Historical Supply:

Y X XY X2 BX A YC
2015 13,759 -1 -13,759 1 -4,169 14,414 10,245
2016 14,414 1 14,414 1 4,169 14,414 18,583
2017 15,069 3 45,207 9 12,507 14,414 26,921
43,242 3 45,862 11

Final H:S
2015 2016
4,032/13,759 4,224/14,414
X 10,245 = 3,002 x 18,583 =5,446

4,637/13,759 4,858/14,414
X 10,245 =3,453 x 18,583 =6,263

5,090/13,759 5,332/14,414
X 10,245 =3790 x 18,583 =6,874
10,245 18,583

2016
4,416/15,069
X 26,921 =7,889

5,079/13,069
X 26,921 =9,074

5,574/15,069
X 26,921 =9,958
26,921
Competitors Product Months % 2015 2016 2017
per
week
1 80 12/30 day 5% 4,032 4,224 4,416
2 92 12/360 day 5% 4,637 4,858 5,079
3 101 12/360 day 5% 5,090 5,332 5,574
13,759 14,414 13,069

Projected 10%
(Base Year)
2017
16,016 x .1 = 1,602 + 16,016 = 17,618
2018
17,618 x .1 = 1,762 + 17,618 = 19,380
2019
19,380 x .1 = 1,938 + 19,380 = 21,318

Projected Demand
2017 = 163 x 4 x 12 = 20.68 x 17,618 = 364,340
390
2018 = x 19,380 = 400,778
2019 = x 21,318 = 440, 856

Historical Demand

Y X XY X2 Bx A Yc
15,702 -1 -15,702 1 -4,382 15,871 11,489
15,859 1 15,859 1 -4,382 15,871 20,253
16,016 3 48,048 9 13,146 15,871 29,017
47,613 3 48,205 11
Total Demand:
2016 = 163 x 4 x 12 = 20.06 x 15,702 = 314,918
390
2015 = 20.06 x 15,859 = 318,132
= 20.06 x = 321,281

Purchase:
2015 = 314,982 = 26,249
12
2016 = 318,132 = 26,511
12
2017 = 321,281 = 26,773
12