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an Baju Biasa
Date 4-Nov-19
Keterangan Satuan
3 4 5 6 7
2019 2020 2021 2022
Handicap
300 300 300 300
Skenario 1 (Optimis) 100% 105% 100% 100%
Skenario 1 (Optimis) 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.8
Skenario 1 (Optimis) 0 100 50 50
Skenario 1 (Optimis) 0 20 20 20
Skenario 1 (Optimis) 3% 3% 3% 3%
Harga
Polos Rupiah/unit
Signature Rupiah/unit
Custom Rupiah/unit
S1 Proyeksi Pendapatan
Harga
Polos Rupiah/unit
Signature Rupiah/unit
Custom Rupiah/unit
S2 Proyeksi Produksi
Produksi
Polos unit
Signature unit
Custom unit
Persediaan Akhir
Polos unit
Signature unit
Custom unit
Persediaan Awal
Polos unit
Signature unit
Custom unit
COGAS
Polos unit
Signature unit
Custom unit
Raw Material
POLOS
Cotton Combeds 40s Rupiah
Benang Rupiah
Plastik Rupiah
Total DM - POLOS Rupiah
SIGNATURE
Cotton Combeds 40s Rupiah
Benang Rupiah
Plastik Rupiah
Total DM - SIGNATURE Rupiah
CUSTOM
Cotton Combeds 40s Rupiah
Benang Rupiah
Plastik Rupiah
Total DM - CUSTOM Rupiah
Jumlah Personel
Produksi Baju Person
Pekerja sablon dan bordir Person
Indirect Material(s)
Packaging
Paper Bag Rupiah
Total Packaging
Indirect Labor(s)
General Affair Employee Rupiah
Designer Employee Rupiah
Total Indirect Labor(s)
Other Costs
Depresiasi Rupiah
Sewa tempat per tahun Rupiah
Utilitas per tahun Rupiah
Uang keamanan per tahun Rupiah
Total Other Costs
Penerimaan
Penerimaan
Total Penjualan Rupiah
Total Penerimaan
Pengeluaran
Pengeluaran
Pembelian Direct Material Rupiah
Direct Labor Rupiah
Total Indirect Material(s) Rupiah
Total Indirect Labor(s) Rupiah
Other Costs Rupiah
Total Capex Rupiah
Cicilan Rupiah
Total Pengeluaran
Kelebihan/Kekurangan Kas
Total Penerimaan Rupiah
Total Pengeluaran Rupiah
Kelebihan/(Kekurangan) Kas Rupiah
Saldo kas minimum Rupiah
Pendanaan Rupiah
S7 Proyeksi Pendanaan
Saldo Pinjaman
Saldo awal Rupiah
Pembayaran pokok Rupiah
Saldo akhir Rupiah
6,000 12,000 18,000 27,000
3,000 6,000 9,000 13,500
6,000 12,000 18,000 27,000
POLOS
205,200,000 424,764,000 638,992,800 958,489,200
78,000 161,460 242,892 364,338
1,200,000 2,484,000 3,736,800 5,605,200
206,478,000 427,409,460 642,972,492 964,458,738
SIGNATURE
102,600,000 212,382,000 319,496,400 479,244,600
39,000 80,730 121,446 182,169
600,000 1,242,000 1,868,400 2,802,600
103,239,000 213,704,730 321,486,246 482,229,369
CUSTOM
205,200,000 424,764,000 638,992,800 958,489,200
78,000 161,460 242,892 364,338
1,200,000 2,484,000 3,736,800 5,605,200
206,478,000 427,409,460 642,972,492 964,458,738
4 4 4 4
2 2 2 2
Packaging
18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000
18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000
Pengeluaran
(529,432,500) (1,084,017,600) (1,624,947,480) (2,431,465,134)
(720,000,000) (864,000,000) (1,036,800,000) (1,244,160,000)
18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000 18,000,000
(78,000,000) (93,600,000) (112,320,000) (134,784,000)
(195,320,000) (195,320,000) (195,720,000) (195,720,000)
0 0 2,000,000 0
0 0 0 0
1 2 3 4
85,600,000
(22,581,064) (22,581,064) (22,581,064) (22,581,064)
(8,560,000) (7,157,894) (5,615,576) (3,919,028)
(14,021,064) (15,423,171) (16,965,488) (18,662,037)
105,000
184,000
157,500
40,087
20,043
40,087
105,000
184,000
157,500
4,209,106,964
3,687,979,435
6,313,660,447
14,210,746,846
40,500
20,250
40,500
1,240
620
1,240
827
413
827
41,327
20,663
41,327
1,437,733,800
546,507
8,407,800
1,446,688,107
718,866,900
273,254
4,203,900
723,344,054
1,437,733,800
546,507
8,407,800
1,446,688,107
1,734,109
6,936,435
8,670,544
4,630,122
9,260,243
13,890,365
1,448,422,216
729,708,284
1,462,884,785
3,641,015,285
298,598,400
149,299,200
4
2
Rp1,194,393,600
Rp298,598,400
18,000,000
18,000,000
74,649,600
87,091,200
161,740,800
13,040,000
120,000,000
60,000,000
6,000,000
199,040,000
18,000,000
161,740,800
199,040,000
378,780,800
8,697,958,761
14,210,746,846
14,210,746,846
(3,641,015,285)
(1,492,992,000)
18,000,000
(161,740,800)
(199,040,000)
16,600,000
(5,460,188,085)
14,210,746,846
(5,460,188,085)
8,750,558,761
(22,581,064)
(2,052,824)
(20,528,240)
20,528,240
(20,528,240)
0
ASUMSI UTAMA
100 50 50 50
15 15 15 15
10 5 0 0
20 20 20 20
15 15 15 15
10 10 10 10
3% 3% 3% 3%
5% 5% 5% 5%
10% 10% 10% 10%
INPUT ASUMSI: BBB
A. SALES TARGET
Kaos Produksi/hari Satuan
Polos unit/hari
Signature unit/hari
Custom unit/hari
TOTAL
B. RAW MATERIAL
E. MANUFACTURING OVERHEAD
Indirect Labor(s)
General Affairs Employee Rp3,000,000
Other Costs
Depresiasi Rp852,000
Sewa tempat per bulan Rp10,000,000
Utilitas per bulan Rp5,000,000
Uang keamanan per bulan Rp500,000
TOTAL MOH per Month Rp20,852,000
Indirect Labor(s)
Designer Employee Rp3,500,000
TOTAL TAMBAHAN MOH per Month (Signature & Custo Rp4,500,000
COGS DM
Polos Rp34,413
Signature Rp34,496
Custom Rp34,578
H. TARIF PAJAK
TARIF PAJAK
Tarif Pajak 0.50%
I. MODAL AWAL
MODAL AWAL
Modal Awal 500,000,000
2019
20
10
20
50
25
12
Persentase
0.4
0.2
0.4
1
DL MOH TOTAL
Rp9,600 Rp16,682 Rp60,695
Rp14,400 Rp20,282 Rp69,177
Rp14,400 Rp20,282 Rp69,260
tahun
p.a.
1 kg = 3-4 m
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE & DEPRECIATION
A. CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
Description Satuan Jumlah
Alat Hotgun Riegun untuk pemanas Rupiah 2
Mesin Obras Rupiah 2
Komputer/Laptop Rupiah 1
Pop-up Store Rupiah 1
Subtotal
Total Capex
B. DEPRESIASI
Kelompok 5 tahun
Tahun Depr
Tahun Total Nilai Aset
2019
2019 16,600,000 Rp3,320,000
2020 Rp0 Rp0
2021 2,000,000 Rp0
2022 Rp0 Rp0
2023 16,600,000 Rp0
Depresiasi per tahun 3,320,000
AVERAGE DEPRESIASI
Kelompok 10 tahun
Tahun Depr
Tahun Total Nilai Aset
2019
2019 42,000,000 Rp4,200,000
2020 Rp0 Rp0
2021 Rp0 Rp0
2022 Rp0 Rp0
2023 Rp0 Rp0
Depresiasi per tahun 4,200,000
AVERAGE DEPRESIASI
Kelompok 15 tahun
Tahun Depr
Tahun Total Nilai Aset
2019
2019 27,000,000Rp1,800,000
2020 Rp0 Rp0
2021 Rp0 Rp0
2022 Rp0 Rp0
2023 Rp0 Rp0
Depresiasi per tahun 1,800,000
AVERAGE DEPRESIASI
C. FIXED ASSETS
Description 2019 2020
Beginning Rp0 Rp85,600,000
Addition Rp85,600,000 Rp0
Disposal Rp0 Rp0
Ending Rp85,600,000 Rp85,600,000
Acc. Depreciation
Description 2019 2020
Beginning Rp0 -Rp9,320,000
Addition -Rp9,320,000 -Rp9,320,000
Disposal Rp0 Rp0
Ending -Rp9,320,000 -Rp18,640,000
2019 2020
Total Depresiasi 9,320,000 9,320,000
Average Depresiasi
Masa Manfaat Harga per Unit 2019 2020 2021 2022
5 Rp300,000 Rp600,000 - - -
5 Rp4,000,000 Rp8,000,000 - -
5 Rp8,000,000 Rp8,000,000 - - -
5 Rp2,000,000 - Rp2,000,000 -
Rp16,600,000 Rp0 Rp2,000,000 Rp0
10 Rp7,500,000 Rp30,000,000 - - -
10 Rp12,000,000 Rp12,000,000 - - -
Rp42,000,000 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
15 Rp6,000,000 Rp12,000,000 - - -
15 Rp15,000,000 Rp15,000,000 - - -
Rp27,000,000 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Tahun Depresiasi
2020 2021 2022 2023
Rp3,320,000 Rp3,320,000 Rp3,320,000 Rp3,320,000
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp400,000 Rp400,000 Rp400,000
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp3,320,000
3,320,000 3,720,000 3,720,000 7,040,000
ESIASI 4,224,000
Tahun Depresiasi
2020 2021 2022 2023
Rp4,200,000 Rp4,200,000 Rp4,200,000 Rp4,200,000
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
4,200,000 4,200,000 4,200,000 4,200,000
ESIASI 4,200,000
Tahun Depresiasi
2020 2021 2022 2023
Rp1,800,000 Rp1,800,000 Rp1,800,000 Rp1,800,000
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
Rp0 Rp0 Rp0 Rp0
1,800,000 1,800,000 1,800,000 1,800,000
ESIASI 1,800,000
-
-
Rp0
-
-
Rp0
Rp16,600,000
Journal Entry
2019 2020
No. Account D C D C
1 Cash 500,000,000
Capital 500,000,000
2 DM 529,432,500 1,084,017,600
Cash 529,432,500 1,084,017,600
2,000,000 16,600,000 0
2,000,000 16,600,000 0
16,965,488 18,662,037 20,528,240
5,615,576 3,919,028 2,052,824
22,581,064 22,581,064 22,581,064
COGAS
Polos 6,000 12,180 18,365 27,551
Signature 3,000 6,090 9,183 13,775
Custom 6,000 12,180 18,365 27,551
Ending
Polos 180 365 551 827
Signature 90 183 275 413
Custom 180 365 551 827
Sold
Polos 5,820 11,815 17,814 26,724
Signature 2,910 5,907 8,907 13,362
Custom 5,820 11,815 17,814 26,724
COGS/pcs (Rp)
Polos 89,434 67,251 60,097 54,597
Signature 111,517 80,384 70,537 62,906
Custom 111,599 80,469 70,623 62,992
40,500
20,250
40,500
41,327
20,663
41,327
1,240
620
1,240
40,087
20,043
40,087
50,441
57,061
57,147
LEDGER
Cash
2019 2020 2021
500,000,000 907,930,635 2,818,202,576 0
529,432,500 0 1,084,017,600 0 1,624,947,480
1,964,250,000 0 4,188,275,700 0 6,315,218,271 0
798,000,000 0 957,600,000 0 1,149,120,000
18,000,000 0 18,000,000 0 18,000,000
120,000,000 0 120,000,000 0 120,000,000
60,000,000 0 60,000,000 0 60,000,000
6,000,000 0 6,000,000 0 6,000,000
85,600,000 0 0 0 2,000,000
85,600,000
22,581,064 0 22,581,064 0 22,581,064
2,305,800 0 9,805,095 0 16,763,082
2,549,850,000 1,641,919,365 5,096,206,335 2,278,003,759 9,133,420,847 3,019,411,626
Balance 907,930,635 2,818,202,576 6,114,009,221
Inventory
2019 2020 2021
1,540,752,500 0 2,254,937,600 0 2,987,787,480 0
1,494,529,925 46,222,575 2,220,098,814 81,061,361 2,956,986,379
Balance 46,222,575 81,061,361 111,862,462
Sales
2019 2020 2021
1,964,250,000 0 4,188,275,700 0 6,315,218,271
COGS
2019 2020 2021
1,494,529,925 0 2,220,098,814 0 2,956,986,379 0
Acc Depre
2019 2020 2021
9,320,000 18,640,000 28,360,000
Fixed Asset
2019 2020 2021
85,600,000 85,600,000 85,600,000
2,000,000
Bank Loan
2019 2020 2021
85,600,000 71,578,936 56,155,765
14,021,064 0 15,423,171 0 16,965,488 0
Balance 71,578,936 56,155,765 39,190,277
2022 2023
6,114,009,221 0 11,506,796,398 0
0 2,431,465,134 0 3,641,015,285
9,473,811,548 0 14,210,746,846 0
0 1,378,944,000 0 1,654,732,800
0 18,000,000 0 18,000,000
0 120,000,000 0 120,000,000
0 60,000,000 0 60,000,000
0 6,000,000 0 6,000,000
0 16,600,000 0 0
0 22,581,064 0 22,581,064
0 27,434,172 0 43,760,796
15,587,820,769 4,081,024,371 25,717,543,245 5,566,089,945
11,506,796,398 20,151,453,300
2022 2023
4,024,129,134 0 5,512,788,085 0
111,862,462 3,983,058,148 152,933,448 5,456,534,914
152,933,448 209,186,619
2022 2023
0 9,473,811,548 0 14,210,746,846
2022 2023
3,983,058,148 0 5,456,534,914 0
e
2022 2023
38,080,000 51,120,000
et
2022 2023
87,600,000 104,200,000
16,600,000
n
2022 2023
39,190,277 20,528,240
18,662,037 0 20,528,240 0
20,528,240 0 ~due to roundings
Profit/Loss 2019 2020 2021 2022
Sales 1,964,250,000 4,188,275,700 6,315,218,271 9,473,811,548
COGS 1,494,529,925 2,220,098,814 2,956,986,379 3,983,058,148
GP 469,720,075 1,968,176,886 3,358,231,892 5,490,753,400
GP Margin (%) 23.91% 46.99% 53.18% 57.96%
Liabilities
Bank Loan 71,578,936 56,155,765 39,190,277 20,528,240
Total Liabilities 71,578,936 56,155,765 39,190,277 20,528,240
Equities
Capital 500,000,000 500,000,000 500,000,000 500,000,000
Retained Earnings 458,854,275 2,410,068,172 5,745,921,406 11,205,321,606
Total Equities 958,854,275 2,910,068,172 6,245,921,406 11,705,321,606
Total Liabilities & Equities 1,030,433,210 2,966,223,937 6,285,111,683 11,725,849,846
Check 0 0 0 0
Capital 500,000,000
Bank Loan 85,600,000
Principal repayment -14,021,064 -15,423,171 -16,965,488 -18,662,037
Net CF from Financing 571,578,936 -15423170.79 -16965487.87 -18662036.66
2,052,824
8,752,159,108
61.59%
43,760,796
8,708,398,312
61.28%
2023
11,705,321,606
8,708,398,312
20,413,719,919
2023
20,151,453,300
209,186,619
104,200,000
-51,120,000
20,413,719,919
0
0
500,000,000
19,913,719,919
20,413,719,919
20,413,719,919
0
2023
14,210,746,846
5,499,748,085
2,052,824
43,760,796
8,665,185,141
0
0
-20,528,240
-20528240.32
8,644,656,901
11,506,796,399
20,151,453,300
0
Assumptions 2019 2020 2021
CA 46,222,575 81,061,361 111,862,462
CL 71,578,936 56,155,765 39,190,277
NWC -25,356,361 24,905,596 72,672,185
Changes -25,356,361 50,261,957 47,766,589
1 2 3
Valuation 2019 2020 2021
EBIT*(1-T) 467,371,475 1,958,336,001 3,341,440,733
Depreciation 9,320,000 9,320,000 9,720,000
NWC 25,356,361 -50,261,957 -47,766,589
Capex -85,600,000 0 -2,000,000
FCFF 416,447,835 1,917,394,044 3,301,394,144
Terminal Value
PV Factors (1/(1+WACC)^n 0.86644035497 0.75071888872085 0.65045314043
Enterprise Value 360,827,210 1,439,423,926 2,147,402,189
Total EV 53,779,436,039
Debt 85,600,000
Intrinsic Value 53,693,836,039
SIMPLIFIED
Net Income 458,854,275 1,951,213,897 3,335,853,234
Average Shareholder Equity 958,854,275 2,910,068,172 6,245,921,406
ROE 47.85% 67.05% 53.41%
10 year SUN
MAPI
52 weeks IHSG
4 5
2022 2023
5,463,299,633 8,710,440,873
9,720,000 13,040,000
-59,733,023 -76,781,411
-16,600,000 0
5,396,686,610 8,646,699,462
87,174,741,383
0.56357884988 0.48830745875
3,041,458,433 46,790,324,280
2022 2023
5,459,400,200 8,708,398,313
9,473,811,548 14,210,746,846
57.63% 61.28%
9,473,811,548 14,210,746,846
11,725,849,847 20,413,719,919
80.79% 69.61%
11,725,849,847 20,413,719,919
11,705,321,606 20,413,719,919
100.18% 100.00%
46.64% 42.66%
5,459,400,200 8,708,398,313
11,705,321,606 20,413,719,919
46.64% 42.66%
2022 2023
11,659,729,847 20,360,639,919
20,528,240 0
152,933,448 209,186,619
5,428,049,214 8,665,185,142
56798.49% N/A
56053.50% N/A
26441.86% N/A
2022 2023
20,528,240 0
11,725,849,847 20,413,719,919
11,705,321,606 20,413,719,919
0.18% 0.00%
0.18% 0.00%
2022 2023
9,473,811,548 14,210,746,846
11,725,849,847 20,413,719,919
0.81 0.70
3,983,058,148 5,456,534,914
152,933,448 209,186,619
26.04 26.08
365 365
26.04 26.08
14.01 13.99
2022 2023
5,490,753,400 8,754,211,932
9,473,811,548 14,210,746,846
57.96% 61.60%
5,459,400,200 8,708,398,313
11,725,849,847 20,413,719,919
46.56% 42.66%
5,459,400,200 8,708,398,313
11,705,321,606 20,413,719,919
46.64% 42.66%
Asumsi: 1 founder exit, kepemilikan jadi bagi rata, uang masuk ke founder
Asumsi: transaksi terjadi pada saat perhitungan intrinsic value (akhir tahun 2018)
Asumsi 2: Pak Reynardo invest 10% dari intrinsic value (new), uang masuk ke perusahaan
asuk ke perusahaan
x 10% $5,369,383,604.00