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Decisions?
Simply put, the time value of money is the idea that a particular sum of money in your hand
today is worth more than the same sum at some future date. For example, given the choice
between receiving $1 today or $1 a year from now, you should take the money today. You
could invest that $1, and even if you only earned a 2 percent annual return on your
investment, you still would have $1.02 a year from now -- more than the $1 you'd have
gotten if you waited. If you didn't invest that $1 at all but simply spent it, you'd still be better
off; because of inflation, the $1 usually will have more buying power today than in the
future.
Discount Rate
An essential consideration in the time value of money is the discount rate. That's the rate a
business uses to convert future amounts into today's dollars. Multiple factors affect the
discount rate, including the interest rate at which the company can borrow money, the
return the company could earn from investing money, the return demanded by the
company's own investors, inflation and the risk of the project itself. Setting a discount rate is
as much an art as a science, but it's critical that a company come up with a reasonably
accurate figure. Using a rate that is way off means making bad capital budgeting decisions.
Converting Values
To make capital budgeting decisions using the time value of money, a company first
estimates all the cash flows involved with the project, positive and negative. It then converts
all of those cash flows into their present value -- how much they're worth in today's dollars.
Consider a project that requires a $100,000 investment today (a negative cash flow) and will
return $25,000 a year for the next five years (positive cash flows). On paper, it looks as if the
project produces a $25,000 profit. But those future cash flows must be converted to present
value. If the company uses a discount rate of 10 percent, the present value of those cash
flows actually comes out to $94,769.67. That's less than the $100,000 cost, so the project
actually will lose money. However, if the company is using a discount rate of 7 percent, the
present value is $102,504.94, meaning the project is profitable. This underscores the
importance of accuracy in setting a discount rate.
Methods
Companies apply the time value of money in various ways to make yes-or-no decisions on
capital projects as well as to decide between competing projects. Two of the most popular
methods are net present value and internal rate of return, or IRR. In the first method, you
add up the present values of all cash flows involved in a project. If the total is greater than
zero, the project is worth doing; the higher the net present value, the better. In the IRR
method, you start with the cost of the project and determine the rate of return that would
make the present value of the future cash flows equal to your upfront cost. If that rate --
called the internal rate of return -- is greater than your discount rate, the project is worth
doing. The higher the IRR, the better.