~ TEST CODE 22105020

FORM TP 2008146 \:5) MAY/JUNE 2008

CARIBBEA N EXAMINAT IONS COUNCIL

ADVANCE D PROFICIE NCY EXAMINA TION

• APPLIED MATHEMATIC S

UNIT 1: STATISTICALA NALYSIS

PAPER02

2% hours

( 03 JULY2008 (a.m.))

This examination paper consists of THREE sections: Collecting and Describing Data, Managing
Uncertainty, Analysing and Interpreting Data.

Each section consists of 2 questions.

The maximum mark for each section is 50.
The maximum mark for this examination is 150.
This examination consists of 7 printed pages and 2 answer sheets for Questions 2 and 6.

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

1. DO NOT open this examination paper until instructed to do so.

2. Answer ALL questions from the THREE sections.

3. . Unless otherwise stated in the question, any numerical answers MUST

be given exactly OR to three significant figures as appropriate.

Examination Materials Permitted

Mathematical formulae and tables (Revised 2008)

J Electronic calculator
Ruler and graph paper

Copyright © 2008 Caribbean Examinations Council®.

All rights reserved.

22105020/CAJPE 2008
 -2-

SECTION A

MODULE 1: COLLECTINGA ND DESCRIBING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

1. The following table shows the number (in thousands) of newspapers printed by a publisher for a
particular week:

Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday

35 38 41 42 46 39 59

(a) It was discovered that the printing press had a problem where some page 2's were only
printed on half the page.

(i) Give THREE reasons why it would be necessary to examine a sample of the
papers published rather than examine the entire production (the population).
[3 marks]

(ii) State TWO differences between a cluster sample and a stratified random sample
in this situation. [4 marks]

(iii) Using the stratified random sampling technique, calculate to the nearest whole
number, the number of papers that will be selected from Monday's production if
a sample of 5000 papers will be examined. [3 marks]

(b) Draw a WELL LABELLED pie chart showing the daily production of the newspaper,
using a radius of 4 centimetres, and giving the angles to the nearest whole number.
[6 marks]

(c) Calculate

(i) the mean daily production of the newspaper [4 marks]

(ii) the standard deviation of the daily production of the newspaper. [5 marks]

Total 25 marks

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221 05020/CAPE 2008

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2. The table below shows the average daily travelling times, x minutes, taken by the 156 persons at
a certain workplace to travel from home to work everyday.

Time (in minutes) Number of people

10-30 15
•
30-45 35

45 -60 54

60 -90 42

90- 120 10

(a) Construct the cumulative distribution table for these data. [4 marks]

(b) On the answer graph sheet provided, draw the cumulative frequency curve to show the
information from the cumulative distribution table in (a) above. [4 marks]

(c) Use your curve to determine estimates of

(i) the number of persons who take less than 35 minutes to travel from home to work
[2 marks]

(ii) the median of the times taken to travel from home to work [2 marks]

(iii) the inter-quartile range of the times taken to travel from home to work.
[3 marks]

(d) Draw the box and whisker plot to show this information. [3 marks]

(e) Calculate an estimate for the mean time taken to travel to work. [5 marks]

(f) State the shape of the distribution of the times. [2 marks]

Total 25 marks

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22105020/CAPE 2008
 - 4-

SECTION B

MODULE 2: MANAGING UNCERTAINTY

Answer BOTH questions.

3. (a) A box contains 8 red candles and 12 green candles, all identical except for the colour.

(i) A candle is randomly selected from the box. Determine the probability that the
candle is green. [2 marks]

(ii) THREE candles are randomly taken from the box. Using R to represent a red
candle, and G to represent a green candle,

a) list the elements of the possibility space [2 marks]

b) determine the probability that exactly TWO red candles are taken.
[3 marks]

(b) Two events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.5 , P(B) = 0.40 and P(A n B) = 0.12 .

State, with statistical reasons, whether

(i) A and Bare mutually exclusive [2 marks]

(ii) A and Bare independent. [2 marks]

(c) In a language club, 45% of the students study French, 25% of the students study Spanish,
and 12% of the students study both French and Spanish.

Determine the probability that a student chosen at random

(i) does NOT study French nor Spanish [3 marks]

(ii) studies French only [2 marks}

(iii) studies French given that the student also studies Spanish. [2 marks]

(d) The number of referrals of patients made to a heart specialist on any given day is a
variable represented by X The probability distribution for X is given by

X 7 8 9 10 11

P(X=x) 0.35 0.2 0.3 0.08 0.07

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

221 05020/CAPE 2008

 22105020
~
TEST CODE

FORM TP 2008146 MAY/JUNE 2008

CARIBBEA N EXAMINAT IONS COUNCIL

ADVANCED PROFICIE NCY EXAMINA TION

APPLIED MATHEMATIC S
UNIT 1: PAPER 02- STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

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ATTACH THIS ANSWER SHEET TO YOUR ANSWER BOOKLET

221 05020/CAPE 2008
 22105020
@
TEST CODE

FORM TP 2008146 MAY/JUNE 2008

CARIBBEA N EXAMINAT IONS COUNCIL

ADVANCED PROFICIE NCY EXAMINATION

APPLIED MATHEMATIC S
UNIT 1: PAPER 02- STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

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ATTACH TillS ANSWER SHEET TO YOUR ANSWER BOOKLET

22105020/CAPE 2008
 -5-

(i) Show that X is a random variable. [2 marks]

(ii) Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the number of cases seen by the
specialist daily. [5 marks]

Total 25 marks
v

4. (a) State THREE conditions that describe a binomial distribution. [3 marks]

(b) For EACH of the following experiments, state, with reason, whether it may be modelled
by a binomial distribution.

(i) A bag contains four yellow discs, three blue discs and two white discs, all identical
except for colour. A disc is chosen at random, its colour noted and it is replaced
in the bag. This is done three times. [2 marks]

(ii) A bag contains five yellow discs and four blue discs. A disc is chosen at random
without replacement. This is done three times.
[2 marks]

(iii) A bag contains five yellow discs and four blue discs. A disc is chosen at random,
its colour is noted and it is returned to the bag. This is done three times.
[2 marks]

(c) A blood collection agency has ruled that it would not take blood from persons with
tattoos. It is believed that 40% of the persons that want to donate blood have tattoos.

(i) A group of 40 persons came to the blood collection agency to give blood.
Determine the expected number of them that will be turned away because they
have tattoos? [2 marks]

(ii) A group of 7 persons are waiting to give blood. Calculate the probability that

a) none of them have tattoos [3 marks]

b) EXACTLY 3 of them have tattoos [3 marks]

c) at least ONE person has tattoos. [2 marks]

(d) The mass of a small loaf of bread is normally distributed with a mean of 480 g and a
standard deviation of 20 g. Calculate the probability that the mass of a loaf of bread,
selected at random, is between 465 g and 500 g. [6 marks]
.. Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

221 05020/CAPE 2008

 - 6-

SECTION C

MODULE 3: ANALYSING AND INTERPRET ING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

5. (a) The scores on a test may be modelled by a normal distribution. A random sample of 6
scores is given below:

40 44 50 30 46 48

(i) Calculate the unbiased estimates of

a) the mean [2 marks]

b) the standard deviation. [3 marks]

(ii) Test at the 5% significance level, the null hypothesis that the mean score is 45
against the alternative hypothesis that the mean score is less than 45.

a) Determine the critical region for this test. [3 marks]

b) Calculate the appropriate test statistic. [3 marks]

c) Clearly state the conclusion for this test. [1 mark]

(b) In 180 tosses of a pair of dice, the sum of 9 on two faces occurred 12 times. A test at the
5% significance level was carried out to determine whether the dice were biased to give
fewer 9s than expected.

(i) Calculate the probability of getting a sum of 9 when a pair of fair dice is tossed.
[2 marks]

(ii) State in symbols the null and alternative hypotheses. [2 marks}

(iii) Determine the critical region for this test. [3 marks}

(iv) Calculate the appropriate test statistic. [5 marks]

(v) Clearly state the conclusion for this test. [1 mark J

Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

22105020/CA PE 2008
 - 7 -

6. Delegates who travelled by car to a mathematics conference were asked to record the distance, x,
they travelled in kilometres, and the time, y, taken in minutes. A random sample o f 9 values
recorded is given in the table below:

Distance (in km)

110 15 95 127 72 117 140 51 123
X

Time (in minutes)

120 28 176 145 97 115 190 44 161
y
Summary: £x=850 £y = 1076 £*2 = 93 682 £ r y = 117 841 Ey* - 153 776

(a) On the answer sheet

On the provided,
answer sheetplot a scatter
provided, diagram
plot from
a scatter the above
diagram fromdata.
the above data.
[5 marks]

(b) Calculate and interpret the product moment correlation coefficient. [5 marks]
[5 marks]

(c) (i) Find

(i) the Find
equation o f the regression
the equation line o f y line
o f the regression on x oin
f y the
on form y = form
x in the a + hx.
y = a + hx.

(ii) Draw this line on the graph o f the scatter

scatter diagram. [7 marks]
[7 marks]

(d) Interpret in the context o f this question, the value o f

(i) the regression coefficient ‘6

‘fr’

(ii) the constant ‘a ’.

\ [3 marks]
[3 marks]

(e) (i)
(i) Determine
Determine an
an estimate
estimate for
for the
the time
time taken
taken by
by aa delegate
delegate who
who travelled
travelled 145
145 km
km by
by
car- [3 marks]
[3 marks]

(ii) Comment briefly on the reliability oof fthe

the value obtained.
obtained, [2 marks]
[2 marks]

Total 25 marks

END OF TEST

22105020/CAPE 2008