Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Williams PDF
Williams PDF
B
ack in my professor ternet space, many of which are
days I encouraged my healthier than ever. Virtually
telecommunications every cellular operator, tier 1
students to architect Internet service provider, and
wired networks for every device portal is developing or deploy-
that didn’t move and develop a ing a wireless Internet product
wireless strategy for connecting offering.
those devices that did. Students So, jumping into a wireless
used to laugh at this advice— opportunity is the hot move,
after all, back then we struggled right? Absolutely. And the
just getting printers networked. market is a slam-dunk, right?
Recent “digital home” and “dig- Well, maybe not.
ital office” demonstration pro-
TOO SMALL TO SURF
To put WAP in context, the
Although the wireless application current play in the wireless
protocol shows great promise, to Internet market is to deliver
Internet-driven content to a
succeed it must overcome many mobile device. Unfortunately, it
inherent limitations. isn’t clear what kind of Internet-
driven content will sell to the
mobile user, who may be con-
jects by Cisco, Sun Microsys- What do you get when you fined to a six-line display only 13
tems, and others have shown, marry millions of Internet users characters long. Nevertheless,
however, that we really are on to a billion wireless users? A ideas abound. You’ll soon get
the verge of wiring pretty much wireless Internet opportunity news, messaging, banking, and
everything we can into Internet- that finally validates the mantra directory services such as yellow
capable networks. of “any device, anytime, any- pages through your mobile
Similarly, all the recent mar- where.” Leverage the wireless device. It might also link to loca-
ket enthusiasm for WAP (wire- Internet into the digital home, tion-dependent services such as
less application protocol) fore- digital automobile, and digital instant coupons and, for exam-
shadows a coming boom in net- business, and you get a prospec- ple, directions to the nearest
working wireless devices. Or tus that makes even the most Continued on page 70
does it? jaded Sand Hill Road
venture capitalist hyper-
OOZING POTENTIAL ventilate. Evolving
I won’t be coy: Wireless net- The buzz in Silicon Technologies
working has monstrous poten- Valley has been that
tial.Today,more than 300 million any research proposal In this new column, I intend to
people use mobile phones this year with the word highlight innovative technologies
worldwide, with many analysts “wireless” in it got pri- that may impact your work in the
predicting a billion users by ority funding at the big next few months. If you have ideas
2003.Throw in pagers and PDAs NASDAQ firms. Nor or would like to submit a column,
and you begin to appreciate the did the spring crash contact me at joseph.williams@
market reach wireless devices of the dot-com market sun.com. –Joseph Williams
represent—and those devices damage companies ac-
are just the tip of the iceberg. tive in the wireless In-
Finance
Device Integrators
manufacturers
User
be able to compete until carriers and subscribers into a limited WAP expe-
handset vendors migrate from their rience or by making it difficult for
current low-bandwidth 9.6-Kbps GSM them to surf the Internet.
networks to the new 114-Kbps GPRS
networks. NTT DoCoMo’s wildly suc-
cessful program in Japan does not rely
A
on WAP, but instead uses the com- m I suggesting that WAP is
pany’s proprietary i-mode technology. doomed to fail? Absolutely not.
In short, WAP remains an unproven The technology has great
technology. Even Phone.com employs potential and an excellent chance to
a proprietary technology, HDML dominate the wireless Internet market
(Handheld Device Markup Lan- for at least the next 18 to 24 months, if
guage), that does not use standardized NTT DoCoMo keeps i-mode to itself.
© Nokia Corporation 2000
WML. So the apparent wireless Inter- The wireless Internet is inevitable;
net successes are not yet WAP-related. whether WAP will emerge as the tech-
need considerable development be- nology that enables it is problematic.
fore it becomes a fully developed stan- BARBED-WIRELESS FENCES Just as it did with the dot-coms, the
dard. Dominated by members from WAP’s ultimate problem may be market will eventually demand that
Nokia, Ericsson, and Phone.com, the that the technology’s champions seem WAP-oriented startups produce prof-
WAP Forum’s leadership (http://www. committed to locking their sub- itable results. It’s unlikely that WAP
wapforum.org/), while capable, pur- scribers into WAP gateways that only will be given much time to produce
sues industry agendas that some have provide a vendor-selected set of ser- these profits, especially if competing
criticized for being too self-interested. vices. All WAP-enabled handsets and complementary technologies like
come with a carrier-defined IP ad- mobile IP and Java-enabled phones
WIRELESS ≠ WAP dress for their WAP gateway. Most of swiftly displace it. ■
What about all the mobile users in these handsets allow for a second pro-
Europe and Asia? Aren’t they living grammable IP address for a WAP
proof that WAP flourishes? Actually, gateway, but this second IP address is
no. European mobile users currently often either unavailable to the sub-
use SMS (short messaging service) scriber or difficult to program in.
services that do not rely on WAP. AOL once tried to isolate its users Joseph Williams is Practice Manager,
Europe generates two billion SMS from accessing the Internet, which Americas, for Sun Microsystems’ Ad-
messages monthly, which shows the proved to be a poor strategic move vanced Internet Practice group. The-
wireless-messaging market’s undeni- because customers demanded the information presented here represents
able potential. However,WAP has yet freedom to surf outside AOL’s sand- the author’s opinions and not those
to establish itself in that market. box. Thus, it’s doubtful that cellular of Sun Microsystems Inc. Contact
Many now believe that WAP won’t carriers will succeed by locking their Williams at joseph.williams@sun.com.