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Grootvlei was commissioned between 1969 and 1977 (6 units x 200 MW at an efficiency of 32.9%); it was mothballed in 1989
Komati was commissioned between 1961 and 1966; mothballed between 1987 and 1990; 6 of 9 units recommissioned by 2012
Arnot fully operational by 1975 after build started in 1965; 6 x 350 MW units; 3 units mothballed in 1992; Recommissioned by
Medupi Construction started in 2007, with first two units expected online in 2013;
https://it-online.co.za/2018/10/11/medupi-unit-2-comes-on-line/ "8 months ahead of schedule for unit 2", which according t
https://www.energymixreport.com/kusile-power-stations-unit-3-in-operation-8-months-ahead-of-schedule-eskom/ "Kusile's u
Kusile's unit 3 Synchronised in April 2019, and is expected to reach full commercial operation in November 2019
Ingula construction began in 2005
The blue line shows when electricity was meant to be on stream according to original forecasts at time of proje
The orange line shows actual completion
Eskom Electricity Coming Online In
The blue line shows when electricity was meant to be on stream according to original forecasts at time of proje
The orange line shows actual completion
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
Grootvlei
2000 Estimated 2006
Actual 2010
0
2006 2007 2008 2009
800
1588
338
ency of 32.9%); it was mothballed in 1989 and 1990; it was meant to return to service in 2006 for peaking power; 3 units were completed i
1990; 6 of 9 units recommissioned by 2012; 5 x 100 MW units; 4 x 125 MW units; Efficiency 30%
mothballed in 1992; Recommissioned by 1998; Efficiency 35.6%.
of schedule for unit 2", which according to Eskom's baseline should have been online in 2015 and actually came online in 2018
nths-ahead-of-schedule-eskom/ "Kusile's unit 3 8 months ahead of schedule; 4 years behind baseline of 2015!
peration in November 2019
4
2
skom Electricity Coming Online In Years: Baseline vs Actual (years are financial years, ie June to July)Spreadshe
Eskom New Build - Real Cost to the Economy - Grootvlei, Ingula, Medupi, Kusile
By David Lipschitz, 17th September 2019
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
800 800 800 800 2726
0 800 800 800 800
Nominal Watts 40 GW
watts available 28,000,000,000 186,412,800,000 kWh at 76% efficiency
turnover 179,000,000,000 0.9602344903 Eskom Average Selling Price
65 65 65 65 65
419,078,400,000 419,078,400,000 419,078,400,000 419,078,400,000 1,428,009,648,000
- 218,649,600,000 218,649,600,000 218,649,600,000 218,649,600,000
419,078,400,000 200,428,800,000 200,428,800,000 200,428,800,000 1,209,360,048,000
54,662,400,000 26,142,886,957 26,142,886,957 26,142,886,957 157,742,614,957
1 2 1
1 2 2
2 1 2 1
1 1
3
3 1
ars, ie June to July)Spreadsheet by David Lipschitz, 8th July 2019 11,716 MW of new build should have been c
ars, ie June to July)Spreadsheet by David Lipschitz, 8th July 2019 11,716 MW of new build should have been c
2022 Forecast
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW
2015
Medupi: 2 units = 1,588 MW
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW
2014 Baseline
Medupi: 1 unit = 794 MW
Kusile: 2 units = 1,600 MW
Ingula: 3 units = 1,014 MW
2016 Actual:
Medupi: 1 unit =
2013 Baseline (Original Forecast) Ingula: 3 units = 1
Medupi: 2 units = 1,588 MW
Ingula: 1 unit = 388
2015 Actual
Medupi: 1 unit = 794 MW
65 65 65 65 65
3,213,283,632,000 4,464,232,656,000 5,718,324,768,000 6,137,403,168,000 6,137,403,168,000
218,649,600,000 435,659,328,000 931,447,296,000 1,457,846,208,000 2,110,515,264,000
2,994,634,032,000 4,028,573,328,000 4,786,877,472,000 4,679,556,960,000 4,026,887,904,000
390,604,438,957 525,466,086,261 624,375,322,435 610,376,994,783 525,246,248,348
794
1 1 1 1
build should have been completed by 2017Current expectations are completion by 2020
build should have been completed by 2017Current expectations are completion by 2020
2017 Baseline
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW (Kusile meant to be complete)
6 Baseline
dupi: 1 unit = 794 MW (Medupi meant to be complete)
le: 2 units = 1,600 MW
2019 Forecast
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW
2018 Actual
Medupi: 2 units = 1,588 MW
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW
2017 Actual
Medup:i 2 units = 1,588 MW
Ingula: 1 unit = 388 MW
2016 Actual:
Medupi: 1 unit = 794 MW
Ingula: 3 units = 1,104 MW
65 65 65 65
6,137,403,168,000 6,137,403,168,000 6,137,403,168,000 6,137,403,168,000
2,329,164,864,000 2,764,824,192,000 2,983,473,792,000 3,202,123,392,000
3,808,238,304,000 3,372,578,976,000 3,153,929,376,000 2,935,279,776,000
496,726,735,304 439,901,605,565 411,382,092,522 382,862,579,478
2020 Forecast
Medupi: 1 unit = 794 MW
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW
2019 Forecast
Kusile: 1 unit = 800 MW
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0