances to be allocated
market and not least the EU ETS create tan- to the aviation sector would be determined by
gible benefits in terms of inward investments reference to average emissions from aviation
in countries all over the world through the in the years 2004-2006;
Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and
Joint Implementation (JI) projects under the The majority of allowances would be allocated
Kyoto Protocol. Examples of countries which free of charge on the basis of a benchmark to
already benefit substantially from such proj- aircraft operators which submit an application
ects are: (the earliest application relating to 2008 data).
India - 459 projects in pipeline, amounting In the first period, a small proportion of
to 278 Mt4 CO2 eq. allowances (expected to be around 3%) would
Brazil - 190 projects in pipeline, amounting be auctioned. Thereafter, the percentage auc-
to 148 Mt CO2 eq. tioned would be decided in the light of the
China - 177 projects in pipeline, amounting results of the general review of the EU ETS
to 519 Mt CO2 eq. due for completion later this year;
Mexico - 132 projects in pipeline, amount-
ing to 57 Mt CO2 eq. Auctioning proceeds would be used to miti-
Other countries 316 projects gate and adapt to the impacts of climate
change and to cover administrative costs (see
EU ETS is a key driver for these investments, Box 2).
and the expected market for JI and CDM in
the EU ETS of up to 1.3 billion tonnes over Access to Reduction Options
2008-12. in Other Sectors
Source: New Carbon Finance If necessary, aircraft operators would be able
to buy allowances from other sectors in the
scheme to cover increases in their emissions;
The key aspects of the proposal are as follows. Aircraft operators would also be able to use
project credits so-called Emission Reduction
Scope Units (ERUs) and Certified Emission
Reductions (CERs) - from the Joint
At its start in 2011, only flights between EU air- Implementation or Clean Development
ports would be included in the scheme. From Mechanisms (JI/CDM) provided for in the
2012 this would be extended to all flights arriv- Kyoto Protocol up to a harmonized limit equiv-
ing at or departing from an EU airport; alent to the average of the limits applied by EU
Member States for other sectors in the EU
The scheme would not apply to flights arriving ETS;
from any third country that puts in place equiv-
alent measures to reduce the climate change
impact of aviation;
4 Mt : Million Tonnes
158 Part 4: Global Emissions
Administration
Use Of Auctioning Revenues
The Commission has proposed that any pro- Like other participants in the Community
ceeds from the auctioning of these scheme, aircraft operators would have to mon-
allowances should be used to mitigate green- itor their emissions of carbon dioxide and
house gas emissions to: adapt to the impacts report them to the competent authority.
of climate change, fund research and devel- Member State by March 31st each year. The
opment for mitigation and adaptation, and reports would be independently verified to
cover the costs of administering the scheme. make sure that they are accurate. The basic
The use of auctioning proceeds should in par- principles for monitoring, reporting and verify-
ticular fund contributions to the Global ing of emissions set out in the proposal would
Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy be elaborated by guidelines;
Fund (GEEREF), and measures to avoid
deforestation and facilitate adaptation in Aircraft operators would be the entities
developing countries. responsible for complying with the obligations
imposed by the scheme;
GEEREF is an innovative global risk capital
fund set up by the European Commission in In order to avoid duplication and an excessive
2006 to mobilize private investment in ener- administrative burden on aircraft operators,
gy efficiency and renewable energy projects each aircraft operator, including operators from
in developing countries and economies in third countries, would be administered by one
transition. Member State only;
GEEREF will help to provide clean, secure The full proposal and supporting impact assess-
and affordable energy supplies to some of ment can be accessed on the Commissions web-
the 1.6 billion people around the world who site at the following address:
currently have no access to electricity. It will http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/avia-
do so by accelerating the transfer, develop- tion_en.htm
ment and deployment of environmentally
sound energy technologies. This will combat Next Steps
both climate change and air pollution, and will It is emphasized that this is currently a proposal
contribute to a more equitable distribution of for legislation, and as such has no legal force.
Clean Development Mechanism projects in Before it can become European law it must be
developing countries. adopted by the Council of Ministers and the
European Parliament. This process is known as
The Commission is investing $ 80 million into the co-decision procedure and could take
GEEREF over four years. Additional pledges, between one and three years. Once adopted
including those from Germany, Italy, and there will be a further period for EU Member
Norway, bring the total amount of invest- States to make the necessary legislative and
ment so far to $ 122 million. This funding is administrative arrangements to implement the
expected to mobilize additional risk capital of legislation.
between $ 300 million and $ 1 billion in the
longer term. GEEREF should be operational The Commission presented its proposal after an
and making initial investments before the open public consultation in 2005 accessible to all
end of 2007. stakeholders via the Internet and after detailed
discussions with any stakeholders expressing an
interest. However, the Commission remains open
to discuss any aspect of its proposal with stake-
holders in and outside of Europe. As the propos-
al must be agreed by both the Council of
Ministers and the European Parliament to
become law, it is equally important to discuss
potential concerns and possible remedies with
the EU Member States (who together will define
the position of the Council of Ministers), as well
as members of the European Parliament.
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 159
Voluntary Emission Reduction
Schemes and the Way Forward
This article discusses voluntary emission reduc- The third way to look at emission reductions is in By Katsuhiro Yamaguchi
tion schemes in air transport and tries to find the terms of units of reduction. Emissions are a prod-
path that could lead to sustainable growth. It is uct of CO2 intensity and the level of output. Thus,
composed of three parts. First, it addresses basic reductions may be achieved through decreases in
issues by defining key concepts involved in volun- CO2 intensity or in the absolute emission level.
tary emission reduction schemes. Second, as a This difference is important because intensity tar-
case study, the unilateral commitment by geting is more equitable when there is discrepan-
Japanese airlines is described and analyzed, and cy in growth of output.
an econometric analysis identifies the impacts of
such an action. Finally, the paper concludes by Voluntary Schemes
highlighting key factors for identifying The Way There are a number of issues that need to be
Mr. Yamaguchi is a
Forward. addressed in explaining the meaning of voluntary Professor at the Graduate
emission reduction schemes and programs. First, School of Public Policy,
Basic Issues and Definitions it is important to define who is taking the vol- University of Tokyo,
Before discussing this subject in detail it is impor- untary action. Normally, we have the end users where he is in charge of
the International Transport
tant to understand two basic concepts related to such as the airlines or passengers/shippers in Policy Research Unit.
the reduction of emissions; the exact meaning mind when voluntary action is discussed. Other Before that he was
and approaches to emission reductions, and the intermediate parties and stakeholders such as air- Director of Planning and
schemes that are used to achieve them. ports, aircraft/engine manufacturers, fuel suppli- Research, Civil Aviation
ers, ATC providers, etc., are usually regarded as Bureau, Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure and
Emission Reductions infrastructure rather than as end users. Measures Transport, Government of
The most orthodox definition of emission reduc- taken by these groups are equally as important as Japan. There, he was
tions is when the level of emission is projected steps taken by the end users, but the end users responsible for a variety
into the future by the business as usual (BAU) do not have direct control over the infrastruc- of aviation policy issues,
ranging from airport con-
case and then reduced by introducing new initia- tures. Thus, it should be noted that we are basi- struction, planning and
tives, such as installing new efficient aircraft and cally focusing in this article on actions taken by financing, to global warm-
engines, improving operational efficiency, utilizing the end users when referring to voluntary ing issues. He has been
alternative fuel, etc. actions. on leave from that
department since 2005
when he assumed his
The second approach is what is often referred to There can also be various types of voluntary current position. Mr.
as an offset by which the end user pays money to schemes, some of which are linked to other Yamaguchi holds a
mitigate what he/she has emitted. For example, mechanisms, and others which are not. The uni- Bachelor of Law and a
approximately three tons of CO2 emissions per lateral commitment by airlines in Japan is an Master of Business
Administration.
passenger would be caused by a round trip jour- example of the latter. There are other schemes
ney between Tokyo and Montreal. Under the off- that have linkages to agreements among govern-
set scheme, the carrier involved would provide ments or that exist because of participation in an
money to an institution that would offset the envi- emission trading scheme. This leads to categoriz-
ronmental footprint of that flight by taking such ing voluntary schemes in terms of whether incen-
actions as tree planting, carbon storage, etc. tives are provided or not. Unilateral commitments
Some claim that this is not a true reduction usually do not involve monetary incentives
since it may only serve as an excuse for pollution. because social returns are what make them
However, it is believed that if the offset is execut- work. In many programs, some sort of reward is
ed properly, it would contribute to stabilize net provided when a target is achieved and penalties
emission levels. Today, there are numerous offset are imposed when targets are missed. Voluntary
programs in operation throughout the world, Emissions Trading Systems (ETS) in UK and Japan
although accreditation of programs and standard- offer tax-breaks and subsidies for participants that
ization of the method of calculating CO2 emis- meet targets.
sions from specific trips, are both issues that
need to be resolved. There is currently an initia-
tive in ICAO to develop a standard methodology
for the assessment of aviation emissions for off-
sets schemes (see article on the Carbon Offset
Project).
160 Part 4: Global Emissions
Finally, a clear distinction should be made its impact is to look at an actual case study such
between voluntary schemes and market-based as the voluntary emission reduction scheme that
options. Market-based options usually involve tax- was implemented for air transport in Japan.
ation, charges, or emission caps and are essen-
tially a mechanism to offset social costs when the CO2 Emissions and Domestic Air
exact causes of emissions cannot be identified. Transport In Japan
The transport sector in Japan, is estimated to be
Air Transport in Japan: A Case of responsible for 20% of total domestic green
Voluntary Emission Reductions house gas (GHG) emissions, with air transport
The best way to understand how a voluntary covering 4% of that, making it a relatively small
emissions program works and to get a sense of sub-segment. Also, due to the utilization of mod-
ern aircraft and substantially larger fleet sizes, the
CO2 intensity of air transport in Japan has been
approximately 20% below that of the average for
This 20% lower level of CO2 in Japan shows how aircraft size can have global international air transport.
a significant effect on CO2 intensity. Average aircraft size in Japan is
about 20-30% larger than the global average which accounts for about In Japan, as with most developed nations, the
half of the intensity gap (elasticity is -0.5). Also, average aircraft age of automobile makes up the major sub-segment of
the Japanese commercial fleet is about 20% younger than the global transport, accounting for two-thirds of total trans-
average, which is the other major factor that accounts for the differ- port emissions. One characteristic that makes
ence. The following figure illustrates this difference caused by different Japans overall transport system relatively effi-
fleet characteristics. cient is the extensive utilization of high-speed rail-
ways.
1997 Airline voluntary plan initiated as part of multi-sectoral CO2/ASK -10% by 2010 COP3
program by Nippon Keidanren (Japan Business Federation) (base year 1990)
1999 Voluntary plan incorporated into the Global Warming CO2/ASK -7% by 2010 COP5
Prevention Package (base year 1995)
2002 CO2 intensity target is converted into CO2 emission level 1.1 MT-CO2 reduction COP3
in the Global Warming Prevention Package (version 2) by 2010 Japan ratifies
2005 Reduction target revised and incorporated into the legal 1.9 MT-CO2 (CO2/RPK -15%) COP3 comes
framework of National COP3 Achievement Plan reduction by 2010 into effect
Chapter: Market-Based Measures
161
Natural log is taken for variables using ln. Based on this analysis, it appears that voluntary
Technological and operational improvements are measures had a clear impact on CO2 intensity
captured by the time trend (t). A dummy variable improvements in Japan. This has a number of pol-
for 1998 and onwards (d) is included to see if icy implications for international air transport. For
there is any systematic change after the voluntary example, would voluntary measures worldwide
plan. Constants are: average stage length (dis), serve as a gateway to sustainable growth? Which
load factor (L/F), and average aircraft size (capa). is appropriate for targeting internationally; CO2
is the error term. The dependent variable is intensity or absolute levels? What is unique about
expressed in log form so that the time trend (t) international air transport compared with domes-
could be seen as annual improvements, and the tic air services?
dummy variable (d) as a shift from the trend. The
equation was estimated by autoregressive model The Way Forward
(AR1) using 1985-2005 data. Based on what we know to-date, it is difficult to
draw conclusions about these questions.
However, there are some implications that should
be taken into account when we consider the next
step.
162 Part 4: Global Emissions
Special Features of
Figure 2 CO2 emissions from air and marine transport fuel combustion. International Air Transport
Note: international aviation and marine data are for international bunker fuel.
Source: International Energy Agency. The basic objective of overall GHG mitigation pol-
icy is to stabilize its concentration levels. There is
no doubt that in order to stop the atmospheric
concentration from rising, GHG production must
be controlled. However, is it rational to apply the
same framework to international air transport as
to other sectors?
1 ICAO statistics compiled and calculated by the author. Two major factors are behind demand growth; economic growth
and reduction in airfare. Between 1990 and 2004, global GDP grew by 2.6% per annum and average airfare declined by
3.4% per annum.
2 IEA international bunker fuel data compiled and calculated by the author.
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 163
The very fact that international air transport
involves cross-border operations requires coor-
dination among multiple nations. Thus, steps
taken by individual states often have multiple
extra-territorial effects.
3 Appropriated by revenue share of international air passenger transport using ICAO data on international scheduled air
transport passenger and cargo revenues.
164 Part 4: Global Emissions
1Consultation on establishing a voluntary Code of Best Practice for the provision of carbon offsetting to UK customers.
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. January 2007.
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 165
The process of determining per-passenger has Due to the enormous volume of data required,
two stages, firstly calculating total flight emis- most calculators do not include these effects or
sions and then a per-passenger allocation. The for- assume that they are negated on average. For
mer can be thought of as the total amount of car- instance, the increased fuel consumption due to
bon emissions associated with a specific flight, a headwind will be negated by the decreased fuel
while the per-passenger allocation addresses the consumption with a tailwind on the return jour-
distribution of the total flight emissions on a pas- ney.
senger level.
Aircraft Type:
Total Flight Emissions Emissions for a given flight are also heavily Mr. Caners obtained his
The following is a non-exhaustive summary of the dependent on the combination of airframe, and Master of Science in
factors to be considered when calculating total engine and their configuration. Separate manu- Engineering from
flight emissions. facturers may offer engines for use on a given air- Queens University. As an
Associate at ICF
frame. Additionally, different configurations may
International he works on
Gases and Particles that Impact Climate: be possible for a given airframe/engine configura- multi-sector climate
tion. change policy analysis for
The combustion of jet fuel (kerosene) results in Canadian and US jurisdic-
gases and particles that have an impact on the cli- Apart from these differences, the age and main- tions. He has also per-
formed extensive
mate, including, carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen tenance history of a given aircraft will have an research in social market-
Oxides (NOx), and for example water vapour, effect on the emissions. For instance, a recently ing and energy efficiency,
unburned hydrocarbons and sulphate and soot overhauled engine will likely have better perform- and has experience
particles. ance than an engine that is about to be over- developing greenhouse
gas inventories for large
hauled.
institutions.
For purposes of comparison and standardization,
the common practice in climate science is to Many calculators employ a representative air-
apply a multiplier called the global warming craft to address this issue, which generally
potential (GWP), resulting in an equivalent involves determining an average, weighted or
amount of carbon dioxide (CO2). For instance, the most common aircraft used on a given flight.
GWP of methane is 21; so every tonne of However, total flight emissions are highly
methane is equal to 21 tonnes of CO2 in terms of dependent upon the type of aircraft, and reduc-
its impact on the climate. tions in accuracy may occur due to these simplifi-
cations.
Another measure of GWP is known as the
Radiative Forcing Index (RFI), which multiplies the Flight Path and Cycle:
amount of CO2 actually emitted by a factor, Of course, one of the main contributor to total
accounting for the impact of the other emitted flight emissions is the distance traveled. The
molecules and cloud formation. Although this shortest distance between two points on the
issue was introduced by the IPCC in 1999, it, has globe is called the great circle distance.
since agreed that the RFI should not be used as
an emissions metric since it does not account for However, aircraft rarely, if ever, travel only the
the different residence times of different forcing great-circle distance to their destination, as there
agents. are a number of flight phases, such as landing,
take-off, approach and holding patterns that may
Meteorological Conditions: be necessary due to air traffic movement and
The weather conditions have a large impact on control requirements. In addition, in many
the amount and type of GHG gases (including instances, there may be intermediate stops that
some pollutants) associated with a flight for two add significantly to the total distance traveled. For
reasons. First, engine performance varies signifi- instance, a flight from Montral to Prague may
cantly depending on the atmospheric operating land in London.
conditions. Second, pollutants emitted from
engines may react differently in the atmosphere Finally, during phases of flight such as run-up,
depending on the weather conditions. taxiing, take-off, cruise, descent and landing,
engine operations (and the resulting emissions
rates) are radically different. For instance, the
thrust setting for an engine during take-off is like-
ly to be much higher than that for the cruise por-
tion of the flight.
166 Part 4: Global Emissions
Most calculators require that the user input origin Existing Per-Passenger
and destination airports or cities; in some cases, Emissions Calculators
the user is asked to supply a distance traveled, There is a range of online retail tools in existence
which very few travelers are likely to know.. for calculating the emissions associated with a
given flight. Each of these calculators uses some
When these factors are not averaged on the combination of implicit or explicit assumptions,
whole, various methods are employed to deter- user inputs and information from databases. In
mine fuel consumption rate, thrust to fuel con- the section above, the general steps required
sumption ratings and averaged fuel consumption along with the current common practices (for
ratings. Typically, these are then correlated with those calculators where that information is pub-
factors representing the phases of flight for those licly available) of per-passenger calculators were
engine settings. outlined.
2 DLR 2000: Databases with emissions profiles of civil jets. Research project 10506085 as commissioned by the
German Federal Environmental Agency, TV-Rheinland, DIW, Wuppertal Institute for Environment, Climate and Energy.
Chapter: Market-Based Measures 167
Table 1: Comparison of existing carbon offset calculators.
Source: ICF
In order to account for the differences in capacity The reference tool will require only a minimum
the methodology will also provide cabin class fac- amount of information to be provided to it and will
tors based on the additional space required for report the per-passenger emissions for a given
premium seating arrangements. These factors city pair or a series of city pairs in tonnes of car-
may be based on industry averages as deter- bon dioxide per passenger.
mined by ICAO. .
ICAO has endeavored to engage all interested
The underlying dataset of the methodology may industry stakeholders throughout the develop-
be that of the EMEP/CORINAIR Emissions ment process, and as a result, the methodology
Inventory Guidebook (EIG) which is the recom- will reflect this consensus approach. The method-
mended dataset from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines ology is currently under development and will be
for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. This evaluated by ICAO/CAEP.
dataset includes similar aircraft types in represen-
tative aircraft groups. For each of the representa- This ICAO tool is part of ICAOs continuing com-
tive aircraft, discrete mission distances and mitment to support the UNs efforts to deal with
accompanying fuel burn totals are reported. With climate change, and it will provide guidance to
the simplifying assumption that all fuel is burned those participating in carbon offset programme.
168 Part 4: Global Emissions
Alternative Fuels
Potential Effects of Alternative Fuels on
Local and Global Aviation Emissions
By ICAO Secretariat Alternative fuels for aviation are not a new con- ly. Some experts are concerned that future global
cept. Early jet engines were developed that used fuel demands will outstrip supplies and that jet
hydrogen, but, eventually, the realization that air- fuel prices could escalate significantly as a result.
craft need a fuel that has high energy content per
weight and volume led to the adoption of Another major non-environmental driver of this
kerosene as the standard aviation fuel. search for alternative fuels is the concern over
stability of supply, given current global political
Since the energy crisis of the 1970s, almost all of concerns and the fact that most states do not
the energy, aircraft, and engine companies have produce much or even any of their own crude oil.
been investigating the practicality of using alter-
native fuels in near, mid, and long-term. Concerns Of course, the environmental concerns remain,
about rising fuel costs, energy supply security and any fuel which could be used by aircraft
and the environmental effects of aviation are pro- which would produce lower emissions, such as
viding a significant stimulus to take a fresh look at particulate matter and carbon dioxide, would be
the use of alternative fuels for aviation. In the last of great interest to the industry.
two years, interest has increased dramatically.
Alternative Fuels For Aviation
This article looks at what is driving current Jet fuels that are currently used by both civil and
research and development of alternative aviation military aviation are a blend of complex hydrocar-
fuels; it examines the possibilities being consid- bons, and the specific composition varies within
ered and how they compare with conventional broad performance specification limits. However,
fuels; it considers the reasons for optimism and typically they comprise 60 percent paraffins, 20
caution and, finally, looks at future developments. percent naphthenes, and 20 percent aromatics.
Also present may be sulphur; usually at less than
Issues Driving The Development 500 parts per million (ppm). The naphthenes and
Of Alternative Fuels aromatics have a higher carbon to hydrogen ratio
Environmental concerns are not the main motiva- than the paraffins, which gives them greater volu-
tion for developing alternative fuels for aviation. metric efficiency, but they include compounds
The dramatic rise in fuel prices we have experi- which are more likely to result in the release of
enced in recent years has caused intense con- particulate matter in the engine exhaust which
cern in the aviation industry. The point is being is becoming an area of increasing environmental
reached where efficiency gains in other areas of concern. Table 1 shows the typical composition of
the airline industry are being negated by increas- aviation jet fuel.
es in fuel costs. The possibility of switching to
alternative fuels which may not be subject to the
same factors which drive fossil fuel prices (i.e., Table 1 Typical chemical composition of standard jet
availability of supplies; geopolitical events; fuel.
extreme weather events, etc.), becomes increas- Chemical Component Amount
ingly attractive. Paraffins 60%
Naphthenes 20%
Discovery of new crude oil reserves has been Aromatics 20%
falling while global demand has been rising. While Sulfur 500 ppm
demand for fuel in most sectors of the economy
is either rising only slowly or is stable, demand in
Alternative fuels for aviation may broadly be clas-
the transport sector continues to rise significant-
sified into two categories; drop-in fuels and non
drop-in fuels.
Chapter: Alternative Fuels 169
Drop-In Fuels seeds. These lipids, or hydrocarbon containing
Fuels referred to as drop-in fuels can be substi- organic compounds, contain long-chained carbon
tuted directly for conventional fuels without any and hydrogen molecules. The properties of some
changes to aircraft or engines required. Currently, renewable fuels fall outside conventional jet fuel
synthetic jet fuels are manufactured using a specifications. Through additional processing,
Fischer-Tropsch process, from coal, natural gas, such as transesterification or hydrotreating, these
oil shale or tar sands, or other hydrocarbon feed molecules can be structured to be somewhat
stocks (even biomass). The base feed stock is similar to diesel or jet fuels. Also, renewable fuels
gasified to create a mixture of carbon monoxide can be blended with other feedstocks to meet jet
and hydrogen. These particular gasses are then fuel specifications.
recombined to form a liquid hydrocarbon fuel.
A drawback of renewable fuels is that, because of
Synthetic fuels are very similar in chemistry and limited excess farmland, biofuels are currently not
performance to conventional jet fuel, but have capable of supplying a large percentage of fuel
almost zero sulfur and aromatics, and have a without displacing food production. However,
slightly higher hydrogen-to-carbon (H/C) ratio. This some believe that higher yielding future feed
may result in lower particulate exhaust emis- stocks, such as algae, may dramatically improve
sions, and slightly lower carbon dioxide (CO2) supply capability and eliminate the food versus
emissions. In addition, synthetic fuels exhibit fuel competition. The advantages of using biofu-
excellent low-temperature properties, maintain- els would be their reduced overall life cycle (over
ing a low viscosity at cold ambient temperatures. fossil fuels), their lower CO2 impact, and the
High temperature properties are also better, potential to reduce engine emissions. If the per-
resulting in improved heat sink capabilities with formance and cost issues can be overcome, bio-
less fuel system carbon deposits. Synthetic fuels fuels are envisioned to be blended with synthetic
have very good performance, and have already or conventional jet fuels, which could lead to a
been in use for many years in the Johannesburg longer-term sustainable aviation fuel.
South Africa airport (Sasol fuel), hence it should
be relatively easy to supplement current jet fuel Comparing Alternative Fuels
supplies with synthetic derived fuel. If the addi- Figure 1 shows relationships between the fuel,
tional CO2 that is produced during the manufac- the tank needed, and the aircraft weight. The fig-
turing process (1.8 times more than crude oil ure shows the correlation with the heavier weight
derived jet fuel) can be captured and permanent- of the fuel and the increase of the aircraft weight.
ly sequestered, synthetic fuel may be an accept- Conventional jet fuels are optimum, as are syn-
able near-term supplement. Some drop in fuels thetics. However, there are bio-diesel fuels which
may be renewable (i.e., if produced from bio- are very close.
mass).
Renewable Fuels
Renewable fuels can fall under either category.
Renewable fuels are typically made from biologi-
cal sources, such as plants that can be grown
year after year. The plant material typically soy
beans, canola, or palm is generally made up of
oils that are obtained from squeezing the plants Increasing tank volume and aircraft drag via whetted area
Figure 1 Relationship between type of alternate fuel and the aircraft weight. From
presentation by Lourdes Maurice - ICAO Colloquium on Aviation Emissions, 14 16
May 2007.
1 Non Drop in Fuel means fuel which does not meet the specification to be a drop-in fuel.
170 Part 4: Global Emissions
An examination of the fuels other than the cryo- the refining/gasification/liquidation processes and
genic liquids shows that as we move from con- the transporting of the products both before and
ventional fuels through synthetic fuels and bio- after processing. Initial studies of this area have
diesel to alcohols, the carbon fraction in the fuel been undertaken and show, for example, that
decreases, leading to reduced carbon dioxide in synthetic fuel from coal, after burning in an air-
the products of combustion for unit mass of fuel craft engine and in the absence of carbon seques-
burned. The synthetic and biomass-derived fuels tration, would have produced 80% more carbon
have the advantage that they contain no sulphur. dioxide than similar fuels derived from crude oil.
Synthetic fuels also have no, or very little, aromat- This type of study shows a significant advantage
ic compounds (as a result of blending), which for biomass-derived fuels. There is clearly a need
greatly reduces the amount of particulate matter for more studies of this type before a commit-
emitted. However, aromatic compounds are use- ment is made to any alternative fuel for aviation.
ful in engine operation as they help to preserve
engine seals, and the sulphur compounds are Figure 2 offers some insight into the relative CO2
good lubricants. It is therefore likely that synthet- emissions for various alternative fuels. Standard
ic fuels would not be used alone but would have Jet Fuel is considered the baseline. Clearly the
to be mixed with conventional fuels or additives Bio Jet Fuel is worth investigating further.
to provide for these otherwise lacking properties.
Reasons for Optimism and Caution
Some recent tests have shown that synthetic There are reasons for optimism about the future
fuels (from coal or natural gas) can provide around use of alternative fuels. The current high price of
1.6% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, 50 to crude oil encourages the search for alternative
90% less particulate matter, 100% less sulphur aviation fuels. These fuels could have environ-
dioxide, as well as possibly a 1% reduction in fuel mental benefits, especially in relation to particu-
consumption due to a greater gravimetric energy late matter and sulphur compounds emissions.
density. The reduction in particulate matter is They may offer security and price stability in fuel
seen as being especially helpful, since this mate- supply, provided that the alternative sources
rial is believed to be significantly implicated in themselves, e.g., coal, natural gas, biomass, etc.
both global and local air quality issues. are available. Work on developing alternative fuels
for aviation is already under way and aviation
could well become a leader in the field.
Fischer-Tropsch Fuels Environmental
Implications However, there are also reasons for caution.
Less Emissions Firstly we should not underestimate the technical
~ 1.6% less CO2 created during fuel com- difficulties we might encounter even with drop-
bustion in fuels and the constant need to ensure the
50% to 90% less particulate matter (PM) safety of aviation operations. It may therefore be
(measured) easier to make a transition to alternative fuels for
100% reduction in SOx ground use before using them in aviation. It has
~ 1% less fuel burn (increased gravimet- always been difficult to predict the crude oil mar-
ric energy density) ket and, although it may seem unlikely at the
present, a decrease in oil prices might remove
one of the major incentives for the further devel-
Development work is well advanced in the case opment of alternative fuels. Finally the emissions
of synthetic fuels derived from coal and natural of carbon dioxide during the production process
gas. New initiatives have recently been may be a problem with some alternative fuels.
announced in the area of biomass and other
renewable fuels, although there remain concerns Future Developments
about the availability of feedstocks and the possi- Before we embark on a transition plan towards
ble interruption of food production. the development of alternative fuels, it is impor-
tant to establish whether we can and should
When considering the total impact of any type of develop alternate fuels. To do this it is necessary
aviation fuel it is important to examine the emis- to establish the net environmental benefits of
sions arising from the production process in addi- these fuels, taking fully into account the environ-
tion to the emissions arising from the actual burn- mental costs of producing the fuels. It is also nec-
ing of the fuel by aircraft. These production essary to identify the framework and policies
processes include the mining/drilling operations, required to facilitate the introduction of alterna-
Chapter: Alternative Fuels 171
tive fuels. For example, in the United States all well to the aircrafts wake. Renewable fuels are a
sectors of the aviation industry, including opera- longer term prospect. Again, it must be stressed
tors, manufacturers, and the government, have that the whole chain of events must be taken into
established the Commercial Aviation Alternate account, not just the engine emissions. We must
Fuels Initiative (CAAFI) to examine this subject also understand that history has shown the diffi-
and chart the way forward. culty of predicting energy markets and we must
be cautious about pursuing alternative aviation
Conclusions fuels solely as a short-term response to high
In summary, alternative fuels are not an abstract prices or an impending energy crisis. We must
concept they are already in use today. The avia- note that we have been down a similar road
tion industry is interested in the possible savings before in the late 1970s and early 1980s. Heavy
and price stability offered by alternative fuels. The investment in alternative fuel options was strand-
fuel industry is willing to start producing these ed by the oil glut of the mid 1980s. Ultimate suc-
fuels if given market guarantees (i.e., protection cess will require a long-term vision and the will of
from drastically falling oil prices) to do so. all stakeholders to see it through
Alternative fuels may provide environmental ben-
efits and could become an element of the envi-
ronmental strategy for sustainable future growth References
of aviation. We may be able to use alternative All charts and Graphs were taken from the pres-
fuels to deal with some local air quality issues, entation of Ms. Lourdes Maurice, Chief Scientific
allowing us to focus engine design on noise and Technical Advisor for Environment, Federal
reduction and other environmental issues such as Aviation Administration (FAA), U.S. Department of
greenhouse gases. Alternative fuels efforts may Transportation (DOT), in the ICAO Environmental
offer future opportunities to ICAOs CAEP as it Colloquium on Aviation Emissions held in
seeks balanced and robust strategies to mitigate Montreal in May 2007.
aviations environmental impact. http://www.icao.int/EnvClq/Clq07/Documentation
.htm
Drop-in fuels are quite feasible in the near term, Dagget, D, Hadaller, O., Maurice, L., Rumizen, M.,
but there is a need to consider the environmental Brown, N, Altman, R., and Aylesworth, H., The
impact of the whole chain of events, from mine or Commercial Alternative Aviation Fuel Initiative,
SAE-07ATC-15, 2007.
172 Part 4: Global Emissions
Hydrocarbon Class
Jet Fuel Property n-Paraffin Isoparaffin Cycloparaffin Aromatic
Energy Content
Gravimetric + + 0 -
Volumetric - - 0 +
Combustion Quality + + + -
Low Temperature Fluidity 0/+ + 0/-
* + indicates a beneficial effect, 0 a neutral or minor effect, and - a detrimental effect.
Figure 1 Potential contribution* of hydrocarbon classes to selected jet fuel properties.
1 This article is based on the Alternative Jets Fuels publication by Chevron. It is available from the author or at
http://www.chevronglobalaviation.com/docs/5719_Aviation_Addendum._webpdf.pdf
2 Drop-in is a term used to describe fuels that fit todays fuel specifications and can be handled in the existing supply
chain.
Chapter: Alternative Fuels 173
When we consider alternative fuels with proper-
ties that go beyond the bounds of the current fuel
specifications, whether they are intended for cur-
rent or future engine technology, we have to deal
with such issues as: potential certification issues,
compatibility with conventional jet fuel, and the
fuel handling infrastructure. These are significant
obstacles to the introduction of an alternative
fuel.
3 Fischer-Tropsch Technology, A.P. Steynberg and M.E. Dry eds. Elsevier, 2004.
4 E. Corporan et. al. Reduction of Turbine Engine Particulate Emissions using Synthetic Jet Fuel American Chemical
Society Division of Fuel Chemistry Preprints 2005, 50(1), p. 338. This work was done by the US Air Force on a military
engine. Similar testing has not been done using a modern commercial engine.
174 Part 4: Global Emissions
5 The term biomass means any plant-derived organic matter. Biomass available for energy includes herbaceous and
woody crops, agricultural crops, aquatic plants, and other wastes materials including come municipal wastes. Definition
from National Renewable Energy laboratory, US Department of Energy.
Chapter: Alternative Fuels 175
Biodiesel Fuels The primary concern about using biodiesel is its
Biodiesel has been in the news in recent years as low temperature properties. Biodiesels have
a possible alternative to conventional, petroleum freezing points near 0oC, much higher than the
derived diesel, and is being considered as an avi- maximum freezing point of jet fuel, -40oC for Jet
ation fuel as well. In general usage, the term A and -47oC for Jet A-1. This has definite safety
biodiesel covers a variety of materials made from implications since fuel is exposed to very low
vegetable oils or animal fats. Various crops are temperatures at cruise altitude, and it must
used in different parts of the world to make remain fluid in order to be pumped to the engine.
biodiesel. In the US, soybean oil is the largest Even blends of biodiesel with jet fuel have much
source for biodiesel. In Europe, rapeseed oil is higher freezing points than jet fuel. Additives
commonly used while in Asia, palm and coconut could potentially improve low temperature oper-
oil are used. Research is being conducted into ability of biodiesel blends, but only by a few
using algae as a source of biodiesel. This is a degrees C. Any new additive would have to go
promising option since algae can give much high- through an extensive approval process.
er yields of feedstock oil per unit area cultivated
and avoid the food vs. fuel tradeoffs associated Another important jet fuel property is thermal sta-
with agricultural products. bility. The thermal stability of FAMEs and blends
of FAMEs with conventional jet fuel has not been
Vegetable oils or animal fats themselves are not reported, but is an area of concern. The higher
generally used as fuels. However, the oils and carbon number and viscosity of FAMEs compared
fats can be combined with methanol in a process to jet fuel could affect atomization and vaporiza-
known as transesterification to produce a materi- tion in the combustion chamber. All of these
al with better properties. The oils and fats are issues would have to be studied thoroughly and
triglycerides of fatty acids. The process known as all issues resolved before FAMEs could be used
the transesterification reaction converts triglyc- in aviation.
erides into the fatty acid methyl esters (FAMEs).
Triglycerides and the resulting FAMEs are the
These esters have chemical and physical proper- most fuel-like biological products. But even the
ties that are similar to conventional diesel fuel, FAMEs are not a good match for jet fuel proper-
but not jet fuel. Biodiesel properties depend on ties. Another approach being used is to
the starting material. Triglycerides from different hydroprocess these materials using conventional
sources have different numbers of carbon atoms refinery technology. This processing removes the
and varying degrees of unsaturation (number of oxygen from the molecule and saturates any dou-
carbon carbon double bonds). These differences ble bonds. The resulting hydrocarbons, typically
are reflected in the properties of the derived paraffins with 15 and 17 carbons, fall into the high
FAMEs. Some typical properties for biodiesel are end of the jet fuel range. A jet fuel can probably
compared to conventional jet fuel below. accommodate only small amounts of these com-
pounds without exceeding the maximum freezing
point.
Source: National Soy Diesel Development Board and National Biodiesel Board
Another option is gasification, especially of waste Similarly, with use of coal or shale there are
biomass, followed by FT synthesis. It may also be issues with mining, both deep-hole and strip min-
possible to develop new processing technologies ing, water use, run-off from mine sites, and
to achieve the molecular transformations required waste material.
to convert biomass into kerosene. Significant
molecular changes are required to transform Also, any processing of raw material into finished
triglycerides or any other biomass into jet fuel fuel is energy intensive, resulting in emissions of
molecules. carbon dioxide, a significant greenhouse gas. In
contrast, growth of biomass removes carbon
Environmental Considerations dioxide from the atmosphere so use of biomass-
Although todays interest in alternative fuels derived fuel in place of fossil-derived fuel can
seems to be driven mainly by price and supply potentially result in a net decrease in carbon diox-
concerns, any environmental effects of an alter- ide emissions.
native fuel must also be considered. The industry
and the general public will only accept improve- Conclusions
ments when it comes to environmental quality There are no easy answers in the search for alter-
and stewardship. natives to conventional jet fuel. This is partly
because safety and reliability cannot be compro-
Emissions testing has been conducted on FT syn- mised. Also, there are unique requirements for
thetic fuel in combustor rigs. FT fuels emit much operation of the conventional turbine engine in
lower concentrations of particulates and because commercial service that make a rigorous approval
they are sulfur-free, they emit no sulfur oxides process necessary for any alternative fuel.
(SOx) or sulfuric acid (H2SO4) aerosols. When
blended with conventional fuels, the emissions As mentioned above, bio-derived fuels for todays
benefit is roughly proportional to the synthetic fleet face significant challenges because of the
fuel content. molecular transformations required to convert
biomass into kerosene-type hydrocarbons. It will
There are no data available on emissions from be easier to develop bio-derived fuels that can be
biodiesel fueled turbine engines, but these are used in blends with conventional jet fuel than to
potentially a concern. FAMEs are more viscous develop a stand-alone bio-jet fuel. From an envi-
than conventional jet fuel and have higher molec- ronmental perspective, bio-derived fuel could
ular weight. These properties could affect atom- help to reduce aviations carbon footprint.
ization and vaporization in the combustor and
result in incomplete combustion and particulate While there continues to be significant invest-
emissions, especially at low engine power set- ment in the research and development of alterna-
tings. tive jet fuels, the only alternative to conventional
jet fuel on the near-term horizon is synthetic FT
Emissions from the engine are not the only envi- jet fuel used in a blend with conventional jet fuel.
ronmental concern. The whole life-cycle of fuel
exploration, development and production must be
studied. When considering bio fuels, issues such
as land use, fertilizer and pesticide use, water for
irrigation, waste products etc must be addressed.
This type of analysis is called cradle to grave or
life cycle assessment and has been conducted
for several fuels.6 7
6 Gas to Liquids Life Cycle Assessment Synthesis Report Five Winds International, 2004.
http://www.sasolchevron.com/pdf/publication/GTL_LCA_Synthesis_Report.pdf#search=%22life%20cycle%20assess-
ment%20fuel%22.
7 Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation (GREET) Argonne National Laboratory.
http://www.transportation.anl.gov/software/GREET/index.html
Chapter: Alternative Fuels 177
Alternative Fuels for Commercial
Transport Aircraft
Alternative fuels, such as kerosene-type hydro- Biofuels are combustible liquids that are manu- By Oren Hadaller and
carbon jet fuels, have the potential to provide factured from renewable resources such as plant Dave Daggett
enhanced environmental performance over con- crops or animal fats. Crops with high oil content
ventional jet fuels. This is possible due to the such as soybeans, canola (rapeseed), sunflowers,
lower sulfur and aromatic content of alternate and palm nuts are typically used as starting mate-
fuels. Depending on the hydrocarbon source for rials. Biofuels start with oil squeezed out of these
the alternate fuel, and the manner in which it is crops/feedstocks and is then converted into biojet
processed, life-cycle carbon dioxide emissions fuel through one of many different processing
could dramatically increase or decrease. Other methods currently being developed by the fuel
fuel performance characteristics, life cycle issues, industry. Biojet fuel samples are being gathered
and costs must be addressed before suitable can- by Boeing from suppliers and tested in collabora-
didates can be chosen. This article primarily tion with manufacturers, industry groups, and
Oren Hadaller is a senior
addresses environmental issues associated with governments. Future high-yielding biofuel feed-
fuel and propulsion engi-
alternate fuels. stocks, such as algae, are being investigated for neer for Boeing
their feasibility, sustainability, and cost. Commercial Airplanes
Background where he is the principal
Synthetic Fischer-Tropsch (FT) jet fuel or synthet- Required Performance investigator for fuel
research activities and a
ic kerosene can be made from coal, natural gas, The ideal fuel for commercial aviation is one that technical focal point on
or other carbon-containing resources and can be does not: become solid at very cold tempera- jet fuel and energy
produced by first turning the resource into gases, tures, break down under high temperature engine issues. He also provides
which are then processed to form desired hydro- conditions, or evaporate easily As shown in technical support to
Boeings ICAO represen-
carbon liquids. Synthetic kerosene can be tailored Figure 1, other fundamental requirements for
tatives. In 35 years with
to have similar properties to petroleum jet fuel commercial jet fuel are that it: 1) has a low weight Boeing he has worked in:
and can thus be thought of as a drop-in replace- per unit heat of combustion to allow the transport fuels research, manufac-
ment fuel. Synthetic jet fuel derived from coal is of revenue-producing payload, and 2) occupies a turing technology, prelimi-
currently used at one airport as a supplement to small volume per unit heat of combustion to allow nary design, central engi-
neering, configurations,
current petroleum supplied jet fuel. In the future, fuel storage without compromising aircraft size, and competitor assess-
coal-based kerosene will be approved as a total weight or performance. Jet fuel and similar alter- ment. Since 1976, he has
replacement for petroleum jet fuel. Synthetic FT natives have the best performance in terms of been conducting research
jet fuels are actively being tested and certified in requiring the least volume. Hydrogen is the best on petroleum and alterna-
tive aircraft fuels and is a
actual aircraft used by the U.S. military (see arti- in terms of weight; however, hydrogen, along
specialist in jet fuel prop-
cle U.S. Air Force Department of Defense with methane, alcohols, and liquefied petroleum erties, production, quality,
Assured Fuels Program). gases - all require new aircraft with new fuel and delivery. Mr. Hadaller
delivery systems. holds degrees in
Chemical Engineering,
Chemistry and Math.
CO2 Impact
The driving force for using biofuels in aviation is
environmental. Finding an alternative drop-in fuel
that can reduce the carbon footprint of aviation
operations is very desirable.
Figure 5 - Growing biofuels must not encourage deforestation or it will have a negative impact on global warming.
180 Part 4: Global Emissions
Solutions might be to develop alternate feed- For example, with the potential for algae to pro-
stocks, such as switchgrass and algae, both of vide 10,000 gal/acre/year, some 85 billion gallons
which can be grown in areas generally not suit- of biojet fuel can be produced on a landmass
able for food crops. In the case of algae, it might equivalent to the size of the U.S. state of
one day be commercially grown with waste water Maryland; enough to have met 100% of the fuel
effluent, thereby cleaning the water while lessen- requirements for the global commercial aviation
ing methane and CO2 emissions from sewage fleet in 2004.
plants. Through the use of specially developed
enzymes, synthetic biology processing methods Unlikely Alternative Aviation Fuels
may one day commercially convert cellulose In addition to the FT fuels and biofuels mentioned
biowaste products, as well as switchgrass, into above, there are some other well known fuel
biojet fuel. alternatives that are often mentioned as possibil-
ities as aviation fuel alternatives but which, after
Sustainability close examination, are less than ideal candidates
Specific regions of the world may hold specific for various reasons. All of these fuels are still
solutions for providing the biomass feedstock for under serious consideration as general alternative
biojet fuel. For example we can look at Brazil fuels but they do not meet the unique require-
where one sustainable solution might be to har- ments for aviation fuels, as discussed below:
vest nuts obtained from native Brazilian palm
trees called Babassu. The oil from these nuts Hydrogen
might provide a sustainable source of oil for bio- This is publicized as the most environmentally
jet fuel in Brazil. The production of palm nut oil in benign alternative to petroleum, has its own
Brazil may be one way to encourage reforestation drawbacks as an aircraft fuel. Hydrogen burns
of devastated lands. cleanly, but produces significantly more water
vapour, so its effect on cloud formation and the
Future biofuels may involve other bio resources. atmosphere is uncertain. Hydrogen production
One such promising feedstock is algae, which has needs an abundantly available source of energy,
been evaluated by the U.S. Department of such as electrical power, produced from nuclear
Energys National Renewable Energy Laboratory. fusion or solar and a large source of clean water.
Algae feedstocks are projected to theoretically Although the combustion of hydrogen emits no
produce up to 20,000 gallons/acre/year of bio- carbon dioxide emissions and is lightweight, its
derived oil. With such a high production rate, production, handling, infrastructure, and storage
algae could produce 150300 times more oil than offer significant challenges. The volumetric heat
a crop of soybeans, as shown in Figure 6. of combustion for liquid hydrogen is so poor that
it would force airplane design compromises and
is only practical for longer range flights.
Figure 1 - Carbon emission rates (production + use) for various fuel options.
Figure from Robert Williams, Princeton [http://www.colorado.edu/law/eesi/EESI_Lecture_19_January_06.pdf].
184 Part 4: Global Emissions
typically shows that net CO2 production per unit Syntroleum Inc. has announced a joint venture
of energy release for coal-derived FT fuels are with Tyson to produce fuels from animal fats,
roughly twice that of baseline petroleum jet fuels and has a contract with the Air Force to deliver
(i.e. jet fuel made from a Saudi-Arabian light 500 gallons of jet fuel in late 2007. The non-FT
crude). It should be noted that oil produced from biofuels may be able to be used directly, rather
tar sands and heavy crudes (such as those from than as blends.
Venezuela) has a significantly larger CO2 foot-
print than the baseline. Air Force research continues to determine the
feasibility of using pure FT IPKs as jet fuels,
As stated in the quote at the beginning of this although the near-term focus remains a blend.
article, it is realized that deployment of Fischer-
Tropsch technology on a large scale will require
CO2 mitigation strategies. The U.S Department of
Energy is funding a significant amount of work on
carbon capture and sequestration (CCS). One key
observation is that, unlike coal-fired power plants,
coal-fed Fischer-Tropsch plants produce a concen-
trated stream of CO2, which has value as an aid in
oil recovery and other applications. The use of bio-
mass as a feedstock and CCS technologies can
potentially produce a fuel with a lower CO2 foot- References
print than current fuels, as can be seen from 1. Moses, C. A., Stavinoha, L. L., Roets, P.,
Robert Williams analysis in Figure 1. Qualification of Sasol Semi-Synthetic Jet A-1 as
Commercial Jet Fuel, SwRI-8531, November
Conclusions 1997.
The following points sum up where we are cur-
rently with respect to the investigation of alterna- 2. Roets, P., Moses, C., van Heerden, J., Physical
tive fuels as a means to reduce aviation emis- and Chemical Properties of Fully Synthetic
sions: Aviation Turbine Fuel from Coal, ACS Petroleum
Chemistry Division Preprints, Vol. 49(4), pp. 403-
It is recognized that fuels derived from bio- 406, 2004.
mass can have a significantly lower CO2 foot-
print than fuels produced from coal. 3. Moses, C., Wilson, G., Roets, P., Elastomer
Combustion of biomass can be thought of as Compatibility of Sasol Fully Synthetic Jet Fuels,
CO2 recycling, rather than CO2 production. 8th International Conference on Stability and
Alternatively, biomass and coal can be gasified Handling of Liquid Fuels, Steamboat Springs,
together to reduce the carbon emissions from Colorado, September 14-19, 2003.
an FT process.
4. Corporan, E., DeWitt, M. J., Monroig, O.,
There are a number of ongoing studies (some Ostdiek, D., Mortimer, B., Wagner, M.,
with Air.Force co-funding) looking at the overall Reduction of Turbine Engine Particulate
CO2 impact of various fuel production Emissions Using Synthetic Jet Fuel, ACS Fuel
approaches. Chemistry Division Preprints, Vol. 50(1), p. 338-
341, 2005.
There are a number of recently-initiated efforts
to produce jet fuels from a variety of bio feed- 5. Muzzell, P., Sattler, E., Terry, A., McKay, B.,
stocks. Notably, DARPA has initiated contracts Freerks, R., Stavinoha, L. Properties of Fischer-
with three companies to produce biojet Tropsch (FT) Blends for Use in Military
fuels from seed oils, with delivery of 100 L Equipment, SAE Paper 2006-01-0702, 2006.
each scheduled in 2008.
Part 5
Masterfile
Modelling and
Databases
186 Part 5: Modelling and Databases
For noise, the reporting metric is people exposed The process for replacing retired aircraft in the
to various day-night average sound levels (DNL). future fleet was consistent for both noise and
This is a well established metric used by ICAOs emissions scenarios, with the only difference
Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection being the use of the BP database for noise, as
(CAEP) and many Member States when conduct- opposed to the 2006 Version of the CAEP In-
ing noise analyses. Unlike with noise, there is no Production database for emissions. To maintain
accepted metric or modelling system for report- consistency in the underlying operational data
ing the impact of local air quality1 (LAQ) and from noise to LAQ/GHG, these operational data
greenhouse gas2 (GHG) emissions. Work is in were also used by three of the four LAQ/GHG
progress, within CAEP, to evaluate approaches for modellers that participated in the CAEP/7 goals
measuring impacts of LAQ and GHG emissions. assessment.
For CAEP/7, the LAQ and GHG environmental
goals assessment reported aircraft emissions As was done for CAEP/5 and CAEP/6, the
burden in terms of mass of emissions. Shell 16 airports7 were run through AEDT/
MAGENTA. Subsequently, a scaling factor of 1.25
This article presents example results of the was applied to the computed values for exempt
CAEP/7 goals assessment. regions8 to account for contributions from
Shell 29 airports.
Noise
In support of the CAEP/7 noise goals assess- Results were obtained for the population within
ment, the AEDT3/MAGENTA4 model was used to the 55, 60 and 65 dB DNL contours. The global
compute global noise exposure for the baseline results in terms of population within the 65 dB
years of 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2005, DNL contour are presented in Figure 1.
where for 2005 various sensitivity assessments
were also conducted. (This model is a revised ver- Figure 1 shows that if no action is taken, the pop-
sion of the legacy tool MAGENTA). ulation highly annoyed by noise is increasing
steadily, after a sharp decline due to the events of
September 11, and will exceed the year 2000
population level by the year 2018.
Figure 1 Summary of CAEP/7 AEDT/MAGENTA Results for 65 dB DNL (Global). In carrying out the modelling of emissions, the
aircraft replacement data used for LAQ and GHG
modelling were derived from a 2006 version of
the CAEP In-Production database. Projections of
future technology developments are not included
in this assessment. Guidance for taking into
account technology advances was not available in
time for consideration for CAEP/7. Data presented
here should be regarded as understating that
which aviation might be expected to achieve
through continued improvements in technology,
operation and ATM. Figures 2, 3 and 4 present
the total aviation fuel burn, the Greenhouse Gas
NOx emissions and the total CO2 emissions.
6 Airports for which sufficient detail both traffic and routes is available for the calculation of complete noise expo-
sure contours
7 Airports in regions that implement Noise Chapter 2 restrictions
8 Regions that do not implement Noise Chapter 2 restrictions
9 Airports described in terms of traffic only
10 Manchester Metropolitan University
Chapter: ICAO Environmental Goals Assessment
189
One recent development addresses the fact that 1. SAE-AIR-1845 : Procedure for the Calculation
existing analytical tools used by CAEP were not of Airplane Noise in the Vicinity of Airports.
designed to assess interdependencies between
noise and emissions, that is needed to properly 2. SAE-AIR-1751: Prediction Method for Lateral
analyze the costs and benefits of proposed miti- Attenuation of Airplane Noise During Takeoff
gation measures. Accordingly, CAEP is develop- and Landing.
ing a modelling system, comprising databases
and compatible tools to enable such interdepend- 3. SAE-ARP-866A: Standard Values of
ency assessments to be carried out. Under the Atmospheric Absorption as a Function of
aegis of the CAEP Modelling and Databases Task Temperature and Humidity.
Force, all of the tools described below are
planned to form part of this compatible interde- In particular, AEDT/INM aircraft flight profile and
pendency modelling system,wherever feasible. noise calculation algorithms are based on the
Those modelling capabilities made available to methodology presented in the SAE-AIR-1845
ICAO/CAEP are described below under five main report.
fields of application: aircraft noise, local air quali-
ty, global emissions, interdependencies, and eco- Aviation Environmental Design Tools
nomics. Model for Assessing Global Exposure
to the Noise of Transport Aircraft
Aircraft Noise Models (AEDT/MAGENTA)
As part of the U.S. FAAs suite of environmental
Aviation Environmental Design Tools assessment tools, AEDT/MAGENTA is a model
Integrated Noise Model (AEDT/INM) developed, within the ICAO/CAEP framework, to
As part of the U.S. Federal Aviation estimate global noise exposure caused by civil air-
Administrations (U.S. FAA) 1 suite of environmen- craft operations. The model computes, under any
tal assessment tools, the AEDT/INM is a comput- specified noise certification and transition sce-
er program developed by the US FAA to assess nario, the noise exposure contours around a large
changes in noise impacts resulting from: (1) new number of civil airports and counts the number of
or extended runways or runway configurations; people affected. Input data includes aircraft noise
(2) new traffic demand and fleet mix; (3) revised and performance characteristics and aircraft traf-
routings and airspace structures; (4) alternative fic forecasts. Outputs include noise-exposed pop-
flight profiles; and (5) modifications to other oper- ulation numbers together with regional break-
ational procedures. The US FAA has been using downs.
and revising the model since 1978 and Version 7.0
of the model was released in April 2007.
AEDT/INM is used by more than 700 organiza-
tions in over 50 countries.
1 This reference also includes the Office of Aviation Energy and Environment (AEE) within US FAA.
Chapter: Overview of Analytical Capabilities for CAEP Work
191
2 European Civil Aviation Conference, DOC29: Report on Standard Method of Computing Noise Contours around Civil
Airports 3rd Edition, 07/12/2005.
3 The engine is the core programme which calculates the noise footprints of individual aircraft operations.
192 Part 5: Modelling and Databases
4-engine aircraft operating at a variety of take-off In general, such models may be described as
weights and mission lengths, under different being either empirical or deterministic. Empirical
operating procedures, thus resulting in different models are those which mainly rely on aircraft
footprint shapes. noise and flight path measurements made
around the airports of interest. Deterministic
Despite this simplification method, tests have models synthesize aircraft flight paths and noise
shown that there is close agreement between emissions, making use of aircraft noise and per-
complete and surrogate contours produced, formance data (usually provided by aircraft manu-
even at the individual airport level. This significant facturers). To calculate noise exposure patterns,
reduction in the number of aircraft types and both types of models define ground tracks of
operations reduces AEDT/INM computer run arriving and departing aircraft along with their
times by around 99%; thus allowing the comple- flight profiles; the variations of height and
tion of a global (Shell-1) analysis in about 8 speed along the flight tracks, which are then relat-
hours (excluding data preparation). ed to noise emissions.
4 DNL: Annual Day-Night average sound Level: 365-day average, in decibels, day-night average sound level.
5 Leq: Equivalent Sound Level of aircraft noise in dB(A): the sound level averaged over a specific period of time, e.g. 16
hours, 24 hours etc.
6 SEL: Sound Exposure Level: a measure of the noise event generated by a single aircraft fly-by, in dB(A).
Chapter: Overview of Analytical Capabilities for CAEP Work
193
paths were linked; that is, they reflected average version, ENHANCE is rapidly becoming the de
day-to-day operations of existing aircraft. Certain facto standard in noise contour modelling for the
comparative studies could be performed inde- European 5th and 6th Framework projects.
pendently using other (deterministic) models, but
the results might not be fully consistent with This use of 4-D trajectories enables ENHANCE to
existing noise exposures that had been deter- be used as a validation platform for noise models.
mined empirically. Several data collection campaigns have been
undertaken at different European airports, provid-
Accordingly, to produce historical contours and ing Radar and Noise Monitor (NM) data for single
forecast future trends in a fully consistent man- flights, in order to validate calculated noise levels
ner, the model has been modified, and the prod- against measured ones.
uct is ANCON Version 2. This tool combines the
strengths of both empirical and deterministic JCAB Aircraft Noise Prediction Model
noise modelling. In most respects ANCON-2 is The Civil Aviation Bureau of the Ministry of
unchanged from ANCON-1. The key improvement Transport of Japan (JCAB) first developed its own
is that noise emissions, previously defined purely aircraft noise prediction program in 1978. The
empirically via RNL, are now linked to engine development of the first edition of JCAB Model
power via so-called noise-power-distance (NPD) was based on the first version of the U.S. FAAs
relationships. Engine power is a broad generic INM. The JCAB model uses several basic data
expression that may refer to thrust for jet inputs including: (1) Noise-Distance Data, which
engines, or shaft power for turboprops. determine relationship of LAmax7 to source-
receiver distance according to engine thrust val-
For the purposes of modelling the historical ues for various aircraft types, (2) Altitude Profiles
annual contours (a form of noise monitoring), showing the transition of flight altitude and
average flight profiles are determined from oper- engine thrust, and (3) Flight Tracks which are flight
ational radar data. From these, the corresponding paths projected onto the ground. This model usu-
engine thrust levels, and hence noise emissions, ally calculates noise predictions in a simplified
are then calculated using information or infer- form of WECPNL8 (WECPNLj) on the basis of
ences about the flight configuration, especially information on airport and flight operations, and
the aircraft weight and flap settings, and aircraft the depicts noise contours. In the calculation, it
performance characteristics. For forecasting, the first determines a flight altitude and an engine
sequence is usually reversed; first the aircraft thrust value at minimum distance on the flight
weights and operating procedures are defined, route from an observation point. Next, it calcu-
the latter in terms of the management of flap and lates noise exposure due to the flight using
engine thrust schedules; then the resulting flight Noise-Distance Data. The model corrects for dis-
profiles are calculated using appropriate aircraft tortion due to excess ground attenuation, based
and atmospheric data. on elevation angle looking up at the aircraft. It also
takes flight route dispersion into account.
The ANCON-2 model is subject to continuing WECPNLj is calculated by adding up all energy
development. contribution of noise exposure calculated for all
types of aircraft and flight operations with the cor-
The European Harmonised Aircraft rections.
Noise-Contour Modelling Environment
(ENHANCE) SONDEO
The ENHANCE model aims at improving the The SONDEO model can predict, to a relatively
quality of noise contours produced by noise mod- high degree of accuracy, noise contours sur-
els like the U.S. FAAs AEDT/INM, mainly by rounding an airport, as well as the number of peo-
improving the quality of the input data used by ple affected. It was developed by Anotec
these models. An interface/pre-processor combi- Consulting.
nation is used to enable full 4-D trajectories,
taken from either smoothed radar data, or from The noise contour module (NCM) calculates noise
an ATC simulator, to be used for noise calcula- contours of Lden9 and Lnight according to ECAC
tions. Thrust profiles, which are generally missing Doc 29 (Edition 3). The noise and performance
in the input data, are calculated by the pre-proces- databases used are those provided by INM
sor from these trajectories. Now in its second (Version 6.1).
7 LAmax: Maximum A-weighted noise level recorded at a field point during an aircraft fly-by.
8 WECPNL: Weighted Equivalent Continuous Perceived Noise Level: the basic noise index for the evaluation of environ-
mental noise effects due to aircraft noise around airports.
9 Lden: the 24-hr Leq calculated for an annual period, but with a 5 dB weighting for evening and a 10 dB weighting for
night.
194 Part 5: Modelling and Databases
The population module (PM) is capable of overlay- separated variable (.csv) file formats using an
ing the noise contours from NCM on population Import Wizard, or entered directly in the user
maps, so as to determine the number of people interface
affected by noise. From the total number of peo-
ple affected, the percentage of highly annoyed Emission factors: The very latest available
people will be derived. A schematic overview of emission factor datasets are included in EMIT
the software is given in the Figure 2: for the full range of source types.
Local Air Quality Models Data export: EMIT exports emission source
data in ADMS-Airport format, so that the data
Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling can be directly imported to the air quality
System (ADMS) -Airport model. It also exports source data and invento-
ry totals as ArcView shp files.
Emissions
EMIT (EMissions Inventory Toolkit) provides a Links to GIS and Mapper: EMIT has a link to
complete system for the management and ArcView GIS with tools provided for manipula-
manipulation of emissions inventories, allowing a tion of EMIT data and viewing of total emis-
comprehensive review of the impacts of aircraft, sions, and
traffic (road and rail), industrial, commercial, and
domestic sources. Emissions can be aggregated Pollutants: EMIT calculates emissions of toxic
onto grid squares, and can be exported from air pollutants and greenhouse gases including
EMIT into the ADMS-Airport air quality model. NO, NO2, CO, PM10, PM2.5, SO2, VOCs and
CO2.
The important features of EMIT are:
Calculating Aircraft Emissions
Source types: Major road, rail, industrial point
and area sources can all be stored explicitly in Flight Performance
EMIT. Minor roads, commercial and domestic ADMS-Airport has a flight performance pre-pro-
sources and other small or poorly defined cessing tool for calculating aircraft emissions. It
sources are stored as emissions aggregated determines aircraft emissions based on aircraft
on a 1km square grid. performance according to aircraft type, weight
and airport elevation and aircraft engine.
Data import: Emissions inventory data can be
imported, for instance aircraft emissions calcu- The ADMS-Airport pre-processor uses the
lated from the ADMS-Airport flight perform- European Civil Aviation Conference (ECAC)
ance pre-processor. Data can be imported Document 29 Edition 3 and the Eurocontrol
from ArcView (.shp), MapInfo (.mif) or comma Aircraft Noise and Performance Database (ANP)
Chapter: Overview of Analytical Capabilities for CAEP Work
195
aircraft performance characteristics to generate using as input hourly varying meteorological data,
departure and arrival trajectories. The Boeing emissions data and background pollutant data.
Method 2 Fuel Flow Methodology (BM2FFM), The meteorological input data are derived from
Eurocontrol Base of Aircraft Data (BADA) and standard meteorological measurements from
ICAO engine emissions databank are used to cal- one met site typically Julian day number and
culate fuel flow and gaseous emissions. The first hour (which determine solar elevation), wind
order approximation (FOA) 3.0 is used to calculate speed and direction, cloud cover and temperature
PM emissions. for each hour are used to calculate the friction and
convective velocity scales, Monin-Obukhov
The ADMS-Airport pre-processor evaluates emis- length and boundary layer height. These quanti-
sions quantities and location of emissions of ties are then used to derive vertical profiles of
NOX, PM, HC, CO, CO2, SOx and H2O to create mean velocity, turbulence, temperature, etc. for
an aircraft emissions inventory that can be com- use in the dispersion algorithm. The emissions
piled with other emissions data in EMIT and/or data may be based on hourly activity data, or it
input to the ADMS-Airport air quality model. can be actual estimated/measured emissions for
each hour, or it can use typical diurnal profiles.
ICAO (Issue 13) 2005 Emission Factors Sources are generally represented explicitly with-
If users do not have detailed flight information, in the output domain but aggregated onto a grid
EMIT contains the ICAO emissions factors for outside the output domain. The background data
engines that have entered production. Using of pollutant concentrations are either taken from
times in mode for taxiing and hold, take-off roll, rural monitors outside the emissions domain with
climb and approach and fleet information, aircraft the background value for each hour being that
emissions can rapidly be calculated. The pollu- measurement most closely aligned with the
tants calculated are: CO, NO2, NOX, VOC. upwind direction, or from regional scale air quali-
ty models. ADMS-Airport calculates concentra-
Other Airport Emission Factors tions of all common pollutants including NOx
The APU 2004 dataset includes emission factors (NO2 and NO), PM10, PM2.5, O3, SO2, CO and
of CO, NO2, NOx and VOC for 29 different types VOCs.
of Auxiliary Power Units.
The additional features of ADMS-Airport when
The IPCC96 Air (average fleet) and IPCC96 Air (old compared with ADMS-Urban relate to its treat-
fleet) datasets have been compiled using data ment of aircraft sources. The approach is to use
from Table 1-52 in Section 1.5 of Volume 3 of the the ADMS 4 jet model (CERC 2007) to represent
IPCC manual (IPCC, 1996). Emission factors of emissions from the jet engines modified to take
CO, CO2, CH4, N2O, NO2, NOX, SO2 and VOC are into account the velocity of the jets. The impact of
given for the Landing/Take-Off (LTO) cycle, and for wake vortices on plume dispersion is taken into
cruise. account by using a vertical displacement for air-
borne aircraft, but it is neglected for the take-off
Air Pollutant Concentrations roll, for which emission concentrations are very
The air pollutant concentration modules of small.
ADMS-Airport have been developed by CERC10
and comprise an extension of the ADMS-Urban Other aspects of ADMS-Airport include treatment
system for urban air quality (Carruthers et al of road sources and chemistry. Roads are treated
2000) which models the impact of the complex as line sources with width equivalent to the road
mix of sources typical of an urban area including: width and initial mixing depth representing the
road, industrial, commercial, and domestic vertical mixing very close to the exhaust.
sources, as well as other diffuse or small sources Additionally, allowance is made for traffic-induced
all aggregated onto a grid. ADMS-Urban is a turbulence and the effect of both canyons and
spin-off of the widely used Atmospheric noise barriers can be accounted for if necessary.
Dispersion Modelling System (ADMS 4) The chemical reaction uses explicit reactions for
(Carruthers et al 1994) developed by CERC in col- the NO, NO2, O3 interactions, but a limited set of
laboration with the UK Meteorological Office and surrogate reactions for the impact of VOCs.
UK power companies. Each of these models run
on PCs with user-friendly Windows-based inter- Scenario Modelling
faces, and links to GIS for input and output/pres- What If? and various future scenarios can be
entation of results. modelled in two stages, firstly, assessing the
effect on emissions using EMIT and secondly,
The basic approach used in ADMS-Airport is to assessing the impact on air quality of the sce-
calculate pollutant concentrations for each hour nario using ADMS-Airport.
Once the baseline inventory data are entered into exists in both tools that accounts for aircraft
EMIT, a number of functions are provided for weight and meteorological conditions.
manipulating that data in order to take into AEDT/EDMS 5.0 represents the state of the art
account changes in the transport system. This for airport emissions modelling and an important
may include: step toward the development of AEDT.
ALAQS-AV is implemented using the ARCVIEW Aircraft traffic can be handled either on the basis
GIS (Geographical Information System). The of generalized traffic information (scenario calcu-
choice of a GIS platform allows other geo-spatial lation) or based on a movement journal with indi-
data to be presented on the same map as the vidual aircraft movements (monitor calculation).
emissions and airport data. ALAQS-AV is imple- Monitor calculations are a tool for detailed studies
mented in such a way that it is easy to implement of actual traffic movements. In contrast, scenario
new emissions methods for the relevant emis- calculations are particularly suited for prognosis
sion sources at an airport. calculations as they require only general informa-
tion about the aircraft traffic and less computation
The ARCVIEW GIS allows for the three dimen- time.
sional modelling of the airport and its features in
a very detailed way. This is useful for analysing The overall emissions of the various source
dispersion results, as population density and groups can be calculated separate from a disper-
other sensitive areas such as schools and hospi- sion calculation. The dispersion calculation is car-
tals. Similarly the airports emissions may be ried out based on a meteorological time series to
shown integrated to the wider regional or nation- account for correlations between emissions and
al scale. meteorology. Exit dynamics of the engine
exhaust gas, thermal plume rise, and chemical
The output of ALAQS-AV emission inventory can conversion of NO to NO2 are accounted for.
be used to run a dispersion study with the LASAT
tool (Lagrangian dispersion model) using the An integrated diagnostic wind field model allows
transformation tool ALAQS-TRANS. In the near it to carry out dispersion calculations in complex
future, it is expected that ALAQS-AV will be fully terrain and in the presence of buildings.
compatible with at least one Gaussian dispersion Alternatively, three-dimensional wind fields from
model and possibly an Eulerian model, facilitating other meteorological models can be applied. The
thereby the comparison of dispersion models dispersion calculation is carried out on the basis
using exactly the same set of input data. of a meteorological time series with hourly
Chapter: Overview of Analytical Capabilities for CAEP Work
199
means of wind velocity, wind direction and a LASAT is based on a research model which was
measure of the atmospheric stability (e.g. Monin- developed in 1980 and tested in various research
Obukhov length). The result of the dispersion cal- projects. Since 1990 LASAT is used by national
culation is the three-dimensional concentration and local authorities, consulting bureaus, and
field of each trace substance averaged over suc- industrial companies in Germany and neighbour-
cessive time intervals of one hour. ing countries.
Fuel Burn Calculations The LTO cycle can be added to all input flight pro-
Below 3000 ft, the fuel burn calculation is based files, even than when data for those operations is
on the Landing and Take-Off Cycle (LTO) defined available. The application of the ICAO LTO cycle is
by the ICAO Engine Certification specifications. common practice in aviation emission estimation
ICAO LTO covers four engine operation modes and assures complete information for all profiles
which are used for modelling: Taxi-Out, Take-Off, during those phases of flight. Nevertheless,
Climb-Out, Approach, Landing, and Taxi-In aircraft AEM3 offers the user the option to perform the
operations. The ICAO Engine Exhaust Emissions calculation only on the initial portion of each flight
Data Bank includes emission indices and fuel (i.e. without completing the missing portions of
flow for a very large number of aircraft engines. the flights). In this case, BADA is used to esti-
mate fuel burn for the entire flight profile, includ-
AEM 3 links each aircraft appearing in the input ing low flight levels.
traffic sample to one of the engines in the ICAO
Engine Exhaust Emissions Data Bank. Emission Calculations
Below 3,000 ft, the emission calculation is based
Above 3,000 ft, the fuel burn calculation is based on the ICAO Engine Exhaust Emissions Data
on the Base of Aircraft Data (BADA). This data- Bank.
base provides altitude and attitude dependent
performance and fuel burn data for more than 150 Above 3,000 ft, the emission calculation also
aircraft types, and the most recent version (3.5) based on the ICAO Engine Exhaust Emissions
includes nearly 90 % of the aircraft types operat- Data Bank, but emission factors and fuel flow is
ing in European airspace. The BADA is developed adapted to altitude using a method developed by
and maintained by the EUROCONTROL the Boeing Company. The Boeing Method 2
Experimental Centre. EUROCONTROL modified approach uses an
improved formula for the humidity correction fac-
Figure 5 presents a simplified view of the differ- tor to give more accurate results. The differences
ent approaches followed by AEM 3 to obtain in results between the two methods, however, is
most realistic fuel burn estimations for all phases negligible in the context of the methodology as a
of the flight profile. whole.
In this way, emissions for the pollutants NOX, HC, weight and speed, throughout the flight. New
CO can be estimated. The emissions for the pol- information on particulate emissions (soot) has
lutants H2O and CO2 are direct results of the oxi- been added to provide a first gridded estimate of
dation process of carbon and the hydrogen con- these emissions from civil aviation. Calculated
tained in the fuel with the oxygen contained in emissions from all flights are then allocated into
the atmosphere. The SO2 emissions depend on one of 6.5 million individual cells on a global 3D
the sulphur content of the fuel used. All three are grid, representing the latitude, longitude and alti-
emitted in direct proportion to the fuel burn. tude of the flight segment. To assist with contrail
and cirrus impact assessment, the distance flown
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) and Total in each cell is also recorded.
Organic Gases (TOG) results are proportional to
the HC emissions and are estimated by using a In addition to these 2002 data, a forecast has
method published by the U.S. EPA. The following been generated for 2025. Aviation traffic growth,
table summarizes the underlying approach within fleet rollover and technology improvement fac-
AEM 3 used to estimate fuel burn and emissions. tors, estimated by the UK DTI and Airbus, has
been applied to the 2002 results to provide the
An understanding of fuel composition is vital for forecast emissions for 2025. These 2025 results
determining the proportional coefficients are presented in gridded form in a similar manner
between fuel burn and emissions. to the 2002 results.
The basic FAST model was designed around the global levels. AEDTA/SAGE is able to dynamically
methodology employed for the ANCAT/EC1&26 model aircraft performance, fuel burn and emis-
inventories of aviation emissions, the results of sions, capacity and delay at airports, and fore-
which were examined and compared with other casts of future scenarios.
data in some detail by the IPCC.
Objective and Scope
The FAST modelling system is based on a dataset The objective for AEDT/SAGE is to be an interna-
of aircraft movements for year x which indi- tionally accepted computer model that is based
cates the frequency of flights of specific aircraft on the best publicly available data and methodolo-
types between city pairs. From this database, the gies, and that can be used to estimate the effects
aircraft types are grouped, with representative on global aircraft fuel burn and emissions from
aircraft types assigned. A separate aircraft per- various policy, technology, and operational sce-
formance model (the PIANO model), provides narios. With regard to scope, the model is capa-
data on fuel flow for specific aircraft/mission com- ble of analyses from a single flight, up to airport,
binations using standard assumptions of load fac- regional, and global levels of commercial (civil)
tor and fuel reserves etc. Fuel flow data are then flights on a worldwide basis.
used as the basis of calculating NOX emissions,
based upon an algorithm that relates sea-level Modelling Capabilities
NOX emissions from Certification data to altitude. AEDT/SAGE can generate inventories of fuel burn
Fuel consumption over a specific mission is calcu- and emissions of carbon monoxide (CO),
lated between a departure and arrival location, unburned hydrocarbons (HC), nitrogen oxides
linked by the great circle distance. The emissions (NOX), carbon dioxide (CO2), water (H2O), and sul-
are then allocated onto a 3D grid of variable reso- fur oxides (SOx calculated as sulfur dioxide, SO2).
lution (in latitude, longitude and height). The dis- The three basic inventories generated by
tances travelled over the grids are calculated AEDT/SAGE are: (1) four dimensional (4D) vari-
accurately, via trigonometric functions, and not able world grids currently generated in a stan-
averaged in any way. These data provide the basis dardized 1o latitude by 1o longitude by 1 km alti-
of input to other impact assessment models such tude format; (2) modal results of each individual
as GCMs and CTMs (Chemical Transport Models) flight worldwide; and, (3) individual chorded (flight
for calculation of e.g. tropospheric O3 enhance- segment) results for each flight worldwide. These
ment, contrail coverage, and consequential radia- outputs and the dynamic modelling environment
tive forcing. allow for a comprehensive set of analyses that
can be conducted using AEDT/SAGE.
While the primary purpose for the FAST model
development was to enable impact assessment, With the computation modules and the support-
the results of the emissions modelling are of ing data integrated in a dynamic modelling envi-
direct interest in and of themselves, and the FAST ronment, AEDT/SAGE provides the capability to
model utilizes an underlying country database in model changes to various parameters including
order to apportion emissions. those associated with flight schedules, trajecto-
ries, aircraft performance, airport capacities and
The original FAST model (v1_1) was significantly delays, etc. This results in the ability to use
developed and upgraded to two model versions AEDT/SAGE for applications such as quantifica-
FAST-2000 (v1.0) and FAST-1990 (v1.0), repre- tion of the effects of such activities as:
senting the different traffic years. Communication, Navigation, and Surveillance
operations (CNS) and Air Traffic Management
Aviation Environmental Design Tools (ATM) initiatives, determining the benefits of
System for Assessing Aviations Reduced Vertical Separation Minimum (RVSM),
Global Emissions (AEDT/SAGE) investigation of trajectory optimizations, and com-
As part of its suite of environmental assessment puting potential emissions benefits from the use
tools, the U.S. FAA has developed the Aviation of a Continuous Descent Approach (CDA).
Environmental Design Tools System for assessing
Aviation Global Emissions (AEDT/SAGE) with sup- Interdependencies
port from other organizations. Currently at Version Existing aircraft noise and emissions analytical
1.5, AEDT/SAGE is a computer model used to pre- tools used by CAEP were not designed to assess
dict aircraft fuel burn and emissions for all com- interdependencies between noise and emis-
mercial (civil) flights globally in a given year. The sions, or analyze the costs-benefits of proposed
model is capable of analyzing scenarios from a actions. Accordingly, CAEP is developing a mod-
single flight, up to airport, country, regional, and elling system, comprising databases and compat-
Chapter: Overview of Analytical Capabilities for CAEP Work
203
ible tools to enable such interdependency assess- Environmental Design Space (EDS)
ments to be carried out. Under the aegis of the Environmental Design Space (EDS) provides inte-
CAEP Modelling and Databases Task force, all the grated analysis of noise, emissions and perform-
tools described here are planned, where feasible, ance at the aircraft level (see CAEP/7
to form part of this compatible interdependency Environmental Design Space information paper).
modelling system.
Aviation Environmental Portfolio
In this section, the comprehensive suite of soft- Management Tool (APMT)
ware tools that will allow for thorough assess- Aviation environmental Portfolio Management
ment of the environmental effects of aviation Tool (APMT) interacts with AEDT, EDS, and eco-
which is being developed by the U.S. FAA is nomic modules to provide the common, transpar-
described. This suite of tools not only involves ent cost/benefit methodology needed to optimize
the AEDT noise and emissions components, aviation policy in harmony with environmental
AEDT/INM, AEDT/MAGENTA, AEDT/EDMS, and policy. (See CAEP/7 Aviation environmental
AEDT/SAGE discussed above, it also involves the Portfolio Management Tool information paper.) In
Environmental Design Space (EDS) and the Figure 6, APMT is represented in terms of its pri-
Aviation environmental Portfolio Management mary components: Benefits Valuation, Partial
Tool (APMT). Equilibrium, and Costs and Benefits.
The components of this suite of software tools Aviation Environmental Design Tool
that integrates existing noise and emissions mod- (AEDT)
els is highlighted in Figure 6. AEDT comprises the integration of existing or
new aviation noise and emissions analytical mod-
The existing AERO-MS tool that was developed in ules to provide an integrated capability for
the Netherlands, which also provides interde- assessing interrelationships between noise and
pendency assessment, is also described. emissions. For emissions, this can be done at the
local and global levels.
APMT Development
Since 2004, information and plans for APMT have
been submitted to CAEP and government, indus-
try, and community stakeholders. In response to
CAEP-Memo/65, information regarding APMT
was submitted to Working Group 2 Task Group
2 for its consideration as a candidate economic
model and tool for future CAEP use. In February
2006, FESG was briefed on the completion of the
APMT requirements and architecture studies, and
the initiation of a prototyping effort for APMT. In
August 2006, the APMT development team met
with the CAEP-WG2/TG2-FESG Ad Hoc Group to
learn more about APMT and to begin the process
of assessing APMT for CAEP acceptance. In
December 2006, a detailed set of briefings on
APMT activities was presented at the US
National Research Council, Transportation
Research Board AEDT/APMT Workshop in Figure 8 APMT Architecture Overview.
Washington DC. Several CAEP participants
attended this meeting.
to provide an adequate description of the eco- The design philosophy and architecture underly-
nomic and environmental aspects of the air ing the AERO-MS allow the user a large degree of
transport system (in particular the extent and flexibility in analysing the effects of specific devel-
effects of aircraft engine emissions); opments and measures in a what-if fashion.
This was implemented by creating a great many
to adequately reflect the economic and techno- user options to change key assumptions,
logical developments in air transport; schematization aspects, scenario developments,
and possible measures (policy options).
to assess the effects of a range of possible
measures to reduce the environmental impact
of air transport, taking into account the
responses of the major actors (i.e. airlines,
consumers, manufacturers) to such measures.
Computational Steps
Refereences
The AERO-MS includes a sequence of logical
1. CAEP 7/ WP 53: Transition to a More
steps from the description and generation of air
Comprehensive Approach for Assessing and
transport demand to the assessment of the envi-
Addressing Aviation Environmental Impacts -
ronmental and economic impacts of aircraft
(Working paper presented by the member from
engine emissions. These steps cover the follow-
the United States).
ing computations:
2. The UK Civil Aircraft Noise Contour Model
1. Aircraft technology and fleet build-up;
ANCON, improvements in version 2, J.B.
2. Air transport demand (passengers and freight),
Ollerhead and al., UK Civil Aviation Authority,
supply (capacity offered) and aircraft;
Environment Research and Consultancy
3. Costs of air transport;
Department.
4. Revenues from air transport;
5. Direct economic effects of air transport;
3. http://www.eurocontrol.int/eec/public/stan-
6. Aircraft flight paths, fuel-use, and emissions;
dard_page/SEE_rianna.html and
7. Atmospheric emissions from ground surface
http://www.eurocontrol.int/eec/public/standard_p
sources;
age/SEE_alaqs.html
8. Atmospheric concentrations of key substances
and related environmental effects.
4. Report of the study on current and future air-
craft noise exposure at and around community
The result from the computation of one step
airports, prepared by Anotec for the European
feeds into another and this logical sequence
Community (DG-TREN) under Contract n
defines the relationships between them. A graph-
B2002/B2-7040B.
ical overview of these steps is provided in Figure
9.
5. ADMS4 Users guide, Cambridge
Environmental Research Consultants, June 2007.
of academia, industry, and government estab- The broader aviation community benefits from
lished to create a world-class consortium, closely enhanced research collaboration between PART-
aligned with national and international needs to NER and international research establishments.
foster breakthrough technological, operational, To provide the best scientific and technical input
policy, and workforce advances for the better- and foster consensus to inform policy decisions,
ment of mobility, the economy, and the environ- PARTNER and its sponsors have adopted a vision
ment. The PARTNER group conducts basic of commonality and interconnectivity in research
research and engineering development to reduce plans, which would be separately funded by
uncertainties associated with aviations environ- home agencies. One of PARTNERs key strategic
mental impact and prototype solutions to miti- goals is continued expansion of its international
gate these impacts. The knowledge and capabili- activities. Companies such as SNECMA, Airbus,
ties gained from this research will provide critical Bombardier, and Rolls-Royce are among PART-
information to government, industry, and commu- NER international industrial affiliates. PARTNER
nity decision-makers to tackle environmental has research relationships with the
impacts, which may represent the single greatest Environmentally Compatible Air Transport System
challenge to the continued growth and prosperity (ECATS) Network of Excellence, EUROCON-
of civil aviation. With respect to aviation and the TROL, and OMEGA Singapore. PARTNER is also
environment, PARTNER is conducting aviation exploring collaborations with entities in China and
environmental research activities that include, Japan and has expanded its student paper com-
among other things, support of ICAOs CAEP petition to participants of all nationalities.
work programme.
PARTNER Research Results and
Some of PARTNERs efforts are a major response Collaborative Activities
to an increasing need by CAEP for improved mod- PARTNERs research portfolio involves three
elling capabilities in terms of coverage (i.e. noise, detailed research plans, each with a specific mis-
emissions, trade-offs, costs and benefits, etc.), sion, as follows:
and in terms of accuracy. The existing models
have several limitations and do not allow CAEP to Noise: Provide quantitative predictions and quali-
evaluate the potential impacts of all aviation envi- tative assessments of aviation noise and its
ronmental policy options. In particular, existing impacts, and contribute to mitigation strategies
models do not allow the assessment of trade-offs considering all interrelationships.
between the effects of noise and engine emis-
sions and among those emissions nor allow for Emissions: Provide quantitative predictions of
monetizing the potential environmental benefit aviation emissions and their impacts that con-
gains of aviation mitigation actions by ICAO. All of tribute to mitigation strategies considering all
these issues are addressed through the compre- inter-relationships.
hensive model toolset being developed through
PARTNER. The tools being developed are in them- Interdependencies: Enable better communica-
selves a subset of a much broader capability tion and decision-making in addressing the inter-
being developed by a host of U.S. and European dependent environmental effects of aviation
entities under FAA sponsorship. In addition to the through the ability to fully assess the benefits and
development of tools, research is being done to costs of interdependent policies, technologies,
develop metrics for the quantification of impacts; operational procedures, and market conditions.
such methodologies and measurement approach-
es to characterize noise and emissions are critical
elements of developing a robust capability to
assess trade-offs.
210 Part 5: Modelling and Databases
OMEGA Environmental Projects and able fuels and fuel blends, as well as develop sus-
Areas of Research tainable aviation fuel reaction models. OMEGA
OMEGAs knowledge transfer (KT) studies and and PARTNER will collaborate to share informa-
forum for discussion will assist ICAOs extensive tion and results as these studies mature, and the
environmental work programme. OMEGA is cur- outputs will be provided to CAEP for its analysis
rently working on projects in a wide range of topic of the potential for alternative fuels to mitigate
areas that will provide information to support some of the environmental effects of aviation.
CAEP deliberations, the highlights of which are
summarized in the following paragraphs. Emissions Trading Schemes and
Carbon Offsetting
Air Quality OMEGA is currently undertaking studies on the
OMEGA has commissioned a number of KT stud- possible impacts on the aviation industry, and on
ies into the various aspects of the airport air qual- economic activity in general; of including the avi-
ity debate, examining issues such as: ation sector in the European Union (EU)
Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). A wide range of
near-surface aircraft particulate emissions; scenarios are being studied in order to determine
the conditions under which the inclusion of avia-
aviation emissions and their impact on air qual- tion in the EU ETS might lead to technological
ity; change in the aviation industry that will result in
improved energy and emissions efficiencies. The
aircraft plume analysis; project will provide policy-relevant information for
both governments and industry.
understanding initial dispersion of engine
emissions: the mixing of engine exhaust Attention is increasingly being paid to the role of
gases, jet vortex interaction, and modelling air- carbon-offsetting schemes as a means of reduc-
craft engine efflux in a wind tunnel. ing the net climate effect of aviation activity.
OMEGA is looking at the efficacy of different
The information produced by these studies will be scheme approaches and the concomitant public
offered as input to the CAEP discussions towards perceptions and sensitivities to paying an offset
developing the modelling Chapter of the Airport charge for the carbon produced by the publics air
Air Quality Assessment Manual. Air quality is an travel. The study focuses on the respective merits
area where OMEGA and PARTNER are working in of voluntary versus mandatory schemes and the
close collaboration, given their corresponding potential for greater adoption if offset schemes
aims to tackle this significant widespread local offer more immediate local environmental and
issue. social benefits.
OMEGA is adding to knowledge in this area by Another aspect of the noise issue is being
incorporating contrails and greenhouse gas emis- addressed by OMEGA in a study that looks at the
sions into one of the worlds foremost climate possibility of reducing the noise associated with
models that of the Hadley Centre, part of the open rotor engines, for everyday operation. This
UK Meteorological Office. This work will enable technology is attractive because of the signifi-
scientists to examine climate impacts of aircraft cantly greater fuel efficiency that derives from
in depth, giving first insights into daytime temper- much higher engine by-pass ratios (i.e. increasing
ature range effects and regional climate respons- the mass flow of propulsive air from the engine).
es. The resulting model will serve as a valuable, This study connects in particular with ICAOs
policy-relevant tool, ideal for potential mitigation work on long-term goals around technology and
studies. The model will provide a unique resource noise performance.
for scientists and governments, and is a signifi-
cant step forward in the UKs capacity to analyze The advanced open rotor concept is one of the
the climate impacts of aviation and to offer infor- few propulsion technologies that has the poten-
mation and data as input to the CAEP discus- tial to make significant reductions in aviation
sions. emissions, but with significant noise impacts. For
example, by using open rotor aircraft as shown in
Linked studies are being conducted into the char- Figure 1 instead of fixed-wing aircraft for short-
acterisation of particulate matter2 (PM) that will haul flights, it may be possible to reduce the aver-
support CAEPs development of a measurement age trip fuel burn by as much as 30%. However,
procedure and acquisition of PM data for new open rotor technology faces major noise and safe-
engines over time. A study is also underway in ty problems that must be overcome if advantages
relation to combining models of jet engine are to be achieved. This led to the rejection of the
exhaust and the impact on climate in order to concept when it was last seriously considered in
quantify the trade-offs between changes in the 1980s.
engine design and aircraft operation.
Noise Issues
One of the OMEGA studies aims to better under-
stand how people regard and cope with noise. A
KT study entitled Understanding Community
Responses to Aircraft Noise Exposure examines
airport-to-community communication and tests
the viability of introducing new noise exposure
measures which are designed to address these
issues. New noise indicators allow users to see
inside and thus better understand aircraft noise
contours, and learn about the location of flight
tracks. They may also provide a clearer under-
standing of the impact of aircraft noise on peo- Figure 1 Example of an open rotor engine.
ples lives and the factors that affect the tolerance
of aircraft noise. The OMEGA study is driven by real industrial
imperatives and shaped by what is technically and
If the new measures are found to be successful commercially feasible. It aims to guide the formu-
they will improve communication between air- lation of policy that will give priority to the intro-
ports and neighbouring communities on aircraft duction of new technologies. It is expected that
noise disturbance issues. They will also lead to industry and government will be able to apply the
the implementation of improved noise control results of this project to evaluate the viability of
measures that will enhance the potential for air- future aircraft operations from a noise perspec-
port growth so that the social and economic ben- tive.
efits of air transport may continue.
Trade-Offs Conclusion
The open rotor study is a good example of a case Significant work is already being done by the
in which technologists have to weigh the relative PARTNER and OMEGA programmes and there is
trade-offs as well as the merits and disadvan- much more yet to do in those two initiatives.
tages of alternative and new technologies. The
key question here is whether researchers can In order to meet its many work programme chal-
deliver open rotor aircraft at acceptable noise lev- lenges, ICAOs CAEP is keen to draw in and use
els in order to maximize fuel efficiency savings. of emerging research done by contracting States
and Observers. This will allow CAEP to make
Trade-offs come into play across many of the more informed decisions on how best to achieve
OMEGA KT studies. The relationship between its environmental goal of reducing or limiting the
technological developments and environmental effects of aircraft noise and engine emissions
performance is a delicate, evolving one. Noise (local and global) in ways that are technologically
and emissions technological advances tend to be feasible, economically reasonable, and environ-
incremental and hard won, and may sometimes mentally friendly.
come at the expense of other environmental
parameters. PARTNER has expended much effort
to develop tools that can characterise these trade-
offs. OMEGA has not sought to do this but is tak- References
ing a parametric approach to assessing the broad CAEP/7 IP 27: Partnership for Air Transportation
trade-off implications among the various techno- Noise and Emissions Reduction (Partner) Center
logical, operational and market issues that it is Of Excellence Research Activities and
addressing. International Collaboration (Information paper by
the Members from Canada and the United
The OMEGA KT study (JETCLIM), specifically States).
quantifies the trade-offs between changes in
engine design and aircraft operation; combining CAEP 7/ Working Paper (WP) 52: Demonstration
models of jet engine exhaust and climate impact. and Assessment of the US/Canada
The project examines the trade-offs among: cli- Environmental Analysis Tool Suite - (Working
mate impacts of contrails, CO2 emissions and paper presented by the member from the United
ozone, and methane changes that result from States).
NOX emissions. It will take output from an exist-
ing thermodynamic model of an aircraft and CAEP7 / IP 23: Environmental Design Space
engine to estimate the effect of engine design (EDS) Progress - (Information paper presented
and aircraft operation on the formation and cli- by the members from the United States and
mate impact of contrails; particularly persistent Canada).
contrails. The study has the potential to provide a
practical guide to engine manufacturers, aircraft CAEP7 / IP 25: Aviation Environmental Portfolio
manufacturers and airlines on how to minimise Management Tool (APMT) Progress -
aircraft impact on climate, both for current and (Information paper presented by the members
future fleets. from the United States and Canada).
More about the work of OMEGA can be found on CAEP/7 /26: Workshop on the Impacts of aviation
its website at http://www.omega.mmu.ac.uk. on climate change (Information paper presented
by the members from the United States and
Canada).
Masterfile
International
Cooperation
216 Part 6: International Cooperation
Overview
By ICAO Secretariat Harmonization at the international level is only Currently, CAEP consists of 22 Members, and 12
possible through global cooperation, dialogue, Observers who are experts representing States
and partnership. Since its creation in 1944, ICAO from all ICAO Regions and international stake-
has worked in that spirit enhancing its ability to holders representing major aviation interested
fulfil its mandate as the global authority for civil parties.
aviation.
Figure 1 CAEP Members and Observers - CAEP/7 meeting, Montreal, February 2007.
Chapter: Overview 217
CAEP is responsible for conducting studies and programme of each group are reviewed and
recommending measures to minimize and reduce updated as necessary. The working groups are
aviations impact on the environment, and for composed of subject area experts from certificat-
maintaining certification standards for aircraft ing authorities, manufacturers, airlines, and air-
noise and aircraft engine emissions up to date for port operators who have been nominated by their
inclusion in ICAOs Annex 16. CAEP recommen- respective CAEP members or observers. More
dations, in particular standard setting activities, details on each of the groups is provided in the
are developed with consideration to four criteria figure and in the following paragraphs.
as follows: whether the proposal is technically
feasible, economically reasonable, and pro- Working Group 1 - Aircraft Noise
vides an environmental benefit, while taking Technical Issues
into account the potential interdependence of The main aim of WG1 is to keep ICAO noise cer-
other measures taken to control noise and engine tification Standards (Annex 16, Volume I) up to
emissions. date and effective, while ensuring that the certifi-
cation procedures are as simple and inexpensive
CAEP usually meets once every three years, in as possible. WG1 has two sub groups: TTG deal-
the months preceding the ICAO Assembly, and ing with Technology and SSTTG for supersonic air-
once a year as a Steering Group to review and craft noise.
provide guidance on the progress of the activities
of the working groups. In turn, its working groups Working Group 2 - Operations
study and evaluate aviation related environmental WG2 has historically addressed aircraft noise
matters referred to them by CAEP and develop issues linked to airports and operations. Its man-
specific recommendations for the consideration date was subsequently expanded to include other
of CAEP. emerging issues related to aviation emissions.
Currently WG2 is organized into four task groups:
The structure of CAEP leading to CAEP/8 is illus- Task Group 1 Airport and Land Use Planning and
trated in Figure 2; it has three Working groups, Management, Task Group 2 Air Traffic
two task forces, and one support group. At each Management, Task Group 3 Operational
CAEP meeting, the overall structure and the work Measures, and Task Group 4 Local Air Quality.
1 http://www.un.org/events/panel/resources/pdfs/HLP-SWC-FinalReport.pdf
220 Part 6: International Cooperation
ACI advocates an industry-wide approach to As an observer to CAEP, ACI ensures that the
reduce aviations environmental impact, working views of the airport community are reflected in
with industry partners under ICAO leadership to the formulation of global environmental polices
agree on meaningful targets while ensuring the and regulations. In addition to influencing interna-
economic and social benefits of aviation. tional standards, ACI brings awareness of local
Robert J. Aaronson
environmental issues to CAEP, an invaluable con-
Director General
Airports Council International (ACI) is the world- tribution to the work of the committee. ACI sup-
wide association of airports representing the ports the ICAO initiative of a Balanced Approach
common interests of airport operators and has for addressing aircraft noise at airports.
573 members operating over 1640 airports in 178
countries and territories.
CAEP Committee on
Aviation Environmental Protection
http://www.icao.int/icao/en/env/caep.htm
The value and relevance of CAEPs work is the posal from the CAEP is analysed on four merits:
result of a highly-specialized unique group of technical feasibility; environmental benefit; eco-
experts cooperating in a consensus building nomic reasonableness and in terms of its interre-
Jane Hupe
process, based on sound data and knowledge lationships how they influence other measures
CAEP Secretary
and a profound respect for different views and (a classical example is if measures to minimize
needs, to achieve globally-accepted solutions to noise increase emissions).
the aviation environmental challenge.
The ICAO Council reviews and adopts the CAEP
The Committee on Aviation Environmental recommendations including Annex 16 Standards
Protection ( CAEP) , is a Technical committee of and Recommended Practices and in turn reports
the ICAO Council and undertakes most of the to the ICAO Assembly (190 States plus interna-
organizations work in this area. It is composed of tional organizations), where the main policies on
22 Members, 12 Observers, and approximately environmental protection will be defined and
400 experts that are involved in its overall activi- issued as the Consolidated Statement of
ties. It is the international expertise forum for the Continuing ICAO Policies Related to
study and development of proposals to minimize Environmental Protection.
aviations effects on the environment. Every pro-
Chapter: International Cooperation 221
CANSO Civil Air Navigation
Services Organisation
www.canso.org
CANSO Members are committed to contribut- to be the voice of Air Navigation Service
ing to the mitigation of the environmental impact Providers - ANSPs
of aviation. Supporting ICAO in reaching global to support the improvement of global Air
Alexander ter Kuile
agreement is an essential element of our contri- Navigation Services (ANS) performance
Secretary General
bution." to optimize the effectiveness of the organiza-
tion
The Civil Air Navigation Services Organisation
(CANSO) was established in 1998 to represent Overall CANSO develops an international commu-
the interests of Air Navigation Service Providers nications network for ANS experts to facilitate
(ANSPs) worldwide. CANSO creates an interna- information exchange between specific ANSP
tional forum for discussion on air traffic manage- departments for the promotion of best practices
ment related issues, where stakeholders unite to in Air Traffic Management. This includes an ATM
develop and exchange ideas in support of global Environmental Workgroup committed to ensuring
air navigation services. CANSO sets itself the fol- that expert ATM operational input is included in
lowing objectives: the global decions-making process on environ-
mental issues.
EC European Commission
www.ec.europa.eu
The European Community and its 27 Member The European Commission is the executive
States have been working with ICAO to address branch of the European Union (EU). It represents
the impact of aviation on climate change since the common interest of EU Member States.
the Kyoto Protocol to the UN Framework Composed of 27 Commissioners, it is responsi-
Convention on Climate Change was agreed in ble for implementing common policies, proposing
Daniel Calleja
1997. Climate change is a global problem and the legislation, administering the budget and manag-
Director
civil aviation sector must make a fair contribution ing the programmes of the Union.
for Air Transport
European to the response.
The Commission works for the good of the EU as
Commission
We believe in a comprehensive approach encom- a whole and not for the benefit of any one
passing the development of the most environ- Member State or interest group. It consults
mentally friendly technology possible, the mod- extensively so that the parties concerned by the
ernisation of air traffic management to reduce legislation it proposes have a say in its prepara-
unnecessary emissions, more stringent technical tion. An assessment of the economic, environ-
design standards to limit emissions at source, mental and social impacts of the proposed leg-
and market-based measures which give an incen- islative initiative is often drawn up and made pub-
tive to the sector to take further action licly available together with the proposal. As an
observer to CAEP, the Commission ensures that
The European Commission looks forward to con- the environmental interests and concerns of its
tinuing to work with ICAO in order to further Member States are well represented.
develop the civil aviation sectors response to this
huge challenge.
222 Part 6: International Cooperation
"The importance of ATM's role in making air pan-European air traffic management strategies
mobility more sustainable is now high on the and their associated action plans in a collective
political agenda. EUROCONTROL is working effort involving national authorities, air navigation
Victor Aguado
closely with ICAO to develop globally endorsed service providers, civil and military airspace
Director General
environmental assessment resources and envi- users, airports, industry, professional organisa-
ronmental operational improvements such as tions and relevant European institutions. EURO-
Continuous Descent Approach." CONTROL examines closely how air traffic man-
agement can reduce aviations environmental
EUROCONTROL is the European Organisation for impact and its potential effect on climate change
the Safety of Air Navigation. Its primary objective by allowing air traffic to fly more direct and at
is the development of a seamless, pan-European more fuel efficient flight levels, which will reduce
Air Traffic Management (ATM) system. EURO- fuel consumption and thus aviation emissions. It
CONTROL develops, coordinates and plans for provides valuable input to the work of
implementation of short-, medium- and long-term ICAO/CAEP.
The environment is a global issue facing our IATAs has an Environment Committee (ENCOM)
industry. IATAs vision is for a carbon neutral and which replaced the former Environment Task
eventually carbon-free industry. Cooperation Force (ENTAF) in June 2005, responsible for mon-
between global institutions including ICAO and itoring, assessing and responding to environmen-
IATA is key to delivering the global solutions tal developments, policies and regulations of con-
Giovanni Bisignani
needed to turn the vision into reality. cern to IATA member airlines, for developing and
Director General
recommending common industry positions on
& CEO
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) environmental issues and for advising and imple-
is the worldwide association of airlines. It con- menting strategies to promote IATA positions,
sists of some 240 airlines comprising 94 per cent amongst regulatory bodies and stakeholders. As
of scheduled international air traffic. IATA sup- the focal point on environmental issues, ENCOM
ports the work of ICAO in developing global solu- advises the Board of Governors, the Director
tions and harmonized standards. Through its General and other relevant IATA bodies on all
involvement with CAEP as an observer, IATA environmental matters.
ensures that the views of airlines are considered
at meetings of the committee.
There is absolutely no doubt that managing and positions and activities through an Environmental
reducing GHG emissions is one of the key current Issues Working Group (EIWG) consisting of IBAC
issues which presents significant challenges and members from North and South America and
opportunities for the continued growth and pros- Europe. The group receives technical expertise
perity of business aviation. from operators and a number of business and air-
Rich Gage
craft and engine manufacturers. The Chairman of
President and CEO,
The International Business Aviation Council the EIWG also serves as the IBAC representative
Canadian Business
(IBAC) is the international representative body for at CAEP. IBAC has been represented as an
Aviation Association
the business aviation community, representing Observer in CAEP since the fifth meeting of the
(CBAA).
approximately 14,000 operators worldwide. committee (CAEP/5).
Business aviation coordinates environmental
Chapter: International Cooperation 223
ICCAIA International Coordinating Council of
Aerospace Industries Associations
www.iccaia.org
"Aviation is a global enterprise. ICAOs leadership Japanese Aerospace Companies (SJAC) and the
is essential. Manufacturers will continue to agres- Aerospace Industries Association of Brazil (AIAB)
sively improve the environmental performance of having over 500 Members.
Howard Aylesworth
aircraft. This is fundamental. Todays imperative is
Director,
eliminating airport congestion and air traffic delay. Through ICCAIA, the worlds aircraft, rotorcraft,
Air Traffic Systems
This is indispensable. engine and air traffic systems manufacturers offer
& Aircraft Noise
their industry expertise to ICAO in the develop-
& Emissions
The International Coordinating Council of ment of international standards. ICCAIAs com-
Aerospace Industries Associations (ICCAIA) was mittee on Aircraft Noise and Engine Emissions
established to provide the civil aviation industry (ANEEC) provides CAEP with valuable input as to
observer status in the deliberations of ICAO. how to measure the effects of noise, emissions
(NOx, HC, CO and smoke) and fuel burn (CO2)
ICCAIA is constituted by the Aerospace and how to control them, the technology available
Industries Association of America (AIA), the for such control, as well as trade-offs that may
AeroSpace and Defense Industries Association of occur when trying to reduce their impact on the
Europe (ASD). the Aerospace Industries environment.
Association of Canada (AIAC), the Society of
IFALPA believes that the only way forward in the than 90 member associations and serves as the
quest to develop an environmentally sustainable global voice of airline pilots. The federation was
future for aviation is for all stakeholders to collab- created to provide a formal means for airline
Capt. Robert Brons
orate in the development of operational meas- pilots of the world to interact with ICAO, stem-
Captain with KLM
ures and technical solutions that can deliver the ming from the belief that the unique experience
Member of IFALPSs
level of ecological performance and safety that of line pilots is critical to the formulation and revi-
Aircraft Design
will be demanded of the industry in the coming sion of ICAO Standards and Recommended
and Operation
years. Practices (SARPs), particularly those pertaining to
Committee and
aviation safety. IFALPA maintains observer status
represents IFALPA
The International Federation of Air Line Pilots on ICAOs Air Navigation Commission (ANC), the
at CAEP
Associations (IFALPA) represents more than technical body responsible for developing and
100,000 airline pilots worldwide through its more revising SARPs and is also an observer to CAEP.
224 Part 6: International Cooperation
In the common quest to regulate the carriage of responsible for improving the safety and security
people and shipping of goods all over the world in of international shipping and preventing marine
a safe, secure, efficient and, crucially, an environ- pollution from ships. With 167 Member States,
mentally-friendly manner, ICAO and IMO togeth- IMOs primary task has been to develop and
Efthimios E. er strive to minimize the effects of engine maintain a comprehensive regulatory framework
Mitropoulos exhaust and greenhouse gas emissions into the for the shipping industry. The technical work of
Secretary General atmosphere." the organizations is carried out by the Maritime
Safety, Marine Environmental Protection, Legal,
The International Maritime Organization (IMO) is Technical Co-operation and Facilitation
a specialized agency of the United Nations Committees.
"I value ICAO, an important partner of the IPCC of risk of human-induced climate change, its
for its assessment of global climate change in potential impacts and options for adaptation and
providing relevant information to policymakers on mitigation. The IPCC does not carry out research
Dr. Renate Christ
emissions and mitigation options in the aviation nor does it monitor climate related data or other
Secretary of the IPCC
sector. " relevant parameters. It bases its assessment
mainly on peer reviewed and published scientif-
Recognizing the problem of potential global cli- ic/technical literature.
mate change, the World Meteorological
Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Most of the ICAO cooperation activities with the
Environment Programme (UNEP) established the IPCC are of mutual technical support. In 1999
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ICAO requested the IPCC to produce a Special
(IPCC) in 1988. Report on Aviation and Global Atmosphere, and
has in 2005 requested its update in the Climate
The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehen- Change 2007 - Fourth Assessment Report
sive, objective, open and transparent basis the (AR4). In parallel ICAO CAEP experts participated
scientific, technical and socio-economic informa- as lead authors and contributors to several avia-
tion relevant to understanding the scientific basis tion related reports produced by the IPCC.
The collaborative efforts between the SAE SAE International, through the voluntary work of
International A-21 Aircraft Noise committee and more than 7,000 committee members and partic-
ICAO have enabled the industry to better share ipants, maintains over 8,300 technical standards
knowledge and expertise with international and related documents. Aerospace Standards
Frank Bokulich
authorities. The result is lessened impact of air- from SAE International were developed to ensure
Aerospace Standards
craft operations on the environment. the global design, build, and support of the
Engineer
SAE International newest products, technologies, and applications.
Chapter: International Cooperation 225
UNEP United Nations Environment Programme
www.unep.org
Climate chage will cause more extreme weath- tal acitivities and policy at the global and regional
er events with possible impacts on travel destina- level. UNEP encourages sustainable develop-
tions, spur the development of carbon markets, ment through sound environmental practices and
and influence public perceptions about travel, all provides assistance to developing countries in
Martina Otto of which will affect the aviation industry. High oil implementing sound policies. It works with many
Head of the Energy & dependence makes the sector vulnerable, and partners including other United Nations entities,
Transport Policy Unit reducing or offsetting GHG emissions will international organizations, national governments,
increasingly become an economic necessity. non-governmental organizations, industry and
UNEP looks forward to increased cooperation others. The work of UNEP involves assessing
with ICAO and the aviation industry in shaping global, regional and national environmental condi-
the framework for aviation in a carbon con- tions and trends, developing international agree-
strained world. ments and national environmental instruments,
integrating economic development and environ-
The United Nations Environment Programme mental protection, and facilitating the transfer of
(UNEP) is the specialized agency of the United knowledge and technology for sustainable devel-
Nations responsible for coordinating environmen- opment.
The international community must identify ways and-trade system and carbon market allows for
and means to significantly reduce rising GHG cost-effective emission reductions for industrial-
emissions from aircraft as part of a concerted, ized countries, therefore lowering the cost of
Mr Yvo de Boer
long-term, global response to climate change that compliance, while greening investment and gen-
Executive Secretary
contributes to sustainable development paths. erating funding for mitigation and adaptation in
of the UNFCCC
developing countries.
Over a decade ago, most countries joined an
international treaty the United Nations International aviation emissions are currently
Framework Convention on Climate Change excluded from the Kyoto Protocol National tar-
(UNFCCC) to consider ways and means of gets, being covered instead by Article 2, para-
reducing greenhouse gas emissions from human graph 2, which states that developed countries
activities that cause climate change, as well as (Annex I Parties) shall pursue limitation and reduc-
how to cope with the effects of climate change, tion of greenhouse gas emissions from aviation
such as the increased frequency and severity of bunker fuels working through ICAO.
extreme weather events. To date, 191 countries
have ratified the Convention, making it a near uni- The UNFCCC secretariat is a CAEP Observer.
versal instrument. During CAEP/7, it provided technical assistance in
the development of ICAOs new Guidance on
The Kyoto Protocol shares the Conventions Emissions Trading for Aviation, particularly in the
objective, principles and institutions and consti- areas of emissions inventory and geographic
tutes a first step under the UNFCCC to set green- scope and more recently on the issue of clean
house gas emission reduction targets. With the development mechanism. It also regularly coop-
Protocols entry into force and its first commit- erates with the ICAO secretariat on methodolog-
ment period about to begin, 35 industrialized ical and technical issues regarding the estimation
countries and the EEC are now bound by con- and reporting of emissions from international avi-
crete emission reduction targets for the period ation.
2008-2012. The Kyoto Protocols international cap-
226 Part 6: International Cooperation
Sustainable development is a keystone of the countries and territories and more than 300
World Tourism Organization. Aviation and tourism Affiliate ?Members representing the private sec-
Chris Lyle are integral and hence the prodigious work of tor, educational institutions, tourism associations
UNWTO ICAO and our mutual cooperation are greatly val- ?and local tourism authorities.?
Representative ued.
to ICAO UNWTO is committed to the United Nations
The World Tourism Organization (UNWTO/OMT) Millennium Development Goals, geared ?toward
is a specialized agency of the United ?Nations reducing poverty and fostering sustainable devel-
and the leading international organization in the opment, specially in what regards climate
field of tourism. It serves as a ?global forum for change. Cooperation with ICAO is of special rele-
tourism policy issues and a practical source of vance on climate change issues.
tourism know-how. Its membership includes 157
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) - atmosphere, including its interaction with the
the worlds authoritative voice on weather, water oceans, the climate and water resources. WMO
and climate assesses the impact of aviation on has a membership of 188 Member States and
our climate. Increasingly accurate weather fore- Territories playing a leading role in international
Dr. Herbert Puempel casts provided by the National Meteorological efforts to monitor and protect the environment
Chief, Aeronautica and Hydrological Services of its 188 Members are through its many programmes and is an observer
Meteorology Unit vital for safe and efficient air navigation. They are to ICAO/CAEP. In collaboration with other UN
essential for minimizing flight times, fuel con- agencies and the National Meteorological and
sumption and greenhouse gas emissions, and Hydrological Services, WMO supports the imple-
thus help combat climate change. mentation of a number of environmental conven-
tions and is instrumental in providing advice and
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is assessments to governments on related matters,
the United Nations organization responsible for thereby contributing towards the sustainable
monitoring the state and behaviour of the Earths development of nations.
ICAO Environmental Report 2007 227
Closing Message
Secretary General
of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO),
Dr. Taeb Chrif
ICAO is resolutely pursuing its global leadership role with the international aviation community to minimize
the adverse effects of civil aviation on the environment, with regards to noise and aircraft engine emis-
sions. Environmental protection is one of the strategic objectives of the Organization.
The goal is to ensure that these effects are properly identified, reasonably quantified and that appropriate
measures are developed using a proactive, result-based approach.
This includes promoting a better understanding of the environmental effects of aviation by encouraging
research on aviations impact on the environment in scientific areas where knowledge is still limited. ICAO
contributes to this endeavour through the collection, generation, analysis, harmonization, exchange and
dissemination of the aviation-related environmental data required as the basis for the research.
We shall do so in close cooperation with all organizations concerned with environmental issues relating to
aviation, ensuring accurate comprehension of the unique nature of aviation, its capabilities and limitations,
the role it plays in the global economy and the leadership mandate of ICAO in this regard.
In the area of noise in the vicinity of airports, ICAO has been successful over the years in developing ever
stringent standards for aircraft and in gaining consensus around the Balanced approach policy - an inter-
nationally agreed approach to addressing aircraft noise problems where they occur (at individual airports)
in an environmentally responsive and economically responsible way. ICAO has also been actively engaged
on measures to reduce aircraft engine emissions with an impact on local air quality and global climate
change.
The 35th Session of the ICAO Assembly in 2004 requested that the Organization pursue concrete meas-
ures to address emissions, emphasizing technological and operational measures which remain the primary
means of mitigating international aviation emissions.
ICAO continues to work on developing Standards and guidance to limit or reduce aircraft emissions. We
also must continue to encourage progress, for example by setting long-term goals similar to those estab-
lished early in 2007 for Nitrogen Oxides (NOx), and we should strive for similar targets for fuel burn.
Eventually, I envisage ICAO regulating new engines using alternative fuel sources.
228 ICAO Environmental Report 2007
Operational measures are equally important to reaching our objectives. ICAO must take the lead in encour-
aging the implementation of the new Communications, Navigation, Surveillance and Air Traffic
Management (CSN/ATM) systems at the global and regional levels so that their environmental benefit can
be realized, while developing and promoting other improved operational practices. Advancements in this
area are already being made, but they must be better structured to include specific environmental goals
and timelines.
In addition to the technological and operational measures, ICAO has been exploring market-based meas-
ures. In 2004, the Organization developed a template agreement for voluntary measures to reduce avia-
tion emissions; it was adopted by several Member States as a model for their policy on emissions.
ICAO is currently considering integrating international civil aviation emissions into existing carbon trading
schemes and draft guidelines have been developed. In addition, ICAO is exploring the use of other flexible
mechanisms.
The Organization places particular emphasis on providing updated information about ICAO activities and
relevant aviation data to relevant United Nations fora and, in particular to the United Nations Framework
Convention Climate Change (UNFCCC) process and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC).
Facilitating dialogue and collaboration within the aviation community on measures to address aviations
impact on climate change is essential for developing appropriate standards, guidance and policy recom-
mendations.
In short, our focus over the next three years will be to continue fostering cooperation among all stakehold-
ers, provide the required assistance, create standards, develop supporting guidance and facilitate the over-
all regulatory process. All of this is essential but it is only the baseline for a longer-term action.
Ultimately, to reach our goals, we must continue to explore all measures that can help mitigate the effect
of aviation on local air quality and global climate. Such measures must come under an agreed framework,
that provides the flexibility required for States to address the issue of international aviation emissions.
Global cooperation is key to sustained and long-lasting progress. Only by working together, through ICAO,
can we attain the results we strive for.
I trust that this triennial Environment Report, to be published in conjunction with ICAO Assemblies, will
come to be considered as a definitive information resource in addressing one of the most pressing socie-
tal challenges of this early part of the 21st century.
*Special Thanks
While great support and cooperation were received from many participants of ICAOs Secretariat, a spe-
cial thanks is extended to Mr Chaouki Mustapha for his support which was instrumental in developing
Part 1 Aviation Outlook, and assisting in the development of Part 5 Modelling and Databases.
230 ICAO Environmental Report 2007
Acknowledgements
ICAO wishes to thank those individuals who have Part 4 Global Emissions
made valuable contributions to this Authors :
Environmental Report. Mr. Simon Eggleston (IPCC, Japan), Dr. David
Fahey (NOAA, U.S), Dr. Robert Sausen, (DLR,
Part 1 Aviation Outlook Germany), Dr. Ulrich Schumann (DLR, Germany),
Authors: Dr. Claus Bruning (European Commission,
Mrs. Sylvie Mallet (Transport Canada, Canada), Belgium), Dr. Malcom Ko (NASA, U.S), Mr. Daniel
Mr. Roger Roy (Transport Canada, Canada) and Mr. Allyn (Boeing, U.S.), Mr. Willard Dodds (General
Chaouki Mustapha (ICAO Secretariat, Montreal) Electric, U.S.), Mr. Paul Madden (Rolls-Royce,
Reviewer: U.K.), Mr. Alain Joselzon (Airbus, France), Mr
ICAO Secretariat Domingo Sepulveda (Pratt and Wittney, U.S.) Mr
Ted McDonald (Transport Canada, Canada) Ms.
Part 2 Aircraft Noise Nancy N. Young (ATA, U.S), Mr Michael Mann
Authors : (DEFRA, UK), Mr. Andreas Hardeman (IATA,
Mrs. Elizabeth Andrade (ANAC, Brazil), Mr. David Switzerland), Mr. Kalle Keldusild (CAA, Sweden),
Southgate (Department of Transport and Regional Mr. Niels Ladefoged (European Commission,
Services, Australia), Mr. Jim Brooks (Georgia Belgium), Prof. KatsuhiroYamaguchi (University of
Institute of Technology, U.S.), Mr.Kenneth W. Orth Tokyo, Japan), Mr. Peter Clarke (ICF, Canada), Mr.
(Boeing, U.S.), and Mr. Alain Depitre (Directorate Chris Caners (ICF, Canada),
General of Civil Aviation, France) Mr. Gregory Hemighaus (Chevron, U.S.), Mr.
Other contributors : Oren Hadaller (Boeing, U.S), Mr. Dave Daggett
Mr. James Skalecky, (FAA, U.S.), Ms. Sandy Liu (Boeing, U.S), and Dr. Tim Edwards (Air Force
(FAA, U.S.), Mr. Daniel Allyn (Boeing, U.S.), and Research Laboratorys, U.S.)
Mr. Laurence Gray (Pratt and Witney, US) Other contributors :
Reviewer: Dr. Dave Lister (CAA U.K.), Dr. Lourdes Maurice,
ICAO Secretariat Dr.Mohan Gupta, Mr. Daniel Allyn (Boeing, U.S.),
Dr. Hans Schlager (DLR, Germany), Mr Juergen
Part 3 Local Emissions Haacker (IATA, Switzerland), and Dr. David Lee
Authors : (Manchester Metropolitan University, U.K.)
Ass, Prof. John-Paul Clarke (Georgia Institute of Reviewer:
Technology, U.S.), Mr. Lillen Ren (Air ICAO Secretariat
Transportation Laboratory, U.S.), Mr. Emanuel
Fleuti (Zurich Airport, Switzerland), Mr. Roger Roy Part 5 Modelling and Databases
(Transport Canada, Canada), and Mr. Archie Authors:
Muckle (FAA, U.S.) ICAO Secretariat
Other contributors : Other contributors :
Mr. Willard Dodds (General Electric, U.S.), Mr. Mr. Chris Eyers (QinetiQ, U.K.), Mr. Urs Ziegler
Paul Madden (Rolls-Royce, U.K.), Mr. John Moran (FOCA, Switzerland), Mr. Gregg Fleming (USDOT,
(Rolls-Royce, U.K.), Mr. Alain Joselzon (Airbus, Volpe Center, U.S.), Prof Ian Waitz, MIT and PART-
France), Mr. Curtis Holsclaw (FAA U.S.), Mr. Peter NER, U.S.), Dr. Lourdes Maurice (FAA, U.S.), and
Newton (DTI U.K.), Dr. Dave Lister (CAA U.K.), Dr. Mr. Roger Gardner (OMEGA, U.K.)
Richard Miake-Lye (Aerodyne Research , Inc, Reviewer:
U.S.), Ms. Julie Draper(FAA U.S.), and Mr. Roger ICAO Secretariat
Gardner (OMEGA, U.K)
Reviewer:
ICAO Secretariat
All text in this document was edited by Shaun
Fawcett of Final Draft.
ICAO Environmental Report 2007 231
Contributors
ICAO wishes to thank all those who contributed to the first ICAO Environmental Report for their support:
Advertorials
Airbus
Air France KLM
CANSO
Display ads
Airbus
Air France KLM
Boeing
Bombardier
CANSO
Changi Airport Singapore
EUROCONTROL
IATA
Opsis
PARTNER
Pratt & Whitney
Shell
Climate change Because air traffic management today leaves a lot to
be desire, for every short or long-haul flight, aircraft fly
The growth in CO2 emissions of Air France-KLM Group 200 km more than the orthodromic distance they
aircraft has been under control for several years: should fly. The increased flight time can be reduced by
indeed it represents only half of the increase in traffic optimized air traffic management, with a positive
(in RPKs or equivalent RPKs for freight), thanks prima- impact on aircraft emissions as is the case with fleet
rily to the renewal of its fleet, its hub-based operating renewal and the optimization of the network. We
model and the ongoing optimization of procedures. believe that improved air traffic management com-
bined with fleet renewal would enable to offset the
effects of the increase in traffic on emissions for sev-
eral years.
Individually their environmental programmes have At the 2007 annual general meeting in India CANSO
provided major short-term gains in lowering fuel burn members committed to introducing a voluntary code
and decreasing emissions of greenhouse gases. Here of practice which establishes a framework within
are just some examples. which ANSPs can offset the environmental impacts of
growth through their own initiatives and collaboration
Airservices Australias flextracks programme with other industry stakeholders.
enables aircraft to use the prevailing jet-stream con-
ditions to fly more efficient routes; one airline calcu- The code will support ANSPs in working effectively
lated it had saved 8408kg of fuel and 43 minutes of with regulatory bodies, such as ICAO and its
flying time on a single service between the Middle Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection
East and Australia by diverting from the straight path (CAEP), which deals with aviation environmental
to hitch a ride on the high-speed jet-streams. issues at an international level. The code will establish
improvements are to be
measured. ANSPs will
have to work more closely
with other partners (such
as defence departments to
optimise civil/military air-
space design, and stan-
dards agencies to develop
environmental manage-
ment systems) to find
environmental mitigation
improvements.
Develop a position paper on the opportunities to bers should engage with to influence the environ-
reduce noise and improve local air quality and iden- mental debate.
tify the interdependencies. Support cooperative activities to share information
Document existing processes used by member and experience of options to mitigate the environ-
ANSPs for conducting assessment of the impact of mental impact of aviation related activities.
changes to ATM operations at airports and develop Establish a process for developing clear, consistent
a practical guide to conducting environmental key messages, to support effective communication.
assessment for changes to ATM operations at air- Establish a practical guide on how ANSPs can
ports. reduce the environmental footprint of their organi-
Document existing processes used by member sations.
ANSPs for conducting assessment of the environ- Share experiences on the implementation and cer-
mental impacts of airspace changes and develop a tification of Environmental Management Systems.
practical guide to conducting environmental
assessment for en-route airspace changes. The second measure is to increase ANSP commitment
Develop briefing material for CANSO member to the Voluntary Code of Practice (see www.canso.org
ANSPs to brief their staff on the core facts on avia- for more details.
tions impact on the environment and specifically
the ATM contribution, and which describes success- In summary, airspace management and design can
ful initiatives by CANSO members in mitigating the play an important role in addressing the impact of avi-
impact. ation greenhouse gas emissions on the global cli-
Develop media-friendly briefing material that states mate. But ANSPs are not the only actors in this area:
the core facts on ATM and the environment and States need to address the related institutional issues
describes successful initiatives by CANSO mem-
bers in mitigating the impact. And while ATM can play a role in mitigating the envi-
Conduct a stakeholder analysis to identify those ronmental impact of aviation, trade-offs exist between
bodies and organisations that CANSO and its mem- safety, economy, capacity and environmental impact
and these need careful assessment.
Singapore Changi Airport has defied convention. It has
become one of the few airports in the world to take sig-
nificant measures to be environmentally friendly.