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‫مادة الرياضيات‬ ‫السنة الثانية‬ ‫قسم مناجم‬ ‫جامعة القاهرة‬-‫كلية الهندسة‬

‫نظرية االحتماالت‬ ‫الفصل الدراسى األول‬


Sheet 3

Conditional Probability

1- A pair of fair dice is thrown. Find the probability p that the sum
is 10 or greater if :
(i) A 5 appears on the first die.
(ii) A 5 appears on at least one of the dice.

2- A pair of fair dice is thrown. If two numbers appearing are


different, find the probability p that
(i) The sum is six
(ii) An ace appears
(iii)The sum is 4 or less.

3- Two digits are selected at random from the digits 1 through 9. If


the sum is even, find the probability p that both numbers are odd.

Multiplication Theorem

4- A class has 12 boys and 4 girls. If three students are selected at


random from the class, what is the probability p that they are all
boys?

5- A box contains 7 red marbles and 3 white marbles. Three marbles are
drawn from the box one after the other. Find the probability p that
the first two are red and the third is white.

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Finite Stochastic Process

6- A box contains three coins; one coin is fair, one coin is two-headed,
and one coin is weighted so that the probability of heads appearing is
1/3. A coin is selected at random and tossed. Find the probability p that
heads appears.

7- We are given three boxes as follows:


Box A contains 3 red and 5 white marbles.
Box B contains 2 red and 1 white marble.
Box C contains 2 red and 3 white marbles.
A box is selected at random and a marble is drawn from the box. If
the marble is red, what is the probability that it came from a Box A?

Independence

8- Box A contains 8 items of which 3 are defective, and box B contains


5 items of which 2 are defective. An item is drawn at random from each
box.
(i) What is the probability p that both items are non-
defective?
(ii) What is the probability p that one item is defective and
one not?
(iii) If one item is defective and one is not, what is the
probability p that the defective item came from box A?

9- The probabilities that three men hit a target are respectively 1/6, 1/4
and 1/3. Each shoots once at the target.
(i) Find the probability p that exactly one of them hits the
target.
(ii) If only one hit the target, what is the probability that it
was the first man?

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Independent Trials

10- A certain soccer team wins (W) with probability 0.6, loses (L) with
probability 0.3 and ties (T) with probability 0.1. The team plays
three games over the weekend.
(i) Determine the elements of the event A that the team
wins at least twice and does not lose; and find P(A).
(ii)Determine the elements of the event B that the team
wins, loses and ties; and find P(B).

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