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Chapter 20
Maxine Newlands
Introduction
Carbon markets and emissions trading are rapidly growing areas of financial
investment. The City of London pioneered ‘emissions trading instruments’ with the
2010) eco-labels, eco-audit schemes, and benchmarking (the UK does not use eco-
stagflation in the UK economy. The global crisis led to an exploration of new markets,
Speech took place in 1971 (McCormick, 1991) and a new Government Department for
the Environment was established in the same year (DoE, 1971), signalling its
emergence as a new economic and social area of policy development. Over the
1
They were followed by Austria, Finland, France and Ireland (Eire).
2
Commission, Kyoto Protocol). These polices have now become ‘embedded’ in global
In the UK, the Conservative (1979-1997) and New Labour Governments (1997-
existing and create new markets 2. Blair and Brown used NEPIs, such as emissions
trading, for creating a carbon-budget. The aim was to make fundamental reforms to the
energy markets and create a new financial institution in the form of a green bank. These
‘green’ initiatives were central in making London as the key location for green markets
and new, creative NEPIs. This chapter will suggest that in an era of scepticism about
‘traditional’ investments, ‘green’ markets could enable the City to re-assert itself in
global markets. New ‘green’ markets created through UK and EU governance – green
or eco-taxes, and emissions trading - could create new industries which may contribute
markets, and politicians could re-establish themselves in the global markets. Yet, as
this work will argue , green markets’, and ‘green banking’ are a ‘fictitious capital’ that
would argue we are living in a ‘third wave’ era of a post-industrial, technologically led
society, with rapid growth reliant on a high carbon economy. Since the Cold War there
has been a “more accelerated industrial development” (Finger, 2008: 44) creating a
2
New Labour was following in the footsteps of Former Prime Minister, Margaret Thatcher. In
1988, Thatcher’s speech to the Royal Society suggested that business and science could work to together
to find solutions to ozone depletion.
3
society based on mass consumption, production, media and the growth of technological
goods, the heating of houses, the powering of industries, and so on’ would all call into
question our use and abuse of fossil fuels (Newell & Paterson 2010:14). The
relies on fossil fuels. The fourth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC)
report clearly lays the blame for climate change and global warming on anthropocentric
the mid twentieth century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic
the United Nations, European Union (EU) states and increasingly other large
organisations, are accepting that mass production on a global scale has led to an
it will eventually, ‘kill itself as a result of the hostile environment it will create –
hundreds of millions displaced. Likely consequences are extended, severe and global
conflicts. It is not a credible medium-term option for growth’ (Stern, 2011). Lord Stern
of Brentwood’s report The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review (2006a) set
out to establish the economic impacts of ignoring climate change. Since the 1970s
economics has been seen as a solution to climate change, with the City of London
the relationship between the actual and the hypothetical product. Market-driven targets
for the reduction of pollution and emissions levels, as defined by the European Union
(EU), literally constitute the buying and selling of the atmosphere. The air we breathe
now has a price tag. The commoditisation of the atmosphere came about from a
decision made by Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s, she placed London at the heart of
emerging market of emissions’ trading as a fictitious capital (Marx, 1981: 1); as much
carbon trading is based on the potential to pollute, and as such the markets can bid and
deal on the advance of capital. According to the Friends of the Earth’s report 3 (2009)
carbon trading ‘results from action by governments to create this new commodity – the
right to emit carbon – and then to limit the availability of this right in order to create
scarcity and therefore a market for it’. (Source: Clifton, 2009). The report goes on to
complex financial products based on the financial derivatives model brings with it a risk
that carbon trading will develop into a speculative commodity bubble’ (Clifton, 2009:
32). The creation of a carbon market bubble ‘is what Marx referred to as “fictitious
capital” – capital without any real value, which only serves to create asset bubbles,
temporarily helping the bankers and stock-brokers to make a tidy profit (Booth, 2009).
Thus the potential fictitious capital of carbon trading is its appeal to the markets because
it provides new financial opportunities. However, Soros along with Stiglitz’s warns if
carbon trading is handled incorrectly, the trading in this form of ‘fictitious capital’ could
‘create another opaque market for derivatives, similar to those that helped bring the
3
The report ‘A Dangerous Obsession: A Research Report the Evidence against Carbon Trading
and for Real Solutions to Avoid a Climate Crunch, available online at
http://www.foe.co.uk/resource/reports/dangerous_obsession.pdf (accessed July 2011)
5
passed the Climate Change Act (2008).The Act set out the state mechanisms for market-
based solutions to climate change; and led by the City of London, emissions trading
became the dominant mechanism of trade. The trading in emissions is trading on the
volume of pollution a company may or may not emit over a given period. Emissions
the volume of pollution or the insurance against climate change as a “multiplication and
growth of these mutual advances” (Marx 1981:527), thus making it fictitious capital.
The potential carbon production generated by individual countries, allows each state to
trade with other states to gain an ‘advance’ on their levels of pollution. Thus,
For example, if the UK buys X amount of permits based on what they estimate
will be annual emissions per annum, but either use under or over their allotted permits,
the markets can speculate on the number of permits used over the number of permits
their allotted permits. The state can also trade with other states to buy or sell permits.
As Marx notes, the trading on advances means that ‘it is easier to obtain advances on
unsold commodities’ such as pollution levels, and ‘the more these advances are taken
up and the greater is the temptation to manufacture commodities or dump these already
buying up permits, and then shelving the plans the permits were due to cover, yet still
trading the permits, despite not creating any emissions. Thus companies buy carbon
6
credits or permits, and if they under or over use these permits they can either purchase
more or sell them on to gain a surplus. The commoditisation of the atmosphere becomes
‘fictitious capital’ (Marx, 1981) when the mechanism to regulate and trade in emissions
is based on the potential value of pollution. Thus, the atmosphere becomes a non-
tangible product to be bought and sold, with the City of London in the vanguard.
London was central to both the domestic and international policies and
regulations that were coming out of governments and the UN. Initially, the European
Union took the lead in carbon trading, with London pioneering emissions trading
instruments to establish itself as the centre of the carbon market economy. The
Stock Exchange, placed London at the forefront of the expanding carbon market. By
2009 the City of London housed ‘80 [percent] of the world’s carbon market broking
companies and 75 [percent] of all carbon trading desks’ (Blake, 2009). Today, London
houses many global carbon trading organisations, including: ‘Thompson Reuters Point
Carbon’; ‘Climate Change Capital’, an investment company with funds worth US$1.5
billion, that advises investors in any “financial opportunity associated with a low carbon
economy”; 4 the ‘European Climate Exchange’ (ECX); the London carbon trading
exchange; and ‘ICap Energy’- an energy brokerage company with assets of £101
million 5 ($202 million) in 2007. In December 2009 the global carbon market was worth
£75 billion (US$120 billion, €85billion (PWC). 6 A year later (2010) the carbon markets
had expanded by $50 billion to an estimated €121 billion ($170 billion). However, the
4
http://www.climatechangecapital.com/about-us/company-overview.aspx see for more
information / accessed May 2011
5
http://www.icapenergy.com/AboutUs.aspx accessed May 2011
6
http://www.ukmediacentre.pwc.com/content/detail.aspx?releaseid=3524&newsareaid=2 - May
2011?
7
emergence of carbon markets is not a new phenomenon, but develops out of key
political strategies. The next section will examine how London pioneered carbon
trading by tracing the role of state and capital to aid market driven solutions to climate
change.
with the creation of three new types of international institutions that transformed the
relationship between the state and the development of climate change policy. Globally,
these three key institutions began connecting the markets to energy consumption: The
United Nations (UN); the Bretton-Woods Institute, influenced by the Chicago School;
and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). The Bretton-Woods
Monetary Fund (IMF), and the International Bank for Reconstruction and
Development (IBRD) which later became part of the World Bank . Both the IMF and
the World Bank’s roles were to support the UN, and ‘actively contribute to the
financing’ of UN development projects. GATT’s role was to ‘open markets for further
industrial development, the underlying assumption being that trade not only leads to
development (which leads to peace) ‘but also weakens nation-states’ (Finger, 2008: 45),
At an institutional level, the UN’s role (late 1980s onwards) was becoming
UN’s role was less focused on policy and more on the opportunity ‘for UN
intervention...to prove its usefulness. Such environmental security threats might include
8
earthquakes, flood or famines’ (Finger, 2008: 45). Where the UN had failed, the
Bretton-Woods Institutes stepped in, and began the process of translating the UN’s
environmental remit ‘it into its own commercial logic’. The ‘gradual adoption and
2008: 51) is one example of the World Bank adopting the UN’s environmental role.
Although the UN had made steps toward defining climate change controls, the IMF and
the World Bank took control over climate change solutions and realised climate
more argument for further technological and economic development’ (Finger, 2008:
51). Capital, represented by the IMF and World Bank, began to replace the state’s role
in addressing the impact of a high carbon economy, and also began to develop new
markets. Thus the environment became ‘not only an additional investment opportunity,
By the mid 1980s climate change was becoming a ‘globally recognised risk and
thus a topic for news media’ (Lester 2010: 67). In the United States, Al Gore, proposed
a new Global Marshal Plan to tackle climate change. Gore argued (1992) that economic
solutions could address the issues of climate change, through a green ‘Global Marshall
Plan which must, like the original, focus on strategic goals and emphasise actions and
programs that are likely to remove the bottlenecks presently inhibiting the healthy
function of the global economy’(1992:297). Gore believed that only a large scale
(1992:297). In the UK British Prime Minister, Margaret Thatcher, also took an interest
in climate change primarily from a state and capital perspective, after British scientists
found a hole in the ozone layer. Thatcher’s ‘markets, monetarism and authoritative’
form of government (Luke, 1993: 159), like Gore, looked toward enterprise to find
solutions to global warming and the depleting ozone layer by encouraging business
leaders to work with scientists. Thatcher proposed that a neoliberal solution could be
responsibility to recognise the practical value of the ideas which are being
climate change’ helped to ‘support a case for nuclear energy over coal and thus weaken
the coal industry’ (2010:67). The result of Thatcher’s approach to climate change led to
1988 set out plans to give the responsibility to solve ‘global warming’ to businesses
working with science. Critics argued that Thatcher’s proposal for business and science
to find a solution to the hole in the ozone layer (1988) devolved responsibility from
the international environment’ (McCormick, 1992: 65), suggesting that British business
take leadership over climate change solutions. Thatcher also stressed the need for
10
reminding the world it was ‘British scientists [who] had discovered a thinning of the
The impact of Thatcher’s speech gave greater media coverage to climate change
solutions, but to the detriment of scientists who were replaced by ‘political actors [who]
increasingly sought to shape the agenda’ (Carvello and Burgess, 2005). Political parties
came to realise that climate change solutions no longer meant ‘conservation’, but were
increasingly linked to socio-political and economic issues. However, there was a fair
amount of questioning over what some thought was Thatcher’s sudden move towards
suggests that ‘making statements on the international environment …involved far fewer
66). Indeed, until the ‘green’ speech it was clear that Thatcher’s administration in its
early years had greater enthusiasm for war than climate change solutions. In discussions
‘humdrum’, in comparison to dealing with conflict – it was more ‘exciting to have a real
crisis on your hands’ (Robinson, 1992:177). Yet her ‘green’ speech served a useful
purpose in pushing forward her own ‘style of how the nation should be run’ (Robinson,
1992: 176). Thatcher was reacting to global changes in the understanding of how
climate change was encroaching on economic, social and political discourses. At the
time the ‘green’ speech was made against the “backdrop of drought in the United States
and unusual weather patterns” (Grubb, 1998: 01), environmentalism was slowly
becoming more prominent in the media (Anderson,1997, Lester, 2010). Yet, it would be
11
ten years before Thatcher’s ambition for a business-led, economic solution became the
economic agenda and remove any lingering socialist values left from the previous
Government. Thatcher wanted to move society away from what she saw as a draining
and weakening of British society, by replacing socialist and liberal ideology with ‘self-
reliance and personal responsibility’ (Hall, 1988: 47). Climate change gave her the
paradoxically through the use of state mechanisms and economic instruments via, for
example, moral appeals not to use CFCs aerosols; the banning of environmentally
the same time, global climate change policies guided policy-makers to create new
markets through governance and NEPIs such as emissions and carbon trading. The
Climate Change Act (2008) formalised market driven climate change solutions,
focusing on create new markets based on ‘fictitious capital’ of carbon and pollution ,
from which emerging and potential forms of fictious capital could be generated, such as
carbon emissions, pollution trading, through futures and options trading, spread-betting
and hedge funds. Yet, it was Thatcher’s economic policy approach that defined the City
of London’s role in forging the relationship between state and capital to find solutions
to climate change.
continued under the New Labour Government (1997-2010). Prime Minister Tony Blair
and Chancellor Gordon Brown continued linking state policies to the interests of capital
in seeking climate change solutions. This capital led approach understood the potential
12
financial products and markets. 7 Blair and Brown used NEPIs, such as emissions
and create new financial institutions. The ‘tipping point’ (Gladwell, 2000) came in
2005, when the three major parties, New Labour, Conservative and Liberal Democrat,
The impetus for the Conservatives came from Steve Hilton, the key advisor
whose ‘inspirations are the Green movement and the flowering of grass-roots politics’
(The Times, 2009). Hilton as both an environmental strategist and ardent cyclist,
convinced Conservative Party leader, David Cameron to take up cycling, ensuring the
press were in attendance. Under Hilton’s guidance, the Conservatives launched their
environmental rhetoric during the local elections (May 2006) with a new branding
The campaign was a clear signal that the Conservative Party was co-opting
climate change solutions as part of its political manifesto, and the first indication that it
‘Themenklau’- the stealing of green ideas by grey parties’ (Dryzek, 1997:189) presented
This was reinforced with a new logo, dropping the blue torch for a green tree, and by a
Norwegian fjords and when cycling to the Palace of Westminster (April 2006). As the
7
New Labour were following in the footsteps of former Prime Minister, Margaret Thatcher. In
1988 Thatcher’s speech to the Royal Society suggested that business and science could work to together
in finding solutions to ozone depletion.
13
instigator of the ‘Vote Blue, Go Green’ campaign, Hilton was strategically shifting the
Conservatives away from their traditional terrain, edging into Liberal Democrat
territory, and importantly using climate change solutions to win seats. The campaign
was a deliberate attempt to move the Conservative Party away from the ‘sleazy’ and
corrupt image of the 1990s, and beat Labour to the eco-vote (Jacobs, 2010), with Hilton
backlash, New Labour’s Chancellor, Gordon Brown, took radical steps by creating the
UK’s first Climate Change Bill (2007). Encouraged by New Labour’s former
Environment Secretaries, David and Ed Miliband and Special Advisor Michael Jacobs
(see Jacobs, 1991; Stern, 2006), Brown took ‘radical’ steps to reduce carbon emissions
and began the process of developing the Climate Change Act. The Act (2008) 8,
followed on from United Nations legislation to address the issues of climate change.
One of the earliest policies was the Montreal Protocol (1987) banning the use of
chlorofluorocarbon (CFC); Agenda 21- ratified at the Earth Summit, Rio De Janerio,
Brazil (1992). Agenda 21 set out for the UN ‘the first draft of the ‘Earth Charter’, a
vision for an environmentally sustainable planet’ (Cox, 2006 78). As a result enterprises
What connected all three parties was that all offered an economic solution to
Governments still had a role in legislating, with carbon markets and emissions trading
8
The Climate Change Act received Royal Assent on 26 November 2008 from
http://www.theccc.org.uk/about-the-ccc/climate-change-act (Accessed, May 2011)
14
initiatives such as Agenda 21 (2003), the Brundtland Commission (1989) and the Kyoto
institutional practices. At the forefront of this development was the City of London.
Michael Grubb (1998), and developed by the City of London, and the UK government.
Grubb drew on an earlier North American plan to address the problem of acid rain and
countries and global companies rather than individuals, states or regions. Grubb
proposed a new emissions trading scheme (ETS) or ‘cap and trade’ – ‘the buying and
selling of pollutant entitlements’ (Newell and Patterson, 2010: 96) – that focused on a
convergence’ first developed by London company the Global Commons Institute (GCI).
The ‘contraction and convergence’ model argues that if emissions are lessened
mechanisms for contraction and convergence’ came from the London markets through
the trading of emissions. Formalised through the Kyoto Protocol, the mechanism to
9
CDM project activity might involve, for example, a rural electrification project using solar
panels or the installation of more energy-efficient boilers. The mechanism stimulates sustainable
development and emission reductions, while giving industrialized countries some flexibility in how they
meet their emission reduction or limitation targets.
15
Trading Schemes; and 3) Joint Implementation. 10 , with London taking the lead in
emissions trading schemes and new environmental policy instruments, alongside Global
state, but not at the exclusion of the state; and involves multiple actors and mechanisms.
GEG emerged out of market-driven, public and private partnerships (PPPs) as the main
Nations, 2003) and the Millennium Development Goals (United Nations, 2005). 11 12
GEG acts as a bridging tool between public and private partnerships. The public (state)
mode of hierarchical government lies within the regulation of networks and markets.
States, at national and European levels, formulate policies and regulations (such as
emissions trading systems), regulated through law and city networks. The private
sector’s role is acted out through markets and networks, voluntary carbon markets and
at the same time, they allow companies to set their own benchmarks, through voluntary
10
The mechanism known as ‘joint implementation’, defined in Article 6 of the Kyoto Protocol,
allows a country with an emission reduction or limitation commitment under the Kyoto Protocol (Annex
B Party) to earn emission reduction units (ERUs) from an emission reduction or emission removal project
in another Annex B Party, each equivalent to one tonne of CO2, which can be counted towards meeting
its Kyoto target. Joint implementation offers Parties a flexible and cost-efficient means of fulfilling a part
of their Kyoto commitments, while the host Party benefits from foreign investment and technology
transfer. (http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/mechanisms/joint_implementation/items/1674.php) accessed
March 2001
11 In 2010, the “UN Summit on the Millennium Development Goals concluded with the adoption of a
global action plan to achieve the eight anti-poverty goals by their 2015 target date and the announcement
of major new commitments for women’s and children’s health and other initiatives against poverty,
hunger and disease” (United Nations, 2011).
12
At present there are 344 PPPs registered with the United Nations Commission on Sustainable
Development (CSD). A CSD report into the benefits of PPPs for environmental governance argues that
PPPs benefit green issues, because they ‘provide incentives to the private sector to adopt green criteria’
whilst avoiding ‘politically correct ‘add ons’ tha t mean nothing’ (United Nations, 2009).
16
Critics of PPPs argue that the division of responsibility between state and capital
means a lack of any strong regulation. Without a state-led approach, entrepreneurs and
business have no boundaries or regulations to adhere to. The state’s decision to hand
over responsibility to business means the state becomes limited in how much
regulation it can impose on business to address the problems of climate change. The
emergence of GEG is interest led, not environmental, and there is a lack of effectiveness
in measuring the success of any GEG schemes. The hybrid nature of PPPs absolves
both state and private enterprises of the responsibility to find solutions to climate
change. The state’s inability to regulate policy procedure leads to a lack of legitimacy in
environmental claims, and limited accountability for the acts of either governments or
negated in any eco-centric deals. Thus, GEG goes beyond the state, through engagement
with private organisations and corporations. The role of private companies means that
GEG transgresses both national and international boundaries, and there is a gradual
permits, shelve plans intended for the permits, leaving surplus permits to sell on the
markets. For example, steel manufacturer Corus, after being given emissions permits for
development at their Teesside plant, shelved their plans, leaving them able to sell the
unused permits for an estimated profit of £250 million (Clover, 2010). Moreover, with
the global recession came a decrease in demand for energy. Companies and institutions
that couldn’t raise capital through bank loans were able to generate funding by ‘selling
their allowance-gambling that they would be able to buy […] back when customers
returned’ (Clover, 2010). Moreover, once the third phase of ETS comes into effect in
2013, organisations with remaining permits will ‘carry over 1.8 billion
permits…obviating the need to buy any new credits before 2016’ (Schiller, 2011). This
in emissions freeing up more permits to sell on the carbon markets. Moreover, the
reliance on networks and trade in non-tangible products leaves the systems open to
abuse. In February 2011, the ETS system and nine participating countries were subject
to a cyber attack. A series of phishing emails convinced many companies to sell their
emissions allowance, and the ‘Financial Times Deutschland’ reported that one firm had
lost €1.5 million as a result’ (Carbonwatch, 2011). 13 However, these examples of fraud
fail to deter the growth of emissions trading, thus avoiding detriment to London’s
market.
13
http://www.carbontradewatch.org/articles/cyber-scam-artists-disrupt-emissions-trading-across-
eu.html
18
support is low, with 60 percent of the population against the tax (ABC News, 2011) 14
and of the “30 percent who say they support the carbon tax, only 12 percent are
proposed an emissions trading scheme to be introduced in 2013, but instead have opted
for the introduction of a carbon tax ahead of a move to emissions trading by 2015. The
scheme was delayed due to a ‘lack of a breakthrough at last year's Copenhagen climate
talks’ (Kirk, 2010) and because of a lack of support from Australia’s Labor and Green
Party; despite climate change being a concern for two thirds of the Australian
population. Yet other countries are trialling similar schemes in the BRICS 15 nations
Conclusion
through relations between state and capital; this chapter has charted the political
adoption of climate change discourse to regulate and grow new markets under the rubric
of addressing climate change. The City of London found itself in a niche market, which
began in the early 1990s, and has excelled since 2005; emissions and carbon trading are
one of the few successes to emerge from the global recession. Thus emissions trading is
a form of fictitious capital because it relies on what Marx terms advancing capital,- the
procurement of capital based on a projected income a product may or may not generate
(Marx, 1981). Carbon and emissions trading may take the form of fictitious capital, as
its foundation is trading in the potential to pollute. Industrialised countries can trade
with each other over how much, or how little each country contributes to emissions in
14
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/05/04/3207006.htm?section=justin
15 15
BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). BRICS, an acronym coined by the
investment bank Goldman Sachs, account for 45% of the world’s economic growth between them.
19
the atmosphere. London and the EU, alongside the UN, have developed neoliberal
schema that privileges capital over the state in the authorisation of solutions to climate
change.
they generate new income from new markets, whilst appearing to encourage an eco-
centric society. Indeed, the rationale for the Climate Change Act came not from any
sense of environmental urgency, but from the political urgency to maintain a hegemonic
combination with GEG and PPPs has helped London lead the way in the fictitious
capital of carbon trading. The passing of the Climate Change Act and Lord Stern’s
conflating of economics with energy to develop new markets show the role of the state
and its relation to capital. The state maintains a stance which allows capital to find
solutions to climate change, and in return climate change opens up new investment
opportunities and the development of new markets under the gentle ‘suasion’ of
The problem with a capital, market-led approach is the lack of responsibility and
global temperature and subsequent flooding and famine are that states retain
responsibility for finding solutions whilst enterprise prioritises the use of climate change
London remains the market leader, housing the key influential organisation that
charts the ebb and flow of the carbon markets. The City of London and the Thatcher
government sowed the seeds of success in the 1980s, securing London as a leader in
20
climate change solutions. As climate change increasingly moves up the political and
media agenda, there is greater pressure on states to find solutions. The model introduced
by Thatcher, and later expanded upon by Blair, Brown and Cameron of a market-led
solution, appeals to many states, including the BRICS 16 and Australia. The challenge to
London is to retain the title as the world’s leader in carbon trading, as the market
expands on a global scale, whilst seeking to avoid excessive financial speculation in our
environment’s future.
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