COVID Symptom Study Report

12 May 2021

Analysis by ZOE and King's College London

covid.joinzoe.com
Daily new cases of COVID - Incidence (based on 2 weeks up
to 08 May 2021)
We estimate there have been 2844 daily new cases of COVID in the UK on average over
the two weeks up to 08 May 2021. This is based on the number of newly symptomatic
app users per day, and the proportion of these who give positive swab tests.

Daily new cases of COVID per 100,000 (08 May 2021) [1]

Daily new cases per 100,000 R

England 3-6 1.3 (1.1 - 1.5)
Scotland 0 - 25 1.3 (1.0 - 1.6)
Wales 0 - 13 1.0 (0.6 - 1.3)
South East 1-6 1.3 (1.0 - 1.8)
London 2 - 13 1.4 (1.0 - 1.9)
East of England 2 - 13 2.1 (1.3 - 3.3)
South West 0-7 1.2 (0.8 - 1.7)
North West 3 - 19 1.1 (0.7 - 1.5)
Yorkshire and The Humber 4 - 25 1.1 (1.0 - 1.4)
East Midlands 0 - 14 1.0 (0.7 - 1.3)
West Midlands 0 - 15 1.2 (0.8 - 1.8)
North East 0 - 21 - (- - -)
Northern Ireland 0 - 83 - (- - -)

[1] Please refer to the publication by Varsavsky at al. (2020) for details on how R values are calculated
Changes in daily new cases of COVID in UK (based on 2 weeks up to each date)

Changes in daily new cases of COVID per 100,000 in different regions (based on 2 weeks up to each date)
COVID active cases - Prevalence (on 11 May 2021)
The COVID active cases (prevalence) or Symptomatic COVID estimate is based on the
most recent report for each contributor that logged during the previous 7 days.

Estimated rate of people with Symptomatic COVID

Local Authorities’ Watch list for Active Cases of COVID-19
The following are UTLA regions with the highest estimates of prevalence rates averaged
over the past week.
Rates (cases per 100,000 Last Week # of App
people) Trend Users
region UTLA region
North West Bolton 149 ● 1791
Stockport 120 ▲ 3975
Scotland East Dunbartonshire 214 ● 1493
Falkirk 367 ● 974
Yorkshire and The Humber Doncaster 183 ▲ 1925
Rotherham 119 ● 1625
Wakefield 317 ▲ 2367

▲ implies an increase in prevalence in the past week

● implies that prevalence has been fairly constant in the past week
▼ implies a decrease in prevalence in the past week
Symptomatic COVID by Nations and Regions

Rates (cases per 100,000

Cases Rates (1 in X people)
people)

East Midlands 1968 41 1 in 2420

East of England 1712 28 1 in 3584
London 4641 52 1 in 1908
North East 546 21 1 in 4824
North West 4253 59 1 in 1700
(*) Northern Ireland Estimate not available Estimate not available Estimate not available
Scotland 5188 96 1 in 1038
South East 2072 23 1 in 4362
South West 847 15 1 in 6531
Wales 1235 40 1 in 2518
West Midlands 2440 42 1 in 2397
Yorkshire and The Humber 6894 127 1 in 788
TOTAL 31796 50 1 in 2012
(*) The number of respondents in Northern Ireland is low to generate a good estimate.

Symptomatic COVID by Socio-economic status (IMD)

Rates (cases per 100,000

Cases Rates (1 in X people)
people)
LOW (1st - 3rd decile ) 10180 51 1 in 1955
MEDIUM (4th - 6th decile) 12625 63 1 in 1589
HIGH (7th - 10th decile) 8991 35 1 in 2878
TOTAL 31796 48 1 in 2070

Symptomatic COVID by Age

Rates (cases per 100,000

Cases Rates (1 in X people)
people)
Age 0 - 9 2230 28 1 in 3611
Age 10 - 19 6849 91 1 in 1098
Age 20 - 29 5520 63 1 in 1579
Age 30 - 39 7013 79 1 in 1260
Age 40 - 49 5146 61 1 in 1651
Age 50 - 59 2518 28 1 in 3561
Age 60 - 69 1292 18 1 in 5469
Age 70 - 79 1050 19 1 in 5223
Age 80 - 89 179 7 1 in 15114
TOTAL 31796 48 1 in 2070
Estimate of people with Symptomatic COVID across Nations and Regions

Last 3 months

Last month
Estimated rate of people with Symptomatic COVID across Nations and Regions

Last 3 months

Last month
Estimated rate of people with Symptomatic COVID across age groups in the UK

Last 3 months

Last month
Raw Data (up to 11 May 2021)
This section reports raw data by day, with no temporal averaging or rebalancing/
extrapolation to the UK population.

Users who logged feeling unwell in the last 24 hours

# users who logged # users who logged % users who logged

feeling well feeling unwell feeling unwell

East Midlands 36021 1113 3.00 %

East of England 65959 1910 2.81 %
London 69376 2544 3.54 %
North East 15706 462 2.86 %
North West 45173 1398 3.00 %
Northern Ireland 2979 105 3.40 %
Scotland 30847 908 2.86 %
South East 122044 3285 2.62 %
South West 66549 1861 2.72 %
Wales 27133 775 2.78 %
West Midlands 35735 1006 2.74 %
Yorkshire and The Humber 36699 1131 2.99 %
TOTAL 554221 16498 2.89 %
Newly Sick Users by Day (% of Active Users)

Active users are those who have been logging regularly in the past 10 days. Newly sick
users are active users who haven't reported any symptoms for at least 9 days before
reporting one of the following symptoms:

Persistent cough, Shortness of breath, Fever, Fatigue, Skipped meals, Hoarse voice, Sore
throat, Delirium, Chest pain, Abdominal pain, Diarrhoea, Headache, Unusual muscle pains,
Loss of smell, Chills or shivers, Eye soreness, Nausea, Dizzy light headed, Red welts on
face or lips, Blisters on feet or any other symptom that makes them feel unwell

Positive Test Results by Day (% of Invited Test Takers)