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Quantitative Techniques
for Home
Management LESSON
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9
Bestsellers WAITING
AITING MODEL (QUEUING
(QUEUING THEORY)
Books
CONTENTS
Audiobooks
9.0 Aims
Aims and
and Obj
Objec
ecti
tive
vess
9.1 Intr
Introd
oduc
ucti
tion
on
Magazines
9.2 Queu
Queuin
ing
g Syst
System
emss
9.0
9.0 AIMS
AIMS AND
AND OB
OBJEC
JECTIV
TIVES
ES
In this lesson we are going to talk about the queuing theory which is also known as
waiting line. These queuing theory will facilitate in solving the queue related problem of
the industry. The most important point will be taken into consideration in the designing
queue system which should balance service to customers.
Saved Whenever a customer arrives at a service facility, some of them usually have to wait
before they receive the desired service.
servic e. This forms a queue or waiting line and customers
feel discomfort either mentally or physically because of long waiting queue.
9.2
9.2
Sheet Music QUEU
QUEUING
ING SYST
SYSTEM
EMS
S
The customers arrive at service counter (single or in groups) and are attended by one or
Snapshots moreservers. A customer served leaves the system after getting the service. In general,
a queuing system comprises with two components, the queue and the service facility.
The queue is where the customers are waiting to be served. The service facility is
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customers being served and the individual service stations. A general queuing system
with parallel server is shown in Figure 9.1 below:
(x) Customers
S1
Customers Departure
S2 (x)
Arrival (x)
.
.
.
(x) Customers
Sn.
Departure
Queuing System
9.3 CHARACTE
CHARACTERIST
RISTICS
ICS OF
OF QUEUIN
QUEUING
G SYSTEM
SYSTEM
In designing a good queuing system, it is necessary
nece ssary to have a good information about the
model. The characteristics listed below would provide sufficient information.
1.
Much more than The ar
arrival pa
pattern.
documents.2. The se
service
ice me
mecha
chanism
ism.
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3. The queu
ueue disc
iscipli
iplin
ne
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Saved
Bestsellers
Sheet Music
(c) Arrangement of Mixed Service facilities
Snapshots
Customers
Documents
XXXX
Served
Customer
Service Facilities
Quantitative Techniques i. Probability that an arrival is observed during a small time interval (say of length v)
for Home
Management is proportional to the length of interval. Let the proportionality constant be l, so that
the probability is lv.
Saved ii. Probability of two or more arrivals in such a small interval is zero.
iii. Number of arrivals in any time interval is independent of the number in non-
overlapping time interval.
Bestsellers
These assumptions may be combined to yield what probability distributions are likely to
be, under Poisson distribution with exactly n customers in the system.
Books
Suppose function P is defined as follows:
P (n customers during period t) = the probability that n arrivals will be observed
Audiobooks
in a time interval of length t
Magazines (λ) − λ
then, P (n, t) = (n = 0, 1, 2,……………) ..................(1)
Podcasts This is the Poisson probability distribution for the discrete random variabl e n, the number
of arrivals, where the length of time interval, t is assumed to be given. This situation in
queuing theory is called Poisson arrivals. Since the arrivals alone are considered (not
Sheet Music
departures), it is called a pure birth process.
The time between successive arrivals is called inter-arrival time. In the case where
Snapshots
the number of arrivals in a given time interval has Poisson distribution, inter-arrival times
can be shown to have the exponential distribution. If the inter-arrival times are independent
Documents random variables, they must follow an exponential distribution with density f(t) where,
–lt
f (t) = le (t > 0) .................(2)
Thus for Poisson arrivals at the constant rate l per unit, the time between successive
arrivals (inter-arrival time) has the exponential distribution. The average Inter - arrival
time is denoted by .
By integration, it can be shown that E(t) = λ .................(3)
If the arrival rate l = 30/hour, the average time between two successive arrivals are
1/30 hour or 2 minutes.
For example, in the following arrival situations, the average arrival rate per hour, l and
the average inter arrival time in hour, are determined.
(i) One arrival comes every 15 minutes.
Average arrival rate , l = = 4 arrivals per hour.
Average inter arrival time = 15 minutes = ¼ or 0.25 hour.
Average Inter-arrival time, = = 2 minutes = or 0.33 hr.
(iii) Average interval between successive intervals is 0.2 hour.
Much more than
documents. Average arrival rate, l = = 5 arrivals per hour.
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Quantitative Techniques 9. Probability that there is at least one customer or queue is busy,
for Home
Management
= −
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10. Traffic intensity,
λ
ρ=
µ
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Example 4: Consider a situation where the mean arrival rate (l) is one customer every
Books 4 minutes and the mean service time (m) is 2½ minutes. Calculate the average number
of customers in the system, the average queue length and the time taken by a customer
in the system and the average time a customer waits before being served.
Audiobooks
Solution: Given, Average Arrival Rate l = 1 customer every 4 minutes or 15 customers
per hour
Magazines
Average Service -Rate m = 1 customer every 2½ minutes or 24 customers per hour
(i) The average number of customers in the system,
Podcasts
λ
=
µ−λ
Sheet Music
= = customers
Snapshots −
(ii) The average queue length,
Documents
λ λ
=
µ µ − λ
= ×
−
= 1.04 customers
(iii) The average time a customer spends in the system,
=
µ−λ
=
−
= 0.11 × 60 = 6.66 minutes
(iv) The average time a customer waits before being served,
λ
=
λµ − λ
=
−
= 0.069 × 60
= 4.16 minutes
Example 5: Trucks at a single platform weigh-bridge arrive according to Poisson
probability distribution. The time required to weigh the truck follows an exponential
probability distribution. The mean arrival rate is 12 trucks per day, and the mean service
Much more than
rate is 18 trucks per day. Determine the following:
documents.
Discover everything Scribd (a) What is the probability that no trucks are in the system?
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Solution: Given l = 12 trucks per days, m = 18 trucks per day. Waiting Model
Home (Queuing Theory)
(a) Probability that no trucks are waiting for service,
Saved
λ
= −
µ
Bestsellers
= −
Books
= 0.3333 or 33.33%
(b) Average number of trucks waiting for service,
Audiobooks
λ λ
=
Magazines µ µ − λ
=
Podcasts
−
Sheet Music = 1.33 trucks
(c) Average time a truck waits for weighing service to begin,
Snapshots
λ
=
Documents µµ − λ
=
−
= 0.1111 days or 53.3 minutes.
(d) Probability that an arriving truck will have to wait for service,
P0 = 1 – P0
= 1 – 0.333
= 0.6667 or 66.67%
Quantitative Techniques
for Home
Management
9.7 SOLVING THE PROBLEM USING COMPUTER WITH
TORA
Saved
Example 5 is solved using computer with TORA.
Enter the values l = 12
Bestsellers m = 18
No. of server = 1
Books The input screen is shown in Figure 9.5.
Audiobooks
Magazines
Podcasts
Sheet Music
Snapshots
Documents
(a) What is the average waiting time of an incoming caller? Waiting Model
Home (Queuing Theory)
(b) What is the probability that a caller gets connected immediately?
Saved (c) If the restaurant manager feels that average waiting time of a caller is more
than 5 minutes, will lead to customer loss and the restaurant will have to go in
for a second toll free facility, what should be the new arrival rate in order to
justify another facility?
Bestsellers
6. From historical data, a two-wheeler service station observe that bikes arrive only
for water wash is at the rate of 7 per hour per 8 hour shift. The manager has a
Books
record that it takes 5 minutes for water service and another 2 minutes for greasing
and general check. Assuming that one bike is washed at a time, find the following:
Audiobooks
(a) Average number of bikes in line.
(b) Average time a bike waits before it is washed.
Magazines
(c) Average time a bike spends in the system.
Podcasts (d) Utilization rate of the bike wash.
(e) Probability that no bikes are in the system.
Sheet Music
7. In a department at store, an automated coffee vending machine is installed.
Customers arrive at a rate of 3 per minute and it takes average time of 10 seconds
Snapshots to dispense a cup of coffee:
(a) Determine the number of customers in the queue.
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(b) Determine the waiting time of a customer.
(c) Find the probability that there are exactly 10 customers in the system.
8. In a toll gate, vehicles arrive at a rate of 120 per hour. An average time for a
vehicle to get a pass is 25 seconds. The arrivals follow a Poisson distribution and
service times follow an exponential distribution. (a) Find the average number of
vehicles waiting and the idle time of the check-post. (b) If the idle time of the
check post is less than 10%, the check-post authorities will install a second gate.
Suggest whether a second gate is necessary ?
9. A hospital has an X-ray lab where patients (both in-patient and out-patient) arrive
at a rate of 5 per minute. Due to variation in requirement, the time taken for one
patient is 3 minutes and follows an exponential distribution. (a) What is the probability
that the system is busy? and (b) What is the probability that nobody is in the system?
10. In the production shop of a company breakdown of the machine is found to be
Poisson with an average rate of 3 machines per hour. Breakdown time at one
machine costs Rs. 40 per hour to the company. There are two choices before the
company for hiring the repairmen, one of the repairmen is slow but cheap, the
other is fast but expensive. The slow-cheap repairman demands Rs. 20 per hour
and will repair the breakdown machine exponentially at the rate of 4 per hour. The
fast expensive repairman demands Rs. 30 per hour and will repair exponentially on
an average rate of Rs.6 per hour. Which repairman should be hired?
Quantitative Techniques
for Home
Management
9.14 SUGGESTED READINGS
T.L. Satty, Elements of Queuing, New York McGraw Hill Theory.
Saved
A.M. Lee, Applied Queuing thoery.
Cooper, R.B., Introduction to Queuing theory, New York MacMillan Co.
Bestsellers
Morse, Philip M.Ques, Inventories & maintenance, New York John Wiley & Sons.
Panieo, J.A., Queuing Theory: A Study of Waiting Line of Business, Economics,
Books
Science, Englewood, No. 3, Prentice-Hall.
Bhat, U.N. “ The Value of Queuing Theory – A Rejoinder Interface, Vol. 8, No. 3
Audiobooks
pp. 27-78.
Byrd. J., The value of queuing & Interfaces, Vol. 8, No. 3, pp. 22-26.
Magazines
Render, B & Stain R.M., Cases & readings in quantitative analysis, Boston: Allyn &
Podcasts Bacon, 1982.
Graff G, “Simple Queuing thoery saves Unneccessary Equipment ” , Industrial
Sheet Music Engineering, Vol. 3.
Paul R.I., Stevens R.E. , Staffing service activities with waiting the models decision,
Snapshots Science, Vol. 2
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