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PRICING
ANALYTICS
Instrument Pricing Analytics (IPA)
Snapshot
History
history Upload Analytic Client
Data Derived
data Application
wrangling computation data
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streaming
LIBOR TRANSITION
7
WHAT IS HAPPENING TO LIBOR?
USA
USD
SOFR April 2018
Federal Reserve Bank of New
Overnight US Treasury repo (new) RFRs IBORs
LIBOR York
Interbank Offered
GBP Overnight unsecured deposit
UK
LIBOR
SONIA April 2018 Bank of England
(enhanced)
Overnight Deposits Rates Overnight to
1Year
Eurozone EURIBOR €STR October 2019 ECB Overnight unsecured deposit (new)
December
Japan TIBOR TONA Bank of Japan Overnight unsecured call rate (existing) Risk Free or Nearly Incorporates Credit
2016
Risk Free Risk
Cash Rate
Australia BBSW 2017 Reserve Bank of Australia Overnight unsecured fund (existing)
(AONIA)
Submission, or Partly
Enhanced November Transaction Based
Canada CDOR
CORRA 2018
Bank of Canada Overnight repo transactions (enhanced) Transaction Based
Monetary Authority of
Singapore SIBOR SORA August 2019 Overnight unsecured transactions
Singapore
New issues won’t reference IBOR
index after end 2021 and before
Hong Kong HIBOR HONIA April 2019 Treasury Markets Association Overnight unsecured transactions
IBOR rate publication will be
discontinued from 2021 for some
countries!
9 Managing LIBOR transition
GENERAL MARKET ADVICE GIVEN TO MOVE OFF IBORS BY INDUSTRY GROUPS
Reference Backward looking RFRs Reference RFRs or Term Rate RFR if available
or term rate RFR once available
New Cash Products
11
FLOATING RATE NOTE MARKET : NEW ISSUES WITH RFRS
Outstanding Notional
RFR Index Number of active issues Local Currency
AONIA 3 1 730 M
CORRA 3 603 M
€STR 7 4 850 M
SONIA 168 101 390 M
SORA 8 6 920 M
SOFR 839 656 065 M
Grand Total 1028 -
Source: EJV GovCorp Database / March 19th, 2021
𝑑𝑑𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅min(𝑖𝑖,𝑑𝑑𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 −𝑘𝑘) ∗ 𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖 𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌 T
Compounding � 1+
𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌
−1
𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐
& Lockout k days 𝑖𝑖=1
14
PRICING IMPACT : WHICH YIELD CURVES?
Floating Rates Notes and other Cash Instrument referencing a new RFR Index
• Use a forward curve on RFRs (using RFR ON deposits, Futures on RFR and Swaps on RFRs)
• Use an Issuer Curve or Sector Curve for discounting
Floating Rates Notes and other Cash Instrument still referencing an iBOR Index
• Use a forward curve on iBOR (which is built from a RFR Curve and basis swaps between IBOR and RFRs)
• Use an Issuer Curve or Sector Curve for discounting
P
Coupon determined
Coupon estimated
t
𝑇𝑇𝑚𝑚−1 𝑇𝑇𝑚𝑚 𝑇𝑇𝑛𝑛
1 𝐵𝐵𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑡𝑡,𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖−1
𝐹𝐹𝑖𝑖 = 𝐹𝐹 𝑡𝑡, 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖−1 , 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 = − 1 , same as for a Forward Libor
𝜏𝜏(𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖−1 ,𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 ) 𝐵𝐵𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑡𝑡,𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖
𝐵𝐵𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑡𝑡, 𝑡𝑡 ′ = Discount factor between t and t’ based on the RFR Curve
𝐵𝐵𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑡𝑡, 𝑡𝑡 ′ = Discount factor between t and t’ based on the risky bond curve
𝜏𝜏 𝑡𝑡, 𝑡𝑡 ′ = Day count fraction between t and t’
16 Managing LIBOR transition P = Principal s = annualized spread