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no part may be reproduced by any process without the prior written permission of Austroads.
ISBN 978-1-921991-60-8
Project Manager
Maurice Cammack, Main Roads WA
Prepared by
Blair Turner, Lisa Steinmetz, Adrian Lim, Karen Walsh
ARRB Group
Austroads believes this publication to be correct at the time of printing and does not accept
responsibility for any consequences arising from the use of information herein. Readers should
rely on their own skill and judgement to apply information to particular issues.
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Sydney 2012
About Austroads
Austroads’ purpose is to:
promote improved Australian and New Zealand transport outcomes
provide expert technical input to national policy development on road and road transport
issues
promote improved practice and capability by road agencies.
promote consistency in road and road agency operations.
Austroads membership comprises the six state and two territory road transport and traffic
authorities, the Commonwealth Department of Infrastructure and Transport, the Australian Local
Government Association, and NZ Transport Agency. Austroads is governed by a Board consisting
of the chief executive officer (or an alternative senior executive officer) of each of its eleven
member organisations:
Roads and Maritime Services New South Wales
Roads Corporation Victoria
Department of Transport and Main Roads Queensland
Main Roads Western Australia
Department of Planning, Transport and Infrastructure South Australia
Department of Infrastructure, Energy and Resources Tasmania
Department of Transport Northern Territory
Department of Territory and Municipal Services Australian Capital Territory
Commonwealth Department of Infrastructure and Transport
Australian Local Government Association
New Zealand Transport Agency.
The success of Austroads is derived from the collaboration of member organisations and others in
the road industry. It aims to be the Australasian leader in providing high quality information, advice
and fostering research in the road transport sector.
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................... 1
2 METHOD ............................................................................................................................... 2
2.1 Identifying Gaps in Knowledge ............................................................................................... 2
2.2 Filling the Gaps Knowledge ................................................................................................... 2
2.3 Selected Issues ..................................................................................................................... 2
2.4 Determining Treatment Effectiveness .................................................................................... 3
3 REVIEW OF LITERATURE ON CRASH TREATMENT EFFECTIVENESS ........................... 5
4 DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................ 14
REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................. 15
APPENDIX A PRIORITISING GAPS IN KNOWLEDGE ................................................. 16
APPENDIX B REVISIONS TO TREATMENT EFFECTIVENESS FIGURES................... 19
APPENDIX C SUMMARY OF RESEARCH FOR PRIORITY TREATMENTS ................. 25
C.1 Guide Posts ......................................................................................................................... 26
C.2 Chevron Alignment Markers................................................................................................. 29
C.3 Pavement Markings ............................................................................................................. 31
C.3.1 Provision of Edge Lines.......................................................................................... 31
C.3.2 Provision of Centrelines ......................................................................................... 33
C.3.3 Provision of Centreline and Edge Line ................................................................... 34
C.4 Profile Line Marking ............................................................................................................. 37
C.4.1 Profile Edge Lining, Edge Line (Shoulder) Rumble Strip, or Shoulder Grooving ..... 37
C.4.2 Profile Centre Lining, Centreline Rumble Strip ....................................................... 40
C.5 Signs – Regulatory .............................................................................................................. 43
C.5.1 General: Regulatory Signs at Intersections ............................................................ 45
C.5.2 Stop Signs at Three-leg Intersections..................................................................... 45
C.5.3 Stop Signs at Four-leg Intersections....................................................................... 46
C.5.4 Four-way Stop Signs .............................................................................................. 46
C.5.5 Give-way Signs ...................................................................................................... 46
C.5.6 Stop Sign to Give-way Sign .................................................................................... 46
C.5.7 Give-way Sign to Stop Sign .................................................................................... 47
C.5.8 U-turn and Right-turn Ban ...................................................................................... 47
C.6 Traffic Signals ...................................................................................................................... 48
C.6.1 New Signals ........................................................................................................... 48
C.6.2 Effect of Turn Phases ............................................................................................. 51
C.7 Signal Visibility ..................................................................................................................... 56
C.8 Channelisation at Intersections – Splitter and Median Islands.............................................. 59
C.8.1 General .................................................................................................................. 60
C.8.2 Splitter Islands........................................................................................................ 60
C.8.3 Median Islands ....................................................................................................... 60
C.9 Grade Separated Intersections ............................................................................................ 62
C.10 Right-turn Lane Provision..................................................................................................... 64
C.10.1 All Locations ........................................................................................................... 69
C.10.2 Signals ................................................................................................................... 69
C.10.3 Unsignalised Intersections ..................................................................................... 69
C.10.4 Rural ...................................................................................................................... 70
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TABLES
Table 3.1: Summary of treatment effectiveness ........................................................................ 6
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SUMMARY
A reliable knowledge base about the effectiveness of different road safety engineering treatments
allows informed decisions for the development of future road safety programs. This information is
used to allocate resources to the most cost-effective projects (i.e. ones that will reduce casualties
the most per dollar spent). Inaccurate information on treatment effect may lead to inefficient use of
limited resources. The current project aims to address this issue and to provide updated advice on
the road safety benefit of engineering treatments, based on literature reviews. Previous Austroads
research has identified that there is a lack of reliable information regarding the effectiveness of
different road safety engineering treatments.
During the first stage of this project, a number of treatments or road safety features for which the
knowledge base was inadequate were identified. The assessment was based on literature reviews
as well as stakeholder priorities. Given the large number of gaps, and the time and budget
available for this project, the knowledge gaps were prioritised.
A summary of the crash reduction effects for each of these treatments is provided, along with an
assessment of the level of confidence in the figure (based on factors such as consistency of results
from various studies and number of studies). Where possible, information on the crash reduction
for different severity outcomes and crash types is provided. However, information on these factors
is relatively scarce.
The project has identified crash effectiveness for 57 treatment types and 126 crash effectiveness
values have been derived for these. Compared to an earlier study on this topic (Austroads 2010a),
there is now more information available on treatment effectiveness (126 values compared to 104).
The project has also led to an increased level of confidence in knowledge about treatments; over
half of the values are now allocated a medium or high level of confidence.
Although this project has improved the reliability of information on the effectiveness of treatments,
a number of knowledge gaps remain that can be filled by further reviews of literature and
experimentation. During the course of this project, links were developed with an OECD initiative to
address crash reduction effectiveness of different treatments. This initiative has led to the
establishment of an international collaboration to improve information on the crash reduction
effectiveness of treatments. There is great merit in Australian and New Zealand road safety
professionals contributing to the international collaboration once key gaps have been identified and
prioritised by the international OECD group.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would also like to acknowledge the input of the project steering group. This group is
made up of representatives from Australian road agencies, the NZ Transport Agency, the Federal
Department of Infrastructure and Transport and AAA/AusRAP. In addition, the authors would also
like to acknowledge the input of the Safety Task Force who provided comments on the document.
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1 INTRODUCTION
Previous Austroads research (Austroads 2010a) identified that there was a lack of reliable
information regarding the effectiveness of different road safety engineering treatments. The
effectiveness relates to the expected reduction in crashes from the use of treatments in different
circumstances. The effectiveness of a treatment can be expressed as a Crash Modification Factor
(CMF). This represents ‘the relative change in crash frequency due to a specific change in the
road or its immediate environment’ (Austroads 2012, p49). Effectiveness in Australia and New
Zealand has traditionally been presented using Crash Reduction Factors (CRFs), which presents
the expected percentage reduction in crashes. The term CMF is now used more widely overseas,
although both terms are used in this current report 1. This information is used to allocate resources
to the most cost-effective projects (i.e. ones that will reduce casualties the most per dollar spent).
Inaccurate information on treatment effect may lead to inefficient use of limited resources.
This work is one component of a large program of research. The Austroads National Risk
Assessment Model project has three main objectives. The first is the development of a risk
assessment model, intended to be used nationally as a way of identifying crash risk. The second
task involves the development of a national program for risk assessment with associated
guidelines. A third task involves improving information on the crash reduction effectiveness of
various road safety treatments. This included the development of a stand-alone report on a
standard approach for evaluation of treatment effectiveness for adoption by road authorities. This
work has been published as An Introductory Guide for Evaluating Effectiveness of Road Safety
Treatments (Austroads 2012). An associated task, and the subject of this report, involves
improving knowledge on the road safety benefit of engineering treatments.
During the first stage of this project, treatments or road safety features were identified for which
there were significant gaps in knowledge in terms of crash reduction effectiveness. The work also
identified a method for prioritising each of these issues. That process is outlined in Section 2 of
this report. Section 3 provides information on local and international literature on each of the
priority issues identified. For completeness, the section also provides information from previous
work on this topic (Austroads 2010a) so that the sum of current knowledge on crash reduction
effectiveness for engineering treatments is provided in this report. The final section (Section 4)
provides concluding comments and recommendations.
1
A Crash Reduction Factor indicates the expected percentage reduction in crashes following the introduction of a
treatment. A Crash Modification Factor ‘is a proportion that represents the relative change in crash frequency due to a
specific change in the road or its immediate environment’ (Austroads 2012).
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2 METHOD
2.1 Identifying Gaps in Knowledge
During the first stage of this project, a number of treatments or road safety features were identified
where knowledge of effectiveness in reducing crashes was not adequate. This assessment was
based on literature reviews (Austroads 2010a, 2010b) as well as stakeholder priorities
(Austroads 2009) 2. For each of these issues it was identified that there was a lack of sufficient
research on the crash reduction effect, or that the research which did exist was not considered of
suitable quality. The identified gaps in knowledge were then prioritised. Appendix A provides the
results of this assessment.
If a gap in knowledge is deemed important enough to require further research, and adequate
information cannot be obtained from existing literature, then a trial of the treatment will typically be
required. Austroads (2012) provides guidance on methods for evaluating the effectiveness of road
safety treatments.
Given the cost associated with trials of treatments, and the timeframe required (three to five years
of data is typically required after the treatment is installed), this current project focuses on literature
review to fill gaps in knowledge.
2
Engineering research priorities were identified in a previous project (Austroads 2009) via a survey of Austroads Road
Design Review Panel and Traffic Management Review Panel members.
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— signs – advisory
— street lighting
In 2011/12:
— superelevation
— signs – regulatory
— delineation – continuity lines, marking in wet conditions
— channelisation at intersections – splitter and median islands
— impact attenuators
— intersection – right-turn lane provision
— intersection – extend right-turn lane
— intersection – left-turn lane provision
— intersection – signal visibility
— line marking – profile edge lines
— street closure
— traffic signals.
It should be noted that some other treatments were identified that had a higher priority than the
ones identified above (e.g. clear zones and vegetation). However, since extensive research is
currently being conducted on them within Australasia, these topics were not reviewed as part of
this project. The crash effectiveness for these will be updated once this work is complete.
The treatments assessed as part of this project (listed above) complimented previous work which
summarised research from 2004 to 2009 (Austroads 2010a, Road Safety Engineering Risk
Assessment: Part 6: Crash Reduction Factors).
Much of the research presented crash reductions for all crash severities (including property
damage only). In many cases, treatment effectiveness for casualty crashes was also available.
Where information was available, effectiveness values were based on casualty crashes.
Often for any one issue, a variety of treatment effectiveness values were identified. In general, an
average crash reduction value was taken across all studies that were considered methodologically
robust. It would have been preferable to use a weighted average based on robustness (such
procedures exist), however due to limited budget a more simplistic approach was taken. Outliers
were often excluded, however they were considered on a case by case basis. In some cases,
logic checks were used to help refine a figure.
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Given the limited budget available for this work, a qualitative indication on the level of confidence
for each of the factors provided was estimated. This was based on the number of studies that
provide crash reduction information, the consistency of the results, methodological robustness, the
age of the research, and the country in which the research was conducted. For instance, where
four or more studies were available, each of which provided reasonably consistent results and had
robust methodologies, a high level of confidence was assumed. This same approach was used in
Austroads (2010a).
Section 3 provides a summary of the results from a review of literature on each of the topics listed
as high priority.
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It is recognised that the effectiveness of treatments on different levels of severity is also of interest.
This is particularly relevant in the Safe System context where there is a focus on reduction in fatal
and serious injury crash outcomes. There is also interest in quantifying the effect of treatments on
different crash types (e.g. head-on). Where this information is available, this is also presented in
Appendix C, and in some cases, where the information is robust enough, also in Table 3.1.
However, much of the research does not provide a breakdown by severity or crash type, and
where information does exist it is often based on very small sample sizes and so is quite variable.
In addition, some research (e.g. Hauer 2006 & 2009) indicates that it is not technically possible to
accurately determine changes in severity due to the ‘frequency-severity indeterminacy’. This
states that due to under-reporting of crashes it is not possible to determine whether the frequency
of crashes has reduced, or whether there has been a transference to higher or lower levels of
severity.
Table 3.1 also provides a measure of confidence in the factors provided. As discussed in
Section 2.3, this is a qualitative measure that is based on the number of studies that provide crash
reduction information, the consistency of the results, methodological robustness, the age of the
research, and the country in which the research was conducted.
An indication of the year in which a treatment type was assessed is also provided in Table 3.1.
This is of interest as the amount of research on crash effectiveness has increased in recent years.
In some cases, new research merely validates that of older studies on the same topic. In other
cases, the new research can significantly change the expected crash reduction effectiveness
(especially when there was previously a high degree of uncertainty). This information will also
assist with planning and prioritisation of tasks for investigation in the future.
Note that the crash reduction figures provided for pedestrian treatments are given for changes in
pedestrian casualties only. Little information exists for these treatments on changes to all casualty
crashes. Similarly, reductions for street lighting relate only to changes in night-time casualties.
Some information does exist on the effect of street lighting at all times of the day, but this was not
comprehensive enough to produce a separate factor.
Although this report is primarily concerned with road safety engineering treatments, some
information is provided on the safety implications of changing road design elements (e.g.
superelevation). Further information on the safety implications of road design can be found in a
separate report (Austroads 2010b).
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For a number of treatments that were reviewed, treatment effectiveness was unable to be
determined. These included:
Delineation treatments: continuity lines, provision of wide edge lines, marking in wet
conditions, provision of word and symbol pavement markings, transverse rumble strips (at
curves, railway level crossings and intersection approaches).
Intersection treatments: extending right-turn lanes.
Pedestrian treatments: installation of pedestrian signals, installation of a marked pedestrian
crossing, converting marked pedestrian crossing to signals.
Traffic management treatments: closing a street.
The review identified some evidence for a number of additional treatments. Although this
information is of interest (and summarised in Appendix C), there was insufficient evidence to
determine the extent of treatment effectiveness (e.g. provision of edge lines at curves, addition of
yellow reflective tape to signal heads, and channelisation in rural environments). In such cases,
the relevant appendix often includes a discussion indicating that safety benefits are likely to be
associated with such treatments, although there was insufficient evidence to gauge treatment
effectiveness during this project.
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Where Speeda =
speed after, and
Speedb = speed
before
All environments 20% 0.80 Medium 2008/09 Austroads 2010a
Install red light Signalised 5% 0.95 High 2008/09 Austroads 2010a
camera intersection
Provide transverse Intersections 25% 0.75 Low 2011/12 Appendix C.19
rumble strips
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Despite the extensive body of research on treatment effectiveness, there is still a lack of reliable
information on many of the safety treatments assessed in this study. However, out of the 126
crash reduction values, 52% had a high or medium level of confidence. The additional work
conducted through this study has increased the level of confidence in the treatment effectiveness
compared to the results obtained in an earlier study on this topic (Austroads 2010a, where 40% of
the results had medium or high levels of confidence).
Further research is recommended for those crash reduction values that have a low level of
confidence, or where there is no existing information. Such research will provide a higher level of
confidence in the crash reduction estimates. As identified in this report, the most cost-effective
approach is to conduct further reviews of literature, although it may be several years before
adequate information exists. Alternatively, experimentation, or analysis from existing data sources
(for instance, crash monitoring databases) will be required. A recommended approach to
conducting evaluations using these approaches is provided in Austroads (2012). This guide also
provides information to help determine the robustness of evaluations already undertaken, and the
methodologies that they employ.
Combinations of treatments are commonly used to address high risk sites. Very little information is
available on the combined benefit from using more than one treatment. Previous Austroads
research has identified the need to assess the benefits of groups of treatments (Austroads 2012).
There is a need to prioritise the most commonly used treatment combinations, and then assess the
effectiveness of these.
In addition, ARRB in association with FHWA in the United States, initiated an international
collaboration on the development of crash reduction values through the OECD Joint Transport
Research Centre. Involvement in the OECD collaboration has provided access to an international
panel of experts with extensive experience in the development of crash reduction values, and
access to the information that they currently hold. In the longer term this will lead to a
strengthened international collaboration on this topic, including the potential for joint projects to fill
existing gaps in knowledge.
Although confidence in some of the crash reductions provided is not high, these are still the best
estimates available for each type of treatment. In the absence of additional information on crash
reduction based on total casualty crashes it is recommended that these figures be considered for
use by jurisdictions when calculating the expected benefits from treatments.
It is important to continue collaboration with local and international research partners, as well as
updating of information when relevant research is complete (such as current research on clear
zones) to develop guidance on the effectiveness of further treatment types, as well as improving
confidence in the values presented in this report.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
REFERENCES
Austroads 2009, Design, feasibility and application of an instrumented vehicle, AP-T145-09, Austroads,
Sydney, NSW.
Austroads 2010a, Road safety engineering risk assessment: Part 6: Crash Reduction Factors, AP-T151-10,
Austroads, Sydney, NSW.
Austroads 2010b, Road safety engineering risk assessment: part 1: relationships between crash risk and the
standards of geometric design elements, AP-T146/10, Austroads, Sydney, NSW.
Austroads 2012, An Introductory Guide for Evaluating Effectiveness of Road Safety Treatments,
AP-R421-12, Austroads, Sydney, NSW.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Hauer, E 2006, ‘The frequency-severity indeterminacy [unreported crashes]’, Accident Analysis and
Prevention, vol. 38, no. 1, pp.78-83.
Hauer, E 2007, ‘Kinds of safety evaluation study’, ‘Issues in road safety evaluation workshop, 28-29 March
2007, Romsey, Victoria’, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Hauer, E 2009, ‘Speed and safety’, Transportation Research Record, no. 2103, pp.10-7.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
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A simple matrix was developed to help prioritise the identified gaps in knowledge, with each issue
subjectively assessed by the project team against the following criteria:
Frequency (F) – How often the treatment is likely to be used: When prioritising the identified
gaps in knowledge, common treatments were given a higher priority (for example, signs).
Cost (C) – The typical cost of the treatment: It was considered that for high cost treatments,
there is generally a greater need to be more certain about the safety benefit compared to a
low cost treatment. In some cases low cost treatments tend to be very widely used, for
example signs. Although the individual cost of this treatment is relatively low, the sheer
number of signs installed and maintained means that there is a high total cost from the use of
this treatment.
Uncertainty (U) – The level of uncertainty associated with the known crash reduction
effectiveness of the treatment: Hauer (2007) suggests that there are costs associated with
making incorrect assumptions about the treatment effectiveness. The likelihood of this error
can be calculated given the standard error and expected crash reduction.
For each of these factors a one to five scale was adopted, with one indicating a low value, and five
indicating a high value. A qualitative approach was taken in the prioritisation of gaps in knowledge,
based on subjective assessment of each of the above factors. It was noted that a quantitative
approach could have been adopted (involving development of a benefit-cost ratio for each of the
treatment types, allowing direct comparison between them). However, it was decided that such a
quantitative approach would require a number of assumptions, and that therefore the additional
analysis required was unlikely to produce a more robust result than the qualitative approach.
The ratings for each were then multiplied to give a total score 3. Table A 1 provides the results of
this assessment.
3
An alternative prioritisation method was also applied whereby frequency and cost are added together before being
multiplied by uncertainty. However, the outcome from this analysis was similar to a straight multiplication of each
element hence the method was not included in this report.
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Guide posts Rural 28% (night) Low Install guide posts All 5% Low
Impact attenuators All 60% Low Install impact attenuators All 50% (all casualty) Medium
All 70% (fatal) High
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Original Crash Reduction Factors identified in Road safety engineering risk assessment: Part 6: Revised descriptions or reductions identified in current project
Crash Reduction Factors (Austroads 2010a)
Issue Environment type % Reduction Confidence Treatment type Environment type % Reduction Confidence
Intersection – right-turn All environments 35% Medium Install right-turn lane Install right-turn lane – general 35% Medium
lane
At signalised intersections 35% Low Install right-turn lane – signalised 30% Medium
intersection
At unsignalised intersections 35% Low Install right-turn lane –unsignalised 35% Medium
intersection
Urban 30% Low Install right-turn lane – rural 40% Low
unsignalised T-intersections
Rural 35% Low Install right-turn lane – rural 30% Medium
unsignalised X-intersections
Painted 30% Low Install right-turn lane – urban 30% Low
general
Protected 35% Low Install right-turn lane – urban 35% Low
unsignalised T-intersections
Install right-turn lane – urban 5% Low
signalised T-intersections
Install right-turn lane – urban 30% Low
unsignalised X-intersections
Install right-turn lane – urban 10% Low
signalised X-intersections
Install right-turn lane – painted 30% High
Install right-turn lane – physical 35% Low
Intersection – extend All environments 15% Low Intersection – extend Unknown Unknown n/a
right-turn lane right-turn lane
Intersection – left-turn All environments 30% Low Install left-turn lane All 20% Low
provision
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Original Crash Reduction Factors identified in Road safety engineering risk assessment: Part 6: Revised descriptions or reductions identified in current project
Crash Reduction Factors (Austroads 2010a)
Issue Environment type % Reduction Confidence Treatment type Environment type % Reduction Confidence
Intersection – signal All environments 25% Low Signal visibility Replace a pedestal mount with 35% Low
visibility mast arm mount signal
Increase lens size to twelve inches 5% Low
Provide additional signal head 20% Medium
Line markings – profile Shoulder 23% Medium Profile line marking Provide profile edge lines 20% (all) Medium
edge lines 40% (run-off-road) Low
Centreline 15% Low Provide profile centreline 15% (all) Medium
30% (head-on) Low
Line markings – profile Transverse Unknown n.a. Provide transverse Intersections 25% Low
edge lines rumble strips
Overtaking lanes All environments 23% Medium Overtaking lanes All 25% Medium
Tack-on lane 5% Low
New alignment and passing lane 54% Low
Pavement markings Centreline 30% Low Pavement markings Provide edge line 10% Low
Edge line 20% Low Provide centreline 20% Low
Words and symbols Unknown n.a. Provide combined edge and 30% Low
centreline
Painted speed limits 0% Low Provide painted speed limits 0% Low
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Original Crash Reduction Factors identified in Road safety engineering risk assessment: Part 6: Revised descriptions or reductions identified in current project
Crash Reduction Factors (Austroads 2010a)
Issue Environment type % Reduction Confidence Treatment type Environment type % Reduction Confidence
Pedestrian crossings No reliable reductions determined Unknown n.a. Pedestrian treatments Install fencing and barriers 20% (pedestrians) Medium
for this issue
Improved lighting 60% Medium
(pedestrians at night)
Add pedestrian phase at signals 50% (pedestrians) Low
Improve signal timing 35% (pedestrians) Low
Pedestrian treatment – All 50% Low Install pedestrian overpass 85% (pedestrians) Low
rest on red
Raised (wombat) crossing 20% (pedestrians) Low
Refuge 45% (pedestrians) Medium
Rest on red 50% (pedestrians) Low
Install roundabout – all 60% (pedestrians) Low
environments
Signs – regulatory Install stop sign at T-intersection 20% Medium Signs – regulatory Install stop sign at T-intersection 15% Low
(intersection)
Install stop sign at X-intersection 30% Medium
Install stop sign at X-intersection 35% Medium Install four-way stop sign at 60% Low
X-intersection
Install give-way sign – all 15% Low Install give-way sign – all 25% Low
intersections intersections
U-turn bans No reliable reductions determined Unknown n.a. Install right-turn ban, or U-turn and 60% Medium
for this issue right-turn ban
Signs – regulatory All environments 25% Low Treatment type omitted, as not considered useful
(midblock)
Signs – advisory Chevron warning signs – all 30% Low Delineation treatments – Horizontal curves 25% Low
environments install chevrons
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Original Crash Reduction Factors identified in Road safety engineering risk assessment: Part 6: Revised descriptions or reductions identified in current project
Crash Reduction Factors (Austroads 2010a)
Issue Environment type % Reduction Confidence Treatment type Environment type % Reduction Confidence
Signs – advisory Advisory speed signs – all 25% Low Advisory signage Install curve warning signs 25% High
environments treatments
Curve warning signs – all 25% Low Speed advisory 40% Low
environments
Street closure No reliable reductions determined unknown n.a. Street closure Internal roads 40% Medium
for this issue
Peripheral roads 5% Low
Street lighting Install lighting – midblock 40% (night) Medium Street lighting New lighting – all locations 35% (night) Medium
New lighting – intersections 50% (night) High
Install lighting – rural 30% (night) Low New lighting – mid-block 40% (night) High
New lighting – rural intersection 30% (night) Medium
Install lighting – rural intersection 40% (night) Medium New lighting – urban 30% (night) Low
New lighting – urban intersection 30% (night) Low
Install lighting – urban 30% (night) Low New lighting – motorway/freeway 50% (night) High
interchange
Install lighting – urban intersection 20% (night) Low New lighting – railway level 60% (night) High
crossing
Upgrade lighting 35% (night) Medium
Superelevation No reliable reductions determined Unknown n.a. Improving/correcting All 10% Low
for this issue superelevation
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Original Crash Reduction Factors identified in Road safety engineering risk assessment: Part 6: Revised descriptions or reductions identified in current project
Crash Reduction Factors (Austroads 2010a)
Issue Environment type % Reduction Confidence Treatment type Environment type % Reduction Confidence
Traffic signals New signals, no turn arrows – 45% Low Traffic signals Install traffic signals 30% Low
metro
New signals, with turn arrows – 40% Low Provision of fully controlled right- 35% (all casualty) Medium
metro turns
New signals, no turn arrows – 75% Low 60% (right through) Low
regional
45% (adjacent Low
direction)
New signals, with turn arrows – 35% Low Provision of partially controlled 10% Low
regional right-turns
Change partial control to fully 70% Low
controlled right-turns
Vegetation No reliable reductions determined Unknown n.a. Treatment type omitted (topic is being covered as part of other current research)
for this issue
Weather Dry weather, reduction from crash 20% Low Treatment type omitted (topic is being covered as part of other current research)
risk in wet weather
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Note that throughout this appendix many of the references assessed did not contribute any
information to the final crash reduction factor. The references are provided for completeness, but
may also provide a useful source of additional information on each treatment type.
A discussion is included for each which presents the rationale for the treatment effectiveness
values presented in Table 3.1. The review identified some evidence for a number of additional
treatments (than those presented in Table 3.1) for which there was insufficient evidence to
determine the extent of treatment effectiveness (e.g. provision of edge lines at curves, addition of
yellow reflective tape to signal heads, and channelisation in rural environments). In such cases,
the relevant appendix generally includes a discussion indicating that safety benefits are likely to be
associated with such treatments, although there was insufficient evidence to gauge treatment
effectiveness during this project.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Results from older studies have not been used given that new guide post designs now exist and
are likely to provide a different benefit. The study by Corben et al. is from Australia, but did not
provide a statistically significant result, although it does provide a useful direction of effect (i.e. a
possible positive benefit). The Vincent review is based on older research and was also excluded.
Elvik et al. and the AASHTO provide more recent results. Elvik et al. suggests a 7% CRF for the
treatment while the AASHTO suggests there is a 4% increase in crashes (although it is observed
that due to variability, this treatment could deliver an increase, decrease, or no change in crashes).
It appears from more recent research that the benefits from using guide posts on their own might
not be substantial (and indeed, the US research indicates a possible increase in crashes, most
likely due to an increase in speed which has been identified in research). However, additional
assessment by Elvik et al. suggests that when used in combination with other delineation
treatments (specifically an edge and centreline) that the benefit is likely to be substantial (a 45%
reduction).
Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones indicate that there is no great difference in the benefit of guide posts
at curves versus straights, although the New Zealand research from LTSA indicates that benefits
are substantially greater at curves when compared to whole routes.
Given the variability of the results from the HSM, the Elvik et al. figure of a 7% reduction is
currently recommended (rounded to 5%). The crash reductions provided by Elvik et al. are
specified as ‘all accidents’. Some of the research indicates that benefits at night are greater than
changes in at all times of day for this treatment type, however there is insufficient information to
provide a figure.
References assessed
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1st edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, report KTC-96-13,
Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Bali, S, Potts, R, Fee, JA, Taylor, JI & Glennon, J 1978, Cost effectiveness and safety of alternative roadway
delineation treatments for rural two-lane highways: vol II: final report, FHWA/RD-78-51, Federal
Highway Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Cairney, P 1993, ‘Current issues in delineation’, Road and Transport Research, vol.2, no.2, pp.28-39.
Corben, B, Deery, H, Mullan, N & Dyte, D 1997, The general effectiveness of countermeasures for crashes
into fixed roadside objects, report 111, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Austroads 2012
— 27 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Douglas, J 2000, ‘Making the delineation message clear’, Roadmarking Industry Association of Australia and
New Zealand Roadmarkers Federation joint conference, 6th, 2000, Canberra, Australian Capital
Territory, Roadmarking Industry Association of Australia, Rosebud, Vic, 16 pp.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Land Transport Safety Authority 1992, Guidelines for rural road marking and delineation, RTS 5, New
Zealand Transport Agency, Wellington, NZ, viewed 14 July 2011,
<http://www.nzta.govt.nz/resources/road-traffic-standards/docs/rts-05.pdf>.
Montella, A 2005, ‘Safety reviews of existing roads: a quantitative safety assessment methodology’,
Transportation Research Record, no. 1922, Transportation Research Board, Washington, pp. 65-72.
Sanderson, JT & Fildes, B 1984, Run-off-the-road accidents in rural areas, report TS84/6, Traffic and Safety
Department, Royal Automobile Club of Victoria (RACV), Melbourne, Vic.
Vincent, EN 1978, ‘A trial installation of corner cube delineators: Calder Highway, Gisborne to Woodend’,
Australian Road Research, vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 38-40.
Austroads 2012
— 28 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
A CRF of 25% was selected based on the limited evidence available. This includes a 30%
reduction from Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones, a 4% reduction from Srinivasan et al. and a 35%
reduction from the UK MoRSE database. There were also non-significant findings from Montella
and AASHTO that this treatment has a positive benefit. There is a low level of confidence in this
figure.
References assessed
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1st edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Andreassen, DC 1989, Strategies for safety problems, research report ARR 163, Australian Road Research
Board, Vermont South, Vic.
Andrew O’Brien and Associates 2000, ‘Managing traffic flow on urban freeways: appendix A: literature
review’, Andrew O’Brien and Associates, Melbourne, Vic.
Austroads 2012
— 29 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Donald, D 1997, Be warned! A review of curve warning signs and curve advisory speeds, research report
304, Vermont South, Vic.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ewing, R 1999, Traffic calming: state of the practice, report FHWA-RD-99-135, Federal Highway
Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Kneebone, DC 1964, ‘Advisory speed signs and their effect on traffic’, Australian Road Research Board
conference, 2nd, 1964, Melbourne, Victoria, Australian Road Research Board, Vermont South, Vic,
vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 524-41.
Kulmala, R 1994, ‘Measuring the safety effect of road measures at junctions’, Accident Analysis and
Prevention, vol. 26, no. 6, pp. 781-94.
Lamm, R, Zumkeller, K & Beck, A 2001, ‘Traffic safety: the relative effectiveness of a variety of road
markings and traffic control devices’, Road Safety on Three Continents, 2000, Pretoria, South Africa,
VTI Konferens 15A, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Linkoeping, Sweden,
pp. 120-32.
Montella, A 2009, ‘Safety evaluation of curve delineation improvements: empirical Bayes observational
before-and-after study’, Transportation Research Record, no. 2103, Transportation Research Board,
Washington, pp. 69–79.
Moses, P 1987, ‘Combating the road toll’, National Local Government Engineering conference, 4th, 1987,
Perth, Western Australia, Institution of Engineers Australia, Canberra, ACT, pp.70-4.
Srinivasan, R, Baek, J, Carter, D, Persaud, B, Lyon, C, Eccles, K, Gross, F, & Lefler, N 2009, Safety
evaluation of improved curve delineation, report FHWA-HRT-09-045, Federal Highway Administration,
Washington, DC, viewed 13 December 2010,
<http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/research/safety/09046/>.
UK-MoRSE 2010, UK-MoRSE, Greensafe Foundation, Birmingham, UK, viewed 15 December 2010,
<www.uk-morse.com>.
Winnett, MA & Wheeler, AH 2002, Vehicle-activated signs: a large scale evaluation, report 548, TRL,
Crowthorne, UK.
Austroads 2012
— 30 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 31 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 32 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
A crash reduction of 10% for all casualty crashes was based on the results from Creasy and Agent
(15%), County Surveyor’s Society (only effective for loss of control type crashes), Willis et al. (0%),
Agent et al. (15%), Jackson (average of 22.5%), Moses (8%), Miller (20%), Tignor (2%), Corben et
al. (1.4%), Elvik et al. (3%), RSMA (18%, 30%). Given the range of results, and indications for
more recent research that there is minimal effect on safety, there is low confidence in this figure.
There are indications that the installation of edge lines has a minimal effect on safety, with the
results from the Roadway Safety Markings Association showing no benefit during daytime.
Benefits for night-time crashes are therefore likely to be higher than the 10% average provided
above.
There is some information on the crash reduction benefit of edge lines for run-off-road crashes.
The mean reduction was 15%, based on the average of Cottrell (0%), Council et al. (10% to 15%),
Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones (30%) and Tignor (25%). Low confidence is placed in this CRF as
there are few studies and the range is wide.
The crash reduction for wide edge lines is unable to be determined as there are only two studies
which have different outcomes: Moses (in Douglas 2000) study had an 8% reduction, whereas
Elvik et al. had a 5% increase.
There is some indication of a greater benefit of edge lines at curves, but the information is not
reliable enough to provide a figure.
Austroads 2012
— 33 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
There is a mean crash reduction of 20% based on the average reduction of Miller (29%, 10%),
Creasy and Agent (30%), Agent et al. (35%) and Elvik et al. (1%). There is a low level of
confidence in this estimate due to the discrepancy between the figure given by Elvik et al. and the
other three studies.
Centre and edge line and Mean: 1.96, standard error – not reported
guide posts Significant at 0.05 level
Miller 1993 USA and others Not specified 36% reduction centreline and edge line (where
previously none)
Elvik et al. 2009 International Combined treatment of Injury accident 45% reduction (95% CI -56 -32)
edge line, centreline and
delineator posts
Elvik et al. 2009 International Combined treatment of Injury accident 24% reduction (95% CI -35 -11)
edge line and centreline
AASHTO 2010 US On rural 2 lane road – Injury crashes have a CMF of 0.76
edge and centrelines (standard error 0.1)
AASHTO 2010 US On rural 2 lane road – injury crashes have a CMF of 0.55
edge line centrelines and (standard error 0.1)
guide posts
Austroads 2012
— 34 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
There is a mean crash reduction of 30%, based on Miller (36%) and Elvik et al. (24%). Note that
the AASHTO repeats the information from Elvik et al. so it has not been included here. Low
confidence is placed in this estimate as it uses only two studies.
Elvik et al. notes that there is an even higher benefit when guide posts are also included.
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Austroads 2001, Economic evaluation of road investment proposals: improved prediction models for road
crash savings, AP–R184/01, Austroads, Sydney, NSW.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Bali, S, Potts, R, Fee, JA, Taylor, JI & Glennon, J 1978, Cost effectiveness and safety of alternative roadway
delineation treatments for rural two-lane highways: vol II: final report, FHWA/RD-78-51, Federal
Highway Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Corben, B, Deery, H, Mullan, N & Dyte, D 1997, The general effectiveness of countermeasures for crashes
into fixed roadside objects, report 111, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Council, F & Stewart JR 1999, ‘Safety effects of the conversion of rural two-lane to four-lane roadways based
on cross-sectional models’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1665, pp. 35-43.
Council, F, McGee, HW, Prothe, L & Eccles, KA 2002, ‘Run-off-road crash prevention in AASHTO’s Strategic
nd
Highway Safety Plan’, Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Annual Meeting, 72 , 2002,
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE), Washington, USA.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Ermer, DJ, Fricker, JD & Sinha,KC 1991, Accident reduction factors for Indiana, JHRP-91-11, Purdue
University, School of Civil Engineering, Lafayette, IN, USA.
Harwood, DW, Council, FM, Hauer, E, Hughes, WE & Vogt, A 2000, Prediction of the expected safety
performance of rural two-lane highways, report FHWA-RD-99-207, Federal Highway Administration
(FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Hemion, RH 1969, A preliminary cost-benefit study of headlight glare reduction, report AR-683, Southwest
Research Institute, San Antonio, TX, USA.
Koorey, G, Farrelly, P, Mitchell, T & Nicholson, C 1999, Assessing passing opportunities: stage 2, research
report 146, Transfund New Zealand, Wellington, NZ.
Larsson, M, Candappa, N & Corben, B 2003, Flexible barrier systems along high speed roads: a lifesaving
opportunity, report 210, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Austroads 2012
— 35 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
McLean, J 1996, Review of accidents and rural cross section elements including roadsides, research report
ARR 297, ARRB Transport Research, Vermont South, Vic.
Miller, TR 1993, ‘Benefit-cost analysis of lane marking’, Public Roads, vol.56, no.4, pp.153-63.
Moses, P 1990, ‘Safety improved on rural road curves’, Western Roads, vol.15, no.2, pp.2-3.
Mutabazi, MI, Russell, ER & Stokes, RW 1999, Review of the effectiveness, location, design, and safety of
passing lanes in Kansas, report K-TRAN:KSU-97-1, Kansas Department of Transportation, Topeka,
KS, USA, viewed 25 October 2010, <http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/7000/7500/7576/784476.pdf>.
Ogden, KW 1992, Benefit/cost analysis of road trauma countermeasures: rural road and traffic engineering
programs, report 34, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Parker, MR, Flak, MA, Tsuchiyama, KH, Wadenstorer, SC & Hutcherson, F 1983, Geometric treatments for
reducing passing accidents at rural intersections on two lane highways: volumes 1 and 2, FHWA/RD-
83-074/75, Office of Safety and Traffic Operations, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC,
USA.
Road Safety Markings Association (RSMA) 2007, Road markings, road safety and efficient road utilisation in
21st century Britain, RSMA, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire, viewed 17 November 2010,
<http://www.rsma.co.uk/files/whitelinessaveslives.pdf>.
Slop, M & Catshoek, JWD 1995, Recommended safety measures for application on interurban roads in the
short term, report R-95-18, Institute for Road Safety Research, Leidschendam, Netherlands.
Thrush, M 1996, Assessing passing opportunities: literature review, research report 60, Transit New
Zealand, Wellington.
VicRoads 1990, Guidelines for the selection of projects under the road conditions sub-program (incorporating
accident blackspot projects, mass action projects, railway level crossing projects), Road Safety
Division, VicRoads, Kew, Vic.
Austroads 2012
— 36 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
FHWA in Ogden (1996) 1982 United States Installation of profile edge 61% (run-off-road)
lines on rural highway
Creasy and Agent 1985 United States Installation of rumble 25% (total crashes)
strips on various State
roads (edge line or
centreline not specified)
UK Department of 1988 UK Motorway – left-hand 76% (run-off-road)
Highways and Planning bends
in Cairney (1993)
Anon in Ogden (1996) 1988 United States Installation of profile edge 49% (run-off-road),19% (total crashes)
lines on rural highway
Harwood in Ogden 1993 United States Installation of profile edge 20% or more (run-off-road)
(1996) lines on rural highway
County Surveyor’s 1989 UK Installation of shoulder 37% (total crashes, not significant)
Society in Ogden (1996) rumble strips motorway 76% (run-off-road, statistically significant)
Wood 1994 United States Shoulder rumble strips 70% (run-off-road)
Harwood 1995 United States Rumble strips 50% (run-off-road)
RTA 1995 Australia Installation of Single vehicle crashes
audio-tactile edge line 20% (permanent obstruction in carriageway)
30% (off carriageway on straight)
30% (off carriageway on straight into object)
30% (off carriageway on curve)
30% (off carriageway on curve into object)
Agent, Stamatiadis & 1996 United States Installation of rumble 25%
Jones strips on various State
roads (edge line or
centreline not specified)
Agent, Stamatiadis & 1996 United States Installation of shoulder 25%
Jones grooving on various State
roads
Corben et al. 1996 Australia Installation of 9% (total crashes)
audio-tactile edge line
Cairney 1996 Australia Installation of audible 33% (total crashes)
tactile edge lines
Hickey 1997 United States Pennsylvania turnpike. 64% (run-off-road)
Treatment includes
RRPMs however authors
did not expect large
contribution from
recessed reflective PMs
Austroads 2012
— 37 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 38 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
ADOT 2009 United States Before and after All crash types:
evaluation of roadside 53% (all casualties), 83% (fatalities),
countermeasures 65% (injuries)
including the installation Run-off-road crashes:
of rumble strips in the 54% (all casualties), 75% (fatalities),
State of Arizona 56% (injuries)
(edge line or centreline Side-swipe crashes and head-on crashes:
not specified) 80% (all casualties)
ADOT 2009 United States Shoulder grooving All crash types:
18% (all casualties), 15% (fatalities),
18% (injuries)
run-off-road crashes:
27% (all casualties), 12% (fatalities),
27% (injuries)
AASHTO 2010 United States Unknown study on milled- Rural multi-lane divided
in shoulder rumble strips 16% (all types, all severities) std error: 10%
on rural multilane divided 17% (all types, injury crashes) std error: 20%
highways and installing 10% (run-off-road, all severities) std error: 30%
continuous rumble strips 12% (run-off-road, injury crashes) std error: 30%
on freeway shoulders Freeways
79% (run-off-road, urban/rural freeway, all
crash severities) std error: 7% – specific subset
of run-off-road crashes)
18% (run-off-road, urban/rural freeway, all
crash severities) std error: 10%
13% (run-off-road, urban/rural freeway, all
injury crashes) std error: 20%
21% (run-off-road, rural freeway, all severities)
std error: 20%
7% (run-off-road, rural freeway, injury crashes)
std error: 30%
Austroads 2010 Australia Profile edge lining, or 23% (all crash types)
shoulder grooving
Thirteen studies provided crash reduction factors associated with profile edge lines for all crashes.
Injury crashes were used where available. The average reduction in casualty crashes identified as
a result of the installation of profile edge lines (or shoulder grooving/rumble strips) was 21%
(rounded to 20%). There is a medium level of confidence, as while there was a range in the
reductions, many of the studies identified reductions that were similar to the estimated value.
Nineteen studies provided crash reductions for run-off-road type crashes; the average of these was
39% (rounded to 40%). This figure was assessed as of a low level of confidence due to the wide
spread of crash reduction factors. It was also noted that a number of studies provided crash
reductions for a number of road environments (Bahar et al. 2007 & AASHTO 2010).
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Five studies provided general crash reductions for the provision of profile centrelines. Injury
crashes were used where available. The effectiveness of profile centrelines in reducing crashes of
all types was found to be 15% (medium level of confidence).
Austroads 2012
— 40 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Six studies provided crash reductions for head-on type crashes. The average reduction was 30%,
which is within the effectiveness range identified by Baas, Charlton and de Jong (2001). The figure
was assessed as having a low level of confidence due to the wide spread of crash reduction
factors in the literature reviewed. Note that the Persaud, Retting and Lyon (2003) crash reduction
factor for ‘head-on and side-swipe crashes’ was considered a ‘head-on’ crash type for this study
because other studies from North America discuss ‘head-on and opposing direction side-swipe’
which is ‘head-on’ in the Australian context. Further, inclusion of this figure did not change the
identified crash reduction figure.
References assessed
AASHTO n.d., Head on collisions: description of strategies, American Association of State Highway and
Transportation Officials, Washington, DC, USA, viewed 7 February 2006,
<http://safety.transportation.org/htmlguides/HOcrashes/description_of_strat.htm>
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
ADOT 2009, ‘Benefit/cost ratio economic analysis, section 231’, in Traffic engineering policies, guides and
procedures (PGP), Arizona Department of Transportation, Phoenix, AZ. viewed 25 July 2011, <
http://www.azdot.gov/highways/Traffic/standards/PGP/TM231.pdf>.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Austroads 2010, Road safety engineering risk assessment: part 6: crash reduction rates, AP-T151-10,
Austroads, Sydney, NSW.
Baas, P, Charlton, S & de Jong D 2001, Review of lane delineation, Transport Engineering Research NZ,
Maukau City, New Zealand.
Bahar, G, Masliah, M, Wolff, R & Park, P 2007, Desktop reference for crash reduction factors, report FHWA-
SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Cairney, P 1993, ‘Current issues in delineation’, Road and Transport Research, vol.2, no.2, pp.28-39.
Cairney, P 1996, ‘Evaluation of audible edge lines’, contract report CR C5567, ARRB Transport Research
Ltd, Vermont South, Victoria, Australia.
Corben, B Newstead, S Diamantopoulou, K & Cameron, M 1996, Results of an evaluation of TAC funded
accident black spot treatments. Combined 18th ARRB Transport Research Conference and Transit
New Zealand Land Transport Symposium, 1996, Christchurch, New Zealand. ARRB Transport
Research Ltd, Vermont South, Victoria, Australia.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Fitzpatrick, K, Balke, K Harwood DW & Anderson, IB 2000, Accident mitigation guide for congested rural
two-lane highways. NCHRP report 440, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies,
Washington, D.C.
Austroads 2012
— 41 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Harwood, D W 1995, ‘Enhancing highway safety with rumble strips’, TR News, 178, pp. 12-16.
Hickey, JJ 1997, ‘Shoulder rumble strip effectiveness: drift-off-road accident reductions on the Pennsylvania
Turnpike’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1573, pp.105-9.
New York State Department of Transport 2009, PIES: reduction factor report, NYSDOT, Albany, New York.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Perrillo, K 1998, The effectiveness and use of continuous shoulder rumble strips, Federal Highway
Administration, Albany, New York.
Persaud, BN, Retting, RA & Lyon, C 2003, Crash reduction following installation of centerline rumble strips
on rural two-lane roads, Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada.
RTA NSW 1995, Accident investigation and prevention: policy and guidelines; version 1.0, no: 95.090,
Roads and Traffic Authority New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
Wood, NE 1994 Shoulder rumble strips: a method to alert ‘drifting’ drivers, Pennsylvania Turnpike
Commission, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
Austroads 2012
— 42 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 43 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 44 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
No U-turn & ban right-turn CMF 0.28 (all intersection crashes, all
severities), right-turn CMF 0.23
Neuman et al. 2003 US Turn restriction or Dependent on effect diverted traffic will have
prohibition on other routes
It is recommended that a general reduction not be used, as there is generally sufficient information
on stop and give way signs to provide separate figures for each of these, which would be more
useful for practitioners. These figures also seem high compared to reductions associated with stop
and give way signs individually.
Note, the Andreassan (1989) figure for installation of a stop sign has not been included due to the
age of the study (based on 1962 data). Ewing (1999) and Shen et al. (2004) provide general
reductions for installation of a stop sign. These figures have not been included as there is a large
variation in results for these studies, and there is generally sufficient information on stop signs at
three and four-leg intersections to provide separate figures for each of these.
Haleem, Abdel-Aty and Mackie (2010) note that stop signs (rather than give way signs) tend to be
installed at locations where crashes are more likely to happen.
It should be noted that selection of stop or give way signs for a given location is generally dictated
by relevant warrants, which relate to sight distance, rather than selecting them based on potential
crash reductions. It is important that regulatory signs are installed in accordance with the relevant
warrants, in order to provide a consistent approach to intersection management for drivers.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Based on these, an average crash reduction of 30% is proposed. There is medium confidence in
this figure, as it is based a number of studies, although there is quite a large variation in some
results.
The reductions from these studies vary considerably. The average of these is 27% (rounded to
25%). However, it is unclear whether this figure applies to three-leg or four-leg intersections or
both. It is noted that for the installation of stop signs, the crash reduction is considerably lower at
three-leg compared to four-leg intersections. There is low confidence in this figure.
The figures in each of the studies were very different, and therefore the information is not
considered reliable enough to provide a recommended crash reduction.
Austroads 2012
— 46 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
As observed by Neuman et al. (2003), the actual crash reduction experienced will be dependent on
the effect that diverted traffic has on nearby routes and intersections, and therefore consideration
needs to be given to the potential for crash migration.
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Andreassen, DC 1989, Strategies for safety problems, research report ARR 163, Australian Road Research
Board, Vermont South, Vic.
Andrew O’Brien and Associates 2000, ‘Managing traffic flow on urban freeways: appendix A: literature
review’, Andrew O’Brien and Associates, Melbourne, Vic.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Bahar, G, Masliah, M, Wolff, R & Park, P 2007, Desktop reference for crash reduction factors, report FHWA-
SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Brich, SC & Cottrell, BH Jnr 1995, Guidelines for the use of no u-turn and no left-turn signs, report VTRC
95-R5, Virginia Transportation Research Council, Charlottesville, Virginia.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Cairney, P 1984, ‘Casualty accidents in the vicinity of traffic control devices’, Ergonomics society conference,
1984, Exeter, UK, Taylor and Francis, pp. 210-215.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
El-Basyouny, K & Sayed, T 2010, ‘A full bayes approach to before-after safety evaluation with matched
th
comparison’, 89 annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Ermer, DJ, Fricker, JD & Sinha, KC 1991, Accident reduction factors for Indiana, JHRP-91-11, Purdue
University, School of Civil Engineering, Lafayette, IN, USA.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Ewing, R 1999, Traffic calming: state of the practice, report FHWA-RD-99-135, Federal Highway
Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Guyano-Cardona, J, Sylvester, P & Jenkins, I 2002, ‘Four-way stop signs: the Newcastle experience,’
Travelator, Proceedings of the 2002 AITPM National Conference, AITPM, Thornleigh, NSW.
Haleem, K, Abdel-Aty, M & Mackie, K 2010, ‘Using a reliability process to reduce uncertainty in predicting
crashes at unsignalized intersections’, Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 42, no.2, pp. 654-66.
Harkey, DL, Srinivasan, R, Baek, J, Council, FM, Eccles, K, Lefler, N, Gross, F, Persaud, B, Lyon, C,
Hauer, E & Bonneson, JA 2008, Accident Modification Factors for Traffic Engineering and ITS
Improvements, NCHRP report 617, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Kulmala, R 1994, ‘Measuring the safety effect of road measures at junctions’, Accident Analysis and
Prevention, vol. 26, no. 6, pp. 781-94.
Moses, P 1982, ‘Traffic signs evaluated’, Western Roads, Main Roads Western Australia, vol.7, no.3, 7pp.
Mountain, L, Jarret, D & Fawaz, B 1995, ‘The safety effects of highway engineering schemes,’ Proceedings
of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Transport, vol.111, no.4, pp.298-309.
Neuman TR, Pfefer R, Slack KL, Kennedy Hardy K, Harwood DW, Potts IB, Torbic DJ, Kohlman Rabbani ER
2003, Guidance for implementation of the AASHTO strategic highway safety plan: volume 5: A guide
for addressing unsignalized intersection collisions, NCHRP report 500, Transportation Research
Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Pegrum, BV, Lloyd, ER & Willett, P 1972, ‘Experience with priority roads in the Perth metropolitan area’,
th
Australian Road Research Board conference, 6 , Canberra, Australian Road Research Board,
Vermont South, Vic, vol.6, no.3, pp.363-383.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
In relation to all crashes, seven studies provided general crash reductions for installation of traffic
signals. However, the figure from Tasmania was based on only two sites, and appeared to be an
outlier. Therefore it was omitted. Based on the remaining six studies, a reduction of 30% is
recommended. Due to the variability in results, there is a low level of confidence in this figure.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
In relation to crash types, three studies provided figures for reductions in angle crashes and two
studies provided results for rear-end crashes. Studies showed mixed results for rear-end crashes,
with many showing increases in this crash type. Based on these results a general reduction of
50% for angle crashes, and a 30% increase in rear-end crashes are recommended.
Installation of signals is likely to result in an increase in rear-end crashes, but reduce angle and
pedestrian-type crashes, which are often higher severity.
A number of studies provided figures for installing signals at three and four-leg intersections.
There appears to be greater benefit for signalisation of four-leg intersections, which is not
surprising as movements at four-leg intersections are generally more complicated than at three-leg
intersections.
A number of studies also provided figures for the provision of signals at urban and rural
intersections. Based on these, there are some mixed results, however there appears to be great
improvement for rural installations.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
One study considered the provision of fully controlled right-turns, provision of partial control and
changing partial to full control (Bui et al. 1991). The study (p.25) observed that ‘full control of
right-turns yields poorer intersection performance than partial control under virtually all conditions.
The differences in performance, particularly between partial and full control, were slight and are
unlikely to negate the safety advantages’.
Ten studies provided figures for the provision of fully controlled right-turns.
Five studies provided general reductions for the provision of fully controlled right-turns
(Corben et al. 1990, Bui, Cameron & Foong 1991, Agent, Stamatiadis & Jones 1996, Newstead &
Corben 2001 and Gan, Shen J & Rodriguez 2005). Based on these, a reduction of 35% is
recommended (with a medium level of confidence). A number of studies also provided guidance
for different crash types. Based on these, a reduction of 60% for right through crashes (low
confidence) and 45% for adjacent direction crashes (low confidence) is recommended. There is
mixed information regarding the effect on rear-end crashes, and so a recommended crash
reduction has not been provided.
Five studies provided figures for the provision of partially controlled right-turns. However, only one
study provided a general figure of 10% (Agent, Stamatiadis & Jones 1996). There is low
confidence in this figure as it is only based on one study.
Two studies provided figures for changing partial to full control (Bui, Cameron & Foong 1991 and
Elvik et al. 2009). Based on these, a general crash reduction of 70% is suggested.
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Bahar, G, Masliah, M, Wolff, R & Park, P 2007, Desktop reference for crash reduction factors, report FHWA-
SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Bhesania, RP 1991, ‘Impact of mast-mounted signal heads on accident reduction’, ITE Journal, vol.61,
no.10, pp.25-9.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Bui, B, Cameron M & Foong, C 1991, Effect of right turn phases at signalised intersections: part 1: safety
performance, report 20, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Corben, BF, Ambrose, C & Chee Wai, F 1990, Evaluation of accident black spot treatments, report 11,
Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
DIER 2007, An evaluation of the national blackspot programme in Tasmania, Traffic Standards Branch,
Department of Infrastructure, Energy and Resources, Hobart, Tasmania.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Felipe, E, Mitic, D & Zein, SR 1998, Safety benefits of additional primary signal heads, Insurance
Corporation Of British Columbia, Canada.
FHWA & Institute of Transportation Engineers 2003, Making intersections safer : a toolbox of engineering
countermeasures to reduce red-light running : an informational report, IR-115, Institute of
Transportation Engineers, Washington, DC, USA.
FHWA Office of Safety 2009a, Traffic signals, Intersection safety issue briefs, issue brief 5, FHWA-SA-10-
005 Federal Highway Administration Office of Safety, Washington, DC.
FHWA Office of Safety 2009b, Retroreflective borders on traffic signal backplate: a South Carolina success
story, FHWA-SA-09-011, Federal Highway Administration Office of Safety, Washington, DC.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Harkey, DL, Srinivasan, R, Baek, J, Council, FM, Eccles, K, Lefler, N, Gross, F, Persaud, B, Lyon, C,
Hauer, E & Bonneson, JA 2008, Accident Modification Factors for Traffic Engineering and ITS
Improvements, NCHRP report 617, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Lyon, C, Haq, A, Persaud, BN & Kodama, ST 2005, ‘Development of safety performance functions for
signalized intersections in a large urban area and application to evaluation of left-turn priority
treatment’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1908, pp. 65-71.
Meuleners, L, Hendrie, D, Legge, M & Cercarelli, LR 2005, An evaluation of the effectiveness of the black
spot programs in Western Australia, 2000-2002, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA.
Meuleners, L, Hendrie, D, Lee, AH & Legge, M 2008, ‘Effectiveness of the black spot programs in Western
Australia’, Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol 40, no. 3, pp.1211-6.
Newstead, S & Corben, B 2001, Evaluation of the 1992-1996 Transport Accident Commission funded
accident black spot treatment program in Victoria, report 182, Monash University Accident Research
Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Pernia, J, Lu, JJ, Zhuo, Y & Snyder, D 2004, ‘Effects of traffic signal installation on intersection crashes’,
Advances in Transportation Studies, vol. 2, pp.83-96.
Persaud, B, McGee, H, Lyon, C & Lord, D 2003, ‘Development of a procedure for estimating expected safety
effects of a contemplated traffic signal installation’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1840, pp.96-
103.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Rodegerdts, LA, Nevers, B & Robinson, B 2004, Signalized intersections: informational guide, FHWA-HRT-
04-091, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), Washington, DC, USA.
Sayed, T, Leur, P & Pump, J 2005, ‘Safety impact of increased traffic signal backboards conspicuity’
Transportation Research Board annual meeting, 84th, 2005, Washington, DC, USA, TRB,
Washington, DC, USA.
Scully J, Newstead S, Corben B, & Candappa N, 2006, Evaluation of the effectiveness of the $240M
statewide blackspot program – Accident blackspot component, Monash University Accident Research
Centre, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
Srinivasan, R, Council, FM, Lyon, C, Gross, F, Lefler, NX & Persaud, BN 2008, ‘Safety effectiveness of
selected treatments at urban signalized intersections’, Transportation Research Record, no. 2056,
pp.70-6.
Thomas, GB & Smith, DJ 2001, Effectiveness of roadway safety improvements, final report, Center for
Transportation Research and Education, Iowa State University, USA.
Turner, S, Turner, B & Wood, G 2008, ‘Accident prediction models for traffic signals’, ARRB conference,
23rd, 2008, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, ARRB Group Ltd, Vermont South, Vic, 20pp.
Wilke, A & Appleton, I 2005, ‘Audit of signalised intersections in New Zealand: recommendations for
practitioners’, Road and Transport Research, vol. 14, no. 1, pp.72-77.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Three studies provided reductions for replacing a pedestal mount with a mast arm mount signal
(Bhesania, Thomas & Smith, Rodegerdts, Nevers & Robinson). Based on these, a reduction of
35% is recommended (low confidence).
Two studies provided reductions for the increasing lens size to 12 inches (Gan, Shen & Rodriguez
and Srinivasan et al.). Based on these, a reduction of 6% (rounded to 5%) is recommended (low
confidence).
Two studies provided reductions for the provision of an additional signal head (Felipe, Mitic & Zein
and Elvik et al.). Based on these, a reduction of 20% is recommended (medium confidence).
Studies have also considered general improvements (Sayed, Leur & Pump) and addition of yellow
reflective tape (FHWA). However, as there is generally only one study for each of these, a
recommended crash reduction has not been provided.
References assessed
Bahar, G, Masliah, M, Wolff, R & Park, P 2007, Desktop reference for crash reduction factors, report FHWA-
SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Bhesania, RP 1991, ‘Impact of mast-mounted signal heads on accident reduction’, ITE Journal, vol.61,
no.10, pp.25-9.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Felipe, E, Mitic, D & Zein, SR 1998, Safety benefits of additional primary signal heads, Insurance
Corporation Of British Columbia, Canada.
FHWA Office of Safety 2009a, Traffic signals, Intersection safety issue briefs, issue brief 5, FHWA-SA-10-
005 Federal Highway Administration Office of Safety, Washington, DC.
FHWA Office of Safety 2009b, Retroreflective borders on traffic signal backplate: a South Carolina success
story, FHWA-SA-09-011, Federal Highway Administration Office of Safety, Washington, DC.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, ‘Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects’, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida.
Harkey, DL, Srinivasan, R, Baek, J, Council, FM, Eccles, K, Lefler, N, Gross, F, Persaud, B, Lyon, C,
Hauer, E & Bonneson, JA 2008, Accident Modification Factors for Traffic Engineering and ITS
Improvements, NCHRP report 617, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Rodegerdts, LA, Nevers, B & Robinson, B 2005, Signalized intersections: informational guide, report FHWA-
HRT-04-091, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Sayed, T, Leur, P & Pump, J 2005, ‘Safety impact of increased traffic signal backboards conspicuity’
Transportation Research Board annual meeting, 84th, 2005, Washington, DC, USA, TRB,
Washington, DC, USA.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Srinivasan, R, Council, FM, Lyon, C, Gross, F, Lefler, NX & Persaud, BN 2008, ‘Safety effectiveness of
selected treatments at urban signalized intersections’, Transportation Research Record, no. 2056,
pp.70-6.
Thomas, GB & Smith, DJ 2001, Effectiveness of roadway safety improvements, final report, Center for
Transportation Research and Education, Iowa State University, USA.
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C.8.1 General
Three studies provided general figures for channelisation at intersections (channelisation refers to
situations where the island type is unclear; it may be a splitter, median island or both): Teal (1984),
Gan, Shen and Rodriguez (2005), and Corben and Newstead (2001). The Teal (1984) figure has
not been used, due to the age of the study. Therefore based on Gan et al. (2005) (22%), and
Corben and Newstead (2001) (36.4%) a reduction of 29% may be assumed (rounded to 30%).
There is low confidence in this figure.
The average of these is 28% (rounded to 30%). There is medium confidence in this figure, as it is
based on a number of studies, although there is quite a large variation in results from those
studies. However, this reduction is in line with the general result for channelisation.
Considering T-intersections versus cross-intersections, LTSA (1997) and Elvik et al. (2009)
provided figures for splitter islands at T-intersections and cross-intersections. Due to mixed
results, no conclusions are drawn.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
distinguish between median and splitter islands from the BTE (2001) study, although this acted as
a guide. The figures based on Shen et al. (2004) were therefore used as follows:
Install mountable median at intersection – 15% reduction.
Install non-mountable median at intersection – 25% reduction.
There is low confidence in these figures as they are not based on any Australian or NZ research,
and they are based on a single study in which the source of the figures is not known.
References assessed
Arndt, O 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates’, Doctor of
Philosophy Thesis, Queensland University of Technology and Queensland Department of Main
Roads, Brisbane, Qld.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Freeman, JR, Bansen, JA, Wemple, B & Spinks, R 2008, Innovative Operational Safety Improvements at
Unsignalized Intersections, Kittelson & Associates for Florida Department of Transportation,
Tallahassee, Florida, US.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, ‘Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects’, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida.
Gorell, RSJ & Tootill, W 2001, Monitoring local authority road safety schemes using MOLASSES, report TRL
512, TRL, Crowthorne, UK.
Land Transport Safety Authority 1997, Installation of throat & fishtail islands at intersections, Land Transport
Safety Authority, New Zealand.
Meuleners, L, Hendrie, D, Legge, M & Cercarelli, LR 2005, An evaluation of the effectiveness of the black
spot programs in Western Australia, 2000-2002, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA.
Newstead, S & Corben, B 2001, Evaluation of the 1992-1996 Transport Accident Commission funded
accident black spot treatment program in Victoria, report 182, Monash University Accident Research
Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
The crash reduction factor (CRF) for grade separation of cross intersections is 55%. This
percentage is derived using the average of CRF data from Walker and Lines (57%), Hedman
(50%), Elvik et al. (57%), Amundsen and Elvik (51% and 52%), and the AASHTO (57%). This
CRF estimate is considered robust (i.e. high confidence) given the frequency of studies with similar
CRF values.
The CRF for T-intersections is 20%. This percentage is derived by taking the average of the
Hedman (10%), Elvik et al. (24%) and AASHTO (28%) studies. This result is considered less
reliable (medium confidence), as there are only three studies, and more variability in the results.
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Amundsen, AH & Elvik, R 2004, ‘Effects on road safety of new urban arterial roads’, Accident Analysis &
Prevention, vol. 36, no.1, pp.115-23.
nd
Elvik, R, Hoye, A, Vaa, T & Sorensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
It is noted that Arndt (2004) reviewed the effectiveness of different types of right-turn lane
installations (basic, auxiliary and channelised). Arndt found that channelised treatments
experienced considerably lower crashes than basic and auxiliary treatments.
C.10.2 Signals
Four studies provided general reductions for installation of right-turn lanes at signalised
intersections. Creasy and Agent 30%, Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones 25%, Gluck, Levinson and
Stover 41% and Gan, Shen and Rodriguez 28%. Based on these, a reduction of 30% is
recommended (medium confidence).
Harwood et al. (2002) provided figures for three and four-leg intersections, as well as for
intersection approach crashes.
It is noted that Gluck, Levinson and Stover provided crash effectiveness according to a number of
crash types (rear-end, angle, right-turn and other). An increase in rear-end type crashes was
noted, with reductions in angle, right-turn and other crash types.
While AASHTO provided some results for rural signalised intersections, these figures are not
considered applicable in the Australian context.
The reductions derived for unsignalised and signalised is in line with the findings from Gluck,
Levinson and Stover (1999) and Harwood et al. (2002), who also indicated that it appears that
provision of a right-turn lane (painted or constructed) at unsignalised intersections may provide
greater reductions than at signalised.
It is noted that Gluck, Levinson and Stover provided crash reductions according to a number of
crash types (rear-end, angle, right-turn and other).
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C.10.4 Rural
Four studies identified reductions in rural areas. The BTE identified a 28% reduction in casualty
crashes.
For unsignalised T-intersections, Harwood et al. (2000) identified a 22% reduction, Harwood et al.
(2002) identified a 44% reduction for all crashes (55% for casualty crashes), and AASHTO
identified a 44% reduction for all crashes (55% for casualty crashes). The average of these figures
(using casualty figures where available) was a 44% reduction, although a more conservative
reduction of 40% is recommended (low confidence).
For unsignalised X-intersections, Harwood et al. (2000) identified a 24% reduction (1 approach),
Harwood et al. (2002) identified a 28% reduction for all crashes (35% for casualty crashes), and
AASHTO (2010) identified a 28% reduction for all crashes (35% for casualty crashes). The
average of these figures (using casualty figures where available) was a 31% reduction, rounded to
30% (medium confidence).
Where reductions were available for 1 and 2 approaches, the reduction associated with the 1
approach treatment was selected, as this provides a more conservative estimate.
Harwood et al. (2002) also provided reductions for intersection approach crashes (as well as the
total intersection crashes).
While AASHTO provided some results for rural signalised intersections, these figures are not
considered applicable in the Australian and New Zealand context, as we tend not to have signals in
rural environments.
C.10.5 Urban
Four studies identified reductions in urban areas.
Harwood (1995) identified a 35% reduction of painted right-turn lanes at intersections in urban
areas, while the BTE identified a 32% reduction for the provision of turn lanes, however this was
for both right and left. Due to the limited information, a reduction has not been provided for this
treatment type.
For unsignalised T-intersections, Harwood et al. (2002) identified a 33% reduction for all crashes,
and AASHTO identified a 33% reduction for all crashes (35% for casualty crashes). Based on
these, a reduction of 35% is recommended. Given there are just two studies, there is a low level of
confidence.
For signalised T-intersections, Harwood et al. (2002) identified a 7% reduction for all crashes, and
AASHTO identified a 7% reduction for all crashes (6% for casualty crashes). Based on these, a
reduction of 5% is recommended. Given there are just two studies, and it is likely that these
reductions are based on the same data, there is a low level of confidence.
For unsignalised X-intersections, Harwood et al. (2002) identified a 27% reduction for all crashes
(29% for casualty crashes), and AASHTO identified a 27% reduction for all crashes (29% for
casualty crashes). Based on these, a reduction of 30% is suggested. Given there are just two
studies, and it is likely that these reductions are based on the same data, there is a low level of
confidence.
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
For signalised X-intersections, Harwood et al. (2002) identified a 10% reduction for all crashes (9%
for casualty crashes), and AASHTO (2010) identified a 10% reduction for all crashes (9% for
casualty crashes). Based on these, a reduction of 10% is suggested. Given there are just two
studies, and it is likely that these reductions are based on the same data, there is a low level of
confidence.
For newly signalised urban X-intersections, Harwood et al. (2002) identified a 24% reduction for all
crashes (28% for casualty crashes). These reductions were also noted in AASHTO.
Based on other evidence, it appears that reductions in rural areas were generally higher than in
urban areas from the installation of right-turn lanes (see especially Harwood). Therefore, a figure
of a 30% reduction in urban areas was selected as appropriate (low confidence).
Studies indicate that physical right-turn islands provide greater crash reductions than painted
islands. Crash reductions for X-intersections appear to be higher than for T-intersection (Harwood
et al. 2002 and Elvik et al.). For painted right-turn lanes, a mean of 32% was selected (based on
the general figures from Creasy and Agent, LTSA, Harwood and Gan, Shen & Rodriguez), rounded
to 30% (high confidence). Given this result, a reduction of 35% is recommended for the use of
physical right-turn islands (low confidence).
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
There is some information on the difference between installing right-turn lanes at X versus
T-intersections, with a slight trend for a greater crash reduction benefit at unsignalised
T-intersections, while for signalised intersections a greater benefit exists at X-intersections.
However, given the lack of reliable information on this issue, no figure has been provided. This
issue requires further research.
References assessed
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1st edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Arndt, O 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates’, Doctor of
Philosophy Thesis, Queensland University of Technology and Queensland Department of Main
Roads, Brisbane, Qld.
Arndt, O & Troutbeck, R, 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates:
final results, Road system and engineering forum 2004, Queensland Department of Main Roads,
Brisbane, Qld, 32pp.
Arndt, O & Troutbeck, R, 2006, ‘New warrants for unsignalised intersection turn treatments’, ARRB
conference, 22nd, 2006, Canberra, ACT, Australia, ARRB Group, Vermont South, Vic, 19pp.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ermer, DJ, Fricker, JD & Sinha, KC 1991, Accident reduction factors for Indiana, JHRP-91-11, Purdue
University, School of Civil Engineering, Lafayette, IN, USA.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Gluck, J, Levinson, HS & Stover, V 1999, Impacts of access management techniques, NCHRP report 420,
Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC.
Harwood, DW 1995, ‘Relationships between operational and safety considerations in geometric design
improvements’, Transportation Research Record, no.1512, pp.1-6.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Harwood D.W., Council F.M., Hauer E., Hughes W.E. & Vogt A. 2000, Prediction of the expected safety
performance of rural two-lane highways, report FHWA-RD-99-207, Federal Highway Administration
(FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Harwood, DW, Bauer, KM, Potts, IB, Torbic, DJ, Richard, KR, Kohlman Rabbani, ER, Hauer, E &
Elefteriadou, L 2002, Safety effectiveness of intersection left- and right-turn lanes, report FHWA-RD-
02-89, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Land Transport Safety Authority 1994, Right-turn treatment, Land Transport Safety Authority, Wellington,
New Zealand.
Lyon, C, Persaud, B, Lefler, N, Carter, D & Eccles, K 2008, ’Safety evaluation of installing center two-way
left-turn lanes on two-lane roads’, Transportation Research Record, no. 2075, pp. 34-41.
Meuleners, L, Hendrie, D, Legge, M & Cercarelli, LR 2005, An evaluation of the effectiveness of the black
spot programs in Western Australia, 2000-2002, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA,
Australia.
Neuman TR, Pfefer R, Slack KL, Kennedy Hardy K, Harwood DW, Potts IB, Torbic DJ, Kohlman Rabbani ER
2003, Guidance for implementation of the AASHTO strategic highway safety plan: volume 5: A guide
for addressing unsignalized intersection collisions, NCHRP report 500, Transportation Research
Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Persaud, B, McGee, H, Lyon, C & Lord, D 2003, ‘Development of a procedure for estimating expected safety
effects of a contemplated traffic signal installation’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1840, pp.96-
103.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
VicRoads 1990, Guidelines for the selection of projects under the road conditions sub-program (incorporating
accident blackspot projects, mass action projects, railway level crossing projects), Road Safety
Division, VicRoads, Kew, Vic.
Yu, L, Qi, Y, Azimi, M, Gui, C & Guo, L 2007, Left-turn lane design and operation, for Texas Department of
Transport, Department of Transport Studies, Texas Southern University, Houston, Texas, USA.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
The Harwood study showed an increase in crashes where right-turn lanes were extended at urban
signalised intersections, and a 43% reduction at rural unsignalised intersections. While these were
statistically significant results, they were based on very small sample sizes (3 and 4 respectively).
Three other studies gave results for extending right-turn lanes (Agent, Stamatiadis & Jones 15%,
Shen et al. 25% and Gan, Shen & Rodriguez 28%), all based on US research.
Neuman et al. noted that extending turn lanes will reduce rear-end collisions, although the study
did not provide an estimated reduction. They suggested that the reduction would likely be a
function of a number of site characteristics including existing lane length, traffic volume and sight
distance. However, Arndt (2004) observed that on major roads, ‘rear-end crash rates were not
significantly higher on the short turn lanes compared to the longer turn lane slots’. Based on this it
was decided not to provide an estimate of effectiveness.
References assessed
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Arndt, O 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates’, Doctor of
Philosophy Thesis, Queensland University of Technology and Queensland Department of Main
Roads, Brisbane, Qld.
Arndt, O & Troutbeck, R, 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates:
final results, Road system and engineering forum 2004, Queensland Department of Main Roads,
Brisbane, Qld, 32pp.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Harwood, DW, Bauer, KM, Potts, IB, Torbic, DJ, Richard, KR, Kohlman Rabbani, ER, Hauer, E &
Elefteriadou, L 2002, Safety effectiveness of intersection left- and right-turn lanes, report FHWA-RD-
02-89, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Neuman TR, Pfefer R, Slack KL, Kennedy Hardy K, Harwood DW, Potts IB, Torbic DJ, Kohlman Rabbani ER
2003, Guidance for implementation of the AASHTO strategic highway safety plan: volume 5: A guide
for addressing unsignalized intersection collisions, NCHRP report 500, Transportation Research
Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
Yu, L, Qi, Y, Azimi, M, Gui, C & Guo, L 2007, Left-turn lane design and operation, for Texas Department of
Transport, Department of Transport Studies, Texas Southern University, Houston, Texas, USA.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
As a logic check, it was assumed that the benefit from a left-turn lane should be less than that for a
right-turn lane (which produced an overall reduction of 34%). There were seven studies that
provided an overall figure for the provision of a left-turn lane, as follows:
Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones: 25%
Shen et al.: 32%
BTE: 32% (urban) and 38% (rural)
Meuleners et al.: 11.1%
Gan, Shen and Rodriguez: 25%
AASHTO: 23% (unsignalised) and 9% (signalised)
Harwood et al. (2000): 5%.
The average of these is 22% (rounded to 20%). There is low confidence in this figure, as although
it is based on a number of studies, there is quite a large variation in results (and therefore CRFs)
from these studies. Where reductions were provided for the installation of a left-turn lane on one
and two approaches (i.e. Harwood et al. 2000, AASHTO), the figure for one approach was used as
this provides a more conservative estimate.
The Harwood et al. (2002) and BTE studies provided reductions for rural and urban areas. BTE
found a higher casualty crash reduction for urban areas (32%) than for rural (28%). Harwood et al.
(2002) found mixed results with the highest crash reduction (all crashes) for urban unsignalised
intersections (40%), followed by rural unsignalised (14%) and then urban signalised (4%). This
study provided casualty crash reductions for rural unsignalised (23%) and urban signalised (9%).
Note that the Harwood et al. results only applied to four-leg intersections.
There are limited and mixed results regarding provision of left-turn lanes at T-intersections versus
cross-intersections. Harwood et al. (2002) indicated a higher reduction for urban signalised
three-leg intersections (45% on approach) compared to four-leg intersections (18% on approach),
while Elvik et al. indicated a 12% increase for three-leg intersections compared to a 19% reduction
for four-leg intersections.
There are some indications that left-turns at rural T-intersections (at least in the US context) were
associated with increased crash risk. It has been suggested that this might be a result of a higher
proportion of turning movements rather than the provision of the turning lane itself.
Gan, Shen and Rodriguez provided indicative crash reductions by crash type, however as only one
study is available, it is not useful for this work.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Arndt, O 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates’, Doctor of
Philosophy Thesis, Queensland University of Technology and Queensland Department of Main
Roads, Brisbane, Qld.
Arndt, O & Troutbeck, R, 2004, ‘Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates:
final results, Road system and engineering forum 2004, Queensland Department of Main Roads,
Brisbane, Qld, 32pp.
Arndt, O & Troutbeck, R, 2006, ‘New warrants for unsignalised intersection turn treatments’, ARRB
Conference, 22nd, 2006, Canberra, ACT, Australia, ARRB Group, Vermont South, Vic, 19pp.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Harwood, DW, Council, FM, Hauer, E, Hughes, WE & Vogt, A 2000, Prediction of the expected safety
performance of rural two-lane highways, report FHWA-RD-99-207, Federal Highway Administration
(FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Harwood, DW, Bauer, KM, Potts, IB, Torbic, DJ, Richard, KR, Kohlman Rabbani, ER, Hauer, E &
Elefteriadou, L 2002, Safety effectiveness of intersection left- and right-turn lanes, report FHWA-RD-
02-89, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Meuleners, L, Hendrie, D, Legge, M & Cercarelli, LR 2005, An evaluation of the effectiveness of the black
spot programs in Western Australia, 2000-2002, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA,
Australia.
Neuman, TR, Pfefer, R, Slack, KL, Kennedy, Hardy, K, Harwood, DW, Potts, IB, Torbic, DJ, Kohlman
Rabbani ER 2003, Guidance for implementation of the AASHTO strategic highway safety plan –
volume 5: a guide for addressing unsignalized intersection collisions, NCHRP report 500,
Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, USA.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
Vogt, V & Bared, J 1998, ‘Accident models for two-lane rural segments and intersections’, Transportation
Research Record, no. 1635, pp.18-29.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
No information was found on the effectiveness of changing lane widths in tunnels. Only one study
was identified that appeared to be related to this issue, which found a 40% reduction for an
increase in tunnel width. While this may be assumed to be linked with an increase in lane width,
other factors may also vary with increasing tunnel width. Given the lack of guidance on this topic,
additional information may be sought from literature on safety associated with lane widths
generally.
References assessed
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
The mean of the reductions is 25%. There is a medium level of confidence in this figure, as
although it is quite consistent across studies, it includes a range of different applications.
Other figures indicate that the benefit of tack-on lanes is less than for new alignments and passing
lanes (5% reduction versus a 54% reduction, although there is low confidence in these values).
Benefits appear to be greater when passing lanes are used in two directions (i.e. four lanes with
one through and one passing lane in each direction) than for one direction only (40% versus 13%).
References assessed
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1st edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Austroads 2001, Economic evaluation of road investment proposals: improved prediction models for road
crash savings, AP–R184/01, Austroads, Sydney, NSW.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Council, F & Stewart JR 1999, ‘Safety effects of the conversion of rural two-lane to four-lane roadways based
on cross-sectional models’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1665, pp. 35-43.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ermer, DJ, Fricker, JD & Sinha,KC 1991, Accident reduction factors for Indiana, JHRP-91-11, Purdue
University, School of Civil Engineering, Lafayette, IN, USA.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Harwood, DW, Council, FM, Hauer, E, Hughes, WE & Vogt, A 2000, Prediction of the expected safety
performance of rural two-lane highways, report FHWA-RD-99-207, Federal Highway Administration
(FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Hemion, RH 1969, A preliminary cost-benefit study of headlight glare reduction, report AR-683, Southwest
Research Institute, San Antonio, TX, USA.
Austroads 2012
— 81 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Koorey, G, Farrelly, P, Mitchell, T & Nicholson, C 1999, Assessing passing opportunities: stage 2, research
report 146, Transfund New Zealand, Wellington, NZ.
Larsson, M, Candappa, N & Corben, B 2003, Flexible barrier systems along high speed roads: a lifesaving
opportunity, report 210, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
McLean, J 1996, Review of accidents and rural cross section elements including roadsides, research report
ARR 297, ARRB Transport Research, Vermont South, Vic.
Mutabazi, MI, Russell, ER & Stokes, RW 1999, Review of the effectiveness, location, design, and safety of
passing lanes in Kansas, report K-TRAN:KSU-97-1, Kansas Department of Transportation, Topeka,
KS, USA, viewed 25 October 2010, <http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/7000/7500/7576/784476.pdf>.
Ogden, KW 1992, Benefit/cost analysis of road trauma countermeasures: rural road and traffic engineering
programs, report 34, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Parker, MR, Flak, MA, Tsuchiyama, KH, Wadenstorer, SC & Hutcherson, F 1983, Geometric treatments for
reducing passing accidents at rural intersections on two lane highways: volumes 1 and 2, FHWA/RD-
83-074/75, Office of Safety and Traffic Operations, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC,
USA.
Slop, M & Catshoek, JWD 1995, Recommended safety measures for application on interurban roads in the
short term, report R-95-18, Institute for Road Safety Research, Leidschendam, Netherlands.
Thrush, M 1996, Assessing passing opportunities: literature review, research report 60, Transit New
Zealand, Wellington.
VicRoads 1990, Guidelines for the selection of projects under the road conditions sub-program (incorporating
accident blackspot projects, mass action projects, railway level crossing projects), Road Safety
Division, VicRoads, Kew, Vic.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
C.15 Superelevation
Summary of research
Study Year Country Environment/Treatment Reduction
Creasy and Agent 1985 United States Correcting/improving 40%
superelevation on all
highway environments
Zegeer et al. 1992 United States Correcting superelevation 10%
deviation on rural 2-lane
rural highways
Corben et al. 1996 United States Improving crossfall on a 38% (not significant)
number of unknown road
environments
Agent, Stamatiadis & 1996 United States Modifying superelevation 40%
Jones on all highway
environments
Ogden 1996 International Correcting superelevation 40% to 60% (head-on, overtaking, off-road on
at intersections/ curve and out-of-control on curve)
mid-blocks with
high-speed traffic
Harwood et al. 2000 United States Superelevation deficiency
(SD) correction for 2-lane Superelevation AMF
rural highways deficiency (SD)
< 0.01 1.00
≥ 0.01 to < 0.02 (1.00 + 6(SD – 0.01)
≥ 0.02 (1.00 + 3(SD – 0.02)
Hanley, Gibby & Ferrara 2000 United States Superelevation Hanley (1996) study 12% to 13% (all crash types)
modification and shoulder Caltrans (1994) study 50%
widening in unknown road ITE (1992) study 75%
environments 33% (run-off-road crashes)
Gan, Shen & Rodriguez 2005 United States Unknown road State survey 40% (all crash types)
environment, relating to State survey 45% (all crash types)
several treatments: State survey 28% (all crash types)
superelevation correction,
provide proper
superelevation and
resurfacing/superelevation
Gan, Shen & Rodriguez 2005 United States Correcting superelevation Likely to be based on Harwood, as Harwood also
deficiency for all types of includes this table, in addition to the CMFunction
crashes formulas
Superelevation deficiency AMF
0.02 1.06
0.03 1.09
0.04 1.12
0.05 1.15
Monsere et al. 2006 United States Correcting superelevation The following reductions are calculated using
deficiency for 2-lane rural Harwood et al.’s functions
highways 15% (all crashes, correcting from 0.02 to 0.08)
11% (all crashes, correcting from 0.04 to 0.08)
6% (all crashes, correcting from 0.06 to 0.08)
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Of the research reviewed, Harwood et al. (2000) and Zegeer et al. (1992) were considered to be
the most comprehensive and robust. The Crash Modification Functions (CMFunctions) derived by
Harwood et al (2000) were based on the work by Zeger et al (1992). Gan, Shen and
Rodriguez (2005) and Monsere et al. (2006) both provided reductions based on the CMFunctions
derived by Harwood et al (2000). Logically, the effect of improving superelevation deficiency would
be a function, dependant on the original deficiency level. Therefore, these CMFunctions are
recommended. Given that these functions are primarily based on one piece of work, and not
based Australian or New Zealand findings there is a low level of confidence. Note that,
superelevation, speed and curvature are all closely linked in terms of safety outcomes. Therefore
a Crash Modification Function drawing these elements together would be more desirable.
References assessed
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Corben, B, Newstead, S, Diamantopoulou, K & Cameron, M 1996, ‘Results of an evaluation of TAC funded
accident black spot treatments’, Combined 18th ARRB Transport Research conference and Transit
New Zealand Land Transport symposium, 1996, Christchurch, New Zealand. ARRB Transport
Research Ltd, Vermont South, Victoria, Australia.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
University of Kentucky, Kentucky Transportation Research Program, Lexington, KY.
Gan, A, Shen, J & Rodriguez, A 2005, Update of Florida crash reduction factors and countermeasures to
improve the development of district safety improvement projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, USA.
Hanley, K, Gibby, R. & Ferrara, T 2000, Analysis of accident-reduction factors on California State Highways,
Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, United States.
Harwood, DW, Council, FM, Hauer, E, Hughes, WE & Vogt, A 2000, Prediction of the expected safety
performance of rural two-lane highways, report FHWA-RD-99-207, Federal Highway Administration
(FHWA), McLean, VA, USA.
Illinois Department of Transport 2006, Crash reduction factors for HSIP program projects, Illinois Department
of Transport, Illinois, USA.
New York State Department of Transport 2009, PIES: reduction factor report, NYSDOT, Albany, New York.
Austroads 2012
— 84 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Zegeer, C, Stewart, J, Council, F, Reinfurt, D, Hamilton, E 1992, ‘Safety effects of geometric improvements
on horizontal curves’, Transportation Research Record, no.1356., pp.11-9.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Review of literature
Average 31% (all crashes)
Average 65% (fatal crashes)
Average 36% (injury crashes)
Agent et al. in Bahar et 1996 United States Study of the effectiveness Average 5% (all crash types)
al. (2007) of impact attenuators in Average 75% (fatal crashes)
unknown highway Average 50% (injury crashes)
environments
Gan et al. in Bahar et al. 2005 United States Study of the effectiveness Average 29% (all severities)
(2007) of impact attenuators in Average 82% (fatal crashes)
unknown highway Average 50% (injury crashes)
environments
Gan, Shen & Rodriguez 2005 United States Installation of impact Average 29% (all crashes)
attenuators on a range of Average 83% (fatal crashes)
highway environments
across the United States
FHWA 2008 United States Study of the effectiveness 29% for all crash types (all crash severities)
of impact attenuators in a 75% for all crash types (fatal crashes)
range of speed and road 50% for all crash types (injury crashes)
environments 45% reduction in run-off-road crashes (all crash
severities)
69% in run-off-road into fixed objects (fatal
crashes)
69% in run-off-road into fixed objects (injury
crashes)
46% in run-off-road into fixed objects (PDO
crashes)
ADOT 2009 United States Study of the effectiveness 41% (all crashes)
of impact attenuators in 45% (run-off-road crashes)
unknown highway
environments
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
It should be noted that provision of impact attenuators may not reduce the incidence of crashes,
but rather influences the severity outcomes when a crash does occur (i.e. injury crash types are
likely to transfer to non-injury crashes).
The average casualty crash reduction was determined to be 40%. However, due to changes in
vehicle and barrier technology, this figure was deemed to be too conservative and some of the
older studies such as Creasey and Agent (1985) and Griffin (1983) were excluded. Therefore, a
50% crash reduction was chosen, and this was considered to have a medium level of confidence.
For fatal crashes, the average CRF amongst all the studies was 72% (rounded to 70%) and this
figure was deemed to have high confidence.
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
ADOT 2009, ‘Benefit/cost ratio economic analysis, section 231’, in Traffic engineering policies, guides and
procedures (PGP), Arizona Department of Transportation, Phoenix, AZ. viewed 25 July 2011, <
http://www.azdot.gov/highways/Traffic/standards/PGP/TM231.pdf>.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, research report
KTC-96-13, Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Bahar, G, Masliah, M, Wolff, R & Park, P 2007, Desktop reference for crash reduction factors, report FHWA-
SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
University of Kentucky, Kentucky Transportation Research Program, Lexington, KY.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Federal Highway Administration 2008, Toolbox of countermeasures and their potential effectiveness for
roadway departure crashes, report no. FHWA-SA-07-013, Federal Highway Administration,
Washington DC, viewed 22 July 2011,
<http://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/tools/crf/resources/briefs/rdwydepartissue.pdf>.
Austroads 2012
— 87 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Gan A, Shen J & Rodriguez A 2005, Update of Florida Crash Reduction Factors and Countermeasures to
improve the Development of District Safety Improvement Projects, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida, viewed 25 March 2008.
Griffin, L 1983, ‘How effective are attenuation devices (crash cushions) in reducing deaths and injuries?’
Texas Transportation Researcher, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 6-7.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Austroads 2012
— 88 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
A mean crash reduction factor of 25% was derived by taking the average of Elvik et al. (30%),
Creasy and Agent (30%), Moses (15%), Sanderson et al. (30%), Srinivasan et al. (18%) and
Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones (37%). Given the consistency between the studies, a high level of
confidence can be placed in this CRF.
Additional crash type specific CRFs were given by Moses (17% for rear-end crashes), Agent,
Stamatiadis and Jones (30% for run-off-road crashes) and FORS (30% for head-on crashes).
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
An average CRF of 40% was derived from Elvik et al. (13%), Kneebone (62% casualties, 70%
casualties, 21% all crashes) and Agent, Stamatiadis and Jones (30%). Due to the inconsistency of
results there is a low level of confidence in this figure.
References assessed
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1st edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Agent, KR, Stamatiadis, N & Jones, S 1996, Development of accident reduction factors, report KTC-96-13,
Kentucky Transportation Centre, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Andreassen, DC 1989, Strategies for safety problems, research report ARR 163, Australian Road Research
Board, Vermont South, Vic.
Andrew O’Brien and Associates 2000, ‘Managing traffic flow on urban freeways: appendix A: literature
review’, Andrew O’Brien and Associates, Melbourne, Vic.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
Kentucky Transportation Research Program, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Austroads 2012
— 90 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Donald, D 1997, Be warned! A review of curve warning signs and curve advisory speeds, research report
304, ARRB Transport Research, Vermont South, Vic.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ewing, R 1999, Traffic calming: state of the practice, report FHWA-RD-99-135, Federal Highway
Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Kneebone, DC 1964, ‘Advisory speed signs and their effect on traffic’, Australian Road Research Board
conference, 2nd, 1964, Melbourne, Victoria, Australian Road Research Board, Vermont South, Vic,
vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 524-41.
Kulmala, R 1994, ‘Measuring the safety effect of road measures at junctions’, Accident Analysis and
Prevention, vol. 26, no. 6, pp. 781-94.
Lamm, R, Zumkeller, K & Beck, A 2001, ‘Traffic safety: the relative effectiveness of a variety of road
markings and traffic control devices’, Road Safety on Three Continents, 2000, Pretoria, South Africa,
VTI Konferens 15A, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Linkoeping, Sweden,
pp. 120-32.
Montella, A 2009, ‘Safety evaluation of curve delineation improvements: empirical Bayes observational
before-and-after study’, Transportation Research Record, no. 2103, Transportation Research Board,
Washington, pp. 69–79.
Moses, P 1987, ‘Combating the road toll’, National Local Government Engineering conference, 4th, 1987,
Perth, Western Australia, Institution of Engineers Australia, Canberra, ACT, pp.70-4.
Srinivasan, R, Baek, J, Carter, D, Persaud, B, Lyon, C, Eccles, K, Gross, F, & Lefler, N 2009, Safety
evaluation of improved curve delineation, report FHWA-HRT-09-045, Federal Highway Administration,
Washington, DCUK-MoRSE 2010, UK-MoRSE, Greensafe Foundation, Birmingham, UK, viewed 15
December 2010, <www.uk-morse.com>.
UK-MoRSE 2010, UK-MoRSE, Greensafe Foundation, Birmingham, UK, viewed 15 December 2010,
<www.uk-morse.com>.
Winnett, MA & Wheeler, AH 2002, Vehicle-activated signs: a large scale evaluation, report 548, TRL,
Crowthorne, UK.
Austroads 2012
— 91 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Information sources used were Teale (14% reduction), Stewart (20% for low visible fencing),
Campbell et al. (20%) and Elvik et al. (29%). Retting, Ferguson and McCartt was excluded
because it reports the result from Stewart. The average CRF based on these figures was 21%
(rounded to 20%) with a medium level of confidence. The CRF is likely to be higher if fencing that
does not obscure visibility to pedestrians is used.
Austroads 2012
— 92 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Relevant information sources used: Elvik et al. 63%, Pegrum 62%, Austroads 60%, Retting,
Ferguson and McCartt 57%. Average CRF based on these four sources is 60%. Medium
confidence is placed in this CRF. All the CRFs are closely aligned and the average CRF is close
to Elvik’s figure.
Austroads 2012
— 93 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
The CRF falls into three categories for marked crossings: 2 lane roads, multi-lane roads and the
overall CRF. Studies of impact when used on 2 lane roads were Elvik et al. (8% reduction, but not
significant), AASHTO (no effect) and Zegeer et al. (no change). The multi-lane road study found
an 88% increase (Elvik et al.) and a statistically significant increase (Zegeer et al.) but no effect if
AADT was under 12 000 (AASHTO). The overall studies were performed by Elvik et al. (44%
increase), Shen et al. (25% decrease) Moses (increase), Zegeer (increase), Koespell (increase),
Austroads (40% decrease in pedestrian crashes), Teale (66% increase, although not significant),
Bahar et al. (10% decrease with channelization), UK-MoRSE (17% decrease) and Retting,
Ferguson and McCartt (increase).
None of the studies provided information about whether exposure effects had been factored into
their calculations (particularly issues relating to increased pedestrian exposure at the location
where crossings are installed). There is too little data to come to a conclusion about two-lane
roads, and marked crossings are not used on multilane roads in Australia. There is a lot of
variation in the overall studies but these indicate that there may be an increase in pedestrian
crashes when marked crossings are installed. However, this increase may be due to increased
exposure resulting from pedestrians choosing to use the crossing rather than cross nearby.
Relevant information sources used: Creasey and Agent 95%, VicRoads 10% of all crash types (not
just pedestrian), Austroads 90%, Bahar et al. 90%, Elvik et al. 82% and Retting, Ferguson and
McCartt 91%. Average CRF 90%. As a low level of confidence can be placed in this CRF due to
the work, other than Elvik et al. lacking detail this CRF is rounded down to 85%.
Austroads 2012
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Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Pedestrian signal treatments fell into four categories: improve/change signal timing, exclusive
pedestrian phase, new signal installation and changing from a marked to a signalised crossing.
Austin, Martin and Fox found CRFs of 24% and 44% with improved signal timing whereas Retting
(cited in Bahar et al.) found a 37% reduction by changing signal timing (note – includes pedestrians
and cyclists).
When a pedestrian phase was added Bahar et al. found a 34% reduction (range 7 to 60%), Creasy
and Agent a 60% reduction, Austroads a 70% reduction and Retting, Ferguson and McCartt a 50%
reduction.
Improved signal timing: CRF 35%, low confidence as this is based on few studies (one of which
gave a combined CRF for pedestrians and cyclists.
Austroads 2012
— 95 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Pedestrian phase: CRF 50% (the average was 53.5% and was rounded down); low confidence due
to the large range in Bahar et al. study and the source of the Austroads data is unclear.
New signals: CRF cannot be calculated as there are too few studies at this time. Additionally the
three included are not able to be compared as Teale’s installation point is unknown and the other
two are installed at mid-blocks and intersections and different effects may be experienced
depending on the installation point.
Marked crossing to signalised: CRF cannot be calculated as there is only one study.
C.18.6 Refuges
Study Year Country Environment/Treatment Reduction
Teale 1984 Australia 38% reduction (confidence interval +28 +48)
Moses 1987 Australia Refuge replacing zebra 80.7%
crossing
Garder, in Retting, 1989 Sweden Urban intersections Risk of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts decreased
Fergison and McCartt by roughly two thirds
VicRoads 1990 Australia Not specified 30% reduction in total crashes from
refuges/channelisation/kerb extension
LTSA 1995 New Zealand Not specified 33% reduction in pedestrian crashes where
either or both pedestrian refuges and bulbous
kerbs (kerb extension) were used
18% reduction for sites with only pedestrian
refuges
37% reduction for sites with only bulbous kerbs
Ewing 1999 USA Not specified, summary of 57% crash reduction
numerous studies
BTE 2001 Australia Urban Pedestrian facilities/refuge 5.8% reduction in
casualty crashes (not significant)
BTE 2001 Australia Regional Pedestrian facilities/refuge 30.1% reduction in
casualty crashes (not significant)
Retting, Ferguson and 2003 Sweden, USA Unknown 50% to 60%
McCartt
Austroads 2004 Australia Non-intersection 50% reduction in vehicle hits pedestrian
crashes
Bahar et al. 2007 Various Unknown 25% to 69%
Elvik et al. 2009 Worldwide Worldwide 43% reduction
Doherty, Poole and 2010 USA/New York Metropolitan 34% reduction – refuge, repainted markings,
Mintz-Roth city from 2 lanes to one lane
A total of nine studies were considered when deciding on the CRF for pedestrian refuges: 50%,
60%, 38%, 43%, 18%, 30%, 57%, 50%, 66%. The average CRF was 45.7%. A further refinement
was trialled where the less robust study CRFs were removed. These were 38%, 30% and 50%.
This gave a CRF of 49%. It was decided to adopt the CRF of 45% as a more conservative figure
as many of the studies were not from Australasia.
Austroads 2012
— 96 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
C.18.7 Roundabouts
Study Year Country Environment/Treatment Reduction
Brilon et al. in Retting, 1993 Germany Intersections converted 75% reduction in pedestrian crashes
Ferguson and McCartt from traffic signals or stop
(2003) signs
Schoon & van Minnen in 1994 Netherlands Intersections converted 73% reduction in pedestrian – vehicle crashes
Retting, Ferguson and from traffic signals or stop
McCartt (2003) signs
Midson 2009 Australia Tasmanian shopping strip 75% reduction in pedestrian crashes
Bahar et al. 2007 Flanders Unsignalised intersection 27%
to roundabout
A CRF of 60% was selected based on the average of Midson (75% reduction), Bahar et al. (27%
reduction), Brilon et al. (75% reduction) and Schoon and van Minnen (73% reduction). There is
low confidence in this CRF given the variance, and only one study being from Australia. Note, as
this treatments relates to the provision of roundabouts (and not a specific pedestrian treatment)
this has been included under ‘Intersection treatments – roundabouts’ in Table 3.1.
There is a mean CRF of 20% for pedestrian crashes based on the average of Bahar et al. (8%),
Geoplan (8%) and Elvik et al. (42%). Crashes of all types could be expected to reduce from this
measure. There is low confidence in this figure given the range of results.
References assessed
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1st edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials Washington, DC, USA.
Archer, J, Candappa, N, & Corben, B, 2008, ‘Effectiveness of the dwell-on-red signal treatment to improve
pedestrian safety during high-alcohol hours’, Australasian road safety research policing and education
conference, 2008, Adelaide, South Australia, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton,
Vic, pp. 232-45.
Austin, K, Martin, B & Fox, H 1996, ‘Improving pedestrian priority in UTC systems’, European transport
th
forum, 24 , seminar H, Brunel University, United Kingdom, PTRC Education and Research Services
Ltd, London, UK, vol. P407, 12pp.
Austroads 2000, Pedestrian and cyclist safety: recent developments, report AP-R155/00, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Austroads 2012
— 97 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
Bahar, G, Masliah, M, Wolff, R & Park, P 2007, Desktop reference for crash reduction factors, report FHWA-
SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Brindle, R & Morrisy, Z 1998, ‘Local area traffic management: review and survey of effectiveness’, ARRB
contract report CR RC6047-1, ARRB Transport Research, Vermont South, Vic.
Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE) 2001, The black spot program 1996-2002: An evaluation of the first
three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Campbell, BJ, Zegeer, CV, Huang, HH & Cynecki, MJ 2004, A review of pedestrian safety research in the
United States and abroad, report FHWA-RD-03-042, Federal Highway Administration Virginia, USA,
viewed on 26 April 2004, <http://www.walkinginfo.org/pdf/PedSynth/Ped_Synthesis_Report.pdf>.
Catchpole, J & Cairney, PT 1990, ‘Accidents at major/minor intersections: a challenge for the traffic
engineering profession’, Local Government Engineers Association of Western Australia state
th
conference, 7 , Perth, Western Australia, Local Government Engineers Association of Western
Australia, Perth, WA, technical papers, vol. 2, 12 pp.
Cleaver, S, Jurisich, I & Dunn, R 2007, Safety implications of flush medians in Auckland City: further
analyses, report 312, Land Transport New Zealand Research, Wellington, NZ, 86pp.
Corben, BF & Cunningham, JA 1989, ‘Traffic engineering treatment of hazardous locations’, in KW Ogden &
th
DW Bennett (eds), Traffic engineering practice, 4 edn, Monash University, Clayton, Vic, pp.271-88.
Corben, BF, Ambrose, C & Chee Wai, F 1990, Evaluation of accident black spot treatments, report 11,
Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
University of Kentucky, Kentucky Transportation Research Program, Lexington, USA.
Davies, H & Winnett, M 1993, ‘Why do pedestrian accidents happen?’ European summer annual meeting,
st
21 , traffic management and road safety, 13-17 September, University of Manchester Institute of
Science and Technology, PTRC, London, vol. P 365, pp.315–24.
Doherty, AM, Poole, H & Mintz-Roth, J 2010, ‘Designing safe streets for seniors in New York City’, ITE
st
Technical conference and exhibit: Meeting transportation’s 21 century challenges, 15-17 March 2010,
Savannah Georgia, USA, ITE, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, 10pp.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ewing, R 1999, Traffic calming: state of the practice, report FHWA-RD-99-135, Federal Highway
Administration, Washington, DC, USA.
Gorell, RSJ & Tootill, W 2001, Monitoring local authority road safety schemes using MOLASSES, report TRL
512, TRL, Crowthorne, UK.
Austroads 2012
— 98 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Hoareau, E, Newstead, S & Cameron, M 2006, An evaluation of the default 50 km/h speed limit in Victoria,
report 261, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Imberger, K, Cairney, P, Boschert, L & Styles, T 2004, ‘Pedestrian countermeasure research project’,
contract report RC4019-2, ARRB Transport Research, Vermont South, Vic.
Jordan, P 1995, ‘Road safety audit: what it can do to improve safety for pedestrians’, Australian pedestrian
and bicyclist safety and travel workshop, 1994, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, ARRB Transport
Research, Vermont South, Vic, pp.213-22.
th
Jurisich, I, Segedin, T, Dunn, R & Smith, M 2003, ‘Experience of using flush medians in Auckland City’, 26
Australasian Transport Research Forum, 1-3 October 2003, Wellington, New Zealand, NZ Institute of
Highway Technology, Plymouth, NZ, 21pp.
Kennedy, J & Sexton, B 2009, Literature review of road safety at traffic signals and signalised crossings,
report PPR436, TRL, Crowthorne, UK, viewed 6 September 2010,
<http://www.trl.co.uk/online_store/reports_publications/trl_reports/cat_road_user_safety/report_literature_review_
of_road_safety_at_traffic_signals_and_signalised_crossings.htm>.
Kumar, A 1990, ‘Road safety benefits from skid resistance program’, report for Road Safety Division Roads
Corporation Victoria, Sinclair Knight & Partners, South Melbourne, Vic.
Land Transport Safety Authority 1995, Accident investigation monitoring analysis version 3.0, Land Transport
Safety Authority, Wellington, NZ.
Lenné, MG, Corben, BF & Stephan, K 2007, ‘Traffic signal phasing at intersections to improve safety for
alcohol-affected pedestrians’, Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol.39, no.4, pp.751-6.
Maxwell, A, Kennedy, J & Routledge, I 2010, ‘Study compares accident frequency at Puffins and crossings
using farside facilities’, Traffic Engineering and Control, vol.51, no.8, pp.317-21.
Markowitz, F, Sciortino, S, Fleck, JL & Bond PE 2006, ‘Pedestrian countdown signals: experience with an
extensive pilot installation’, ITE Journal, vol.76, no.1, pp. 43-8.
McLean, AJ & Anderson, RWG 2008, ‘Metrication of the urban speed limit and pedestrian fatalities’
Australasian road safety research policing education conference, 2008, Adelaide, South Australia,
Department for Transport, Energy and Infrastructure, SA, 7pp.
Michael, LG, Bruce, CF, & Karen, S 2007, ‘Traffic signal phasing at intersections to improve safety for
alcohol-affected pedestrians’, Accident Analysis & Prevention, vol. 39, no.4, pp.751-56.
Midson, K 2009, ‘Traffic control measures to improve pedestrian safety in shopping strips’, Public Works
Engineering, April/May, pp.40-6.
Moses, P 1987, ‘Combating the road toll’, National local government engineering conference, 4th, 1987,
Perth, WA, Institution of Engineers, Canberra, ACT, pp.70-4.
Retting, RA, Ferguson, SA & McCartt, AT 2003, ‘A review of evidence-based traffic engineering measures
designed to reduce pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes’, American Journal of Public Health, vol.93, no.9,
pp.1456–63.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
Austroads 2012
— 99 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Stewart, D 1988, ‘Pedestrian guardrails and accidents’, Traffic Engineering and Control, vol. 29,no. 9,
pp. 450-5.
Teale, G 1984, The evaluation of the effectiveness of low cost traffic engineering projects, consultant report
CR 22, Office of Road Safety, Canberra, ACT.
UK-MoRSE 2010, UK-MoRSE, Greensafe Foundation, Birmingham, UK, viewed 15 December 2010,
<www.uk-morse.com>.
Van Houten, JE, Malenfant, JE, Van Houten, J & Retting, R 1997, ‘Using auditory pedestrian signals to
reduce pedestrian and vehicle conflicts’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1578, pp.20-22.
VicRoads 1990, Guidelines for the selection of projects under the road conditions sub-program (incorporating
accident blackspot projects, mass action projects, railway level crossing projects), Road Safety
Division, VicRoads, Kew, Vic.
Webster, N 2006, The effect of newly installed Puffin crossings on collisions, London Road Safety Unit
Research Report, Transport for London, London, UK.
Zegeer, CV, Blomberg, R, Henderson, D, Masten, S, Marchetti, L, Levy, MM, Fan, Y, Sandt, L, Brown, A,
Stutts, J, & Thomas, L 2008, ‘Evaluation of Miami-Dade pedestrian safety demonstration project’,
Transportation Research Record, no. 2073, , pp.1-10.
Austroads 2012
— 100 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Five studies were found that identified crash reductions associated with the installation of
transverse rumble strips. In addition to these, many studies concentrated on speed reduction
associated with this treatment.
Two of the five studies identified a wide range in treatment effectiveness. Srinivasan, Baek and
Council (2010) found that at sites with rumble strips there was a significant decrease in fatal and
injury crashes (21%) and an even higher decrease in fatal and serious injury crashes (31%).
However, there was a significant rise in property damage only crashes (24%), all at the 90%
confidence level. Elvik et al. identified a 33% reduction in injury crashes in advance of junctions.
Gan, Shen and Rodriguez (2005) identified a 28% reduction for all crashes where rumble strips
were provided on the approach to stop controlled intersections and a reduction of 90% was
determined for rear-end crashes. Based on these three studies the average reduction is 27% for
all crashes (rounded to 25%, low confidence).
Austroads 2012
— 101 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
References assessed
Charman, S, Grayson, G, Helman, S, Kennedy, J, de Smidt, O, Lawton, B, Nossek, G, Wiesauer, L, Fürdös,
A, Pelikan, V, Skládaný, P, Pokorný, P, Matejka, M, & Tucka, P2010, – Self-explaining roads literature
review and treatment information, deliverable Nr 1, Road ERA net, Europe.
nd
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2 edn, Emerald
Publishing, Bingley, UK.
Gan A, Shen J & Rodriguez A 2005, ‘Update of Florida Crash Reduction Factors and Countermeasures to
improve the Development of District Safety Improvement Projects’, Lehman Centre for Transportation
Research, Miami, Florida.
Gunatillake, T 2001, Investigation of the use and design of rumble strips, contract report: RC1877-1, ARRB
Transport Research Ltd, Vermont South, Vic.
Hore-Lacy, 2008, ‘Rumble strip effectiveness at rural intersections and railway level crossings’ contract
report VC73896-1, ARRB Group, Vermont South, Australia.
Harwood, DW 1993, Use of rumble strips to enhance safety, National Cooperative Highway Research
Program synthesis of highway practice 191, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC.
McGee, H & Hanscom, F 2006, Low-cost treatments for horizontal curve safety, report no. FHWA-SA-07-002
Federal Highway Administration Washington DC.
Radalj, T & Kidd, B 2005, ‘A trial with rumble strips as a means of alerting drivers to hazards at approaches
to passively protected railway level crossings on high speed Western Australian rural roads’
Australasian road safety research policing education conference, Wellington, New Zealand, Ministry of
Transport, Wellington, NZ, 11pp.
Srinivasan, R, Baek, J & Council, F2010, 'Safety evaluation of transverse rumble strips on approaches to
stop-controlled intersections in rural areas', Journal of Transportation Safety & Security, vol. 2, no.3,
pp. 261-78.
Thompson, TD, Burris, MW & Carlson, PJ 2006, ‘Speed changes due to transverse rumble strips on
approaches to high-speed stop-controlled intersections’, Transportation Research Record, no. 1973,
pp. 1-9.
Austroads 2012
— 102 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
No recent information about the effect of street closures was found. Brindle (1984) reviewed a
number of LATM treatment studies that included street closures. A number of studies (Brownfield,
Department of Transport and Cairney & Brebner) distinguished between crash effects for internal
and peripheral roads. Internal roads generally refer to situations where the street closure occurs
within the treated area, while peripheral roads are at the perimeter of the treated area. Five
studies provided crash reductions for internal roads, with an average of 42% (rounded to 40%).
There is a medium level of confidence in this figure. For peripheral roads, there was a range in the
reported effects from little or no change up to a 32% reduction. A crash reduction of 5% may be
assumed for peripheral roads (with a low level of confidence).
Austroads 2012
— 103 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
References assessed
st
AASHTO 2010, Highway safety manual, 1 edn, American Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials, Washington, DC, USA.
Brindle, RE 1984, Town planning and road safety: a review of literature and practice, special report 28,
Australian Road Research Board, Vermont South, Vic.
Ogden, KW 1996, Safer roads: a guide to road safety engineering, Avebury Technical, Aldershot, UK.
Austroads 2012
— 104 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 105 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 106 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Austroads 2012
— 107 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
Given the large number of studies on this topic, the information is summarised in the table below.
Environment/Treatment Intersections Mid-blocks All
All –55% –50% –50%
–41% –30% –-30%
–50% –45% –-30%
–55% –36% –33%
–20%
+25%
–50%
–-40%
–29%
Motorways –50% –33%
–4% (not significant) –4%
–50%
–50%
Rural –40% –8%
–35% –49%
–22%
Urban –21% –31%
–40% –29%
Bridge –59%
Railway crossing –60%
–60%
–60%
New installation –38%
–25%
–38%
–50%
Austroads 2012
— 108 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
The effectiveness of lighting depends on a number of factors, including the luminance. The
following sections provide simple crash reductions for the installation or upgrading of street lighting,
but do not reflect issues such as the degree of lighting. Therefore a Crash Modification Function
that took into account such factors would be more desirable than a simple percentage reduction.
Austroads 2012
— 109 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
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Board, Vermont South, Vic.
Austroads 2009, Guide to road safety: part 8: treatment of crash locations, AGRS08/09, Austroads, Sydney,
NSW.
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SA-07-015, Federal Highway Administration, Washington DC, USA.
Bruneau, J, Morin, D & Pouliot, M 2001, ‘Safety benefits of motorway lighting’, Transportation Research
Record, no. 1758, Transportation Research Board, Washington, pp.1-5.
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three years, report no. 104, Bureau of Transport Economics (BTE), Canberra, Australia.
Corben, B, Deery, H, Mullan, N & Dyte, D 1997, The general effectiveness of countermeasures for crashes
into fixed roadside objects, report 111, Monash University Accident Research Centre, Clayton, Vic.
Creasey, T & Agent, KR 1985, Development of accident reduction factors, research report UKTRP-85-6,
University of Kentucky, Kentucky Transportation Research Program, Lexington, KY.
Austroads 2012
— 110 —
Effectiveness of Road Safety Engineering Treatments
CTRE 2006, Safety impacts of street lighting at isolated rural intersections, part II, project web page, Center
for Land Transport and Education (CTRE), Iowa State University, Ames, IA, USA, viewed 18 July 2011
<http://www.ctre.iastate.edu/research/detail.cfm?projectID=579>.
Elvik, R, Høye, A, Vaa, T & Sørensen, M 2009, The handbook of road safety measures, 2nd edn, Emerald
Publishing Group, Bingley, UK.
Ermer, DJ, Fricker, JD & Sinha, KC 1991, Accident reduction factors for Indiana, JHRP-91-11, School of Civil
Engineering, Purdue University, Lafayette, IN, USA.
Gorell, RSJ & Tootill, W 2001, Monitoring local authority road safety schemes using MOLASSES, report 512,
TRL, Crowthorne, UK.
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ARR 74, Australian Road Research Board, Vermont South, Vic.
Isebrands, H, Hallmark, S, Hans, Z McDonald, T, Preston, H & Storm, R 2004, Safety impacts of street
lighting at isolated rural intersections, part 2, year 1, draft report, Center for Land Transport and
Education (CTRE), Iowa State University, Ames, IA, USA.
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Safety Authority, Wellington, NZ.
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Wellington, NZ, viewed 18 July 2011, < http://www.nzta.govt.nz/resources/road-lighting-
improvements/index.html >.
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no.6, pp.35-6.
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MN/RC 1999-17, Minnesota Department of Transportation, Minnesota, USA.
Sanderson, JT & Fildes, B 1984, Run-off-the-road accidents in rural areas, report TS84/6, Traffic and Safety,
Royal Automobile Club of Victoria (RACV), Melbourne, Vic.
Shen, J Rodriguez, A Gan, A & Brady, P 2004, ‘Development and application of crash reduction factors: A
state-of-the-practice survey of State Departments of Transportation’, Transportation Research Board
annual meeting, 83rd, Washington DC, TRB, Washington, DC, USA.
Teale, G 1984, The evaluation of the effectiveness of low cost traffic engineering projects, consultant report
CR 22, Office of Road Safety, Canberra, ACT.
Austroads 2012
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INFORMATION RETRIEVAL
Keywords:
Crash Reduction Factors, CRF, Crash Modification Factors, CMF, guide posts,
chevron alignment markers, pavement markings, profile line marking, profile
edge lines, profile centrelines, signs, regulatory signs, advisory signs,
delineation, traffic signals, signal visibility, channelisation at intersections,
splitter and median islands, grade separation, right-turn lane provision, extend
right-turn lane, left-turn lane provision, lane width in tunnels, overtaking lanes,
superelevation, impact attenuators, pedestrian treatments, transverse rumble
strips, street closure, street lighting.
Abstract: