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Assessment 6
6.1 Impact Assessment Systems
tal impacts that should be treated does exists. These are all
6.1.1 The Components of Impact Assessment broadly recognised environmental problems such as resource
A typical Life Cycle Assessment inventory table consists of a depletion, toxicity, global warming, ozone depletion, eutrophi-
few hundred or more items. They might be grouped into cat- cation, acidification, etc. The choice of impact categories is
egories: raw materials, emissions to air, water, soil, solid emis- subjective. It should be adjusted to ensure good representa-
sions, non-material emissions (noise, radiation, land use) etc. tion of the environmental burden caused by a product, as the
An inventory table is a basis for the next step of LCA – impact outcome of the LCA strongly depends on the choice of impact
assessment. categories. The list should, if possible, be made already as a
On the condition that an inventory table contains relatively part of the goal and scope definition. There are many other
few items, an environmental expert can assess the life cycle possible impact categories which may be important in some
without applying any mathematical procedures. In practice, situations, especially in the local scale, and then should be in-
however, such a situation hardly ever obtains. The data from cluded. Examples are radiation, final solid waste load, noise,
an inventory table has to be processed to attain a higher level smell, and landscape degradation.
of aggregation. Ideally the aggregation process results in a Some outputs can be allocated to more than one category,
meaningful single score. To achieve this, the ISO standards e.g. NO2 causes both acidification, eutrophication and toxicity.
advise a four-step procedure (We will discuss each of these
steps below.):
In this chapter
• Compulsory steps: classification and characterisation.
1. Impact Assessment Systems
• Optional steps: normalisation and weighting. The Components of Impact Assessment.
Classification of Impacts.
6.1.2 Classification of Impacts Characterisation – Equivalence Factors.
Environmental Profiles.
The first step to higher aggregation of the data is classifica- 2. Normalisation.
tion. Inflows and outflows from the life cycle are gathered in Normalised Effects.
a number of groups representing the chosen impact catego- Calculating an Environmental Profile.
ries. The inventory table is rearranged in such a way that under 3. Weighting.
Comparing Impact Categories.
each impact category, all the relevant emissions or material
Environmental Index.
consumption are listed (qualitatively and quantitatively). This Weighting Principles.
procedure is illustrated in Figure 6.1. Weighting Triangle.
The common source of uncertainty here is the lack of a 4. Improvement Assessment.
universally accepted appropriate official list of environmen- Uncertainties in the Impact Assessments.
tal impacts to consider. Nevertheless, as a result of numerous Which Process is Important.
already performed LCAs, a “standard”, a list of environmen-
CO2 Eutrophication
Ammonia Acidification
CFC
SO2
Figure 6.1 Relations between emissions and impact categories. To the left are raw materials used (top) and pollutants emitted (bottom) dur-
ing the life cycle of a product. To the right are the impact categories to which these emissions contribute. The figure illustrates that one emis-
sion may contribute to several impacts, and that several emissions contribute to the same impact.
2000
1000
6.3 Weighting
56,2g SO2 2,88 - PO4 7,57 ethylene
6.3.1 Comparing Impact Categories
0
In order to obtain a single score representing the environmen-
tal impact of a product, we need further aggregation of the data.
Weighting (valuation) is the step in which the different impacts
categories are weighted so that they can be compared among
Normalisation results
themselves, i.e. the relative importance of the effects is assessed.
global warming In comparative analysis the prime goal is to find out which
9 .10 -11
7,9 10
. -11
acidification one of the products fulfilling the same function is the best op-
8
7 eutrophication tion for the environment.
6 summer smog In the example in Figure 6.4 product B has the smallest
5 single scores for each impact category so it is environmen-
4,1 .10 -11
4 3,3 .10 -11 tally the best. But then let us compare then products A and C
3 2,5.10 -11
now. Product A is better in terms of global warming, resource
2
1
depletion and ozone depletion but at the same time it is worse
0 for acidification. It is impossible to indicate which alternative
Figure 6.3 Normalisation of impacts from the life cycle of a is better, A or C, because it depends on the impact category!
Belgian coffee machine. The impact of the life cycle contains four To solve this problem, the relative importance of the different
impacts, expressed as carbon dioxide equivalents (global warming), impact categories has to be assessed; a hierarchy of impact
SOx equivalents (acidification); phosphate equivalents (eutrophi- categories has to be defined. If acidification is given a high-
cation) and ethylene equivalents (summer smog formation) (top
er priority, then the product C will be more environmentally
diagram). Normalisation consists of the division of these emissions
with the total emission in each category over an entire year in the friendly than A. If ozone depletion is assumed to be the most
country. The resulting relative sizes of the impacts are in the order serious environmental problem, product A will be more envi-
of 2-8 hundred billionths (10-11) of the total annual impacts. ronmentally sound than C.
100
product B Determination of Weighting Principles
product C
80 • Panel of experts
• Social evaluation
60
• Prevention costs
40 • Energy consumption
20 • Distance-to -target principle
• Avoiding weighting
0
global warming acidification resource depletion ozone depletion
Figure 6.4 Comparing impacts of life cycles from different prod-
ucts. Four impacts from three different products, called A, B and C
expressed as relative values. the computational procedure the rating is performed by the
panel of experts. The major disadvantage of this approach is
its poor reproducibility – the results will often remain contro-
6.3.2 Environmental Index versial and open to discussion.
How to establish such a set of preferences and priorities? This The so-called Social evaluation is the basis of the EPS
is a still subjective process although much effort has been (Environmental Priority Strategy) system. EPS is designed to
spent in recent years to work out a scientific basis for weight- be used internally as a tool supporting product development
ing, i.e. weighting principles. Ranking impact categories in within a company. It is there to assist designers and product
terms of their environmental impact makes clear distinction developers in finding which of two product concepts is prefer-
between the weighting and all of the previous phases. The lat- able in environmental terms.
ter use empirical knowledge of environmental effects and their Prevention costs, are costs of preventing or combating the
mechanisms, while the weighting relies mainly on preferences negative changes in the environment with the aid of technical
and social values. In practice, weighting is performed by mul- means. The principle of this approach is simple: the higher the
tiplying a normalised environmental profile by a set of weight- prevention costs, the higher the seriousness of the impact.
ing factors, which reflect the seriousness of a given effect. Energy consumption. This approach is analogous to the
One of the ready-made methods, Eco-indicator 95, can serve previous one, except that in this case the overall energy needed
an example of a defined set of weighting factors (Table 6.4). to prevent emissions consumption is used as an indicator. The
As it can be concluded from the table, the highest priority higher the energy consumption, the higher the seriousness of
is given to ozone layer depletion and emissions of pesticides. the impact.
If each impact category is provided with a factor according The Distance-to-target principle is based on the assump-
to its environmental significance, an environmental profile can tion that the seriousness of an effect can be related to the dif-
be expressed in a single environmental index. An environmen- ference between the current and target values [Goedkoop,
tal index is a sum of the numbers, which a weighted environ- 1995]. It should be clear that the choice of the target value is
mental profile consists of. Once the environmental indices are crucial. Much thought has also been given to the choice and
calculated, comparisons of products are easy. Let us assume development of the target values.
that product A is represented by an environmental index of
5 and product B has an environmental index of 10. One can Table 6.4 Weighting factors used in Eco-indicator 95.
conclude that A is twice as environmentally friendly as B. The Impact category Weighting factor
main difficulty lies, however, in the fact that there is no broadly
Greenhouse 2.5
accepted methodology for establishing weighting factors. For
the time being it is difficult to rank environmental problems Ozone layer 100
without running the risk of criticism. Acidification 10
Eutrophication 5
6.3.3 Weighting Principles Heavy metals 5
Some successful attempts have been made to devise weighting Carcinogens 10
principles. The details of these are found in Box 6.1. In short
Winter smog 5
they are as follows.
Summer smog 2.5
A Panel of experts can provide a qualitative analysis which
uses weighting without weighting factors. Instead of applying Pesticides 25
Panel of experts: This is a qualitative analysis which uses alternatives to minerals although in many applications
weighting without weighting factors. Instead of applying of copper, for example, other materials such as alu-
the computational procedure the rating is performed by a minium or glass fibre (much less scarce) could be used
panel of experts. The major disadvantage of this approach instead.
is its poor reproducibility – the results will often remain • Production: direct losses – expected reduction in agri-
controversial and open to discussion. As the weighting cultural yields and industrial damage (caused by e.g.
is based on one’s point of view, another panel of experts corrosion).
could arrive at different conclusions. For the sake of high • Human health: expressed, as has been previously stat-
costs of the analysis based on a panel of experts, it is rath- ed, as willingness to pay for the human health impair-
er unlikely to apply this approach in the product improve- ment (combating diseases, number of deaths, the ex-
ment and development within companies. tinction of species as well as the impairment of natural
beauty are examined).
Social evaluation: This principle is a basis in the EPS sys- • Biodiversity
tem (Environmental Priority Strategy). The EPS system is • Aesthetic values
designed to be used internally as a tool supporting prod-
uct development within a company. It is supposed to as- To sum up, there are three ways of expressing the dam-
sist designers and product developers in finding which age to the environment in financial terms among safe-
of two product concepts is preferable in environmental guard subjects (Figure 6.5):
terms. Before the system can be used outside the gate it 1. Future costs (raw material depletion).
must be clearly described and documented. The princi- 2. Direct losses (production).
ple applied in the EPS system is illustrated in Figure 6.5 3. Willingness to pay (health, biodiversity, aesthetic val-
[Goedkoop, 1995]. ues).
Inputs: Resources
Inputs Future costs Prevention costs, i.e. costs of preventing or combating
Crude oil
Copper Production the negative changes in the environment with the aid of
technical means. The principle of this approach is sim-
Value in
Outputs: Health Direct losses
EURO
ple: the higher the prevention costs, the higher the seri-
CO2 ousness of the impact. However, a critical point arises in
SO2 Biodiversity this approach when calculating prevention costs. There
Pb Willingness to pay
CFCs Aesthetics
are many different ways to deal with emissions. They are
more or less effective and more or less expensive. Before
Figure 6.5 Principle of EPS system. the weighting factors can be established, a method of
prevention and the required purity have to be accurately
The damage to the environment is expressed in financial
defined. In consequence the outcome depends on a large
terms. The impairment of human health, for instance, can
number of technological factors.
be expressed as the costs that a society is prepared to
pay for health care. Other kinds of damage caused to the
Energy consumption: This approach is analogous to the
environment are considered among so-called safeguard
previous one, except that in this case the overall energy
subjects which are:
needed to prevent emissions consumption is used as an
• Resources: expressed as future costs which are the indicator. The higher the energy consumption, the higher
costs of extraction of the “last” raw material. In oth- the seriousness of the impact. The total energy consump-
er words, future extraction costs are estimated. The tion is calculated as a sum of the three variables:
higher the costs, the higher the significance of envi-
1. Energy consumption.
ronmental problems resulting from consumption of
2. Carbon dioxide emissions – converted into the energy
a given raw material. Future costs can be also seen
needed to purify exhaust fumes.
as costs of the production of an alternative material,
3. Water consumption – converted into the energy need-
which is suppose to substitute for the unrenewable
ed to purify sewage.
one in the future. It means that where it is possible,
production costs of alternative fuels are used. For ex- Although the calculations in this case are not based on eco-
ample, costs of oil extraction are converted into the nomic terms any more, the main uncertainty remains. The
price of rape seed oil production; similarly wood is outcome depends significantly on the technical method
used to replace coal. Nevertheless, the approach is used for purification of exhaust fumes or sewage as well as
not yet fully developed. No attempt is made to use on the degree to which an impact has to be counteracted.
100
consumption can be seen as a good representation, at least for
10
90
fossil fuel depletion. Since there is one variable taken into ac-
20
80
count, no weighting in fact is performed.
30
70
WR
%
40
in
%
50
EQ
60
20
90
10
0
Hint
10
0
10
0
50
90
80
70
60
40
30
20
10
W EQ = 0% W EQ = 0%
0
WEQ Weighting factor for the damage to ecosystem quality Life cycle: use of gas stove lower environmental load
WHH Weighting factor for the damage to human health Life cycle model Sima (plastic) lower environmental load
WR Weighting factor for the damage to energy resources
WEQ + WHH + WR = 100% 100 %
0
10
90
A=B
20
W EQ =100% 80
30
ty
70
ali
Re
Qu
40
so
60
ur
em
50
ce
50
ys t
s
60
os
40
Ec
70
30
80
20
B>A
90
10
0%
10
0
A>B
10
0
50
90
80
70
60
40
30
20
10
0%
Human Health
W HH= 100% W R = 100%
Figure 6.9 Areas of product B and A superiority in the
Figure 6.8 Areas of product B and A superiority in the weighting weighting triangle.
triangle.