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  • Ahmad Kmail 201610361: Start

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    Abed Kmail
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    This document presents a network diagram with activities A through J and includes information on predecessors, estimates, and variances. It then calculates statistics along different paths in the network like expected time and variance. The most likely completion time along the longest path is estimated to be 40 weeks with a variance of 5.22. The probability of completing before 42 weeks is calculated to be 0.322.

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    ادارة عمليات.docx

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    This document presents a network diagram with activities A through J and includes information on predecessors, estimates, and variances. It then calculates statistics along different paths in the network like expected time and variance. The most likely completion time along the longest path is estimated to be 40 weeks with a variance of 5.22. The probability of completing before 42 weeks is calculated to be 0.322.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    7 views2 pages

    Ahmad Kmail 201610361: Start

    Uploaded by

    Abed Kmail
    This document presents a network diagram with activities A through J and includes information on predecessors, estimates, and variances. It then calculates statistics along different paths in the network like expected time and variance. The most likely completion time along the longest path is estimated to be 40 weeks with a variance of 5.22. The probability of completing before 42 weeks is calculated to be 0.322.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 2

    Activity Immediate Optimistic Most likely pessimistic te

    description predecessor
    A ..... 4 7 10 7 1
    B A 2 8 20 9 9
    C A 8 12 16 12 1.777
    D B 1 2 3 2 0.111
    E D.C 6 8 22 10 7.111
    F C 2 3 4 3 0.111
    G F 2 2 2 2 0
    H F 6 8 10 8 0.444
    I E,G,H 4 8 12 8 1.777
    J I 1 2 3 2 0.111
    Ahmad Kmail 201610361

    A START

    E C
    J

    I G F

    D B
    a– te= (a+b+4m) /6 = 9.5 week

    b – variance = ((20-2)/6)^2 = 9

    -c

    Paths Estimate time Activity variance


    A-B-D-E-I-J 38=7+9+2+10+8+2 19.1=1+9+0.111+7.111+1.777+0.111
    A-C-E-I-J 39=7+12+10+2+8 11.776=1+1.777+7.111+1.777+0.111
    A-C-F-H-I-J 40=7+12+3+8+8+2 =1+1.777+0.111+0.444+1.777+0.111
    5.22
    A-C-F-G-I-J 34=7+12+3+2+8+2 4.78=1+1.777+0.111+1.777+0.111

    d – 40 weeks

    e – 5.22

    42−40
    f– Z= = 0.84 the probability is 0.322
    √ 5.22

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