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About IBISWorld
IBISWorld specializes in industry research with coverage on thousands of global industries. Our comprehensive
data and in-depth analysis help businesses of all types gain quick and actionable insights on industries around
the world. Busy professionals can spend less time researching and preparing for meetings, and more time
focused on making strategic business decisions that benefit you,your company and your clients. We offer
research on industries in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the UK, Ireland, China and Mexico,
as well as industries that are truly global in nature.
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Covid-19
Coronavirus IBISWorld's analysts constantly monitor the industry impacts of current events in
real-time – here is an update of how this industry is likely to be impacted as a result
Impact Update of the global COVID-19 pandemic:
· Profitability is expected to decline amid weak demand from food service and
restaurant establishments due to mandatory shutdowns and forced closures.
· The industry could be headed for a downward spiral of real production should
wholesale operations fail to efficiently get produce to market. As waste rises,
supply will shrink, causing prices to rise across the board. However, the industry will
be stuck producing a lower quantity of produce at a higher price point, a setback for
the economy to say the least.
Note: The content in this report is currently being updated to reflect the trends
outlined above.
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Carrot farming
Squash farming
Tomato farming
Melon farming
Mushroom farming
Potato farming
Potatoes
Sweet corn
Lettuce
Onions
Dry beans
Broccoli
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Supply Chain
SIMILAR INDUSTRIES
Soybean Farming in the US Corn Farming in the US Fruit & Nut Farming in the US Canned Fruit & Vegetable
Processing in the US
Under Cover Vegetable Outdoor Vegetable Growing Vegetable Growing in the UK Vegetable Farming in
Growing in Australia in Australia Canada
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Industry at a Glance
Key Statistics Key External Drivers % = 2015-2020 Annual Growth
$20.1bn 0.3%
Demand from fruit and vegetable
1.4%
Trade-weighted index
Revenue wholesaling
-13.3%
MIXED IMPACT
NEGATIVE IMPACT
40,803
Businesses Revenue Volatility Capital Intensity
High High
Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth
2015-2020 2020-2025 2015-2025 Barriers to Entry
Low
0.6% 0.5%
127k
Employment
-1.8% 0.6%
$2.1bn
Wages
0.7% 0.6%
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Key Trends
Consumers have become increasingly health-conscious,
which has helped push up per capita fruit and vegetable
consumption
Changes in consumer preferences have led supermarkets to
demand fresh produce year-round
Greenhouse crops are especially profitable because of their
consistently high quality, which makes them ideal for sale on
the fresh market
The numbers of both smaller local and larger commercial
farms have been growing
Increased health-consciousness among consumers is
expected to continue
Over the next five years, international trade conditions are
expected to reverse
Vegetable consumption will remain near current levels as
industry associations promote healthy eating through
marketing campaigns
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Vegetable Farming
Source: IBISWorld
STRENGTHS
Low Product/Service Concentration
WEAKNESSES
Low & Steady Barriers to Entry
High Volatility
High Imports
Low Profit vs. Sector Average
High Customer Class Concentration
Low Revenue per Employee
High Capital Requirements
OPPORTUNITIES
Trade-weighted index
THREATS
Low Revenue Growth (2005-2020)
Low Revenue Growth (2015-2020)
Low Outlier Growth
Low Revenue Growth (2020-2025)
Low Performance Drivers
Price of vegetables
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Rising per capita fruit and vegetable consumption has aided the industry, staving
off greater declines during the period. This has benefited the industry, as fresh
vegetables generally sell for more than double the price of processed vegetables
and yield higher profit for farmers. However, rising domestic availability has
prevented stronger increases in domestic prices, limiting revenue and profit gains
for industry operators during the period. Profit is expected to increase in 2020 along
with prices at the retail level, despite weakening demand due to a stressing of the
supply chain. Since supply cannot get to market fast enough, it is flooding at the
farm gate, driving returns for farmers down while retailers can increase prices,
leaving industry operators little chance to capitalize on current price growth.
Drastic changes are not expected within the industry over the five years to 2025.
Revenue is anticipated to return to growth at an annualized rate of 1.0% over the
five years to 2025, reaching $21.1 billion, largely driven by an expected 2.3%
increase in the price of vegetables in 2021 and a subsiding of current conditions
regarding the coronavirus outbreak. Vegetable consumption is expected to remain
near current levels as industry associations promote healthy eating through
marketing campaigns that tout the benefits of eating vegetables. Imports of
industry products are expected to diminish, reducing per capita availability and
pushing prices upward during the outlook period, while exports are also slated to
rise.
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Industry Performance
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Trade-weighted index
Since the industry's performance is increasingly reliant on imports and exports, the
value of the US dollar plays a significant role in determining industry revenue and
profitability. The trade-weighted index (TWI) represents the value of the US dollar
relative to foreign currencies. When the TWI decreases, industry products become
more affordable to foreign buyers. Conversely, when the TWI increases, industry
products become more expensive on the international market and imports become
less expensive on the domestic market. The TWI is expected to rise in 2020.
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Downward spiral
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industry products become more relatively scarce at the retail level due to supply
disruptions, retailers will raise prices to cover growing costs of procuring supply.
Should this trend exacerbate, it is expected that industry produce will rot, becoming
waste for industry farmers, and serving to further drive up prices at the retail level.
The long-term result is an overall lower quantity of production that will settle at a
permanently higher price level, eroding both consumer and producer surplus and
weakening overall demand. Furthermore, once demand growth recovers, prices will
fall as farmers ramp up production in the future, eroding future industry revenue
and profitability to an even greater extent.
Changes in consumer preferences over the past five years have also
led supermarkets and other retail outlets to demand fresh produce
year-round.
Since the greenhouse crops segment cannot adequately meet this demand,
international trade in the fresh market has grown. An additional factor behind the
rise in imports is the increasing tendency of vegetable processors to purchase
produce overseas, where prices are lower due to the widespread availability of low-
cost labor. As a result of these factors, coupled with the appreciation of the US
dollar, total imports are expected to grow at an annualized rate of 2.8% over the five
years to 2020, reaching $9.8 billion. Along the same lines, industry exports have
been constrained by the overall growing value of the US dollar; over the five years to
2020, the trade-weighted index (TWI), which measures the strength of the US dollar
against the currencies of major trading partners, has increased an annualized 1.2%.
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This increase has effectively made exports of US industry products more expensive
on international markets, tempering the expansion rate of export volumes. Overall,
industry exports are expected to have fallen at a meager annualized rate of 0.3% to
$3.2 billion over the past five years. While trade is a significant component,
accounting for 15.9% of industry revenue and satisfying 36.8% of domestic demand
in 2020, it is limited compared with other crops because the industry's primary
product is fresh produce. This factor limits the transportation radius, leading
Canada and Mexico combined to consistently account for more than 60.0% of
exports and over 80.0% of imports.
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Industry Outlook
Outlook The Vegetable Farming industry has plenty of room to grow.
Consumption needs to expand 25.0%
to reach US Department of
Agriculture (USDA)-recommended
levels. This, along with increasing
health awareness, could lead to a
surge in demand for vegetable
farmers. However, officials have
been promoting messages of this
nature for some time with slight
improvement in eating habits.
Consequently, per capita
consumption of vegetables is
expected to decline marginally over
the five years to 2025, falling an
annualized 0.1%. However, amid
steady demand from wholesalers
and full-service single-location
restaurants, the price of vegetables
is expected to increase an annualized 2.3% over the next five years. Whether these
increases will be reflected at the farm gate is unclear as a result of COVID-19
(coronavirus) roiling supply chain dynamics, but it is expected that industry price
trends will reverse somewhat, exhibiting some level of appreciation at the farm
gate. Over the five years to 2025, steady demand and expected product price
appreciation, coupled with an acceleration of industry exports, are expected to drive
industry revenue to increase at an annualized rate of 1.0% to total $21.1 billion.
International trade
Over the next five years, international trade conditions are expected
to reverse in line with the projected weakening of the US dollar.
This slight depreciation of the dollar is expected to aid domestic industry operators
by facilitating increases in export volumes and decreases in import volumes. As a
result, the value of exports is anticipated to increase an annualized 1.5% to $3.4
billion over the five years to 2025, while the value of imports is expected to fall,
declining an annualized 0.8% to just below $9.5 billion. Overall, it is expected that
rising export volumes, coupled with rising domestic prices due to declining
domestic availability, will be the primary driver of industry growth over the next five
years.
The expansion of greenhouse-grown crops may limit the effect of imported produce
on the domestic industry. By growing more crops under cover, farmers will provide
fresh vegetables even through the lower-yielding winter months, increasing
domestic availability and reducing reliance on imported goods. In this way,
downstream industries will not have to source their out-of-season vegetables from
foreign producers and can instead rely on domestic output. As a result of these
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Industry exports are significantly smaller than imports, accounting for a projected
16.3% of industry revenue in 2025. Due to the difficulty of transporting industry
products long distance, nearly 70.0% of exports go to either Canada or Mexico. As
the US dollar depreciates in value, US vegetables will be less expensive in foreign
markets, causing exports as a percentage of revenue to increase somewhat.
Additionally, over 80.0% of industry imports also come from Canada and Mexico
due to their geographic proximity to the United States and collective membership in
the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), the trade agreement built to
replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), if ratified. Typically,
most imported products will be destined for further processing, due to the
competitive price advantage.
Farm size
For the past decade, the numbers of both smaller local and larger
commercial farms have been growing.
According to the 2017 agriculture census (latest data available), between 2002 and
2017, the number of farms with more than 5,000 acres grew 3.0%, while the number
of farms with fewer than 0.9 acres grew 8.4%. This trend is expected to continue
over the five years to 2025, with medium-sized farms increasingly becoming larger
and new, smaller farms entering the industry to cater to the local, organic market.
As a result, the number of industry enterprises is anticipated to grow at an
annualized rate of 0.5% to 41,790 companies over the next five years.
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Industry Life Cycle The life cycle stage of this industry is Mature
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The Vegetable Farming industry's steady presence in the US economy points to its
maturity; industry products are an American staple, and it is very unlikely that they
will disappear any time soon. There is little room for innovation for industry
products; while genetically modified seeds and new growing techniques do affect
industry operations, the end product, vegetables, are constant and unlikely to
undergo any revolutionary changes over the five years to 2025. These are all
qualities of a mature industry. Additionally, the difficulty in transporting fresh
vegetables limits the threat of import penetration, further maintaining the need for
domestic vegetable farmers.
The industry's value added (IVA), which measures the industry's contribution to the
economy, is forecast to decline an annualized 2.6% over the 10 years to 2025.
Meanwhile, US GDP is projected to grow an annualized 1.4% during the period. In
general, any large fluctuations in the industry mirror conditions in the overall
economy, further pointing to the Vegetable Farming industry's maturity. Moreover,
an IVA statistic that lags behind the expected growth rate of GDP cements this
industry as mature. Declines in IVA during the current period have been exacerbated
by falling profitability and falling wages as a share of revenue, which are key
components of this statistic.
Lastly, due to the industry's many diverse segments, revenue and growth are
generally quite steady, with any drastic changes in a given segment being offset by
a contrasting movement in another. For example, consumers will simply respond to
a shortage in celery supplies by substituting carrots, rather than pay the higher
prices. The steady demand for vegetable products further indicates the industry's
maturity.
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Products and
Services
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However, there are yearly variations due to relative price fluctuations and crop-
specific production or supply shocks, such as regional droughts.
Vegetables can also be segmented into fresh market and processing varieties. The
majority of vegetable varieties grown for processing are better adapted to
mechanical harvesting. They tend to lack the characteristics desirable for fresh
market sale, so excess supply in the processing market cannot be used to meet
shortages in the fresh market and vice versa. For example, processing tomatoes
are generally smaller and softer, with different internal attributes that make them
optimal for sauces and juices. Processed vegetables make up an estimated half the
total harvest but less than 10.0% of industry revenue because of the lower prices
farmers receive for them. Processed vegetables' portion of revenue has been fairly
stable over the past decade but is subject to annual fluctuations.
Crops grown under cover are mainly used for distribution on the fresh market, as
they tend to be of higher quality and are available year-round. Tomatoes and
mushrooms are the main vegetables grown in greenhouses. Wider acceptance of
greenhouse tomatoes has led to a slight increase in their share of revenue over the
five years to 2020. However, since all greenhouse crops account for only a small
portion of overall industry revenue, this growth has been marginal overall.
The other vegetables category includes all remaining vegetable varieties, such as
asparagus, mushrooms, cabbage, carrots, celery, green peas, sweet peppers and
others. Herbs and spices are also part of this industry's products, mainly grown in
greenhouses. Overall, other vegetable products are expected to account for 37.1%
of industry revenue in 2020.
Dietary trends
Price
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Smaller increases in price can have a positive effect on the Vegetable Farming
industry by maintaining the same level of demand while achieving a higher price per
unit. However, large increases in the price of industry produce will often constrain
demand and encourage consumption of alternative foods. Prices can increase
sharply when adverse weather conditions cause substantial deadfalls in production.
Retailers and wholesalers often try to smooth out falls in production by importing
fresh produce or dedicating more acreage for under-cover growth. This demand
determinant could become more significant in 2020 as COVID-19 (coronavirus)
causes bottlenecking in the distribution supply chain, which will drive prices up at
the retail level due to relative scarcity, while industry products pile up at the farm
gate. Overall, as prices rise, some consumers may be persuaded to forego
purchases of some product segments or cause them to substitute.
Household incomes
Exchange rates
Product attributes
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Major Markets
The US market for vegetables and melons can be divided into several segments,
including supermarkets and retail outlets, vegetable processors, food service
industries, fresh produce wholesalers and farmer's markets. Furthermore, the
export market comprises a significant share of revenue for the Vegetable Farming
industry.
Fresh markets
Markets for fresh produce are expected to account for 50.1% of industry revenue in
2020. Supermarkets and other grocery stores are often the primary outlet for fresh
produce, but within this segment is also food service-related industries. Most
vegetables are sent to a packing shed, where they are washed, graded and
packaged. They are then transported either directly to the distribution centers of
large retailers or food service chains, or to wholesale markets. Smaller retail and
food service outlets will usually purchase their vegetables from these markets.
Changes in the preferences of large supermarket chains have a substantial
influence on farmers. Over the five years to 2020, large retailers such as Walmart
Inc. and Safeway Inc. have sourced their produce directly from farmers to cut
purchasing costs, thereby avoiding wholesaler markups. Additionally, this has put
some downward pressure on prices because large retailers have substantial
bargaining power. Overall, the fresh segment has increased marginally in 2020,
though is well within normal ranges.
Processing markets
Vegetables that are grown for processing, are usually harvested mechanically and
transported in bulk containers to processing plants. Many of these vegetables are
grown under long-term contracts between farmers and processors. As processing
has now been extended to the fresh market through prepackaged salads and ready-
to-eat vegetable packs, contract sales are becoming more common throughout the
industry, and this segment's share of industry revenue has slightly increased.
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However, the majority of industry revenue comes from fresh vegetable segments,
which compete directly with the processed vegetable segment. In 2020, vegetable
processors are estimated to account for a combined 34.0% of industry revenue,
while canning vegetable account for 27.6% of industry revenue and frozen
vegetables account for 6.4% of industry revenue in 2020.
Exports
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it is unlikely that it will rise to levels of other crop agriculture industries due to the
limited number of opportunities and players. Imports currently capture 36.8% of
domestic demand, and exports account for 15.9% of industry revenue.
Imports
Over the five years to 2020, import values have grown at an annualized rate of 2.8%
to an estimated $9.8 billion. An appreciating US dollar, high consumer demand for
year-round fresh vegetable availability and an ever-expanding American palate has
created demand for foreign produce. The main sources of imports into this industry
are Mexico, Canada, Peru and Guatemala. The low labor cost in many of these
countries makes lower-cost fruit available domestically, which also spurs demand
from downstream industries. Mexico is the largest exporter of vegetables to the
United States, while Canada is largest exporter of dry peas, beans and mushrooms.
Exports
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Business
Locations Business Concentration in the United States
WA
MT ME
ND
VT
OR MN
NH
ID WI
SD NY MA
WY MI CT RI
IA PA
NV NJ
NE
OH MD
IL IN DC DE
UT
CO WV VA
KS MO
CA KY
NC
AZ TN
OK
NM SC
AR
AL GA
MS
TX LA
FL
AK
0 28 56 84
Historically, vegetable and melon farms have been established on urban fringes.
However, the rising values of metropolitan land and encroachment by housing
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Most varieties of vegetable and melon can be grown in a wide range of climatic
conditions. However, commercial production, especially for the fresh markets,
tends to be concentrated in temperate climates that produce the best quality and
highest profit margins. As a result, large producers are predominately located in
states such as California (43.0% of industry establishments) and Florida (7.5%),
which make up more than two-thirds of the Vegetable Farming industry's revenue
while comprising over half of total production volume.
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Competitive Landscape
Market Share Concentration in this industry is Low
Concentration
The majority of farms, including those
growing vegetables and melons, are small,
family-run enterprises. Farmers generally
own and operate their farms,
supplementing family labor with hired
hands only during key periods, such as
harvesting season. On the other end of the
spectrum, nearly 6.0% of farms are
commercial farms that dominate the
Vegetable Farming industry in terms of
acreage and revenue. Even so, the
production value is dispersed such that no
single farm receives a large proportion of
the industry's total revenue. The
distribution of employment is linked
closely to production values, with the few
commercial mega-farms employing the vast majority of laborers.
The number of farms operating in the various segments of the Vegetable Farming
industry changes each year as farmers relocate and pursue the best returns.
However, the total number of farms growing vegetables and melons is relatively
stable. Meanwhile, average harvested acreage per farm has been trending up at a
slow rate. Newer technologies are enabling farmers to leave less of their lands
fallow or in a state of recovery each year, improving their productivity and bottom
line. Notably, consolidation has not been an emerging factor in this industry to the
same extent as it has in many other crop industries. This is likely the result of the
presence of cooperatives, which enable farmers to realize many of the benefits of
economies of scale by pooling resources. Concentration is not expected to be
particularly affected by the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak.
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Key Success IBISWorld identifies 250 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this
Factors industry are:
Economies of scale: Reducing average costs by spreading fixed costs over larger
production volumes enables field and greenhouse vegetable growers to be more
competitive. These lower per-unit costs enable farmers to widen profit without raising
prices.
Production of premium produce: Farmers who produce premium vegetables and melons
can find buyers in the fresh produce market where prices are highest (compared with the
processing market). Premium goods can also generate brand loyalty.
Ability to alter goods and services produced in favor of market conditions: The
ability to alter the balance between different food crops in response to changes in market
conditions is important for a farm's viability. Farmers need to be able to change their
production mix to maximize farm returns.
Establishment of export markets: The ability to identify and market vegetable harvests
to customers overseas reduces a farmer's dependence on the local market.
Appropriate physical growing conditions: The presence of fertile soils and other
appropriate growing conditions play a critical role in shaping the success of growing
vegetables and melons. Growing conditions influence harvest levels and crop quality.
Availability of irrigation water: Water access issues can affect the quality of vegetable
harvests and the area of land devoted to vegetable growing.
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
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Profit
Wages
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Purchases
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Depreciation
Marketing
Rent
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Utilities
Other Costs
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contract with a processing plant, which will prefer to buy produce at the lowest cost
possible. This factor is likely to become more prominent as a line of competition as
a result of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak, since cost will be more of a factor
when consumers decide to purchase industry products.
Quality
Variety
Branding
External competition
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Outside the United States, the industry competes with food producers in other
regions such as the European Union, South America and Asia. The key factors
affecting world demand for vegetables and melons are the same as the variables
driving domestic demand. However, foreign exchange effects, foreign supplies and
variances in per capita consumption of vegetables and melons in other parts of the
world also affect the global market. Moreover, since it is difficult to transport and
maintain fresh produce over long distances, the Vegetable Farming industry is
insulated somewhat from import competition, on a broad basis. The industry still
must contend with trade conditions primarily concerning Mexico and Canada,
fellow members of the North American Free Trade Agreement.
Barriers to Entry Barriers to entry in this industry are Low and Steady
The difficulty in obtaining contracts with downstream markets may also deter new
operators. Farmers who grow vegetables for processing usually operate under long-
term agreements with food manufacturers, which buy the crop according to
predetermined conditions (based either on price or on volume). New entrants into
the industry may find it difficult to establish such a contract, unless they can offer
benefits to their clients. Competition within the food manufacturing industry is
fierce, and companies buy their vegetables wherever they can get the best price,
whether within the United States or overseas.
Smaller farms that produce organic produce to be sold in local markets will have a
much easier time entering the industry. As is the case in most industries, local
markets are more receptive to new products and are often willing to pay a premium
for locally grown goods. Local farms can often sell their products directly to
downstream retailers, including restaurants, or directly to consumers via farmers
markets or food co-ops.
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Major Companies
Major Players THERE ARE NO MAJOR PLAYERS IN THIS INDUSTRY
Other Players The presence of many small farms, with very few operating as companies,
characterizes the Vegetable Farming industry. Additionally, smaller growers
sometimes pool resources with other producers to form processing or wholesaling
businesses to take advantage of collective bargaining structures. Often, these
structures are formed as cooperatives that serve the interests of a group of
growers in a particular region or state.
BOLTHOUSE FARMS
Monterey Mushrooms' Fresh Division carries out the mushroom growing. This
operating arm includes nine mushroom farming facilities located in California,
Florida, Illinois, Texas, Tennessee and Pennsylvania, along with a further two
facilities in Mexico and Canada. Fresh mushrooms represent the majority of the
company's sales. Its line of mushrooms includes varieties such as portobello,
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shiitake, oyster and baby bella. The company also produces and markets value-
added mushroom products, including fresh marinated mushrooms and a range of
microwaveable mushroom and sauce products. The company has been able to
increase revenue in recent years due to upticks in the average selling price of
mushrooms during the period, while results in 2020 have been poropelled by rising
consumer demand for fresh produce.
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Operating Conditions
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The industry has a high rate of new patent technologies combined with moderately
concentrated focus of patent types. New technology entering the industry increases
the likelihood of discontinuous innovations. This presents a technology focus
whereby new activity has a moderate potential to enter through less high-end areas.
The major markets for this industry are highly concentrated, which implies that the
market has a focus on key customer segments. This presents an opportunity for
strategic entrance into lower-end markets or unserved markets for innovations to
take on a disruptive trajectory.
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In the greenhouse segment of this industry, technology is much more heavily used.
Mushroom seeds must be produced in a sterile environment such as a laboratory.
Sterile cereal grains are used to produce mushroom spawn, which can then be
sown like seed. Spawn is sown onto compost, which is placed on trays stored in
cool rooms. Extensive computerized systems are used to monitor each point in
production. Similarly, growers of greenhouse tomatoes also use advanced
techniques. Most commonly used are glass greenhouses with active climate
control systems and hydroponics. Glass is preferred over plastic because it
maximizes the effect of winter sun and makes it easier to control temperatures.
Hydroponics involves the cultivation of plants in nutrient solution rather than in soil.
One of the major problems experienced by the industry is the rapid build-up of
resistance by pests and diseases to the available chemical treatments, and the
increasing restrictions on the use of those chemical treatments. A possible solution
to this has been provided through genetically modified (GM) seeds. Not only has
this led to better resistance to diseases for many plants, it has meant a more-even
crop, which has boosted yields. However, US farmers still contend with strong
resistance to GM seeds in consumer markets, and this will take considerable time
to change. Opposition is strongest in the European Union, where legislators placed
a moratorium on GM field crops from the United States. Although this was found to
be against World Trade Organization regulations in 2006 and opposition has
softened, there is still no widespread consumer acceptance. Greenhouse crops,
however, are not yet grown through the GM method because they are protected
from a majority of pests and weather-related dangers.
Additionally, more recently, there has been a push for more precision agriculture
methods such as auto-steering tractors, GPS guided planters and drone technology.
Currently this technology is not widespread as it its highly expensive, but adoption
rates should increase in the future as the benefits of such capital outlays become
apparent to industry operators.
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Note: Revenue growth and decline reflective of 5-year annualized trend. Y-axis is in
logarithmic scale. Y-axis crosses at long-run GDP. X-axis crosses at high volatility
threshold.
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including enforcing product quality standards, regulating the flow of product to the
market, standardizing packages and containers, creating reserve pools for storable
commodities and authorizing production and marketing research and advertising.
In addition, farmers are required to comply with the general regulation applying to
the farm sector as a whole. All growers must comply with stringent food safety and
disease prevention standards set out by the Food and Drug Administration.
Vegetable growers must comply with regulations at the county, state and federal
level. At the county level, farms must comply with zoning bylaws and use land that
has been approved for vegetable growing. Most states operate agricultural
departments that act as regulatory agencies. These authorities monitor pollution
levels associated with farming. This typically involves the regulation of the
discharge of materials such as waste into the environment, chemical usage and
odor control.
The 2018 farm bill does not present any drastic changes to industry
regulation or assistance, though some methods of crop insurance
and payment methods have been streamlined.
Perhaps the most drastic change between this iteration of the Farm Bill and its
previous version is that funding for specialty crops has risen 55.0%, which includes
increased funding for fruit and vegetable farmers. It is expected that the new Farm
Bill will increase demand for fruits and vegetables via spending initiatives and an
expected $1.0 billion in purchases of crops for public schools and service
institutions.
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The policies regarding crop insurance, which are federally supported and cover
more than 120 different crops, will remain largely unchanged, though price
thresholds can now be pegged to a national benchmark or a regional benchmark.
Should prices for a given product fall below 80.0% of the peg, government
assistance and insurance programs will be paid out.
Additionally, the farm bill promotes several programs that aim to funnel money into
the Vegetable Farming industry. These programs include the $400.0 million for crop
research, $375.0 million for block grants, $200.0 million for farmers markets and
local food promotion programs, 167.5 million for organic agriculture and up to 140
million for the Food Insecurity Nutrition Incentive. Overall, the 2018 Farm Bill does
not structurally depart from the 2015 version, though payment systems have been
streamlined and funding has been increased.
Overall, however, it is not expected that this version of the bill will give struggling
farmers the relief they need. The mandates of this bill largely leave issues such as
fair pricing, supply management programs, the rising instance of contract growing
and climate change unaddressed.
Existing policies
In the international market, US vegetable farms benefit from export programs, such
as the Market Access Program. This program provides matching grants to
commodity marketing boards and cooperatives to help expand markets overseas
for US agricultural products. The National Potato Promotion Board is a major
beneficiary of this program.
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of mushrooms; however, imports from Canada (which account for over 80.0% of
imported mushrooms) are free from tariffs under USMCA.
Industry organizations
CARES Act
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Primarily, these funds will be issued to the Small Business Administration (SBA),
which is offering qualifying companies Paycheck Protection Plan loans, of which
80.0% of SBA funding must be used for covering employee paychecks. However,
only companies with over 500 individuals are eligible, which indicates that not many
industry farmers will be eligible to receive SBA paycheck protection loans.
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Key Statistics
Industry Data
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic Price of
Demand vegetables
($m) ($m) (Units) (Units) (People) ($m) ($m) ($m) ($m) (Index)
2011 20,560 4,735 42,527 38,127 132,876 3,280 7,598 1,939 24,878 100.0
2012 19,940 4,949 43,021 38,551 135,642 3,091 7,444 1,639 24,292 91.9
2013 21,935 7,363 43,472 38,902 136,412 3,279 8,387 2,493 27,042 104
2014 20,941 7,578 43,934 39,256 138,694 3,258 8,336 2,008 26,019 103
2015 22,264 6,430 44,375 39,614 138,496 3,236 8,547 2,022 27,575 109
2016 21,152 5,762 44,800 39,974 137,778 3,280 9,568 2,229 27,440 104
2017 21,772 5,738 45,165 40,339 135,361 3,335 9,347 1,798 27,784 114
2018 19,227 4,435 45,783 40,890 133,467 3,268 9,589 1,993 25,548 107
2019 20,814 4,802 46,114 41,186 129,827 3,321 9,976 2,158 27,468 122
2020 20,051 4,689 45,608 40,803 126,597 3,193 9,820 2,099 26,678 124
2021 20,254 4,734 45,877 41,033 127,317 3,239 9,758 2,112 26,773 127
2022 20,462 4,779 46,132 41,249 128,004 3,293 9,664 2,126 26,833 130
2023 20,667 4,816 46,366 41,446 128,688 3,342 9,594 2,139 26,918 133
2024 20,870 4,878 46,579 41,624 129,386 3,392 9,523 2,153 27,001 136
2025 21,077 4,948 46,781 41,790 130,172 3,443 9,452 2,168 27,086 139
Annual Change
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic Price of
Demand vegetables
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
2011 3.51 -20.8 1 1 1 4.07 7.42 -10.4 4.61 -3.39
2012 -3.02 4.51 1 1 2 -5.76 -2.04 -15.5 -2.36 -8.10
2013 10.0 48.8 1 1 1 6.07 12.7 52.1 11.3 12.9
2014 -4.54 2.93 1 1 2 -0.67 -0.61 -19.4 -3.78 -0.49
2015 6.31 -15.2 1 1 -0 -0.66 2.53 0.68 5.98 5.32
2016 -5.00 -10.4 1 1 -1 1.35 11.9 10.2 -0.49 -4.51
2017 2.93 -0.41 1 1 -2 1.67 -2.32 -19.4 1.25 9.43
2018 -11.7 -22.7 1 1 -1 -2.03 2.59 10.9 -8.05 -5.72
2019 8.25 8.27 1 1 -3 1.64 4.03 8.25 7.52 13.5
2020 -3.67 -2.36 -1 -1 -2 -3.86 -1.57 -2.73 -2.88 2.20
2021 1.01 0.96 1 1 1 1.43 -0.63 0.65 0.36 2.32
2022 1.02 0.94 1 1 1 1.67 -0.97 0.63 0.22 2.29
2023 1.00 0.77 1 0 1 1.49 -0.74 0.63 0.32 2.25
2024 0.98 1.27 0 0 1 1.48 -0.74 0.62 0.31 2.25
2025 0.99 1.44 0 0 1 1.49 -0.75 0.68 0.31 2.25
Key Ratios
Year IVA/Revenue Imports/Demand Exports/Revenue Revenue per Wages/Revenue Employees per Average Wage
Employee estab.
(%) (%) (%) ($'000) (%)
2011 23.0 30.5 16.0 155 9.43 3.12 14,591
2012 24.8 30.6 15.5 147 8.22 3.15 12,082
2013 33.6 31.0 14.9 161 11.4 3.14 18,276
2014 36.2 32.0 15.6 151 9.59 3.16 14,479
2015 28.9 31.0 14.5 161 9.08 3.12 14,599
2016 27.2 34.9 15.5 154 10.5 3.08 16,180
2017 26.4 33.6 15.3 161 8.26 3.00 13,280
2018 23.1 37.5 17.0 144 10.4 2.92 14,933
2019 23.1 36.3 16.0 160 10.4 2.82 16,618
2020 23.4 36.8 15.9 158 10.5 2.78 16,578
2021 23.4 36.4 16.0 159 10.4 2.78 16,592
2022 23.4 36.0 16.1 160 10.4 2.77 16,609
2023 23.3 35.6 16.2 161 10.4 2.78 16,625
2024 23.4 35.3 16.3 161 10.3 2.78 16,639
2025 23.5 34.9 16.3 162 10.3 2.78 16,652
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Liquidity Ratios April 2015 - April 2016 - April 2017 - April 2018 - Small (< Medium Large (>
March 2016 March 2017 March 2018 March 2019 $10m) ($10m-50m) $50m)
Current Ratio 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.4
Quick Ratio 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.2 0.7
Sales / Receivables (Trade Receivables Turnover) 14.2 13.6 13.0 10.3 12.3 8.8 10.1
Days' Receivables 25.7 26.8 28.1 35.4 29.7 41.5 36.1
Cost of Sales / Inventory (Inventory Turnover) 13.6 23.0 16.2 13.0 566.7 38.3 9.5
Days' Inventory 26.8 15.9 22.5 28.1 0.6 9.5 38.4
Cost of Sales / Payables (Payables Turnover) 16.9 22.6 19.4 17.2 95.1 22.8 9.9
Days' Payables 21.6 16.2 18.8 21.2 3.8 16.0 36.9
Sales / Working Capital 15.2 22.3 18.0 15.8 23.1 11.2 16.5
Coverage Ratios
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) / Interest 6.7 3.8 4.1 1.8 1.0 2.5 1.2
Net Profit + Dep., Depletion, Amort. / Current 3.9 2.2 3.0 3.9
Maturities LT Debt
Leverage Ratios
Fixed Assets / Net Worth 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 2.4 1.1 0.9
Debt / Net Worth 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 5.9 1.5 1.3
Tangible Net Worth 30.5 29.5 28.3 31.4 4.9 41.3 40.6
Operating Ratios
Profit before Taxes / Net Worth, % 16.9 16.5 12.2 7.0 11.6 7.0 3.5
Profit before Taxes / Total Assets, % 7.0 6.5 4.1 1.8 0.1 2.4 0.3
Sales / Net Fixed Assets 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.0 4.8 3.9 6.4
Sales / Total Assets (Asset Turnover) 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.8
Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (% of sales)
Cash from Trading 26.1 21.6 18.4 17.6 24.7 15.6 16.1
Cash after Operations 6.5 7.1 3.3 4.2 3.2 4.5 4.2
Net Cash after Operations 6.9 7.1 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.1
Cash after Debt Amortization 3.5 3.4 1.2 0.2 -1.3 1.6 0.3
Debt Service P&I Coverage 2.4 2.8 1.9 2.2 1.0 2.5 2.0
Interest Coverage (Operating Cash) 6.7 8.0 5.9 6.4 4.8 6.5 6.8
Assets, %
Cash & Equivalents 10.9 9.9 10.3 8.3 12.3 9.6 4.1
Trade Receivables (net) 15.5 15.8 17.2 20.9 17.0 23.2 21.3
Inventory 15.0 14.7 13.6 15.2 18.0 10.1 18.6
All Other Current Assets 5.4 3.5 6.3 5.4 1.9 5.2 8.3
Total Current Assets 46.8 43.8 47.4 49.9 49.2 48.1 52.3
Fixed Assets (net) 41.1 41.0 39.6 38.4 37.6 41.2 36.1
Intangibles (net) 4.5 6.0 6.1 4.9 6.2 4.2 4.8
All Other Non-Current Assets 7.5 9.1 7.0 6.8 7.0 6.6 6.8
Total Assets 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Total Assets ($m) 3,893.8 4,295.5 4,017.8 3,709.6 112.3 816.3 2,781.1
Liabilities, %
Notes Payable-Short Term 9.8 15.8 12.5 12.9 19.2 10.9 10.4
Current Maturities L/T/D 4.8 3.3 4.6 3.3 4.7 2.8 2.7
Trade Payables 11.7 10.6 12.3 12.2 7.2 14.1 13.9
Income Taxes Payable 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
All Other Current Liabilities 7.6 7.0 10.1 7.0 11.4 3.9 7.1
Total Current Liabilities 34.2 37.0 39.5 35.5 42.5 31.7 34.2
Long Term Debt 24.4 22.8 23.1 22.3 32.1 18.8 18.6
Deferred Taxes 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.8
All Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.6 4.3 2.5 5.3 14.3 3.0 0.9
Net Worth 35.0 35.5 34.4 36.3 11.1 45.5 45.4
Total Liabilities & Net Worth ($m) 3,893.8 4,295.5 4,017.8 3,709.6 112.3 816.3 2,781.1
Maximum No. of Statements Used 120.0 121.0 119.0 90.0 24.0 34.0 32.0
Source: RMA Annual Statement Studies, rmahq.org. RMA data for all industries is derived directly from more than 260,000 statements of member
financial institution's borrowers and prospects.
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Additional Resources
Additional USDA Economic Research Service
Resources http://www.ers.usda.gov
AgWeb
http://www.agweb.com
COOPERATIVE
An organization owned and operated for the benefit of those using its services. In
agriculture, cooperatives often span several levels of the supply chain.
GENETICALLY MODIFIED
Refers to a plant or animal that has had its genomes modified through genetic engineering
techniques involving the transfer of genetic material from one organism to another.
CAPITAL INTENSITY
Compares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with
that spent on labor. IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital
intensity. High capital intensity is more than $0.333 of capital to $1 of labor; medium is
$0.125 to $0.333 of capital to $1 of labor; low is less than $0.125 of capital for every $1 of
labor.
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CONSTANT PRICES
The dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation
using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of
changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the "real" growth or decline in
industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the US
Bureau of Economic Analysis’ implicit GDP price deflator.
DOMESTIC DEMAND
Spending on industry goods and services within the United States, regardless of their
country of origin. It is derived by adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting
exports.
EMPLOYMENT
The number of permanent, part-time, temporary and seasonal employees, working
proprietors, partners, managers and executives within the industry.
ENTERPRISE
A division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise
consists of one or more establishments that are under common ownership or control.
ESTABLISHMENT
The smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single
physical location where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are
performed. Multiple establishments under common control make up an enterprise.
EXPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services sold by US companies to customers abroad.
IMPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in
the United States.
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
An indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is
considered high if the top players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium
is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less than 40%.
INDUSTRY REVENUE
The total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies
on production; all other operating income from outside the firm (such as commission
income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and capital work
done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed
tangible assets are excluded.
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INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to
domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 20%, and high
is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 35%,
and high is more than 35%.
LIFE CYCLE
All industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an
industry's life cycle by considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP;
the growth rate of the number of establishments; the amount of change the industry's
products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of customer
acceptance of industry products and services.
NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENT
Businesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are
mostly set up by self-employed individuals.
PROFIT
IBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s
profitability. It is calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax.
REGIONS
West | CA, NV, OR, WA, HI, AK
Southeast | VA, WV, KY, TN, AR, LA, MS, AL, GA, FL, SC, NC
VOLATILITY
The level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of
the past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to
±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%; and low volatility is less than ±3%.
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WAGES
The gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry.
54 IBISWorld.com
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