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Thesis (2505)
Thesis (2505)
by
Ammara Akram
Declaration of Originality
I hereby declare that the work contained in this thesis and the intellectual content of this
thesis are the product of my own work. This thesis has not been previously published
in any form nor does it contain any verbatim of the published resources which could be
treated as infringement of the international copyright law.
I also declare that I do understand the terms ‘copyright’ and ‘plagiarism,’ and
that in case of any copyright violation or plagiarism found in this work, I will be held
fully responsible of the consequences of any such violation.
Signature:
Date:
Place: KINPOE
iv
Certificate of Approval
Ammara Akram
under our supervision and that in our opinion, it is fully adequate, in scope and
quality, for the degree of MS Nuclear Power Engineering
Approved:
Signature: __________________________
Supervisor: Dr. Abdul Rehman Abbasi, PE
Signature: ________________________
Co-Supervisor: Dr. Qamar Saeed, DCE
Verified:
Signature: ________________________________
Director, Karachi Institute of Power Engineering
v
Dedication
This research work is dedicated to my parents who have always supported me
since the beginning of my studies. Thank you for your unconditional support
with my studies. Thank you for providing me with a chance to prove and improve
myself through all walks of life.
vi
Acknowledgement
First, I thank Almighty Allah, who gave me the strength and the endurance to go
through the most challenging yet the most important period of my academic career and
allowed me to complete this project and this report. I am also very much thankful to my
supervisor Dr. Abdul Rehman Abbasi, PE, who helped me in every phase of this project.
Above all, profoundest thanks to my dear parents whose utmost devotion, love,
cooperation and commitment were the major essence in making my project a success.
May God bless them all. Ameen.
Ammara Akram
vii
Contents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ...................................................................................................................VI
CONTENTS ........................................................................................................................................ VII
LIST OF FIGURES .............................................................................................................................IX
LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................................ X
ABSTRACT ..........................................................................................................................................XI
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................... 1
1.1 PROBLEM STATEMENT ................................................................................................................ 1
1.2 OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................................ 2
1.3 METHODOLOGY .......................................................................................................................... 2
1.4 IMPORTANCE OF THE PROJECT .................................................................................................... 2
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................... 4
2.1 SAFETY AND RELIABILITY OF NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS ........................................................... 4
2.2 NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS OPERATING EXPERIENCE WITH CIRCUIT BREAKERS ......................... 5
2.3 CIRCUIT BREAKERS .................................................................................................................... 5
2.4 FUNDAMENTALS OF HIGH VOLTAGE CIRCUIT BREAKERS........................................................... 6
2.4.1 Functions and Components of HV Circuit-Breakers ........................................................ 6
2.4.2 Arc Interruption ................................................................................................................ 8
2.5 CIRCUIT-BREAKER CLASSIFICATION .......................................................................................... 9
2.5.1 Circuit-breaker types by voltage class: ........................................................................... 10
2.5.2 Circuit-breaker types by installation: .............................................................................. 10
2.5.3 Circuit-breaker types by external design: ....................................................................... 10
2.5.4 Circuit-breaker types by interrupting medium: .............................................................. 12
2.5.5 Circuit-breaker types by operation: ................................................................................ 12
2.6 TYPES OF CIRCUIT-BREAKERS .................................................................................................. 12
2.6.1 Oil Circuit-Breakers ....................................................................................................... 12
2.6.2 Air-Blast Circuit-Breakers .............................................................................................. 14
2.6.3 Vacuum Circuit-Breakers ............................................................................................... 15
2.6.4 SF6 Circuit-Breakers ...................................................................................................... 16
2.7 MAINTENANCE METHODS OF CIRCUIT BREAKER...................................................................... 19
CHAPTER 3 FAILURES, TESTING AND ADJUSTMENTS ................................................... 21
3.1 TOP FAILURES OF CIRCUIT BREAKERS AND CAUSES................................................................. 21
3.1.1 Loose Connections ......................................................................................................... 21
3.1.2 Insulation Breakdown ..................................................................................................... 22
3.1.3 Moisture Intrusion .......................................................................................................... 24
3.1.4 Breaker Raking ............................................................................................................... 24
3.1.5 Faulty Ground Fault Protection ...................................................................................... 25
3.2 BASIC MAINTENANCE ACTIONS OF CIRCUIT BREAKERS ........................................................... 25
viii
List of Figures
FIGURE 2-1 THE PLASMA CHANNEL OF ELECTRIC ARC [9] ......................................................................... 9
FIGURE 2-2 THE POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION ALONG AN ARC CHANNEL ...................................................... 9
FIGURE 2-3 DEAD TANK CIRCUIT-BREAKER (SOURCE: MANITOBA, CANADA) ........................................ 11
FIGURE 2-4 LIVE TANK CIRCUIT-BREAKER (SOURCE: ABB AG, SWITZERLAND ..................................... 11
FIGURE 2-5 BULK OIL CIRCUIT-BREAKER (SOURCE: ALLIS CHALMERS LTD.) ......................................... 13
FIGURE 2-6 AIR BLAST DIRECTION: (A) AXIAL DIRECTION, (B) CROSS DIRECTION ................................... 14
FIGURE 2-7 AIR-BLAST CIRCUIT-BREAKER (SOURCE: STRATHAVEN SUBSTATION, LANARKSHIRE) ......... 15
FIGURE 2-8 CONTACTS OF VACUUM CIRCUIT-BREAKER [12] ................................................................... 16
FIGURE 2-9 ARC INTERRUPTION PRINCIPLE OF SELF-BLAST CIRCUIT-BREAKERS SOURCE: (SIEMENS) .. 18
FIGURE 3-1 INFRARED DETECTION OF HEAT GENERATION FROM A LOOSE CONNECTION ON TOP WIRE [8]22
FIGURE 3-2 LOCALIZED PARTIAL DISCHARGE FAILURE AT TERMINATION [9].......................................... 23
FIGURE 3-3 GOOD INSULATION (TOP LEFT) WITH HYDROPHILIC SURFACES WORSEN PROGRESSIVELY .... 24
FIGURE 3-4 SEVERE BREAKER DAMAGE CAUSED BY IMPROPER RACK-IN OPERATION [10] ..................... 25
FIGURE 4-1 CAUSES OF MAJOR FAILURES OF HV SINGLE PRESSURE SF6 CIRCUIT-BREAKERS................. 30
FIGURE 4-2 CAUSES OF MINOR FAILURES OF HV SINGLE PRESSURE SF6 CIRCUIT-BREAKERS ................. 30
FIGURE 4-3 CAUSES OF MAJOR FAILURES IN GIS [13] ............................................................................ 31
FIGURE 4-4 DISTRIBUTION OF CAUSES OF FAILURES OF SF6 AND MINIMUM OIL CIRCUIT BREAKERS WITH
HYDRAULIC ACTUATORS [14] ........................................................................................................ 32
FIGURE 4-5 DISTRIBUTION OF CAUSES OF FAILURES OF SF6 AND MINIMUM OIL CIRCUIT BREAKERS WITH
MECHANICAL ACTUATORS [14] ...................................................................................................... 32
FIGURE 4-6 DISTRIBUTION OF CONTROL CIRCUIT FAILURES BY COMPONENT FOR SF6 CIRCUIT-BREAKERS
[15]. .............................................................................................................................................. 32
FIGURE 5-1 METHODOLOGY OF AGING FAILURE MODEL DEVELOPMENT AND SUBSTATION RELIABILITY
ASSESSMENT .................................................................................................................................. 35
List of Tables
TABLE 2-1 CLASSIFICATION OF CIRCUIT BREAKERS BASED ON DIFFERENT.............................................. 10
TABLE 2-2 OVERVIEW OF MAINTENANCE STRATEGIES ............................................................................ 20
TABLE 3-1 MAIN COMPONENT, FAILURE MODES, INSPECTION TESTS AND MAINTENANCE OF CIRCUIT
BREAKERS...................................................................................................................................... 27
TABLE 5-1 LOWER AND UPPER LIMITS OF CLOSING ACTION TIMES ....................................................... 38
TABLE 5-2 LOWER AND UPPER LIMITS OF INSULATION PARAMETERS .................................................... 38
TABLE 7-1 LOADS SUPPLIED BY THE SUBSTATION ................................................................................... 49
TABLE 7-2 CONDITION MONITORING DATA OF CBS ................................................................................. 49
TABLE 7-3 NORMALIZED CONDITION DATA, OVERALL CONDITION INDICES AND WEAR-OUT INDICES OF
THE CBS ........................................................................................................................................ 50
TABLE 7-4 NATURAL AGES, FUNCTIONAL AGES AND WEAR-OUT INDICES AND AGING FAILURE RATES OF
THE CBS ........................................................................................................................................ 51
TABLE 7-5 RELIABILITY DATA OF COMPONENTS NOT CONSIDERING AGING FAILURES ............................ 51
TABLE 7-6 RELIABILITY DATA OF COMPONENTS CONSIDERING AGING FAILURES .................................... 52
TABLE 7-7 EENS CONTRIBUTION DUE TO THE AGING FAILURE OF EACH CB (MWH/YEAR) .................... 52
TABLE 7-8 ESTIMATED DAMAGE COST ................................................................................................... 54
xi
Abstract
High voltage circuit breakers play a key role in safe, reliable and effective performance
of power system. High voltage circuit breakers (CBs) in nuclear power plants (NPPs)
are one of the costly equipment and their importance can never be underestimated. They
play key role in exporting and importing electric power. So, their maintenance should
be carried out periodically and when it is necessary. Otherwise, their inadvertent
operation may result in huge revenue loss of NPPs and may also jeopardize safety of
power system. Sulphur hexa-fluoride (SF6) circuit breakers are the most common type
of circuit breakers which are being used for protection of high voltage systems. Several
maintenance strategies for maintenance of high voltage CBs are available i.e,
predictive, preventive and corrective maintenance. Condition based monitoring (CBM)
which is a sub category of predictive maintenance have gained huge importance
recently due to its advance features. This research explores several condition based
monitoring models for High voltage CBs at NPPs and suggest suitable model for
carrying out effective maintenance. This research work presents a circuit breaker (CB)
aging failure model based on condition based monitoring. This model is further inserted
into a basic Markov model of CB and substation reliability is assessed through it. This
model successfully incorporates wear-out status and functional age of high voltage
circuit breakers installed at 11kv substation. The results obtained by applying the
proposed model suggest that due to incorporation of ageing failures, 29000 $/year
(approximate value for most critical circuit breaker at given substation) can be saved.
1
Introduction
Safety and reliability are the terms associated with Nuclear Power Plants. Efforts are
being made to maintain supply to safety systems for its safe and reliable operation. The
supply to safety systems is made possible through electrical equipment like circuit
breakers which play its part in protection of circuit. Being most important component
of protection and control apparatus, greatly influence the system’s reliability and need
special maintenance attention. The service interruption and down times are not tolerable
especially for the Nuclear power plants. For NPPs, supply to safety systems is provided
by any means and any cost. Here maintenance of circuit breakers is a critical issue to
ensure system availability. Also it is required to improve the reliability and efficiency
of the system to survive in competitive industrial market. The reliability and availability
can only be improved by avoiding the abnormal and faulty situations and if such
conditions occur, may not persist longer and are cleared as soon as possible. Scheduled
and planned maintenance procedures may reduce failures by increasing components
life time. But probabilistic maintenance models may be too costly with the little
maintenance results. So cost benefit analysis is desirable to arrive at an optimal
maintenance strategy selection.
At NPPs, (KANUPP and CNPGS), ample number high voltage breakers are there,
and so are the maintenance issues. Goal is to propose suitable condition based
monitoring model to reduce maintenance cost and prevent operation failure of
components by extending their lifetime and increased availability. To develop a highly
desired CBM approach including the effects of maintenance on reliability that ensures
smooth and economic operation.
2
1.2 Objectives
1. Detailed study and inspection of various maintenance strategies of HV circuit
breakers (preferably at KANUPP and CNPGS).
4. Proposing the suitable model by comparison of results and cost benefit analysis.
1.3 Methodology
The objectives are met via developing the aging failure model with the methodology as
mentioned below,
Study of the literature relevant to HV circuit breaker maintenance techniques
and possible modes of failure
Identification of the problem from the studied literature.
Statistical and in-House data collection for the adopted methodology.
Assessing condition monitoring parameters and their boundary values for high
voltage circuit breakers.
Calculations of wear-out indices and related parameters and Model
development
Incorporating aging failures of breakers in facility’s reliability assessment via
Markov model.
Assessing estimated energy not supplied due to breaker failures.
Cost benefit analysis (estimated damage cost calculations) by comparing the
results.
Sensitivity Analysis framework for reliability enhancement of circuit breakers
at Nuclear Power Plants.
Literature Review
engineering application tries to explore what causes an equipment to fail and helps
designers and operators to find ways to eliminate these causes. Different statistical
approaches have been developed to evaluate the reliability of nuclear power plants and
suggest means to enhance the plant safety and reliability. The RAMS (Reliability,
Availability, Maintenance, and Safety) Analysis economizes maintenance cost
minimizing the no of forced outages.
breakers are resettable and once tripped due to an over load condition or short circuit,
the unit can be reset back to normal operation. Circuit breakers are in various sizes
protecting low currents residential appliances to large high voltage switch gears.
4. Operating mechanism
5. Control and auxiliary function
1. Insulation:
The electric insulation of HV CBs is done by a combination of dielectric materials
comprising gaseous, liquid and solids. The failure of insulation of CB may result into
flashover between phases, to ground or across the opening poles which may result in
major repair or replacement. In order to avoid such failures, insulation must be well
maintained and properly monitored. For instance, the quantity of insulating media must
be monitored continuously; the quality of insulation must be checked periodically by
diagnostic techniques and the insulation distance should be properly monitored using
visual inspection and position transducers.
2. Current carrying:
Current carrying parts of CBs are significant components because they assure the
flowing of current when it is in closed position. Failure of these parts may result in
catastrophic events such as severe deterioration of the insulation system and contact
welding. However, it is found that contact degradation process takes several years until
it reaches the final states. Practically, periodic diagnostic testing prevents the most
contact problems. The current carrying testing techniques can be carried out by
monitoring or diagnostic testing of contact resistance, load current, temperature of
contacts and contents of gas decomposition.
3. Switching:
During operations of HV circuit-breakers, they may be subject to electrical, mechanical
and thermal stresses. It is required that HV CBs should be able to make and break large
amounts of power without any failure. The parameters that are used to diagnose and
monitor switching consist of position of primary contacts, operating time, contact travel
characteristics, arcing time, arcing contact wear and pole discrepancy in operating
times. Most widely used parameters in periodic testing, in order to investigate the
contact movement are the contact travel characteristics.
4. Operating mechanism:
The operating mechanism part is used to move contacts from open to closed position or
vice versa. The operating mechanism failures may account for a large proportion of
total HV circuit-breakers failures. For instance, leakage of oil and gas in the pneumatic
8
and hydraulic systems is very common but that can be handled without any interruption
in the system. On the other hand, shafts, springs and rods breakdown can lead to serious
failures which results in interruption of systems.
5. Control and auxiliary functions:
Control and auxiliary components are the parts which are controlled by 110-220 volts
D.C. The signal is sent to the coil to open a valve or move a latch which leads to release
of energy a mechanical drive. The control and auxiliary parts which are composed of
electrical circuits and values or latches may be exposed to failures which are relatively
frequent as per reliability surveys. Typical failures in such parts are failing to close or
open on demand as well as delayed operation. Coil voltages, current, circuit continuity,
status of auxiliary switches and the environment of the control cabinet are the
parameters that relate to control and auxiliary systems which must be properly
monitored.
The voltage drop near cathode region is around 10-25 volts normally, while near anode,
the voltage drop is around 5-10 volts. The voltage drop in the arc column depends on
the type of gas or dielectric medium used, the magnitude of arc current, gas pressure
and the length of column.
Current Type Rated Voltage Type Service Type Operating Mechanism Arching Media
AC DC
𝑆𝐹6 C.B
Indoor Outdoor
Air C.B
Vacuum C.B
shown in Fig. 2.3. These circuit-breaker are widely used in the United States. Live tank
circuit-breakers are circuit-breakers which are equipped with the interrupters above the
ground level, as shown in Fig. 2.4. Their interrupters do have the potential.
Dead type circuit breakers are usually used in areas/countries which are geographically
located where there is increased probability of earthquakes.
to handle. Oil circuit-breakers are divided according to methods of arc interruption into
two types: bulk oil and minimum oil type circuit breakers.
Figure 2-6 Air blast direction: (a) axial direction, (b) cross direction
breakers (VCBs) is different from other types of circuit-breakers. The arc extinguishing
process is controlled by a metal surface phenomenon when their contacts part away. In
other words, the arc is not extinguished by a dielectric medium but through the metal
vapor. The vacuum arc can be cooled down through a magnetic field by which arc
moves over the contact surfaces. For this purpose, the contacts are manufactured with
spiral segments as shown in Fig. 2.8. This technique also prevents contact erosion.
Nowadays, vacuum circuit-breakers are mostly predominant in medium voltage levels.
VCBs also considered as maintenance-free circuit-breakers because of their simple and
reliable design.
High dielectric strength. For instance, SF6 gas at absolute pressure has dielectric
strength double of air and at 3 bar it is in comparison to oil.
High thermal conduction and short thermal time constant which is 1000 times
shorter than air which results in better arc quenching.
It has low arc voltage characteristic that results in reduced arc-removal energy.
17
extinguished. This type of circuit-breaker is normally used in high voltage levels which
are up to 123 kV. The interruption principle and its structure are shown in Fig. 2.9.
At present, SF6 circuit-breakers are mainly used in high voltage levels with the high
short circuit capability up to 63 kA. They are used as dead tank circuit-breakers, live
tank circuit-breakers and in gas insulated substation (GIS).
Circuit breakers require special maintenance and monitoring for their proper operation
as lack of maintenance can cause equipment damage and service interruption if a
breaker fails to clear fault. But the need of maintenance is often not obvious as circuit
Breaker may not show any obvious signs of degradation leading to sudden and
catastrophic failures. Probable cause of breaker failure are:
Internal mechanisms jammed due to girt, dust etc.
Internal mechanisms jammed due to corrosion.
Internal mechanisms worn at pivots and latches.
Contacts Welded due to excessive current / voltage or reduction in contact
force.
Excessive Sparking and arching due to inductive loads and unsuitability of the
design for such loads.
Bad contacts between connecting wires and breaker terminals.
Breaker Failure is associated with the heavy cost replacement without maintenance.
So proper maintenance inspection and scheduling is required keeping in view the
importance of circuit breakers in power networks and especially for nuclear power plant
systems. But the maintenance procedures are costly and so an optimization of the
maintenance is the need of hour .Also because of the cost considerations there are
different practices being followed by industry. Maintenance strategies are broadly
classified as preventive, condition based and reliability-centered maintenance. The
purpose of maintenance activity is to reduce sudden outages, increased availability and
extending components life in a cost effective way .But for the power system equipment,
it is very challenging task to develop an optimal maintenance strategy. A brief review
20
of these maintenance strategies is given in the Error! Reference source not found.
below,
Preventive Maintenance
Actions performed on a time- or machine-run-based schedule
aim of sustaining or extending its useful life through controlling
Maintenance degradation to an acceptable level
voltage and this is the reason why medium voltage circuit breakers insulation system is
more complex. Overstressing causes an initial failure over a small region of insulation
but with the time it escalates leading to a complete failure. There are a number of areas
with the insulation breakdown problems. In circuit breakers 21 percent of breaker
failures are due to insulation breakdown problems. Terminations can lead to localized
partial insulation breakdown failure as shown in Error! Reference source not found.
below,
Figure 3-3 Good insulation (Top left) with hydrophilic surfaces worsen progressively
(lower right) [8]
Suggested Remedy
Partial Discharge test is suggested to prevent moisture- related insulation faults in
longer run. Infrared cameras can monitor abnormal heating spots from corroded
connections.
3.1.4 Breaker Raking
Raking in circuit breaker may cause severe personal injuries and death along with
equipment damage when the bus is energized and breaker is in close position.
25
Figure 3-4 Severe breaker damage caused by Improper Rack-in operation [8]
Breaker may also face other complexities in raking operation and may not line
up properly and other such problems. These problems may lead to catastrophic failures.
Traditional act of manual breaker racking by personnel is a danger to the one itself.
Suggested Remedy
Remote circuit breaker racking device is suggested to be installed for ensuring
personnel safety. Proper service and inspection of cell components is suggested. Also
make sure the proper functionality of all mechanical and electrical interlocks.
Suggested Remedy
The problem is required to be solved by manual testing the ground fault protection
system by current injection. Attention must be provided in proper installing of
equipment. Verification of the appropriate neutral and ground connections and proper
sensors location for the proper detection of fault current.
actions for any type of circuit breaker, considered and suggested are summarized as
[11]:
Operating Mechanism
Contacts
A summary of Circuit breakers main components, failure modes, and inspection test
and maintenance actions is described in the Error! Reference source not found. below
[11],
27
Table 3-1 Main component, failure modes, inspection tests and maintenance of circuit breakers
Comparison Aspect Circuit breakers
These statistics can be further used as a guideline for the selection of components and
parameters to be monitored.
Table 4.1 shows major and minor failures and their causes [12]. A complete failure of
a circuit-breaker is the called to be major failure which results in losing of one or more
of its fundamental functions. This major failure will result in an immediate change on
the conditions of operating system, or in mandatory removal of the circuit-breaker from
service for non-scheduled maintenance. Other than this failure, remaining are
considered as a minor failure. In the Figure 4-1, we can see only 7% of major failures
are due to the leakage of SF6 gas. On the other hand, in Figure 4-2, 40% of minor
failures originate in the SF6 gas insulation systems.
Gas-insulated systems (GIS) are in service for about 40 years, and are proved to be
highly reliable. However, some in-service failures of circuit breakers are considered
because of GIS defects. Figure 2 shows the distribution of the main failure causes in
GIS. Assuming the sufficient use of sensitive partial discharge (PD) in detection
system, failures are due to foreign particles and moisture (about 27% of the total) could
have been predicted. Figure 3 shows that circuit breakers that are using hydraulic
actuators suffer significantly from motor current, their storage position and level of oil,
and oil leakage problems. A very high percentage of such failures can be detected
visually, leading to the conclusion that periodic visual inspection is very efficient
monitoring method for circuit breakers. On the other hand, the most efficient diagnostic
parameters for SF6 and minimum oil circuit breakers using mechanical actuators are
mechanical operation (including contact position, damping etc.), oil leakage and visual
observation (Figure 4-3).
Figure 4-4 Distribution of causes of failures of SF6 and minimum oil circuit breakers
with hydraulic actuators [14]
Figure 4-5 Distribution of causes of failures of SF6 and minimum oil circuit
breakers with mechanical actuators [14]
A survey [15] has shown that major failures occurs by almost 100% of coil failures.
Major components can also be fail by auxiliary switch failures, caused by mechanical
maladjustment or environmental effects. Faulty signaling can give result in spurious
minor failures and improper operation of the other network equipment. Relays highly
contribute to overall failure of the control system, often due to a hostile control cabinet
environment. Most failures are related to relay hardware, e.g., contact problems. Energy
sensors include two main problem components, the one is pressure gauges of the
hydraulic actuators and the other is limit switches of the mechanical actuator’s spring.
Wiring defects can also cause a minor problem.
34
used and hence on its actual health condition. It is not necessarily true that an
older CB in terms of age have a higher aging failure rate than a younger CB.
The model presented in this paper helps to overcome this demerit based on
condition monitoring measurements.
The proposed CB aging failure model is integrated in a basic Markov reliability
model of a CB to capture the aging failure effect in substation reliability
evaluation. If conventional method of substation reliability evaluation that
does not account the CB aging process, integrating the aging failure
considerations provide the results closer to reality and can be used to avoid
underestimation of the substation configuration unreliability which can results
into imprecise planning or maintenance decisions.
Figure 5-1 Methodology of aging failure model development and substation reliability assessment
36
The research work is structured as follows. Chapter 5 includes the CB aging failure
model based on condition monitoring. Chapter 6 includes the method used to integrate
the process of aging of CB in substation reliability evaluation. Chapter 7 includes a case
study based on an actual substation layout. Section V includes conclusions.
There are two characteristics on the basis of which wearing status of a CB can be
evaluated.
Mechanical performance
Insulation condition
The aging condition of the CB can be objectively assessed by obtaining these two
characteristics. For obtaining these characteristics parameter measurement through
sensors are done. Aging failure model formation process consists of two steps: first,
a wear-out index showing the aging status is formed by using condition monitoring
measurements; second, on quantitative basis this index is related to the aging failure
rate, which represents the functional age of each single CB.
connections a and b are changed. The time points obtained from the waveform of
the direct current passing through the electromagnet coil and the voltage jump
points of emergency connections, which represent the state of a CB, are shown in
Figs. 5.1 and 5.2, respectively.
Closing operation initiation time is represented as t1; t2 is the time at which the coil
picks up the current; t3 is the time at which the coil after saturation dips the current,
showing that the iron core has fulfilled its purpose and started to slow down; the coil
current drops off at time t4; the time at which contact is closed is t5, and t6 is the time at
which contact is closed. Typical boundary values of t2, t3, t4, t5 and t6 are presented in
Table 5.1 [29].
The aging failure and the insulation status of CB are closely related. Gas is the arc-
extinguishing medium with stable chemical properties, high arc-extinguishing
properties and good dielectric power to protect the connections from catching fire,
based on reliable performance. Sulphur hexafluoride abbreviated as SF6 is a chemical
substance chiefly served as insulation medium in circuit breakers. However, the
presence of moisture will slow down the performance of the insulation medium [26].
38
The arc-extinguishing properties are closely related to the gas pressure. CB cannot
extinguish an arc properly if the gas pressure is not sufficient. For the representation of
the insulation status the quantity of moisture and the gas pressure are used as condition
monitoring parameter.
The typical boundary values based on the specifications of manufacturers in China for
moisture and gas pressure are shown in Table 5.2.
t3 9.8 16.4
t4 26.0 43.4
t5 49.9 67.5
t6 62.0 75.8
𝑸 = ∑𝑵
𝒊=𝟏 𝑾𝒊 𝑪𝒊 (3)
If there is at least one parameter present Ci < CR, the complete condition index is
defined by
𝑸 = ∑𝑴
𝒊=𝟏 𝑾𝒊 𝑪𝒊 (4)
here N represents the number of all normalized parameters; M denotes the number of
normalized parameters Ci that are smaller than the limit CR; and 𝑊𝑖 represents the
weighting factor showing the relative significance of the parameters. N is always a fixed
number, whereas M varies with the observed data. 𝑊𝑖 surely meet ∑𝑁
𝑖=1 𝑊𝑖 𝐶𝑖 = 1 or
∑𝑀
𝑖=1 𝑊𝑖 𝐶𝑖 = 1. There is no literature founded on the monitoring parameter that is more
significant than the others. The case study of this report represents that all the monitored
parameters (t2, t3, t4, t5, t6, pressure and moisture) are equally significant and have the
same weight so that 𝑊𝑖 = 1/N in (3) and 𝑊𝑖 = 1/M in (4).
It can be observed from the definitions that the overall condition index is the average
of all the normalized parameters. All conditions shown by the observed parameters are
in the normal state, whereas it is obtained by taking the average of the abnormal
normalized parameters when one observed parameter should be in an abnormal state.
When there is only one abnormal parameter, the overall condition index is just an
abnormal parameter.
The wear-out index from calculations is defined by
WI= 𝟏 − 𝑸 (5)
here Q is the overall condition index. If WI is also a value without units and lies between
0.0 and 1.0.The value 1.0 represents the unfavorable wear-out condition, whereas 0.0
represents the prime condition.
5.2.3 Aging Failure Rate Model
Results obtained from different experiments and investigations depict that there is an
approximate exponential function relationship among the degree of polymerization
(i.e., observed condition parameter) and the aging process [32]. It is therefore
concluded that the index WI (which is obtained from the normalized monitored
condition parameters) and the CB operating time (age) follow an approximate
exponential function relationship, named as
𝑾𝑰 = 𝑨𝒆𝑩𝒕𝒇 + 𝑫 (6)
41
Here WI represents wear-out index, tf represents the age of the CB, and A, B, and D are
represented as three coefficients, and can be accounted by a nonlinear parameter
estimation method from the values obtained from observed condition parameter
measurements and the ages of a group of the same category of CB historical statistical
data. After these coefficients are accounted, the index for a specific CB observed at the
present time or at a time point in the future can be used to evaluate the age of the CB
correlate to that time point by
𝟏 (𝑾𝑰−𝑫)
𝒕𝒇 = 𝑩 𝒍𝒏 (7)
𝑨
The age of CB is calculated by equation (7). The measured index WI represents the
actual wear-out state of the CB so it generally varies from it actual age. When the value
of calculated tf comes out greater than its actual age, it means worn out rate of CB is
faster than the natural age. If the value of calculated tf is comes out smaller as compared
to the natural age, it shows that it worn out at slow pace than the natural age. The
functional age of the specific CB is the calculated value of tf. The monitored WI index
shows the wearing condition of CB.
The modeling of aging failure can be done by using A Weibull distribution. [7],[8],[18].
The definition of the Weibull distribution is defined as the cumulative failure
probability distribution function and failure rate for aging wear out are calculated as
follows:
𝒕𝒇 𝜷
𝑭𝒂 (𝒕𝒇) = 𝟏 − 𝒆− ( 𝜼 ) (8)
𝜷 𝒕𝒇 𝜷−𝟏
𝝀𝒂𝒈 (𝒕𝒇) = 𝜼 ( 𝜼 ) (9)
here tf represents the age; 𝛽 represents the shape parameter; and 𝜂 represents the scale
parameter. The method of finding the shape parameter 𝛽 and the scale parameter 𝜂
using Weibull distribution can be recapitulate as follows (see more details in [7]):
1) Historical statistics is used to find the aging failure numbers of same type of CB each
year.
2) The cumulative failure probability for each age year is calculated from the failure
density probability is used to find the cumulative failure probability at each age. As the
failure density probability of CB can be found by dividing aging failure by total number
of working CBs in each age year.
3) A cumulative failure probability correlated to the age and CB age includes to form a
data pair. Historical statistics also includes many data pairs.
42
4) For estimation of the shape parameter 𝛽 and the scale parameter least squares method
is used. The data in Step 3 is usedin (8) to produce
𝒕𝒇𝒊 𝜷
𝒍𝒏(𝟏 − 𝑭ai) = − ( 𝜼 ) + 𝒆𝑖 (𝑖 = 1,2,3, … . , 𝑛)
(10)
here 𝑒𝑖 denotes the error among the data and the model of Weibull distribution (8), and
n represents the number of data pairs. The L function can be written as for showing the
sum of the squares of all errors;
𝒕𝒇𝒊 𝜷
𝑳 = ∑𝒏𝒊=𝟏[ 𝒍𝒏(𝟏 − 𝑭ai) + ( 𝜼 ) ]^𝟐 (11)
The shape parameter 𝛽 and the scale parameter 𝜂 can be found as followss
Ձ𝑳
=𝟎
Ձ𝜼
and
Ձ𝑳
=𝟎
Ձ𝜷
The functional age for a specific CB is calculated from equation (7) using its WI index
based on condition monitoring. The rate of aging failure 𝜆𝑎𝑔 is calculated by (9).
43
𝑷𝟏 λ ag = P4 µag
𝑷𝟏 λ a = P3 µsw (12)
𝑷𝟏 λ p + P3 µsw = P2 µ
𝑷𝟏 + 𝑷𝟐 + 𝑷𝟑 + 𝑷𝟒 = 𝟏
44
𝛌 𝐚𝐠. µ. µ𝐬𝐰
𝐏𝟒 = (13)
µ. µ𝐬𝐰. µ𝐚𝐠 + (𝛌 𝐚 + 𝛌 𝐩 )µ𝐬𝐰. µ𝐚𝐠 + 𝛌 𝐚 . µ. µ𝐚𝐠 + 𝛌 𝐚𝐠. µ. µ𝐬𝐰
According to principle, each state probability can be applied directly to the state
enumeration method for reliability assessment of substation. In some situations when
an automatic switching safety scheme is equipped for the completion of immediate
switching, States 2 and 3 acts as a single combined state so the calculation burden is
lessen in the method of state enumeration. In these cases, the four-state model is
assumed equal as the three-state model, shown in Fig. 6.2.
45
𝐏𝟐′ = 𝐏𝟐 + 𝐏𝟑 (15)
By putting P2′ in (14) and P1and P2 in (13) into (15), 𝜆 can be written as follows:
µ
𝛌 = 𝛌 𝐚 µ𝐬𝐰+ 𝛌 𝐚 + 𝛌 𝐩 (16)
The repair time is greater than switching time, which gives µsw ≫ µ , by ignoring first
term. From (16) it is observed that by ignoring first term, the switching state and the
repair state is merged. An equivalent will not create an effective error when automatic
switching protection scheme is used. The original four-state model should be directly
used when error is our main concern.
46
The typical three-state model (up state, switching state and repair state) can be used to
operate other components. There is a need of equivalent two-state model the repairing
state and switching state is combined to form one equivalent state. While accounting
the aging failure of a component (such as a transformer), four-state or equivalent three-
state model comprised of an aging failure state can be applied. As the aging failure
model based on state monitoring varies from one component to another (such as
transformers). It is different for circuit breakers as emphasized in the paper. The
estimated parameters totally varies and must be modeled differently [24]. The current
case study focuses the aging failure model of only CBs. The impact of the aging failure
of each single CB in substation reliability assessment is observed during this research
work.
6.1.3 Substation Reliability Assessment Method
The state enumeration method is applied for assessing the substation reliability.[24].
The main steps are highlighted as follows:
1) A three-state or equivalent two-state model is applied to for non-aging failure
components (such as transformers, buses, and those CBs whose aging failures are not
considered) a three-state or equivalent two-state model is utilized, and a four-state or
equivalent three-state model is used for the CBs whose aging failures are to be focused.
2) The probabilities of individual component states is derived by solving the state
space equations of each component.
3) For the selection of substation system states the state enumeration technique is used.
4) The examination of connectivity between the source points and the load points in a
chosen substation system state by a simple network. The system state is identified as
failed if a load point is disconnected from all sources, for this the curtailed load is
recorded. A linear programming model is applied to calculate the curtailed load at each
load point when the connectivity cannot be identified for a complex network [34], [35].
5) Following equations are used for evaluating the reliability indices at individual load
point:
a) Load curtailments probability (PLC) is given as follows:
47
𝑵𝒌
here PLCk is the PLC index at load point k, Pik denotes the probability of the ith failure
state corresponding to the load point k, and Nk represents the number of the failure
modes in which the load point k has to be curtailed at load point
𝑵𝑲
here EENSk is the EENS index at load point k,LCi (MW) at load point k is the curtailed
load in the ith failure state, and T is the time period recorded (usually one year with
8760 h)
LD 1 LD 2 LD 3 LD 4 LD 5 LD 6
Table 7-3 Normalized condition data, overall condition indices and wear-out indices of the CBs
condition out
Breaker index
t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 P index (Q)
no. (WI)
(msec) (msec) (msec) (msec) (msec) (Mpa)
0.5911 0.4563174 0.4692122 0.4630 0.8994 0.4577
B2 0.5364 0.4635
0.5867 0.5780767 0.5560500 0.4670 0.4279 0.4448
B3 0.4985 0.5014
0.7322 0.1909944 0.9940515 0.9609 0.2958 0.5138
B5 0.2434 0.7565
0.9980 0.4563174 0.9052436 0.4533 0.9279 0.7911
B8 0.76234 0.2376
0.6595 0.9303011 0.9308436 0.5857 0.7676 0.8521
B9 0.799453 0.2005
0.6260 0.9674825 0.9481735 0.9962 0.9905 0.9994
B10 0.913977 0.0860
The functional ages of the CBs are evaluated by using equation (7) and then their aging
failure rates are evaluated by using equation (9). The natural ages, functional ages,
wear-out indices and aging failure rates of the CBs are given in Table 7-4
From Table 7-3 it can be seen that the natural age and functional age varies for
individual CB. The functional age can be evaluated from (7) accounts the wearing
condition of each individual CB, which is presented by its wear-out index. If the
functional age of a CB is older than its natural age, it shows that the aging degradation
of the CB is at fast pace than its natural age, as B5. If the functional age of a CB is more
than its real age, it shows that the aging degradation of the CB is at slow than that is
shown by its original age, such as B9. The functional age depends on the wearing state
which is the collection of multiple factors including operational states, operating
environment and maintenance history. Therefore, the functional age can better show
the aging process of a CB than its original age.
51
Table 7-4 Natural ages, Functional ages and wear-out indices and aging failure rates of the CBs
Breaker Natural age Functional Wear-out Aging failure
no. tn (years) age tf (years) index rate (f/year)
Failure rate
Component
Active Passive Repair time
(failures/year) (failures/year) (hrs/year)
The state enumeration method in Section 6.1.3 is used to estimate the EENS indices.
The impact of each single CB's aging failure on the substation reliability is assessed.
Two EENS assessment cases are considered for the calculation of aging failure. In the
first case, which is called the base case. For this case any aging failure rate is not
considered. In other words, modelling of only reparable failures of all components are
done. In the second case, which is also known as the aging failure case, the aging failure
rate of a CB is also accounted along with the reparable failures of all components. The
difference in the EENS among the two cases is due to the aging failure of that CB. The
results are accounted in Table 7-7.
Table 7-7 EENS contribution due to the aging failure of each CB (MWh/year)
• There are two main reasons because of which B5 has the greatest influence on
substation reliability. Firstly, B5's functional age is 48.37 years but its original age
is 40 years. This means that B5 not only has reached the end of life but also
becomes faster than the condition represented by its original age, which presents a
high aging failure rate. Secondly, B5 represents outgoing branch breaker that is
joined to the largest load (LD4). Therefore, more attention should be paid for
attention and maintenance strategy by B5.
• B2 and B9 are both outgoing branch breakers. By Comparing to B2 with a
functional age of 38.10 years, B9 is with younger functional age of 23.4 years,
which is known as diminish wearing condition. As B9 is connected to a larger load
(LD6=19.76 MW) as that of B2 (LD2=7.35 MW), the EENS is produced by the
aging failure of B9 (44.41MWh/year) is smaller than the EENS produced by the
aging failure of B2 (54.76MWh/year). This indicates that the aging failure varies
greatly in the reliability influence of outgoing branch breakers.
• B10 shares a very small value of EENS even though B10 is also an outgoing branch
breaker. Firstly, the load share to B10 is small. Secondly, B10 is in a non-aged
condition and its functional age is just 13.15 years. It can be observed from Table
VIII that the aging failure rate and repairable failure rate of B10 are of the same
magnitude. If resources for maintenance are limited, low priority of B10 can be set.
• In the substation configuration B3 and B8 are the two incoming branch breakers.
Compared to the outgoing branch breakers, failures of the ingoing branch breakers
usually have much low influence on substation system reliability because of the
dual-bus section structure. The merit of the dual-bus section structure is its high
reliability in the incoming paths. The bus section will not curtail the load when one
bus section or one transformer fails, unless another order failure event happens.
Therefore, the aging failures of B3 and B8 shares very small EENS values.
Calculations of the expected damage costs caused by the aging failures of CBs are done
by using [20] and shown in Fig. 6. The average unit damage cost is estimated to be
60$/MWh. The aging failure of B5 produces the highest expected damage cost,
54
followed by the aging failures of B2 and B9. Therefore, it is needed to focus on the
maintenance of B5, B2 and B9 in the maintenance plan.
57.1221 3427.326
3.6416 218.496
490.2584 29415.504
1.2262 73.572
44.1573 2649.438
0.9062 54.372
55
In Comparison of EENS and EDC indices for the complete substation, accounting
among the aging failures of the six circuit breakers (B2, B3, B5, B8, B9, and B10) and
not considering aging failure at all, are shown in Figs. 7-2 and 7-3, respectively. It can
clearly observed that there is a great difference between the results considering and not
considering aging failures. It can be concluded that aging failures of CBs cannot be
ignored in substation reliability assessment and that ignoring aging failures of CBs will
result in important underestimation of substation unreliability.
56
Sensitivity analysis is also known as what-if analysis. The analysis shows how the
dependent variable value is affected by the change in independent variables under
certain assumptions and specifications. In other words, sensitivity analysis is the
measure of sensitization of output with the change in one input factor while keeping
other parameters or factors constant. Similarly sensitization or the changes in output
can be observed by varying all other input factors. The principle of sensitization is
“Observing the output behavior while changing the model parameters”. The noticeable
parameters of sensitivity analysis are,
Experimental design
What to vary
What to observe
Sensitivity analysis is carried out by first defining the base case output. All values
other than one are kept constant and the value for the output is calculated at a new value
of the input .The percentage change in output and the percentage change in input is
calculated. Then finally sensitivity is found by dividing percentage change in output to
percentage change in input. The higher the sensitivity value, the more sensitive the
output is to the change in input.
Sensitivity analysis would be helpful in finding the reliability increase to an
acceptable value.
t3 initially has value of 16.023 (which is closer to its upper limit of 5.5), so negative
error would bring its value away from upper limit, resulting in decreasing of wear-out
index value from 0.472409 to 0.461129.
t4 initially has value of 27.132 which is close to its lower limit, so a negative error will
bring its value farther away from its original condition monitoring parameter
measurement, which would result in increasing the value of wear-out index from
0.461129 to 0.468117.
t5 initially has value of 66.422 which is close to its upper limit, so a negative error will
bring its value farther away from its original condition monitoring parameter
measurement, which would result in decreasing the value of wear-out index from
0.468117 to 0.450358.
t6 initially has value of 66.654 which is close to its lower limit, so a negative error will
bring its value farther away from its original condition monitoring parameter
measurement, which would result in increasing the value of wear-out index from
0.450358 to 0.469309.
So, overall wear-out index has been increased from 0.4634 to 0.469309. It means most
of the parameters were at their lower limit.
measurement, which would result in increasing the value of wear-out index from
0.458104to 0.474972.
t6 initially has value of 66.654 which is close to its lower limit, so a positive error will
bring its value farther away from its original condition monitoring parameter
measurement, which would result in decreasing the value of wear-out index from
0.474972to 0.462852.
So, overall wear-out index has been decreased from 0.4634 to 0.462852. It means most
of the parameters were at their lower limit.
References
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Annexure-I
Brea Parameter Lower Upper Normal WI corresponding to different variation %ages of parameter
ker limit limit value measurements
no.
98% 99% 100% 101% 102%
t2 (msec) 0.0 5.5 0.756 0.4693 0.467969 0.4634 0.463186 0.45873
Brea Parameter Lower Upper Normal WI corresponding to different variation %ages of parameter
ker limit limit value measurements
no.
98% 99% 100% 101% 102%
t2 (msec) 0.0 5.5 2.629 0.237579 0.23742 0.237287 0.23718 0.237099
B10 t5 (msec) 49.9 67.5 58.16 0.086749 0.083798 0.086023 0.0815 0.082211