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This project comprises of a study on fundamental analysis of WIPRO and contains economic,
The study basically makes fundamental analysis of WIPRO and contains economic, company
and industry analysis in IT sector and tries to identify the intrinsic value of the company by using
the published financial details of the company. The study is restricted to one particular company
in the sector. The study also includes testing the intrinsic value of the company.
To recommend whether to buy, hold or sell the stock based on the analysis of p&l
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY:-
This project is prepared by using secondary data obtained from various websites.
The study was confined only to one particular sector and one company.
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CHAPTER 1: AN INTRODUCTION TO FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental analysis is a stock valuation methodology that uses financial and economic analysis
to envisage the movement of stock prices. The fundamental data that is analysed could include a
company’s financial reports and non-financial information such as estimates of its growth,
demand for products sold by the company, industry comparisons, economy-wide changes,
changes in government policies etc.The outcome of fundamental analysis is a value (or a range
of values) of the stock of the company called its ‘intrinsic value’ (often called ‘price target’ in
fundamental analysts’ parlance). To a fundamental investor, the market price of a stock tends to
revert towards its intrinsic value. If the intrinsic value of a stock is above the current market
price, the investor would purchase the stock because he believes that the stock price would rise
and move towards its intrinsic value. If the intrinsic value of a stock is below the market price,
the investor would sell the stock because he believes that the stock price is going to fall and
come closer to its intrinsic value.To find the intrinsic value of a company, the fundamental
analyst initially takes a top-down view of the economic environment; the current and future
overall health of the economy as a whole. After the analysis of the macro-economy, the next step
is to analyse the industry environment which the firm is operating in. One should analyse all the
factors that give the firm a competitive advantage in its sector, such as, management experience,
history of performance, growth potential, low cost of production, brand name etc. This step of
the analysis entails finding out as much as possible about the industry and the inter-relationships
of the companies operating in the industry .The next step is to study the company and its
products.
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Strengths and Weakness of Fundamental Analysis
Strength
Long-term Trends:
Fundamental analysis is good for long-term investments based on long-term trends, very long-
term. The ability to identify and predict long-term economic, demographic, technological or
consumer trends can benefit patient investors who pick the right industry groups or companies.
Value Spotting:
Sound fundamental analysis will help identify companies that represent good value. Some of the
most legendary investors think long-term and value. Graham and Dodd, Warren Buffett and John
Neff are seen as the champions of value investing. Fundamental analysis can help uncover
companies with valuable assets, a strong balance sheet, stable earnings and staying power.
Business Acumen:
One of the most obvious, but less tangible, rewards of fundamental analysis is the development
of a thorough understanding of the business. After such painstaking research and analysis, an
investor will be familiar with the key revenue and profit drivers behind a company. Earnings and
earnings expectations can be potent drivers of equity prices. Even some technicians will agree to
that. A good understanding can help investors avoid companies that are prone to shortfalls and
identify those that continue to deliver. In addition to understanding the business, fundamental
analysis allows investors to develop an understanding of the key value drivers and companies
within an industry. Its industry group heavily influences a stock’s price. By studying these
groups, investors can better position themselves to identify opportunities that are high-risk (tech),
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low-risk (utilities), growth oriented (computer), value driven (oil), non-cyclical (consumer
Stocks move as a group. By understanding a company's business, investors can better position
themselves to categorize stocks within their relevant industry group. Business can change rapidly
and with it the revenue mix of a company. This happened to many of the pure internet retailers,
which were not really internet companies, but plain retailers. Knowing a company's business and
being able to place it in a group can make a huge difference in relative valuations.
Weakness
Time Constraints:
Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be extraordinarily time consuming.
Time-consuming models often produce valuations that are contradictory to the current price.
Industry/Company Specific:
Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of each company. For
this reason, a different technique and model is required for different industries and different
companies. This can get quite time consuming and limit the amount of research that can be
performed.
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Subjectivity:
Fair value is based on assumptions. Any changes to growth or multiplier assumptions can
greatly alter the ultimate valuation. Fundamental analysts are generally aware of this and use
valuation. However, even on a worst case, most models are almost always bullish, the only
Analyst Bias:
The majority of the information that goes into the analysis comes from the company
itself. Companies employ investor relations managers specifically to handle the analyst
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CHAPTER 2: CASE STUDY OF WIPRO
Overview of Wipro
India and the Middle East region. Part of Wipro Ltd, the $6.98 billion conglomerate and global
leader in technology enabled solutions, the company leverages on the parent's philosophy of
Backed by our strong quality processes and rich experience managing global clients across
various business verticals, we align IT strategies to your business goals. From simple changes in
process to innovative solutions, we help our customers harness the power of IT to achieve
profitable growth, market leadership, customer delight and sustainability. Along with our best of
breed technology partners, Wipro Infotech also helps you with your hardware and IT
infrastructure needs.
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Company Background
IndustryName: ComputersSoftware FaceValue: 2.0
HouseName: WiproGroup ISIN: INE075A01022
Listing Information
Face Value2.0
BSE Code507685
BSE GroupA
NSE:WIPROEQ
Listed On
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Bangalore Stock Exchange Ltd.
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A. Economic Analysis
The Indian economy is estimated to have registered a growth rate of 5.0 per cent in 2012-13 in
terms of gross domestic product at factor cost at constant 2004-05 prices, following a growth of
6.2 percent in 2011-12. Growth in 2011-12 and 2012-13 is on the lower side, in the context of
the decadal average of 7.9 per cent during 2003-04 to 2012-13. This is attributable mainly to
weakening industrial growth in the context of tight monetary policy followed by the Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) through most of 2011-12, and continued uncertainty in the global economy.
With some moderation in headline WPI inflation, there has been a reduction in the repo rate by
the RBI by 50 basis points in April, 2012 and by 25basis points in January 2013. The impact of
tight monetary policy has been reflected in the quarterly growth rates of GDP. Quarterly GDP
growth declined in each of the successive quarters between the fourth quarter of 2010-11, and the
fourth quarter of 2011-12. The slowdown in the economy, particularly in the industry sector has
as part of mid-course correction have helped in improving the expenditure outcome in 2012-13.
Measures including the increase in the price of diesel by ` 5 per litre, allowing oil marketing
companies (OMCs) to raise diesel prices by small amounts regularly, and a cap on the number of
subsidized LPG cylinders are expected to rein in the fiscal deficit. Growth of exports for most of
the current year remained in negative territory, and with imports picking up in recent months, the
trade deficit increased to US$ 147 billion during April-December 2012. The current account
deficit (CAD) at 4.6 per cent of GDP in the first half of 2012-13 is a cause for concern. The
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widening of the trade and current account deficits has been accompanied by a decline in the
value of the Rupee since August 2011. After attaining an all-time low of ` 57.22 per US$ on June
27, 2012 the Rupee rebounded and was in the range of 53-55 per US$ in the month of January
2013. WPI inflation, after remaining persistently high during 2010-11 and 2011-12, has shown
signs of moderation since. December 2011. However, it has remained sticky at around 7 to 8 per
cent over the last 12 months. With widespread reform measures initiated in recent months and
the global economy poised for a moderate recovery in 2013-14, the Indian economy is expected
GDP Growth
As per the Advance Estimates released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO), the Indian
economy is estimated to register a growth rate of 5.0 per cent in 2012-13 in terms of GDP at
factor cost as against 6.2 per cent in 2011-12 and 9.3 per cent in 2010-11.
The growth is on the lower side not only as compared to the recent past but also in the context of
growth trends witnessed since 2003-04. The slowdown in the growth of the economy in 2012-13
is mainly on account of the slowdown in the industrial sector which is estimated to grow at 3.1
per cent in 2012-13 as against 3.5 per cent in 2011-12 and significantly lower growth of 1.8 per
cent in agriculture sector on top of a growth rate of 3.6 per cent achieved in 2011-12.
Services sector is estimated to grow at a rate of 6.6 per cent in 2012-13, which is also lower than
that achieved in 2011-12. The slowdown in 2011-12 and 2012-13 has been precipitated by
domestic factors as well as factors emanating from the rest of the world,particularly advanced
economies and India’s major trading partners. The crisis in the Euro-zone area and slow growth
in many other advanced economies have affected growth in India through dynamic linkages.
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Domestic factors, including the tightening of monetary policy, in order to control inflation and
rein in inflationary expectations, resulted in slowing down of investment and growth, particularly
As per the quarterly data released by CSO, growth in the economy was 5.3 per cent in the second
quarter of the current year. This growth has been the lowest since fourth quarter of 2008-09. The
growth of agriculture, industry and services sectors is estimated to be 1.2 per cent, 2.8 per cent
and 7.2 per cent respectively in the second quarter of 2012-13 as against 3.1 per cent, 3.7 per
cent and 8.8 per cent respectively in the corresponding quarter of 2011-12. Cumulative growth in
the first two quarters of the current year put together works out to 5.4 per cent as against 7.3 per
Inflation
Overview of Inflation
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In terms of expenditure method of estimation,GDP at constant market prices is projected to
register, a growth of 3.3 per cent in 2012-13 as against a growth of 6.3 per cent in 2011-12. This
slowdown in growth could be attributed to three major components the growth of consumption
1. Growth since Q4 of 2012-13 is expected to stage a gradual recovery aided by some revival in
investment demand and the favourable effect of some moderation in inflation on consumption.
Inflation in Q3 of 2012-13 has trended down, though upside risks remain from suppressed
inflation which could impart stickiness to inflation trajectory in 2013- 14. Core inflation
pressures have receded markedly and are unlikely to re-emerge quickly on demand
considerations. However, high food and fuel inflation still remain a concern and this in part is
2. Since the beginning of 2012, the Reserve Bank has worked towards easing monetary and
inflation. The strategy yielded dividends, as headline and core inflation moderated during Q3 of
2012-13. However, monetary policy needs to continue to be calibrated in addressing growth risks
as inflation remains above the Reserve Bank’s comfort level and macroeconomic risks from twin
deficits persists.
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3. Though the US registered high growth in Q3 of 2012 and the pace of economic contraction
moderated in the euro area, growth prospects for advanced economies (AEs) in 2013 remain
subdued. While the immediate risk of the fiscal cliff in the US has been averted due to a hurried
deal on tax rate hikes, the debt ceiling limit and the sequester issue pertaining to expenditure
reduction are still unsettled. Growth in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs)
may have bottomed out, but an enduring recovery hinges on global headwinds.
Global commodity price inflation likely to remain soft, although with some
risks from QE
4. Inflation in AEs is likely to remain moderate as demand remains weak, leaving the global
inflation scenario benign in the near term. As a baseline case, improved supply prospects in key
commodities such as oil and food are also likely to restrain commodity price pressures. However,
upside risks persist, especially on the back of some recovery in EMDEs and large quantitative
easing (QE) by AE central banks. In the presence of significant excess global liquidity, triggers
for supply disruptions or incremental news flow on reduced slack could exacerbate price
5. International financial market stress moderated greatly following aggressive monetary easing
measures by the central banks of AEs, as also recent policy initiatives on fiscal consolidation in
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the euro area economies, encouraging capital flows into EMDEs. However, in the absence of
credible long-term fiscal consolidation in the US, and generally reduced fiscal space in AEs, the
efficacy of monetary policy actions may get subdued. Risks to the global financial sector,
Output
6. The Indian economy further decelerated in the first half (H1) of 2012-13, with moderation in
all three sectors of the economy. The weak monsoon dented agricultural performance. Policy
constraints, supply and infrastructure bottlenecks and lack of sufficient demand continued to
keep industrial growth below trend. Subdued growth in other sectors and weak external demand
pulled down the growth of services as well. Though a modest recovery may set in from Q4 of
2012-13 as reforms get implemented, sustaining recovery through 2013-14 would require all-
Aggregate Demand
Recovery
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7. Demand weakened in H1 of 2012-13. There was significant moderation in consumption as
private consumption decelerated even as government expenditure accelerated. On the fiscal side,
near-term risks have diminished due to the government’s repeated avowal of commitment to the
revised fiscal deficit target of 5.3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) for the year.
However, sustainable fiscal consolidation would require bringing current spending, especially on
subsidies, under control and protecting, if not enhancing capital expenditure. Going forward, the
key to demand revival lies in improving the investment climate as well as investor sentiments
External Sector
8. The current account deficit (CAD) to GDP ratio reached a historically high level of 5.4 per
cent in Q2 of 2012-13. Low growth and uncertainty in AEs as well as EMDEs continued to
adversely impact exports in Q3 of 2012-13. This, combined with continuing large imports of oil
and gold, resulted in a deterioration of the trade balance. For the time being, strong capital flows
have enabled financing of CAD without a significant drawdown of foreign exchange reserves.
However, the possibility of volatility in these flows, which may put further pressure on the
external sector, cannot be ruled out. A two-pronged approach, of lowering CAD in the medium
term while ensuring prudent financing of CAD in the interim, is necessary from the policy
perspective.
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With tightening cycle gradually impacting inflation, the Reserve Bank takes
9. Monetary policy in India has sought to balance the growth-inflation dynamics that included a
frontloaded policy rate cut of 50 basis points (bps) in April 2012 and several liquidity enhancing
measures. These included lowering of the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 bps on top of a 125 bps
reduction in Q4 of 2011-12 and the statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) by 100 bps in a bid to improve
credit flows. The Reserve Bank also infused liquidity of over `1.3 trillion through outright open
market operation (OMO) purchases during 2012-13 so far. However, growth in monetary
Financial Markets
10. Improved global sentiments along with recent policy reforms by the government beginning
September 2012, and market expectations of a cut in the policy rate in the face of moderation in
inflation, aided FII flows into the domestic market. The equity markets showed significant
turnaround, while the rupee remained range-bound. In addition, revival is witnessed in the IPO
some macroeconomic concerns persist, as witnessed in the inverted yield curve. Sustained
commitment to curtail twin deficits and nurture growth without fuelling inflation is critical to
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Price Situation
Headline and Core Inflation Moderated, But Suppressed Inflation Poses Risks
manufactured products inflation. Both weakening domestic demand and lower global commodity
prices contributed to the softening of headline inflation. Though the recent hike in diesel prices
will put some pressure on the overall price level, the near-term inflation outlook indicates that
the moderation may continue through Q4 of 2012-13. While the pressure from generalized
inflation remains muted at the current juncture, risks from suppressed inflation, pressure on food
prices and high inflation expectations getting entrenched into the wage-price spiral need to be
reckoned with. The inflation path for 2013- 14 could face downward rigidity as some of the risks
Macroeconomic Outlook
12. Reforms since September 2012 have reduced immediate risks, but there is a long road ahead
to bring about a sustainable turnaround for the Indian economy. Business sentiments remain
weak despite reform initiatives and consumer confidence is edging down. The Reserve Bank’s
remaining sticky. Fiscal risks have somewhat moderated in 2012-13, but a sustained commitment
historically high level, remains a constraint on monetary easing. Against this backdrop, while
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growth can be supported by monetary policy if inflation risks recede, credible fiscal correction
with improved execution in infrastructure space to boost investment would be needed for a
sustained revival. The balance of macroeconomic risks suggest continuation of the calibrated
B. Company analysis
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Quarterly Profit & Loss of Wipro
Jun-
Rs in cr. Jun-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Sep-12
12
% change 0 0 0 0 0
% change (EBITDA) 3 -5 -4 7 9
Interest 50 40 47 54 129
% PBT 21 19 21 24 19
Minority Interest 8 9 9 10 10
Net Profit afer Minority Int. 1623 1729 1716 1611 1580
Extra-ordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
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Equity 493 493 493 492 492
Face Value 2 2 2 2 2
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Interest Coverage
Sales Growth 1.00 20.00 14.00 6.00 23.21 17.61 29.28 42.17
(EBIT / Interest)
EBITDA Net debt to
9.00 9.00 8.00 22.00 -0.51 -0.21 -0.05 -0.04
Growth EBITDA
Net Profit Net Debt to
7.00 6.00 15.00 20.00 -0.15 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01
Growth equity
Current Ratio 2.14 2.64 2.44 2.26
Margins:(%) Returns:(%)
EBITDA
20.00 19.00 21.00 22.00 Angel ROIC * 66.00 43.00 51.00 64.00
Margin
PBT Margin 21.00 19.00 20.00 20.00 ROCE 21.00 18.00 20.00 21.00
Net Profit
16.00 15.00 17.00 17.00 ROE 22.00 21.00 23.00 25.00
Margin
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Quarterly
Ratios:
Growth rate Jun- Mar- Dec- Sep- Growth rate qoq: Jun- Mar- Dec- Sep-
yoy:(%) 13 13 12 12 (%) 13 13 12 12
YOY EBITDA QoQ EBITDA
1.46 7.18 3.32 22.90 3.00 -5.00 -4.00 7.00
Growth Growth
YOY Sales QoQ Sales -
5.00 13.00 -4.00 17.00 1.00 0.00 15.00
Growth Growth 10.00
YOY Net QoQ Net Profit
3.00 17.00 18.00 24.00 -6.00 1.00 7.00 2.00
Profit Growth Growth
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C. Industry Analysis
Peer Comparison:-
P/BV
P/E EV/EBIDT
Market Cap (TTM ROE ROCE D/E
Company (TTM) A
(Rs. in Cr.) ) (%) (%) (x)
(x) (x)
(x)
TCS 382,211.80 28.84 11.77 18.37 44.6 53.7 0.00
Infosys 172,016.46 19.88 4.77 10.93 27.7 37.5 0.00
Wipro 117,156.70 19.83 4.84 12.83 23.3 25.0 0.23
HCL Technologis 74,047.05 20.51 7.24 11.74 31.3 32.3 0.17
TCS:
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TCS is the bell weather in IT sector and has maintained to be the large cap stock among all the
IT stocks on the Indian Bourses. Recently TCS has earned the Xclent customer base award 2012
It sees better IT spends, ramp-up in its clients in the US as compared to earlier and the fact that
TCS has 8% wage hike is showing that the company is expecting more revenue growth
This is the company that was affected by the recession during 2008-09 because of its diversified
network, at that point of time it decreased its cost by firing 300000 employees and maintained
TCS is allocating 15% of its income to its contingent liability which shows the ability of the
It has maintained good reserves and decreasing debt which will be the safest parameters for the
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Debt to Equity ratio is 0.01 this means TCS has one paisa of debt to equity which shows it has
low debt and the PAT is 415 times higher than the interest paid by the company.
It is a low beta stock which means it will not be affected by the market forces, rather its
performance is the key, it has shown a consistent EPS growth rate of 6% and the PE growth rate
of 10%, using this parameter it is projected that the share price may stand at Rs.1372 in a year if
the company maintains to continue its exports which inversely gain revenues from the dollar
appreciation.
The return on net worth is 37% which is the highest in the sector.
INFOSYS:
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India’s second-largest software services exporter by Revenue’s and which is another Bellwether
IT stock, has been weak in keeping its financials than other IT companies and also Analysts
estimates., In spite of the initiative of leading a government effort to give every Indian citizen an
ID number, a crucial initiative in a country where most people have no driver’s license, passport
Apart from this the other factor that drove Infosys share price by 10% decrease in share price
over the last year was due to Visa fraud charges leveled in the United States. It has continued to
maintain the name of “company with politics” and bad reputation in the eyes of employees with
The company has been good to give employee appraisal rather than rewards, on the other side of
the coin it has the ability to make any employee proficient to work in another company.
There is a perception among the accountants and the investors that in the presentation of the
financial statement by Infosys is the best with its Zero Debt, increased revenues and reserves.
Infosys has an average income growth rate of 19% and it has allocated 4% of its income to its
contingent liability which is higher than past year and has been increasing YOY.
Among all the other giants in the IT sector Infosys has the highest FII holding of 37.36% (as on 1
May 2012), If the company gives high growth rate in the next quarter it can become a good stock
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Looking at INFOSYS ratios:
Infosys is a low beta stock. Infosys has 10% average EPS growth rate and 6% P/E over the years.
If the company continues to maintain the same momentum in generating more revenues and
along with the continuity in its reserves and income, it is projected that the share price could be
Wipro:
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The company that started with the innovation and integrity in the consumer product business is
now the 3rd largest IT services company in India and entered into the Forbes top 500 companies
list.
Wipro’s IT services and Hardware accounted for 75% of its total revenues till the year 2011 and
After tasting sweet success with its Glucose Powder Brand Glucovita, Wipro Consumer Care &
Lighting (WCCL) now plans to launch the product in the tablet form as well, where an individual
WCCL’s first major overseas acquisition was the Singapore-based Unza Holdings for around Rs
The consolidated result takes into account all the segments, in which the Consumer Care and
Lighting accounted for more than the IT services during the year ended 2012.
Wipro has 1% of its income as its contingent liability which is a good parameter for investment,
it has good reserves, it has negative cash flows, and company is going to invest 100 crores this
fiscal to increase the capacity in various categories, be it lighting, soaps or personal care, to meet
demand.
Looking at Wipro’sRatios
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Wipro is a low beta stock. Wipro has 22 Paisa debt for every rupee of its equity.
The average growth of EPS is 4% and P/E is 5% the estimated price stood at Rs.527, company
HCL Technologies:
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It occupied 4th place in the top IT companies in INDIA and it is after the Giant TCS in generating
revenues, HCL consistently has been increasing its quarterly performance, through better
The share price has gained around 25% over the past and they won about USD 2.5 billion of
deals over the last couple of quarters, it is expected that in the next two quarters HCL is going to
According to the Technical Analysis the resistance is at 519-521 now it is trading at 512(as on
It is the hot stock in the IT sector of INDIA. It granted employee stock options of around
It is maintaining 4% of its income as contingent liability which is the average of the industry, it
has shown good income, reserves and the company have high debt when compared to the other
companies so, compare with the return on the investment it has Rs.10 return on every one rupee
it spends.
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Return on net worth is 22% which shows that the company has good managerial abilities.
It maintained average EPS growth rate of 15% and P/E of 26% which is highest in the sector,
using these parameters it can be said that the price of the share will stand at Rs.687 in the future,
keeping a look on its financials and ratios it is for a short term investment until and unless it
decreases it debt.
CONCLUSION:
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Analysis of the economy
The IT sector earns income in dollars as they are mainly the exporters. In past 4
months rupee depreciated against dollar. So the entire it sector specially WIPRO
According to the current scenario for past six months, WIPRO has made net profit of rupee 1623
It can be seen that year on year the sales and revenue (total income) has also increased. It can be
seen that in June 2012 the sales and total income were rupees 9248 and by June 2013 it increased
to rupees 9733.
The EBIT of company in June 2012 was rupees 1746 whereas by June 2013 it increased to
rupees 1770.the reported profit after tax in June 2012 was rupees 1590 and in June 2013 was
rupees 1632.all this indicates that the company has good sales and valuation .the company’s
future seems to be attractive. All this gives is an indication that we should buy WIPRO for long
term.
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P/E ratio of the company is less compared to the peer. So the returns seem to be good and we
All the above ratios shows the company’s overall performance was good in 2010.in 2012 the
Among the top four companies of the IT sector in India, TCS is the good going stock and it has
ability to double its share price in the near future by its outstanding numbers.
It is a stock for long term holding, next is the HCL technologies which is in the race to occupy
the top rank in the sector though it is a short term investment stock and can generate more
revenues in the near future with its upcoming deals and it continued in paying dividends.
Wipro is expected to grow in the near future by its investment activities and it is better to don’t
step onto Wipro and Infosys till they show big numbers like TCS.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
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www.stockmarketinstitute.org
http://stockmarketinstitute.org/blog/?tag=wipro-fundamental-analyis
http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/PublicationsView.aspx?id=14923#top
http://www.slideshare.net/sivapriya28/wipro-technologies-ltd?from_search=4
http://indiabudget.nic.in/ub2013-14/frbm/frbm1.pdf
http://www.angelbroking.com/
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