MATHEMATICS Extended Part Module 1 (Calculus and Statistics) Question-Answer Book

2016-DSE
MATH EP
M1
LONGMAN MATHEMATICS SERIES Candidate Number
HONG KONG DIPLOMA OF SECONDARY EDUCATION EXAMINATION
2016 Class
MOCK PAPER
Class Number
MATHEMATICS Extended Part
Module 1 (Calculus and Statistics)
Question-Answer Book
Time allowed: 2 hours 30 minutes

This paper must be answered in English.
INSTRUCTIONS
1. After the announcement of the start of the examination,

you should first write your Candidate Number, Class and
Class Number in the spaces provided.
2. This paper consists of Section A and Section B. Answer

ALL questions in this paper.
3. Do not write in the margins. Answers written in the

margins will not be marked.
4. Unless otherwise specified, all working must be clearly

shown.
5. Unless otherwise specified, numerical answers must be

either exact or given to 4 decimal places.
6. The diagrams in this paper are not necessarily drawn to

scale.
2016-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 1
© Pearson Education Asia Limited 2015
Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Section A (50 marks)
1. The table below shows the probability distribution of a discrete random variable X:
x 2 3 4 a 8
P( X  x) 0.3 k 0.2 0.25 0.15
where a is a positive integer and k is a non-negative constant.
It is given that E ( X 2 )  27.15 . Find
(a) the values of a and k,
(b) E ( 2 X  3) and Var (2 X  3) .
(6 marks)

2. A and B are two events. Suppose P ( B | A)  0.75 , P ( A'  B )  0.15 and P ( A' )  0.2 ,
where A' is the complementary event of A.
(a) Find P ( A  B ) and P (B ) .
(b) Are A and B independent? Explain your answer.
(6 marks)

3. In a high jump competition, each team can select one athelete to participate. Each selected
athelete has 3 attempts to jump. A team will win a medal if the athlete representing the team
jumps higher than 2 m in at least two attempts. Team A consists of two atheletes, Benny and
Sam. It is given that the probability that Benny is selected to participate the competition is 0.65,
and the probabilities of Benny and Sam to jump higher than 2 m in an attempt are 0.6 and 0.45
respectively. Suppose their performances in each attempt are independent.
(a) Find the probability that team A will win a medal if Benny is selected.
(b) Find the probability that team A will win a medal.
(c) Given that team A cannot win a medal, find the probability that Benny is
selected.
(6 marks)

4. The heights of the children in a kindergarten are normally distributed with a mean
of
 cm and a variance of 121 cm 2 . It is known that 84.13% of the children is less
than
105 cm.
(a) Find the value of  .
(b) Suppose a random sample of 64 children in the kindergarten is selected. Find the
probability that the mean height of the sample lies between 91.8 cm and 97.3 cm.
(c) Another random sample of n children is selected such that the probability that the
mean height of the sample above 89.6 cm is at least 0.989. Find the least value of
n.
(7 marks)

5. (a) Expand (4 x  x 2 ) 4 in ascending powers of x up to the term x 6 .
(4 x  x 2 ) 4
(b) Find the coefficient of x 6 in the expansion of .
2e 4 x
(5 marks)

kx
6. Consider the curve C: y  , where x 1 and k is a constant. L is the tangent to the curve
x 1
at a point where x = –1 . It is given that L passes through (–3, 3).
(a) Find k.
(b) Find the area of the region bounded by the curve C and the x-axis between x = –1 and x =
0.
(6 marks)
7. A researcher is studying the effectiveness of a new medicine on killing bacteria

W. After the medicine is applied, the population P (in millions) of bacteria W in a specimen can

nt
be modelled by P  m 5  1000 , where m and n are constants and t is the number of minutes
2
since the medicine is applied. The population of bacteria W in the specimen is recorded as
follows:
t 5 10 15 20 25
P 48.55 43.82 42.31 39.50 36.88
(a) Express lnP as a linear function of t.
(b) It is known that one of the values of P in the above table is incorrect.
(i) Using the graph paper below to determine which value of P is incorrect.
(ii) By removing the incorrect value of P, estimate the values of m and n. Give your
answers correct to the nearest integers.
(7 marks)
d
8. (a) Find ( x 2  3)e 2 x1 .
dx
 2 x( x  1)e
2 x 1
(b) Hence, find dx .
(7 marks)

Section B (50 marks)
9. A youth centre conducts a survey on the average daily hours spent by teenagers on surfing the
Internet. It is found that that the average daily hours follow a normal distribution with a mean of
 hours and a standard deviation of 0.6 hour.
(a) A random sample of 30 teenagers is selected and their average daily hours spent on
surfing the Internet are recorded as follows:
1.6 2.4 3.7 2.8 0.9
2.4 2.1 2.9 1.6 3.5
0.6 2.1 4.1 4.8 1.9
3.0 0.1 2.2 3.3 3.2
3.6 3.3 1.1 2.7 0.8
5.1 1.9 2.5 2.6 1.2
(i) Construct an approximate 95% confidence interval for the proportion of teenagers
who spend, on average, less than 2 hours per day on surfing the Internet.
(ii) Find the least sample size to be taken such that the width of the 99% confidence
interval for  is less than 0.4 hour.
(7 marks)
(b ) Suppose th
a t= 2 . 4 . T h e y o u t h c e n t r e n o w i n t e r v i e w s t e e n a g e r s a n d a s k s t h e m a b o u t
t h e i r a v e r a g e d a i l y h o u r s s p e n t o n s u r f i
spends, on a v e r a g em, o r e t h a n 3 h o u r s p e r d a y o n a v e r a g e o n s u r f i n g t h e I n t e r n e t i s
called an ‘Internet Addict’.
(i) Find the probability that a teenager interviewed is an ‘Internet Addict’.
(ii) I f t h e y o u t h c e n t r e i n t e r v i e w e d 1 0 t e e n a g e r s o n e b y o n e , f i n d t h e p r o b a b i l i t y t h
more than 3 teenagers interviewed are an ‘Internet Addict’.
(5 marks)
10. In city A, the number of industrial accidents in a day can be modelled by a Poisson distribution
with a mean of 4.2. The probability distribution of the number of injuries in each
industrial accident in city A is shown in the following table:
Number of injuries 1 2 3 4 5
Probability 0.35 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.05

(a) Find the probability that more than 4 industrial accidents occur in city
A on a certain day.
(3 marks)
(b) If 3 industrial accidents occur in city A on a certain day, find the probability that
exactly 1 of the accidents caused 4 injuries.
(2 marks)
(c) Find the probability that exactly 4 industrial accidents occur in city
A on a certain day and the 4th accident is the 2nd accident which caused 4
injuries.
(2 marks)
(d) Find the probability that exactly 5 industrial accidents occur in city A on a certain day and
caused a total of 8 injuries.
(3 marks)
(e) Given that more than 4 industrial accidents occur in city A on a certain day, find the
probability that the accidents caused a total of 8 injuries.
(3 marks)

11. A company wants to choose one out of two recommended methods, A and B, to extract coal from
a coal mine. The experts model the rates of change of the cumulative coal productions using
methods A and B respectively by
dP  t  1 ln(t  1), for 0  t  10
 dQ 7( 2t  3) ln(t 2  3t  2)
  and 
dt 
0 , for t  10 dt 2(t 2  3t  2)
for t  0,
where P (in thousand tonnes) and Q (in thousand tonnes) are the amounts of coal extracted using
methods A and B respectively, and t is the number of years elapsed since the extraction started.
(a) Suppose method A is adopted.

(i) Use the trapezoidal rule with 5 sub-intervals, estimate the total amount of coal
production in the first 10 years.
(ii) Is the estimate in (a)(i) an over-estimate or under-estimate? Justify your
answer.
(5 marks)

(b) Suppose method B is adopted. Using a suitable substitution, find the total amount of
coal production in the first 10 years.
(4 marks)
(c) The method which can extract more coal in the first 10 years is adopted. It is known
that the cost C (in million dollars) of extracting coal can be modelled by
dC t
 3  , where t is the number of years elapsed since the extraction started. If
dt 5
the agreed selling price of the coal is $750 per tonne, find the total net profit of the
company from selling coal in the first 10 years. Give your answer correct to the
nearest million dollars.
(3 marks)

12. Originally, there were 650 chickens on a farm. Then, avian influenza broke out. By the end of
the 10th day of the outbreak, 253 chickens had died. A zoologist studies the case and models the
number of chickens N on the farm by
Ae kt
N ( t  0 ),
t  10
where A and k are constants and t is the number of days elapsed since the outbreak of the
influenza.
(a) Find the values of A and k. (Give your answers correct to 2 decimal places if necessary.)
(2 marks)
(b) The government announces that if more than 50% of the chickens on a farm die, all the
chickens on the farm must be killed.
(i) Using the values of A and k obtained in (a), find the rate of change
of the number of chickens on the farm.
(ii) Will all the chickens be killed? Explain your answer.
(6 marks)
(c) The chicken farmer lost $22 500 due to the avian influenza outbreak. He then decided to
raise pigs instead of chickens. The rate of change of net profit
$P from raising pigs can be modelled by
dP  t t

 125  e 20 e 40  ( 0  t  80 ),
dt  
 
where t is the number of days elapsed since the farmer begins raising pigs. Find the
minimum number of days for the net profit from raising pigs to compensate for the loss
from avian influenza.
(5 marks)

END OF PAPER

MATHEMATICS Extended Part Module 1 (Calculus and Statistics) Question-Answer Book

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2016-DSE

Time allowed: 2 hours 30 minutes

1. After the announcement of the start of the examination,

2. This paper consists of Section A and Section B. Answer

3. Do not write in the margins. Answers written in the

4. Unless otherwise specified, all working must be clearly

5. Unless otherwise specified, numerical answers must be

6. The diagrams in this paper are not necessarily drawn to

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

where a is a positive integer and k is a non-negative constant.

It is given that E ( X 2 )  27.15 . Find

(a) the values of a and k,

(b) E ( 2 X  3) and Var (2 X  3) .

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

(a) Find P ( A  B ) and P (B ) .

(b) Are A and B independent? Explain your answer.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

(b) Find the probability that team A will win a medal.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

(a) Find the value of  .

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

7. A researcher is studying the effectiveness of a new medicine on killing bacteria

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

(a) Suppose method A is adopted.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

Answers written in the margins will not be marked.

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