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Cecep Sulaeman, Sri Hidayati, Amalfi Omang, and Imam Catur Priambodo
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Abstract - Seven periods of GPS campaign have been conducted for three years since March 2013 - October 2015 on
fourteen GPS sites across Bali Island. The GAMIT/GLOBK 10.6 version was used to compute data with respect for
thirteen reference sites of International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF) 2008 surrounding Bali. The result shows
that horizontal displacement varies between 1.93 and 22.53 mm/yr dominantly northeastward. Vertical displacement
ranges at -184.34 to 33.79 mm/yr. The result of modeling using Coulomb 3.3 version indicates the deformation in
Bali was mostly contributed by subduction at the southern part, West and East Flores Back-Arc Thrust at the north,
Lombok Strait Fault and a fault at the eastern coast of Bali with the estimation maximum magnitude of 7.1, 6.6,
6.8, 5.8, and 5.2, respectively.
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Keywords: Bali, deformation, GPS campaign, horizontal displacement, subduction
© IJOG - 2018. All right reserved
8S
o
8S
o
9
o
9o
10
o
10
o
11
12
o
o
Legend:
Depth
100
75
G
Focal mechanism
Earth quake source
11
12
o
o
O
N
50
25
0 km 27.75 km
13 S
o
13 S
o
113o E 114 o
115 o
116o
117o
118 o
119o E
Figure 1. Seismicity of Bali during 1976 - 2015 at depth 0 - 60 km (Source Data CMT Catalog).
Basin. In contrast, Koulali et al. (2016) reveals well as performs a model describing earthquake
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Flores Back-Arc continues westward until Ken- sources affect Bali and surrounding areas.
deng Thrust. A seismotectonic study (Soehaimi,
2015) found a fault scarp at N 50° E direction GPS Survey And Analysis
at Lombok Strait, eastern Bali, parallel to the GPS survey is a method which is often used to
eastern coastal zone. analyze deformation associated with crustal fault
Earthquake source characteristics are impor- activities by observing the displacement pattern.
tant in order to define an earthquake hazard level A GPS survey can be carried out either with epi-
in a certain area (Figure 1). Source characteristic sodic or continuous measurements. In contrast to
information (location, geometry, slip rate, and a continuous observation approach, an episodic
maximum magnitude) can be obtained from geo- method, also known as a campaign survey, is
logical and geodetic methods. In this study, a geo- conducted by careful observing changes with a
detic method using GPS measurement was used specified interval, for instance, once or twice a
to identify the characteristic of the earthquake year. A deformation rate requires a high precision
source. The survey had been conducted for three level which is generally at the level of mm/year.
years since 2013 to 2015. This paper presents its GPS surveys in Bali were conducted seven
result and discusses the displacement pattern as times from 2013 to 2015: in March 2013, June
82
Tectonic Model of Bali Island Inferred from GPS Data (C. Sulaeman et al.)
2013, September 2013, April 2014, October 2014, nila), DGAR (Deigo Garsia), HYDE (Hyderabad),
April 2015, and October 2015 using Trimble R7, IISC (Bangalore), KARR (Karratha), KUNM
R8, and NetRS. The measurement of each site (Kunming), LAE (Lae), and MALD (Maldive).
takes two DOYs (Day of Year) and at least 8 Due to a technical reason, the KASM, NSDA,
hours/day of duration. There are fourteen GPS SKWT, and BMKG sites were only surveyed
sites across Bali as seen in Figure 2: BMKG three times. The available data of CEGI started
(BMKG Kuta), KLKG (Kelungkung Dam), on January - September 2013 and February 2014.
SKWT (SMAN Sukowati), TGLG (Polsek Tegal- For each day measurement, the dual-frequen-
lalang), SSUT (Polsek Susut), BTUR (Batur Ob- cy carrier phase and pseudo-range observations
servatory), KTMN (SMPN Kintamani), SKDN from all sites were taken into account in pro-
(Sukadana Village), BNJR (SMPN Banjar), cessing the data. The International Terrestrial
PMTR (Pemuteran Village ), CEGI (Cegi Vil- Reference Frame (ITRF) 2008 was used as a
lage), JMBR (Jembrana City), KASM (BMKG reference system. The ITRF 2008 is the realiza-
Karangasem), and NSDA (SMAN Nusa Dua). tion of International Terrestrial Reference System
CEGI is a continuous GPS site. (ITRS) where its centre is located on geocentric
Raw data in RINEX format were processed
using GAMIT-GLOBK software 10.6 version
G
(Herring et al., 2015) in combination with global
114 30' E 114 45' 115 00' 115 15' 115 30' 115 45' E
o o o o o o
8 00' S
8 00' S
o
o
MTR KTMN
IJ
SKDN
BNJR
8 15'
8 15'
BTUR
o
CEGI
JMBR
SSUT
KASM
TGLG
Explanation:
8 30'
8 30'
8 45' S
BMKG
SKWT - SMAN Sukowati
o
114 30' E 114 45' 115 00' 115 15' 115 30' 115 45' E
o o o o o o
83
Indonesian Journal on Geoscience, Vol. 5 No. 1 April 2018: 81-91
8
be estimated from the change of the topocentric
4
coordinate system. To eliminate the global influ-
North/mm
0
which was obtained from the website https:// Reference Longitude: 115.346361994 E
o
Ve = 28.25 ± 1.88 mm/yr
WRMS = 3.10 mm; NRMS = 0.66
East/mm
was Euler polars coordinate of 46.202ºN and 0
G
3.3 software (Toda et al., 2011) was performed.
60
40
20
-20
-40
Reference Ellipsoid Height: 894.0369 m
2013
2015
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in a time series. It describes the movement of a
GPS site within a specific time interval. From the 23.72 mm/yr for the east one. The lowest velocity
time series of position changes, the velocity vector was recorded at BTUR (22.09 mm/yr) and the
value of each GPS movement site can be estimated highest at KLKG (49.29 mm/yr). Meanwhile, the
using the least square method. For example, dis- vertical velocity varies between -184.34 mm/yr
placement (north, east, and up) for SSUT site (downward) to 33.79 mm/yr (upward). The lowest
during the period of March 2013 - October 2015 downward was recorded at KLKG (-184 mm/yr),
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is shown in Figure 3. The obtained displacement and the highest upward at PMTR (39 mm/yr). The
are -1.39 mm/yr, 28.25 mm/yr, and 1.41 mm/yr error bar for horizontal measurement relatively
for component of north, east, and up, respectively. seems to be better compared to the vertical one.
The velocity for each GPS site is shown in The large error bar recorded at KLKG for both
Table 1 and Figure 4. Normalized root mean vertical and horizontal could be due to vibration
square (nrms) was estimated from differences noise from the stream since the site is located just
between the observations and calculated phase on the river bank.
and the value of the weighted root mean square The Sunda Block moves 27 mm/yr in SE di-
residual (wrms) representing short-term correla- rection as seen in Figure 5. Figure 6 and Table 2
tion within data, as shown in Figure 4 and Table show horizontal velocity for each GPS site after
1. The horizontal displacement of Bali tends to being corrected by the Sunda Block movement.
east-southeast (Figure 4) before being corrected The velocity value varies at 1.93 mm/yr to 22.53
by Sunda Block, except NSDA site. mm/yr, and tends to NE direction, except for
According to Table 1 and Figure 4 the veloc- NSDA, BTUR, and KASM northward and KLKG
ity values vary 22.09 mm/yr to 33 mm/yr with eastward. The smallest value was recorded at
the error bar ranging from 0.99 mm/yr to 20.08 PMTR (1.93 mm/yr) and the largest at KLKG
mm/yr for north component, and 1.26 mm/yr to (22.53 mm/yr).
84
Tectonic Model of Bali Island Inferred from GPS Data (C. Sulaeman et al.)
Table 1. Velocity of Each GPS Site During the Period of April 2013 - October 2015
SKDN
SKWT
SSUT
TGLG
114o30' E
0.14
-2.52
-1.39
-3.68
114o45'
G
1.22
9.45
1.49
1.96
28.07
37.02
28.25
29.34
115o00'
1.91
11.42
1.88
2.66
115o15'
-1.61
-70.42
1.41
-60.18
115o30'
6.74
45.68
6.94
9.41
115o45' E
28.07
37.11
28.28
29.57
O
8o00' S
8o00' S
PMTR
SKDN
BNJR KTMN
8o15'
8o15'
BTUR
CEGI
JMBR SSUT
KASM
IJ
TGLG
8o30'
8o30'
KLKG
N SKWT
0 13.75 km BMKG
8o45' S
8o45' S
30 mm/yr
Scale NSDA
5 mm/yr
Figure 4. Velocity for each Bali GPS site and their error bar during April 2013 - October 2015 (ITRF 2008).
In order to find out the cause of surface defor- velocities were used, and any vertical rate was not
mation in Bali, a model of earthquake sources was included since they have large uncertainties. Five
applied and computed using Coulomb Version 3.3 earthquake source parameters were defined as
(Toda et al., 2011). For modeling, only horizontal an input, namely subduction at the southern part
85
Indonesian Journal on Geoscience, Vol. 5 No. 1 April 2018: 81-91
8 00' S
8 00' S
o
o
PMTR
SKDN
KTMN
BNJR
8 15'
8 15'
o
o
BTUR
CEGI
JMBR SSUT
KASM
TGLG
8 30'
8 30'
o
o
KLKG
SKWT
N BMKG
8 45' S
8 45' S
G
o
o
25 mm/yr
Scale NSDA
13.75 km
114 30' E 114 45' 115 00' 115 15' 115 30' 115 45' E
o o o o o o
8o00' S
8 00' S
O
o
PMTR
KTMN SKDN
BNJR
8o15'
8 15'
o
BTUR
CEGI
SSUT KASM
JMBR
TGLG
IJ
8o30'
8 30'
o
KLKG
SKWT
N
8o45' S
8 45' S
BMKG
o
20 mm/yr
Scale
13.75 km NSDA
114 30' E 114 45' 115 00' 115 15' 115 30' 115 45' E
o o o o o o
Figure 6. Velocity for each GPS site with respect for Sunda Block.
of Bali with length 427.27 km including Sumba are considered to affect most deformation across
Megathrust, West Flores Back-Arc Thrust (170.50 Bali. The result of modeling using the best fit ap-
km), and East Flores Back-Arc Thrust (277.13 proach between the observed and calculated data
km) in the north, Lombok Strait Fault (54.75 km), can be seen in Table 4. The five source models
and a fault 15.86 km in length on the eastern produce GPS velocity at 0.81 mm/yr to 13.51 mm/
coast of Bali (Figure 7, Table 3). Those sources yr northeastward (Figure 8). This direction is in
86
Tectonic Model of Bali Island Inferred from GPS Data (C. Sulaeman et al.)
Table 2. Component of Horizontal Velocity for Each GPS -20.52 mm/yr and 6.33 mm/yr for east and north
Site during April 2013 - October 2015 with respect for
Sunda Block components, respectively. Other sites show 0.19
mm/yr to 9.65 mm/yr for the east component, and
East North
Resultant 0.52 mm/yr to -16.52 mm/yr for the north one.
Site Horisontal
(mm/yr) (mm/yr)
(mm/yr)
BMKG 3.61 0.97 3.74
BNJR 6.23 2.68 6.79 Discussion
BTUR -3.54 9.08 9.74
CEGI 1.46 1.72 2.25 Figure 1 shows earthquake sources around
JMBR 7.21 3.52 8.02 Bali. In Bali and Nusa Tenggara, most of the
KASM -1.27 5.41 5.56 deformation of the island arc can be attributed
KLKG 22.51 -0.96 22.53 to collision with the Australian Continent. At the
KTMN 3.30 5.60 6.50
southern part, the earthquakes are dominated by
NSDA -0.08 16.40 16.40
reverse mechanism. This shows that the earth-
PMTR 1.69 0.93 1.93
quakes are associated with the subduction zone,
SKDN
SKWT
SSUT
TGLG
2.42
11.59
2.70
3.83
7 30' S
o
8 30'
o
al
ault
c
Lo
3
it F
5
Stra
o
9
bok
Lom
9o30'
10o
10 30'
o
Subduction
11
o
1
11o30'
12 S
o
87
Indonesian Journal on Geoscience, Vol. 5 No. 1 April 2018: 81-91
114 30' E
o
114o45' 115o00' 115o15' 115o30' 115o45' E
8o00' S
8 00' S
o
PMTR
G BNJR KTMN
SKDN
8o15'
8 15'
o
BTUR
CEGI
TGLG
8o30'
8 30'
o
KLKG
SKWT
O
N
8o45' S
8 45' S
BMKG
o
20 mm/yr
data
model 13.75 km
NSDA
Figure 8. Horizontal velocity vectors in Bali. The red and black colours represent calculated and observed data, respectively.
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Table 4. Observed and Calculated Velocity for Each Bali GPS Site
88
Tectonic Model of Bali Island Inferred from GPS Data (C. Sulaeman et al.)
a A
8 S
o
M 6.5, 1976/07/14
8 30'
o
9
o
M 6.1, 2011/10/13
9 30'
o
10
o
0 10 20 30 40 km
10 30'
o
Legend
11
o
Epicenter (M>5)
11o S
B
10o 30'
G
Fault (Pusgen, 2017)
113 30' E
o
10o
114
o
9o 30'
114 30'
o
9o
115
o
8o 30'
115 30'
8
o
o
B
116o
7o 30' 7
116o 30'
6o 30'
117o E
0
6o S
-50
A
O
M 6.1, 2011/10/13 M 6.5, 1976/07/14
-100
-200
-250
IJ
-300
-350
Figure 9. a) Map of earthquake distribution around Bali Island. b) Cross section of the hypocentre.
are associated with the back-arc-thrust zone that surveyed irregularly from 2013 to 2015. Using
has been found deeper than 50 km (Figure 9b). the ITRF 2008 reference system, globally the
Flores Back-Arc is believed to contribute to the results show that the velocity of GPS sites tends
1976 Seririt Earthquake (Figure 9a, b) and the to SE direction which is similar to a previous
1992 Flores earthquake generating tsunami. study by Bock et al. (2003). However, when us-
Meanwhile, twenty active faults and four poten- ing the movement of Sunda Block to correct the
tial active ones were found in Bali (Soehaemi, result, the direction change to NE as Koulali et
2015), and the maximum magnitude of the faults al. (2016)’s. It seems that deformation in Bali is
are estimated to be around 6.5 Mw. generated from the subduction activity in the
The GPS velocities are obtained from obser- south of Bali which can host a maximum of 7.0
vations at fourteen GPS station networks across Mw earthquake, followed by Flores Back-Arc
Bali Island. Campaign GPS sites have been Thrust at the north of Bali with 6.8 Mw. The local
89
Indonesian Journal on Geoscience, Vol. 5 No. 1 April 2018: 81-91
fault at the eastern part of Bali (Soehaimi, 2015) Bock, Y., Prawirodirdjo, L., Genrich, J.F., Stevens,
can generate a 5.8 Mw earthquake. The subduc- C.W., and McCaffrey, R., 2003. Crustal Motion
tion and Flores Back-Arc Thrust have the reverse in Indonesia from Global Positioning System
fault mechanism, where the Bali Island acts as a Measurements, Journal of Geophysical Re-
hanging wall. The position of the island is closer search, 108 (B8). DOI: 10.1029/2001JB000324
to the nodal plane of the Flores-Back-Arc Thrust McCaffrey, R. and Nabelek, J., 1987. Earthquakes,
than to Indian-Australian Plate subduction that gravity, and the origin of the Bali Basin: An ex-
may explain the direction of Bali deformation to ample of a Nascent Continental Fold-and-Thrust
the northeast. Belt. Journal of Geophysical Research, 92 (B1)
p.441-460. DOI: 10.1029/2001JB000324
Hamilton., W.B., 1979. Tectonic of Indonesia Re-
Conclusion gion. U.S. Govt. Printing Office, 345pp.
Herring, T.A., King, R.W., Floyed, M.A., and
The horizontal velocity of Bali GPS sites var- McClusky, S.C., 2015. Introduction to Gamit/
ies 1.93 mm/yr to 22.53 mm/yr in NE direction, Globk Release 10.6, Massachusetts Institute of
G
except NSDA, BTUR, and KASM to the north, and
KLKG to the east. PMTR site has the smallest ve-
locity at 1.93 mm/yr and the highest one (KLKG)
at 22.53 mm/yr. While the vertical velocity ranges
between -184.34 mm/yr to 33.79 mm/yr. The rela-
tive velocity may associate with the tectonic activ-
ity due to the subduction at southern Bali, West
Technology, Cambridge.
Irsyam, M., Sengara, W., Aldiamar, F., Widiyantoro,
S., Triyoso, W., Hilman, D., Kertapati, E., Mei-
lano, I., Suhardjono, Asrurifak, M., and Ridwan,
M., 2010. Development of seismic Hazard Maps
of Indonesia for Revision of Seismic Hazard
map in SNI 03-1726-2002, Report of Team for
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Flores Back-Arc Thrust, and East Flores Back-Arc Revision of Seismic Hazard Maps of Indonesia.
Thrust at the northern part; and Lombok Strait Kuncoro, H., 2013. Estimasi Parameter Rotasi Euler
Fault and a fault at eastern Bali with magnitude Blok Sunda Berdasarkan Data Pengamatan GPS
(Mw) 7.1, 6.6, 6.8, 5.8, and 5.2, respectively. Kontinyu dan Episodik di Regional Asia Teng-
gara, Tesis Magister ITB.
Koulali, A., Susilo, S., McClusky, S., Meilano, I.,
Acknowledgment Cummins, P., Tregoning, P., and Lister, G., 2016.
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Crustal strain partitioning and the associated
The authors are grateful to Dr. Irwan Meilano earthquake hazard in the eastern Sunda-Banda
and Dr. Dina Sarsito of ITB for allowing us to Arc. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (5),
use some ITB GPS sites and for the fruitful dis- p.1943-1949. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL067941
cussion. The help of dear students from Geodetic Pusat Studi Gempa Nasional (Pusgen), 2017. Peta
and Geomatika Department of ITB during the Sumber dan Bahaya Gempa Indonesia 2017.
fieldwork is really appreciated. This work was Pusat Litbang Perumahan dan Pemukiman,
supported the 2013-2015 fiscal year fund of the Kemen PUPR.
Centre for Volcanology and Geological Hazard Silver, E., Donald, R., and Robert, M., 1983. Back
Mitigation, Geological Agency, Indonesia. Arc Thrusting in the Eastern Sunda Arc, Journal
of Geophysical Research, 88 (B.09), p.7429-
7448. DOI: 10.1029/JB088iB09p07429
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