Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Food
Oils and Meals
Coconut oil $/mt 1,280 1,110 1,473 1,600
Groundnut oil $/mt 1,313 1,337 1,503 1,500
Palm oil $/mt 821 623 700 750
Soybean meal $/mt 528 395 380 370
Soybean oil $/mt 909 757 809 900
Soybeans $/mt 492 390 406 410
Grains
Barley $/mt 138 194 159 150
Maize $/mt 193 170 159 160
Rice, Thailand, 5% $/mt 423 386 396 385
Wheat, US, HRW $/mt 285 204 167 150
Other Food
Bananas, US $/kg 0.93 0.96 1.00 1.01
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Meat, beef $/kg 4.95 4.42 3.93 3.95
Meat, chicken $/kg 2.43 2.53 2.46 2.40
Oranges $/kg 0.78 0.68 0.89 0.90
Shrimp, Mexico $/kg 17.25 14.36 11.20 12.00
Sugar, World $/kg 0.37 0.30 0.40 0.40
Raw Materials
Timber
Logs, Cameroon $/cum 465 389 387 380
Logs, Malaysia $/cum 282 246 274 275
Sawnwood, Malaysia $/cum 898 833 739 700
Fertilizers
DAP $/mt 472 459 345 330
Phosphate rock $/mt 110 117 112 105
Potassium chloride $/mt 297 303 246 250
TSP $/mt 388 385 291 280
Urea, E. Europe, bulk $/mt 316 273 199 220
Precious Metals
Gold $/toz 1,266 1,161 1,249 1,150
Silver $/toz 19.1 15.7 17.1 16.5
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Platinum $/toz 1,384 1,053 987 1,000
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World Bank Commodities Price Forecast (constant US
Food
Fats and Oils
Coconut oil $/mt 1,185 1,135 1,568 1,687
Groundnut oil $/mt 1,215 1,368 1,599 1,582
Palm oil $/mt 760 637 745 791
Soybean meal $/mt 489 404 404 390
Soybean oil $/mt 842 774 861 949
Soybeans $/mt 455 399 432 432
Grains
Barley $/mt 128 199 169 158
Maize $/mt 179 174 169 169
Rice, Thailand, 5% $/mt 391 395 422 406
Wheat, US, HRW $/mt 264 209 177 158
Other Food
Bananas, US $/kg 0.86 0.98 1.07 1.06
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Meat, beef $/kg 4.58 4.53 4.18 4.16
Meat, chicken $/kg 2.25 2.59 2.62 2.53
Oranges $/kg 0.73 0.69 0.95 0.95
Shrimp, Mexico $/kg 15.97 14.69 11.92 12.65
Sugar, World $/kg 0.35 0.30 0.42 0.42
Raw Materials
Timber
Logs, Cameroon $/cum 431 398 412 401
Logs, Malaysia $/cum 261 252 292 290
Sawnwood, Malaysia $/cum 831 852 786 738
Fertilizers
DAP $/mt 437 469 368 348
Phosphate rock $/mt 102 120 119 111
Potassium chloride $/mt 275 310 261 264
TSP $/mt 359 394 309 295
Urea, E. Europe, bulk $/mt 293 279 212 232
Precious Metals
Gold $/toz 1,171 1,187 1,329 1,213
Silver $/toz 17.7 16.1 18.3 17.4
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Platinum $/toz 1,281 1,077 1,051 1,054
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Non-energy commodities 89.8 84.3 85.5 87.4
Agriculture 95.1 91.3 94.8 94.5
Beverages 94.2 95.7 96.9 94.8
Food 99.4 93.0 98.2 97.7
Fats and oils 100.9 87.1 95.3 97.3
Grains 96.2 90.8 87.2 83.7
Other food 100.3 102.6 112.1 110.9
Raw materials 85.1 85.2 85.4 86.5
Timber 97.1 98.3 95.4 90.8
Other Raw Materials 71.9 70.9 74.5 81.8
Fertilizers 93.0 97.6 80.1 81.1
Metals and minerals a/ 78.5 68.5 67.0 73.6
Base Metals b/ 82.4 75.3 72.7 79.8
Precious Metals 93.6 92.7 103.7 95.5
Notes:
a/ Base metals plus iron ore
b/ Includes aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc
c/ Real price indices are computed from unrounded data and deflated by the MUV index.
d/ Inflation indices for 2013-2025 are projections
e/ Unit value index of manufacture exports (MUV) in US dollar terms for fifteen countries (B
Korea, South Africa, Spain, Thailand, United Kingdom, and United States).
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Description of
Coal (Australia), thermal, f.o.b. piers, Newcastle/Port Kembla, 6,700 kcal/kg, 90 days forward delive
6,667 kcal/kg (12,000 btu/lb).
Crude oil, average price of Brent, Dubai and West Texas Intermediate, equally weighed.
Natural Gas (Europe), average import border price, including UK. As of April 2010 includes a spot p
Natural Gas (U.S.), spot price at Henry Hub, Louisiana.
Natural gas LNG (Japan), import price, cif, recent two months' averages are estimates.
Cocoa (ICCO), International Cocoa Organization daily price, average of the first three positions on
Coffee (ICO), International Coffee Organization indicator price, other mild Arabicas, average New
Coffee (ICO), International Coffee Organization indicator price, Robustas, average New York and L
quotations at Kolkata, Colombo and Mombasa/Nairobi.
Coconut oil (Philippines/Indonesia), bulk, c.i.f. Rotterdam. Copra (Philippines/Indonesia), bulk, c.i.f.
Groundnut oil (any origin), c.i.f. Rotterdam.
Palm oil (Malaysia), 5% bulk, c.i.f. N. W. Europe.
Soybean meal (any origin), Argentine 45/46% extraction, c.i.f. Rotterdam beginning 1990; previous
Soybean oil (Any origin), crude, f.o.b. ex-mill Netherlands.
Soybeans (US), c.i.f. Rotterdam.
Barley (US) feed, No. 2, spot, 20 days To-Arrive, delivered Minneapolis from May 2012 onwards; du
wholesale farmers' price.
Maize (US), no. 2, yellow, f.o.b. US Gulf ports.
Rice (Thailand), 5% broken, white rice (WR), milled, indicative price based on weekly surveys of exp
Wheat (US), no. 1, hard red winter, ordinary protein, export price delivered at the US Gulf port for
Bananas (Central & South America), major brands, free on truck (f.o.t.) Southern Europe, including
Meat, beef (Australia/New Zealand), chucks and cow forequarters, frozen boneless, 85% chemical l
forequarters.
Meat, chicken (US), broiler/fryer, whole birds, 2-1/2 to 3 pounds, USDA grade "A", ice-packed, Geo
Meat, sheep (New Zealand), frozen whole carcasses Prime Medium (PM) wholesale, Smithfield, Lon
Oranges (Mediterranean exporters) navel, EEC indicative import price, c.i.f. Paris.
Shrimp , (Mexico), west coast, frozen, white, No. 1, shell-on, headless, 26 to 30 count per pound, wh
Sugar (world), International Sugar Agreement (ISA) daily price, raw, f.o.b. and stowed at greater Ca
Logs (West Africa), sapele, high quality (loyal and marchand), 80 centimeter or more, f.o.b. Douala,
Logs (Malaysia), meranti, Sarawak, sale price charged by importers, Tokyo beginning February 1993
Sawnwood (Malaysia), dark red seraya/meranti, select and better quality, average 7 to 8 inches; len
commission including premium for products of certified sustainable forest beginning January 2005;
Cotton (Cotton Outlook "Cotlook A index"), middling 1-3/32 inch, traded in Far East, C/F beginning
Rubber (Asia), RSS3 grade, Singapore Commodity Exchange Ltd (SICOM) nearby contract beginning
-8-
DAP (diammonium phosphate), standard size, bulk, spot, f.o.b. US Gulf.
Phosphate rock (Morocco), 70% BPL, contract, f.a.s. Casablanca.
Cotton (Cotton Outlook "Cotlook A index"), middling 1-3/32 inch, traded in Far East, C/F beginning
Rubber (Asia), RSS3 grade, Singapore Commodity Exchange Ltd (SICOM) nearby contract beginning
Aluminum (LME) London Metal Exchange, unalloyed primary ingots, high grade, minimum 99.7% pu
Copper (LME), grade A, minimum 99.9935% purity, cathodes and wire bar shapes, settlement price.
63.5%.
Lead (LME), refined, 99.97% purity, settlement price.
Nickel (LME), cathodes, minimum 99.8% purity, settlement price beginning 2005; previously cash p
Tin (LME), refined, 99.85% purity, settlement price.
Zinc (LME), high grade, minimum 99.95% purity, settlement price beginning April 1990; previously
Gold (UK), 99.5% fine, London afternoon fixing, average of daily rates.
Platinum (UK), 99.9% refined, London afternoon fixing.
Silver (UK), 99.9% refined, London afternoon fixing; prior to July 1976 Handy & Harman. Grade pri
-9-
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(nominal US dollars) Released: January
Forecasts
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
- 11 -
3.97 3.99 4.01 4.03 4.04 4.06 4.08
2.39 2.38 2.38 2.37 2.36 2.35 2.35
0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95
12.14 12.29 12.43 12.58 12.73 12.88 13.04
0.40 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39
- 12 -
1,032 1,064 1,098 1,133 1,169 1,206 1,244
Next update: A
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(constant US dollars) Released: January
Forecasts
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
- 14 -
4.08 4.03 3.99 3.93 3.88 3.83 3.78
2.46 2.41 2.36 2.31 2.27 2.22 2.17
0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88
12.50 12.42 12.37 12.29 12.22 12.14 12.07
0.41 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.36
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1,062 1,075 1,092 1,107 1,121 1,136 1,152
Next update: A
Released: January
Forecasts
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
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86.1 85.7 85.5 85.1 84.7 84.4 84.1
93.3 92.6 92.3 91.7 91.1 90.6 90.1
92.7 91.2 90.0 88.6 87.3 85.9 84.6
96.5 95.8 95.4 94.8 94.2 93.7 93.2
96.3 95.9 95.7 95.3 94.9 94.5 94.1
83.4 83.7 84.1 84.4 84.7 85.0 85.3
108.4 106.7 105.3 103.6 102.1 100.5 99.0
85.8 85.6 85.7 85.5 85.4 85.3 85.3
90.8 91.4 92.3 92.8 93.5 94.1 94.8
80.3 79.3 78.5 77.6 76.6 75.7 74.9
80.9 81.1 81.5 81.7 82.0 82.2 82.5
72.0 71.9 72.0 72.0 71.9 71.9 71.9
79.7 79.7 79.9 79.9 80.0 80.1 80.2
92.4 90.0 87.9 85.6 83.4 81.3 79.2
Next update: A
or fifteen countries (Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, France, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Republic of
es).
- 17 -
Description of Price Series
, 90 days forward delivery beginning year 2011; for period 2002-2010, 6,300 kc/kg (11,340 btu/lb); prior to yea
ally weighed.
l 2010 includes a spot price component. Between June 2000 - March 2010 excludes UK.
estimates.
first three positions on the terminal markets of New York and London, nearest three future trading months.
Arabicas, average New York and Bremen/Hamburg markets, ex-dock.
verage New York and Le Havre/Marseilles markets, ex-dock. Tea, average three auctions, arithmetic average of
May 2012 onwards; during 1980 - 2012 April Canadian, feed, Western No. 1, Winnipeg Commodity Exchange,
or more, f.o.b. Douala, Cameroon beginning January 1996; previously of unspecified dimension.
eginning February 1993; previously average of Sabah and Sarawak weighted by Japanese import volumes.
erage 7 to 8 inches; length average 12 to 14 inches; thickness 1 to 2 inch(es); kiln dry, c. & f. UK ports, with 5% a
eginning January 2005; previously excluding the premium.
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Far East, C/F beginning 2006; previously Northern Europe, c.i.f.
arby contract beginning 2004; during 2000 to 2003, Singapore RSS1; previously Malaysia RSS1.
ver.
rigin, granular, fob; previously US origin, f.o.b. US Gulf.
July 1991; for 1985-91 (June) f.o.b. Eastern Europe.
ade, minimum 99.7% purity, settlement price beginning 2005; previously cash price.
hapes, settlement price. Iron ore (any origin) fines, spot price, c.f.r. China, 62% Fe beginning December 2008; pr
g April 1990; previously special high grade, minimum 99.995%, cash prices .
- 19 -
- 20 -
Released: January 24, 2017
Forecasts
2025 2030
57.7 60.0
71.0 80.0
6.7 8.0
4.3 5.0
8.8 10.0
2.84 3.00
3.48 3.40
2.07 2.00
2.92 3.00
1,474 1,400
1,620 1,700
839 900
417 450
960 1,000
480 530
179 200
189 210
418 440
200 240
1.06 1.10
- 21 -
4.10 4.20
2.34 2.30
0.96 1.00
13.19 14.00
0.39 0.38
422 450
313 340
872 1000
1.99 2.20
2.28 2.40
4,650 4,500
399 450
117 125
291 320
338 380
266 300
1,992 2,200
6,335 7,000
57.9 60.0
2,261 2,300
15,892 20,000
21,796 23,000
2,559 2,400
1,055 1,000
16.2 16.0
- 22 -
1,283 1,500
- 23 -
Released: January 24, 2017
Forecasts
2025 2030
52.4 49.7
64.5 66.3
6.1 6.6
3.9 4.1
8.0 8.3
2.58 2.49
3.16 2.82
1.89 1.66
2.66 2.49
1,340 1,161
1,473 1,409
763 746
379 373
873 829
437 439
163 166
172 174
380 365
182 199
0.97 0.91
- 24 -
3.73 3.48
2.13 1.91
0.87 0.83
12.00 11.61
0.35 0.31
383 373
285 282
793 829
1.81 1.82
2.07 1.99
4,228 3,730
363 373
106 104
265 265
307 315
242 249
1,812 1,824
5,760 5,803
52.6 49.7
2,056 1,907
14,450 16,579
19,819 19,066
2,327 1,989
959 829
14.7 13.3
- 25 -
1,167 1,243
88.3 99.8
92.1 99.0
98.5 104.9
91.7 93.0
101.9 108.4
103.1 110.6
94.2 105.1
107.2 108.6
93.7 102.3
105.0 118.8
81.4 84.2
91.0 101.1
79.1 86.7
88.2 97.3
84.9 81.6
80.3 82.7
- 26 -
83.7 82.1
89.5 86.9
83.4 77.1
92.6 89.9
93.8 91.7
85.6 87.1
97.5 90.0
85.2 84.8
95.4 98.5
74.0 69.8
82.7 83.8
71.9 71.8
80.2 80.6
77.2 67.6
110.0 120.6
1.8 1.9
131.4 145.1
2.0 2.0
- 27 -
iod 2002-2010, 6,300 kc/kg (11,340 btu/lb); prior to year 2002,
o.t. Hamburg.
ex-dock, beginning November 2002; previously cow
d average, wholesale.
reviously Prime Light (PL).
ope, c.i.f.
ngapore RSS1; previously Malaysia RSS1.
- 28 -
ope, c.i.f.
ngapore RSS1; previously Malaysia RSS1.
- 29 -
- 30 -