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International Journal of Public Administration

ISSN: 0190-0692 (Print) 1532-4265 (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/lpad20

E-Government and Corruption: A Longitudinal


Analysis of Countries

Xuejiao Zhao & Hua Daniel Xu

To cite this article: Xuejiao Zhao & Hua Daniel Xu (2015) E-Government and Corruption:
A Longitudinal Analysis of Countries, International Journal of Public Administration, 38:6,
410-421, DOI: 10.1080/01900692.2014.942736

To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01900692.2014.942736

Published online: 16 Apr 2015.

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International Journal of Public Administration, 38: 410–421, 2015
Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
ISSN: 0190-0692 print / 1532-4265 online
DOI: 10.1080/01900692.2014.942736

E-Government and Corruption: A Longitudinal Analysis of Countries


Xuejiao Zhao
Department of Political Science, Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama, USA
School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

Hua Daniel Xu
Department of Political Science and Public Administration, Auburn University
at Montgomery, Montgomery, Alabama, USA
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Corruption remains a common governance concern for most countries, and the deployment
of information technology in the public sector can potentially increase the transparency of
government. This article reviews the past research on e-government and corruption at country
level, develops a comprehensive model, and utilizes a most recent longitudinal dataset from 80
countries for five selected years (2003–2010). Our panel data analysis suggests that the devel-
opment of e-government is correlated with lower levels of perceived corruption. In addition,
the perceived level of corruption is also related to several other factors including government
effectiveness, gender ratio, and government size.

Keywords: e-government, corruption, comparative study, government transparency, public


policy, public administration

INTRODUCTION and except for situations where corruption provides the only
solution to an important obstacle to development. (1967,
Corruption is one of the greatest challenges in the contempo- p. 427)
rary world. According to the Corruption Perceptions Index
2013, which scores 177 countries and territories on a scale Klitgaard (1988) contended that corruption reallocates
from 0 (highly corrupt) to 100 (very clean), no country has resources to the rich and powerful at the expense of the poor,
a perfect score, and two-thirds of countries score below 50 the rural, and the disadvantaged. Rose-Ackerman (1999)
(Transparency International, 2013). This indicates a seri- argued that corruption impedes investment and growth, and
ous, worldwide corruption problem. Commonly defined as developing countries are particularly at risk. Building on data
“the (mis)use of public office for private gain” (Bardhan, for up to 70 countries for the period 1980–1983, Mauro
1997, p. 1321; Svensson, 2005, p. 20; Treisman, 2000, p. (1995) showed that subjective indexes of corruption devel-
399), corruption retards economic development. Nye (1967) oped from Business International indices are negatively
identified several costs of corruption: waste of resources, linked with investment and economic growth.
instability, and reduction of governmental capacity. He also e-Government is widely believed to reduce corruption and
stated that: enhance transparency (Anderson, 2007; Cho & Choi, 2004;
DiRienzo, Das, Cort, & Burbridge, 2007; Kim, Kim, & Lee,
it is probable that the costs of corruption in less developed 2009; Kumar & Best, 2006; Pathak & Prasad, 2006; Shim
countries will exceed its benefits except for top level corrup- & Eom, 2008; Tolbert & Mossberger, 2006). According
tion involving modern inducements and marginal deviations to the United Nations Division for Public Economics and
Public Administration (UNPA) and the American Society
for Public Administration (ASPA), e-government is defined
Correspondence should be addressed to Dr. Hua Daniel Xu, Auburn
University at Montgomery, Department of Political Science and Public as “utilizing the Internet and the world-wide-web for deliv-
Administration, P.O. Box 244023, Goodwyn Hall, Montgomery, AL 36124, ering government information and services to citizens”
USA. E-mail: xudaniel@gmail.com (2002, p. 1). The potential benefits of e-government are
E-GOVERNMENT AND CORRUPTION 411

manifold: improved transparency, account-ability, and access “not only imperfect but skewed in favor of the agent” (Moe,
and increased trust in government. Moreover, it promotes 1984, p. 756). This information asymmetry can result in
democratization by increasing the public’s involvement in adverse selection, moral hazard, and corruption. Therefore,
the political process and increase the transparency of the the principal needs to control the agent and narrow the
administrative process (Xu, 2012). information gap.
Despite an extensive body of studies on the anticorrup- e-Government can alleviate agency problem: it helps
tion effect of e-government, most of them are case studies. monitor public employees’ performance and also provides
Although progress has been made to understand the relation- citizens with the access to the communications with govern-
ship between e-government and corruption, most of these ment agencies. With rules and procedures being standard-
studies are descriptive and theoretical and therefore lack ized, e-government minimizes the discretion and opportuni-
external validity. Utilizing Hausman–Taylor estimator, one ties for arbitrary action (Bhatnagar, 2003). It also “increases
technique of panel data analysis, this article attempts to chances of exposure by maintaining detailed data on trans-
add to the current literature on corruption by constructing actions, making it possible to track and link the corrupt
a larger and newer panel dataset and testing the relationship with their wrongful acts. By making rules simpler and
between perceived corruption and e-government readiness. more transparent, e-government enables citizens and busi-
This study also explores other determinants of corruption, nesses to question unreasonable procedures” (Bhatnagar,
such as the level of development, growth rate, government 2003, p. 30). Tolbert and Mossberger (2006) further contends
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size, political system, voice and accountability, political sta- that e-government helps increase citizen trust in govern-
bility, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of ment through two approaches: the entrepreneurial approach
law, level of urbanization, female leader ratio, population, and the participatory approach. The entrepreneurial approach
education, and religion. Based on a panel data of 80 countries stems from the new public management reforms: reinvent
for the years 2003, 2004, 2005, 2008, and 2010, we found government into an institution that is customer driven, ser-
that there is a positive and significant relationship between vice oriented, effective, and efficient (Chadwick & May,
e-government and the Corruption Perceptions Index. 2003; Osborne & Gaebler, 1992). E-government provides
The remainder of this article is organized as follows. a flexible and convenient way for government customers,
The first part provides a concise review of recent research who can access government anytime and experience “one-
focused on the anticorruption effect of e-government. In the stop shopping” for information and services (Tolbert &
second part, we will outline the research methods and data Mossberger, 2006, p. 357). The other approach, the par-
sources. Finally, we will present the results of our research ticipatory approach, regards information technology as the
and compare them with previous studies. most important tool for establishing a more participatory
democracy and enhancing trust in government. The post-
ing of legislation, agendas, policies, and contact information
makes government more transparent, and citizens become
LITERATURE REVIEW more knowledgeable about government and political issues.
Moreover, with the emergence of new social networking
Theoretical Background: Principal–Agent Theory technologies, e-government may “aid in the process of
Principal–agent theory is one of the most important theories democratization and may even catalyze the democratizing
shedding lights on the relationship between e-government process, as seen in some Middle Eastern countries” (Xu,
and corruption (Norris & Moon, 2005). Agency theory 2012, p. 915).
is able to help explore how information technology can Overall, e-government is recognized as “a tool to reinvent
“change the principal–agent relationship and improve the the public sector by transforming internal government work
quality of management and control” (Norris & Moon, 2005, processes and external relationships with citizens” (Shim
p. 66). In the principal–agent relationship, the principal “con- & Eom, 2008, p. 299). That is, internally, e-government
siders entering into a contractual agreement with another, can reduce arbitrary human intervention and monitor pub-
or the agent, in the expectation that the agent will subse- lic employees’ behavior. Externally, e-government can foster
quently choose actions that produce outcomes desired by the relationships with citizens and increase the transparency of
principal” (Moe, 1984, p. 756). While the principal usually the administrative process (Shim & Eom, 2008).
has authority or responsibility, the agent possesses knowl-
edge and expertise. However, the interests of the principal
Prior Research on e-Government and Corruption
and the agent are not always the same. According to Moe,
“the agent has his own interests at heart, and is induced There is a growing body of studies on the relationship
to pursue the principal’s objectives only to the extent that between e-government and corruption (Anderson, 2007; Cho
the incentive structure imposed in their contract renders & Choi, 2004; DiRienzo et al., 2007; Kim et al., 2009;
such behavior advantageous.” (1984, p. 756). Moreover, the Kumar & Best, 2006; Pathak & Prasad, 2006; Shim &
information about the agent’s actions and performance is Eom, 2008; Tolbert & Mossberger, 2006). Most of them
412 ZHAO AND XU

are case studies, or other types of qualitative studies. These not only lead to savings in time, cost, and effort, but also
case studies, however, provide compelling evidence that have the potential for reducing opportunities for corrup-
e-government plays a vital role in reducing corruption. tion. Unfortunately, the program was not able to continue
There are several case studies worthy discussion. Cho and after over 1 year of successful operation. Kumar and Best
Choi (2004) conducted a case study of the “OPEN” sys- suggested that
tem (Online Procedures ENhancement for civil application)
adopted by the Seoul Metropolitan Government (SMG) as the main opposition to the delivery of e-government services
a reform measure to combat corruption. The OPEN system through the kiosks came from some taluk and village level
is a web-based Internet service to transact civil applica- officials, who perceived a threat to their role, authority, and
tions for permits, registrations, procurements, contracts, and influence in the community if they lost their traditional con-
approvals. The online transaction of civil application cases tact with the villagers applying for these services. (2006,
p. 10)
eliminates the necessity for personal or telephone contact
between the applicants and the city officials handling the
With e-government services, the kiosk operator assumed the
applications and thus reduces the opportunities for compro-
role of a facilitator, reducing the intermediate channels of
mising deals between the two parties. Both the citizens who
communication in the government hierarchy (village admin-
used the system and the city officials who were involved
istrative officer, revenue inspector, and Taluk office), thus
in managing the system tended to have favorable opinions
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decreasing delays and rent-seeking opportunities (Kumar &


on its corruption control effect as attested by the survey
Best, 2006).
findings. Based on institutional theories, Kim et al. (2009)
While these case studies have greatly contributed to our
examined the development, implementation, and evolution
understanding of the relationship between e-government and
of the OPEN system. The reason why they chose a single
corruption, it is necessary to take note of their shortcomings.
case study is that the OPEN case is “unique” (as it is one of
Due to their research design, the external validity of these
a few e-government systems for anticorruption) and serves
case studies is questionable. Each e-government project is
“a revelatory purpose” (Kim et al., 2009, p. 44). In addi-
viewed as distinct or unique, so it is difficult to know if
tion, the method of case study allows researchers to explore
there is a true linkage between e-government and corrup-
the relationship among multiple stakeholders involved in the
tion. There are also a few empirical studies exploring the
e-government projects. Kim et al. (2009) also found that e-
linkage between e-government and corruption. Based on
government exerts a tangible influence on corruption. When
the Corruption Perceptions Index and the Digital Access
the OPEN system was introduced in 1999, the anticorruption
Index1 for up to 85 countries, DiRienzo et al. (2007) found
index of the SMG was 64.0. It increased to 84.9 in 2006, indi-
that greater access to information significantly lowers cor-
cating a steady improvement in transparency. Although the
ruption levels across nations. Also using the Corruption
SMG has executed other anticorruption strategies, the OPEN
Perceptions Index, Shim and Eom (2008) concluded that
system was voted as the Most Valuable Policy of Seoul in
e-government, measured as West’s e-government scores2
1999 and 2000. The OPEN system was also recognized by
and the United Nations’ e-participation index,3 has a con-
the United Nations in 2000 and promoted to other countries.
sistently positive impact on reducing corruption. Building
Analyzing nine e-government projects in India, Pathak
on the World Bank’s Control of Corruption Index4 rather
and Prasad (2006) demonstrated that e-governance can
than the Corruption Perceptions Index, Andersen (2009)
be very effective in reducing corruption or eliminating
provided new empirical evidence that increases in the use
it altogether. The projects they studied include Bhoomi,
of e-government have led to a reduction in corruption
Computer-aided Administration of Registration Department
over the decade 1996–2006 in non-OECD countries. Most
(CARD), Computerized Interstate Checkpoints in Gujarat,
of these empirical studies have very limited observations
Saukaryam (“comfort or facility” in the Telugu language),
Customs online, Vijayawada Online Information Center,
Karnataka Valuation and E-Registration, Central Vigilance 1 Published by the International Telecommunication Union in 2003, the
Commission Web Site, and eSeva. These projects have made Digital Access Index (DAI) measures the overall ability of individuals in a
information about the functioning of government and its offi- country to access and use new ICTs. The DAI is built around four funda-
cials available to the citizens around the clock or on demand mental vectors that impact a country’s ability to access ICTs: infrastructure,
affordability, knowledge and quality, and actual usage of ICTs. http://www.
and thereby increased transparency.
itu.int/ITU-D/ict/dai/.
Kumar and Best (2006) studied the Sustainable Access 2 Developed by a research team headed by Darrell M. West of Brown
in Rural India project in Tamil Nadu, India, which provided University, this data consist of an assessment of over 2000 national gov-
comprehensive information and communications services in ernment web sites for 2001–2008. http://www.insidepolitics.org/egovtdata.
rural communities through computer and Internet kiosks. html.
3 United Nation Global E-government Survey 2003. http://unpan1.un.
Using local government taluk office records, government
org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/un/unpan016066.pdf.
census records, and surveys of the village kiosk opera- 4 Governance Matters VI: Governance Indicators for 1996–2006. http://
tors, Kumar and Best (2006) found that Internet kiosks www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/wp-governance.html.
E-GOVERNMENT AND CORRUPTION 413

(around 100 observations). Although these studies used of political regime, Sun and Johnston (2009) suggested that
cross-country data, few of them are longitudinal studies. the corruption-checking benefits of democracy depend criti-
Take the study of Shim and Eom (2008) for instance, they cally upon economic development. Besides political regime,
used cross-country data from 127 countries, but their study government size also influences corruption level. It seems
is only based on 1 year’s data. likely that rent-seeking opportunities will be more abundant
the greater the size of the public sector (Fisman & Gatti,
2002). If a significant proportion of goods and services are
Research Questions and Hypotheses
purchased by government, there will be many more govern-
Before the advent of e-government, researchers have sug- ment contracts for which bribes might be offered. Political
gested a multiplicity of other factors influencing the level stability may be another factor of the prevalence of cor-
of corruption. These factors are categorized into four groups ruption. However, the direction of the effect of political
in the following discussion: economic factors, political and stability on corruption is uncertain (Treisman, 2000). While
governmental factors, demographic factors, and cultural fac- the extended tenure arising from political stability may pro-
tors. These points will also be used as building blocks in vide public officials more time to build long-term relation-
establishing a comprehensive model of corruption in this ships with potential suppliers of bribes, political instability
study. may put high pressure on people to do anything possible in
order to protect their social status and property—including
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Economic factors corrupt behaviors (Brunetti & Weder, 2003; Elbahnasawy


& Revier, 2012; Park, 2003). The quality of government
Various authors have suggested that the level of economic
regulation also affects corruption level. When too many regu-
development, mostly indicated by per capita gross domes-
lations and rules recurrently hamper free economic activities,
tic product (GDP), exerts an influence on corruption (Chang
this spawns rent-seeking behavior and increases the level of
& Golden, 2007; Elbahnasawy & Revier, 2012; Fisman &
corruption (Bardhan, 1997; Park, 2003). Many researchers
Gatti, 2002; Serra, 2006; Swamy, Knack, Lee, & Azfar, suggested a significant association between the rule of law
2001; Treisman, 2000). A richer country usually will be able and the level of corruption (Damania, Fredriksson, & Mani,
to devote more resources to the prevention and detection 2004; Park, 2003). Meanwhile, strong rule of law reduces
of corruption (Elbahnasawy & Revier, 2012). However, in the chance of corruption to take place. Enhancing the overall
poor countries, economic difficulties often lead to a blur- government effectiveness can also be an anticorruption strat-
ring effect between law-abiding and criminal behavior (Park, egy. A government that is effective, efficient, and transparent
2003). Moreover, a country with higher income growth rate will leave no loopholes for corruption.
is more likely to engender a higher level of corruption. The
argument is that there are generally more opportunities for
corruption when a country is in the stage of rapid economic Demographic factors
development.
Swamy et al. (2001) investigated the relationship between
gender and corruption. Their micro-data from the World
Political and governmental factors
Values Surveys and an enterprise survey in Georgia showed
It is argued that political regime is a critical factor of the that women are less involved in bribery and are less likely
level of corruption (Lederman, Loayza, & Soares, 2005; to condone bribe-taking. In addition, their cross-country data
Treisman, 2000). Lacking mechanisms of political account- also showed that corruption is less severe where women hold
ability and transparent flow of information, authoritarian a larger share of parliamentary seats and senior positions in
countries are on average more corrupt than regimes where the government bureaucracy, or they comprise a larger share
political leaders are democratically elected. The risk of of the labor force (Swamy et al., 2001).
exposure is also higher in more democratic, open political The level of urbanization impacts the prevalence of cor-
systems. Freedom of association and freedom of the press ruption. An urban population is likely to be more knowledge-
enable the public and reporters with a mission and the right able and informed about political affairs and the operation of
to expose abuses (Brunetti & Weder, 2003). Greater civic the government bureaucracy and more critical of question-
engagement may result in closer monitoring and reduced able behavior by public officials. Therefore, the greater the
corruption (Treisman, 2000). However, some scholars also percentage of the population that is urban, the less likely
questioned the role of democracy in controlling corruption. it is that corrupt acts will occur (Elbahnasawy & Revier,
Based on a comparative study between China and India, Sun 2012).
and Johnston contended that “democracy by itself does not Higher level of education will also increase the likelihood
lead to significantly less, or more, corruption” (2009, p. 2). that an act of corruption will be discovered and punished.
India, a poor democratic state, seems to do neither strikingly Regressing the corruption level of the 1990s on the variable
better nor worse in terms of corruption than China, an author- of education (measured ad secondary school enrollment rate
itarian developmental sate (Sun & Johnston, 2009). Instead in 1975), Ali and Isse (2003) found a negative and significant
414 ZHAO AND XU

relationship between education and the level of corruption. ranges from 0 to 10, where a 10 signifies an entirely clean
Education not only fosters a sense of nationalism, but also country while 0 equals a country where business transactions
raises the public’s awareness of their rights to the services of are entirely dominated by kickbacks, extortion, etc.
the bureaucrats (Ali & Isse, 2003). Thus, the higher the level This study adds to the current literature by utilizing
of education, the lower the level of corruption in a country. a newer and larger panel data of 80 countries for the
years 2003, 2004, 2005, 2008, and 2010. Combining the
Cultural factors time series of cross-section observations, panel data give
“more informative data, more variability, less collinearity
Another common explanation of differential corruption is among variables, more degrees of freedom and more effi-
that culture is very different in countries (Bardhan, 1997; ciency” (Badi.H. Baltagi, 1995, pp. 3–6). Panel data also
Brunetti & Weder, 2003; Park, 2003). What is regarded allow controlling for individual unobserved heterogeneity.
in one culture as corrupt may be considered as a part of Since unobserved heterogeneity is the main problem of non-
routine transaction in another (Bardhan, 1997). One of the experimental research, this advantage is especially useful.
most cited cultural factors is religion (Chang & Golden, Moreover, “by studying the repeated cross section of obser-
2007; Herzfeld & Weiss, 2003; La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, vations, panel data are better suited to study the dynamics
Shleifer, & Vishny, 1999; Paldam, 2001; Persson, Tabellini, of change” (Gujarati 2003, p. 638). So, panel data anal-
& Trebbi, 2003; Treisman, 2000). Culture is “a nebulous ysis can not only enhance the quality and quantity of
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concept defying quantification, but reasonably good statis- data, but also can track the changes in corruption levels
tics exist for the cross-country pattern of religion, which may in different countries over time. First, a fixed-effect model
be seen as (one of) the pillar(s) of culture” (Paldam, 2001, (Model 1, without considering e-government) is employed.
p. 383). The existence of religion data might be one of the Then, a random-effect model (Model 2, without consider-
reasons why religion is always regarded as a proxy for cul- ing e-government) is employed. While the fixed-effect model
ture. Many researchers reported that countries with a higher assumes that the unobserved heterogeneity is correlated with
proportion of Protestants tend to have lower corruption level the explanatory variables, the random-effect model does not.
(Chang & Golden, 2007; La Porta et al., 1999; Paldam, 2001; In order to demonstrate the effect of e-government on cor-
Treisman, 2000). ruption, a fixed-effect model (Model 3) and a random-effect
model (Model 4) are employed again, taking e-government
into account this time. The Hausman test is employed
DATA AND METHODS to choose between the random-effect and the fixed-effect
model. It turned out that the fixed-effect model is pre-
Exploring the link between e-government and corruption is ferred. However, the fixed-effect estimator does not allow
the major focus of this study. Based on the literature review estimating coefficients of time-invariant variables (Badi.H.
and the availability of data, a model of corruption is devel- Baltagi, 1995; Hsiao, 2003), such as religion. Following
oped, including e-government readiness, income, growth Elbahnasawy and Revier (2012), the Hausman–Taylor esti-
rate, government size, regime type, voice and accountabil- mator (Model 5) is employed. The Hausman–Taylor estima-
ity, political stability, government effectiveness, rule of law, tion is not an “all or nothing choice of correlation between
female ratio, level of urbanization, education, and religion. the individual effects and the regressors” (Badi H. Baltagi,
The dependent variable is level of corruption, which is mea- Bresson, & Pirotte, 2003, p. 361). In this approach, some
sured as the Corruption Perceptions Index developed by regressors are regarded as correlated with the unobserved
Transparency International. Transparency International is a country-specific effects and hence endogenous, while oth-
global civil society organization leading the fight against cor- ers are independent of the random individual effects and
ruption. Combining surveys and assessments of corruption therefore exogenous (Elbahnasawy & Revier, 2012). It com-
from a variety of reputable institutions, the index measures bines the advantages of both fixed-effect and random-effect
the perceived levels of public-sector corruption in countries model. The equations for the five models are specified as
worldwide. The reason why the index is based on perceptions follows:
is that there is no meaningful way to assess absolute levels of
corruption in countries or territories. Collecting reliable data
on corruption through traditional survey techniques is prob- CORRPit = β0 + β1 RGDPit + β2 GDPGRit + β3 REGTYit
lematic because corruption is illegal, and respondents may
+ β4 GOVSit + β5 VOICEit + β6 POLISTit
choose to misreport or not report at all for various reasons
(Seligson, 2002). After all, the Corruption Perceptions Index + β7 GOVEFit + β8 REGUit + β9 LAWit
is the most widely used measure of corruption (DiRienzo
et al., 2007; Elbahnasawy & Revier, 2012; Husted, 1999; + β10 FEit + β11 FELit + β12 URBit + β13 EDUit
Seligson, 2002; Shim & Eom, 2008). One thing that needs
additional attention is that the Corruption Perceptions Index + β14 POPit + β15 RELIi + ai + uit (1)
E-GOVERNMENT AND CORRUPTION 415

LAWit : Rule of law


CORRPit = β0 + β1 RGDPit + β2 GDPGRit + β3 REGTYit FEit : Female ratio
FELit : Female leader ratio
+ β4 GOVSit + β5 VOICEit + β6 POLISTit URBit : The percentage of urban population in total
population
+ β7 GOVEFit + β8 REGUit + β9 LAWit EDUit : The level of education
POPit : Population density
+ β10 FEit + β11 FELit + β12 URBit + β13 EDUit
RELIi : Religion
+ β14 POPit + β15 RELIi + vit (2) EGOVit : E-government readiness
ai : Unobserved heterogeneity/effect
uit : Idiosyncratic error/time-varying error
CORRPit = β0 + β1 RGDPit + β2 GDPGRit + β3 REGTYit vit : Composite error term

+ β4 GOVSit + β5 VOICEit + β6 POLISTit


The basic dataset primarily draws from the World Bank’s
+ β7 GOVEFit + β8 REGUit + β9 LAWit World Development Indicators (WDI), including per capita
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GDP, growth rate, government size, level of urbanization,


+ β10 FEit + β11 FELit + β12 URBit + β13 EDUit
female ratio, education, and population density. WDI is
+ β14 POPit + β15 RELIi + β16 EGOVit + ai + uit a reliable secondary data source. By compiling officially
recognized international sources, WDI presents the most cur-
(3) rent, high-quality, internationally comparable global devel-
opment data available. The data for e-government are from
the United Nations E-Government Development Database.
CORRPit = β0 + β1 RGDPit + β2 GDPGRit + β3 REGTYit
It provides a comparative assessment of a state’s use of
+ β4 GOVSit + β5 VOICEit + β6 POLISTit Internet for provision of information, products and ser-
vices, plus the level of telecommunication and human cap-
+ β7 GOVEFit + β8 REGUit + β9 LAWit ital infrastructure development in a country. It also ranks
the 191 member states of the United Nations in terms of
+ β10 FEit + β11 FELit + β12 URBit + β13 EDUit e-government development from 2003 to 2012. The primary
source of data for the E-Government Development Database
+ β14 POPit + β15 RELIi + β16 EGOVit + vit comes from the United Nations Global E-Readiness Reports
(4) and Survey. For the measure of political system, data are
extracted from the Polity IV Project, a dataset that pro-
vides annual time-series data in country-year format cover-
CORRPit = β0 + β1 RGDPit + β2 GDPGRit + β3 REGTYit ing all major, independent states from 1800 to 2010. It is
the most widely used data resource for studying regime
+ β4 GOVSit + β5 REGUit + β6 URBit + β7 FELit
change and the effects of regime authority. In this study,
+ β8 POPit + β9 EDUit + ζ1 VOICEit we use the combined polity2 index ranging from −10 to
10 (−10 = hereditary monarchy; 10 = consolidated democ-
+ ζ2 POLISTit + ζ3 GOVEFit + ζ4 LAWit racy). In order to assess the influence of governance on
corruption, Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGIs) will
+ ζ5 FEit + ζ6 EGOVit + αRELIi + vit be used. The WGI project reports aggregate and individ-
(5) ual governance indicators for 215 economies over the period
of 1996–2011, for six dimensions of governance: voice and
where accountability, political stability and absence of violence,
government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, and
CORRPit : The level of corruption control of corruption. In this study, five of the governance
RGDPit : Real GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$) indicators will be used except for control of corruption.
GDPGRit : GDP growth rate (annual %) Moreover, the Global Religious Landscape Report provided
REGTYit : Regime type detailed information on the size and distribution of major
GOVSit : Government size religious groups all over the world, which can be utilized
VOICEit : Voice and accountability to operationalize the variable of religion. Table 1 describes
POLISTit : Political stability and absence of violence variables’ definitions, indicators, and sources.
GOVEFit : Government effectiveness Based on the availability of data, 80 countries are selected
REGUit : Regulatory quality (see Table 2), including 26 high-income countries, 24 upper
416 ZHAO AND XU

TABLE 1
Variables

Variables Labels Indicators Sources

Country corruption level CORRP Corruption Perceptions Index (from 0 to 10). A score of 10 equals an Transparency International
entirely clean country while 0 equals a country where business
transactions are entirely dominated by kickbacks, extortion, etc.
Real GDP per capita RGDP Real GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$). GDP per capita is gross World Bank World Development
domestic product divided by midyear population. GDP is the sum Indicator (WDI)
of gross value added by all resident producers in the economy
plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies not included in the
value of the products. It is calculated without making deductions
for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion and
degradation of natural resources. Data are in constant US dollars.
GDP growth rate GDPGR Annual percentage growth rate of GDP at market prices based on World Bank World Development
constant local currency. Aggregates are based on constant Indicator (WDI)
2000 US dollars.
Regime type REGTY POLITY2 is a modified version of the POLITY variable added in Polity IV Project
order to facilitate the use of the POLITY regime measure in
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time-series analyses. It modifies the combined annual POLITY


score by applying a simple treatment to convert instances of
“standardized authority scores” (i.e., −66, −77, and −88) to
conventional polity scores (i.e., within the range, −10 to +10).
The POLITY score is computed by subtracting the AUTOC score
from the DEMOC score; the resulting unified polity scale ranges
from +10 (strongly democratic) to −10 (strongly autocratic).
Government size GOVS General government final consumption expenditure (% of GDP). World Bank World Development
General government final consumption expenditure includes all Indicator (WDI)
government current expenditures for purchases of goods and
services (including compensation of employees). It also includes
most expenditures on national defense and security, but excludes
government military expenditures that are part of government
capital formation.
Political stability and POLIST Reflects perceptions of the likelihood that the government will be Worldwide Governance Indicators
absence of violence destabilized or overthrown by unconstitutional or violent means,
including politically motivated violence and terrorism. It ranges
from approximately −2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong).
Government effectiveness GOVEF Reflects perceptions of the quality of public services, the quality of Worldwide Governance Indicators
the civil service and the degree of its independence from political
pressures, the quality of policy formulation and implementation,
and the credibility of the government’s commitment to such
policies. It ranges from approximately −2.5 (weak) to 2.5
(strong).
Regulatory quality REGU Reflects perceptions of the ability of the government to formulate Worldwide Governance Indicators
and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and
promote private-sector development. It ranges from approximately
−2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong).
Rule of law LAW Reflects perceptions of the extent to which agents have confidence in Worldwide Governance Indicators
and abide by the rules of society, and in particular the quality of
contract enforcement, property rights, the police, and the courts,
as well as the likelihood of crime and violence. It ranges from
approximately −2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong).
The urbanization level URB The percentage of urban population in total population. Urban World Bank World Development
population refers to people living in urban areas as defined by Indicator (WDI)
national statistical offices. It is calculated using World Bank
population estimates and urban ratios from the United Nations
World Urbanization Prospects.
Female ratio FE The percentage of the population that is female. Population is based World Bank World Development
on the de facto definition of population. Indicator (WDI)
Female leader ratio FEL Proportion of seats held by women in national parliaments (%). World Bank World Development
Women in parliaments are the percentage of parliamentary seats Indicator (WDI)
in a single or lower chamber held by women.
Population density POP Population density (people per sq. km of land area). World Bank World Development
Indicator (WDI)

(Continued)
E-GOVERNMENT AND CORRUPTION 417
TABLE 1
(Continued)

Variables Labels Indicators Sources

Education outcomes EDU School enrollment, secondary (% gross). World Bank World Development
Indicator (WDI)
Religion RELI The percentage of population that is religiously unaffiliated as of PEW research center (The Global
2010. Religious Landscape Report)
The level of e-government EGOV E-government index. E-government is defined as the use of ICT and United Nations E-Government
its application by the government for the provision of information Development Database
and public services to the people. The aim of e-government
therefore is to provide efficient government management of
information to the citizen; better service delivery to citizens; and
empowerment of the people through access to information and
participation in public policy decision-making.

Sources: Polity IV Project (http://www.systemicpeace.org/polity/polity4.htm); The PEW Forum on Religion and Public Life (http://www.pewforum.
org/global-religious-landscape.aspx)l; Transparency International (http://www.transparency.org/research/cpi/); United Nations E-Government Development
Database (http://unpan3.un.org/egovkb/datacenter/CountryView.aspx); World Bank World Development Indicator (http://data.worldbank.org/indicator);
Worldwide Governance Indicators (http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/worldwide-governance-indicators).
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TABLE 2
List of Countries in the Sample

High income Upper middle income Lower middle income Low income
(≥$12,476) ($4,036–$12,475) ($1,026–$4,035) (≥$1,025)

Countries Cyprus Algeria Albania Bangladesh


Kuwait Botswana Bolivia Congo, Dem. Rep.
Saudi Arabia Brazil Congo, Rep. Kenya
Austria Bulgaria El Salvador Madagascar
Belgium Chile Georgia Malawi
Canada China Ghana Mauritania
Denmark Colombia Guatemala Mozambique
Finland Costa Rica Guyana Nepal
France Dominican Republic Honduras Rwanda
Germany Ecuador India
Greece Jordan Indonesia
Hungary Latvia Lesotho
Ireland Malaysia Morocco
Israel Mauritius Nicaragua
Italy Mexico Pakistan
Japan Namibia Paraguay
Korea, Rep. Panama Philippines
The Netherlands Peru Senegal
New Zealand South Africa Sri Lanka
Norway Thailand Sudan
Portugal Tunisia Swaziland
Spain Turkey
Sweden Uruguay
Switzerland Venezuela, RB
United Kingdom
United States
Total 26 24 21 9

middle-income countries, 21 lower middle-income coun- countries generally have better resources and infrastructure
tries, and 9 low-income countries.5 A higher proportion of for assembling and publishing national data.
high-income countries are included mainly because these

5 According to the World Bank, countries are categorized by income


more. Economies are divided according to 2011 GNI per capita, calcu-
into four groups: low income, $1025 or less; lower middle income, $1026– lated using the World Bank Atlas method (http://data.worldbank.org/about/
$4035; upper middle income, $4036–$12,475; and high income, $12,476 or country-classifications).
418 ZHAO AND XU

RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS the fixed- and random-effect models, we ran a Hausman test
where the null hypothesis is that the preferred model is the
Tables 3 and 4 present the summary statistics and a corre- random-effect model. It basically tests whether the individ-
lation matrix of the variables. Table 5 presents the results ual country-specific effects are correlated with the regres-
of the estimation. Columns (1) and (2) show the results of sors. The null hypothesis assumes they are not. The value of
the fixed-effect model and the random-effect model with- the Hausman test’s Chi-squared statistic was 53.39, reject-
out taking the effect of e-government into account. Columns ing the null hypothesis even at the 1% significance level.
(3) and (4) demonstrate the results of the same fixed-effect As a result, the Hausman test suggests choosing the fixed-
model and the random-effect model with the variable of effect model. However, the fixed-effect models were unable
e-government. In either case, the R2 of the random-effect to estimate the coefficients of time-invariant variables: reli-
model is higher than that of the fixed-effect model due to gion (see Columns (1) and (3)). Therefore, we resort to the
the dummy variables for country and years. However, in Hausman–Taylor model where “some of the regressors are
Model 3 (Column 3), the coefficient of e-government has correlated with the individual effects” (emphasis in original;
the expected positive sign and is significant at conventional Badi H. Baltagi et al., 2003, p. 361). However, it is difficult
significant levels, indicating that there is a positive relation- to identify which of the regressors should be viewed as corre-
ship between e-government and the Corruption Perceptions lated with the unobserved country-specific effects and which
Index. Which model should we choose? To decide between should be considered exogenous. Following Elbahnasawy
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TABLE 3
Summary Statistics

Variable Obs. Mean Standard deviation Minimum Maximum

Corruption perception index 387 4.654 2.277 1.300 9.700


Real GDP per capita 400 9083.527 11,364.280 85.293 41,399.710
GDP growth rate 397 4.355 3.019 −7.755 18.287
Government size 396 16.227 6.022 5.282 43.850
Regime type 400 6.005 5.423 −10.000 10.000
Voice and accountability 400 0.223 0.928 −1.740 1.830
Political stability 400 −0.133 0.946 −2.730 1.670
Government effectiveness 400 0.302 0.977 −1.720 2.340
Regulatory quality 400 0.306 0.886 −1.620 1.920
Rule of law 400 0.187 1.002 −1.730 1.990
Level of urbanization 400 59.738 21.548 14.840 98.400
Female ratio 400 50.231 1.630 39.995 54.081
Female leader ratio 398 18.220 11.120 0.000 56.300
Population density 400 130.313 168.069 2.440 1140.000
Education 348 80.505 27.626 10.821 162.349
Religion 400 9.409 12.986 0.000 57.000
E-government 400 0.499 0.194 0.000 0.927

TABLE 4
Correlation Matrix of the Variables
CORRP RGDP GDPGR GOVS REGTY VOICE POLIST GOVEF REGU LAW URB FE FEL POP EDU RELI EGOV

CORRP 1.000
RGDP 0.859 1.000
GDPGR −0.404 −0.413 1.000
GOVS 0.547 0.468 −0.327 1.000
REGTY 0.429 0.379 −0.311 0.113 1.000
VOICE 0.826 0.733 −0.420 0.417 0.783 1.000
POLIST 0.773 0.618 −0.325 0.469 0.420 0.768 1.000
GOVEF 0.948 0.838 −0.402 0.541 0.485 0.857 0.761 1.000
REGU 0.916 0.799 −0.415 0.515 0.539 0.878 0.775 0.952 1.000
LAW 0.946 0.831 −0.384 0.553 0.454 0.855 0.808 0.964 0.942 1.000
URB 0.595 0.557 −0.214 0.291 0.258 0.506 0.396 0.569 0.589 0.517 1.000
FE 0.190 0.086 −0.341 0.122 0.507 0.386 0.231 0.229 0.249 0.169 −0.010 1.000
FEL 0.499 0.397 −0.237 0.349 0.286 0.464 0.430 0.455 0.410 0.414 0.199 0.263 1.000
POP −0.014 0.064 −0.010 −0.136 0.060 0.054 −0.082 0.054 −0.003 0.062 −0.165 −0.045 −0.069 1.000
EDU 0.739 0.679 −0.365 0.472 0.432 0.713 0.572 0.774 0.793 0.733 0.734 0.114 0.289 −0.017 1.000
RELI 0.423 0.394 −0.217 0.317 0.196 0.385 0.443 0.439 0.431 0.421 0.274 0.269 0.321 0.141 0.391 1.000
EGOV 0.848 0.837 −0.423 0.454 0.524 0.802 0.609 0.873 0.871 0.829 0.701 0.255 0.400 0.027 0.831 0.462 1.000
E-GOVERNMENT AND CORRUPTION 419
TABLE 5
Estimation Results

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)


Fixed Random Fixed Random Hausman–Taylor
Variables effects effects effects effects estimator

Real GDP per capita .00003 .00004∗∗∗ .00002 .00003∗∗∗ .00003


(.0000) (.0000) (.0000) (.0000) (.0000)
GDP growth rate −.00486 −.00200 −.00503 −.00238 −.00182
(.0077) (.0078) (.0077) (.0077) (.0070)
Government size .03479∗∗ .01509 .03661∗∗ .01667 .03767∗∗∗
(.0121) (.0092) (.0121) (.0092) (.0111)
Regime type −.01407 −.02592 −.01086 −.02472 −.02047
(.0166) (.0140) (.0166) (.0140) (.0148)
Voice and accountability .48952∗∗ .20605 .44585∗ .18968 .32755∗
(.1828) (.1465) (.1831) (.1467) (.1576)
Political stability −.10153 −.04740 −.10021 −.03282 −.09910
(.1004) (.0819) (.0998) (.0824) (.0893)
Government effectiveness .53838∗∗∗ .67958∗∗∗ .57749∗∗∗ .68937∗∗∗ .62019∗∗∗
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(.1625) (.1459) (.1627) (.1456) (.1461)


Regulatory quality .20202 .19451 .18252 .16538 .21510
(.1750) (.1525) (.1742) (.1533) (.1584)
Rule of law .32246 .66860∗∗∗ .27177 .64349∗∗∗ .33670
(.2117) (.1673) (.2120) (.1675) (.1843)
Level of urbanization .03698 .00775 .03339 .00619 .00729
(.0216) (.0044) (.0216) (.0045) (.0138)
Female ratio .83260∗∗∗ .06853 .73482∗∗∗ .05373 .33520∗
(.2052) (.0470) (.2099) (.0481) (.1385)
Female leader ratio −.00283 .01251∗∗ −.00454 .01162∗ −.00243
(.0077) (.0049) (.0077) (.0049) (.0066)
Population density −.00024 −.00051 −.00004 −.00053 −.00025
(.0034) (.0004) (.0034) (.0004) (.0018)
Education .00354 .0009 .00272 −.00004 .00449
(.0039) (.0029) (.0039) (.0029) (.0035)
Religion — −.0002 — −.00081 −.00649
(.0057) (.0057) (.0136)
E-government 1.02802∗ .78246 1.1765∗
(.5226) (.4796) (.4754)

R2 0.7261 0.9332 .7343 .9319


Number of observations 333 333 333 333 333
Number of countries 80 80 80 80 80
∗ 5% significance level, ∗∗ 1% significance level, ∗∗∗ 0.1% significance level.

and Revier (2012), we checked the statistical significance GDP per capita is positive and significant at the 0.1% level
of the difference between the fixed-effect and random-effect in the random-effect models (Model 2 and Model 4).
coefficients for every explanatory variables, which is avail- Among political and governmental factors, the coeffi-
able in the results of the Hausman test. If the difference is cients of government size, voice and accountability, and
significant, then that variable will be regarded as endogenous government effectiveness are significant. The coefficient of
in the Hausman–Taylor procedure. In our study, time-varying voice and accountability is .3276, indicating that the higher
explanatory variables treated as endogenous are per capita the level of perceived freedoms of expression and the press,
GDP, growth rate, government size, regime type, regulatory the lower the level of perceived corruption in a country.
quality, level of urbanization, female leader ratio, popula- This is consistent with the findings of Brunetti and Weder
tion density, and education. And time-varying explanatory (2003). As to government effectiveness, it reduces perceived
variables treated as exogenous are voice and accountabil- corruption significantly. Holding everything else constant,
ity, political stability, government effectiveness, rule of law, one standard deviation increase in perceived government
female ratio, and e-government. effectiveness reduces the index of perceived corruption by
Surprisingly, according to the results of the Hausman– .62. Moreover, the coefficients of government effectiveness
Taylor estimation, the economic factors (real GDP per capita are consistently positive and significant at the 0.1% signifi-
and income growth rate) are not significant. However, real cance level in all the five models. So its effect on perceived
420 ZHAO AND XU

corruption is extremely strong. Unexpectedly, there is a posi- we utilized the Hausman–Taylor estimator which is able to
tive and significant relationship between government size and regress on both time-varying and time-invariant variables.
perceived corruption, which means that the large size of gov- The estimation result confirmed our central hypothesis: there
ernment is correlated with less corruption. The sign is not is a positive and statistically significant relationship between
what we have hypothesized. The creation of a large govern- e-government readiness and the Corruption Perceptions
ment is essential to meet the needs of public service and does Index. That is, the higher the level of e-government readi-
not necessarily lead to more corruption. Regarding the rule ness, the higher the level of cleanness and transparency in
of law, it is statistically significant at the 0.1% significance a country. Besides e-government readiness, other significant
level in Model 2 and Model 4, but it turned insignificant determinants of corruption in this study include government
in the Hausman and Taylor model. The political system size, voice and accountability, government effectiveness, and
does not seem to influence perceived corruption. The coef- female ratio. Further studies are needed to explore the prac-
ficient of political system is statistically insignificant in all tical steps to fight against corruption. Another limitation of
the five specifications, though the sign is what is expected. our research is the sample selection. Having a more repre-
Other political and governmental factors, political stability, sentative sample that mirrors the composition of the world
and regulatory quality do not have a statistically significant can increase the inferential power of the study for more less
impact on corruption, either. developed countries.
Female ratio, one of the demographic factors, has a The results of our research also suggest that the pro-
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positive and significant relationship with corruption. The motion of e-government through policy initiatives can be
coefficient of female ratio is .33520, suggesting that each effective in reducing corruption. It will be more effective
standard deviation increase in the proportion of women in when combined with measures to enhance government effec-
the population reduces perceived corruption by .3352 of a tiveness and rule of law. Nevertheless, the efforts in investing
point. This is largely consistent with what Swamy et al. e-government ultimately depend on the willingness of a
(2001) found: women are less involved in bribery. However, government to increase transparency.
the female leader ratio, indicated as the proportion of seats
held by women in national parliaments, is insignificant in the
Hausman–Taylor estimation. Similarly, there is no signifi-
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