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Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132

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Energy Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol

The use of public participation and economic appraisal for public


involvement in large-scale hydropower projects: Case study of the
Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project
Naho Mirumachi a,n, Jacopo Torriti b,1
a
Department of Geography, King’s College London, Strand London WC2R 2LS, UK
b
School of Contruction Management and Engineering, University of Reading, Whiteknights PO Box 219 Reading RG6 6AY, UK

a r t i c l e i n f o abstract

Article history: Gaining public acceptance is one of the main issues with large-scale low-carbon projects such as
Received 4 October 2011 hydropower development. It has been recommended by the World Commission on Dams that to gain
Accepted 18 April 2012 public acceptance, public involvement is necessary in the decision-making process (WCD, 2000).
Available online 17 May 2012
As financially-significant actors in the planning and implementation of large-scale hydropower projects
Keywords: in developing country contexts, the paper examines the ways in which public involvement may be
Cost-benefit analysis influenced by international financial institutions. Using the case study of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower
Public acceptance Project in Laos, the paper analyses how public involvement facilitated by the Asian Development Bank
Public participation had a bearing on procedural and distributional justice. The paper analyses the extent of public
participation and the assessment of full social and environmental costs of the project in the Cost-
Benefit Analysis conducted during the project appraisal stage. It is argued that while efforts were made
to involve the public, there were several factors that influenced procedural and distributional justice:
the late contribution of the Asian Development Bank in the project appraisal stage; and the issue of
non-market values and discount rate to calculate the full social and environmental costs.
& 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction dams for hydropower in particular have been subject to major


controversy regarding benefits and adverse impacts (Scudder,
Clean energy projects are now increasingly considered for 2005). Over the years, several frameworks for assessing and
energy policy at domestic and international levels. Hydropower deciding hydropower projects have been developed from this
development has been one of the preferred strategies of energy controversy. In 2000, the World Commission on Dams (WCD)
policy by many governments amidst concerns of climate change produced a framework to facilitate the planning, implementation
(Pittock et al., 2008). At the international level, hydropower and operation of dams. The report, Dams and Development: A New
has been promoted as a source of energy with low greenhouse Framework for Decision-Making was ground-breaking at that time,
gas emissions suitable for the Clean Development Mechanism having been produced after extensive global consultations with a
(Pittock, 2010). Hydropower projects can greatly differ in type range of stakeholders. The International Hydropower Association
and scale (Egré and Milewski, 2002). This variety of projects calls developed the Sustainability Guidelines in 2004 and a Sustain-
into question the extent to which hydropower is a clean and ability Assessment Protocol in 2006. In addition, various assess-
sustainable energy source. For example, it has been argued that ment techniques such as Social Impact Assessment (e.g., Égré and
the amount of greenhouse gas emissions from reservoirs should Senécal, 2003), Multi-Stakeholder Platforms (e.g., Faysse, 2006)
not be neglected when considering dam projects (Mäkinen and and Transboundary Environmental Impact Assessment (e.g.,
Khan, 2010). Hydropower projects have both positive and nega- Wyatt and Baird, 2007) have been applied to evaluate dam
tive implications to the environment and socio-economic condi- projects.
tions of the project site and thus defy a generalised argument on These frameworks and techniques have emphasised on the
renewability and sustainability (Frey and Linke, 2002). Large importance of considering non-economic benefits and disbenefits
through deliberative processes. The WCD established a trend to
n
ensure participatory decision-making by various stakeholders.
Corresponding author. Tel.: þ44 20 7848 2865; fax: þ 44 20 7848 2287.
E-mail addresses: naho.mirumachi@kcl.ac.uk (N. Mirumachi),
According to the WCD, ‘‘gaining public attendance’’ is a key
j.torriti@reading.ac.uk (J. Torriti). strategic priority in the decision-making of equitable and sustain-
1
Tel.: þ44 118 378 8196; fax: þ44 118 931 3856. able dam projects (WCD, 2000). Gaining public acceptance is not

0301-4215/$ - see front matter & 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.04.034
126 N. Mirumachi, J. Torriti / Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132

just limited to approving or rejecting a dam project, but also Section 4 examines the process in which the ADB facilitated
extends to the policy, programmes, and institutional and techni- public participation measures and the CBA conducted by the
cal set-up surrounding the dam project (Cariño and Colchester, ADB to analyse the extent of procedural and distributional
2010). Moreover, it is recommended by the WCD (2000) to justice. Section 5 discusses the implications of the empirical
provide means of public involvement throughout the process of findings in the wider policy context using examples from devel-
decision-making. The paper focuses on this aspect of gaining oping countries and in the context of clean energy. Section 6
public acceptance and examines the ways in which public concludes.
involvement may be influenced by international financial institu-
tions (IFIs) in facilitating public involvement. IFIs are important
lenders in resource-intensive large-scale hydropower projects.
Moreover, the WCD regards them as actors that can be influential 2. Brief overview of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project
to ensure projects follow key principles of decision-making for
equitable and sustainable water and energy resource develop- The Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project is the largest energy
ment (WCD, 2000). project developed in Laos (Sayasone, 2010). It is located in the
Using the case study of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project Nam Theun River basin, a tributary basin of the transboundary
in Laos, the paper examines the role of the Asian Development Mekong River which is shared by China, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand,
Bank (ADB) in facilitating public involvement to gain public Vietnam and Cambodia. The main feature of the project is a 39 m
acceptance. The Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project is a large- high dam storing the Nam Theun waters in a reservoir of 450 km2
scale project within the Mekong River basin that exports hydro- in the Nakai Plateau. The Nam Theun 2 Dam has a generation
power from Laos to Thailand. The Nam Theun 2 Hydropower capacity of 1070 MW. It is expected that 5,354 GW h of electricity
Project was partially funded by the ADB, in addition to other per year is to be exported from Laos to Thailand (ADB, 2005d).
institutions, and has been in operation since 2010. While the The project is estimated to generate approximately USD 1.9 billion
funding by ADB is smaller than that of the other major financial as government revenue including revenue from hydropower
institution involved, the World Bank, the ADB nevertheless plays export during the 25 years of concession to the project developer,
a pivotal role in the infrastructure development of the region. the Nam Theun 2 Power Company Limited (NTPC) (ADB, 2005d;
Specifically, the ADB has established the Greater Mekong Sub- World Bank, 2005; Porter and Shivakumar, 2011). To cover costs
region Programme that aims to facilitate economic development estimated at USD 1.45 billion, a number of foreign investors have
amongst China, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. been involved. Funds have been provided from Thai and French
In recent years, clean energy projects have been particularly shareholders of NTPC, private commercial banks, the World Bank
promoted by the ADB as a way to transition to a greener, low and other international financial institutions including the ADB
carbon economy within this Mekong region (ADB, 2009). (see World Bank (2005) for a complete listing). The ADB funded
The Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project is understood as a clean USD 120 million in 2005 to the Government of Laos and to the
energy project, beneficial to the region (ADB, 2010). NTPC. Of this, USD 20 million was provided to the Government of
The paper focuses on the project appraisal stage during which Laos for the purchase of equity in the NTPC, and the rest to the
the ADB facilitated public participation and economic appraisal. NTPC (ADB, 2005a, c). The ADB raised the following as reasons
Public participation, or the inclusion of stakeholders is highly that justify its engagement:
important and can ensure the rights and entitlements of rural
communities and other vulnerable groups within society, who The rationale of the [Nam Theun Hydropower] Project is to
have hitherto tended to be most affected by dams (WCD, 2000). help the Government [of Laos] develop hydroelectric power as
In terms of economic appraisal, the paper analyses the extent to a foreign exchange earner and provide least-cost electricity
which the ADB assessed the full social and environmental costs of supply to consumers in the Lao PDR. The Project will support
the project in Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA). The paper places medium- and long-term economic growth, poverty reduction,
special emphasis on the non-market values within CBA because and environmental conservation as outlined in the National
accounting for these values requires public involvement through Growth and Poverty Eradication Strategy. (ADB, 2005d, p.2).
willingness to pay (WTP) techniques. This analysis is important
because while the CBA by the World Bank has been examined
(Greacen and Sukkamnoed, 2005), scant attention has been paid It should be pointed out that though developers were seeking
to the CBA by the ADB. funding in the mid 1990s, the ADB only decided to engage with
The paper provides an account of both public participation and this project in 2003, after having concerns of risks involved in
economic appraisal rather than just one or the other because this hydropower projects in general and in Lao projects (Porter and
approach enables a comprehensive analysis of the public involve- Shivakumar, 2011).
ment process to achieve public acceptance. As will be explained The regional benefits of the project are considered to promote
below, the analysis is guided by a conceptual framework of and provide ‘‘energy efficiency and renewable energy’’ amongst
procedural and distributional justice proposed by Dore and the member countries of the ADB (ADB, 2010, p.i). Specifically, the
Lebel (2010). Under this framework, the scope of public participa- ADB perceives this project as one of the projects to transition to a
tion by the ADB will be examined to understand how procedural greener, low-carbon economy in the Greater Mekong Subregion
justice was ensured. In addition, content test and function test are (ADB, 2009). At the same time, this project has received intense
utilised to analayse the CBA and assess distributional justice. scrutiny and criticism since the inception phase. For example,
These are two techniques to examine ex post the matter and role international NGOs questioned the economic viability (Ryder,
of economic appraisals in policies and projects (Morgenstern and 2004), highlighted impacts on downstream Lao fisheries (Blake,
Landy, 1997). 2005) and critiqued resettlement and livelihood restoration
The paper is structured as follows. Section 2 gives a brief measures (Imhof, 2005; International Rivers, 2008). Aware of
overview of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project and the the criticism of large-scale dam projects, the ADB has argued that
involvement of the ADB. Section 3 explains the conceptual such projects are ‘‘selectively support[ed]y based on the eco-
framework of procedural and distributional justice and elaborates nomic benefits and the projects will comply with ADB’s social and
on the analytical framework to examine public involvement. environmental safeguards requirements’’ (ADB, 2009, p.7).
N. Mirumachi, J. Torriti / Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132 127

3. Forms of public involvement in large-scale dam project been highlighted. For example, the WCD argued three common
appraisal tendencies in the way CBA has been used:

Gaining public acceptance through various forms of public projections of project costs are systematically understated[;]
involvement is needed to explore and justify positive and nega- social and environmental impacts are not valued explicitly or
tive impacts of dam projects (WCD, 2000). The above-mentioned are only indirectly accounted for through mitigation or reset-
WCD report emphasised how public acceptance is achieved tlement budgetsy[;] employing social discount rates that are
through ‘‘open and transparent decision-making processes’’ that too high (WCD, 2000, p.181).
is conducive to ‘‘free, prior and informed consent of stakeholders’’
(WCD, 2000, p. 217). To this extent, the WCD report suggested The WCD cautioned against the over-reliance on CBA as the
establishing stakeholder forums to facilitate a democratic deci- main methodology because it can lead to skewed outcomes based
sion-making process and using independent, external dispute on limited analysis (WCD, 2000).
resolution organisations. Dore and Lebel (2010) pointed out that Instead of critiquing CBA as a method, in order to understand
the WCD report focused on decision-making process issues, or on the extent of public involvement in the case of the Nam Theun
‘getting the process right’. They argued that equally important is 2 Hydropower Project, the paper applies content and function
focusing on the way benefits and risks are shared, or ‘getting the tests of the CBA conducted by the ADB. Content tests are used to
content right’. In other words, gaining public acceptance includes analyse the contents of a CBA using guidelines or other CBAs as
aspects of both procedural and distributional justice (Dore and benchmarks. The purpose of doing this is to verify that the
Lebel, 2010). Public involvement enables procedural justice conducted CBA matches the criteria for preparation of CBAs, to
through the inclusion of stakeholders and access to information, identify potential gaps in the report, and to validate consistency
and facilitates consent. Public involvement also enables distribu- with other CBAs. Comparing the CBA report of the ADB and the
tional justice so that economic benefits and adverse social, WCD guidelines is a first, though important, step. The second step
economic and environmental impacts are fully assessed, and the consists of a function test, which is designed to investigate the
appropriate compensation and rehabilitation programmes are role of the economic appraisal within a specific policy or project.
undertaken (Dore and Lebel, 2010). Function tests seek to comprehend how specific CBAs were
produced and why they have certain characteristics in relation
3.1. Public involvement to ensure procedural justice to issues of public participation. A third approach is an outcome
test, i.e., comparing the figures in the CBA with actual impacts
Noting how certain groups of stakeholders such as indigenous from fieldwork. Outcome tests are typically carried out five or ten
communities and women have been marginalised from mean- years after the implementation of a project. Considering that the
ingful decision-making processes in the past, the WCD (2000) project has been in operation since 2010, outcome tests are not
stressed identifying rights and entitlements to ensure inclusion. applicable in this case. The following sections will conduct a
By establishing the rights of stakeholders, risks posed by the combination of both content and function tests.
proposed dam project would be easier to assess. In addition,
stakeholders are to be empowered through ‘‘access to adequate
3.2.1. Monetisation of non-market values
resources, including legal and other professional support’’ (WCD,
In order to analyse aspects of public involvement in the project
2000, p. 217). Importantly, the WCD report recommended the
appraisal stages, further to the content and function tests, the
incorporation of public participation from the initial stages of
issue of full monetisation of non-market values, such as environ-
planning. It has been argued that such forms of early involvement
mental costs and resettlement costs, and the setting of discount
would lead to more transparent and inclusive processes of water
rates are examined. Non-market values refer to those impacts
and energy resources development (WCD, 2000, see also UNEP,
which cannot be directly associated with a market value, such as
2007).
changes in environmental and health services. Meta-analysis
It has been pointed out that one way of ensuring stakeholder
conducted over 1600 studies from more than 40 countries on a
consultation is through the rigorous application of safeguard
set of topics, including transportation, sanitation, health, the arts
policies or guidelines of IFIs (UNEP, 2007). From this, the focus
and education, as well as the environment, shows numerous
of analysis in the case of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project is
examples of CBAs making use of non-market values as forms of
on the public participation measures as part of safeguard policies
distributional justice (Carson et al., 1994). Evidence from existing
of the ADB. These safeguard policies are underpinned by guide-
CBA studies on non-market values shows that the use or non-use
lines and protocols of the WCD and the International Hydropower
of different monetisation techniques of non-market values leads
Association, which promotes sustainable energy development
to different estimates of benefits and costs (Hammond, 1990;
(ADB, 2009).
Lutter et al., 1999). This means that the monetisation of environ-
mental benefits and costs (e.g., removal of forest areas and
3.2. Public involvement to ensure distributional justice
agricultural land), and health benefits and costs (e.g., associated
with human displacement) bring about different outcomes than
Dore and Lebel (2010) proposed three principles for ensuring
the monetisation of market values only.
distributional justice. First, establishing a mechanism for benefit
In the case of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project, the
sharing between concerned stakeholders. Second, identifying and
estimation of the aggregate amount of costs and benefits takes
assessing risks to both stakeholders and the ecosystem. Third,
into account both market values and non-market values: the cost
ensuring that ‘‘a population has secure and continuous access to
of watershed for the Nam Theun 2 Dam and the benefit of
the natural resources, ecosystem and other services required to
additional electricity generation; and the cost of displacement
maintain a living’’ (Dore and Lebel, 2010, p.136). To achieve these
and the benefit of low carbon energy.
three principles, public involvement is inherently essential and
the use of project appraisal tools, such as CBA, assist the ways in
which benefits and risks are identified. 3.2.2. Discount rates
While CBA has been used extensively in assessing dams The choice of discount rates is considered as an important
projects, limitations of this economic appraisal technique have element of CBA for the development of project appraisals (Hanley
128 N. Mirumachi, J. Torriti / Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132

Table 1
Content test: indirect costs and benefits.

Indirect costs (WCD, 2000) Cost of assessment Indirect costs Benefits (WCD, 2000) Benefits
(MAFF, 1999) (ADB, 2004b) (ADB, 2004b)

Resettlement costs to the resettled population Low Y Power generation benefits Y


Health impacts to the population in the project area High N Agricultural, irrigation benefits Y
Fisheries losses to the population in the project area Low N Water supply benefits N
Natural habitat losses to the country present and future population High N Flood control benefits N
Downstream effects to the downstream population Very High N
Watershed sedimentation costs Medium N

and Splash, 1998). When setting discount rates, judgements are communication channel in which villagers were first made aware
made with regards to the future depreciation and hence value of of project formally (Souksavath, 2011). In addition to consulta-
critical resources, such as farming land and forests. In other tions with stakeholders, project reports were disseminated via the
words, the level of discount rate determines the economic website of the project authority and through several consultation
viability of alternative project options. The decision on levels of meetings in various locations within Laos and also at interna-
discount rates may be taken by economists in isolation or be tional venues for donors and international NGOs (ADB, 2004b).
influenced by interest groups (Torriti, 2010). However, discount At least on paper, the ADB ensured that its safeguard policies
rates are rarely in the spotlight when it comes to large projects were followed by involving a range of stakeholders at various
and policies. In order to avoid discretionary decisions regarding points in time and in different locations. The ADB took multiple
the net value of certain benefits, best practice on CBA involves approaches to provide information, through its own procedures as
stakeholder consultation on discount rate levels. When looking at well as through the existing Public Consultation and Disclosure
the Nam Theun 2 case study, the focus is on how the discount rate process.
was set and its effects on public acceptance.
4.2. Public involvement in CBA for distributional justice

4. ADB’s facilitation of public involvement for procedural and


4.2.1. Content test: Environmental and social costs and benefits in
distributional justice
the CBA
A content test is performed using the summary of criteria for
4.1. Public involvement strategies for procedural justice
apportioning indirect social and environmental costs and benefits
of large dam projects according to the WCD (2000). The main
When the ADB committed to funding the Nam Then 2 Hydro-
indirect costs comprise: resettlement costs; fisheries losses; and
power Project in 2005, it was argued that a wide range of
watershed sedimentation costs, which are atypically not consid-
stakeholders were consulted during the project planning stages
ered as direct costs. The benefits include: power generation
spanning over several years, and that information was dissemi-
benefits; agricultural irrigation benefits; water supply benefits;
nated through various media and through local facilitators (ADB,
and flood control benefits.
2005d). The effects of such public participation were considered
Table 1 represents the content test for the CBA conducted by
to inform resettlement areas and livelihood reconstruction pro-
the ADB. It can be noted that apart from the resettlement costs,
grammes (ADB, 2005d).
indirect cost components were not estimated in the CBA. Simi-
Specifically, the ADB facilitated public consultation by the
larly, while benefits relating to energy and irrigation were
Government of Laos and the NPTC in early 2004 so that local
calculated, those relating to water supply and flood control were
communities would be informed about the benefits and risks of
not included. The costs of assessment are on average a small
the projects and the livelihood restoration plans (ADB, 2005d,
fraction of the capital costs of a dam project. However, the cost of
p.13). Public participation had been part of project assessment
assessment for various indirect costs may differ due to the
activities led by the NPTC prior to the financial commitment of
amount of resources associated with different assessment meth-
the ADB. The ADB funded the Government of Laos in the form of
ods. For instance, contingent valuation surveys for non-market
Technical Assistance in March 2004 mainly to assist public
costs are typically more expensive than desk research based
participation at local to international scales and to aid informa-
methods like the human capital approach (Pearce, 1998).
tion dissemination over 18 months (ADB, 2004c). Various types of
A column for the typical costs of the assessment, based on average
stakeholders operating at local, regional, national and interna-
assessment cost figures from the UK Ministry of Agriculture,
tional levels were identified: ‘‘(i) project-affected people; (ii)
Fisheries and Food (MAFF, 1999), is presented in Table 1 to
district, provincial, and national government officials; (iii) civil
provide an indication of the magnitude of the economic appraisal
society and nongovernmental organisations (NGOs); and (iv)
of indirect costs. It can be observed that the indirect cost
international NGOs, international organisations, and other inter-
components not estimated in the CBA by the ADB would incur
est groups’’ (ADB, 2004d, p.7).
varying levels of financial resources. However, the use of different
In addition, ADB became involved in the existing Public
methods should lead to higher variance among assessment costs.
Consultation and Disclosure process, which had begun before its
participation, since 1995. The Public Consultation and Disclosure
process hosted approximately 400 events between 1995 and 4.2.2. Function test: Extent of public involvement for the CBA
October 2004 for public debate and information dissemination A characteristic of public involvement relevant to the CBA of
(ADB, 2004b). The function of this process seems to have been the ADB is the timing. The ADB began assessing project impacts
particularly important to disemminate information especially to since November 2002 in partnership with the World Bank (ADB,
local communities to be resettled: this process was the main 2004c). The rationale behind the joint assessment was so that
N. Mirumachi, J. Torriti / Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132 129

‘‘due diligence work [would] ensure that the safeguard policies of quantitative assessment of the environmental impacts of the Nam
the two institutions are complied with and the sector issues are Theun 2 (Blake, 2005). The main negative environmental impacts
addressed appropriately’’ (ADB, 2004c, p.3). The two organisa- relate to the 450 km2 of forest, woodlands and other land which
tions evaluated their influence on public participation as the were lost in the inundation area. This led to the loss of terrestrial
following: and aquatic habitats in the Nakai Plateau. This loss of habitat is
likely to increase population pressures on wildlife that are
The NT2 project also showed the value of a thorough and open dependent on these habitats. The USD 3.2 million estimate by
consultation process within the country, within the region, the ADB as an overall cost of environmental deterioration from
and in multiple international fora, to debate controversial the dam project is the result of deducting the benefit associated
issues. This was a key factor in better project and programme with the market value of the timber (USD 50/m3) from the cost of
design, as well as for its acceptance by the global community deforestation. In other words, the ADB accounted for market
despite its complexities and potential controversies. In addi- environmental costs by taking into account solely market costs
tion, the WB was able to provide value added in improving and benefits. This approach did not consider the unique value of
information sharing among countries and stakeholders, and the Lao forest from a biodiversity perspective, which would have
overall in building trust. (World Bank and ADB, 2006, p.24). required non-market value methods, and increased the ratio
between environmental costs and total project cost from 2% to a
The ADB played a partial role in encouraging public participa- significantly higher value.
tion during the project appraisal stage. The late involvement of
the ADB in the project appraisal meant that much of the ADB 4.2.3.2. Resettlement costs. The construction of the dam required
activities were to summarise past public participation measures the resettlement of about 6,000 people over more than 20 villages.
and to assure that the existing measures met its safeguard Those individuals who were displaced because of the hydropower
policies. The ADB was reliant on past efforts by the World Bank dam were entitled to compensation. In the CBA by the ADB, the
to ensure its safeguard policies. Thus, the late intervention of the monetary value of resettlement was not estimated following a non-
ADB prevented it from playing a central role in determining the market valuation approach. The monetary assessment of resettle-
procedure, content and pace of public participation measures ment was estimated based on an ad hoc available price for
from the outset of project appraisal. resettlement and not on the non-market costs of resettling that
include the willingness to accept of locals, which could be informed
4.2.3. Monetisation of non-market values through public involvement. Conducting surveys in four out of the
According to the WCD (2000), environmental ecosystem costs 17 resettled villages, Souksavath (2011) found that villagers were
and human resettlement costs are two of the most significant provided with options in facilitating resettlement, rather than
typologies of costs associated with dam developments. The over- discussions on the levels of willingness to accept. Leaders of the
all environmental ecosystem cost of the Nam Theun 2 Hydro- community negotiated aspects of resettlment (Souksavath, 2011).
power Project was estimated at USD 3.2 million, whereas the However, the effectiveness of such negotiation is unclear.
social cost of resettlement, i.e., the total financial compensation to Depending on the amount of land owned, households were
those resettled, amounted to USD 45 million in 2002 USD entitled to an average of USD 76.47 per year. While this value
equivalent value (see Table 2). In order to understand how the might be arguably close to the average market value of land, which
figures for environmental and social costs were obtained and was USD 300 per hectare of land exploitation in 2004 USD
whether non-market values were taken into account, this section equivalent (Schumann et al., 2006), the spread of the resettlement
focuses on deforestation costs and resettlement costs. We have payments does not take into account the value of displacement for
chosen these two costs because they represent direct monetary future generations (Rabl, 1996; Howarth, 1996). In addition, it
compensations to affected people. This has implications in terms disregards the fact that compensation practice suggests actual
of distributional justice, which is of interest to the aim of payments may not take place any earlier than 10 to 15 years
this paper. from the time of household entitlement (Pearce, 1999; Scudder,
1994). Overall resettlement costs amount to about USD 13 million,
including fishery loss compensation. This figure is significantly
4.2.3.1. Environmental costs of deforestation. Extensive institu-
inferior to the other entry for social costs, i.e., watershed
tional work, particularly on behalf of the ADB, has gone into the
management (USD 31 million).
Table 2
Nam Theun 2 project costs. 4.2.4. Discount rates setting
Source: ADB, 2004b.
The discount rate used by ADB to assess the future value of
Typology of costs Total Million Cost/energy Assessment standard units of land is not consistent throughout the project.
USDea produced Cost/Total Three aspects need to be considered when reviewing the discount
(in USD/MW h) project rates for this project. First, a CBA study by consultants (Berger
assessment cost
International, 1997) made use of a discount rate of 10% for
Development costs 74 2.31 0.05 calculating the present value of lost future earnings associated
Social costs 45 1.40 0.16 with the loss of agricultural land in the Nakai Plateau. This high
Environmental costs 3 0.09 0.15 rate implied that the sunk costs of not having any future
Head construction costs 722 22.49 0.01 productive activity in the Nakai Plateau forest were lower than
Financing costs 250 7.79 0.13
General and 46 1.43 0.13
the benefits of the dam project. Second, the subsequent CBA by
administrative costs, the ADB (ADB, 2004b) applied a lower discount rate (7%) to
including capital agricultural land earnings, i.e., the opportunity cost associated
Pre-operating costs 109 3.39 0.18 with loss in land use. It is unclear whether there was direct
Contingencies 200 6.23 0.819
stakeholder influence in lower discount rates for land opportunity
Total project costs 1450 45.12 1
costs. Third, the project determined that an overall 7% discount
a
USDe: USD equivalent value. rate is applied after 25 years, once the project is handed over to
130 N. Mirumachi, J. Torriti / Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132

Table 3
Land opportunity costs: sensitivity analysis of discount rates for different standard unit values of wood, based on Berger International (1997) and ADB (2004a).

Year Land opportunity cost Land opportunity cost Land opportunity cost
(7% nominal discount rate) USD/ha (10% nominal discount rate) USD/ha (9% nominal discount rate) USD/ha
6.5% real discount rate 9.3% real discount rate 8.3% real discount rate

Standard unit Lowered unit Standard unit Lowered unit value of land Standard unit Lowered unit
value of land value of land value of land value of land value of land

2004 376.7 201.8 376.7 201.8 376.7 201.8


2005 353.7 189.5 344.6 184.6 347.8 186.3
2006 332.1 177.9 315.3 168.9 321.2 172.1
2007 311.9 167.1 288.5 154.5 296.6 158.9
2008 292.8 156.9 263.9 141.4 273.8 146.7
2009 274.9 147.3 241.5 129.4 252.8 135.4
2010 258.2 138.3 220.9 118.4 233.5 125.1
2011 242.4 129.9 202.1 108.3 215.6 115.5
2012 227.6 121.9 184.9 99.1 199.1 106.6
2013 213.7 114.5 169.2 90.6 183.8 98.5
2014 200.7 107.5 154.8 82.9 169.7 90.9
2015 188.4 100.9 141.6 75.9 156.7 83.9
2016 176.9 94.8 129.6 69.4 144.7 77.5
2017 166.1 89.0 118.6 63.5 133.6 71.6
2018 156.0 83.6 108.5 58.1 123.4 66.1
2019 146.5 78.5 99.2 53.2 113.9 61.0
2020 137.5 73.7 90.8 48.6 105.2 56.3
2021 129.1 69.2 83.1 44.5 97.1 52.0
2022 121.3 65.0 76.0 40.7 89.7 48.0
2023 113.9 61.0 69.5 37.3 82.8 44.4
2024 106.9 57.3 63.6 34.1 76.5 41.0
2025 100.4 53.8 58.2 31.2 70.6 37.8
2026 94.3 50.5 53.3 28.5 65.2 34.9
2027 88.5 47.4 48.7 26.1 60.2 32.2
2028 83.1 44.5 44.6 23.9 55.6 29.8
2029 78.0 41.8 40.8 21.8 51.3 27.5
2030 73.3 39.2 37.3 20.0 47.4 25.4
2031 68.8 36.9 34.1 18.3 43.8 23.4
2031 64.6 34.6 31.2 16.7 40.4 21.6
2033 60.7 32.5 28.6 15.3 37.3 20.0
2034 57.0 30.5 26.1 14.0 34.4 18.5
Net Present value 5295.9 2837.0 4146.1 2221.1 4500.2 2410.8

the Government of Laos from NTPC. This lower rate increases the 5. Challenges of public involvement in project appraisal of
calculated present value of the projected Government of Laos large-scale hydropower dams
earnings for later years.
Furthermore, the unit value of land in the calculation used in The empirical findings of the project appraisal stages of the
the CBA by the ADB (ADB, 2004b) was lowered compared with the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project highlight some important
initial 1996 estimates which made use of a standard unit value of issues of public involvement to gain public acceptance. Regarding
land based on market prices (White, 1997). A ‘lowered value of procedural justice, while public involvement was facilitated by
land’ was introduced by ADB in 2004 following a depreciation of the ADB, the extent of stakeholder engagement has been criti-
the market price of timber. This had knock-on effects on value cised. In particular, civil society has repeatedly pointed out the
of land. problematic public participation measures. For example, TERRA,
For comparison, Table 3 shows sensitivity analysis values for a an influential NGO in the Mekong River basin argued that local
nominal 9% discount rate, which is consistent with other costs communities were involved in the public participation procedure
and benefits in the CBA. Real discount rates were calculated merely out of pressure by governments and development institu-
taking into account that the estimated cost of equity of land in tions, thus compromising meaningful, active participation to
Laos according to Schumann et al. (2006) is 14.7% in nominal influence decision-making (Daoroung, 2002). Critics argued that
terms and 13.6% in real terms. public participation was conducted to maintain the interest and
Two observations can be drawn. None of the two (7% and 10%) funding of the World Bank (Guttal and Shoemaker, 2004). These
discount rates are consistent with other costs and benefits. This criticisms point to conditions of effective public participation
raises issues with regards to discretionary use of discount rate where (a) the political climate must be conducive to open
setting. The second observation regards a methodologically unu- deliberation; and (b) the crucial decision of project implementa-
sual finding. Diminishing the discount rate from 10% to 7% should tion must not be predetermined and be subject to debate
have increased the present value of land opportunity cost. How- (Virtanen, 2006; Simpson, 2007).
ever, the fact that the unit value of land in the calculation was Importantly, these criticisms highlight the significant role of
lowered means that the overall cost in terms of land opportunity IFIs in large-scale energy projects requiring major financial
costs decreased. As a result, the Net Present Value of land assistance. The ADB had the expertise and resources to host
opportunity cost used in the nominal dollar calculation of CBA consultations with local communities and to conduct systematic
falls from USD 4146.1/ha to USD 2,221.1/ha between the 1997 analysis of benefits and risks, which requires public participation
and 2004 estimates using a nominal discount rate of 10%.as measures. However, as the analysis of distributional justice
shown in Table 3. showed, the ADB was involved in the project towards the end of
N. Mirumachi, J. Torriti / Energy Policy 47 (2012) 125–132 131

the overall project appraisal process. This meant that the time- and distributional justice, the latter being analysed by the use of
frame to conduct public involvement was limited and coordina- both content and function tests of CBA carried out by the ADB.
tion with other supporting organisations, namely the World Bank, The analysis showed that at the project appraisal stage, principles
was integral to the activities of the ADB in executing project of procedural and distributional justice may have been under-
appraisal. mined in three ways. First, the ADB was only partially involved in
In addition, regarding distributional justice, the review of the facilitating public participation of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower
CBA by the ADB for the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project mirrors Project during the project appraisal stage, hence exposing it to
the shortcomings of CBA utilisation warned by the WCD: non- criticism by civil society. Second, environmental and social
market values are inadequately valued and discount rates discre- impacts were treated as market values only, hence excluding
tionary. The problems revealed in the empirical analysis under- from the assessment the actual WTP value of those stakeholders
score the role of institutions like the ADB to ensure various forms most affected by the project. Third, discount rates were set
of public involvement, be they public meetings or technical discretionarily, hence affecting the value of agricultural land in
meetings to discuss discount rates. The treatment of environ- particular.
mental and social costs as market values, like any other operative While dam projects may provide direct benefits to local
and management costs has severe implications on the way non- communities as clean energy options, such large-scale projects
market values like human displacement and deforestation caused have added complexity in the financing arrangements and the
by the project are taken into account. scale and scope of both positive and negative impacts on a wider
The case study of the Nam Theun 2 Hydropower Project and more varied stakeholder group. For this reason, issues of
provides important and useful lessons for gaining public accep- timely contribution of financing institutions in addressing public
tance of large-scale dam projects. This project is not unique in its participation, the inclusion of non-market values, and consistency
challenges of procedural justice. The issue of identifying and in choosing discount rates in CBA become vital in evaluating
including stakeholders is complex. For example, the Three Gorges the sustainability of large scale energy projects in developing
Dam on the Yangtze River basin in China have faced issues of countries.
including all stakeholders who would be negatively affected by The role of the IFIs will be highly important as policy focuses
the project. It has been pointed out that the project has margin- on clean energy projects. The investment decisions by these
alised those who were not considered as permanent, registered institutions will inevitably impact the economic, social and
residents of the project site, even though they had been living on environmental communities within which these projects are
the land for many years (Égré and Senécal, 2003). Moreover, implemented. The transition to a low-carbon economy provides
meaningful participation of these identified stakeholders can be a window of opportunity to exercise public involvement that
difficult to achieve in large-scale projects, just as in the Belo improves the governance of hydropower development projects.
Monte Dam in the Xingu River basin in Brazil. Despite the efforts Public involvement at the project appraisal stage will be crucial to
to gain public acceptance, the Brazilian government has not been the overall effectiveness of the clean energy projects.
successful at integrating opinions of those against the dam,
causing it to ‘‘[use] all the political resources at its disposal in a
secretive process to win environmental approval for the plan’’ Acknowledgements
(Sousa Jr. and Reid, 2010, p. 264).
In addition, the aspect of distributional justice pointed out by Authors thank the two anonymous reviewers for their con-
Dore and Lebel (2010) becomes even more important when structive comments.
considering large-scale dams in the context of clean energy and
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