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Article history: The evenness of an ecological community affects ecosystem structure, functioning and stability, and has
Received 15 April 2015 implications for biodiversity conservation. In uneven communities, most species are rare while a few
Received in revised form dominant species drive ecosystem-level properties. In even communities, dominance is lower, with
6 August 2015
possibly many species playing key ecological roles. The dominance aspect of evenness can be measured
Accepted 12 September 2015
Available online 25 September 2015
as a decreasing function of the proportion of species required to make up a fixed fraction (e.g., half) of
individuals in a community. Here we sought general rules about dominance in ecological communities by
Keywords: linking dominance mathematically to the parameters of common theoretical species-abundance dis-
Biodiversity tributions (SADs). We found that if a community’s SAD was log-series or lognormal, then dominance was
Evenness
almost inevitably high, with fewer than 40% of species required to account for 90% of all individuals.
Gamma
Dominance for communities with an exponential SAD was lower but still typically high, with fewer than
Lognormal
Log-series 40% of species required to account for 70% of all individuals. In contrast, communities with a gamma SAD
only exhibited high dominance when the average species abundance was below a threshold of
approximately 100. Furthermore, we showed that exact values of dominance were highly scale-depen-
dent, exhibiting non-linear trends with changing average species abundance. We also applied our for-
mulae to SADs derived from a mechanistic community model to demonstrate how dominance can
increase with environmental variance. Overall, our study provides a rigorous basis for theoretical
explorations of the dynamics of dominance in ecological communities, and how this affects ecosystem
functioning and stability.
& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.09.011
0022-5193/& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
148 T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158
up a fraction u of all individuals, so a proportion η of species with analytical tractability, which is why we used 1, 0 and 0 for the
abundance ⌈nu ⌉ 1 are required. The quantity η satisfies three distributions, respectively. For the continuous exponential,
X
1 X
1 all three values of δ (0, 0.5 and 1) are examined since analytical
nψ ðnÞ þ ηð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þψ ð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þ ¼ u nψ ðnÞ: ð3Þ formulae for nu and pu can be derived for all three δ values.
n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉ n¼1
Rearranging gives 2.3. Applying the formulae to quantify the typical level of dominance
in ecological communities
P
1 P
1
u nψ ðnÞ nψ ðnÞ
n¼1 n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉ The formulae derived using the methods described in Subsec-
η¼ : ð4Þ
ð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þψ ð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þ tion 2.1 and 2.2, for two types of discrete SAD and four types of
The quantity pu , which is the minimum fraction of species continuous SAD, are applied to quantify dominance across a broad
required to make up a fraction u of all individuals, can then be range of biologically possible scenarios. Specifically, parameter
calculated as values are specified for each type of SAD examined to give a broad
range of average species abundances ðJ=SÞ, from small to very
P
1 P
1
u nψ ðnÞ nψ ðnÞ large, and then dominance values calculated for these parameter
X
1
n¼1 n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉ X
1
pu ¼ ηψ ð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þ þ ψ ðnÞ ¼ þ ψ ðnÞ: values using the formulae. To facilitate comparison of dominance
⌈nu ⌉ 1
n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉ n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉ values between different types of SAD, dominance for each type is
ð5Þ plotted against J=S, which is defined for all SADs. It is noted that
J=S for an SAD is equal to the mean of the underlying distribution;
The exact formula for dominance is then Du ¼ 1 pu . Usually,
this can be seen for discrete SADs because
the formula for pu cannot be simplified further because of the
ceiling function. However, simpler analytical approximations for P
1 P
1
nsðnÞ nψ ðnÞ X
1
pu can be derived by retaining the generally non-integer but J n¼1
¼ 1 ¼ n ¼11 ¼ nψ ðnÞ ð9Þ
analytical form of nu and then using S P P
sðnÞ ψ ðnÞ n¼1
X
1 n¼1 n¼1
pu pu ¼ ψ ðnÞ: ð6Þ
and it can be seen for continuous SADS using analogous calcula-
n ¼ nu
tions. In addition, we mathematically analyze the dominance for-
We derive pu and pu according to Eqs. (5) and (6), respectively, mulae for the continuous log-series, continuous exponential and
when ψ ðnÞ follows a discrete log-series distribution and when it lognormal SADs to gain general insights into how they change
follows a discrete exponential distribution. We then derive Du and with J=S.
Du for these two distributions as 1 pu and 1 pu , respectively. For the discrete log-series SAD with parameter x, we examine
the parameter range ½4:65 10 10 ; 0:980, which gives J=S from
2.2. Deriving analytical formulae for calculating dominance: con- 1.01 (corresponding to the maximum x) to 108 (corresponding to
tinuous SADs the minimum x). 1.01 is close to the theoretical minimum of
1 whereas 108 is on the order of magnitude of the median number
Dominance formulae for continuous SADs can be derived ana- of individuals found for 207 dominant tree species in Amazonia,
logously to those for discrete SADs. For these distributions, nu can which covers an area of 6.29 million km2 (ter Steege et al., 2013).
take non-integer positive values and can be found by solving Thus, the range of J=S that we examine is a wide range encom-
R1 passing most values likely to be encountered in reality. The range
nψ ðnÞdn
GðmÞ ¼ Rn1¼ m ¼u ð7Þ of λ for the discrete exponential SAD is chosen in the same way as
n ¼ δ ψ ðnÞdn
n
½1:00 10 8 ; 4:62, with the maximum value corresponding to J=
for n, where ψ ðnÞ is the probability density corresponding to S ¼ 1:01 and the minimum value corresponding to J=S ¼ 108 . For
abundance n and δ is the lower limit of the domain of the corre- each of the two types of discrete SAD, we calculate exact and
sponding probability distribution. An analytical formula specifying approximate dominance values, Du and Dnu, respectively, over the
pu can then be derived using range of parameter values considered. The values of u (fraction of
Z 1 individuals accounted for by the dominant species) examined
pu ¼ ψ ðnÞdn; ð8Þ range from 0.5 to 0.9 in increments of 0.1. We also quantify the
n ¼ nu
error Du-Dnu for each combination of u and x or λ (i.e. each com-
allowing the corresponding dominance formula to be derived bination of u and J/S).
using Du ¼ 1 pu . We follow this method to derive dominance Parameter values for the continuous SADs are chosen using the
formulae for four continuous distributions that approximate dis- same rationale as for the discrete SADs. Thus, the range of x for the
crete SADs: the continuous log-series, exponential, gamma and continuous log-series SAD is chosen to be ½4:79 10 10 ; 1:00,
lognormal distributions. Values of Du for the continuous log-series corresponding to a range of J=S of ½1:01; 108 . Similarly, the ranges
and exponential distributions can be considered as approxima- of λ for the continuous exponential SAD are chosen to be
tions to the exact discrete cases because the distributions permit ½1:00 10 8 ; 0:990, ½1:00 10 8 ; 1:96 and ½1:00 10 8 ; 100 for
non-integer species abundances, which are not observed in reality. lower abundance limits of δ ¼ 0, 0.5 and 1 respectively, to corre-
Because the abundance n is assumed to be continuous, there are spond to the same range of J=S. For the gamma SAD with shape
conceptual issues with choosing δ, the lowest value of n for a and rate parameters α and β, it was found that Du is independent
continuous distribution. With δ ¼ 1, values between 0.5 and 1 are of β and hence scale (θ ¼ 1=β ). This is expected because the scale
omitted, but these values become 1 when rounded to the nearest parameter does not change the shape of the gamma distribution.
integer, so could be considered biologically meaningful. With However, J=S depends on both α and β. Therefore, we (i) calculate
δ ¼ 0, values between 0 and 0.5 are included, but these values are a range of β values from previous studies on plant and insect
rounded to 0, which is not biologically meaningful since it repre- communities (Brian, 1953; Plotkin and Muller-Landau, 2002; For-
sents species with no individuals. Thus, it may be better to use ster and Warton, 2007); (ii) calculate the minimum and maximum
δ ¼ 0:5 instead. However, using δ ¼ 0:5 for the continuous log- values of β and for each, calculate the corresponding range of α
series, gamma and lognormal distributions results in loss of that would give a range of J=S of ½1:01; 108 ; (iii) calculate values of
150 T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158
Du corresponding to the two ranges of α found; and (iv) plot 2.5. Applying the formulae to quantify how dominance changes with
curves of Du against J=S, one for each of the two ranges of α. The environmental variance
minimum and maximum β values found were 0.000321 and
0.00761 respectively, with the corresponding ranges of α being In the dynamic community model of Engen and Lande (1996a),
½0:000324; 32100 and ½0:00769; 761000 respectively. Similarly, the abundance ðn Z 1Þ of each species changes according to
for the lognormal SAD with log-scale and shape parameters μ and dn dBðtÞ
¼ rn ngðnÞ þ σ r ðnÞ ; ð10Þ
σ , it was found that Du is independent of μ, but that J=S depends dt dt
on both parameters. Therefore, we calculated the minimum and where r is the per-capita growth rate, gðnÞ is the density-
maximum values of μ from previous studies on plant and bird dependent per-capita mortality rate, and BðtÞ is a Wiener process
communities (Preston, 1948; Volkov et al., 2003; Forster and representingstochastic variation in the growth rate, with variance
Warton, 2007) as 1.39 and 3.47 respectively, and for each value σ 2r ðnÞ ¼ σ 2e þ σ 2d =n . This variance is the sum of two components,
calculated a corresponding range of σ that would give a range of the first representing environmental variance and the second
J=S of ½32:2; 108 . Values of J=S lower than 32.2 are not considered demographic variance. Under a Gompertz growth curve gðnÞ ¼ γ ln
ðn þ εÞ with ε ¼ σ 2d =σ 2e (there is a typo on p. 175 of Engen and Lande
because they correspond to negative values of σ when the max-
(1996a) – they mistakenly stated that ε ¼ σ 2e =σ 2d ), the SAD at the
imum value of μ ¼ 3:47 is used. For each range of σ , we calculate
steady state is given by
corresponding values of Du and plot them against J=S. The values " 2 #
of u examined range from 0.5 to 0.9 in increments of 0.1, as for the A 1 lnðn þ εÞ r=γ
SðnÞ ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiexp ; ð11Þ
discrete SADs. In addition, for each of the log-series and expo- ðn þ εÞσ e π =γ 2 σ 2e =2γ
nential SADs, the error in Du arising from using the continuous
where A is a scaling constant (Engen and Lande, 1996a). Explicitly,
version is quantified as the difference between Du derived using
pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ( )
the exact formula for the discrete version minus Du derived using 2ω π =γ γ r 2
A¼ exp lnð1 þ ε Þ ; ð12Þ
the formula for the continuous version, for each combination of u σe 2σe γ
and J=S.
where ω is the per-capita speciation rate. Using the transformation
z ¼ n þ ε, SðzÞ follows a truncated lognormal distribution
pffiffiffiffiffiwith
ffi log-
scale parameter μ ¼ r=γ and shape parameter σ ¼ σ e = 2γ over the
2.4. Applying the formulae to assess dominance for tree species in range ½1 þ ε; 1Þ. This distribution can be approximated by the full
Amazonia lognormal distribution with range ½0; 1Þ if the density of the full
distribution is approximately zero in the range ½0; 1 þ εÞ, which is
To estimate the total number of tree species in Amazonia (the the case for large communities. In this case, we apply our dom-
Amazon and Guiana Shield), ter Steege et al. (2013) fitted a dis- inance formula for the lognormal distribution to explicitly relate
crete log-series SAD to species population abundances estimated dominance to environmental variance. We mathematically analyze
from their sample data and then extrapolated from this distribu- this relationship to show how dominance changes with increasing
tion. Using this method, they estimated that Amazonia has environmental variance, and illustrate the trend found with
approximately 16,000 tree species. However, their low sampling example parameter values.
intensity of 0.0002% (not 0.002% as ter Steege et al. state on p. 4 of
their Supplementary material) means that the distribution of rare
species is essentially unknown. Thus, other theoretical SADs, not 3. Results
considered by ter Steege et al. (2013), provide equally good fits to
3.1. Analytical dominance formulae for SADs
their estimated population abundances and give virtually the same
sample SAD (Supplementary material 1). These other theoretical
For the six types of SAD that we considered, explicit formulae
SADs lead to vastly different estimates of the total Amazon tree were derived specifying dominance, measured as 1 minus the
species richness S. The examples in Supplementary material 1 minimum proportion of species required to account for a propor-
show plausible Amazon-scale discrete log-series SADs truncated tion u of all individuals. This measure of dominance is denoted by
such that S¼ 12,000, 9,000 and 6,000, with removal of increasingly Du and varies between 0 and 1. In addition, for the two types of
more of the least abundant species. To calculate corresponding discrete SADs, we derived formulae specifying Du , which is an
dominance values for these alternative distributions, we adapt our approximation to the exact dominance measure Du . Table 1 lists
dominance formulae for log-series SADs and apply them to the the formulae obtained, together with formulae specifying the
truncated log-series SADs. This provides an idea of the range probability distributions underlying the SADs. Appendix A pro-
within which the true dominance may vary. Dominance is vides details of how the formulae were derived following the
expected to decrease with greater truncation because the domi- methods detailed in Subsection 2.1 and 2.2. It is seen that the
formulae for the (continuous) gamma and lognormal SADs depend
nant species would likely form a higher proportion of a smaller
only on the shape parameter, that is, α for the gamma distribution
total number of species.
and σ for the lognormal distribution.
Given the fundamental uncertainty in the distribution of rare
species in poorly sampled species-rich communities, a more
3.2. Quantifying dominance typically found in ecological
informative approach could be to fit only the observed portion of
communities
the SAD, calculate the dominance of the fitted SAD and use it as an
estimate of a lower dominance bound. We apply this approach to In general, Du values obtained from the formula for the discrete
the Amazonian tree metacommunity by calculating dominance for log-series were high, indicating that numerical abundance was
a log-series SAD fitted to the sample data and truncated to give dominated by relatively few species (Fig. 1). When u increased
S 5; 000, corresponding approximately to the number of from 0.5 to 0.9 (in increments of 0.1), Du remained above 0.7 for
observed species. average species abundances (J=S) greater than 100. As J=S
T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158 151
Table 1
Formulae specifying the six types of species-abundance distributions (SADs) examined and the corresponding dominance. Each SAD is specified by a probability mass
function or probability density function (for discrete and continuous SADs, respectively), ψ ðnÞ, describing the probability or probability density of a species having abundance
n, respectively. Dominance is measured as Du ¼ 1 pu , where pu is the minimum proportion of species required to obtain a proportion u of all individuals. For each of the two
discrete SADs, an approximation to Du is also given as Du , which uses an approximation to pu that is specified by Eq. (6).
n h i
Discrete log-series ð1 xÞ
ψ ðnÞ ¼ nlog ; ð1 xÞ u ð1 xÞ⌈nu ⌉ 1 ⌈nu ⌉ 1
ð1xÞ Du ¼ 1 log ð1=xÞ xð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þ þ ð1 xÞ Φð1 x; 1; ⌈nu ⌉Þ ;
nZ1 log ðuÞ
nu ¼ 1 þ
log ð1 xÞ
h i
Discrete exponential ψ ðnÞ ¼ eλ 1 e λn ; u e λ⌈nu ⌉ ð1 ⌈nu ⌉ þ ⌈nu ⌉eλ Þ
Du ¼ 1 eλ ðeλ 1Þð⌈nu ⌉ 1Þ þ e λ⌈nu ⌉ ;
nZ1 1 W 1 ðuye y Þ
nu ¼ ;
1 eλ λ
λ
y¼
1 eλ
Du ¼ 1 exp λ yþ W 1 uye y
n
Continuous log-series ψ ðnÞ ¼ nΓð0; ð1 xÞ
log ð1 xÞÞ
Du ¼ 1 liðliuð1 xÞÞ
ð1 xÞ
,
nZ1
h i
Continuous exponential ψ ðnÞ ¼ λeλð n þ δÞ ; Du ¼ 1 exp 1 þ δλ þ W 1 uð1 þ δλÞ
eð1 þ δλÞ
nZδ
Gamma (continuous) α
nα 1 e βn Γðα; Q 1 ð1 þ α;uÞÞ
ψ ðnÞ ¼ β ΓðαÞ ; Du ¼ 1 ΓðαÞ
nZ0
Lognormal (continuous) exp
2
ðμ log2ðnÞÞ
1
Du ¼ 1 12 erfc pσffiffi2 erfc ð2ð1 uÞÞ
ψ ðnÞ ¼ pffiffiffiffi ;
2σ
nσ 2π
nZ0
a
Special functions used in the SAD and dominance formulae are the Gamma function ΓðzÞ, the incomplete gamma function Γða; zÞ, the Lerch transcendent Φðz; s; aÞ, the
Lambert W function W 1 ðzÞ, the inverse regularized gamma function Q 1 ða; zÞ, the complementary error function erfcðzÞ, the inverse complementary error function
1
erfc ðzÞ, and the logarithmic integral liðzÞ (Abramowitz and Stegun, 1972).
decreased below 100, Du decreased non-linearly to low values, S3). Thus, dominance trends for continuous log-series and
dropping below 0.2 when u ¼ 0:9 (Fig. 1). Values of Du for the exponential SADs closely follow those for their discrete coun-
discrete exponential were smaller than for the discrete log-series terparts. In addition, we showed
analytically that for the con-
(Fig. 1), indicating that numerical abundance was dominated by tinuous log-series, dDu =d J=S 40 for small and large J=S
more species. Nonetheless, Du was generally quite high: when u (Appendix B). These analytical results hold for all u, thus gen-
increased from 0.5 to 0.7, it remained above 0.6 for J=S 4 100 eralizing the trends found from simulations for particular values
(Fig. 1a–c), only dropping below 0.6 for J=S 4 100 when u of u (Fig. 1). Furthermore, we proved that for the continuous
increased further to 0.8 and 0.9 (Fig. 1d and e). As for the discrete exponential with lower abundance limit δ 4 0, dDu =d J=S 4 0 for
log-series, Du for the discrete exponential decreased non-linearly all u (Appendix B), again generalizing the simulated dominance
when J=S decreased below 100, to below 0.2 when u ¼ 0:9 (Fig. 1). trends (Fig. 1).
The Du values for both the discrete log-series and exponential Values of Du for the lognormal distribution followed a similar
were found to be very close approximations of the exact dom- trend to those for the log-series and exponential, exhibiting high
inance values (Du values) (Fig. 2). The absolute error between the values greater than 0.6 for J=S above 200, regardless of the value of
approximate and exact values was almost zero except for very low u tested, and decreasing non-linearly as J=S decreased below 200
values of J=S below 10, when the absolute error increased but still (Fig. 1). For large J=S above 10,000, Du reached values close to 1 for
remained below 0.1 (Fig. 3). Therefore, trends in Du closely fol- all values of u tested, exceeding Du for both the log-series and
lowed trends in Du . exponential (Fig. 1). Values of Du for the gamma distribution
Values of Du for the continuous log-series are close approx- showed the opposite trend to that of the other three distributions,
imations of the corresponding values for the discrete log-series decreasing rather than increasing with J=S (Fig. 1). For small J=S
(Fig. 2a), with absolute errors typically o 0.05 and always o 0.11 below 50, Du attained high values above 0.6, but as J=S increased
(Fig. 3a). Similarly, values of Du for the continuous exponential above 50, Du decreased according to a non-linear sigmoidal shape,
were typically close approximations of corresponding values for to values below 0.6 (Fig. 1). We mathematical analyzed the form of
the discrete exponential, regardless of whether a lower limit of Du for the lognormal and found that dDu =d J=S 4 0 for all u
δ ¼ 0, 0.5 or 1 was used (Figs. 2b and S2 in Supplementary (Appendix B).
material 2); absolute errors were virtually zero for J=S above 100
(Figs. 3b and S3 in Supplementary material 2). The absolute 3.3. Assessing dominance of tree species in Amazonia
errors were typically higher as J=S decreased below 100, reaching
values close to 0.4 with δ ¼ 0 (Figs. 3b and S2). However, with In their study of tree species in Amazonia, ter Steege et al.
δ ¼ 0:5, the errors remained virtually zero down to J=S ¼ 10 and (2013) fitted a discrete log-series SAD with a parameter value of
remained below 0.2 for lower J=S values (Fig. 3b), and with δ ¼ 1, x ¼ 1:93 10 9 to species abundances estimated from sampled
the errors remained below 0.1 as J=S decreased below 100 (Fig. data. This parameter value corresponds to J=S ¼ 2:58 107 and
152 T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158
Fig. 1. Dominance values ðDu Þ for the discrete log-series, discrete exponential, (continuous) gamma and (continuous) lognormal SADs, calculated using the formulae in
Table 1. Panels (a)–(e) show how dominance changes across average species abundance (total number of individuals of all species, J, divided by total number of species, S) for
five different values of u, which is the fraction of individuals accounted for by the set of dominant species.
Fig. 2. (a) Dominance values for the discrete log-series SAD using the exact and approximate formulae, compared with dominance values for the continuous log-series SAD
(formulae shown in Table 1). The panel shows how dominance changes across average species abundance (total number of individuals of all species, J, divided by total
number of species, S) for different values of u, which is the fraction of individuals accounted for by the set of dominant species. (b) is the same as (a) but for the discrete
exponential SAD and the continuous exponential SAD with a lower limit of δ ¼ 0:5.
Fig. 3. Errors in approximating the exact dominance values for (a) the discrete log-series SAD and (b) the discrete exponential SAD when using the approximate formulae
and the formulae for the continuous versions (formulae shown in Table 1). An error is calculated as the exact value minus the approximate value. Each panel shows how the
errors change across average species abundance (total number of individuals of all species, J, divided by total number of species, S) for different values of u, which is the
fraction of individuals accounted for by the set of dominant species. In (b), the continuous exponential SAD has a lower limit of δ ¼ 0.5.
series, as (13) and (14) because evaluation of the Lerch transcendent is slow
with small x.
li uð1 xÞnmin
Du ¼ 1 : ð15Þ A lower bound for the dominance of tree species in Amazonia
li ð1 xÞnmin
was estimated by applying dominance formulae (13)–(15) with
Application of (13) with u ¼ 0:5 and nmin ¼ 84, 3,646 and nmin ¼ 550; 755, corresponding to S 5; 000, where 5000 is the
157,027, corresponding to S 12; 000, 9,000 and 6,000 respec- approximate number of observed species. All three formulae gave
tively, gave Du ¼ 0:975, 0.966 and 0.949 respectively. Application Du ¼ 0:940 to 3 decimal places. By plotting Du against nmin from
of (14) and (15) gave dominance values that are the same to 1 to 550,755, we confirmed our expectation that Du decreases with
3 decimal places; however, application of (15) is much faster than nmin , such that Du ¼ 0:940 can be taken as a lower bound.
154 T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158
Fig. 4. (a) Lognormal distributions underlying (stationary) SADs produced by the dynamic community model by Engen and Lande (1996a), for three different values of the
square root of environmental variance (environmental standard deviation), σ e (measured in units of yr 1/2, not shown on graphs to improve their clarity). Values of the other
parameters are r ¼ 0:16yr 1 , γ ¼ 0:02 yr 1 , σ d ¼ 0:447 yr 1=2 and ω ¼ 10 4 yr 1 (for parameter definitions, see Subsection 2.5). (b) Dominance values for the lognormal
SADs, as calculated by applying the formula in Table 1 for five different values of u (fraction of individuals accounted for ffiffiffiffiffi the set of dominant species) and σ e ranging from
pby
0.224–0.380 yr 1/2. The log-scale parameter for the SADs is μ ¼ r=γ ¼ 8 and the shape parameter varied from σ ¼ σ e = 2γ ¼ 1:12 to 1.90.
3.4. Quantifying how dominance changes with increasing environ- (Table 1). We also examined the discrete broken-stick (MacArthur,
mental variance 1957) and Zipf-Mandelbrot (Frontier, 1985) SADs, but due to the
complexity of the SAD formulae, we were unable to derive cor-
We applied the dominance formula for the lognormal SAD responding analytical dominance formulae. However, in the limit
(Table 1) to the lognormal SADs arising from the dynamic com- of large S, the broken-stick SAD converges to a gamma distribution
munity model by Engen and Lande (1996a) (as described in (Longuet-Higgins, 1971), which we examined (Table 1). The dom-
Subsection 2.5). According to this formula, dominance increases inance formulae derived facilitate quantitative investigation of
with the shape parameter σ , and hence the average species dominance by speeding up calculation of dominance for discrete
abundance J=S (Subsection 3.2). SADs from the dynamic model SADs (compared with simple summation, the formulae can be
have a shape parameter that is proportional to σ e , which is the orders of magnitude quicker); allowing dominance to be calcu-
square root of environmental variance. Thus, application of the lated for continuous SADs; and permitting further mathematical
formula shows that dominance increases with σ e in the model. analyses that yield general insights into how dominance changes
The relationship between dominance and environmental variance with key ecological variables. We also derived analytical formulae
is illustrated in Fig. 4 for example parameterpsets ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffithat
ffi are the same to approximate Du for the discrete log-series and exponential
except for σ e increasing by a factor of 1.7 from 0:05 ¼ 0:224yr 1=2 to SADs, and found that these approximations gave almost zero error
0.380 yr 1/2. This gave a range of σ 2e values that are in accordance when the average number of individuals per species was greater
with empirical values collated by Lande et al. (2003; Table 1.2), typi- than about 10. In addition, under these circumstances, dominance
cally on the order of 0.01–0.1 yr 1. Similarly, demographic variance formulae for the continuous versions of the SADs gave values that
σ 2d was set at 0.2, giving a ratio ε ¼ σ 2d =σ 2e from 1.38–4, in accordance were very similar to those from the exact formulae for the discrete
with typical empirical ratios of 1 to 10 (Table 1.2 of Lande et al., 2003). versions. Thus, the formulae for the continuous versions can be
The dynamic model explicitly models speciation, which operates over used to give accurate estimates of dominance for any natural
large spatial scales. Thus, values of the other parameters were chosen community of reasonable size that is distributed according to one
to give large values of J and J=S, commensurate with communities at of these two discrete SADs. The errors when using the approx-
large spatial scales. These quantities together with S can be calculated imate formulae for the discrete SADs were typically lower than
using Eqs. (11) and (12), after translation of the abundance variable those when formulae for the continuous SADs were used (Fig. 3).
and assuming that the transformed variable starts at zero (a reason- This result is intuitive because the continuous SADs assume that
able assumption for large communities). For the example shown in species abundance changes continuously, whereas in reality it is
Fig. 4, dominance increased with σ e by 12–68% for values of u ranging discrete. However, despite this continuity assumption, the result-
from 0.5 to 0.9 in increments of 0.1. The sharpest increase was seen for ing continuous SADs largely retain the dominance structure of
the highest u tested. In addition, as σ e increased, S decreased from their discrete counterparts (Fig. 2). Given lower errors, the discrete
139,000 to 7.52; J decreased from 7:76 108 to 136,000; and J=S formulae would be preferred in practice, except for the discrete
increased from 5570 to 18,100. log-series SAD with low values of the parameter x. In this case, the
approximate discrete formula is slow to compute because of the
Lerch transcendent function, and so the continuous formula would
4. Discussion be preferred.
A striking result from application of our formulae is that
In this study, we examined four standard forms of SADs that dominance was typically very high for reasonably large commu-
together have commonly been fitted to empirical data (e.g., Fisher nities with individuals distributed according to a log-series,
et al., 1943; Preston, 1948; Brian, 1953; Cohen, 1968; Hubbell, exponential or lognormal distribution. When the average abun-
2001; Engen et al., 2002; Plotkin and Muller-Landau, 2002; Volkov dance of a species exceeded 200 individuals, fewer than 40% of
et al., 2003; Forster and Warton, 2007; Engen et al., 2011) and species were required to account for 90% of all individuals for the
successfully derived analytical formulae quantifying dominance log-series or lognormal case (Du 40:6 for J=S 4 200 and u ¼ 0:9),
according to Du ¼ 1 pu , where pu is the minimum proportion of and 70% of all individuals for the exponential case (Du 4 0:6 for
species required to account for a proportion u of all individuals J=S 4 200 and u ¼ 0:7). Given that many empirical SADs can be
T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158 155
fitted by these three distributions (Fisher et al., 1943; Preston, formula for discrete log-series SADs, that this result follows
1948; Cohen 1968; Hubbell, 2001; Engen et al., 2002; Volkov et al., inevitably from fitting a log-series: the formula predicts high
2003; Forster and Warton, 2007; Engen et al., 2011; the lognormal dominance for values of the parameter x corresponding to large
distribution is typically mixed with a Poisson sampling distribu- communities with high average species abundances ðJ=SÞ. How-
tion), the concentration of abundance in so few species that we ever, whether the actual distribution of Amazon trees is a log-
typically found has important implications for community func- series is highly uncertain, given a low sampling intensity of
tioning and stability. Communities with high dominance attain a 0.0002% (ter Steege et al., 2013). Alternative types of SADs can be
higher level of functioning if there is a positive correlation fitted to the Amazonian data equally well, and one of these is the
between numerical dominance of a species and its level of func- truncated discrete log-series (Supplementary material 1). We
tioning (Hillebrand et al., 2008) – this is the classic positive adapted our calculations to derive dominance formulae for a
selection effect that has been demonstrated to be an important truncated log-series and used it to show that dominance in the
mechanism underlying positive relationships between richness Amazonian tree flora can vary between 0.940 and 0.981, i.e., the
and functioning for plant and invertebrate communities (Huston, percentage of species making up 50% of individuals could be
1997; Wilsey and Potvin, 2000; Hooper et al., 2005; Larsen et al., anywhere between 1.9% and 6.0%. Thus, dominance is high, but the
2005; Orwin et al., 2014). However, another implication of high exact degree of dominance currently remains uncertain. The true
dominance is a decrease in the strength of multispecies processes, dominance may even exceed the upper limit of 0.981 if there are
thus reducing the prevalence of niche complementarity and more rare species than predicted by a log-series. Furthermore, the
facilitation, both of which are important drivers of functioning true level of dominance is probably fundamentally unknowable
(Loreau and Hector, 2001; Cardinale et al., 2002; Hooper et al., from small sample plots, because it is not possible to calculate an
2005; Carey and Wahl, 2010). In contrast to the selection effect, unbiased estimate of the total number of species from a small
this acts to decrease community functioning. Therefore, the net sample (Gotelli and Chao, 2013; Supplementary material 1). A
effect of higher dominance depends on the balance of two coun- more justifiable approach in such situations may thus be to cal-
tervailing forces – the selection effect and weaker multispecies culate dominance from a fitted distribution that covers only the
processes. A meta-analysis of 54 studies suggests that the selection empirical range of species abundances and use it as an estimate of
effect is typically stronger in forest communities, resulting in a lower bound for dominance – for the Amazonian tree flora, such
greater community functioning with higher dominance (Zhang an estimate would be 0.940.
et al., 2012). In addition to these effects on functioning, an increase We also applied our dominance formula for lognormal SADs to
in dominance results in an increase in intraspecific and corre- the dynamic community model by Engen and Lande (1996a),
sponding decrease in interspecific interaction strengths, causing which predicts lognormal SADs as a function of parameters
changes in community stability. Studies on model and empirical representing the ecological mechanisms modeled. This allowed a
food webs suggest that weak interspecific interactions can quantitative, process-based assessment of how dominance is
increase stability (May, 1972; McCann et al., 1998; Neutel et al., predicted to change with variations in the ecological mechanisms.
2002; Emmerson and Yearsley, 2004), such that higher dominance In our application, we focused on how dominance is expected to
is expected to result in more stable communities. change with environmental variance, which is modeled as sto-
In contrast to the log-series, exponential and lognormal dis- chastic fluctuations in the growth rate. We showed analytically
tributions, dominance values for the gamma distribution were that the model predicts increases in dominance with the degree of
typically high only for communities with small average species environmental variance, and illustrated this with an example
abundances. When the average species abundance was below 50 whereby dominance increased by up to 68%. It is also possible to
individuals, fewer than 40% of species were required to account for show analytically that the model predicts a decline in species
90% of all individuals (Du 40:6 for J=S o 50 and u ¼ 0:9). However, richness with environmental variance, which was the case in the
as the average species abundance increases beyond 50 individuals, example shown. Therefore, the model predicts that greater
dominance decreases non-linearly, typically reaching values below environmental fluctuations homogenize communities by causing
0.5. Thus, our formulae give opposite trends for how dominance in extinctions and promoting dominance of abundance by pro-
gamma- and lognormally-distributed communities scale with portionally fewer species, in effect pushing species abundances
community size. This result is surprising given that these two towards the extremes (Fig. 4a). This prediction is particularly
distributions can have similar shapes. However, it can be explained relevant in the context of forecasted increases in environmental
by the tail of the lognormal distribution becoming heavier as the variance driven by climatic change, for example greater intra-
value of the shape parameter, which correlates with community annual variation in precipitation resulting in more severe floods
size, increases, whereas the tail of the gamma distribution and droughts (Knapp et al., 2008). Our predictions complement
becomes less heavy. Therefore, for communities that are fit well by previous theoretical predictions on how environmental variance
a gamma distribution (typically mixed with a Poisson sampling can increase extinction risk and decrease species richness (e.g.,
distribution; e.g., Brian, 1953), it is advisable to rigorously test Adler and Drake, 2008; Ovaskainen and Meerson, 2010). Impor-
whether a lognormal distribution can give a better fit or not, since tantly, our predictions can be tested quantitatively using empirical
this can have important implications for determining dominance data in future studies. In addition, the homogenizing effect of
and assessing its community effects. On the other hand, this is environmental variance has possible knock-on effects for func-
difficult given that statistical estimates of the rare species tail of an tioning and stability, as discussed above. This can be further
SAD are highly uncertain unless a community is intensively sam- investigated in future studies by explicitly quantifying functioning
pled. This is also evident from our analysis of the SAD underlying and stability using model outputs and possibly other theory. Fur-
the tree metacommunity in Amazonia (discussed below), and thermore, future studies could use our dominance formulae in
together these results emphasize the sensitivity of dominance to conjunction with other stochastic community models (e.g., Dennis
sampling uncertainty in general. and Costantino, 1988; Engen and Lande, 1996b; Hubbell, 2001) to
A recent assessment of dominance among trees in Amazonia further investigate the mechanistic links between evenness and
involved fitting a discrete log-series SAD to sample plot data and ecosystem functioning and stability. Predictions from these studies
concluded that dominance is very high, in the sense that very few would facilitate understanding of the ongoing effects of anthro-
species are required to account for 50% of all individuals (ter pogenically driven biodiversity loss (Cardinale et al., 2012), vital
Steege et al., 2013). We now see, from application of our analytical for conservation and sustainable management.
156 T. Fung et al. / Journal of Theoretical Biology 386 (2015) 147–158
Acknowledgments X
1
eλ λ⌈nu ⌉ 1 ⌈nu ⌉ þ ⌈nu ⌉eλ
nψ ðnÞ ¼ ; ðA:11Þ
n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉
eλ 1
We would like to thank two anonymous reviewers, whose
comments have helped to substantially improve the clarity and and
content of our work. TF and RAC are supported by the National X
1
University of Singapore, Singapore start-up Grant WBS R-154-000- ψ ðnÞ ¼ eλ λ⌈nu ⌉ : ðA:12Þ
551-133. n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉
X
1 ð1 xÞm 1 ¼ u; ðA:15Þ
ð1 xÞ⌈nu ⌉
nψ ðnÞ ¼ ; ðA:4Þ
n ¼ ⌈nu ⌉
xlog 1=x such that
1 σ 1
¼ erfc pffiffiffi erfc ð2ð1 uÞÞ : ðA:27Þ
2 2 Consider the dominance formula for the continuous lognormal
distribution:
Using Du ¼ 1 pu gives the formula in Table 1.
1 σ 1
Du ¼ 1 erfc pffiffiffi erfc ð2ð1 uÞÞ : ðB:8Þ
2 2
Appendix B. Details on mathematical analyses of dominance The complementary error function erfcðzÞ is a decreasing
formulae function of z, so dDu =dσ 4 0, i.e. dDu =d J=S 4 0.
Continuous log-series
Appendix C. Supplementary material
Consider the dominance formula for the continuous log-series
distribution: Supplementary data associated with this article can be found in
liðuð1 xÞÞ the online version at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.09.011.
Du ¼ 1 : ðB:1Þ
lið1 xÞ
Thus, References
!
d liðuð1 xÞÞ
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