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DESIGN MANUAL FOR ROADS AND BRIDGES

volume 0 INTRODUCTION AND


GENERAL
REQUIREMENTS
section 2 GENERAL GUIDANCE

Part 3

gd 04/12

Standard for Safety Risk


Assessment on the Strategic
Road Network

SUMMARY

This Standard sets out the approach which must be


applied in all administrative and technical aspects
when designing, operating and constructing for the
strategic road network, where safety should be a
consideration. It updates, and clarifies, requirements
and guidance for addressing safety risks. This includes
planning, preparing, designing and constructing
highway works, maintenance, demolition and
improvements, projects and schemes, and when
revising Agency technical standards, specifications
and requirements. This Standard sets out the HA
requirements for managing safety and as such it does
not provide legal advice or guidance. This document
only applies to England’s Strategic Road Network.

instructions for use

This Standard is to be incorporated in the Manual.

1. Insert new Content pages into Volume 0.

2. Insert GD 04/12 into Volume 0, Section 2, Part 3.

3. Please archive this sheet as appropriate.

Note: A quarterly index with a full set of Volume


Contents Pages is available separately from The
Stationery Office Ltd.

November 2012
design manual for roads and bridges GD 04/12
Volume 0, Section 2,
Part 3

the highways agency

Standard for Safety Risk


Assessment on the
Strategic Road Network

Summary: This Standard sets out the approach which must be applied in all administrative
and technical aspects when designing, operating and constructing for the
strategic road network, where safety should be a consideration. It updates,
and clarifies, requirements and guidance for addressing safety risks. This
includes planning, preparing, designing and constructing highway works,
maintenance, demolition and improvements, projects and schemes, and
when revising Agency technical standards, specifications and requirements.
This Standard sets out the HA requirements for managing safety and as such
it does not provide legal advice or guidance. This document only applies to
England’s Strategic Road Network.
Volume 0 Section 2
Part 3 GD 04/12 Registration of Amendments

REGISTRATION OF AMENDMENTS

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November 2012
Volume 0 Section 2
Registration of Amendments Part 3 GD 04/12

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November 2012
DESIGN MANUAL FOR ROADS AND BRIDGES

volume 0 INTRODUCTION AND


GENERAL
REQUIREMENTS
section 2 GENERAL GUIDANCE

Part 3

gd 04/12

Standard for Safety Risk


Assessment on the Strategic
Road Network

Contents

Chapter

Part 1

1. Introduction and Use of this Document

2. Defining the People at Risk

3. Duties and Responsibilities

4. General Principles

Part 2

5. Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control

6. Technical Requirements

7. Roles, Responsibilities and Competence

8. Glossary

9. References

10. Abbreviations and Acronyms

Annexes

Annex A Generic Safety Risk Analysis Methods

Annex B Average Road User Safety Risk on


GB Roads

Annex C Hazard Identification and Risk


Assessment Tool

Annex D Cost Benefit Tool

November 2012
Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 1
Part 3 GD 04/12 Introduction and Use of this Document

Part 1

1. Introduction and use of this document


1.1 This standard is presented in two parts. are based on research, pilot activities and many
years of experience, capturing the necessary safety
Part 1 provides an overview of the Highways Agency’s risk mitigation properties. However, this approach is
(Agency) safety risk management framework and becoming less appropriate for the more complex and
sets the context within which safety risk management innovative systems now being installed on the SRN.
decisions are taken in accordance with this standard. The Agency has been successful in improving safety,
but this means that future improvements in safety will
Part 2 takes this information and translates it into a be much more difficult to realise and thus a more refined
specific safety risk decision making framework for safety approach to safety decision making is required on
risk assessment and control across all of the populations highway projects going forward.
affected by the Strategic Road Network (SRN).
1.6 This standard updates and clarifies requirements
Background and guidance for addressing safety risks. It introduces
the concept of ‘trade off’ and describes how safety risk
1.2 On 28 February 2001 a vehicle came off the tolerance can be used to optimally balance safety risk
M62 motorway at Great Heck, near Selby, ran down between affected populations. This approach is not new
the embankment and onto the East Coast Main Line, and the principle of ‘trade off’ is accepted by the HSE.
where it was struck by a passenger train. The train was The ‘trade off’ principle has been applied:
derailed and then struck by a freight train travelling in
the opposite direction. Six passengers and four staff • in road over rail situations;
on the trains were killed. The driver of the vehicle was
found guilty of causing the deaths of 10 people by • in the development of Existing Motorway
dangerous driving. Minimum Requirements;

1.3 The Health and Safety Executive (HSE) • in Managed Motorway requirements;
investigated the circumstances that led to the incident
and their report made it clear that the accident had • in the Department for Transport (DfT) ‘Managing
resulted from a highly unlikely and unpredictable chain the accidental obstruction of the railway by road
of events. However, the Government was concerned vehicles’ report; and
about the general issues this crash raised and asked for a
wider investigation into the accidental incursion of road • in Aiming for Zero projects to improve/benefit
vehicles onto the railway. This investigation identified worker safety.
specific actions related to road/rail incursions as well
as more general and fundamental issues to do with the
methods used by the Agency to assess and record safety 1.7 A key requirement of this standard is that
risks, and the documentation of the decision processes appropriate safety risk assessment, evaluation and
linked to the management and or treatment of these. management is undertaken to inform all activities,
projects and decisions. This includes ensuring that
1.4 Since this time the Agency has developed a more the safety risk impacts for different populations
transparent approach to safety risk management and has (see Chapter 2 ‘Defining the People at Safety
been working towards the embedment of this approach Risk’) that the Agency has a responsibility for,
across all of the various areas of the business. along with their safety risk exposure and safety risk
tolerance, are taken into account. It also requires
Objectives that documentation is kept which evidences the
decision making process.
1.5 Agency projects have traditionally used a
prescriptive approach to demonstrating safety, relying
on adherence to detailed standards. These standards

November 2012 1/1


Chapter 1 Volume 0 Section 2
Introduction and Use of this Document Part 3 GD 04/12

Scope 1.13 Application of this standard will ensure that


safety risk and investment decisions affecting the
1.8 This Standard has been developed in consultation SRN are made:
and with the agreement of devolved administrations.
It deals with all safety risk management activities in • Consistently – so that similar decisions, made
relation to the design of the SRN in England only. It is for by different people at different times, in different
other highway authorities and devolved administrations locations result in comparable outputs.
to choose whether to adopt all or part of this standard.
• Aligned – so that full account is taken of Agency
targets, objectives, duties, responsibilities and
1.9 This Standard does not provide guidance policies.
on operational safety risk decision making such as
Traffic Officer dynamic risk assessment processes. • Robustly – so that decisions are demonstrated
Operational decisions will need to have regard by evidence or expert advice and are auditable.
to the safety risk control measures specified by
designers who use this Standard. • Value – so that decisions made represent value
for money (VfM).

1.10 This Standard is not a legal interpretation of • Transparently – so it is clear why, and how,
the legislation it refers to; as such it does not provide a particular decision was taken.
legal advice or guidance. In the event of queries on the
applicable law, independent legal advice should be sought. 1.14 The processes referenced in this standard should
be applied pragmatically and avoid the creation of
Mandatory Sections a burdensome and bureaucratic process. Instead the
process should be viewed as an opportunity to simply
1.11 Sections of this document containing and effectively record the best judgements of the
mandatory requirements are identified by professionals involved.
highlighted boxes. These requirements are
mandatory and no departures from this standard 1.15 The guidance contained in this standard sets out
will be accepted. Appropriate safety risk existing process and best practice that the Agency and
assessment, evaluation and management must its representatives should already be following.
be undertaken so that a decision can be made
on the basis of what is reasonably required. In 1.16 It should be read in conjunction with the Design
circumstances where reliable data is limited or Manual for Roads and Bridges (DMRB) and the
not available the principles of the standard must Agency’s Health and Safety Management System
still be applied; in these instances the professional contained within the Management Arrangements for
judgment of a competent person will be required Health and Safety (MAHS), where advice and guidance
(please see Chapter 6 for more details). The text including policy statements for traffic officers, workers,
outside boxes contains advice and explanation, construction workers and other parties can be found.
which is commended to ‘users’ for consideration. For advice/support and access to MAHS please contact
the HA team responsible for Health and Safety.

Implementation Equality Impact Assessment

1.12 This Standard gives the approach which 1.17 The guidance in this standard has been developed
must be applied forthwith by all Agency staff and to ensure that all persons affected by the SRN and
supply chain, in all administrative and technical thereby exposed to safety risk are considered. The
aspects when designing operating and constructing safety risk assessment process will itself identify any
the SRN, where safety should be a consideration. disadvantaged or vulnerable people and appropriate
This includes planning, preparing, designing control measures are mandated.
and constructing highway works. This includes
maintenance, demolition and improvements, projects Definitions and Abbreviations
and schemes, and when revising Agency technical
1.18 Terms and references relevant to this standard are
standards, specifications and requirements.
dealt with in Chapters 9, 10 and 11 of this document.

1/2 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 2
Part 3 GD 04/12 Defining the People at Safety Risk

2. Defining the people at safety risk

2.1 Highway authorities have specific legal duties


and responsibilities that are prescribed by various acts
and regulations; thus a balanced safety risk assessment
methodology that takes account of these must be put
in place.

2.2 To illustrate transparent compliance with its


legal duties and responsibilities relating to safety risk
the Agency has developed the safety risk decision-
making process described in this Standard. This
process must be applied in a manner that enables
the Agency to do what is reasonably required to
manage, operate and maintain the SRN within the
legal duties of the Secretary of State for Transport.

2.3 There are four populations that must be


taken into account when considering what is
reasonably required to manage their safety risk
exposure. These populations are defined on the
left hand side of Table 1 below and then these
populations have been brigaded for the purposes
of this standard into three groups as illustrated on
the right hand side of the table. These definitions
shall be applied throughout this document and in
its interpretation.

Population 1 – People directly employed by the Agency and who work on the SRN,
e.g. Traffic Officers.
Population 2 – People in a contractural relationship with the Agency, including Agency ‘Workers’
National Vehicle Recovery Contract operatives, all workers engaged in traffic management
activities and incident support services, and any other activities where live traffic is
present, (such as persons carrying out survey and inspection work).

Population 3 – Other parties, including road users, the police and emergency services and
non-motorised ‘Users’ such as equestrians, cyclists and pedestrians, as well as those others
‘Users’
not in a contractural relationship with the Agency, such as privately contracted vehicle
recovery and vehicle repair providers.

Population 4 – Third parties includes any person or persons who could be affected by the
SRN, but who are neither using it, nor working on it, i.e. living or working adjacent to the ‘Other
SRN, using other (non-Agency) transport networks that intersect with the SRN (e.g. local Parties’
roads, railways) and those who are living or working in properties owned by the Agency.

Table 1 – Defining and Brigading Populations

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Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 3
Part 3 GD 04/12 Duties and Responsibilities

3. Duties and Responsibilities

3.1 The safety of ‘Workers’ (see Table 1), is governed 3.4 The principal difference between the populations
by employer responsibilities under Health and Safety defined and then brigaded in Table 1 is the level of
legislation. When considering safety risks to these control that the Agency has over each, e.g. ‘Users’
populations (both planned and incident management), have a responsibility for their own safety and are
the duties of an employer are discharged through responsible for their actions that may affect the safety
compliance with the Management of Health and of others. Whereas ‘Workers’ are acting on behalf of
Safety at Work Regulations 1999. (Regulation 3 deals and representing the Agency and thus their safety risk
with risk assessments). Where the Agency acts as a exposure is controlled by the Agency’s management
designer (either directly or through its supply chain), and operational control processes.
the requirements to address safety risk assessment
for all populations exposed (during construction and 3.5 The activities of ‘Users’ and/or ‘Other Parties’
maintenance works) is covered by the Construction cannot be controlled in the same way as for ‘Workers’.
(Design and Management) Regulations 2007 Instead it is expected that ‘Users’ will comply with
(particularly Regulation 11). the law and the Highway Code and that they will take
account of all the prevailing conditions (including but
not limited to) the weather, road character and condition,
3.2 The Construction (Design and Management) traffic level and composition, and any warning signs.
Regulations 2007 (SI 2007/320), (the CDM The scope of this control is shown in the diagram at
Regulations) define ‘structure’ as including a road. Figure 1.
The CDM Regulations define ‘workplace’ as a
workplace within the meaning of regulation 2(1)
of the Workplace (Health, Safety and Welfare)
Regulations 1992 (SI 1992/3004 as amended) (the
1992 Regulations), other than a construction site. In
regulation 2(1) of the 1992 Regulations ‘workplace’
is defined as ‘any premises or part of premises which
are not domestic premises…made available…as a
place of work…other than a public road’. Thus a
designer must consider the use of a public road in
the context of its use by ‘Users’ (Population 3 from
Table 1) for normal operation only.

3.3 The safety of ‘Users’ and ‘Other Parties’


(Populations 3 and 4 from Table 1) is generally
regulated under statute. There is only one exception
to this principle and that is when the use of the
road is temporarily constrained by the Agency
implementing roadworks. In this instance only,
the road is not in a state of normal operation and
the Agency’s responsibility under health and safety
legislation changes because it is ‘undertaking’
something. In practice this means that during
construction and maintenance works the Agency
has interfered with the normal operation of the
road and this attracts a greater liability, which
means that during the period of road work activity
the Agency must manage the safety risk exposure
of ‘Users’ differently.

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Chapter 3 Volume 0 Section 2
Duties and Responsibilities Part 3 GD 04/12

Workers

Users

Other Parties

Figure 1 – Scope of control

3.6 ‘Users’ on the SRN can be reasonably expected to:

• balance the safety risks of using the road network


against the social and economic benefits of
travelling;

• have a general awareness of the safety risks


that they are exposed to (through training,
driving instruction and driving tests, road safety
campaigns, media reporting of collisions, warning
signs on the roads of specific hazards etc.);

• have control over the safety risks to which they


are exposed, of which they are reasonably aware,
e.g. heavy rain, congested route; and

• have a knowledge of their legal obligations whilst


using the road and are aware that there is an
expectancy that they comply with them.

3/2 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 4
Part 3 GD 04/12 General Principles

4. General Principles

4.1 The approach set out in this Standard allows


safety risk tolerance, balancing judgments, and benefits • if the BCR is < 1 then the presumption is
versus costs to be examined, while taking account of that this is disproportionate and should not
available budgets and other duties when considering be promoted on safety grounds;
safety measures. This is consistent with HSE guidance
for ‘sensible safety risk management’, which seeks • any other measures with BCR’s between
to ensure that ‘Workers’ and the public are properly 1 and 2 should be considered alongside all
protected, and understand their responsibilities, while the other options and where a greater benefit
providing an overall balance of benefit and safety risk. could reasonably be achieved by allocation
of the cost of that measure elsewhere within
the scheme or a wider programme of works
4.2 Balancing benefits and safety risks, when this should be considered. Benefits will
considering safety risk control measures, is generally be measured against a risk of
applicable for all aspects of highway design death, i.e. Value of Preventing a fatality
maintenance and operation to and on a highway. (VPF); depending on the data available other
The starting point for development of a design measures such as Fatalities and Weighted
should be to consider the applicability of standards Injuries (FWIs), Personal Injury Accidents
(compliance with standards is one of the simplest (PIAs) or incidents could also be used.
practicability tests), any additional controls must
be tested using the reasonably required approach. 4.4 Certain defined people in the ‘Users’ group
However, where a substandard road feature exists (Population 3, Table 1) will undertake a function
that does not contribute to the safety problem that of their work on the SRN. However, this function
is the subject of the issue being investigated or is governed by the statutory requirements on their
addressed; this feature should not automatically employer’s management and operational control
be upgraded. When standards can not be fully processes.1 Designers must undertake appropriate
complied with or where safety risk exposure liaison with stakeholders.
is a concern, controls will need to be tested for
practicability. 4.5 There is no single methodology for assessing
what is disproportionate in terms of safety risk
4.3 All suitable potential measures to reduce tolerance levels; decisions about safety risk and
safety hazards encountered by ‘Users’ must be the controls that achieve compliance have to
assessed and those measures that are reasonably be carefully considered and specialist technical
required must be implemented. This means that knowledge and informed judgement is required.
where the cost of a measure identified in the
assessment is, in the reasonable opinion of those 4.6 The Agency can exercise discretion in
carrying out the assessment, disproportionate to deciding to provide or omit certain safety control
the benefit derived, then reasonable discretion may measures. The factor that would be relevant
be exercised not to implement that measure, but during any form of legal challenge is that A) a
this decision and the evidence used to inform it decision must be taken and B) the decision must
must be documented. The following rules apply: be recorded. This means that a determination to
do nothing is a valid decision, if to do nothing is
• if the benefit cost ratio (BCR) of the measure the proper conclusion of the assessment process
being considered is > 2 then it should be outlined in this Standard and is documented.
considered; However, it is unacceptable for safety risk
decisions to be made by default or for a decision
not to be recorded.

1 The definition of Road ‘Workers’ used in the Aiming for Zero vision and strategy document does not apply.

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Chapter 4 Volume 0 Section 2
General Principles Part 3 GD 04/12

4.7 Other terminology such as Globally at Least


Equivalent (GALE) describes a concept that is
sometimes used for highway projects. The Agency
will instruct when this principle applies and this will
generally be where schemes are not primarily safety
related. This situation may arise where the overall
scheme is being promoted on the basis of reducing
congestion. In this type of scenario the safety risk for
‘Users’ from some composite hazards may be allowed
to increase as long as the overall scheme delivers an
improved or as an absolute minimum the same global
level of safety risk for ‘Users’.

4.8 A tool to help decision makers has been provided


at Annex C, the tool is not a recipe for assessment and
is no replacement for sound judgment and technical
expertise.

4/2 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 5
Part 3 GD 04/12 Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control

Part 2

5. Principles of safety risk assessment


and control
5.1 The safety risk management flowchart process
(Figure 2), applies to all situations described at
paragraph 1.7. However, its use depends on the context.
Examples of applying this process to different decision
types are provided in Chapter 6.

Stage 1 – Determine the scope

Stage 2 – Identify the hazards

Stage 3 – Identify relevant criteria for populations

Stage 4 – Consider existing risk exposure for each population

Stage 5 – Risk analysis, assessment and evaluation

Stage 6 – Risk control decisions

Stage 7– Document safety risk decision in a safety risk report

Stage 8 – Handover of safety risk report to operators

Stage 9 – Update and refresh the safety risk report when change proposed

Stage 10 – Monitor and review safety risk report assumptions

Figure 2 – Safety Risk Management Process

November 2012 5/1


Chapter 5 Volume 0 Section 2
Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control Part 3 GD 04/12

5.2 All of the actions described in this chapter • the safety risk on the population; and
and in the technical requirement Chapter 6 must be
executed by competent persons. The competence • the Agency’s safety risk tolerance for this
and approval process is described in Chapter 7. population (see Chapter 6).

Stage 1 – Determine the Scope Stage 4 – Consider Existing Risk Exposure for each
Population

5.3 Describe what is included and what if 5.6 In 2001, the HSE published the report, ‘Reducing
anything is to be excluded from the assessment and Risk, Protecting People’, known as R2P2 (to explain
record this. The scope may be a geographical area their approach to their enforcement role in considering
in the case of a road scheme or the boundaries of a risk tolerability). It explains the concept of ‘trade off’,
decision, e.g. change of process for temporary traffic whereby an increase in the safety risk from one hazard
management at roadworks. In either case the breadth can be balanced by a commensurate decrease in the
of the assessment or the subject of the decision must safety risk of another hazard.
be clearly articulated and documented.

5.7 To illustrate the safety risk assessment


Stage 2 – Identify the Hazards approach applied by the Agency the updated
R2P2 version of the HSE tolerability of risk (ToR)
‘triangle diagram’ (see Figure 4) has been adapted
5.4 Hazard identification must identify all to fit the requirements and statutory duties relating
reasonably foreseeable hazards to all populations to highways. The ToR diagram was developed
collectively and individually, and for all modes by the HSE on the assumption that people will
of operation, using methods appropriate to the tolerate safety risks to them if they receive
level of complexity of the issues. The aim is for some commensurate benefit in return for being
a comprehensive understanding of Who, What, exposed to the risk and that the people responsible
Where, When, Why and How populations are for exposing them to the safety risks will take
affected. A systematic approach, using previous appropriate measures to minimise their exposure.
experience where it exists, should be used as a Thus consideration must be given to those persons
starting point. This may not always be possible, exposed to, or potentially affected by, a safety risk,
such as when dealing with a new or novel activity see Figure 3.
or situation, or when there is insufficient relevant
and reliable data available. In these instances
techniques, such as brainstorming may be required.
Other methods, e.g. hazard and operability studies
and Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, may also
be necessary in specific and technically complex
circumstances.

Stage 3 – Identify Relevant Criteria for the


Populations

5.5 Here the aim is to set out the relevant


criteria for the populations affected by the hazards
identified in Stage 2. This criterion is then used
to examine the need for additional safety risk
controls. The criteria to be considered must,
as a minimum, include:

5/2 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 5
Part 3 GD 04/12 Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control

Individual Collective
The safety risk to a single This is the safety risk, to a group
person is used to represent the of people or a population,
risk of all those running the risk, associated with a particular
and a specified outcome. scenario, control measure or
hazardous event.
The risk measure is the probability RISK
of a typical individual member of Quantified as the average number of
one of the constituent populations, fatalities, or fatalities and weighted
e.g. Worker, User or Other Party injuries, per year that would be
being killed or injured during expected to occur.
a year whilst undertaking
a particular activity.

Figure 3 – Individual and Collective Safety Risk Definitions

5.8 For all populations (‘Workers’, ‘Users’ and ‘Other 5.9 These are expressed in Figure 4.
Parties’) there are three regions of safety risk that each
population could find itself in: 5.10 Moving from the bottom to the top of the
triangle in Figure 4 represents increasing ‘safety
• Broadly acceptable – do nothing, (no additional risk’ for a particular hazardous activity (measured
risk controls or analysis required). by the individual safety risk and societal concerns
it engenders). The dark zone at the top represents
• Unacceptable – do something or stop the activity. an unacceptable region. There are three regions in
the TOR framework that inform the Agency’s rules
• Tolerable – test for any reasonably required for decision making.
safety risk controls that are not already
implemented.

Unacceptable Region Risk cannot be justified


Increasing individual risks and

save in extraordinary
circumstances

Reasonably practicable
Tolerable Region control measures must be
introduced for risk in this
societal concern

region to drive residual


risk towards the broadly
acceptable region

Level of residual risk regarded


Broadly Acceptable Region as insignificant – further effort
to reduce risk is not likely to
be required

Negligible Risk
Figure 4 – The HSE’s TOR Model or ‘Safety Risk Triangle’

November 2012 5/3


Chapter 5 Volume 0 Section 2
Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control Part 3 GD 04/12

can demonstrate that there are no further safety risk


5.11 The Agency applies the HSE tolerability control and mitigation measures that are reasonably
recommendations to ‘Worker’ and ‘User’ required. Similarly for ‘Users’ the individual safety
populations to help us understand the safety risk risk of death of 1:1,000,000 per annum corresponds
exposure and tolerance levels for each of them to a very low level of safety risk and is used as a
as shown in Figure 5. The safety risk exposure guideline for the boundary between the broadly
to the ‘Other Parties’ population is not defined acceptable and tolerable regions.
in this Standard and must be dealt with on a case
by case basis.
5.13 An activity/project/scheme that exposes
‘Workers’ to a risk of greater than 1:1,000 per
5.12 The HSE advises that an individual safety risk annum, (e.g. 1:850) is ‘unacceptable’. Similarly
of death of 1:1,000 per annum for ‘Workers’ who are at an activity/project/scheme that exposes users
work and 1:10,000 per annum for members of the public to a risk of 1:9,500 is ‘unacceptable’. In these
(Populations 3 and 4) who have a safety risk imposed on circumstances, either the activities being
them ‘in the wider interest of society’, should be used considered must cease, or additional control
as a guideline for the boundary between the ‘tolerable and mitigation measures must be implemented
and the unacceptable regions. This means that for a to reduce the safety risk to below the boundary
worker a tolerable safety risk level could be 1:2,500 between tolerable and unacceptable, and to drive
and for ‘Users’ this could be 1:15,000. Safety risk the risk level down as far as is reasonably required.
located in the tolerable region is judged to be tolerable
so long as the determining organisation (the Agency)

“Workers” “Users”

Less than Unacceptable Less than


1 in 1,000 1 in 10,000
Increasing risk

Greater than Tolerable Greater than


1 in 1,000 1 in 10,000

Greater than
Greater than
1 in 1,000,000
1 in 1,000,000
Broadly
Acceptable

Figure 5 – Agency Applying Exposure and Tolerance Levels

5/4 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 5
Part 3 GD 04/12 Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control

HSE risk
Unacceptable
to “Users”

1 in 10,000

Increasing risk
*Rural A roads 1 in 50,000
Tolerable
*Urban A roads 1 in 100,000
*Motorways 1 in 320,000

1 in 1,000,000

Broadly
Acceptable

Figure 6 – Annual Risk of Death to Individual ‘Users’ by GB Road Type

5.14 The annual risk to road users by road type


diagram at Figure 6 has been developed using the same mitigation systems that are deemed to be
boundaries as those used by the HSE for fatality risk to a minimum for the duty of care to be met,
members of the public. The figures used to calculate this i.e. the acceptable safety risk exposure for
risk exposure and the process is attached at Annex B. the population.
It can be seen that in all cases the ‘User’ annual risk of
fatality is firmly in the ‘tolerable’ region and whilst the • Good practice that is available for mitigating
annual risk of road user fatality is tolerable on all road the safety risk (existing standards and/or
types considered here, motorways are the safest roads operational procedures.
and are some six times safer than rural ‘A’ roads.
• The cost benefit of different options for
safety risk mitigation, as long as they deliver
5.15 The level of safety risk deemed tolerable for a safety risk level lower than the maximum
a project must take into account a number tolerable safety risk for the populations
of criteria: concerned (as shown in Figure 5) and meet
the minimum performance requirements.
• The maximum level of safety risk that is
deemed tolerable for the section of road • The overall effects of the actions taken.
by the decision maker (see Chapter 6 for
details). This might consist of a percentage
of the overall network or regional safety
risk profile or an absolute criterion in terms
of ‘Users’ Killed and Seriously Injured
(KSI) and expert advice may be required.
Levels of performance for safety risk

November 2012 5/5


Chapter 5 Volume 0 Section 2
Principles of Safety Risk Assessment and Control Part 3 GD 04/12

Stage 5 – Safety Risk Analysis, Assessment and


Evaluation the safety risks for all populations. Risk control
normally involves expenditure and effort, and
it is likely that a variety of different risk control
5.16 For safety risk analysis the detail must be options that require different levels of investment
proportionate to the safety risks being considered. and effort will be identified. It is common practice
The appropriate safety risk analysis methods to review the BCR of the different options and
may be either qualitative, semi-quantitative or select those with the highest BCR. ‘Trade off’
quantitative. A range of safety risk measures are enables examination of the adverse consequences
also available for communicating the outputs of of options and the comparison of their relative
any safety risk analysis, including measures of effect; facilitating a balanced decision through a
individual and collective safety risk. For details ‘trade off’ between reducing the target risk (the risk
of generic safety risk analysis methods please see that you are seeking to address) and the increase in
Annex A. Outputs from safety risk analyses are other safety risks.
compared with tolerability criteria and associated
regions of safety risk (see paragraphs 5.8 – 5.14) 5.20 The process used must take account of safety
All potential delivery options for a project must risk implications for all affected populations. And
be considered and one recommended that is most the method to assess individual safety risk controls
likely to result in successful delivery whilst also shall be:
providing an acceptable level of benefit (and value
for money etc.). • Define the control option;

5.17 Populations with safety risks that fall into • Work out the safety risk implications (benefits
a broadly acceptable area must be regarded as and disbenefits) for all affected populations,
acceptable and no further risk controls introduced. including consideration of how the control
This means that if a population’s collective risk may affect human behaviour, (ie is there
exposure is located in the broadly acceptable region evidence to suggest that a population may
then further risk assessment is not necessary. behave differently because they feel safer
or less safe);

5.18 A Safety Risk Assessment Tool (see Annex C) • Consider if the option goes far enough to
has been provided to assist decision makers in assessing manage safety risk and if any disbenefits
the broad justification in terms of safety risk alone. This are tolerable (see below); and
tool does not address the other impacts and benefits of
• Revise the option as necessary and repeat
the proposal. Where the Risk Assessment Tool is used,
until the optimum solution for all populations
a copy of the risk matrix assessment, including the
is found.
potential hazards identified and the reasoning behind the
selection of severity, likelihood and Overall Risk Level
should be included within the Safety Risk Report, see
5.21 A hierarchy of control measures exists and
Stage 7 of this chapter.
this is known by the acronym ERIC, which stands
for Eliminate, Reduce, Isolate and Control. When
Stage 6 – Risk Control Decisions
considering control measures; the aim should be to
work down through the hierarchy; this means that the
5.19 Risk control is the process of implementing ideal option will be to eliminate the safety risk you are
measures that take into account the implications seeking to control, but this may be unachievable or
for either A) a single risk or B) a range of the costs disproportionate so the decision maker will
different risks and then what is needed to control progress down through the hierarchy applying benefit
them across the different populations. Final risk cost considerations at each level and to each safety risk
controls must maximise the collective benefit and being addressed. A flowchart for this element of the
demonstrate that controls go far enough to manage process is shown at Figure 72.

2 ‘Other Parties’ are out of scope of this decision-making flowchart.

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Understand current problem


(Risk Assessment)

Identify potential control options


(Hierarchy of controls)

Understand implications Understand implications Understand implications


of potential control options of potential control options of potential control options
for ‘Workers’ for ‘Users’ for ‘Other Parties’

Do control options go Do control options go Do control options


far enough for this far enough for this go far enough for
population/are any population/are any this population/
increases in risk increases in risk are any increases
tolerable tolerable in risk tolerable

Eliminate options,
revise as necessary
and repeat

Determine
preferred option

Figure 7 – Controls Decision-making Flowchart

5.22 Tests for whether control measures go far 5.23 The expected life/duration of the technical
enough or whether any disbenefits are tolerable product, project or scheme will vary according to
depend on the population and the associated the situation, e.g. for a technology product the life
responsibilities of the Agency to manage the may be 10 years, or for a three week maintenance
safety risk exposure to those populations (Chapter scheme it would be the duration of the scheme.
2, Table 1), and the tolerability criteria described For simple, low value control measures, this may
previously (at 5.11 – 5.14). When calculating costs be qualitative and based on the reasoned judgment
and benefits, technical evidence and judgments of a competent professional. However, as the level
must be used to define the expected life/duration of complexity, safety risk or uncertainty increases
of the technical product, project or scheme. The so must the level of quantification of costs and
COBA (Cost Benefit Analysis) manual provides benefits.
guidance on calculating BCR’s and the safety risk
rules for BCR’s are provided at 4.3. The tool at
Annex D may also be helpful.

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5.24 For ‘Users’, the definition of reasonableness


takes account of the following: 5.30 There is no simple methodology for
computing what is reasonably required and
• Costs, time or resources to introduce controls identifying a proportionate solution. Where there
in one area should not impact on the ability is a need to balance safety risk across different
to implement other safety measures that populations, the preferred safety risk control will
deliver more collective benefit or that have A maximise safety risk reduction to the population
a higher BCR. with the highest current level of individual or
collective safety risk exposure and B offer the least
• Controls should not have an unreasonable impact detriment to the trade off population and C will
on the performance of the network, as measured represent the best overall balance of net present
against criteria other than safety, e.g. journey value and benefit cost ratio.
times or air quality.

5.25 In addition, the costs associated with preventing 5.31 An extreme trade off example might be to spend
a fatality should not generally exceed the established £1m to prevent five staff suffering bruised knees is
value of preventing a fatality figure described in likely to be grossly disproportionate; but to spend £1m
‘WebTAG unit 3.4.1’ (Accidents Sub Objective- to prevent a bridge collapse capable of killing five
Table 3: Average value of prevention of road accidents people is likely to be proportionate.
by severity and element of cost).
5.32 At this stage it is appropriate to think about the
sensible review period for the safety risk assessment
5.26 For ‘Workers’ (Populations 1 and 2) and control measures under consideration.
evidence must be presented to demonstrate that
the sacrifice (in terms of time, money or effort) 5.33 The decision about whether or not a control
of doing more would be disproportionate to the measure is justified will often be based on economic
benefits gained from doing it. grounds. Thus if a control measure is being disregarded
then the impact to the population of any potential
5.27 For ‘Workers’ and ‘Users’ it can be increased safety risk stemming from this decision can
reasonable for the safety risks associated with be estimated in cost terms. This then can be compared
individual hazards to increase. However, the with the cost of doing more and thus allow a more
residual safety risk level must remain tolerable and informed decision to be reached. A Cost Benefit tool
the populations subject to the increase in safety has been provided at Annex D to help decision makers
risk is gaining some proportionate level of overall assess whether control measures go far enough. The tool
benefit from the project or decision as a whole. uses an order-of-magnitude technique which provides a
simplified methodology to allow designers to consider,
5.28 Where individual safety risk controls result on comparable terms, the control measure cost savings
in a safety benefit to one population, the outcome against a judgement of the maximum likely change in
for other populations must be that they are not safety risks. This tool should only be used as a filter and
disproportionately adversely affected in safety not a single deciding factor since non-accident related
terms and the residual safety risk to a negatively impacts (e.g. delays) are not taken into account.
affected population must always at least remain
within tolerable parameters.

5.29 Safety risk controls are not fixed. It is appropriate


to remove safety risk controls that are no longer
reasonable/reasonably practicable in circumstances
where safety risk profiles, legislation, or approved
codes of practice have changed.

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Stage 7 – Document Safety Risk Decision in a Safety Stage 9 – Update and Refresh the Safety Risk Report
Risk Report when Change Proposed

5.34 Details of the safety risk assessment must 5.37 Safety risk assessments contained within
be recorded in a safety risk report, the detail of a safety risk report are live documents which
which will be commensurate with the matter under must be reviewed and updated throughout the
consideration and will include: life of the project and its subsequent migration
to maintenance and operation as part of the SRN:
• the hazards identified and evidence
considered; • whenever the activity they relate to
changes; or
• details of the safety risk analysis and safety
risk assessment; • when new information or findings from
any investigations or problems reported
• details of safety risk controls considered by Workers/Others means that the outcome
and the rationale for why the final choice of may change;
safety risk control was considered sufficient;
• to reflect any changes in legislation.
• any time limits on the validity of the safety
risk assessment/any known or anticipated 5.38 When risk assessments are updated
changes that would require the safety risk consideration should be given to industry best
assessment to be reviewed; practice, budgets and other duties, change in
situation and ensuring that controls remain
• who did the safety risk assessment (and reasonably required.
evidence that they were competent, see
Chapter 7 for competence requirements).
Stage 10 – Monitor and Review Safety Risk Report
5.35 The scale of the safety risk report will be Assumptions
guided by the complexity of the situation, it may
be a standalone report for a Type C decision and
equally for a Type A decision could be a composite 5.39 The assumptions that were used to:
part or section of another project report.
• inform the risk analysis and assessment;

Stage 8 – Handover of Safety Risk Report • inform the risk controls;


to Operators
• inform the decisions about whether risks
are tolerable;
5.36 The safety risk report is a living document
that must be handed on to the next responsible must be updated periodically to ensure that
authority, be that a different part of the same uncertainties are validated and performance
organisation or a separate organisation, where this reviewed. The monitoring regime shall be
is appropriate, e.g. a built road scheme passing contained within the safety risk report.
from those responsible for construction to those
responsible for operation and management. Thus it
must be retained in a suitable format to make sure
that it is retrievable for the life of the safety risk
controls to which it relates.

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Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 6
Part 3 GD 04/12 Technical Requirements

6. Technical Requirements

6.1 The previous chapters have articulated the general


requirements in terms of safety risk analysis, assessment 6.2 The minimum requirement is that the
and evaluation, the content of this chapter explains: outcome of safety risk analysis must be recorded
to demonstrate that decisions:
• Who should be the decision maker.
• Meet Agency requirements.
• What decision makers should take into account,
as part of their decision making. • Meet legal requirements.

• An approach that can be used to guide decision • Take account of all relevant factors.
making.
• Maximise the overall return from available
• How much information decision makers should resources.
document for an audit trail.
• Take account of any implications for others
affected by the decision, in both the short
and long term.

• Lead to reasonable, proportionate and


defensible set of actions.

• Produce an appropriate audit trail.

6.3 There are three main inputs into decision making


as shown in Figure 8.

Appraisal of
cost and
benefits

Decision
Making

Understand
Understand risks and
issues uncertainties

Figure 8 – Decision-making Inputs

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6.4 There are four principal steps to making a


decision and these are: 6.6 Decisions need to be made by the most
appropriate person and thus a method to identify
• defining the decision to be made; the decision boundaries must be applied; To do
this the decision must be characterised (i.e. wholly
• establishing decision objectives and determining Type A, B or C, or as containing a mix of Type
decision boundary; A, B or C characteristics). Table 2: provides an
approach that can be used to determine ‘features’
• evaluating disproportion and tolerability; and and thus characterise the decision; the feature
descriptions can be amended to suit the decision
• documenting the decision. under consideration.
6.5 The Agency uses a three-tiered approach (as
illustrated in Figure 9) to reflect the safety risks and
uncertainties associated with different decision levels
related to the complexity of issues. As the level of
complexity increases (e.g. the greater the number of
scheme elements and/or control measures are involved),
the greater the number of ‘trade off’/balancing decisions
that are required, so the higher the decision-making
referral goes.

Type C – These are decisions which are complex


infrequent and/or have major implications for the
SRN and, as such, require a detailed and rigorous
approach.

Type C Decisions
Type B – These are decisions that could have
Professional Roles some significant operational implications.

Type A – These are relatively


routine decisions, are familiar,
and without operational
implications. The main issue
for these types of decision
is to ensure they are made
consistently with minimum
effort and maximum efficiency.

Figure 9 – Decision-making Pyramid

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Features Type A Type B Type C


Specialist Technical/ Professional Safety Professional Roles
Coordinator Roles Advisors
What is the size of the decision Local, low density Local, high density or National, high density
impact? (geographically and in impact national, low density
terms; extent of the network, number
of ‘Users’/‘Workers’)
What are the cost implications of the Low Medium High
decision for the Agency?
What is the lifetime of the decision? Rest of the day Months to a few years Decades
(how long will the Agency be affected
by the decision)
What is the level of safety risk or Low Medium High
uncertainty associated with the
decision?
What is the policy or stakeholder Low Medium High
interest level? (how sensitive is it?)
Note: Stakeholder could be many bodies, e.g. user, worker, another road authority MP etc.

Table 2 – Characterising Decision Features

6.7 The decision maker should refer to any outputs 6.8 Having characterised the individual features of
from previous safety risk analysis, assessment and the decision (using Table 2) the next step is to determine
evaluation work in relation to the matter under a resultant overall type for each aspect of the decision-
consideration, e.g. if a decision or a feature within it has making process. The ‘characterisation rules’ in Table 3
previously been characterised as a Type C this should should then be used to identify the appropriate decision
inform the current decision level ascribed. All evidence maker; this will usually be decided by the project in
considered (both retrospective and new) should be consultation with the specialist technical advisor.
referenced in the safety risk report.

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Project Feature Decision Type Comments


Classifications
All Type A Type A Where all decision features are classified as Type A then the entire decision
will be of Type A.
All Type B Type B Where all decision features are classified as Type B then the entire decision
will be of Type B.
All Type C Type C Where all decision features are classified as Type C then the entire decision
will be of Type C.
Three or more Type B Where three or more decision features are classified as Type B and the
Type B, remainder are Type A, then the entire decision shall be of Type B.
remainder
Type A
Three or more Type C Where three or more decision features are classified as Type C then the
Type C entire decision shall be of Type C.
Equal Type B/C Where there is an equal distribution of classification features then the
distribution of decision shall be governed by the relative importance of the classifications,
classifications i.e. a decision may still be a Type B with two Type C features. In this
across features instance then the overall decision type would be Type B but the two
features that were identified as Type C would require a greater rigour
of analysis assessment and evaluation.

Table 3 – Characterisation Rules

6.9 When the general approach has been decided 6.11 Whatever criteria, employed, the same
between either Type A, B or C, the decision maker combination must be used for all options under
must then identify how individual options can be consideration so that like for like comparison can
compared to each other. This process is known as be made.
establishing decision criteria. The basic process for
undertaking this task is summarised in Figure 10.
6.12 The preferred option for assessment is Quantitative
6.10 Within the Figure 10 flowchart, value does – either financially (i.e. value in terms of £) or non-
not necessarily mean monetary, i.e. the results of financially (e.g. score out of 100, or absolute value
cost benefits analysis although this will often be the in units other than £). Where it is reasonable to do
case. Non-monetary types of decision criteria are: so, effort should be made to assess decision criteria
financially, as this is the easiest way of making direct
• Direct data – i.e. collision statistics, number comparison between the options. The last resort is
of vehicles. qualitative assessment, (e.g. high/medium/low or good/
average/poor) which should only be used where the
• Safety risk exposure of workers. required effort to collect additional robust information
is disproportionate to the scale of the decision or it is
• Safety risk exposure of users. not practical to quantify the decision criteria (e.g. some
dynamic decision making).
• Reliability/effect upon congestion.

• Financial.

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Establish individual
decision criteria

Determine the approach to


assessing criteria

For each option assess a ‘value’ for each


Revise Option of the criteria

Unacceptable For each option: Check criteria ‘values’

Acceptable

Assess individual options

Figure 10 – Basic Process for Establishing the Decision Criteria and Assessing Options
(see para 6.10 for explanation)

6.13 Type A decision criteria – These are 6.16 The main purpose of establishing decision
decisions which are relatively routine and familiar criteria and valuing individual options against them
so there should be plenty of existing professional is to inform an overall assessment (or valuation)
experience and direct data to inform Type A of the individual decision options. This will then
decisions thus; additional analysis should not be form the basis for a comparison of options in order
needed to inform these decisions. to identify the optimum solution. This is where the
decision maker must consider trade-off, balancing
6.14 Type B decision criteria – These are more decisions and wider implications.
complicated decisions where the Agency is likely
to have some knowledge and experience, but it
is unlikely that there will be sufficient directly 6.17 Further guidance on calculating the Net Present
relevant professional experience or data to form an Value (NPV) and BCR, including what costs and
evidence base. Consequently more formal analysis benefits to include and appropriate discount rates, is
will be required. provided in the HM Treasury Appraisal and Evaluation
in Central Government, the ‘Green Book’.
6.15 Type C decision criteria – these decisions are
more complex and less common there is likely to
be very little if any directly relevant professional
experience or data. Therefore Type C decisions will
need to make significant use of analysis.

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6.20 To assess tolerability reference should be made


6.18 When the decision value boundary has been to the most recent version of the ‘Information for
established and the need to escalate or delegate Managing Safety on the Highways Agency Network’
(see Figure 9 Decision-making Pyramid) has report. This report is updated annually and provides
been considered the next step is to take all of an update at a national level of user safety risk; please
the information gathered in the earlier stages of contact the team responsible for safety risk and
this chapter and make a decision. Depending on governance for advice, support and access.
the complexity of the situation this may mean
that ‘trade off’ between exposures needs to be
considered, safety risk balanced, or disproportion 6.21 Where there is more than one option then
considered. The decision maker’s workflow for the decision maker needs to make a ‘Balancing
‘trade off’ decisions is as shown in Figure 11. Judgment’. The process of doing this is often
known as Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA). In
6.19 It is only appropriate to consider trade off for this situation the decision maker will follow
a road population with an intolerable risk exposure the workflow at Figure 11 and compile a list
if the trade off is to improve that risk exposure. of acceptable proposals and plot these onto a
performance matrix (e.g. Table 4). This presents
the decision criteria and associated values for
each option, as determined from the steps set out
previously in this chapter.

Review Safety
Risk Report

Review current safety


risk exposure of populate

Review current safety


risk exposure of populate

New risk exposure is tolerable. New risk exposure


All reasonably required controls is intolerable
have been implemented
 
Accept proposal and Reject option and refer
document decision for additional analysis

Figure 11 – ‘Trade off’ Workflow

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Decision Options User Safety Worker Safety Risk Cost


Exposure
Option 1 2.5 PIAs saved/yr 1/1,500 £500k
Option 2 6 PIAs saved/yr 1/2,100 £1.5m
Option 3 4 PIAs saved/yr 1/1,050 £750k

Table 4 – Example of an MCA performance matrix

6.22 If the performance matrix does not clearly


indicate the best decision option it will be necessary
to either test for disproportion or convert the criteria
values (see para 6.10) to a consistent set of scores,
and then give relative weights to the criteria.

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Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 7
Part 3 GD 04/12 Roles, Responsibilities and Competence

7. Roles, Responsibilities and Competence

7.1 In order to assign appropriate competencies 7.4 Accountability must not be delegated for any
for each function/role involved in developing activity. However, responsibility can be. In practice
an option and taking it forward for a decision this distinction means that an individual who is
through the approval process, it is necessary accountable for completing a step in the decision
first to consider what is involved in each role. making/approval process can delegate the detailed
This consideration is provided by developing checking to another person, but in such a case they
a Responsible, Accountable, Consulted and must be sure that they are delegating the task to a
Informed (RACI) matrix for the process. Table 6 person with sufficient competence.
(overleaf) provides an example of a RACI with
suggested assignments. 7.5 Those who use this standard who are
participants in the safety risk management
process will need to refer to both the RACI and
7.2 The RACI matrix process requires that all of the competency definition charts to be clear about
steps in a process are mapped out and that each role their responsibilities, decision-making levels and
that undertakes an element of the process is identified. competency requirements. Assessing competence
Then appropriate RACI assignments are allocated to is covered later on in this chapter.
fields in the matrix by combining these two factors.
The interpretation of each RACI assignment is given
in Table 5.

7.3 The RACI matrix illustrates the interaction


between different roles and responsibilities for the
various tasks that make up the safety risk management
process and details differences in decision making/
approval responsibilities. Competence levels of
achievement are shown in Table 7.

Assignment Interpretation
Responsible This person is responsible for action/implementation and typically the individual(s) who
actually complete the task. However, in some circumstances this person may delegate
parts of the work to others, including other organisations. Under these circumstances they
retain responsibility for ensuring that the task is completed. Responsibility can be shared,
with the degree of responsibility on each person determined by the ‘Accountable’ person.
Accountable The individual or group who is ultimately answerable for the function/activity. Includes
‘yes’ or ‘no’ authority and veto power. Only one ‘A’ can be assigned to a function and this
accountability cannot be delegated to another role.
Consulted The individual(s) to be consulted prior to a final decision/action. Communication
should be two way, there being a requirement on whoever is consulted to respond to the
information provided.
Informed The individual(s) who needs to be informed after a decision/action is taken. The
communication is one way. There is no requirement for an informed person to respond.

Table 5 – RACI Assignments Interpretations

November 2012 7/1


7/2

Roles, Responsibilities and Competence


Chapter 7
Responsibility and Decision-making Levels Project HA Project HA Technical HA Regional Professional Professional
for Tasks Consultant/ Sponsor Specialist Manager Safety Advisor Roles
Designer

Project Safety Risk Task Decision Type/RACI assignment


Lifecycle Stage Management
Process

Options or Determine Define Project All types – R All types – A All types – C All types – C
feasibility stage the scope of Scope
the safety risk
assessment

Define safety All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
baseline –C –C
objectives

Characterise All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
Project Features –C –C

Agree Preferred Identify the Hazard All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
Option hazards identification –C –C

Identify and Confirm project All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
consider justification –C –C
organisational
safety risk
tolerance

Identify the All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
Agency’s safety –C –C
risk tolerance for
each population

High level safety Understand All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
risk analysis safety risks –C –C
and safety risk associated with

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assessment option

Part 3 GD 04/12
November 2012

Table 6 – Example of a Safety Risk Management RACI Matrix


November 2012

Part 3 GD 04/12
Volume 0 Section 2
Responsibility and Decision-making Levels Project HA Project HA Technical HA Regional Professional Professional
for Tasks Consultant/ Sponsor Specialist Manager Safety Advisor Roles
Designer

Project Safety Risk Task Decision Type/RACI assignment


Lifecycle Stage Management
Process

Establish current All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
level of safety –C –C
risk for each
population

Identify the All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
overall safety –C –C
risk benefit/
disbenefit
between options
considered

Development Detailed safety Understand All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B – C Type B – C Type C – C
Stage risk analysis and safety risks Type C – C Type C – C
detailed safety associated with
risk assessment option for all
populations
during all
phases of
implementation

Roles, Responsibilities and Competence


Establish current All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
level of safety –C –C
risk for each
population

Identify the All types – R All types – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
Agency’s safety –C –C
risk tolerance for
each population

Table 6 – Example of a Safety Risk Management RACI Matrix (continued

Chapter 7
7/3
7/4

Roles, Responsibilities and Competence


Chapter 7
Responsibility and Decision-making Levels Project HA Project HA Technical HA Regional Professional Professional
for Tasks Consultant/ Sponsor Specialist Manager Safety Advisor Roles
Designer

Project Safety Risk Task Decision Type/RACI assignment


Lifecycle Stage Management
Process

Determine if Type A and B Type A – A Type Type A – C Type B – C Type C – C/A


project justified –R B – C/A Type B – C Type B – C/A
on basis of
current level of
safety risk

Safety risk Identify potential All types – R Type A – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
Control safety risk –A –C
control options

Understand All types – R Type A – A All types – C Type B and C Type B and C Type C – C
implications for –A –C
each individual
population

Decide All types – I Type A – A All types – I Type A – I Type B – I


whether safety Type B – C/A Type B – A/C Type C – A/C
risk control Type C – C Type C – C
options for
each individual
population go
far enough are
any increases
in safety risk
tolerable

Consider trade- All types – I Type A – A All types – I Type A – I Type B – I


off/balancing of Type B – C/A Type B – A/C Type C – A/C

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safety risk Type C – C Type C – C

Part 3 GD 04/12
November 2012

Develop project All types – R All types – A All types – I All types – I Type B and C – I Type C – I
safety plan

Table 6 – Example of a Safety Risk Management RACI Matrix (continued)


November 2012

Part 3 GD 04/12
Volume 0 Section 2
Responsibility and Decision-making Levels Project HA Project HA Technical HA Regional Professional Professional
for Tasks Consultant/ Sponsor Specialist Manager Safety Advisor Roles
Designer

Project Safety Risk Task Decision Type/RACI assignment


Lifecycle Stage Management
Process

Construction or Document safety Ensure delivery All types – R All types – R Type C – C All types – A Type C – C Type C – C
implementation risk decision in a is as per the plan
stage safety risk report and all safety
risk controls
implemented

Document All types – R All types – R Type C – C All types – A Type C – C Type C – C
changes in
project safety
plan and develop
further as
necessary

Operation Handover of Validate All types – R All types – R Type C – C All types – A Type C – C Type C – C
safety risk report assumptions
to operators and clarify any
uncertainties

Update and Review All types – R All types – R Type C – C All types – A Type C – C Type C – C
fefresh the safety performance

Roles, Responsibilities and Competence


risk report when
change proposed.

Keep safety All types – R All types – R Type C – C All types – R Type C – C Type C – C
documentation
up to date

Table 6 – Example of a Safety Risk Management RACI Matrix (continued)

Chapter 7
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7.6 The essence of competence is relevance to the


workplace. What matters is that there is a proper focus 7.8 The development of competence is an
on both the safety risks that occur most often and those ongoing process. Individuals should develop their
with serious consequences. Competence is demonstrated competence through experience in the job and
by the ability of the individual to undertake the functions through training.
described in Chapters 5 and 6 of this Standard.
7.9 To evaluate the competence of individuals
an assessment will be required, assessments should
7.7 To be competent, an individual must be able focus on the individual and their role in particular
to demonstrate: functions to deliver projects. The assessment
should be proportionate to the safety risks,
• sufficient knowledge of the specific tasks to size and complexity of the work. It is therefore
be undertaken and the safety risks associated recommended that the levels of competence
with these; achievement as described in Table 7 is used.
These levels are relevant to all staff regardless of
• sufficient experience and ability; and grade and can be used to identify strengths and
weaknesses in current performance and define
• they can recognise their limitations and learning and development goals and progression
how these should be overcome (skills paths.
development plans).

7.10 The functions that individuals are engaged


in should then be measured against Table 7 levels
of competence, an assessment checklist is provided
at Table 8.

Level Description
Can lead/direct 1 Direct and plan the work of others and teams
Can guide and show 2 Lead peer review, check and verify the work of others
Can do independently 3 Undertake the function independently (though may receive contributions
from others)
Can contribute 4 Contributes to the work of others but doesn’t undertake the function
independently

Table 7 – Competence Levels of Achievement

7/6 November 2012


November 2012

Part 3 GD 04/12
Volume 0 Section 2
Competence areas/functions Description Levels of competence achievement

1 2 3 4

Can lead/ Can guide Can do Can


direct and show independently contribute

Safety risk terminology Hazard, safety risk, hazard identification, safety risk analysis,
safety risk assessment (or evaluation), safety risk control,
safety risk management, safety risk versus uncertainty

Legal context HSWA, MHSW Regs, CDM, Road Traffic Act, Highways
Act, Duty of care, corporate manslaughter, role of the HSE,
reasonably required

Safety risk management ALARP, GALE, precautionary principle, safety decision


principles making, importance of evidence/audit trails, safety
management systems (HSG65)

Determine the scope of Consideration, definition and documentation of the project


projects scope. The project/decision boundaries, impact on all
populations, local objectives, and local problems

Identify hazards arising from Checklists, brainstorming, qualitative, semi-quantitative,


scope of project and identify quantitative, risk matrices
safety risks to populations
associated with hazards

Define appropriate criteria Tolerability of safety risk, safety risk trade off (including

Roles, Responsibilities and Competence


and tolerance for populations individual and collective)

Gather analyse, assess and HA methodologies, event trees, fault trees, bow-tie, cause-
evaluate relevant data consequence, risk modelling, measures of safety risk, data
for safety risk analysis (and what to do if no data)

Analyse safety risk control Hierarchy of safety risk control, approaches to determining
options and decide preferred ‘reasonableness’ and procedures for actively managing
options safety risks

Decision-making HSMS; safety policy; organisation; operational procedures;


safety risk assessment methodologies; tolerability criteria;

Chapter 7
assurance; procedures for review of current approach;
potential issues with the current approach
7/7

Table 8 – Assessment Checklist


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 8
Part 3 GD 04/12 Glossary

8. Glossary

Term Explanation
Agency The Highways Agency.
Assumptions Assumptions are required in order to assess the degree of severity
and likelihood of the hazard.
Construction and maintenance Person whose job it is to perform construction and maintenance tasks
worker on projects, from within a safe working area.
CDM Regulations The Construction (Design and Management) Regulations.
Decision Maker The individual or group of individuals appointed with a mandate to consider
and determine safety risks at a defined level in accordance with this standard,
and identified on the project specific RACI charts. Decision Makers may be
in the Overseeing Organisation supply chain or the Overseeing Organisation
depending on the safety risks being considered and the requirements of the
project specific RACI chart. Decision Makers in the Overseeing Organisation
supply chain will also ensure that all the information pertinent to resolution of
the safety issue to be considered by the Overseeing Organisation is available
for that decision to be made.
Designer A person, group of persons or organisation performing the duties of a designer
as defined by the CDM Regulations 2007.
Design Standards The standards and specifications containing Mandatory Requirements
and used by the highway authority and stipulated as such in a standards
management system, other policy documents, contracts (e.g. ‘Employers
Requirements’) or a design brief or design statement.
Departure or Departure from A non-compliance with a Mandatory Requirement of a Declared Standard.
Standard(s)
Design Manual for Roads and The Stationery Office publication containing current standards, advice notes
Bridges (DMRB) and other guidance documents relating to the design, maintenance, operation
and improvement of motorways and trunk roads.
GALE Globally At Least Equivalent – a method of safety risk management
appropriate where safety improvements to ‘Users’ are not sought.
Hazard A source of potential harm which poses a threat to ‘Users’, ‘Workers’,
or third parties.
Highway Authority An organisation that is responsible for the maintenance of public roads.

November 2012 8/1


Chapter 8 Volume 0 Section 2
Glossary Part 3 GD 04/12

Term Explanation
Measures of impact Needs to reflect the purpose of the safety risk assessment. Typical measures
of impact used by the Agency include:
• Number of collisions.
• Number of casualties.
• Number of fatalities.
• Numbers of killed or seriously injured (KSIs).
• Fatalities and weighted injuries (FWI).
Mitigation measure The aim of mitigation is to reduce or alleviate the hazard safety risk through
the use of qualitative or quantitative actions. After the initial hazard analysis
the drafter of the technical requirements should be able to identify possible
mitigations.
National Vehicle Recovery Persons employed as part of the HA National Vehicle Recovery Service.
Service Operatives
Professional Safety Advisor A group comprising Safety Risk and Health and Safety specialists that
Group provide advice to Chief Highway Engineer.
Project Anything that involves work or an activity on or affecting the SRN,
including surveys and inspections and construction, maintenance, upgrading,
improvement and renewal projects.
Project Feature A high level property of the project that can be expected to affect safety
management requirements.
Project Manager Person representing the Agency’s interests on the project and to whom
the Project Consultant reports.
Project Sponsor Any person working for the Agency, representing the Agency’s interests
on the project.
Project Safety Risk The process of managing safety risks associated with project(s).
Management
Safety Risk The combination of the likelihood and the consequence of a specified hazard
being realised. It is a measure of harm or loss associated with an activity.
Safety Risk Analysis A procedure to identify threats and vulnerabilities, analyse them to ascertain
the exposures, and highlight how the impact can be eliminated or reduced.
Safety Risk Assessment The overall process of safety risk identification, safety risk analysis and safety
risk evaluation.
Safety Risk Evaluation A process that takes the output of safety risk analysis and compares each
safety risk level against the safety risk tolerance and prioritises safety risk
controls.
Safety Risk Management The overall process of safety risk assessment, plus processes for assigning
ownership of safety risks, taking actions to control them and then monitoring
and reviewing progress.

8/2 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 8
Part 3 GD 04/12 Glossary

Term Explanation
Safety Risk Measures The outputs from safety risk analysis should be expressed in terms
of appropriate safety risk measures. These may include measures of:
• individual safety risk;
• collective safety risk.
The decision to present results in terms of individual or collective safety risk
will be based on the intended use of the information.
Safety Objective A statement describing what if any contribution a project will deliver from
a safety perspective, generally associated with managed motorway projects
where the project is promoted on congestion reduction grounds.
Safety Risk Tolerance The threshold levels of safety risk exposure that, with appropriate approvals,
can be exceeded, but which when exceeded will trigger some form of
response (e.g. reporting the situation to senior management for action).

November 2012 8/3


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 9
Part 3 GD 04/12 Normative and Informative References

9. Normative and Informative References

Normative – separate documents referenced within the standard (unless otherwise stated, the most recent versions
of the separate documents should be referenced.

Title Location of Document


Health and Safety At Work Act 1974 HSE Books
Design Manual for Roads and Bridges The Stationary Office
Management Arrangements for Health and Safety The Highways Agency
Agency Work Instructions and/or Guidance
Information for Managing Safety on the Highways Agency Network
WebTAG unit 3.4.1 (Accidents Sub Objective-Table 3: Average value Department for Transport
of prevention of road accidents by severity and element of cost
Transport Statistics Great Britain

Informative – provides only additional background information.

Title Location of Document


Reducing Risks Protecting People HSE Books
Construction Design and Management Regulations 2007
Road Traffic Act 1988 The Stationary Office
Highways Act 1980
Green Book
Health and Safety At Work Act 1974 HSE Books
Managing the accidental obstruction of the railway by road vehicles Department for Transport
COBA (Cost Benefit Analysis) manual
Aiming for Zero The Highways Agency

November 2012 9/1


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 10
Part 3 GD 04/12 Abbreviations and Acronyms

10. abbreviations and Acronyms

AfZ Aiming For Zero


ALARP As Low As Reasonably Practicable
BCR Benefit Cost Ratio
BVM Billion Vehicle Miles
COBA Cost Benefit Analysis
DfT Department for Transport
DMRB Design Manual for Roads and Bridges
ERIC Eliminate Reduce Isolate Control
FWI Fatality and Weighted Injury
GALE Globally at Least Equivalent
HSE Health & Safety Executive
KMS Kilometres
KSI Killed or Seriously Injured
MCA Multi criteria analysis
MAHS Management Arrangements for Health and Safety
MM Managed Motorway
NPV Net Present Value
NSCRG National Safety Control Review Group
PIA Personal Injury Accident
PSCRG Project Safety Control Review Group
PSA Professional Safety Advisor
PSRM Project Safety Risk Management
RACI Responsible Accountable Consulted Informed
R2P2 Reducing Risk Protecting People
SFAIRP So Far As Is Reasonably Practicable
SMS Safety Management System
SRN Strategic Road Network
TOR Tolerability of Risk
TSGB Transport Statistics Great Britain
VPF Value of Preventing a Fatality
WI Work Instructions

November 2012 10/1


Volume 0 Section 2 Chapter 11
Part 3 GD 04/12 Enquiries

11. enquiries

All technical enquiries or comments on this Standard should be sent in writing as appropriate to:

Chief Highway Engineer


The Highways Agency
123 Buckingham Palace Road
London G CLARKE
SW1W 9HA Chief Highway Engineer

This document was notified in draft to the European Commission in accordance with Directive 98/34/EC,
as amended by Directive 98/48/EC.

November 2012 11/1


Volume 0 Section 2 Annex A
Part 3 GD 04/12 Generic Safety Risk Analysis Methods

Annex A Generic Safety risk Analysis


Methods

Qualitative Quantitative

A1.1 Qualitative safety risk analysis methods generally A1.5 Quantitative safety risk analysis produces a single
assess the likelihood and impact components of safety point (absolute) value of safety risk, e.g. safety risk
risk using non-numerical, descriptive terms, e.g. high, of 2.3KSIs/yr. This is good for:
medium, and low. Results are often presented in a
likelihood-impact matrix. • detailed analysis of smaller numbers of
hazards, each of which has a range of possible
A1.2 This type of safety risk analysis is generally used consequences;
where there is a need for a quick prioritisation of a large
number of disparate safety risks. It is not generally • taking data into account;
appropriate where:
• situations where there is a need to obtain a
• there is a requirement for a detailed analysis of reasonable estimate of the overall (total) safety
whether or not targets have been met; risk for an activity or hazard.

• there is a need to take numerical data into A1.6 This type of analysis is not generally appropriate
account; for analysis of large numbers of disparate safety risks.

• there is a need to determine an overall (total)


level of safety risk from a particular activity
or project option;

• there is a need to demonstrate the adequacy of


any safety risk controls or residual safety risk
levels using cost-benefit analysis.

Semi-quantitative

A1.3 Semi-quantitative safety risk analysis methods


tend to place likelihood and impact measures into bands
or numerical ranges, e.g. likelihood of ‘once every 5–10
years’; impact of ‘1–5 casualties’. As with qualitative
analysis, results are usually presented in a likelihood-
impact matrix.

A1.4 This type of safety risk analysis is generally


used where there is a need for absolute prioritisation
of a large number of disparate safety risks, using expert
judgments (or even data) expressed in numerical terms.
It can also be used to get an indication of overall (total)
safety risk from an activity or hazard. It is not generally
appropriate for detailed analysis of small numbers
of hazards, each of which has a range of possible
consequences.

November 2012 A/1


Volume 0 Section 2 Annex B
Part 3 GD 04/12 Average Road User Safety Risk on GB Roads

Annex B Average road user safety risk


on GB roads

B1.1 The calculations presented here can be used to


inform the section on risk tolerance criteria for road
users in this standard.

Basis of the Analysis

B1.2 Data used in this analysis was taken from


Transport Statistics Great Britain (TSGB), each year
new data is added and the calendar year relevant to these
calculations was 2011 (TSGB 2011) with the exception
of the numbers of fatalities by road type which have been
taken as the three-year average 2007-09 from the 2010
TSGB statistics because TSGB 2011 does not appear to
report fatality numbers by road type.

B1.3 A critical assumption in the following calculations


is that the results apply to road user safety risk on GB
roads. Whilst it may be possible to derive the equivalent
statistics for roads in England only, this has not been
undertaken at this stage.

Basic Data Used in the Analysis

B1.4 The tables show extracts from the TSGB data


that we have used for the analysis. Those numbers
with a letter after them (e.g. ‘(a)’) are referred to in
the equations that describe the calculations.

Year Major roads (billion vehicle kilometres)


Motorway A’ roads All major roads
Rural Urban All ‘A’ roads
2010 98.2 (a) 139.8 79.7 219.5 317.7

Table B1 – Motor Vehicle Traffic by Road Class (TSGB 2011, Table TRA0202b)

Billion vehicle kilometres


Year Cars and taxis Motorcycles Buses and Light vans Goods All motor
coaches vehicles vehicles
2010 392.4 4.7 5.2 67.2 26.4 495.9
% total 79% (b) 1% 1% 14% 5% 100%
vehicle
kms

Table B2 – Road Traffic by Vehicle Type (TSGB 2011, Table TRA0201)

November 2012 B/1


Annex B Volume 0 Section 2
Average Road User Safety Risk on GB Roads Part 3 GD 04/12

Number of Registered Vehicles (TSGB 2011,


Table RDE0103)

B1.5 42.9 million (c)

Number of Full Car Driving Licence Holders


(TSGB 2011, Table NTS0201)

B1.6 35.3 million (d)

2007 2008 2009 3 yr average


Motorways 154 136 114 135 (e)
Urban A roads 469 420 374 421
Rural A roads 1,018 858 790 889
All A roads 1,487 1,278 1,164 1,310

Table B3 – Numbers of Fatalities by Road Class (TSGB 2010, Table 8.3)

Calculating Average Road User Safety Risk on GB


Motorways and ‘A’ Roads

B1.7 There are two sets of calculations to support this:

1. Based on average vehicle kilometres per


registered vehicle on motorways and ‘A’ roads.

2. Based on average kilometres per car driving


licence on motorways and ‘A’ roads.

Motorways Rural ‘A’ Urban ‘A’ All ‘A’


Average kilometres per registered vehicle 2,291 (u) 3,261 1,859 5,120
Average fatalities per registered vehicle 3.1E-06 (v) 2.1E-05 9.8E-06 3.1E-05
Average risk of fatality of one in …….. 318,324 (w) 48,238 101,823 32,732

Table B4 – Analysis Per Registered Vehicle

Motorways Rural ‘A’ Urban ‘A’ All ‘A’


Average kilometres per car driving licence 2,202 (x) 3,135 1,787 4,922
Average fatalities per car driving licence 3.0E-06 (y) 2.0E-05 9.4E-06 2.9E-05
Average risk of fatality of one in …….. 331,183 (z) 50,187 105,937 34,054

Table B5 – Analysis Per Car Driving Licence

B/2 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Annex B
Part 3 GD 04/12 Average Road User Safety Risk on GB Roads

Deriving the Numbers Tolerance Criteria

B1.8 The following equations show how the numbers B1.11 The following schematic shows a possible
were derived for motorways. The numbers for ‘A’ tolerance criteria framework for road users. There
roads are derived in a similar manner. Note that the is no statutory basis for road user safety risk upon
intermediate numbers presented here have been subject which we have drawn the criteria that determine the
to rounding for presentation purposes so may not boundaries between the three regions in the framework:
generate the same final results. unacceptable; tolerable and broadly acceptable.
However, the numbers shown are the same as those
u = a / c = 98.2 × 109/42.9 × 106 = 2,291 used in the Tolerability of Risk framework used by the
v = e / c = 135/42.9 × 106 = 3.1×10­6 HSE for fatality risk to members of the public.
w = 1 / v = 1/3.1 × 10-6 = 318,324
B1.12 Based on the simple analysis shown above and
x = (a × b) / d = (98.2 × 109 × 0.79) / 35.3 × 106 = 2,202 using the proposed numbers we can map the average
y = (e × b) / d = (135 × 0.79) / 35.3 × 106 = 3.0×10-6 annual road user risk of fatality onto it and it can be
z = 1 / y = 1/3.0 × 10-6 = 331,183 seen that in all cases the road user annual risk of fatality
is firmly in the ‘tolerable’ region defined by the criteria
B1.9 It can be seen that there is very little difference suggested. In this form it should be clear that whilst the
in the results when the analysis is based on either total annual risk of road user fatality is tolerable on all road
numbers of registered vehicles or total numbers of car types considered here, motorways are the safest roads
driving licences. and are some six times safer than rural ‘A’ roads.
B1.10 For the purposes of establishing relatively
simple numbers that are consistent with the analysis
above we would propose the following average annual
risk of fatality to road users of:

Motorways 1 in 320,000
Urban ‘A’ roads 1 in 100,000
Rural ‘A’ roads 1 in 50,000

November 2012 B/3


Annex B Volume 0 Section 2
Average Road User Safety Risk on GB Roads Part 3 GD 04/12

Annual risk of death to individual road user Unacceptable

1 in 10,000

Rural ‘A’ roads, 1 in 50,000

Tolerable Urban ‘A’ roads, 1 in 100,000

Motorways, 1 in 320,000

1 in 1,000,000

Broadly acceptable

Figure B1 – Annual Risk Death to Individual Road Users

Discussion

1. The numbers used to generate this analysis are based on the TSGB and so do not represent the SRN exactly.

2. The analysis is based on all road motor vehicles with a refinement for car vehicles only.

3. The analysis is conservative in that it assumes that the population of road users is determined by the number
of registered vehicles or car vehicle licences. This is the same as assuming an average vehicle occupancy of
1.0 whereas we know that it varies between 1.2 and 1.5. If occupancy were taken into account this would
result in a decrease in the average vehicle kms per road user with an associated reduction in the annual
individual risk of fatality.

B/4 November 2012


Volume 0 Section 2 Annex C
Part 3 GD 04/12 Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Tool

Annex C Hazard Identification and Risk


Assessment Tool

OVERVIEW engineering judgement, consider all the factors that


affect probability in each individual case and select a
C1.1 Risk is the likelihood of potential harm from a category. The reasoning behind the selection of category
hazard being realised. The extent of risk will depend on: should be recorded. The selection should be based on
additional accidents possible as a result of the decision,
• The likelihood/probability of that harm occurring. not an expectation of ‘inherent’ underlying accidents for
the route or junction type.
• The potential severity of that harm, i.e. of any
resultant injury or adverse health effect. Step 4: Assess the Risk Classification for each hazard
• The population which might be affected by C1.6 Use the risk matrix below to assess the risk
the hazard, i.e. the number of people who might associated with each hazard. Each hazard may result
be exposed. in significant variations in risk between populations.
C1.2 There are various matrix methods of assessing Step 5: Assess the overall Risk Classification for
and recording risk. An example is given overleaf. the Decision
Step 1: Identification of hazards C1.7 Where different populations are considered
separately, the element with the greatest Risk
C1.3 The first step of methodology involves the Classification will generally define the overall Risk
identification of potential hazards. Classification for the hazard.
Step 2: Assess the potential severity of harm C1.8 Where there is more than one hazard, the hazard
with the greatest Risk Classification will generally
C1.4 For each hazard, make an assessment of the define the overall Risk Classification. However, the
potential severity in terms of accident type. The person making the assessment needs to exercise
reasoning behind the selection of severity category engineering judgement and a greater or lesser overall
should be recorded. The severity is normally related Risk Classification may be selected provided that the
to the most typical outcome rather than the worst case reasoning behind this decision is recorded.
outcome. Reported Road Casualties Great Britain gives
information at a national scale of severity outcomes, but
local data should also be referred to.

Step 3: Assess the likelihood/probability

C1.5 For each hazard make an assessment of the


relative probability of an accident occurring, bearing
in mind that any accident is rare, random and multi-
factored. Probability is a function of exposure in
combination with other factors. Exposure can be
derived from vehicle flows and compositions. Other
factors that can affect likelihood include route type,
route function, route location. Using experience and

November 2012 C/1


Example Method of Hazard Identificationand Risk Assessment
C/2

Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Tool


Annex C
Project/Decision Date
Decision Maker/Assessor Contact Details

Ref Hazard Description P S R Response/Control Measure P S R Details


1
2
3

Risk classification and required action

Probability (P) Severity (S) Risk Classification (R)


1 2 3 4 5
Minor Moderate Serious Major Catastrophic Low (1–9) Ensure assumed control measures are
maintained and reviewed as necessary
1 Extremely unlikely 1 2 3 4 5
2 Unlikely 2 4 6 8 10 Medium (10–19) – Additional control measures
3 Likely 3 6 9 12 15 needed to reduce risk rating to a level which is
equivalent to a test of ‘reasonably required’ for
the population concerned.
4 Extremely Likely 4 8 12 16 20 High (20–25) – Activity not permitted. Hazard to
5 Almost Certain 5 10 15 20 25 be avoided or risk to be reduced to tolerable

Probability that harm will occur Most common potential severity of harm e.g.
1 Extremely unlikely Highly improbable, never known 1 Minor harm Minor damage or loss no injury
to occur
2 Unlikely Less than 1 per 10 years 2 Moderate harm Slight injury or illness, moderate

Volume 0 Section 2
damage or loss

Part 3 GD 04/12
November 2012

3 Likely Once every 5–10 years 3 Serious harm Serious injury or illness, substantial
damage or loss
4 Extremely likely Once every 1–4 years 4 Major harm Fatal injury, major damage or loss
5 Almost certain Once a year 5 Catastrophic harm Multiple fatalities, catastrophic loss
or damage
Volume 0 Section 2 Annex D
Part 3 GD 04/12 Cost Benefit Tool

Annex d COST BENEFIT TOOL

Introduction Step 3

D1.1 This tool is an order-of-magnitude technique D1.6 Obtain the total number of accidents equivalent
which provides a simplified methodology to allow to the savings in whole life cost (N1)
decision makers to consider, on comparable terms, the
N1 = ΔC/A
whole life cost savings of non-inclusion of a control
measure against the decision maker’s judgement of D1.7 To obtain an equivalent annual accident figure
the maximum likely change in annual traffic accidents (N2), it is suggested that N1 is divided by the time
arising from the non-inclusion. limits of the decision/scheme/project/life.

Method Step 4

D1.2 The methodology suggested here only applies D1.8 Compare the annual number of accidents
to localised changes to the infrastructure that are likely equivalent to the savings in whole life cost (N2)
to have no more than a minimal impact on other parts against the designer’s judgement of the maximum
of the network. This method of appraisal focuses increase in annual accident numbers likely to be caused
on comparing potential increases in the number of by the Decision from the design parameters required
accidents (the impacts) against whole life cost savings by the Standard. Note: This can only be an order-of-
from the infrastructure (the benefits). The analysis magnitude assessment not a detailed calculation.
concentrates on safety effects, without considering
vehicle, operating and time costs. Site evaluation

D1.3 The methodology for the appraisal has the D1.9 It is stressed that this technique does not provide
following steps: an ‘answer’; it is simply an aid to designers in balancing
cost savings against possible increases in potential
Step 1 accident risk. The technique will be particularly helpful
where the ‘accident equivalent’ of the whole life cost
D1.4 Obtain the savings in whole life costs (ΔC). saving is substantially larger (perhaps by several
These are derived using the following expression: orders of magnitude) than any possible risk that could
reasonably be expected to result from the decision, or
ΔC = C2 – C1 vice versa. But, even where this is the case, the designer
where C2 represents the whole life cost of the control should ultimately judge whether the decision is likely
measure(s), while C1 represents the whole life cost with to be justified or not.
the control measure(s) incorporated. Scheme evaluation
Step 2 D1.10 Where the application of the above technique
shows that the decision may be associated with accident
D1.5 Obtain the typical cost of an average accident
disbenefit costs and these costs outweigh the potential
(A) for the relevant road type using the information
whole life cost savings, the decision maker should:
published in the latest version of ‘Reported Road
Casualties Great Britain’ which is published annually. It • Consider the other non-safety benefits and their
can be found on the Department for Transport’s website. relative importance.
This document gives the average cost of the prevention
of accidents for each injury category and different road • Consider the scale of overall (macro level)
types. Select the appropriate figure for the particular predicted scheme safety benefits for all design
decision site. elements and how these compare with the (micro
level) accident disbenefit costs at the geographic
location of the site and determine if the overall
safety benefits are justified, i.e. macro level
benefits minus the sum of individual micro level-
related disbenefits.

November 2012 D/1

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