ESCUELA MILITAR DE INGENIERÍA

MCAL. ANTONIO JOSÉ DE SUCRE

BOLIVIA

ECONOMETRÍA I

DOCENTE: LIC. RODRIGO M. PANIAGUA TAPIA

ALUMNOS: VLADIMIR CHAMBILLA Y.

SEMESTRE: QUINTO SEMESTRE

COCHABAMBA, 2021
 ESTIMACION DEL MODELO LINEAL COLOMBIA
Z W
N
º GASTO CONS.FAMI. PIB W1-Wp (W1-Wp)^2 Z1-Zp (Z1-Zp)^2 (W1-Wp)(Z1-Zp) Z ESTIMADA e residuo e^2
1 1,07148E+11 1,50842E+11 -1,07209E+11 1,14937E+22 -65106739117 4,23889E+21 6,98001E+21 1,04561E+11 2587375832 6,69451E+18
2 1,104E+11 1,56944E+11 -1,01107E+11 1,02227E+22 -61855113344 3,82606E+21 6,254E+21 1,08413E+11 1986395399 3,94577E+18
3 1,17134E+11 1,65396E+11 -92655234830 8,58499E+21 -55120763580 3,0383E+21 5,10723E+21 1,1375E+11 3383915303 1,14509E+19
4 1,24072E+11 1,75013E+11 -83038029062 6,89531E+21 -48182962967 2,3216E+21 4,00102E+21 1,19822E+11 4249187621 1,80556E+19
5 1,30826E+11 1,84118E+11 -73933087384 5,4661E+21 -41428966406 1,71636E+21 3,06297E+21 1,25572E+11 5254111395 2,76057E+19
6 1,3219E+11 1,87903E+11 -70147890173 4,92073E+21 -40064509508 1,60516E+21 2,81044E+21 1,27962E+11 4228506385 1,78803E+19
7 1,35372E+11 1,94349E+11 -63702260959 4,05798E+21 -36883055053 1,36036E+21 2,34953E+21 1,32032E+11 3340040041 1,11559E+19
8 1,34279E+11 1,95456E+11 -62594892646 3,91812E+21 -37975455704 1,44214E+21 2,37707E+21 1,32731E+11 1548421179 2,39761E+18
9 1,27033E+11 1,87239E+11 -70811898072 5,01432E+21 -45221491657 2,04498E+21 3,20222E+21 1,27542E+11 -509205671 2,5929E+17
10 1,2957E+11 1,92716E+11 -65335413087 4,26872E+21 -42684477041 1,82196E+21 2,78881E+21 1,31E+11 -1430171557 2,04539E+18
11 1,31576E+11 1,95949E+11 -62101841166 3,85664E+21 -40678487659 1,65474E+21 2,52621E+21 1,33042E+11 -1465934994 2,14897E+18
12 1,34208E+11 2,00856E+11 -57195311983 3,2713E+21 -38046831717 1,44756E+21 2,1761E+21 1,3614E+11 -1932376152 3,73408E+18
13 1,38157E+11 2,08726E+11 -49325239175 2,43298E+21 -34098018015 1,16267E+21 1,68189E+21 1,4111E+11 -2952910196 8,71968E+18
14 1,43494E+11 2,19857E+11 -38193847177 1,45877E+21 -28760237848 8,27151E+20 1,09846E+21 1,48138E+11 -4643750869 2,15644E+19
15 1,49855E+11 2,30474E+11 -27577469480 7,60517E+20 -22399490037 5,01737E+20 6,17721E+20 1,54842E+11 -4986431840 2,48645E+19
16 1,594E+11 2,45954E+11 -12096863649 1,46334E+20 -12854921153 1,65249E+20 1,55504E+20 1,64616E+11 -5216678969 2,72137E+19
17 1,69845E+11 2,62527E+11 4476006316 2,00346E+19 -2409694229 5,80663E+18 -1,07858E+19 1,75081E+11 -5235949137 2,74152E+19
18 1,76834E+11 2,71147E+11 13095939977 1,71504E+20 4579429348 2,09712E+19 5,99719E+19 1,80524E+11 -3689652959 1,36135E+19
19 1,79855E+11 2,74237E+11 16186062644 2,61989E+20 7600243289 5,77637E+19 1,23018E+20 1,82475E+11 -2620014628 6,86448E+18
20 1,88942E+11 2,86563E+11 28512084319 8,12939E+20 16687607901 2,78476E+20 4,75798E+20 1,90258E+11 -1315587930 1,73077E+18
21 1,99335E+11 3,06473E+11 48422179328 2,34471E+21 27080840730 7,33372E+20 1,31131E+21 2,0283E+11 -3494054014 1,22084E+19
22 2,10566E+11 3,18464E+11 60413359375 3,64977E+21 38311135516 1,46774E+21 2,3145E+21 2,10401E+11 164729681 2,71359E+16
23 2,20308E+11 3,34814E+11 76763300021 5,8926E+21 48053797604 2,30917E+21 3,68877E+21 2,20725E+11 -416342545 1,73341E+17
24 2,2967E+11 3,49878E+11 91826696766 8,43214E+21 57414883194 3,29647E+21 5,27222E+21 2,30236E+11 -566637407 3,21078E+17
25 2,36772E+11 3,6022E+11 1,02169E+11 1,04385E+22 64517448433 4,1625E+21 6,59167E+21 2,36766E+11 5722107,49 3,27425E+13
26 2,40522E+11 3,67739E+11 1,09688E+11 1,20314E+22 68267039109 4,66039E+21 7,48807E+21 2,41514E+11 -992463071 9,84983E+17
27 2,45462E+11 3,72738E+11 1,14687E+11 1,31531E+22 73206907823 5,35925E+21 8,39587E+21 2,44671E+11 790984083 6,25656E+17
28 2,53406E+11 3,82296E+11 1,24245E+11 1,54368E+22 81151261755 6,58553E+21 1,00826E+22 2,50706E+11 2700063262 7,29034E+18
29 2,63409E+11 3,9484E+11 1,36789E+11 1,87111E+22 91153894317 8,30903E+21 1,24688E+22 2,58626E+11 4782387008 2,28712E+19
30 2,48001E+11 3,67804E+11 1,09753E+11 1,20457E+22 75746726013 5,73757E+21 8,31341E+21 2,41555E+11 6446322641 4,15551E+19
  5,16764E+12 7,74153E+12   1,80171E+23   7,2159E+22 1,13764E+23   0,00090027 3,25417E+20
SCR

PROMEDIO N 30 COVARIANZA
1
PROMEDIO (Z) 1,72255E+11 K 2
COV(Z) = n (∑(W1-Wp)(Z1-Zp))
PROMEDIO (W) 2,58051E+11 COV(Z) 3,79215E+21

VARIANZA DESVIACION ESTANDAR CORRELACION

1
V = n (∑((Z1-Zp)^2) DE = √ V CORR(Z,W) = COV(Z)/(DE(Z))(DE(W))
V(Z) 2,4053E+21 DE(Z) 49043842816 CORR(Z,W) 0,997742586
V(W) 6,00572E+21 DE(W) 77496548851
 CALCULAR EL VALOR T (t-student)
VARIANZA RESIDUAL
CORRELACION LINEAL
SIGMA CUADRADA = SCR/n-k
SIGMA CUADRADA 1,16221E+19
Zi = f( )
Wi

VARIANZA DE b

V(b^ ) = SIGMA CUADRADA / ∑(W1-Wp)^2

MODELO LINEAL
V(b^ ) 6,45055E-05
⃗Z
= a + b(⃗W )
DESVIACION ESTANDAR DE b

DEb^ = √ V (b)
^

b Estimado DE(bEst) 0,008031533 a Estimado

⃗Z b^ = (∑(W1-Wp)(Z1-Zp))/(W1-Wp)^2
= 9315195394 W ))
+ 0,631423351(⃗ a^ = Z - b^ (W)
t- student
b^ 0,631423351 t = b^ / DE(b^ ) a^ 9315195394
t 78,61803793

b^ ≠ 0

Hipótesis
alterna