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Article history: Actual cost of construction projects generally differs from planned cost, where this could reach a value
Received 27 August 2018 between 21% and 55%. In Residential construction, cost overruns form a crucial problem. A suggested
Revised 16 October 2018 methodology to mitigate this problem is Value Management (VM), which has proven to be an effective
Accepted 20 November 2018
approach. Thus, the main objective of this paper is to examine the role of VM in Controlling Cost
Available online 15 February 2019
Overrun, with special reference to Residential Projects in Egypt. A literature review was applied on the
basics of project cost implementation. In addition, a qualitative analysis of case studies was performed.
Keywords:
Finally, a questionnaire survey that assessed the impact of applying VE on Residential projects in Egypt
Cost management
Residential Construction
was performed. Findings of this paper highlighted the value added from applying Methodologies of VM,
Value management where it was observed that it could achieve 15–40% savings of the total project cost.
Cost overrun Ó 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Ain Shams University.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-
nd/4.0/).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asej.2018.11.008
2090-4479/Ó 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Ain Shams University.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
472 L.M. Khodeir, A. El Ghandour / Ain Shams Engineering Journal 10 (2019) 471–479
2. Literature review estimate accuracy; (ii) Government regulation and control level;
(iii) Construction completion delay; (iv) The number of design
The first step towards achieving the aim of this research is changes; and (v) Additional benefits’ increase [12]. According to
undergoing a comprehensive literature review of recent researches other literature sources, four reasons are responsible for the
that dealt with the concepts of cost overruns, Value management exceeding of project costs, these are: (i) Incomplete drawings; (ii)
and the significance of residential construction projects in Egypt. Weak planning process; (iii) Increased cost of materials; (iv) Lack
of timely decisions; [13]. In general, the performance of the con-
2.1. Defining cost overrun struction projects’ costs is one of the most important measure-
ments that a project’s success is judged upon [14].
The term ‘‘Cost Overrun” can be defined as the state when: In order to make the abovementioned factors clear, Table 1
‘‘when the final cost of the project exceeds the original estimates” demonstrates two examples for cost overruns that were discussed
[4]. The cost has no doubt proven to be an essential component to through literature sources, [15]. The selection of these examples
accomplish any project’s success, as well as one of the most factors was based on the fact that they both suffered from cost overruns
that impact the project’s quality [5]. It is believed that construction with varying percentages, and they both represented the type of
projects should be experiencing an increase of about 33% on average projects this paper is mainly concerned with, namely ‘‘Residential
[6]. According to a comprehensive research that was performed on Projects”. These examples proved that the initial estimated cost
cost overruns in international construction projects [7], it was dis- varies off the final exact cost. In addition, factors impacting cost
covered that 9 out of 10 projects have passed the previously set esti- overrun in the two examples were deduced, these include: Weak
mations, 50–100% excesses were postulated to be common and had planning process and the inaccuracy in original cost estimate. An
a constant for 70 years through which data was available [8]. Explanation of cost overrun in the examples using comparison
In most developing countries, the trend is different; at times charts between planned cost and actual cost to is shown in Figs. 2
projects reach as much as a 100% of cost variance. Low quality and 3 respectively.
materials might have a clear impact on construction cost, even
higher than the expected/estimated, which is mainly caused by 2.2. Residential projects in Egypt
material loss during the implementation process. This problems,
and others are the resultant of lack of standards that could mitigate One of the most current active industries in the Egyptian econ-
cost overrun and decrease construction costs, causing many con- omy is the construction industry, as the residential units continue
struction firms to fail [9]. Therefore, the development of an accu- to grow rapidly to cope with the expansion of the population in
rate cost management strategy is essential, moreover, the Egypt. The composition of the country’s population is one of the
application of the strategy of, ‘‘Proactive Cost Management” will most aggressive contributors to the booming of this kind of pro-
be the way through [10]. jects. Construction projects consist of complex operations that can-
One of the most important and largely impacting factors in the not be predicted. It is as well very scarce to find unchanged
project management’s life cycle is ‘‘Cost”; it can be considered as a construction projects in terms of different aspects of the process.
driver of the project success. Aside from its previously proved vital- This, of course, leads to quite a noticeable variation orders, which
ity, it is very redundant to witness the failure of a project’s objec- in turn causes cost overrun, time delay, quality defects and other
tive achievement within the previously set cost. Cost deviation negative impacts. Moreover, they lead as well to the uncertainty
from the initial plan is dominating in most construction project of flow processes and the increase of non-value-adding processes
sites. However, there were not enough efforts exerted to eliminate which reduce the value of the output [16].
this proved phenomenon.
In the coming part of this research attempts to closely study, 2.2.1. Significance of residential projects in Egypt
search, identify and estimate the importance of different factors The importance of housing projects in Egypt is quite relevant to
that could affect cost deviation and variance within Egyptian resi- the increasing demand on private housing projects. Therefore, con-
dential projects according to their impact and importance respec- structors have to initiate projects which meet all the requirements
tively; it also offers possible methodologies to get along with this of different standards of people. The demand density requires a lot
vast spread phenomenon [11]. of work from the research studies to deliver the highest efficiency
in the shortest time within currently available options. The hous-
2.1.1. Factors affecting cost overruns ing problem is one of the most common and vastly spreading prob-
Cost overruns in construction projects are generally affected lems that generally face decision makers in Arab countries,
with a number of factors, these factors include: (i) Original cost particularly in Egypt, which forces the state to be responsible to
L.M. Khodeir, A. El Ghandour / Ain Shams Engineering Journal 10 (2019) 471–479 473
Table 1 meet this high market demand and provide sufficient housing
Cost overrun in residential projects. Source: Updated after [15]. units for citizens, especially the youth, low-income citizens. The
point of Example 1 Example 2 most basic needs of a 21st century citizen of any country are food,
comparison clothing and adequate housing [17].
project name Project Completion of 3343 Mansheyet Nasser Housing The residential construction market is predicted to be expanded
housing units in the new Project in New Cairo. during the forecast period. As previously discussed, the population
housing complex in Helwan growth and urbanization have the most impact regarding that mat-
Factors Week Planning Process: Week Planning Process:
affecting The different nature of the The different nature of the
ter. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Fig. 4
cost overrun soil than expected and the soil than expected, which shows a steep trend in comparison to time, which indicates how
addition of quantities of led to an increase in the rapidly the population increases. Fig. 5 illustrates how the coun-
work and the items did not percentage of excavation try’s urbanization rate increased in response. This pattern/rate is
exist in the bill of item, due to lack of interest
expected to proceed; as new housings continue [18].
quantities, due to lack of in soil studies during the
interest in soil studies design phase.
during the design phase.
2.2.2. Spreading of residential projects in Egypt
Week Planning Process: In- accuracy in the original
The project was stopped at cost estimate accuracy: It was found that the land area on which Egyptians live is just
the beginning to complete Increase in the value of 5–7% of the total land area of Egypt. Accordingly, the government
the licenses due to lack of block work due to an error considers increasing resident’s occupation potential areas as a
interest in the preparation in estimating the quantities practical solution to this problem. Thus, the demand for more res-
of licenses during the during the design phase.
design phase .
idential projects to start launching increases. Such a huge expan-
Cost A model for large The second project sion in the youth that is expected to go on for 25 more years
construction projects in represents a model for possibly pressurizes the state to step up urbanization expending.
terms of value exceeding construction projects of less In the past few years, building of 27 new urban cities has been
fifty million pounds. than 10 million pounds.
completed and people have occupied them too. However, this is
The contracting the Arab Contractors Mohammed Abu Al Wafa
company Company Contracting Company planned to be expanded to reach a total of 59 cities by 2018 (Real
estate sector to grow, 2015). This booming in the sector of the real
estate will be reflected in more similar residential units all over the
country [19].
Those repetitive projects of residential units are composed of a
number of identical blocks, a unit in a block as an example that
could be a repetitive floor in a high-rise building or a model house
in a housing project. Redundant projects have redundant activities
with identical durations that are the ongoing processes during con-
struction of a typical, repetitive house and those processes are by
default repeated in all units and blocks within that specific project.
One of the main issues which causes overrun during the construc-
tion process is underrating the importance of determining an esti-
mated cost as accurate as possible during the early stages of
projects [19].
*
SAVE International is the premier international professional society devoted to
Fig. 3. Percentage of cost overrun in two examples. Source: Author. advancing and promoting the Value Methodology in the united states and worldwide.
474 L.M. Khodeir, A. El Ghandour / Ain Shams Engineering Journal 10 (2019) 471–479
Fig. 7. The phases of the project and its relation to the expected savings by SAVE International. Source [24].
phases, as shown in Fig. 9, starting from the information phase and Project Name A luxurious residential National Project for Housing
ending with the presentation phase as follows: compound choose The Unit of
ownership
of residential
Information Phase: Gathering information to better understand Basic Data 1700 residential Units with an area of 63
the project. units over 300,300sqm square meters
Function Analysis Phase: Analyzing the project to understand Selection Due to the significance Due to small project scale
Criteria of the estimated which specifies a project for
and clarify the tasks required.
construction costs, low-cost housing projects.
Creative Phase: Generating ideas about all possible ways to which drew the attention
accomplish the required tasks. of the executive
Evaluation Phase: Compiling ideas and concepts to identify pos- management.
sible ideas for development.
Table 3
Application of VM creativity and evaluation phases on examples. Source: Authors after [30,31].
Table 4
Comparison between analysis of 2 Examples before and after applying VM. Source: updated after [30,31].
4.1. Findings of the survey questionnaire Fig. 13. Level of awareness of VM.
A number of basic findings were extracted from the application 4.1.2. The application VM in residential projects
of the survey questionnaire. The degree of agreement on applying Value Management in
Residential construction project is shown in Fig. 14. Where most
4.1.1. The general knowledge of VM of the respondents either agree or strongly agree to that. The
The extent of usage of Value Management in the construction degree of agreement on applying Value Management at the earliest
industry is shown in Fig. 12. It shows that the most respondents possible stage is shown in Fig. 15. Where more than 50% of the
agreed on a Medium usage of VM of their residential projects. This respondents agreed on the importance of applying VM from the
reflects the important role of the VM in construction in practice. early residential project conceptual stages.
Whereas, Fig. 13 shows the level of awareness of respondents
regarding VM, where almost 51.6% of the respondents are aware 4.1.3. The role of VM in controlling cost overruns
with it, which reflects an acceptable level of awareness among The Percentage of cost saving by using value management is
stakeholders. shown in Fig. 16. According to most of the respondents, VM would
Fig. 12. Percentage of using value management. Fig. 14. The percentage of VM application in Residential projects.
478 L.M. Khodeir, A. El Ghandour / Ain Shams Engineering Journal 10 (2019) 471–479
6. Conclusions
5. Generic findings
Fig. 17. The key potentials for applying VM in residential construction projects.
L.M. Khodeir, A. El Ghandour / Ain Shams Engineering Journal 10 (2019) 471–479 479
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