Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Component
2
Location of adaptation in S-4 research
Risk Map Adaptation
Improvement of
Impact Projection Without adaptation measures
measures
Human
Water
health
With adaptation measures
Common scenario Integrated
Development of Economic assessment Assessment
Impact Functions Climate Population
scenario scenario Proposal of economic
assessment method
Development of monetary
Integrated assessment basic unit
assessment model
GHG emissions GHG concentrations Temperature changes Impacts
20 1100 5.0 0
4.0 -5
15 900
-10
3.0
10 700 -15
2.0
-20
5 500 1.0 -25
0 300 0.0 -30
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2110
2120
2130
2140
2150
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2110
2120
2130
2140
2150
3
Key Findings of First Report (S4)
(1)Impact levels and rates of increase vary among
regions, but vulnerable regions exist for each
field.
(2)The levels of impact and rates of increase vary
among fields, but Japan will undergo
considerable impacts even with a low
temperature rise.
(3)Impacts of climate change have appeared in
various fields in recent years, so immediate
planning of adequate adaptation measures is
necessary.
4
Outline of S-8
Socioeconomic Scenario Climate Scenario
Wide-ranging
methodology
Economic analysis
evaluation
methodology
Synthetic evaluation model
evaluation
Simplified
Feedback to Feedback to
community developing countries
[Theme 2] [Theme 3]
Community-based Indices for Evaluating
Impacts Evaluation and Vulnerability and
Adaptation Adaptability
Policies in the
Community-based Asia-Pacific Region
consortium International network
Providing scientific finding to in the Asia Pacific
decision making for domestic & Region 5 5
foreign policies
Strategic Project S-8
(FY2010--FY2014) in Japan
Highly advanced methodology for
estimating global change impacts
(3) conduct two case studies (Mekong Delta and Ganges Basin) of
climate change-induced vulnerability and adaptation, and
Development of Vulnerability and Adaptability Indices
International comparison
of adaptation policy Case study in Mekong‐ Case study in Indo‐
(NIES) delta Gangetic delta
(Ibaraki University) (IGES)
Case studies in Mekong
and Indo-Ganges delta
Prioritization
Guidelines for
and finance
adaptation
for adaptation
9
Vulnerability assessment through
case study at Mekong-Delta: SS(3)
Assessment of adaptation
Field investigation GIS
(Mechanism of erosion, (Land subsidence, storm
Prioritization for adaptation etc) surge, tide level, etc)
External forces
Vulnerability
assessment =
Adaptive Sensitivity
capacity -
Socio‐economic Land use(GIS)
conditions (finance, Hard adaptation
human resource, etc) (protection,
Soft adaptation accommodation, etc)
10
SS(4): IGES
This study is designed to identify a set of adaptation
metrics to measure the effectiveness of adaptation
options to promote planned adaptation in the agriculture
sector (including irrigation) in the Ganges Basin.
11
Case study at Ganges Basin: SS(4)
Enhanced
vulnerability
Determinants
Determinants of inadequate
adaptive capacity
Net high
Economic resources impacts
Technology
Information and skills
Infrastructure Determinants of adaptive
Institutions
Equity capacity and their link with
climatic vulnerability
Reduced
vulnerability Determinants
adequate
Net low
impacts 12
SS(2): NIES
SS(2) will review contents and developing processes for
national adaptation plans and adaptation policies that
are included in national development plans in developing
countries. It will identify barriers in national and local
systems. This research group identifies assistance
options in a global system to increase the capacity of
countries to make informed decisions about how to
adapt and to transform mainstream adaptation policies
into national development plans.
Developing national
adaptation plan,
National Coordination between
local authorities
Local Implementation of
adaptation policy
University network for adaptation
SS(5): UNU
Through UN-CECAR, The following activities are carried out.
16
International Network Formation: SS(1)
(1) International network promotion. To encourage synergy among the existing
networks (UNEP, UNU, ADB, APN, etc.), SS(1) will focus on (i) collecting
information, (ii) participating in international conferences, and (iii) holding
international conferences in collaboration with other sub-components of S-
8-3.
International
Vulnerability profiling and collaborations
assessment of adaptation
•Participation in Adaptation Future
in the Asia‐Pacific region
symposium (2010), etc
SS(4) Case study •Organizing International conference
SS(3) Case study
in Indo‐Ganges •Contact with key persons in Asia‐
in Mekong delta
delta Pacific region
•Development of vulnerability and
SS(1) Feasibility SS(2) Comparison adaptability indices
on South‐South of adaptation
policies International network
collaboration
•UNEP Global climate change
adaptation network, UNFCCC, APN
etc
•UN‐CECAR(SS(5))
•Contribution to IPCC AR5, etc
Necessity of International Network
アジア・太平洋地域
における気候変動の
厳しい影響
予想される人口増加、 脆弱な島国・沿岸域
サイクロン・高潮
経済成長-脆弱性
増大の危険性
適応能力の欠如
AP地域は人口・経済成長の中心 未成熟な適応能力
• AP地域の持続可能な開発のために、気候変動への適応は重要
• 地域特性を生かしつつ、情報・経験・意欲を共有する国際ネットワーク
の強化が急務
Interrelationship among Subjects
20
Expected achievements
Methodologies for evaluating the
vulnerability and adaptability