I.

DATA
 Vatican Total Population
 801
 Growth Rate
 0.25%
 Population Rank
 235
 The current population of Vatican City is 801, based on projection of the latest United
Nations data. The UN estimates the July 1, 2020 population at 801.

 The firs reported case of corona virus (COVID -19) in Vatican was confirmed on March 6,
2020. There were 12 confirmed cases of COVID-19 among the Vatican's residents and
employees; there were no associated deaths. The 12 cases included 10 employees, 1
new hire, and 1 resident of Vatican City. All those infected tested negative by 6 June
2020.

As of October 16, 2020, there are already 26 confirmed cases in Vatican with 12
recoveries, 14 active cases and 0 deaths.

Solve for their population after 6 mos., 1 year, and 2 years assuming the average rate per
month.
Yearly Growth Rate = 0.25%
0.25 %
= =0.02 %
12months

Monthly Growth Rate = 0.02%

Exponential Growth:

Formula: A=P ert

Where:
A = ending amount
P = principal (population) → 801 as of 2020
e = natural base
r = monthly growth rate → 0.02% as of 2020
t = time (in months)

Given:
P = 801
r = 0.02%

MONTHS EQUATION POPULATION

(rounded to the nearest whole
number)
0 A=801 e
(0.02)(0)
801
(Current Population)
1 A=801 e
(0.02)(1)
817
2 A=801 e(0.02)(2) 834
3 A=801 e
(0.02)(3)
851
4 A=801 e(0.02)(4 ) 868
5 A=801 e
(0.02)(5)
885
6 Months A=801 e(0.02)(6) 903
7 A=801 e
(0.02)(7)
921
8 A=801 e(0.02)(8) 940
9 A=801 e
(0.02)(9)
959
10 A=801 e(0.02)(10) 978
11 A=801 e
(0.02)(11)
998
12 Months/1 Year A=801 e(0.02)(12) 1,018
13 A=801 e
(0.02)(13)
1,039
14 A=801 e(0.02)(14) 1,060
15 A=801 e
(0.02)(15)
1,081
16 A=801 e(0.02)(16) 1,103
17 A=801 e
(0.02)(17)
1,125
 18 A=801 e
(0.02)(18)
1,148
19 A=801 e(0.02)(19) 1,171
20 A=801 e
(0.02)(20)
1,195
21 A=801 e(0.02)(21) 1,219
22 A=801 e
(0.02)(22)
1,244
23 A=801 e(0.02)(23) 1,269
24 Months/2 Years A=801 e
(0.02)(24)
1,294

1400

1200

1000

800
Population

600 Growth

400

200

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Months

I. REFERENCE LIST

Atacador, J. (2019). How many people live in Vatican City? [online] Vatican
Tours. Available at: https://www.vaticancitytours.it/blog/how-many-people-live-in-vatican-
city/#:~:text=With%20the%20entire%20country%20nestled,the%20UN’s%20World
%20Population%20Prospect’s. [Accessed 15 Oct. 2020].

BBC News (2018). Vatican country profile. [online] BBC News. Available at:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-17994868 [Accessed 15 Oct. 2020].
Georank.org. (2020). The Vatican City Coronavirus Statistic: day by day + latest.
[online] Available at: https://georank.org/covid/vatican-city [Accessed 16 Oct. 2020].
Roser, M., Ritchie, H., Ortiz-Ospina, E. and Hasell, J. (2020). Coronavirus Pandemic
(COVID-19). [online] Our World in Data. Available at:
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/vatican?country=~VAT [Accessed 15 Oct. 2020].

Wikipedia Contributors (2020). COVID-19 pandemic in Vatican City. [online]

Wikipedia. Available at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-
19_pandemic_in_Vatican_City#October_2020 [Accessed 16 Oct. 2020].
Worldpopulationreview.com. (2020). Vatican City Population 2020
(Demographics, Maps, Graphs). [online] Available at:
https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/vatican-city-population [Accessed 15 Oct. 2020].