Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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PMBA8155 Operations Management
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Learning Objectives
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Understand Process Capability
Calculate and interpret process capability indexes: Cp and Cpk ___________________________________
Understand the Technical Meaning of Six-Sigma
Quality ___________________________________
Understand Common and Special Variations ___________________________________
Traditional vs. Taguchi’s View on Cost of
Variation ___________________________________
Construct and Interpret Control Charts
P-chart
X-bar and R charts
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Why Statistical Quality Control?
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Variations in Manufacturing/Service Processes
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Any process has some variations: common and/or
special ___________________________________
Variations are causes for quality problems
If a process is stable (no special variation), it is able to ___________________________________
produce product/service consistently
As variation is reduced, quality is improved ___________________________________
Statistics is the only science that is dedicated to
dealing with variations.
Measure, monitor, and reduce variations in the process
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Role of Statistics
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“Without statistical process control, today’s high-density
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semi-conductor chips cannot be built. They can be
invented, but they cannot be built.”
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-- Thurow, L. C. (1993)
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“The use of statistical methods has become deeply
rooted in Japan…. Japan’s advance in productivity cannot ___________________________________
be dissociated from the use of statistical methods. It was
through these that the quality level has risen, reliability
has risen, and cost has fallen.”
-- Ishikawa, K. (1985)
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Role of Statistics
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“Our approach to quality has to be scientific, evidence-
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based. We need control charts and biostatisticians. This
is the science of healthcare delivery”
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--Dr. Stephen Swensen, Mayo Clinic (2008)
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Types of Variation
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Cost of Variation: ___________________________________
Traditional vs. Taguchi’s View
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High High ___________________________________
Incremental Incremental
Cost of Cost of ___________________________________
Variability Variability
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Zero Zero
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Lower Target Upper Lower Target Upper
Spec Spec Spec Spec Spec Spec
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Process Capability
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The ability of a process to meet product ___________________________________
design/technical specifications
Design specifications for products (Tolerances) ___________________________________
upper and lower tolerance limits (UTL, LTL)
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Process variability in production process
natural variation in process (3 from the mean)
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Process may not be capable of meeting
specifications if natural variation in a process
exceeds allowable variation (tolerances)
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Process Capability ___________________________________
Illustrations
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(a) (b)
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specification specification
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natural variation natural variation
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(c) (d)
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specification specification
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Process width
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A simple ratio:
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Specification Width
Actual “Process Width”
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Process Capability Index: ___________________________________
Cp -- Measure of Potential Capability
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allowable process variation UTL LTL
Cp
actual process variation 6 ___________________________________
LTL UTL
Cp > 1
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Cp = 1 ___________________________________
Cp < 1
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Process Capability Index: ___________________________________
Cpk -- Measure of Actual Capability
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Example ___________________________________
Back to The Cereal Box
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We are the maker of this cereal. Consumer Reports has
just published an article that shows that we frequently ___________________________________
have less than 15 ounces of cereal in a box.
Let’s assume that the government says that we must be
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within ± 5 percent of the weight advertised on the box.
Upper Tolerance Limit = 16 + .05(16) = 16.8 ounces
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Lower Tolerance Limit = 16 – .05(16) = 15.2 ounces
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We go out and buy 1,000 boxes of cereal and find that
they weight an average of 15.875 ounces with a
standard deviation of .529 ounces.
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Cereal Box Example
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Process Capability (Cp)
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Tolerance Limits Observed Weight
Mean = 15.875 oz ___________________________________
UTL = 16.8 oz
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Cereal Box Example
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Process Capability (Cpk)
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Tolerance Limits Observed Weight
Mean = 15.875 oz ___________________________________
UTL = 16.8 oz
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Cereal Box Example
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Interpreting the Results
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Cp = 0.5041 < 1, indicating that process ___________________________________
variation is too much
Cpk = 0.4253, which is less than Cp, ___________________________________
suggesting that the process center has ___________________________________
shifted (to the left side)
Many companies look for a Cpk of 1.3 or ___________________________________
better. 6-Sigma companies want 2.0!
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Process Capability and Six Sigma
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Process A has ___________________________________
Cp=Cpk=1, a
three-sigma level ___________________________________
with 2700 DPMO
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Process B has
Cp=Cpk=2, a six- ___________________________________
sigma level with
2 DPBO
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Statistical ___________________________________
Process Control ___________________________________
On-line quality control tool used when the
product/service is being produced ___________________________________
Purpose: prevent systematic quality problems
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Procedure
Take periodic random samples from a process ___________________________________
Plot the sample statistics on control chart(s)
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Determine if the process is under control
If the process is under control, do nothing
If the process is out of control, investigate and fix the
cause
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Statistical Process Control
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Types Of Data
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Attribute data (go/no go values) ___________________________________
Quality characteristic evaluated about
whether it meets the required specifications ___________________________________
Good/bad, yes/no
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Variable data (continuous values)
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Quality characteristic that can be measured
Length, size, weight, height, time, velocity
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Statistical Process Control
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Control Charts ___________________________________
Charts for attributes ___________________________________
p-chart (for proportions)
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c-chart (for counts)
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Charts for variables
X-chart (for means)
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R-chart (for ranges)
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Control Chart
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General Structure
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Out-of-control signal
Upper
control ___________________________________
limit (UCL)
Process ___________________________________
target or
average ___________________________________
Lower ___________________________________
control
limit (LCL)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample number
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A Process Is In Control If ...
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No sample points outside control limits ___________________________________
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Common Out-of-control Signs
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One observation
outside the limits ___________________________________
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Sample observations
consistently below or
above the average ___________________________________
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Sample observations
consistently decrease
or increase
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Control Charts for Attributes
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p-charts
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UCL = p + zs p
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LCL = p - zs p
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p = Averageproportion of defectivesin the sample
Total Number of Defectives ___________________________________
=
Total Number of Observations
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p (1 - p )
sp =
n
n sample size
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1. Calculate the sample proportion, p, for ___________________________________
each sample.
Sample ___________________________________
Sample Size Defectives p
1 100 4 0.04
2 100 2 0.02 ___________________________________
p-chart 3
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100
100
5
3
0.05
0.03 ___________________________________
Example 5
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100
100
6
4
0.06
0.04
7 100 3 0.03
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8 100 7 0.07
9 100 1 0.01 ___________________________________
10 100 2 0.02
11 100 3 0.03
12 100 2 0.02
13 100 2 0.02
14 100 8 0.08
15 100 3 0.03
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2. Calculate the average of the sample proportions.
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p= = 0.0367
1500 ___________________________________
3. Calculate the sample standard deviation.
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p (1 - p ) .0367(1 - .0367)
sp = = = .0188 ___________________________________
n 100
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4. Calculate the control limits (where Z=3).
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UCL = p + Z sp = .0367 3(.0188)= .0931
LCL = p - Z sp = .0367 - 3(.0188)= - 0.0197 0
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p-Chart Example (Continued)
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5. Plot the individual sample proportions, the
average of the proportions, and the control limits ___________________________________
0.1
UCL ___________________________________
0.08
0.06 ___________________________________
p
0.04 CL ___________________________________
0.02
0 LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ob s e r vatio n
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Control Charts For Variables ___________________________________
X-bar charts and R-charts
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x Chart Control Limits R Chart Control Limits
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UCL = x + A 2 R UCL = D4 R
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LCL = D3 R
LCL = x - A 2 R
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Where X = average of sample means = Xi / m
R = average of sample ranges = Ri / m ___________________________________
Xi = mean of sample i, i = 1,2,…,m
Ri = range of sample i, i = 1,2,…,m
m = total number of samples
A2, D3, and D4 are constants given in Exhibit 9A.6
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X-bar and R Charts
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Example
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Observation Sample Sample
Sample 1 2 3 4 5 Mean (Xi) Range (Ri)
1 10.682 10.689 10.776 10.798 10.714 10.732 0.116 ___________________________________
2 10.787 10.860 10.601 10.746 10.779 10.755 0.259
3 10.780 10.667 10.838 10.785 10.723 10.759 0.171
4 10.591 10.727 10.812 10.775 10.730 10.727 0.221 ___________________________________
5 10.693 10.708 10.790 10.758 10.671 10.724 0.119
6 10.749 10.714 10.738 10.719 10.606 10.705 0.143
7 10.791 10.713 10.689 10.877 10.603 10.735 0.274 ___________________________________
8 10.744 10.779 10.110 10.737 10.750 10.624 0.669
9 10.769 10.773 10.641 10.644 10.725 10.710 0.132
10 10.718 10.671 10.708 10.850 10.712 10.732 0.179 ___________________________________
11 10.787 10.821 10.764 10.658 10.708 10.748 0.163
12 10.622 10.802 10.818 10.872 10.727 10.768 0.250
13 10.657 10.822 10.893 10.544 10.750 10.733 0.349
14 10.806 10.749 10.859 10.801 10.701 10.783 0.158
15 10.660 10.681 10.644 10.747 10.728 10.692 0.103
Overall Averages 10.728 0.220
X R
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X-bar and R Charts ___________________________________
Example
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Exhibit 9A.6
n A2 D3 D4 ___________________________________
2 1.88 0 3.27
Since n=5, from Exhibit 3 1.02 0 2.57 ___________________________________
9A.6, we find 4 0.73 0 2.28
A2=0.58 5 0.58 0 2.11 ___________________________________
6 0.48 0 2.00
D3=0 ___________________________________
7 0.42 0.08 1.92
D4=2.11 8 0.37 0.14 1.86
9 0.34 0.18 1.82
10 0.31 0.22 1.78
11 0.29 0.26 1.74
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X-bar and R Charts ___________________________________
Example
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X-bar chart
UCL = x + A 2 R 10.728 .58(0.220) = 10.856 ___________________________________
LCL = x - A 2 R 10.728 - .58(0.220) = 10.600
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1 0 .9 0 0
1 0 .8 5 0 UCL
1 0 .8 0 0
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1 0 .7 5 0
M eans
X ___________________________________
1 0 .7 0 0
1 0 .6 5 0
1 0 .6 0 0
LCL
1 0 .5 5 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
S a m p le
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X-bar and R Charts
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Example
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R chart
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UCL = D 4 R ( 2 . 11 )( 0 . 220 ) 0.464
LCL = D 3 R ( 0 )( 0 . 220 ) 0 ___________________________________
0 .8 0 0
0 .7 0 0
0 .6 0 0
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0 .5 0 0
UCL
R 0 .4 0 0 ___________________________________
0 .3 0 0
0 .2 0 0 R
0 .1 0 0
0 .0 0 0 LCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
S a m p le 33