Professional Documents
Culture Documents
NEXUS
REPORT
Climate +
Supply Chain
The Business Case
for Action
September 2018
Contents
05 Executive Summary
09 CLIMATE RISKS
13 Business Actions
18 Conclusion
19 Endnotes
About this Report
Climate change affects each and every human chain, just transition, and health. All papers
around the globe, with profound implications for in this series are aimed at business to drive
social justice and human rights. Health-related resilience inside the company, across supply
stresses, competition for natural resources, chains, and within vulnerable communities.
and the impacts on livelihoods, hunger, and The reports address issues that are material
migration warrant immediate global action. to business, vital in the current political
This report is part of a series of six climate environment, and key to building resilience.
nexus reports that cover human rights, inclusive
economy, women’s empowerment, supply
This paper explores the nexus of The report also benefited from conversations
climate change and the supply chain. with BSR member companies, the secretariat
The purpose of this report is to: of the Task Force for Climate-related Financial
Disclosures (TCFD), and BSR partner
01
Identify the potential impacts that climate organizations in the We Mean Business
change will have on company supply chains, coalition.
particularly vis-à-vis the focus of supply chain
management on cost, speed, quality, and While climate risks differ considerably
uncertainty. by industry, this report is intended to be
relevant across most sectors. The primary
Outline how companies can enhance audience of this report is corporate supply
Disclaimer
BSR publishes occasional papers as a contribution to the understanding of the role of
business in society and the trends related to corporate social responsibility and responsible
business practices. BSR maintains a policy of not acting as a representative of its
membership, nor does it endorse specific policies or standards. The views expressed in
this publication are those of its authors and do not reflect those of BSR members.
Suggested Citation
Wei, David, and Chase, Marshall. 2018. “Climate and Supply Chain: The Business Case for
Action.” Report. BSR, San Francisco.
Climate action
presents opportunities
for companies to reduce
Increase the existing supply chain costs.
$ $ $
uncertainty and
magnitude of supply
chain disruptions
Reporting from members of CDP’s supply chain
program show that 99 participating companies
saved US$14B
Increase the cost,
and variability of cost,
of producing goods
and services
while
551
reducing GHG
emissions by
Disrupt the delivery of
Reduce the quality goods and services in
million tons
of goods and a speedy and timely
services provided fashion
of C02- equivalent
US$15B and
• Western Digital, with one third of the global hard
drive market, lost 45 percent of its shipments.
• HP lost US$2 billion.
US$20B
• NEC cut 10,000 jobs due to a global shortage of
hard disk drives.**
• Toyota, Honda, and Nissan lost 240,000, 150,000,
and 33,000 cars respectively.***
• Some companies had to postpone new car models.****
Recommendations
Companies can address climate-related risks in their supply chains, create value, and potentially
develop a competitive advantage by identifying and acting where they have the greatest impact
and influence.
CLIMATE
prioritize high-risk areas that offer the greatest opportunity for creating
supply chain resilience—including areas of high GHG emissions and
PRIORITIES areas of high climate vulnerability.
IMPACT addressing supply chain climate priorities. They can also determine
whether there is any need for a company to amend its approach.
01 Consider a broad range of climate risks and prioritize parts of the supply
chain that are most at risk.
02
Implement supply chain actions, including with internal procurement
teams, with suppliers, and through broader collaboration, and develop
measurable targets for these actions.
03 Evaluate the impact of supply chain actions and adjust actions and
targets over time.
By integrating climate risks and building the climate resilience of the communities on which
supply chains depend, companies increase the likelihood of fulfilling their supply chain objectives.
Integrating Climate
Risks into Supply
Chain Management
Supply chain management is a critical tool for business
success in the world’s increasingly complex, global, and
interdependent economy. More and more, supply chains
face disruption as a result of climate change—an effect that is
amplified by the features of modern supply chains. Successful
companies will assess and address the various risks that
climate change poses to their supply chains.
Climate + Supply Chain Integrating Climate Risks into Supply Chain Management September 2018 06
The Nexus
At its core, supply chain management has four
primary objectives:
Global supply chains that transport goods across great distances are
subject to more geographic risk.1 Specialized inputs produced in few
locations make companies vulnerable to local disruption. Just-in-time
manufacturing and the use of big data analytics to reduce inventories
mean less protection when disruption hits. And the transformation of
once linear supply chains into complex networks means that
disruptions are becoming more unpredictable. As a result, climate
change is a systemic risk that affects every large multinational company.
Climate + Supply Chain Integrating Climate Risks into Supply Chain Management September 2018 07
Climate Change and
Supply Chain Management
In the World Economic Forum’s 2018 This paper details how climate change affects
Global Risks Report, extreme weather supply chain management, how this impacts
events, natural disasters, and failure of business success, and how supply chain
climate change mitigation and adaptation management professionals can incorporate
again topped the list of risks with the highest climate risks into their focus on cost, speed,
likelihood and impact,2 underscoring that quality, and uncertainty while providing
climate change presents material risks opportunities to add low-carbon and climate-
to business. This is recognized by the resilient qualities that customers seek from
recommendations of the TCFD, which remind goods and services.
us that because climate-related risk is non-
diversifiable and affects nearly all sectors,
investors believe it requires special attention.3
Climate risks—which result from the ongoing In 2017, three Category 4 hurricanes
warming of the Earth’s atmosphere and —Harvey, Irma, and Maria—slammed
society’s attempt to limit that warming—affect into the Caribbean and the United
each of the four main objectives of supply
chain management. They may:
States. In the United States, Hurricane
Maria’s destruction of medical device
• Increase the cost, and variability of cost, manufacturing capacity in Puerto Rico
of producing goods and services. led to a national shortage of medical
• Disrupt the delivery of goods and services IVs, forcing hospitals to use alternative
in a speedy and timely fashion. products and suppliers. The sectors with
• Reduce the quality of goods and services the highest potential for revenue loss due
provided.
to Hurricane Harvey were petroleum and
• Increase the uncertainty and magnitude coal products manufacturing (37 percent),
of supply chain disruptions.
chemical manufacturing (13 percent), and
oil and gas extraction (12 percent).4
Climate + Supply Chain Integrating Climate Risks into Supply Chain Management September 2018 08
Climate Risks
Climate change presents a wide range of risks to businesses
and the communities on which they depend. Some risks result
from direct physical changes to the environment. Others are
indirect and result from our collective response to climate
change and our efforts to transition to a low-GHG economy.
The TCFD recommendations provide a useful framework to help companies disclose their
climate risks, and accordingly to help supply chain professionals understand the types of
climate risks they face. Today, the major sustainability reporting standards (CDP, SASB, and
GRI) are aligning their approach with the TCFD recommendations, which is creating more
consistency across the reporting landscape (and removing a pain point for sustainability
practitioners).
Physical Risks
The TCFD recommendations speak to Climate change may also directly affect
two types of physical climate risks: acute the operations of a company’s tier 1
physical risks, which are event-driven, such suppliers over both the short and long
as cyclones, hurricanes, and floods; and term. For example, extreme weather events
chronic physical risks, which are from may suddenly shut down supplier facilities,
longer-term shifts in climate patterns, such or chronic heat waves may decrease a
as sea-level rise, drought, and chronic heat supplier’s production efficiency and increase
waves.5 Both acute and chronic physical cost due to additional wear and tear on
risks affect the cost, speed, or quality of production lines.
supplier inputs to a company, as well as the
uncertainty and resilience of supply. In addition to physical operations and
material inputs, climate risks disrupt local
Climate risks alter the availability of raw communities in many ways, which can affect
material and energy supply to a company a supplier’s labor force. For example, climate
and to its suppliers. Acute physical risks such change may aggravate disease vectors that
as unexpected flooding or water shortages worsen worker health and put additional
can force the temporary shutdown of a power stress on public health infrastructure. Higher
plant, mine, or transportation route. Chronic temperatures decrease labor productivity by
physical risks, such as rising temperatures or around 2 percent per degree centigrade.6
changing rainfall patterns, can alter the yield In the U.S., total hours of labor declined by
of agricultural commodity inputs and degrade half a percent per degree centigrade among
infrastructure and will require a shift away workers exposed to outdoor temperatures,
from past transportation routes. such as those in construction, agriculture,
mining, and manufacturing.7
Climate + Supply Chain Integrating Climate Risks into Supply Chain Management September 2018 09
Transition Risks
The TCFD also identifies risks from the Market risks arise as climate change affects
transition to a low-GHG economy. customer demand for various types of goods
and services. For example, reduced snowfall
Policy and legal risks result from a in mountainous areas has resulted in fewer
number of sources: policies to reduce GHG tourists and reduced sales for winter sports.
emissions, such as carbon markets, carbon Customers are also increasingly accounting
taxes, or policies that indirectly impose for climate action when making purchases,
a carbon price; policies that promote as evidenced by the growing interest in low-
resilience to physical climate risks; and carbon transportation,9 companies testing
climate-related legal action brought before the market for “carbon neutral” electronics,10
the courts. These increase supply chain and the risk that climate change may lead to
costs related to GHG emissions, driving the reevaluation of coastal real estate prices.11
up the price of high-carbon energy inputs.
These risks cascade into supply chains as
They also increase supply chain costs as suppliers change their production in response
companies work to ensure legal compliance. to market signals. Market uncertainty may
Similar to recent laws on conflict minerals lead companies to seek greater supply chain
reporting (e.g., Dodd-Frank section 1502), the flexibility. If a company uses outside financing
California Transparency in Supply Chains Act, to support supply chain activities, climate
the UK Modern Slavery Act, and France’s change may cause financial institutions,
Due Diligence Law, future regulation may (including lenders, underwriters, and insurers)
require increased transparency about GHG to increase the cost of capital for higher-GHG
emissions and climate risk management in activities and locations more exposed to
supply chains. For example, implementation climate impacts.
of the TCFD recommendations through
regulation would require that companies Reputational risks arise because a
assess and disclose their climate risks in company’s engagement with its supply
mainstream financial reporting. Finally, legal chain may affect its brand reputation and
compliance requirements may reduce the prospects for future business. Customers
pool of suppliers available to a company, may become increasingly concerned about
increasing the concentration of risk. buying from companies that do business with
heavy emitters or with companies that do not
These policy and legal risks will increase over support community resilience in their supply
time because the Paris Agreement requires chains. Climate advocates are also increasing
that each country submit new emissions- awareness by publicly criticizing industries
reduction targets every five years. These and companies that are slow to act on their
targets represent a progression beyond supply chains.12
previous commitments and reflect each
country’s highest possible ambition.8 Conversely, sustainability leadership for
large multinationals increasingly includes
Technology risks come from new emissions-reduction targets across full value
production, transportation, information, and chains. These include General Mills’ “farm
other technologies that dramatically affect to fork to landfill” target, Carlsberg’s “beer
entire value chains. The advent of container in hand” target, Coca-Cola’s “drink in your
shipping and just-in-time manufacturing hand” target, Walmart’s “Project Gigaton”,
presented similar disruptions in the past, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s (HPE) 100
and blockchain technologies may do so in million ton target. For example, in order to join
the future. the Science Based Targets initiative—where
companies agree to an emissions-reduction
target representing their share of the global
Climate + Supply Chain Integrating Climate Risks into Supply Chain Management September 2018 10
goal of holding warming well below 2°C— Successful supply chain management builds
companies whose value chains account resilience against all of these risks by both
for more than 40 percent of total emissions reducing the vulnerability of supply chains
must include “ambitious and measurable” and the communities along them to physical
targets that cover the majority of value chain risks and by reducing GHG emissions along
emissions.13 Leadership in the climate space the supply chain to manage transition risks.
increasingly involves levering emissions out
of suppliers.
Opportunities
The TCFD recommendations also define resilience to climate impacts. Companies
business opportunities derived from efforts to that can successfully navigate physical and
mitigate and adapt to climate change, which regulatory risks, meet changing customer
are the flip side of climate risks. Opportunities expectations, and effectively adapt to
include resource efficiency, the benefits of changing technology will be better placed to
low-GHG energy sources, the development compete given the impacts and uncertainties
of innovative products and services, new created by climate change.
markets in the low-GHG economy, and
Cost
Climate risks will drive significant cost In 2010, drought in Russia delivered
changes in many supply chains, whether economic losses estimated at US$15 billion,
from physical impacts that increase the cost as wildfires destroyed crops.14 Resulting
of infrastructure maintenance, agricultural export restrictions had the knock-on effect
inputs, and worker health, or from policy and of contributing to global price increases.
legal changes that affect the cost of fuel, Similarly, record-breaking temperatures in the
energy, and other high-carbon inputs. Actual U.S. over the summer of 2012 reduced corn
costs will vary considerably by value chain, supply and increased meat and dairy prices.
region, and other variables, but the impact of Global food prices soared by 10 percent
climate risks to cost cannot be ignored. between June and July of that year.15 In the
long term, climate impacts are projected to
result in price rises of 37 percent for rice, 55
percent for maize, and 11 percent for wheat.16
Climate + Supply Chain Integrating Climate Risks into Supply Chain Management September 2018 11
Transport costs will rise as climate impacts It is important to note that climate action
damage infrastructure and regulation also presents opportunities for companies
increases the price of high-carbon transport. to reduce existing supply chain costs.
According to the U.S. General Accounting Reporting from members of CDP’s supply
Office, climate change may result in US$7.4 chain program show that 99 participating
billion in avoidable adaptation costs per year companies saved US$14 billion while
to U.S. roads.17 And since transportation reducing GHG emissions by 551 million tons
uses over 50 percent of global primary oil of CO2-equivalent.19
production to meet nearly all of its energy
demand, regulation imposing a carbon price
will directly affect logistics costs throughout
the supply chain.18
Quality
Quality goods and services meet or exceed India’s silk industry, and the cocoons that
customer expectations. Quality is a key factor survived were of low quality. A more limited
that affects the likelihood of repeat business ability to control indoor environments in India
from customers, the cost of warranty repairs means that silk production relies on strains
or recalls, and a range of other issues. Climate of silkworms that are more resilient to warm
change affects the existing quality of goods temperatures and fluctuations in humidity, but
and services in some cases, and in other produce lower-quality silk.26
cases it is changing customer expectations.
Food quality also will be affected. Growing
For example, luxury fashion supply chains wheat, rice, barley, or potato in high-CO2
depend on high-quality fibers such as vicuña. concentrations reduces the protein content
A Kering-Maplecroft analysis found that the by between 10 percent and 14 percent. Some
entire vicuña territory is a regional climate risk crops may also show reduced mineral and
hot spot, and therefore maintaining a supply micronutrient concentrations.27 And higher
of high-quality fibers will require a coordinated temperatures in Ethiopia and elsewhere may
effort.25 In 2014, Cyclone Hudhud damaged result in lower-quality coffee beans.28
Business Actions
Companies can address climate-related risks in their supply
chains, create value, and potentially develop a competitive
advantage by identifying and acting where they have the
greatest impact on the environment, and the greatest influence.
The framework outlined for this process here was first
introduced in BSR’s 2015 report Business Action for
Climate-Resilient Supply Chains.32
STEP 1: Companies can determine the scope for the exercise, focusing on categories of
high spend, as well as any categories that are deemed high priority, such as business-critical
suppliers or key raw materials that are not sourced directly.
STEP 2: Companies can develop two scores for each category—one for “emissions” and one
for “vulnerability.”
TAKE ACTION
Climate action takes many forms, and If there is no such team, we recommend
companies can be more efficient by talking to individuals in key departments
adopting a structured approach to identify about the identified climate priorities. Relevant
those actions with the highest potential for departments to consult depend on the
impact. Companies can reference the TCFD structure of the individual company and may
framework discussed above, or the capital include business continuity, engineering and
assets outlined on page 17, to help identify design, enterprise risk management, finance,
actions that address the key physical and governance, import/export compliance,
transition risks that they, their suppliers, and logistics, manufacturing, procurement,
other stakeholders face. quality, security, sourcing, and supplier
management.33
There are three types of supply chain
climate actions that companies can There are multiple opportunities to consult
take: internal, with suppliers, and in with suppliers about how they address their
broader collaboration. own climate priorities: Add the topic to a
supplier development meeting, discuss the
Internal action is about working with teams topic at a supplier forum, send out a short
in procurement and related functions to questionnaire, or work questions into existing
improve requirements and processes to questionnaires and other data-gathering tools.
more successfully consider climate impacts
in sourcing and procurement decisions. There already are many existing collaborative
Supplier action is about setting requirements initiatives focused on material areas of
and encouraging suppliers to reduce their impact for supply chains across sectors.
emissions, develop adaptive capacity, and Investigating existing programs and
participate in programs with these goals. understanding where they are most active
Collaborative action is about joining, leading, and successful can help companies focus
or starting initiatives with other businesses on where they might want to invest time and
and stakeholders. These initiatives can be effort. When considering which initiatives to
commodity-focused, industry-focused, or embrace, consider how they are governed
community-focused. and their impact.
Businesses may already be developing climate- For more detail about actions that companies
resilient supply chains, even if the actions are can take within their business, with suppliers,
not branded directly as relevant to climate. and with collaborative initiatives, please see
Our recommendation is to start by asking key BSR’s 2015 report.34
internal departments, suppliers, and external
stakeholders about their activities. Once actions are identified, companies need
to prioritize and ensure this prioritization relies
Internally, businesses likely have substantial on a robust rationale. This could include
information about specific supply chain risks. prioritization factors, such as a company’s
If there is a supply chain risk-management level of ambition, resources needed, the
team in place, team members already monitor potential scale and likelihood of the impact
a number of risks related to climate change. on key metrics, or the measurability of results.
In particular, metrics can help a company could include, for example, the amount of
understand the outcomes and impacts of supplier financial investment in infrastructure
its climate actions and adjust targets over that helps minimize the impact of climate
time. While a wide array of possible metrics change or the percent of spend with suppliers
exist,35 there is growing momentum around in vulnerable locations. Metrics could also
consistent, comparable climate metrics and include the number of suppliers with climate-
disclosures, particularly for GHG emissions. preparedness plans.
Specific metrics may vary by industry, but they
can build on existing carbon accounting and To help identify priorities, establish areas
reporting standards. We believe standardized for action and targets, and evaluate results,
supply chain emissions metrics are best when companies can review the areas of value,
linked to science-based targets for emissions or capital assets, that intersect their supply
reductions. Metrics for adaptive capacity chains. BSR has identified six capital assets.36
12 https://www.ecotextile. 25 https://www.bsr.org/en/our-insights/
com/2018050423464/labels-legisla- report-view/climate-change-implica-
tion-news/ngo-takes-swipe-at-levi-s-in-cli- tions-and-strategies-for-the-luxury-fash-
mate-change-row.html ion-sector
13 https://sciencebasedtargets.org