QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES

A12: Problems to be done on 2nd and 3rd may 2016

1. For a 100 day period, the daily demand of a certain commodity shows the following frequency
distribution pattern. Using the given data simulate a fifteen day sequence of the demand values.
What is the mean number of demands for the above probability distribution?

Daily demand 0 1 2 3 4 5
No of days 10 20 40 20 6 4

Use the following random numbers 82, 89, 78, 24, 53, 61, 12, 4, 32, 55, 89, 65, 42, 23, 18.

2. A company manufactures around 200 bikes. Depending upon the availability of raw materials and
other conditions, the daily production has been varying from 196 to 204 bikes whose probability
distribution is as given below.

Production per day 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204
Probaility 0.05 0.1 0.11 0.15 0.2 0.15 0.1 .08 .06

The finished bikes are transported in a specially designed three storey lorry that can accommodate
only 200 bikes. Use the following random numbers 12, 92, 60, 24, 53, 61, 12, 4, 32, 55, 89, 65, 42,
23, 18 simulate the process to find out: (i) What will be average number of bikes waiting in the
factory?, (ii) What will be the average number of empty spaces on the lorry?

3. A firm has single channel service station with the following data:
(i) mean arrival time = 6.5 minutes
(ii) mean service time = 5.5 minutes
(iii) arrival and service time probability distribution are as follows
Arrivals Probability Service time Probability
(minutes) (minutes)
3-4 0.05 3-4 0.1
4-5 0.20 4-5 0.2
5-6 0.3 5-6 0.4
6-7 0.25 5-7 0.2
7-8 0.15 7-8 0.1
8-9 0.05 8-9 0

If the attendants wages are Rs 100 per hour and customers waiting time costs Rs 150 per hour
would it be economical proposition to engage second attendant? Generate separate random
numbers to run the simulation for 3 hours.