TEST CODE  02105020

FORM TP 2010129  MAY/JUNE 2010

CARIBBEAN E X A M I N AT I O N S COUNCIL

ADVANCED PROFICIENCY EXAMINATION

APPLIED MATHEMATICS

UNIT 1: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

PAPER 02

2 ½ hours

13 MAY 2010 (p.m.)

This examination paper consists of THREE sections: Collecting and Describing Data, Managing
Uncertainty, Analysing and Interpreting Data.

Each section consists of 2 questions.

The maximum mark for each section is 50.
The maximum mark for this examination is 150.
This examination consists of 8 printed pages.

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

1. DO NOT open this examination paper until instructed to do so.

2. Answer ALL questions from the THREE sections.

3. Unless otherwise stated in the question, all numerical answers MUST

be given exactly OR to three significant figures as appropriate.

Examination Materials:

Mathematical formulae and tables (Revised 2009)

Electronic calculator/non programmable
Ruler and graph paper

Copyright © 2009 Caribbean Examinations Council ®.

All rights reserved.

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -2-

SECTION A

MODULE 1: COLLECTING AND DESCRIBING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

1. (a) A popular fast food chain wants to open an outlet in a particular district. The research
department collected some data from the district. Among the variables collected were

A  the number of persons who buy gasoline during a particular period of the
day from the gasoline station in the district

B the number of business places in the district

C the types of businesses in the district

D the area of land used for each house in the neighbourhood

E the days of late closing of the businesses

F the number of students from the two schools in the area who wait for the
bus near the proposed site of the outlet.

From the data obtained, state the letter (A, B, C, D, E or F) of

(i) TWO variables which are qualitative [2 marks]

(ii) TWO variables which are quantitative [2 marks]

(iii) ONE discrete variable [1 mark ]

(iv) ONE continuous variable. [1 mark ]

(b) The scores of a college examination are distributed with a mean of 72 and a variance of 15.
A sample of 50 scores was examined, and showed a mean of 67.

From this information state the value of a

(i) parameter [1 mark ]

(ii) statistic. [1 mark ]

(c) Indicate whether EACH of the following examples refers to a population or a sample:

(i) A group of 50 persons selected to test a new milk drink [1 mark ]

(ii) The total number of cars sold by a car dealership in the last year [1 mark ]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -3-

(d) State the sampling technique used in EACH of the following methods of collecting a sample
of 50 students from a school with 420 students distributed over 14 classes.

(i) Select a sample of 10 classes out of the 14 classes in the school, and then take a
sample of 5 students from EACH class. [1 mark ]

(ii) Take a random sample of students from EACH class proportionate to the number of
students in the school. [1 mark ]

(iii) Use the school roll and choose every 25th name on the school roll.
[1 mark ]

(iv) Stand at the school gate and choose the first 50 students that come into the school.
[1 mark ]

(v) Put the names of all the students in a box and then randomly select 50 names from
the box. [1 mark ]

(e) The following table shows the results of a survey of the time taken by a group of children
to complete a reading assignment.

Time 10 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 39 40 – 49 50 – 64 65 – 89

(minutes)

Number of
Children 8 15 22 18 12 9 5

(i) State the boundaries of the third class. [2 marks]

(ii) Calculate the width of the fifth class. [2 marks]

(iii) Calculate the frequency density of the second class. [2 marks]

(iv) Estimate the number of children who took more than 60 minutes to complete the
assignment. [3 marks]

(v) State a disadvantage of presenting data in this manner. [1 mark ]

Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -4-

2. The ages, in years, of the 25 students registered for a course in automotive engineering at a
community college are

17 17 18 19 19 19 21 21
22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26
27 28 32 32 33 40 41 42
59

(a) (i) Illustrate these data in a stem-and-leaf diagram. [4 marks]

(ii) State ONE advantage of using the stem-and-leaf diagram to display data.
[1 mark ]

(b) Determine

(i) the median age of the students in the class [2 marks]

(ii) the modal age of the students. [1 mark ]

(c) Calculate the mean age of the students. [4 marks]

(d) State ONE disadvantage of using the mean to report the average age of the class.
[2 marks]

(e) Calculate the 8% trimmed mean for the data. [4 marks]

(f) Determine

(i) the upper and lower quartiles of the ages [2 marks]

(ii) the semi-interquartile range of the ages. [3 marks]

(g) Describe the shape of the distribution of the ages. [2 marks]

Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -5-

SECTION B

MODULE 2: MANAGING UNCERTAINTY

Answer BOTH questions.

3. (a) Two events, A and B, are such that P(A ∪ B) = 0.86, P(B) = 0.72 and P(A) = 0.64.

Determine

(i) P(A ∩ B) [2 marks]

(ii) P(A B) [2 marks]

(iii) P(A′ ∩ B′). [2 marks]

(b) The 15 students in a dance school practise hip-hop or jazz. 10 students practise hip-hop and
8 students practise jazz. A student is chosen at random from the dance school. Calculate
the probability that the student

(i) is a jazz dancer [2 marks]

(ii) practises BOTH jazz and hip-hop. [3 marks]

Two students are chosen at random from the dance school.

(iii) What is the probability that they are BOTH hip-hop dancers? [3 marks]

(c) Patrons at a certain restaurant may choose chicken, fish or beef patties. The management of
the restaurant has estimated that 45% of the patrons will choose chicken patties, 35% will
choose fish patties, and 20% will choose beef patties. Assuming that EACH patron chooses
patties independently, calculate the probability that the next THREE patrons all choose

(i) chicken patties [2 marks]

(ii) the same type of patty [3 marks]

(iii) different types of patties [3 marks]

(iv) chicken patties, given that they all have the same type of patty. [3 marks]

Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -6-

4. (a) The probability that it will rain on any day in September is 0.55. Assuming that the state of
the weather on any day is independent of the state of the weather on any other day,

(i) how many days in September is it expected to rain? [2 marks]

(ii) what is the probability that it will rain on exactly 3 days in the next 7 days?
[4 marks]

(iii) what is the probability that it will rain on the fourth, the fifth and the sixth
of September? [2 marks]

(b) The random variable, Y, has a probability distribution given by Y ~ Bin(n, 0.7). Given that
the variance of Y = 3.15,

(i) show that n = 15. [3 marks]

Hence calculate

(ii) E(Y) [2 marks]

(iii) P(Y = 10). [3 marks]

(c) (i) State TWO conditions that should exist for the normal distribution to be used as an
approximation for the binomial distribution. [2 marks]

(ii) The probability that a pen is faulty is 0.06. In a box of 100 pens, what is the
probability that at MOST 5 pens will be faulty? [7 marks]

Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -7-

SECTION C

MODULE 3: ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

5. A random variable X is normally distributed with a mean m and standard deviation 0.19. A sample
of size n is taken and the sample mean, X , is calculated.

(a) State the distribution of X giving its parameters. [2 marks]

(b) The limits of a 90% confidence interval for the population mean, m, are (0.54, 0.61).

Calculate

(i) the value of X [4 marks]

(ii) the number of observations taken. [4 marks]

(c) If 20 independent samples, EACH of size n, are drawn from a distribution and the 90%
confidence interval is calculated for EACH, how many of these intervals will NOT contain
the population mean m. [2 marks]

(d) The annual amount of money, x, (in thousands of dollars) which was spent by a sample of
50 students at a university bookstore is summarized as follows

Σx = 49.5    Σx2 = 348.57

(i) Calculate unbiased estimates of

a) the population mean, [3 marks]

b) the population standard deviation. [5 marks]

(ii) Construct a 94% confidence interval for the mean amount of money spent by the
students at the bookstore. [5 marks]

Total 25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/CAPE 2010
 -8-

6. (a) Management at a bookstore wanted to determine whether or not there is any association
between the type of book sold and the type of cover it has. From a random sample of
150 invoices submitted the following table was produced.

General
Novels Textbooks Total
Interest
Hard back 24 10 22 56
Paper back 66 10 18 94
Total 90 20 40 150

In the analysis a c2 test at the 5% significant level was used.

(i) State clearly the null and alternative hypotheses. [2 marks]

(ii) Calculate, to the nearest whole number, the expected number of

a) textbooks with hard back covers [2 marks]

b) novels with paper back covers. [2 marks]

(iii) Identify the rejection region for this test. [2 marks]

(iv) The calculated c2 value for this data is 9.2649.

State clearly the conclusion of this test. [2 marks]

(b) A packaging machine, after servicing, is set to produce packages of sweets with a mean
mass of 150 gram.

A random sample of 15 packages of sweets produced by the machine was found to have
a mean mass of 158 g and a standard deviation of 43 g.

A t-test was carried out, at the 5% level of significance, to determine whether the mean
mass of packages of sweets produced by the machine had increased.

(i) State the assumption that must be made, under which a t-test is valid.
[1 mark ]

(ii) State clearly the null and alternative hypotheses for the test. [3 marks]

(iii) Identify the critical region for this test. [3 marks]

(iv) Calculate the test statistic to be used in this test. [5 marks]

(v) State clearly the conclusion for this test, giving a reason for your answer.
[3 marks]

Total 25 marks

END OF TEST

02105020/CAPE 2010