Cuadro de desición para la comercialización de un producto

Decision Tables
Enter
Enter the
the profits
profits in
in the
the main
main body
body of
of the
the data
data table.
table. Enter
Enter probabilities
probabilities in
in the
the first
first row
row ifif you
you want
want to
to compute
compute the
the expected
expected value.
value.

Data
Alternativa de desición Demanda de baja utilidad Demanda de media utilidad
Probability 0.4 0.25
Fabricar 421 452
Subcontratar 435 453
Comprar 418 461
ifif you
you want
want to
to compute
compute the
the expected
expected value.
value.

Results
Demanda de alta utilidad EMV Minimum Maximum
0.35
467 444.85 421 467
481 455.6 435 481
475 448.7 418 475
Maximum 455.6 435 481
Cuadro de desiciones para la comercialización de un producto

Decision Tables
Enter
Enter thethe profits
profits in
in the
the main
main body
body of
of the
the data
data table.
table. Enter
Enter probabilities
probabilities in
in the
the
first
first row
row ifif you
you want
want to to compute
compute the
the expected
expected value.
value.

Data Results
Profit Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 EMV Minimum
Probability 0.17 0.29 0.21 0.33
Decision 1 438 466 495 500 478.55 438
Decision 2 426 462 487 512 477.63 426
Decision 3 430 469 487 509 479.35 430
Decision 4 451 474 487 503 482.39 451
Decision 5 436 470 488 508 480.54 436
Maximum 482.39 451

Expected Value of Perfect Information

Column best 451 474 495 512 487.04 <-Expected value WITH perfect
482.39 <-Best expected value
4.65 <-Expected value OF perfect in

Regret
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Expected Maximum
Probability 0.17 0.29 0.21 0.33
Decision 1 13 8 0 12 8.49 13
Decision 2 25 12 8 0 9.41 25
Decision 3 21 5 8 3 7.69 21
Decision 4 0 0 8 9 4.65 9
Decision 5 15 4 7 4 6.5 15
Minimum 4.65 9
 Maximum

500
512
509
503
508
512

Expected value WITH perfect information

Best expected value
Expected value OF perfect information
Cuadro de descisión para la comercialización de un producto

Decision Tables
Enter
Enter the
the profits
profits in
in the
the main
main body
body of
of the
the data
data table.
table. Enter
Enter probabilities
probabilities in
in the
the first
first row
row ifif you
you want
want to
to
compute
compute thethe expected
expected value.
value.

Data Results
Profit Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 EMV Minimum
Probability 0.17 0.29 0.21 0.33
Decision 1 525 574 589 603 578.39 525
Decision 2 537 568 586 610 580.37 537
Decision 3 540 568 587 603 578.78 540
Decision 4 549 565 593 602 580.37 549
Decision 5 536 571 592 602 579.69 536
Maximum 580.37 549

Expected Value of Perfect Information

Column best 549 574 593 610 585.62 <-Expected value WITH perfect
580.37 <-Best expected value
5.25 <-Expected value OF perfect in

Regret
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Expected Maximum
Probability 0.17 0.29 0.21 0.33
Decision 1 24 0 4 7 7.23 24
Decision 2 12 6 7 0 5.25 12
Decision 3 9 6 6 7 6.84 9
Decision 4 0 9 0 8 5.25 9
Decision 5 13 3 1 8 5.93 13
Minimum 5.25 9
 Maximum

603
610
603
602
602
610

Expected value WITH perfect information

Best expected value
Expected value OF perfect information