Commute Probability

iPad App: Ideament

Directions
1. Read Khan Academy Probability Lesson and watch the first video.
2. Read Math Planet Lesson and watch the video.
3. Over two weeks, time how long it takes for you to get from where you live to school down to
the second. Also, each day record whether the Los Angeles Lakers won their game that day,
lost, or did not play. Use the notes app to record your data.
4. Organize this data into 3 groups of time. Try to make these groups have similar amounts of data
points in each.
5. Use Ideament to construct a mind map of the data. This starts with your school commute and
then expands to the three groups which each expand to whether the Lakers won, lost, or did not
play a game that day. Refer to example.
6. Inside each bubble write the data as a fraction and a percent.
7. At the end of each of your nine pathways calculate the percentage that each of those paths took
place.
8. Answer the questions below on a separate sheet of paper. The length of each answer depends
on the question. Use your best judgment, they do not all have to be complete sentences.
9. Email your teacher the data on the notes app as well as your mind map.

Questions
1. What was the average time of your commute?
2. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 1 or the Lakers lost during the two
weeks you recorded?
3. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 1 or the Lakers won during the
two weeks you recorded?
4. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 1 or the Lakers did not play during
the two weeks you recorded?
5. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 2 or the Lakers lost during the two
weeks you recorded?
6. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 2 or the Lakers won during the
two weeks you recorded?
7. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 2 or the Lakers did not play during
the two weeks you recorded?
8. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 3 or the Lakers lost during the two
weeks you recorded?
 9. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 3 or the Lakers won during the
two weeks you recorded?
10. What are the chances the time of your commute fell in group 3 or the Lakers did not play during
the two weeks you recorded?
11. Can you infer anything about the timing of your commute for a random day in this two-week
sample given that the Lakers did not play that day? What are the odds that day the given day is
in group 1? group 2? group 3? Give your reasoning.
12. Can you infer anything about the timing of your commute for a day four weeks from now given
that the Lakers did not play that day? What are the odds that day the given day is in: group 1?
group 2? group 3? None of the groups? Give your reasoning.
13. List at least 3 factors that affected your commute.
14. Would your average time of your commute be a good estimation for a random day: last
semester? Next semester? Your entire high school career in the past and future?

Scoring Rubric
Questions 20pts
Mind Map Elements
Neatness 5pts
Correct Computations 5pts
Grammar/Format 5pts
Data 10pts
Total 45pts
Example