Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EnvironmentAsia
The international journal by the Thai Society of Higher Education Institutes on Environment
ISSN1906-1714;
ISSN
DOI
DOI
1906-1714; ONLINE
10.14456/ea.2020.1
xxxxxxxxxxxxx
ONLINEISSN:
ISSN:2586-8861
2586-8861
measure (Government
resources resilience so itofremains a challenge
India, 1999). development
India above the water goals (Malone,
stressed criteria of2009).
1,000 m3/
forbeen
has researchers (Béné et al,
taking significant 2013).
steps The same
to develop The Intergovernmental
its person (WRI, 2007), based on Government Panel on
extreme
water weather
resources, events growing
but rapidly can have an impact of India (1999). In addition, issues such asto
population, Climate Change (IPCC) continues
on different socioeconomic conditions, develop its methodology in addressing
not only depending on location and time t h e c h a l l e n g e s o f c l i m a t e c h a n g e .
of incidence but also determined by1 S i g n i f i c a n t c h a n g e s a r e t h e c h a n g e
community resources and agility associated of the concept of vulnerability in the
with their experience and participation in fourth assessment report or AR4 (IPCC,
dealing with the disturbance. The change 2007) to risk assessment in the fifth
in the research focus from vulnerability assessment report or AR5 (IPCC, 2014).
1
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
2
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
3
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
The IPCC has made changes from Climate signal and direct physical
the vulnerability approach (IPCC AR4, impacts (hazard) that occur within both social
2007) to risk approach (IPCC AR5, and ecological systems require adaptation,
2014); wherein AR5 the exposure aspect so the impact can be minimized. Adaptability
is separated from vulnerability (Figure in socio-ecological systems is often
3). The separation of exposure from known as resilience (Folke, 2006; Lloyd
vulnerability is based more on the notion et al, 2013). The meaning of adaptation
that although a system is not exposed and resilience is often equated, while
to disturbance, it still has a degree of adaptations are related to actors, policies,
vulnerability, as well as an effort to and activities; while resilience is associated
integrate climate change adaptation and with thinking systems (Nelson et al, 2007).
disaster risk reduction. As a consequence In the context of climate change, resilience
of the change of AR4 to AR5 then the often associates with “adaptation”; while
mathematical equation of vulnerability in disaster, risk replaces “vulnerability
(equation 2) is no longer relevant and is reduction”.
formulated as:
4
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
The risk is a function of vulnerability, IPCC AR5 (2014). The number of resilience
exposure, and hazard; while resilience is a forming factors is similar to the risk; the
function of intrinsic resilience, exposure and difference in the dimensions of “vulnerability”
hazard (Figure 4). Resilience is visualized and “intrinsic resilience”. Resilience includes
as the ability to recover after hazard events; hazard, intrinsic resilience, and exposure.
so independent of whatever type of extreme Intrinsic resilience itself is an existing
events (Bogardi and Fekete, 2018). The condition and is owned by a socio-ecological
incidence caused by climate change (including system in the face of various hazards.
extreme weather) is largely determined by Sensitivity factors of vulnerability (Figure
the ability of the community that is related 5a) should be replaced by other indicators
to experience and its participation in the that have the opposite meaning. In this study,
face of disturbance. By assuming a hazard of “survival” terminology is used as part of
one value, then the resilience measurement intrinsic resilience (Figure 5b). Survival is an
is determined by exposure and intrinsic internal condition that is owned or attached
resilience. In the following discussion, to the system and shows the degree of
it is shown that the concept of resilience toughness to the disturbance, influenced by the
emphasizes on the system’s ability to adapt experience and the capacity of the community
and transform. in the face of climate disturbance (climate
change and extreme weather). In addition to
3.2 Factors to build resilience be influenced by coping/adapting capacity
and to be more resilient in the face of future
The concept of resilience in Fig. 4, when climate disturbances, it needs to be sustained
used to assess resilience related to climate by the ability to make changes (transformative
can be matched by the risk assessment of capacity).
5
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
Base on Fig. 5b, the measurement of the The addition of transformative capacity (TC)
resilience index can be determined by the factor is used to enhance future resilience by
level of exposure and intrinsic resilience. including the role of government and civil society.
The addition of the transformative
RiI = SvI*ACI (7)
capacity factor is important when it
wants to know the effectiveness and role When adding the transformative capacity,
of government (including community then the equation becomes:
participation) in making changes to
better conditions. Governance and RiI = SvI*(ACI+TCI) (8)
politics are the fundamental importance
Sv, AC, and TC are positively correlated
to understanding and analyzing the
to climate resilience, while exposure (E) is
transformation (Patterson et al, 2017).
negatively correlated; so the final result of the
The transformative capacity is at once
measurement is calculated by the equation:
an advantage of the concept of resilience
compared to vulnerability and risk. It can RI1 = (RiI*TCI)/EI (9)
be said that resilience is more assured in
the face of various uncertainties in the As another alternative or second method
future. (Figure 7), by using sensitivity (S) that is
part of the vulnerability, it can be done by
developing equation 5 (or VI= SI/ACI) by
4. Methods for measuring climate reversing (vulnerability and resilience are
resilience index inversely proportional) and add exposure
dimension (E):
From the description of the concept
of vulnerability, risk, and resilience; the RI2 = (ACI*TCI)/(EI*SI) (10)
measurement of climate resilience index can be
done in two ways (methods). The first method 4.1 Selecting climate resilience indicators
is by altering the dimension of sensitivity
with the internal resistance (survival) that Connectivity factors are forming
has been embedded in the system (Figure vulnerabilities, risks, and resilience (Figure
6). Assuming the hazard is worth “1” (one), 8), clarified in the determination of climate
the measurement of climate resilience index resilience indicators. Indicators to illustrate
(RI) can be obtained from the calculation hazard are obtained from the hazard (in
of exposure index (EI), intrinsic resilience AR5) or exposure (in AR4). Indicators for
index (RiI), adaptive capacity index (ACI) invulnerability are derived from a vulnerability
and transformative capacity index (TCI). The in AR5 (or sensitivity and adaptive capacity in
intrinsic resilience (Ri) is composed of survival AR4); while the indicator for non-exposure is
(Sv) and adaptative capacity (AC) factor. obtained from the exposure criteria in AR5.
7
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
8
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
Weight determination was performed by The highest climate resilience index (RI
the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) (Saaty, maximum) is obtained from ACI= 5, TCI =
2005). The AHP analysis is used to derive 5, EI=1, and SI= 1 so that:
the determinant and most influential factors
that will later be scored to obtain a climate RImax= (ACImaxxTCImax)/(EIminxImin) =
resilience index, which is a function of exposure, (5x5)/(1x1) = 25
sensitivity, adaptive capacity and transformation
capacity. The AHP analysis technique is Based on the interval of RI 2 , it is
performed on these four factors separately. The then divided into 5 levels (qualitative) so
complete AHP stages are as follows: that it is relevant to the determination of
the robustness scale which illustrates its
1. Preparation of hierarchical model on correlation with the level of resilience. The
each indicator (exposure, sensitivity, advantage of using the same division like
adaptive capacity, and transformative this, if each index compiler indicator is low
capacity). or medium, then the calculation of the index
2. Making the comparator field pairwise will produce the same qualitative class (low
between variables (matrix in pairs). or medium) so that there is consistency
3. Synthesis comparison to get priority between the calculation of index value
(normalization test). (quantitative assessment) and qualitative
4. Consistency test is by using the value assessment. For this reason, based on
of consistency ratio (CR) if CR ≤ 0.1 qualitative and quantitative considerations,
then it is stated as consistent. the value ranges of RI2 are set to 5 levels
(Table 1), namely: very low, low, moderate,
Referring to the scaling done by Doukakis high, and very high.
(2005), 5 levels are used; namely: very low 4.4 RI at provincial level in Indonesia
(scale 1), low (scale 2), medium (scale 3),
high (scale 4), and very high (scale 5). Table 2 is an example of the implementation
In order to generate an index, each of RI measurements at the provincial level in
indicator of the resilience factor (exposure, Indonesia. Based on the table, RI averages 0.70 in
s e n s i t i v i t y, a d a p t i v e c a p a c i t y, a n d the moderate category. There are 6 provinces that
transformative capacity) is scaled between have RI with a lower category (0.1-0.4), namely:
1 and 5 (see attachment 2). East Nusa Tenggara (0.29), West Nusa Tenggara
(0.30), West Sulawesi (0.32), Central Sulawesi
4.3 Types of resilience (0.34), West Papua (0.36), and Lampung (0.37).
9
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
with intrinsic resilience (in resilience) but it must From the two RI measurement methods, the
be interpreted as survival (non-sensitivity) and second method (RI2) is recommended to carry
adaptive capacity. Explicitly, vulnerability (plus out in measuring climate resilience index. In
transformative capacity) can be used in measuring the case at the provincial level in Indonesia, the
resilience by inverting the position (inversion) results showed that the average RI is 0.70; the
of the mathematical equation for vulnerability highest was Jakarta SCR (1.61) and the lowest
index (VI= (EI*SI)/ACI) with the result that was East Nusa Tenggara (0.29). In other words,
RI1= (RiI*TCI)/EI or RI2= (ACI*TCI)/(EI*SI). East Nusa Tenggara has to be the first priority of
development in facing the climate change threat.
Table 1. Resilience category
10
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
11
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
Nelson DR, Adger WN, Brown K. Adaptation Polsky C, Neff R, Yarnal B. Building
to Environmental Change: Contributions comparable global change
of a Resilience Framework, Annual vulnerability assessment: The
Review of Environment and Resources vulnerability scoping diagram.
2007; 32: 395-419. doi: 10.1146/annurev. Global Environmental Change
energy.32.051807.09034 2007; 17: 472-48. doi: 10.1016/j.
O´Brien K, Sygna L. Responding to climate gloenvcha.2007. 01.005
change: The three spheres of transformation Saaty TL. Theory and Applications of the
in: Proceedings of Transformation in Analytic Network Process, Pittsburgh,
a Changing Climate, 19-21 June 2013, PA: RWS Publications, 2005.
Oslo, Norway. University of Oslo. p:16-23. Umar H. Administrative science
Patterson J, Schulz K, Vervoort J, Van der research method. Jakarta: Gramedia
Hel S, Widerberg O, Adler C, Hurlbert Pustaka Utama, Indonesia, 2004. (in
M, Anderson K, Sethi M, Barau A. Indonesian)
Exploring the governance and politics of UNU-EHS. Vulnerability: A conceptual
transformations towards sustainability. and methodological review. Source
Environmental Innovation and Societal No. 4/2006. http://collections.unu.
Transitions 2017; 24: 1-16. doi: 10.1016/ edu/eserv/unu:1871/pdf3904.pdf
j.eist.2016.09.001
12
A. Subiyanto et al / EnvironmentAsia 13(1) (2020) 1-13
13