Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PROGRAMME
INTERIM REPORT ON
Submitted to:
AIT-SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT, GREATER NOIDA
I would like to thank all my friends who did their SIP from
GBS for their valuable suggestions and support.
This project aims to studies supply and demand in a market for stock of
Infosys technology Ltd. in an attempt to determine what direction, or
trend, will continue in the future. In other words, with the help of
several indicators it analyzes the relationship between price – volume
and supply – demand for the stock of Infosys technology ltd.
The first part of paper gives the brief idea about “Infosys Technology
Limited”.
The second part of the paper deals with the tools of technical analysis
which has been applied to analysis the relation between share price and
volume.
At the end of this paper by applying the tools it aims to predict the
future price movement of Infosys technology Ltd. As well as it also
explain the News and their impact on Stock price.
List of Tables
Sl. No. Particular Page No.
Table 1 Management Infosys 17
Table 2 Listing Detail 18
Table 3 Capital Structure 19
Table 4 Share Holding Pattern 20
Table 5 AGM/EGM Detail 21
Table 5 Dividend Details 23
Table 6 Bonus History 24
Table 7 Split History 24
Table 8 Competition 25
Table 9 Historical Price 26
Table 10 News Analysis 51
Table 11 Block Deals 64
Table 11 Option Price 64
Despite all the fancy and exotic tools it employs, technical analysis
really just studies supply and demand in a market in an attempt to
determine what direction, or trend, will continue in the future. In other
words, technical analysis attempts to understand the emotions in the
market by studying the market itself, as opposed to its components.
History
started the company by borrowing INR 10,000 from his wife Sudha
headquarters.
Morgan Stanley which picked up 13% of equity at the offer price of Rs.
95 per share. The share price surged to Rs. 8,100 by 1999 making it the
costliest share on the market at the time. At that time, Infosys was
Exchange till the year 2000, Infosys' sales and earnings compounded at
more than 70% a year. In the year 2000, President of the United States
award, for the years 2003, 2004 and 2005, being the only Indian
Infosys was rated best employer to work for in 2000, 2001, and 2002 by
accounted for nearly 80% of the [H-1B] visa petitions approved in 2007
Innovative Companies.
From December 2008 till April 2009, Infosys has fired over 2500
hard by lower revenue from a crisis hit European and North American
market. On Aril 15, 2009 Infosys reported its first ever sequential fall in
Consulting (CS)
Enterprise Solutions (ES): ERP, CRM, HCM, SCM, BI/DW,
BPM-EAI
Infrastructure Management Services (IMS)
Product Engineering and Validation Services (PEVS)
Systems Integration (SI)
Finacle : Core Banking Product
Name Designation
K Dinesh Director
Name Designation
Listing Information
Face Value Of Equity Shares 5
Market Lot Of Equity Shares 1
BSE Code 500209
NSE Code INFOSYSTCH
BSE Group A
Listing On
Listed On The Stock Exchange, Mumbai,
National Stock Exchange of India Ltd.,
NASDAQ Stock Exchange
Table 2
Bonus History
Announcement Bonus Record Ex-Bonus Date
Date Ratio Date
30-11-1999 10 5 24-01-2000
Source : Religare Technova
Table 7
Historical Price
Date Open high low Close Volume
28-Aug-09 2,185.00 2,199.00 2,142.50 2,187.65 135,164
27-Aug-09 2,180.00 2,202.70 2,121.20 2,189.75 196,202
26-Aug-09 2,105.00 2,188.00 2,098.00 2,181.35 254,324
25-Aug-09 2,068.00 2,104.00 2,041.00 2,096.10 151,542
24-Aug-09 2,041.00 2,082.40 2,041.00 2,076.15 115,593
21-Aug-09 1,993.05 2,036.15 1,972.00 2,028.50 232,789
20-Aug-09 1,970.40 1,995.00 1,955.05 1,992.80 219,033
19-Aug-09 1,985.00 1,988.00 1,936.00 1,950.70 150,657
18-Aug-09 1,974.95 1,999.00 1,957.00 1,971.40 145,082
17-Aug-09 2,015.00 2,018.70 1,971.25 1,983.05 105,485
14-Aug-09 2,060.00 2,064.00 2,026.05 2,039.85 63,697
Resistance
Support
Figure 2
1st June – 30th June +174.9 (10.92%)
Resistance
Support
Figure 3
1st July – 31st July, 2009 +287 (16.15%)
Support
Figure 4
Resistance
Support
Figure 5
Original
%chang in
sl no. Date Open Close Chang in
price
price
Interpretation
between 25-50. The highest difference has been +114 on 4 may 2009, -246 on 19 may 2009,
-102 on 11th June 2009. Looking at volume and price charts it is clear that on 19 th of may
volume was high but change in price was negative it reveals that there was selling pressure in
the market.
On an average difference between opening and high is Rs. 35 and the major change was 120,on
4th may, 105 12th may, 132 10th July, and 120 on 20th July. If we closely look at the chart or
difference between high and low than it is clear from data or chart that it moves in the range of
20-25.
Interpretation
On an average the Infosys technology goes low Rs.35, however the highest difference (opening-
Closing) was Rs 255 on 19 may 2009, 126 on 11th June, 99.95 on 21 July. but it may go low in
Infosys
look at the Sensex chart, it must notice that around July Sensex made lowest point while
Infosys did not breach even its June low which itself is higher than its May 2009 low. That
shows that Infosys was doing relatively batter than the general market.
Figure 10
Interpretation
Looking at the chart closely reveals that the stock more often than not rose on brisk trade.
On down days, stock eased on low volume. That's a good sign that indicates that big
institutional investors were not dumping the stock during the downturn. The support
from big investors and institutions is a must if stock is to make big moves upward.
Bollinger Bands
Overview
Bollinger Bands are similar to moving average envelopes. The difference between Bollinger Bands and envelopes
is envelopes are plotted at a fixed percentage above and below a moving average, whereas Bollinger Bands are
plotted at standard deviation levels above and below a moving average. Since standard deviation is a measure of
volatility, the bands are self-adjusting: widening during volatile markets and contracting during calmer periods.
Figure 11
Figure 13
Interpretation
When the bands lie close together a period of low volatility in stock price is indicated. When
they are far apart a period of high volatility in price is indicated. When the bands have only a
slight slope and lie approximately parallel for an extended time the price of a stock will be
found to oscillate up and down between the bands as though in a channel.
Sharp price changes tend to occur after the bands tighten, as volatility lessens.
When prices move outside the bands, a continuation of the current trend is implied.
Bottoms and tops made outside the bands followed by bottoms and tops made inside the bands
call for reversals in the trend.
AIT-School Of Management, Greater Noida - 43 -
A move that originates at one band tends to go all the way to the other band. This observation is useful
when projecting price targets.
Looking closely at chart reveals that July – August has been high volatility period and the
band tighten in the last hour it reveals that sharp change will be in next day.
Moving Average
Overview
A Moving Average is an indicator that shows the average value of a security's price over a period of
time. When calculating a moving average, a mathematical analysis of the security's average value over
a predetermined time period is made. As the security's price changes, its average price moves up or
down.
Figure 14
moving average of the security's price with the security's price itself. A buy signal is generated when the
security's price rises above its moving average and a sell signal is generated when the security's price
In this case looking at charts it can be say that one can buy the stock because price rise above
The MACD is the difference between a 26-day and 12-day exponential moving average. A 9-day
exponential moving average, called the "signal" (or "trigger") line is plotted on top of the MACD to show
buy/sell opportunities. (Appel specifies exponential moving averages as percentages as explained on
page 170. Thus, he refers to these three moving averages as 7.5%, 15%, and 20% respectively.)
Figure 16
MACD
Signal line
The MACD proves most effective in wide-swinging trading markets. There are three
Since both the chart depict that MACD rise above its signal line, a buy signal
occurs. Means still one can buy this share. However it is likely that the security
price is overextending and will soon return to more realistic levels. Looking
closely at 1st chart in MACD is making new low in July while prices fails to reach
new low, means a bearish divergence occurs which can be seen in the next month.
Overview
The Momentum indicator measures the amount that a security's price has changed over a given
time span.
Figure 17
Interpretation
Looking at chart closely reveals that in may 2009 momentum indicator reach
extremely high value and then turns down, the same condition is there during June
, July and in August it reach extremely low values , it depict that that a
Figure 18
(Parameter 20, 50)
Figure 19
the relationship between moving averages of the security's price with the
In this case in the month of July shorter moving average cross above the
longer moving average means there was a buying opportunity and looking at
the chart it can be say that buying decision in July was not wrong and again
it is likely to cross. Means one can buy this share because price is likely to go
28-
Au
g- 14.
09 2,185.00 2,199.00 2,142.50 2,187.65 135,164 -2.65 00 42.50
27-
Au
g- 22.
09 2,180.00 2,202.70 2,121.20 2,189.75 196,202 -9.75 70 58.80
26-
Au
g- 83.
09 2,105.00 2,188.00 2,098.00 2,181.35 254,324 -76.35 00 7.00
25-
Au
g- 36.
09 2,068.00 2,104.00 2,041.00 2,096.10 151,542 -28.10 00 27.00
24-
Au
g- 41.
09 2,041.00 2,082.40 2,041.00 2,076.15 115,593 -35.15 40 0.00
23-
Au
g- 0.0
09 0.00 0 0.00
20-
Au
g- 24.
09 1,970.40 1,995.00 1,955.05 1,992.80 219,033 -22.40 60 15.35
19-
Au
g- 3.0
09 1,985.00 1,988.00 1,936.00 1,950.70 150,657 34.30 0 49.00
18- 1,974.95 1,999.00 1,957.00 1,971.40 145,082 3.55 24. 17.95
Au 05
Table 12
Option Price
Table 13
Finding:
REASONS:
I. Looking closely at Monthly chart it is clear that last month Resistance become
Support for next month and the same can be predicted for September.
II. 2nd quarter result may be favorable.
Recommendation*:
1. One can buy it
2. Since the maximum price has been ------------ , so in the near future it may
likely to go down, because it has been overpriced.
3. One can hold it for a shorter period.