Question 2:

As mentioned in the case that there are only 3 curtains on the stage named orderly, A, B and C.
And just only behind one of them contains a prize of a brand-new care which is worth $ 20,000.
In the case you choose Curtain A. The host will expose an empty curtain that he knows for sure,
curtain C, then he will offer the new deal, keep curtain A or switch to curtain B.
We have the decision tree drawn like followed:

1
P ( Host ' s pick| Remain Favorable ¿= (Because if the car is behind curtain A, which we select
2
from the first time, the host have to open either curtain B, or curtain C for revealing then)

1 1
' .
P ( Hos t s pick C|Remain Favorable ) . P ( Remain Favorable ) 2 2
P ( Remain Favorable|Hos t ' pick C ) = = =
P ( Hos t ' s pick C ) 1 1 1
. + .1
2 2 2
 1 2
P ( RemainUnfavorable|Hos t ' pick C ) =1−P ( Remain Favorable|Hos t ' pick C ) =1− =
3 3

P ( Host ' s pick| Remain Favorable ¿=1 (Because if the car is in the curtain B, the host have to
open the curtain which are different from the curtain containing a car and from the selected
curtain by the player, which are curtain C)

1
.1
P ( Hos t ' s pick C|Switch Favorable ) . P ( Switch Favorable ) 2 2
P ( Switch Favorable|Hos t ' pick C )= = =
P ( Hos t ' s pick C ) 1 1 1 3
. + .1
2 2 2

2 1
P ( Switch Unfavorable|Host ' pick C )=1−P ( Switch Favorable|Hos t ' pick C ) =1− =
3 3

1 2
EMV ( Node1 ) = .20,000+ . 0=6,666.7
3 3
2 1
EMV ( Node2 ) = .20,000+ . 0=13,333.3
3 3
Because EMV ( Node2 ) > EMV ( Node 1 )> EMV ( Quit the game ), so the best strategies is to switch
to the remaining curtain, which is Curtain B, after the host chooses to open curtain C with
empty prize.