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CHAPTER S I X

6 International Economics
Tenth Edition

NEW TRADE THEORIES:


Paul Krugman - Economies of Scale
Product Cycle Model
Michael Porter – Diamond model
Dominick Salvatore
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Learning Goals:
Explain how international trade can result from
economies of scale

Explain how product differentiation leads to intra-


industry trade

Understand the technological gap and product cycle


models of trade

Understand the relationship between transportation


costs and environmental standards in international
trade
Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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6.1 Introduction

 Two difficulties with the H-O theory:


(1) Some questions remain regarding the empirical
validity of the theory.
(2) This implies that a great deal of today's
international trade still left unexplained.

 This chapter fills this gap with some new trade


theories, which base international trade on economies
of scale, imperfect competition, and differences in the
development and spread of new technologies over
time among nations.

Introduction

 Heckscher-Ohlin theory based comparative


advantage on differences in factor
endowments among nations.

 Leaves significant portion of international


trade unexplained.

 Need complementary trade theories to fill in


the gaps.

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The Heckscher-Ohlin Model and New Trade


Theories

 Relaxing most assumptions of H-O theory


modifies but does not invalidate the theory.

 However, relaxing assumptions of perfect


competition and constant economies of scale
require complementary theories to explain
trade.
 Additional trade models required to explain
trade based on differences in technological
changes over time.
Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Paul Krugman & NEW TRADE


THEORY
 Almost 30 years
ago, Krugman introduced an
entirely new theory of
international trade.
 It was intended to explain
the occurrence of intra-
industry trade and was
based on an assump- tion
of economies of
scale whereby mass
production diminishes the
cost per unit produced.

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Economies of Scale and International Trade

Assumptions
(1) There are two nations (N1, N2) two commodities (X, Y)
(2) Both nations use the same technology in production.
(3) Both nations have the same amount of resources.
(4) Neither commodity is labor intensive or capital intensive.
(5) Both commodities are produced under increasing returns
to scale in both nations.
- i.e., Output grows proportionately more than the increase in inputs
of production. (eg., If all inputs are doubled, output is more than
doubled: Economies of scale.)

(6) Tastes are equal in both nations.

Economies of Scale and


International Trade
One of the assumptions of the H–O model was that both
commodities were produced under conditions of constant
returns to scale in the two nations (assumption 4 in Section
5.2).

With increasing returns to scale, mutually beneficial trade


can take place even when the two nations are identical in
every respect.

This is a type of trade that the H–O model does not explain.

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PPF & opportunity cost


Case 1 Case 2

Case 3 Fig. 6.1


Y

The Production Possibility Frontier


under Constant Costs
US UK
Wheat ∆ W Cloth ∆C Wheat ∆ W Cloth ∆C
180 0 60 0
150 -30 20 20 50 -10 20 20
120 -30 40 20 40 -10 40 20
90 -30 60 20 30 -10 60 20
60 -30 80 20 20 -10 80 20
30 -30 100 20 10 -10 100 20
0 -30 120 20 0 -10 120 20

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Economies of Scale and International Trade

 Increasing returns to scale


 Production situation where output grows
proportionately more than the increase in
inputs (doubling inputs more than doubles output).

 With increasing returns to scale, mutually


beneficial trade can occur even if nations are
identical in every way.

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FIGURE 6-1 Trade Based on Economies of Scale.


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FIGURE 6.1. Trade Based on


Economies of Scale.
 With identical and convex to the origin (because of
economies of scale) production frontiers and
indifference maps, the no-trade equilibrium-relative
commodity price in the two nations is identical and
given by PX/PY = PA
 With trade, Nation 1 could specialize completely in the
production of commodity X and produce at point B.
Nation 2 would then specialize completely in the
production of commodity Y and produce at point B’.
 By then exchanging 60X for 60Y with each other, each
nation would end up consuming at point E on
indifference curve II, thus gaining 20X and 20Y.

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Economies of Scale and


International Trade

The presence of economies of scale may be seen from the fact that doubling
the input of labor from 15 to 30 more than doubles the industry's output - in
fact, output increases by a factor of 2.5.
Equivalently, the existence of economies of scale may be seen by looking at
the average amount of labor used to produce each unit of output: If output is
only 5 widgets, the average labor input per widget is 2 hours, while if output
is 25 units, the average labor input falls to 1 .2 hours.
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 We can use this example to see why economies of scale provide an


incentive for international trade.
 Imagine a world consisting of two countries, America and Britain,
both of which have the same technology for producing widgets, and
suppose that initially each country produces 10 widgets. According
to the table, this requires 15 hours of labor in each county, so in the
world as a whole 30 hours of labor produce 20 widgets.
 But now suppose that we concentrate world production of widgets
in one country, say America, and let America employ 30 hours of
labor in the widget industy.
 In a single country these 30 hours of labor can produce 25 widgets.
So by concentrating production of widgets in America, the world
economy can use the same amount of labor to produce 25 percent
more widgets.

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Economies of Scale and


International Trade
 Increasing returns to scale may occur because at a
larger scale of operation a greater division of labor
and specialization becomes possible. That is, each
worker can specialize in performing a simple
repetitive task with a resulting increase in
productivity.
 Furthermore, a larger scale of operation may
permit the introduction of more specialized and
productive machinery than would be feasible at a
smaller scale of operation.
 Antweiler and Trefler (2002) found that a third of all
goods-producing industries are characterized by
increasing returns to scale.
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 The H-O model assumes that opportunity costs


increase as production within a nation increases.
This produces a ppf that is concave from the origin,
which was used in Chapters 3-5.
 If, however, increased production makes possible a
greater specialization of labor and/or capital, or
other forms of cost savings, then opportunity cost
may decrease as production increases which, is
known as economies of scale. (The term
“economies of scale” refers to any reduction in cost
due to an increase in production in a firm.

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Economies of Scale and International Trade

Related Sources of International Trade


(1) International economies of scale (Case Study 6-1)
- Products manufactured by international corporations
have parts and components made in many different
nations.
- During the past decade or so, there has been a sharp
increase in international trade in parts and
components, as well as in setting up of production
facilities abroad, and these have been the source of
new and significant international economies of scale.
- E.g., The New International Economies of Scale
(Case Study 6-1)

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Economies of Scale and International Trade

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Increasing returns to scale


Significant international economies of scale
from:
Outsourcing

purchase by firm firm producing in


of parts and its own plants
components abroad some of
abroad in order the parts and
to keep costs components used
down. in its products.
Offshoring

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Outsourcing

 Japanese and German cameras are often


assembled in Singapore to take advantage of
cheaper labor there
 Apple, one of the most successful brands in
the tech industry today, barely does its own
manufacturing work, yet profits are
consistently skyrocketing.
 They outsource most of the labor-intensive
work to China and numerous other countries
around the world to save up on production
time.
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Imperfect Competition and International


Trade: Trade Based on Product Differentiation

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Imperfect Competition and International


Trade: Trade Based on Product Differentiation

intra-industry trade
•in differentiated
products

inter-industry trade
• in completely different
products.

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Case Study 6-3 U.S. Intra-Industry Trade in


Automotive Products

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Imperfect Competition and International


Trade

Exchange of differentiated
products of the same
industry

Intra-industry trade in
differentiated products

Economies of scale in
production.

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Imperfect Competition and International


Trade

 Contrasts to H-O Model


1. Trade in H-O model based on factor endowment
differentials, but intra-industry trade is based on
product differentiation and economies of scale,
and will likely be larger for nations of similar
size and factor proportions.
2. With differentiated products produced under
economies of scale, pretrade-relative commodity
prices may not accurately predict patterns of
trade as they do under H-O model.

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Imperfect Competition and International


Trade

 Contrasts to H-O Model


3. H-O model predicts trade will lower returns of
nation’s scarce factor. With intra-industry trade
based on economies of scale, it is possible for all
factors to gain.
4. Intra-industry trade is related to sharp increases
in international trade in parts and components of
a product, or outsourcing.

Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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Imperfect Competition and International


Trade

Comparative Economies of scale in


advantage seems to differentiated
determine patterns of products gives rise to
inter-industry trade. intra-industry trade.
• More likely with • More likely with similar
dissimilar factor factor endowments.
endowments.

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Imperfect Competition and International Trade


 Key characteristics of Intra-industry trade:

(1) While inter-industry trade (eg., trade in the H-O


model) is based on comparative advantage among
nations, intra-industry trade is based on product
differentiation and economies of scale.
(2) With intra-industry trade, pretrade-relative
commodity prices may no longer accurately predict
the pattern of trade.
(3) While the H-O model predicts that trade will lower
the return of the nation's scarce factor, with intra-
industry trade it is possible for all factors to gain.

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Imperfect Competition and International Trade


 Key characteristics of Intra-industry trade:

(4) Intra-industry trade is related to the sharp increase in


international trade in parts and components of a
product.

(5) Intra-industry trade arises more between nations with


similar tastes and income levels.

(6) While most of the trade between developed and


developing countries is inter-industry trade, an
increasing proportion of the trade among industrial
countries is intra-industry trade.

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Cluster of cutlery manufacturers in


Sheffield

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The Theory of External Economies

Semiconductor
Investment banking
industry in
industry in New
California's famous
York
Silicon Valley

the entertainment
industry in
Hollywood.

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The Theory of External Economies

economies of scale at the level of the firm (imperfect


competition) => internal economies of scale

economies of scale at the level of the industry =>


external economies

The concentrating production of an industry in one or a


few locations reduces the industry's costs, even if the
individual firms in the industry remain small.

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SUMMARY
 Trade need not be the result of comparative
advantage. Instead, it can result from
increasing returns or economies of scale, that is,
from a tendency of unit costs to be
lower with larger output.
 Economies of scale give counties an incentive to
specialize and trade even in the absence of
differences between countries in their resources or
technology.
 Economies of scale can be internal (depending on
the size of the firm) or external (depending on the
size of the industry).
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Trade Based on Dynamic


Technological Differences

Product cycle model – A dynamic


extension of the static H–O model

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Trade Based on Dynamic Technological


Differences

What are the relatively What are the relatively


abundant factors in abundant factors in
developed nations? developing nations?

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Trade Based on Dynamic Technological


Differences

What are the relatively What are the relatively


abundant factors in abundant factors in
developed nations? developing nations?
• highly skilled labor • Cheap labor
• expenditures on
research &
development

Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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The product cycle model


tries to explain dynamic
comparative advantage for
new products and new
production processes

The basic H–O model


explains static comparative
advantage.

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Trade Based on Dynamic Technological


Differences

 According to these models, the most highly


industrialized economies are expected to
export nonstandardized products embodying
new and more advanced technologies and
import products embodying old or less
advanced technologies.
 Since time is involved in a fundamental way
in both of these models, they can be regarded
as dynamic extensions of the static H–O
model.
Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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Trade Based on Dynamic


Technological Differences
 A classic example of the product cycle model is provided by the
experience of U.S. and Japanese radio manufacturers since
World War II. (p173)
 Immediately after the war, U.S. firms dominated the
international market for radios, based on vacuum tubes
developed in the United States.
 However, within a few years, Japan was able to capture a large
share of the market by copying U.S. technology and utilizing
cheaper labor.
 The United States recaptured technological leadership with the
development of transistors. But, once again, in a few short years,
Japan imitated the technology and was able to undersell the
United States.
 Subsequently, the United States reacquired its ability to compete
successfully with Japan by introducing printed circuits.
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A classic example of the product


cycle model

Audio vacuum tubes in Sony transistor radio TR-


Regency TR-1
radio 55

Original 1979 Sony


Printed circuit
Walkman TPS-L2

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Trade Based on Dynamic Technological


Differences

 Note that trade in these models is originally based


on new technology developed by the relatively
abundant factors in industrialized nations (such as
highly skilled labor and expenditures on research
and development).
 Subsequently, through imitation and product
standardization, less developed nations gain a
comparative advantage based on their relatively
cheaper labor.
 As such, trade can be said to be based on changes
in relative factor abundance (technology) among
nations over time.
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FIGURE 6-4 The Product Cycle Model.

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Trade Based on Dynamic Technological


Differences

 FIGURE 6.4. The Product Cycle Model.


 In stage I (time OA), the product is produced and consumed
only in the innovating country.
 In stage II (AB), production is perfected in the innovating
country and increases rapidly to accommodate rising demand at
home and abroad.
 In stage III (BC), the product becomes standardized and the
imitating country starts producing the product for domestic
consumption.
 In stage IV (CD), the imitating country starts underselling the
innovating country in third markets, and in stage V (past point
D) in the latter’s market as well.

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Product Cycle Model (Vernon, 1966)

 Advanced industrialized countries develop and


introduce new products, with temporary monopoly
power as the sole exporter of the product.
 As the technology producing the product becomes
more widespread, production will spread to other
nations.
 This moves international trade to a standard
comparative advantage framework
 As production becomes standardized, the original
introducer of the product loses its technologically
based comparative advantage in the production of
the product and becomes an importer of the product.
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Transportation costs &


Environmental Standards
INFLUENCE International Trade

Costs of Environmental
Transportation Standards

International
Trade

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Transportation costs

 Transport, or logistics, costs are the freight charges, warehousing


costs, costs of loading and unloading, insurance premiums, and
interest charges incurred while goods are in transit between
nations.

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Costs of Transportation and


Nontraded Commodities
 Nontraded goods and services are goods for
which transport costs exceed price differences
across nations.
 Homogeneous goods will be trade
internationally only if the pretrade price
difference exceeds transport costs.
 Examples:
 Cement is not traded internationally because of
its high weight-to-value ratio.
 Average people do not travel from New York to
London for a haircut.
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Transport costs influence location of


production and industry:

Resource-oriented industries
• locate near the source of raw materials used by the
industry.

Market-oriented industries
• produce goods that become heavier or more difficult to
transport during production, so they locate near the
markets for their products.

Footloose industries
• face neither substantial weight gains nor losses during
production, and can locate where availability of other
inputs leads to lower manufacturing costs.
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Environmental standards

 Refers to levels of air, water and thermal pollution


resulting from garbage disposal that a nation allows.

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Thermal Pollution As The Unseen


Side Of Water Pollution
Thermal pollution
in the broadest
sense can be
defined as the
abrupt change in
ambient
temperature of a
natural water
body by any
human induced
processes.

The increase or decrease of water temperature degrades the quality of


water and makes it unfit for consumption or the life-systems of aquatic
organisms. It could happen in lakes, rivers, oceans or even ponds.
https://geographyandyou.com/thermal-pollution-unseen-water-pollution/
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Environmental Standards INFLUENCE


Industry Location, and International Trade

As a resource
endowment or
as a factor of
production A comparative
Lower
advantage in
environmental
polluting goods
standards
and services.

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Environmental Standards INFLUENCE


Industry Location, and International
Trade

 A nation with lower environmental standards can use the


environment as a resource endowment or as a factor of
production in attracting polluting firms from abroad and
achieving a comparative advantage in polluting goods
and services.
Salvatore: International Economics, 11th Edition © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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Environmental standards

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Determinants of international
trade
Differences in relative factor
abundance [factor endowments]

international trade
Determinants of among nations

Economies of scale and product


differentiation

Dynamic changes in relative factor


abundance (technology) among
nations over time

Costs of transportation &


environmental standards

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Case Study 6-5 Growth of Intra-Industry Trade

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Case Study 6-6 Intra-Industry Trade Indexes


for G-20 Countries

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THE PORTER DIAMOND MODEL – ANALYSIS OF


NATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS

influence how successful


explain the international the company can
competitiveness of the become in other
firm. markets.

Characteristics
[quality] of the
home country
environment

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THE 6 ELEMENTS OF THE PORTER DIAMOND


MODEL
Firm
Related and
strategy,
supporting
structure
industries
and rivalry

Demand
Chance
conditions

Factor National
Government
conditions competitiveness

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THE PORTER DIAMOND MODEL – ANALYSIS OF


NATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS

 The Porter Diamond model offers an effective way


for analysing the national competitiveness.
 Based on the characteristics of the home country, it
is possible to assess the international success of the
firm.
 According to the Porter Diamond model, the
characteristics of the home country play a central
role in explaining the international competitiveness
of the firm.
 Thus, it asserts that the quality of the home country
environment influence how successful the
company can become in other markets.
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