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Vietnam
Korean
WW II
WW I
OIF
Cold War
1% 22% <2% <3% 41% 15% 10% 6.8% <6% 3.5% <5.7% GDP
• DETERRENCE …
COLLECTIVE DEFENSE
• CRISIS MANAGEMENT
• COOPERATIVE SECURITY
ASSESS
Organize Train Equip Deploy Employ
FIND
FIX
TRACK
TARGET ENGAGE
Emerging Threats Emerging Warfighting Concepts Emerging Technology
• BMD • Joint All Domain Command & Control • Hypersonics
• Cruise Missiles (JADC2) • Directed Energy
• Small UAS • Air Base Air Defense • (FNC3) Fully Networked
• A2/AD … Contested • EW Command, Control &
N
• Space Communications
• Cyber • AI/Machine Learning
• China • Quantum Science
• Microelectronics
Arctic • Autonomy
Realities
Power … NATO potential power is not
W E
real power
Sea Lanes Russia
S
Transition … Prompt consensus is
pivotal, collective defence … decisive
Threat … The enemy has a vote and
could choose war
Force … NATO forces must be ready, Immigration
deployable and sustainable Terrorism
QUESTIONS
• Replace the current peacetime standing mission of air
policing with air defense