Professional Documents
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midtrial sea
A simple introduction
from the beginning of this century we hear a news from media
about what we can name " the war of oil in the Mediterranean
sea". we can find a some cases of those conflicts in the media
every day.
The Questions
outline
My methodology:
I will review fast the material that I have mentioned
above and come with a summary that I can build my
analysis of gas and oil in the Mediterranean sea and
its conflicts.
Perceptions (hypothesis)
There is so much injustice in the rights of some
countries among themselves. that we can liken this
international system to a wrestling ring. A group
of countries join their forces against specific countries
to get them out of the arena(The ring), despite their
strength and constituents. Here, I refer to Turkey,
and this has an injustice to their legitimate rights, and
then the smaller and smaller states remain in the
arena. They, in turn, Gather their forces to bring out
the strongest among them, and so on, until Israel
remains victorious at the end.
Literature review
1- https://alkhaleejonline.net/باكير-حسين9-علي/كتاب
2- https://tez.yok.gov.tr/UlusalTezMerkezi/ (a site for
Turkish academic researchers ) in this site I have
reviewed the papers that talk about the midtrial
sea and international law of the sea.
Chapter one
In 2010, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated the natural wealth of the Eastern
Mediterranean Basin, concluding that the east coast, which accounts for the bulk
of the Eastern Mediterranean Basin, contains huge amounts of
unrecovered oil and gas reserves, estimated at 122 trillionm3 of gas
and 1.7 billion barrels of oil.1].
This area includes the coasts of Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, Palestine,
Israel, Cyprus and Egypt. If we exclude Egypt, which owned
quantities of gas before it later became an importer, it can be noted
that the rest of the countries have traditionally relied mainly on
importing energy from abroad, often as a burden on them in at least
two ways.:
The first is its energy security, as oil or gas is imported from a limited
number of countries, making it hostage to narrow political choices,
while failing to diversify its energy sources..
Only Israel has been able to emerge from this reality, particularly
with the huge gas discoveries it recorded off the coast of Palestine
between 2009 and 2014, specifically in the Leviathan field, which is
estimated to contain 620 billionm3 of gas, and the Tamar field, which is
estimated to contain approximately 280 billionm3 of gas (see Table 1).).
The first and most significant discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean basin
began at the beginning of the millennium, when BP discovered the
Gaza Marine field, about 35 km from the Gaza Strip, with an
estimated stockpileof nearly 1 trillionm3 of gas. 2] Although the Palestinians
were the first to discover their gas resources in the region at the beginning of
this century, Israel prevented them from investing these resources
for reasons related to political settlement, and to their economic and
security subjugation. The imbalance in the balance of power in favor
of Israel, as well as the Palestinian internal disintegration, prevented
the right of the Palestinians from being defended or invested as required. .
A country like Turkey, for example, pays nearly $40 billion a year in
energy imports,[4] and the discovery of huge amounts of gas would
undoubtedly free up so much money for use in other areas. The same
applies to the rest of the countries mentioned, both with regard to
Cyprus, Lebanon and Syria..
Chapter two
A survey of the eastern Mediterranean list data can be said that there
are four basic levels of disagreement: border disputes, differences
related to creating a fait accompli by commissioning foreign
companies to research and/or explore for oil and gas, disagreements
over how to export gas, and finally differences arising from the
increased military presence and military alliances in the region..
The discovery of natural revolutions has amplified these differences,
as demarcation of borders plays a role in determining the amount of
natural resources discovered. The conflict between these countries is
often governed by two elements: the first is the agreements and
international laws that draw the borderbetween each country at sea,
and the other is the balance of power in all that this term means..
As for the balance of power, Israel was the country that benefited
most from this criterion in shaping its borders, based on its military
capabilities and solid force against the Palestinians and the Lebanese
in particular. So is Greece in the face of Turkey, as Greece (along with
Greek Cyprus) has always benefited from European - and western -
support in the face of Turkish demands..
The dispute between Turkey and Greek Cyprus, as well as the one
between Lebanon and Israel, is one of the most prominent in the
Eastern Mediterranean. These differences are not only about water
boundaries, but also geo-political conflict, which makes the issue
more complicated than portraying it as a border dispute..
These two countries are in an open state of war, with some short and
long-term. This situation impedes the possibility of demarcating the
border between them in general, as well as the maritime border.
Lebanon's interest in demarcating its maritime border with Israel
has begun to increase significantly after talk of huge amounts of gas
off its coast..
Lebanon, on the other hand, rejects these Israeli claims and considers
that Israel's reliance on the Blue Line to draw maritime boundaries is
illegal and unreliable. The Lebanese government also rejects the
demarcation agreement between Cyprus and Israel, because it
violates its rights, and demands that Cyprus amend it, but rejects it.].
This dispute is complex, and four key actors overlap: Turkey, Turkish
Cyprus, Greek Cyprus and Greece. This dispute had begun to roll over
as a snowball was being taken by Greek Cyprus in unilateral steps to
demarcate its maritime borders and invest wealth within those
borders. This has caused problems with Turkey and Turkish Cyprus
for several reasons, most notthemore.[7]]:
Assuming that the Turkish Cypriots do not have the rights to object
to the demarcation conducted by the south, this demarcation violates
the maritime boundaries of the northern part as well as Turkey. As a
result, there are areas that are in conflict, even within the
demarcation that took place..
Map showing the entrance of the fields identified by Greek Cyprus for
exploration.
I
n parallel with this disagreement, there is another disagreement over
the role of Turkey and Egypt as a hub for the export of gas from the
region to Europe. Each country takes advantage of its advantages in
presenting itself as a key player. By virtue of its middle geographical
position among the world's major energy producers and consumers,
Turkey has long marketed itself as an energy distribution hub
supported by a strong economy, internal stability and military power.
Therefore, it is practically prepared to play this role, and its chances
have increased with the pipelines being built/constructed to
transport gas from Central Asia, Russia and the regional
neighbourhood to Europe (see map)).
There are three major forces that follow the developments related to
the ongoing competition east of the Mediterranean basin closely, and
are engaged in many of the issues related to it in one way or another,
starting with the political situation, through the participation of its
companies in the process of economic exploration, and not ending by
relying on its military power in the region to ensure the security of its
interests, and these forces are:
1)European Union :
The EU's position stems from a political bias not only in terms of
support for Greece and Greek Cyprus, but also in terms of taking an
opposite position to Turkey that seeks to reduce it. Therefore, this
position may be reflected in the dispute over the route of gas
pipelines being worked on to transport gas from the region and
Europe..
2) Russia :
Moscow's priority is to maintain its leading position in the gas market and its
market share, so it is interested in monitoring any emerging competition
from any country or community, particularly with successive gas
discoveries in multiple regions at the same time. Moreover, it wants
to keep its clients hostage to political influence, so it is in their
interest to prevent new gas competitors, particularly with regard to
Europe. :
It can be noted that Russia has relations with the various parties to
the conflict in the Eastern Mediterranean basin, which are politically,
economically and security ally intertwined, ensuring more room for
maneuvers later, thereby achieving its interests in the region. At
some point, Russia may become a "dome egg" or a confidence that
likely to be enough for any of the opposing parties in the region,
particularly with regard to the dispute between Turkey and Greek
Cyprus on the one hand, and Israel and Lebanon on the other..
3)United States :
Securing a market for gas for gas, in the face of difficulty in exporting
to international markets.
First, the Sisi regime was looking for a way to legitimize his rule, and
to join such an ideal would provide him with this, especially after the
regime made concessions to Israel and Cyprus in demarcating
maritime borders..
The Egyptian regime wants, through new gas discoveries, to play the
role of the main hub for gas transport and export between producing
and consuming countries, the same role that Turkey has been
promoting, due to its geographical location in the middle between the
world's major gas and energy producers and consumers..
In late July 2019, France expressed its intention to join the rally, as
did the United States. Here, it should be noted that Paris and
Washington own oil companies (Total Of France, Noble Energy and
ExxonMobil of the Americas) licensed by Greek Cyprus to survey and
extract gas, which means that they have linked it to a network of
interests, and these countries (i.e., France and America) also have
enough military power in the Medium to defend the interests of their
companies. Moreover, there have been two significant developments
in this area recently.:
It is clear from the wording and content of the law that it is directed
primarily against Turkey, and that it raises the risk of military
engagement in the region..
It sent its own ships to survey and explore for oil and gas in areas it
says belong to it and to Turkish Cyprus, which interferewith what
Greek Cyprus says are its rights..
Agreement with Turkish Cyprus on maritime demarcation and oil
and gas exploration and extraction.
Although the economic factor is not absent from the equation from
the Israeli side, particularly with regard to the liberalization of
potential obstacles to Tel Aviv's exploitation of The Sector No. 9's
potential in which it is opposed to Lebanon, there are also those who
believe that there are political and security calculations behind the
search for a deal with the Lebanese side, noting that this is
strategically important because it weakens Hezbollah.[18]].
More recently, the EU has been pouring oil on fire by supporting the
movement of Greek Cyprus and Greece, and imposing sanctions on
Turkey for sending oil exploration vessels in the vicinity of Turkish
Cyprus, in response to greek Cypriot unilateral actions. The recently
proposed U.S. law on the Eastern Mediterranean is moving in the
same direction, which means that things are getting more
complicated, that there is widening gaps between the parties, and
that political and economic tension is slowly shifting to a military
tension that threatens the possibility of a war on resources in the
future..
Chapter four
Conclusions
Depending on the increasing energy needs across the world,
various energy organizations have grown an interest in the
energy reserves in region that are defined as risky zones.
This increasing interest is closely related to the Eastern
Mediterranean covering also the Middle East. As a matter of
fact, border disputes that have not yet been solved in
mainland have paved the way for the Arabian Peninsula to
remain far from political and economic stability.
The energy reserves explored in the Eastern Mediterranean
have been both advantegous and disadvantegous for the
region. The advantage for the region undoubtedly is
increased cooperation, economic welfare and adoption of
democratic rules. The disadvantege, on the other hand, is the
increased continuation of the problems. In this context, it is
important for consumer countries to ensure their energy
supply security and for prducer countries to ensure their
energy demand security.
Resources
1- The New Energy Policies in the Eastern Mediterranean: Situation of Turkey’s SELİM
BAŞKAR