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TEST-8 EXPLANATION PDF


October 6th, 2019

Lesson 5
Inflation
Inflation .................................................................... 2 Reasons for Periodic Spurt in Inflation in India
Understanding Inflation ....................................... 2 ......................................................................... 13

Why Study Inflation?............................................ 2 Inflation Targeting in India .............................. 14


Uncertainty ....................................................... 2 How to Control Inflation? ................................... 14
Haphazard Redistribution ................................. 3 Interest Rate.................................................... 15

Causes of Inflation ............................................... 3 Reserve Ratios ................................................. 15


Demand-Pull Inflation ....................................... 3 Open Market Operations ................................ 15
Cost-Push Inflation ........................................... 4 Reducing the Money Supply ........................... 15
Types of Inflation Indexes .................................... 4 MCQs for Practice................................................... 17
Wholesale Price Index ...................................... 4 MCQs with Answer and Explanation ...................... 18
Consumer Price Index ....................................... 5
Wholesale Price Index Vs Consumer Price Index
.......................................................................... 5
Headline Inflation ............................................. 6
Core Inflation .................................................... 6
Consumer Food Price Index .............................. 6
WPI Food Index ................................................. 7
Producer Price Index......................................... 7
PPI vs Wholesale Price Index ............................... 7
PPI vs Consumer Price Index ................................ 7
Application of Inflation in Economic Analysis ...... 8
Inflation and Nominal & Real GDP ................... 9
Nominal GDP ........................................................ 9
Real GDP............................................................... 9
Inflation and Value of Money ........................... 9
Inflation and Nominal & Real Interest Rate ..... 9
Inflation and Base Effect ................................. 10
Bonds, Interest Rates and the Impact of
Inflation........................................................... 10
The price-yield seesaw and interest rates .........10
What moves the seesaw? ..................................11
If inflation means higher prices, why do bond
prices drop? .......................................................11
Inflation, Interest Rate and Bonds .....................11
Pros and Cons of Inflation .................................. 12
Advantages of Inflation .................................. 12
Disadvantages of Inflation .............................. 12
Inflation Management in India .......................... 13

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Money Supply: The quantity of money balances
INFLATION that exists in the economy. The money supply is
controlled by the Reserve Bank of India through its
monetary policy.
UNDERSTANDING INFLATION
Purchasing Power: In general, the quantities of
goods and services that can be bought with a given
Inflation occurs when the average price level (that amount of money. The notable feature of
is, prices in general) increases over time. This does purchasing power is that it declines as prices rise.
not mean that all prices increase the same, nor that In particular, inflation is the number one nemesis
all prices necessarily increase. Some prices might of purchasing power. When inflation gives higher
increase a lot, others a little, and still other prices prices, purchasing power falls.
decrease or remain unchanged. Inflation results
when the average of these assorted prices follows Inflation: A persistent increase in the average
an upward trend. price level in the economy. It is measured by the
inflation rate, the annual percentage change in a
While short-term bouts of inflation can be triggered price index such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
by anything that would cause aggregate demand to or GDP price deflator. Inflation is the most
increase more than aggregate supply, long-term common phenomenon associated with the price
inflation can be sustained only through increases in level. Two related phenomena are deflation, a
the money supply. The price level, and any decrease in the price level, and disinflation, a
"inflation" of the price level, depends directly on the decrease in the inflation rate. Inflation is one of
amount of money in circulation. On the flip side of two key macroeconomic problems.
this relationship, inflation leads to a continual
erosion in the purchasing power of money.
QUESTION 1
KEY DEFINITION Q. Which one of the following statements is an
appropriate description of deflation? [2010]
Price Level: The average of the prices of goods and (a) It is a sudden fall in the value of a currency
services produced in the aggregate economy. In a against other currencies
theoretical sense, the price level is the price of (b) It is a persistent recession in both the financial
aggregate production. In a practical sense, the and real sectors of economy
price level is measured by either of two price (c) It is a persistent fall in the general price level
indexes, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the of goods and services
GDP price deflator. (d) It is a fall in the rate of inflation over a period
of time
Aggregate Demand: The total (or aggregate) real Answer: C
expenditures on final goods and services produced
in the domestic economy that buyers would be
willing and able to make at different price levels, WHY STUDY INFLATION?
during a given time period (usually a year). The
Inflation attracts the interest of economists, policy
aggregate expenditures are consumption,
makers, and regular everyday ambling folks for a
investment, government purchases, and net
couple of reasons: uncertainty and haphazard
exports made by the four macroeconomic sectors
redistribution.
(household, business, government, and foreign).
UNCERTAINTY
Aggregate Supply: The total (or aggregate) real
production of final goods and services available in First, inflation creates uncertainty, especially when
the domestic economy at a range of price levels, inflation catches people unexpectedly off guard or
during a given time period. fluctuates widely from month to month or year to
year.

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The reason that most people, consumers and One of the most noted areas of inflation-induced
producers alike, do not like unexpected inflation is redistribution is between borrowers and lenders.
that they are risk averse; they prefer a knowable, When borrowers and lenders correctly anticipate
stable, predictable life. Known, constant, or inflation over the life of a loan, they adjust the
expected inflation can be integrated into the fabric interest rate to ensure that the purchasing power of
of the economy. If people know that prices will be the money loaned is equal to the purchasing power
increasing by 10 percent, then they can adjust plans of the money repaid.
accordingly. However, unexpected or changing
inflation creates uncertainty, making long-range However, income and wealth are redistributed
planning exceedingly difficult. between borrowers and lenders when inflation is
not correctly anticipated.
For example, a significant amount of household,
business, and government activity involves long- If inflation is more than expected, then the
term commitments--such as borrowing to purchase purchasing power of the repayment is less than the
cars and homes, investing in multi-year capital original loan, so income and wealth are
construction projects, anticipating tax or revenue redistributed from lenders to borrowers.
collections, and planning expenditure budgets.
If inflation is less than expected, then the
Not knowing, or not correctly anticipating, inflation purchasing power of the repayment is more than
makes such commitments difficult at best and might the original loan, so income and wealth are
even be financial disastrous. Households and redistributed from borrowers to lenders.
businesses can be forced into bankruptcy.
Governments can encounter serious fiscal
problems. CAUSES OF INFLATION
The causes of inflation are conveniently analysed
A worker might not know whether to accept a multi-
within the framework of a simple market. In general,
year employee contract with automatic wage
prices increase as a result of market shortages,
increases of 2 percent or 12 percent. A business
which occur when quantity demanded exceeds
might not know whether to plan for a 3 percent or
quantity supplied.
13 percent increase in raw material prices.
Market shortages can be created by either increases
HAPHAZARD REDISTRIBUTION in demand or decreases in supply. Translating this
to the macroeconomy suggests that inflation occurs
Second, inflation can haphazardly redistribute when aggregate demand exceeds aggregate supply.
income and wealth. The redistribution of income Inflation-inducing, economy-wide shortages can be
and wealth has always been an inherent part of the created by either increases in aggregate demand or
economy. However, inflation can redistribute decreases in aggregate supply.
income in ways that society might not want.
This analysis suggests the two basic types of
While inflation is an increase in the average price inflation: demand-pull inflation and cost-push
level, all prices do not increase at the same rate. inflation.
When prices change at different rates, the owners of
resource used in the production of goods with DEMAND-PULL INFLATION
above-average price increases receive more real
Demand-pull inflation places responsibility for
income. Resource owners involved in the
inflation squarely on the shoulders of increases in
production of goods with below-average price
aggregate demand. This type of inflation results
increases (even declining prices) get relatively less
when the four macroeconomic sectors (household,
real income. The end result is the income and wealth
business, government, and foreign) collectively try
are redistributed from some resource owners to
to purchase more output than the economy is
others.
capable of producing.

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In general, if aggregate demand increases beyond
aggregate supply, buyers seek to buy more
TYPES OF INFLATION INDEXES
production than the economy can provide. The
WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX
buyers bid up the price. This extra demand "pulls"
the price level higher. ▪ Wholesale Price Index (WPI) measures the
average change in the prices of commodities for
Any increase in aggregate demand resulting from bulk sale at the level of early stage of
changes in any of the aggregate demand transactions.
determinants can trigger demand-pull inflation. ▪ The index basket of the WPI covers commodities
However, the only way to sustain demand-pull falling under the three major groups namely
inflation is with an increase in the money supply. Primary Articles, Fuel and Power and
Inflation simply cannot persist for any extended Manufactured products.
period of time (that is, a year or more) without ▪ The prices tracked are ex-factory price for
increases in the amount of money available to the manufactured products, mandi price for
economy. agricultural commodities and ex-mines price for
minerals.
COST-PUSH INFLATION
▪ Weights given to each commodity covered in the
Cost-push inflation places responsibility for inflation WPI basket is based on the value of production
directly on the shoulders of decreases in aggregate adjusted for net imports.
supply that result from increases in production ▪ WPI basket does not cover services.
cost. This type of inflation occurs when the cost of ▪ In India, Office of Economic Advisor (OEA),
using any of the four factors of production (labour, Department for Promotion of Industry and
capital, land, or entrepreneurship) increases. Internal Trade, Ministry of Commerce and
Industry calculates the WPI.
In general, higher production cost means the ▪ The main uses of WPI are the following:
economy simply cannot continue to supply the 1. It provides estimates of inflation at the
same production at the same price level. If buyers wholesale transaction level for the economy
want the production, they must pay higher prices. as a whole. This helps in timely intervention
The higher cost "pushes" the price level higher. by the Government to check inflation in
particular, in essential commodities, before
While any of the factors of production "could" the price increase spill over to retail prices.
trigger cost-push inflation, labour and land are the 2. WPI is used as deflator for many sectors of
two factors most likely to do so--especially wages the economy including for estimating GDP by
and energy prices. Central Statistical Organisation (CSO).
3. WPI is also used for indexation by users in
business contracts.
QUESTION 2 4. Global investors also track WPI as one of the
Q. A rise in general level of prices may be caused key macro indicators for their investment
by [2013 - I] decisions.
1. an increase in the money supply ▪ The Government periodically reviews and
2. a decrease in the aggregate level of output revises the base year of the WPI as a regular
3. an increase in the effective demand exercise to capture structural changes in the
Select the correct answer using the codes given economy and improve the quality, coverage and
below: representativeness of the indices. The
(a) 1 only Wholesale Price Index (WPI) series in India has
(b) 1 and 2 only undergone six revisions in 1952-53, 1961-62,
(c) 2 and 3 only 1970-71, 1981-82, 1993-94 and 2004-05 so far.
(d) 1, 2 and 3 ▪ The base year of All-India WPI has been revised
Answer: D from 2004-05 to 2011-12 on 12 May 2017 to
align it with the base year of other
macroeconomic indicators like the Gross

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Domestic Product (GDP) and Index of Industrial economic indicator and is widely considered as a
Production (IIP). The current series is the seventh barometer of inflation, a tool for monitoring
revision. price stability and as a deflator in national
▪ The revision entails not just shifting the base accounts.
year to 2011-12 from 2004-05, but also changing ▪ The dearness allowance of Government
the basket of commodities and assigning new employees and wage contracts between labour
weights to the commodities. and employer is based on this index.
▪ The weight of an item in the WPI basket is based ▪ The formula for calculating CPI is Laspeyre’s
on the net traded value of the item in the base index which is measured as follows: [Total cost
year i.e. 2011-12. The net traded value is the of a fixed basket of goods and services in the
value of output of the item in the year 2011-12 current period * 100] divided by Total cost of
adjusted for net imports. Thus, net traded value the same basket in the base period.
represents the total transactions of each ▪ Presently the consumer price indices compiled in
product in the economy during the base year. India are CPI for Industrial workers CPI(IW), CPI
▪ In the updated WPI basket, the number of items for Agricultural Labourers CPI(AL) and; Rural
has been increased from 676 to 697. In all 199 Labourers CPI(RL) and (Urban) and CPI(Rural).
new items have been added and 146 old items ▪ The CPI(IW) and CPI (AL & RL) compiled are
have been dropped. Efforts have been made to occupation specific and centre specific and are
enhance the number of quotations from 5482 to compiled by Labour Bureau. This means that
8331, an increase by 2849 quotations (52%). The these index numbers measure changes in the
increase in number of quotations has been done retail price of the basket of goods and services
across the major groups to ensure consumed by the specific occupational groups in
comprehensive coverage and the specific centres.
representativeness. ▪ CPI (Urban) and CPI (Rural) are new indices in
▪ Wholesale price index calculated with 2011-12 the group of CPI and has a wider coverage of
base year does not include taxes in order to population. This index compiled by Central
remove the impact of fiscal policy. This also Statistical Organisation, Ministry of Statistics
brings the present WPI series closer to Producer and Programme Implementation, tries to
Price Index, as is practised globally. A Producer encompass the entire population and is likely to
Price Index reflects the change in average prices replace all the other indices presently compiled.
that producers get. ▪ The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has started
using CPI-combined (both Urban & Rural) as the
sole inflation measure for the purpose of
monetary policy. As per the agreement on
Monetary Policy Framework between the
Government and the RBI dated February 20,
2015 the sole of objective of RBI is price stability
and a target is set for inflation as measured by
the Consumer Price Index-Combined.

WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX VS


CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

▪ Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of ▪ WPI reflects the change in average prices for
change in retail prices of goods and services bulk sale of commodities at the first stage of
consumed by defined population group in a transaction while CPI reflects the average
given area with reference to a base year. This change in prices at retail level paid by the
basket of goods and services represents the level consumer.
of living or the utility derived by the consumers ▪ The prices used for compilation of WPI are
at given levels of their income, prices and tastes. collected at ex-factory level for manufactured
▪ The CPI number measures changes only in one products, at ex-mine level for mineral products
of the factors: prices. This index is an important and mandi level for agricultural products. In
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contrast, retail prices applicable to consumers Inflation minus inflation that is contributed by
and collected from various markets are used to food and energy commodities.
compile CPI. ▪ To understand the concept in a better way we
▪ The reasons for the divergence between the can say that food and fuel prices may go up in
two indices can also be partly attributed to the the short run due to some disturbance in the
difference in the weight of food group in the agriculture sector or oil economy. However,
two baskets. CPI Food group has a weight of 39.1 over the long term they tend to revert back to
per cent as compared to the combined weight of their normal trend growth. On the other hand,
24.4 per cent (Food articles and Manufactured prices of other commodities do not fluctuate as
Food products) in WPI basket. regularly as food and fuel – as such increase in
▪ The CPI basket consists of services like housing, their prices could be taken relatively to be much
education, medical care, recreation etc. which more of a permanent nature.
are not part of WPI basket. A significant ▪ If this is so, then it follows logically for Central
proportion of WPI item basket represents Banks to target only core inflation, as it reflects
manufacturing inputs and intermediate goods the demand side pressure in the economy. In
like minerals, basic metals, machinery etc. whose practice too, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and
prices are influenced by global factors but these Central Banks around the World always keep an
are not directly consumed by the households and eye on the core inflation.
are not part of the CPI item basket. ▪ Whenever core inflation rises, Central Banks
▪ Thus, even significant price movements in items increase their key policy rates to suck excess
included in WPI basket need not necessarily liquidity from the market and vice versa. It is,
translate into movements in CPI in the short run. therefore, a preferred tool for framing long-
The rise or fall in prices at wholesale level spill term policy.
over to the retail level after a lag. ▪ Here it needs to be mentioned that, unlike core
inflation, headline inflation also takes into
HEADLINE INFLATION account changes in the price of food and energy.
Since food and energy prices are highly volatile,
▪ In general, headline inflation reflects the rate of
headline inflation may not give an accurate
change in prices of all goods and services in an
picture of how an economy is behaving.
economy over a period of time. Every country
▪ Responding to headline inflation might
has its own set of commodity basket to track
therefore sometimes be inappropriate as it
inflation. While some countries use Wholesale
generates excessive variability in the monetary
Price Index (WPI) as their official measure of
policy – variability that would be much more
inflation, most others use the Consumer Price
subdued when policy responds to core inflation.
Index (CPI).
▪ This is because, it is important to distinguish
▪ Up until March 2014, Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
between temporary (like seasonal variation in
had given more weightage to Wholesale Price
fruits and vegetable prices) and permanent
Index (WPI) than CPI as the key measure of
changes in prices. While temporary changes
inflation for all policy purposes.
would reverse and might not warrant attention,
▪ Since April 2014, RBI has adopted the new
permanent changes would require standard
Consumer Price Index (CPI) (combined) as the
remedies involving monetary and fiscal policies.
key measure of inflation.
▪ Research has shown that headline inflation
▪ Therefore CPI-combined is the measure of
tends to revert strongly towards core inflation
headline inflation in India now.
once the temporary fluctuation in food and
CORE INFLATION energy sector stabilizes.

▪ Core Inflation is also known as underlying CONSUMER FOOD PRICE INDEX


inflation, is a measure of inflation which
▪ Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) is a measure
excludes items that face volatile price
of change in retail prices of food products
movement, notably food and energy. In other
consumed by a defined population group in a
words, Core Inflation is nothing but Headline
given area with reference to a base year.
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▪ The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of under “Primary Articles” in WPI and “Food
Statistics and Programme Implementation Products” under “Manufactured Products” in
(MOSPI) started releasing CFPI for three WPI.
categories - rural, urban and combined - ▪ WPI food index is a new Food price Index
separately on an all India basis with effect from launched on 12 May 2017 as part of revised WPI
May, 2014. series with base year 2011-12.
▪ Like CPI, the CFPI is also calculated on a monthly ▪ WPI food index measures the changes in prices
basis and methodology remains the same as CPI. of food items at the level of producers.
The base year presently used is 2012. The CSO ▪ Together with the Consumer Food Price Index
revised the Base Year of the CPI and CFPI from released by Central Statistics Office, this would
2010=100 to 2012=100 with effect from the help monitor the price situation of food items
release of indices for the month of January 2015. better.
▪ CFPI (Rural/ Urban/ Combined) is compiled as
the weighted average of the Cereals and PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
Products sub group of CPI for each of those
▪ Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average
categories - Rural/ Urban/ Combined. Modified
change in the price of goods and services either
weights of these Sub-groups within CFPI are as
as they leave the place of production, called
follows:
output PPI or as they enter the production
process, called input PPI.
▪ PPI estimates the change in average prices that
a producer receives.

PPI VS WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX

PPI is different from WPI on following grounds:


▪ WPI captures the price changes at the point of
bulk transactions and may include some taxes
levied and distribution costs up to the stage of
▪ Inflation rates (on point to point basis i.e. wholesale transactions. PPI measures the
August, 2014 over August, 2013), based on average change in prices received by the
general Indices and CFPIs, are issued by CSO. producer and excludes indirect taxes.
▪ Price data are collected from selected towns by ▪ Weight of an item in WPI is based on net traded
the Field Operations Division of NSSO and from value whereas in PPI weights are derived from
selected villages by the Department of Posts. Supply Use Table.
Price data are received through web portals ▪ PPI removes the multiple counting bias inherent
being maintained by the National Informatics in WPI.
Centre. ▪ WPI does not cover services and whereas PPI
▪ Globally, food price index is being released by includes services.
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United
Nations. The FAO Food Price Index is a measure PPI VS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
of the monthly change in international prices of
a basket of food commodities. It consists of the PPI is different from CPI on following grounds:
average of five commodity group price indices ▪ PPI estimates the change in average prices that
(Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Dairy, Meat and Sugar) a producer receives while CPI measures the
weighted with the average export shares of each change in average prices that consumer pays.
of the groups. The prices received by the producers differ from
the prices paid by the consumers on account of
WPI FOOD INDEX various factor such as taxes, trade and transport
margin, distribution cost etc.
▪ After the revision of WPI with the new base year ▪ Weights of items in CPI are derived from
2011-12, a new “WPI Food Index” is being Consumer Expenditure Surveys whereas for PPI
compiled by combining the “Food Articles” it is calculated on the basis of Supply Use tables.
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measures price movements from the seller's point
Supply and use tables or in short supply use tables of view.
are in the form of matrices that record how supplies
of different kinds of goods and services originate
QUESTION 3
from domestic industries and imports and how those
supplies are allocated between various intermediate Q. In India, inflation is measured by the: [1997]
or final uses, including exports. (a) Wholesale Price Index number*
(b) Consumers Price Index for urban non-manual
workers
KEY DEFINITION
(c) Consumers Price Index for agricultural
workers
Consumer Price Index: The Consumer Price Index
(d) National Income Deflation
(CPI) is a measure that examines the weighted
Answer: A
average of prices of a basket of consumer goods
* Note that this is a 1997 question. At that time
and services, such as transportation, food, and
WPI was the measure of inflation in India. If a
medical care. It is calculated by taking price
similar question is asked today, the answer will be
changes for each item in the predetermined
CPI-Combined.
basket of goods and averaging them. Changes in
the CPI are used to assess price changes
associated with the cost of living; the CPI is one of QUESTION 4
the most frequently used statistics for identifying Q. The new series of Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
periods of inflation or deflation. released by the Government of India is with
reference to the base prices of: [2001]
Wholesale Price Index: A wholesale price index (a) 1981-82
(WPI) is an index that measures and tracks the (b) 1990-91
changes in the price of goods in the stages before (c) 1993-94*
the retail level – that is, goods that are sold in bulk (d) 1994-95
and traded between entities or businesses instead Answer: C
of consumers. Usually expressed as a ratio or * Note that this is a 2001 question. At that time
percentage, the WPI shows the included goods' WPI’s base year was 1993-94. If a similar question
average price change and is often seen as one is asked today, the answer will be 2011-12.
indicator of a country's level of inflation.

Headline Inflation: Headline inflation is a measure QUESTION 5


of the total inflation within an economy, including Q. Which of the following brings out the
commodities such as food and energy prices (e.g., 'Consumer Price Index Number for Industrial
oil and gas), which tend to be much more volatile Workers'? [2015-I]
and prone to inflationary spikes. (a) The Reserve Bank of India
(b) The Department of Economic Affairs
Core Inflation: Core inflation is the change in the (c) The Labour Bureau
costs of goods and services but does not include (d) The labour Bureau brings out consumer price
those from the food and energy sectors. This index numbers.
measure of inflation excludes these items because Answer: C
their prices are much more volatile. It is most
often calculated using the consumer price index
(CPI), which is a measure of prices for goods and
services. APPLICATION OF INFLATION IN
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Producer Price Index: The producer price index, or
PPI, is a group of indexes that calculates and When we examine economic statistics, it's crucial to
represents the average movement in selling prices distinguish between nominal and real
from domestic production over time. The PPI measurements so we know whether or not inflation
has distorted a given statistic.
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The impact inflation has on the time value of money
Looking at economic statistics without considering is that it decreases the value of a rupee over time.
inflation is like looking through a pair of binoculars The time value of money is a concept that describes
and trying to guess how close something is—unless how the money available to you today is worth
you know how strong the lenses are, you cannot more than the same amount of money at a future
guess the distance very accurately. date.

Similarly, if you do not know the rate of inflation, it This also assumes you do not invest the money
is difficult to figure out if a rise in gross domestic available to you today in an equity security, a debt
product, or GDP, is due mainly to a rise in the overall instrument, or an interest-bearing bank account.
level of prices or to a rise in quantities of goods Essentially, if you have a rupee in your pocket today,
produced. that rupee’s worth, or value, will be lower one year
from today if you keep it in your pocket.
The nominal value of any economic statistic means
the statistic is measured in terms of actual prices Inflation increases the price of goods and services
that exist at the time. The real value refers to the over time, effectively decreasing the number of
same statistic after it has been adjusted for goods and services you can buy with a rupee in the
inflation. Generally, it is the real value that is more future as opposed to a rupee today. If wages remain
important. the same but inflation causes the prices of goods
and services to increase over time, it will take a
INFLATION AND NOMINAL & REAL GDP larger percentage of your income to purchase the
same good or service in the future.
NOMINAL GDP
So, for example, if a candy costs Rs 1 today, it's
The nominal GDP is the value of all the final goods
possible that it could cost Rs 2 for the same candy
and services that an economy produced during a
one year from today. This effectively decreases the
given year. It is calculated by using the prices that
time value of money, since it will cost twice as much
are current in the year in which the output is
to purchase the same product in the future.
produced. In economics, a nominal value is
expressed in monetary terms. For example, a
To mitigate this decrease in the time value of money,
nominal value can change due to shifts in quantity
you can invest the money available to you today at
and price. The nominal GDP takes into account all of
a rate equal to or higher than the rate of inflation.
the changes that occurred for all goods and services
produced during a given year. If prices change from INFLATION AND NOMINAL & REAL
one period to the next and the output does not INTEREST RATE
change, the nominal GDP would change even
though the output remained constant. When you borrow or lend, you normally do so in
rupee terms. If you take out a loan, the loan is
REAL GDP denominated in rupees, and your promised
payments are denominated in rupees. These rupee
The real GDP is the total value of all of the final
flows must be corrected for inflation to calculate the
goods and services that an economy produces
repayment in real terms. A similar point holds if you
during a given year, accounting for inflation. It is
are a lender: you need to calculate the interest you
calculated using the prices of a selected base year.
earn on saving by correcting for inflation.
To calculate Real GDP, you must determine how
much GDP has been changed by inflation since the
The Fisher equation provides the link between
base year, and divide out the inflation each year.
nominal and real interest rates. To convert from
Real GDP, therefore, accounts for the fact that if
nominal interest rates to real interest rates, we use
prices change but output doesn’t, nominal GDP
the following formula:
would change.

INFLATION AND VALUE OF MONEY Real Interest Rate = Nominal Interest Rate −
inflation rate.
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index reflected a spike in oil prices. In that case,
To find the real interest rate, we take the nominal because the index for that month was high, the
interest rate and subtract the inflation rate. For price change this June will be less, implying that
example, if a loan has a 12 percent interest rate and inflation has become subdued when, in fact, the
the inflation rate is 8 percent, then the real return on small change in the index is just a reflection of the
that loan is 4 percent. base effect—the result of the higher index value a
year earlier.
In calculating the real interest rate, we used the
actual inflation rate. This is appropriate when you Consider another example:
wish to understand the real interest rate actually
paid under a loan contract. But at the time a loan Price Index Inflation
agreement is made, the inflation rate that will occur Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2008 2009 2010
April 100 120 140 160 20 16.67 14.29
in the future is not known with certainty. Instead,
the borrower and lender use their expectations of
future inflation to determine the interest rate on a The index has increased by 20 points in all the three
loan. From that perspective, we use the following years – 2008, 2009, 2010. However, the inflation rate
formula: (calculated on year-on-year basis) tends to decline
over the three years from 20% in 2008 to 14.29% in
Contracted Nominal Interest Rate = Real Interest 2010. This is because the absolute increase of 20
Rate + Expected Inflation Rate. points in the price index in each year increases the
base year price index by an equivalent amount, while
We use the term contracted nominal interest rate to the absolute increase in price index remains the
make clear that this is the rate set at the time of a same. Remember, year-on-year inflation is
loan agreement, not the realized real interest rate. calculated as:

Current Inflation Rate =


(Current Price Index – Last year’s Price Index)
INFLATION AND BASE EFFECT (
Last year ′ s price index
) ∗ 100

The base effect is the distortion in a monthly


inflation figure that results from abnormally high or BONDS, INTEREST RATES AND THE
low levels of inflation in the year-ago month. A base IMPACT OF INFLATION
effect can make it difficult to accurately assess
inflation levels over time. It diminishes over time if There are two fundamental ways that you can profit
inflation levels are relatively constant. from owning bonds: from the interest that bonds
pay, or from any increase in the bond’s price. Many
Inflation is often expressed as a month-over-month people who invest in bonds because they want a
figure or a year-over-year figure. Typically, steady stream of income are surprised to learn that
economists and consumers want to know how much bond prices can fluctuate, just as they do with any
higher or lower prices are today than they were one security traded in the secondary market. If you sell a
year ago. bond before its maturity date, you may get more
than its face value; you could also receive less if you
But a month in which inflation spikes may produce must sell when bond prices are down. The closer the
the opposite effect a year later, essentially creating bond is to its maturity date, the closer to its face
the impression that inflation has slowed. value the price is likely to be.

Inflation is calculated based on price levels that are THE PRICE-YIELD SEESAW AND INTEREST
summarized in an index. The index may spike in RATES
June, for example, perhaps due to a surge in oil
prices. Over the following 11 months, the month- Just as a bond’s price can fluctuate, so can its yield–
over-month changes may return to normal, but its overall percentage rate of return on your
when June arrives again its price level will be investment at any given time. A typical bond’s
compared to those of a year earlier in which the coupon rate–the annual interest rate it pays–is

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fixed. However, the yield isn’t, because the yield Just the opposite happens when interest rates are
percentage depends not only on a bond’s coupon falling. When rates are dropping, bonds issued
rate but also on changes in its price. today will typically pay a lower interest rate than
similar bonds issued when rates were higher. Those
Both bond prices and yields go up and down, but older bonds with higher yields become more
there’s an important rule to remember about the valuable to investors, who are willing to pay a
relationship between the two: They move in higher price to get that greater income stream. As a
opposite directions, much like a seesaw. When a result, prices for existing bonds with higher interest
bond’s price goes up, its yield goes down, even rates tend to rise.
though the coupon rate hasn’t changed. The
opposite is true as well: When a bond’s price drops, The inflation/interest rate cycle at a glance:
its yield goes up.
▪ When prices rise, bondholders worry that the
WHAT MOVES THE SEESAW? interest they’re paid won’t buy as much.
▪ To control inflation, the RBI may raise interest
In some cases, a bond’s price is affected by rates to get investors to purchase bonds.
something that is unique to its issuer–for example, a ▪ When interest rates go up, borrowing costs rise.
change in the bond’s rating. However, other factors Economic growth and spending tend to slow.
have an impact on all bonds. The twin factors that ▪ With less demand for goods and services,
affect a bond’s price are inflation and changing inflation levels off or falls. Bond investors worry
interest rates. A rise in either interest rates or the less about the buying power of future interest
inflation rate will tend to cause bond prices to drop. payments. They may accept lower interest rates
Inflation and interest rates behave similarly to bond on bonds, and prices of older bonds with higher
yields, moving in the opposite direction from bond interest rates tend to rise.
prices. ▪ Interest rates in general fall, fuelling economic
growth and potentially new inflation.
IF INFLATION MEANS HIGHER PRICES, WHY
DO BOND PRICES DROP? Key Definition

The answer has to do with the relative value of the Nominal: The actual rupee price of stuff when it's
interest that a specific bond pays. Rising prices over bought or sold. The contrast is with the term real,
time reduce the purchasing power of each interest which is actual value adjusted for price changes
payment a bond makes. Let’s say a five-year bond or inflation.
pays Rs 10,000 every six months. Inflation means
that Rs 10,000 will buy less five years from now. Real: The value after adjusting for inflation.
When investors worry that a bond’s yield won’t keep Economist are frequently interested in comparing
up with the rising costs of inflation, the price of the stuff (production, income, or whatever) in one
bond drops because there is less investor demand year with similar stuff in another year. However,
for it. in that inflation can distort such a comparison, it's
best made using a fixed set of prices that eliminate
INFLATION, INTEREST RATE AND BONDS inflationary changes. In practice, this is
accomplished by using the prices in an arbitrary
When the RBI raises its target interest rate to "base year." Once the price differences have been
control high inflation, other interest rates and bond eliminated, the numbers are said to be measured
yields typically rise as well. That’s because bond in real dollars.
issuers must pay a competitive interest rate to get
people to buy their bonds. New bonds paying Nominal Gross Domestic Product: The total
higher interest rates mean existing bonds with market value, measured in current prices, of all
lower rates are less valuable. Prices of existing goods and services produced within the political
bonds fall. boundaries of an economy during a given period
of time, usually one year. The key is that nominal
gross domestic product is measured in current, or
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actual prices; the prices buyers actually pay for High inflation creates uncertainty and can wipe away
goods and services purchased. the value of savings. However, most Central Banks in
developed economies target an inflation rate of 2%
Real Gross Domestic Product: The total market (Reserve Bank of India seeks to keep inflation
value, measured in constant prices, of all goods measured by Consumer Price Index within a band of
and services produced within the political 4% +/- 2%), suggesting that low inflation can have
boundaries of an economy during a given period various advantages to the economy. Some
of time, usually one year. The key is that real gross economists even argue we should target a higher
domestic product is measured in constant prices, inflation rate during periods of economic stagnation.
the prices for a specific base year. Real gross
domestic product, also termed constant gross
domestic product, adjusts gross domestic product ADVANTAGES OF INFLATION
for inflation.
▪ Deflation (a fall in prices – negative inflation) is
very harmful: When prices are falling, people
Time Value of Money: It is the concept that
are reluctant to spend money because they feel
money available at the present time is worth more
that goods will be cheaper in the future;
than the identical sum in the future due to its
therefore, they keep delaying purchases. Also,
potential earning capacity.
deflation increases the real value of debt and
reduces the disposable income of individuals
Real Interest Rate (RIR): The market, or nominal
who are struggling to pay off their debt.
interest rate (NIR), after adjusting for inflation.
o Assume Inflation is – 1%; RIR = NIR –
This is the interest rate lenders receive and
Inflation; Assume NIR = 10%; therefore,
borrowers pay expressed in real terms.
RIR = 10 – ( – 1%) = 11%.
▪ Moderate inflation enables adjustment of
Base Effect: The base effect is the distortion in a
wages: It is argued a moderate rate of inflation
monthly inflation figure that results from
makes it easier to adjust relative wages. For
abnormally high or low levels of inflation in the
example, it may be difficult to cut nominal wages
year-ago month. A base effect can make it difficult
(workers resent and resist a nominal wage cut).
to accurately assess inflation levels over time.
But, if average wages are rising due to moderate
inflation, it is easier to increase the wages of
QUESTION 6 productive workers; unproductive workers can
Q. A rapid increase in the rate of inflation is have their wages frozen – which is effectively a
sometimes attributed to the “base effect”. What real wage cut.
is “base effect”? [2011 - I] ▪ Inflation can boost growth: At times of very low
(a) It is the impact of drastic deficiency in supply inflation, the economy may be stuck in a
due to failure of crops recession. Arguably targeting a higher rate of
(b) It is the impact of the surge in demand due to inflation can enable a boost in economic
rapid economic growth growth. This view is controversial. Not all
(c) It is the impact of the price levels of previous economists would support targeting a higher
year on the calculation of inflation rate inflation rate. However, some would target
(d) None of the statements (a), (b) and (c) given higher inflation, if the economy was stuck in a
above is correct in this context prolonged recession.
Answer: C
DISADVANTAGES OF INFLATION

PROS AND CONS OF INFLATION Inflation is usually considered to be a problem when


the inflation rate rises above tolerance levels. The
higher the inflation, the more serious the problem
Inflation occurs when there is a sustained increase in is. In extreme circumstances, hyperinflation can
the general price level. Traditionally high inflation wipe away people’s savings and cause great
rates are considered to be damaging to an economy. instability, e.g. Germany 1920s, Hungary 1940s,
Zimbabwe 2000s. However, in a modern economy,
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this kind of hyperinflation is rare. However, inflation Answer: B
can still cause problems.
▪ Inflationary growth tends to be unsustainable
QUESTION 8
leading to a damaging period of boom and bust
economic cycles. Q. Consider the following statements: [2013 - I]
▪ Inflation tends to discourage investment and 1. Inflation benefits the debtors.
long-term economic growth: This is because of 2. Inflation benefits the bondholders.
the uncertainty and confusion that is more likely Which of the statements given above is/are
to occur during periods of high inflation. Low correct?
inflation is said to encourage greater stability (a) 1 only
and encourage firms to take risks and invest. (b) 2 only
▪ Inflation can make an economy uncompetitive: (c) Both 1 and 2
For example, a relatively higher rate of inflation (d) Neither 1 nor 2
in India can make Indian exports uncompetitive, Answer: A
leading to lower Aggregate Demand, a current
account deficit and lower economic growth.
▪ Reduce the value of savings: Inflation leads to a
INFLATION MANAGEMENT IN
fall in the value of money. This makes savers INDIA
worse off – if inflation is higher than interest
rates. High inflation can lead to a redistribution REASONS FOR PERIODIC SPURT IN
of income in society. Often it is pensioners who INFLATION IN INDIA
lose out most from inflation. This is particularly
a problem if inflation is high and interest rates ▪ Impact of Global Economy: Maybe inflation can
low. intrude from outside since India is now
▪ Fall in real wages: In some circumstances, high integrated with the world economy. Further, a
inflation can lead to a fall in real wages. If rate spurt in world crude oil prices will increase the
of inflation is higher than rate of increase of cost of energy in India and consequently raise the
nominal wages, then real incomes fall. prices of most goods and services in India. Rise in
global food prices (example: protein inflation)
KEY DEFINTION will also have a bearing on inflation in India.
▪ Minimum Support Price (MSP) linked Inflation:
Hyperinflation: Exceptionally high inflation rates. Key driver of inflation in India is food inflation
While there are no hard and fast guidelines, an (food accounts for 50 per cent of the CPI) and the
annual inflation rate of 20 percent or more is likely key driver of food inflation is the MSP set by the
to get you the hyperinflation title. Some countries government.
in the past have been quite good at creating ▪ Demand-Supply Mismatch: High demand and
hyperinflation. An annual inflation rate of 1,000 low production or supply of multiple
percent has not been uncommon. On occasion, commodities create a demand-supply gap, which
the trillion percent inflation rate mark has been leads to a hike in prices. This happens when
achieved. (That is, something with a one dollar consumer preferences and buying habits have
price tag in early January would have a one trillion changed and supply is yet to catch up.
dollar price in late December. We're talking ▪ Rising income/credit: With people having more
serious hyperinflation.) money, they also tend to spend more, which
causes increased demand.
▪ Structural Factors: The supply side inflation is a
QUESTION 7 key ingredient for the rising inflation in India. The
Q. Economic growth is usually coupled with [2011 agricultural scarcity or the damage in transit
- I] creates a scarcity causing high inflationary
(a) Deflation pressures. Similarly, the high cost of labour
(b) Inflation eventually increases the production cost and
(c) Stagflation leads to a high price for the commodity.
(d) Hyperinflation
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INFLATION TARGETING IN INDIA
Management of monetary policy and the express
Inflation targeting is a monetary policy strategy objective of inflation targeting has been enshrined
used by Central Banks for maintaining price level at as the responsibility of RBI by amending the
a certain level or within a range. It indicates the preamble of the RBI Act, 1934 through the Finance
primacy of price stability as the key objective of Act 2016 (Chapter XII). Thus, ensuring price stability
monetary policy. through inflation targeting is a legal responsibility
of RBI since 2016. A new Chapter (Chapter IIIF,
The argument for price stability stems from the fact Section 45Z) was introduced in the RBI Act, through
that rising prices create uncertainties in decision this Finance Bill, 2016, for detailing the operation of
making, adversely affecting savings and encouraging a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which would
speculative investments. Inflation targeting brings be the institutional arrangement at the disposal of
in more predictability and transparency in deciding RBI for targeting inflation.
monetary policy. If the central banks could ensure
price stability, households and companies can plan Under Section 45ZA(1) of the RBI Act, 1934, the
ahead, negotiating wages on the basis of expecting Central Government determines the inflation
low and stable inflation. target in terms of the Consumer Price Index, once in
every five years in consultation with the RBI. This
Various advanced economies including United target would be notified in the Official Gazette.
States, Canada and Australia have been using Amongst other measures, RBI targets inflation
inflation targeting as a strategy in their monetary primarily by changing the "Policy Rate” which
policy framework. The case for inflation targeting means the rate for repo-transactions as defined
has been made in India as the country has been under sub-section (12AB) of section 17 of the RBI
experiencing a high level of inflation till recently. Act.

The Reserve Bank of India and Government of India


signed a Monetary Policy Framework Agreement on QUESTION 9
20th February 2015. As per terms of the agreement, Q. India has experienced persistent and high food
the objective of monetary policy framework would inflation in the recent past. What could be the
be primarily to maintain price stability, while reasons? [2011 - I]
keeping in mind the objective of growth. The 1. Due to a gradual switchover to the cultivation of
monetary policy framework would be operated by commercial crops, the area under the cultivation
the RBI. RBI would aim to contain consumer price of food grains has steadily decreased in the last
inflation within 6 percent by January 2016 and five years by about 30%.
within 4 percent with a band of (+/-) 2 percent for 2. As a consequence of increasing incomes, the
all subsequent years. consumption patterns of the people have
undergone a significant change.
The central bank would be seen as failing to meet 3. The food supply chain has structural constraints.
the targets, if retail inflation is more than 6 per cent Which of the statements given above are
for three consecutive quarters from 2015-16 and correct?
less than 2 per cent for three consecutive quarters (a) 1 and 2 only
from 2016-17. If this happens, RBI will have to (b) 2 and 3 only
explain the reason for its failure to meet as well as (c) 1 and 3 only
give a timeframe within which it will achieve it. (d) 1, 2 and 3
Answer: B
The RBI will also be required to bring a document
every six months to explain the sources of inflation
and forecast for inflation for next 6-18 months. HOW TO CONTROL INFLATION?
Inflation occurs when an economy grows due to
RBI has been using headline CPI (Combined) increased spending. When this happens, prices rise.
inflation as the nominal anchor for monetary policy
stance from April 2014 onwards.
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The popular method of controlling inflation is capacity of the banks. RBI uses this instrument
through a contractionary monetary policy. The goal for credit control in the market.
of a contractionary policy is to reduce the money
supply within an economy by decreasing bond OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS
prices and increasing interest rates. This helps
▪ The RBI can purchase or sell Government
reduce spending because when there is less money
securities from or to the public. To control
to go around, those who have money want to keep
inflation, the RBI sells the securities in the
it and save it, instead of spending it. It also means
money market which sucks out excess liquidity
that there is less available credit, which can also
from the market. As the amount of liquid cash
reduce spending. Reducing spending is important
decreases, demand goes down. This part of
during inflation because it helps halt economic
monetary policy is called the open market
growth and, in turn, the rate of inflation.
operation.

REDUCING THE MONEY SUPPLY


INTEREST RATE
▪ Another method is to directly or indirectly
▪ Repo Rate: Repo rate (Repurchase or
reduce the money supply by enacting policies
Repossession) is the rate at which RBI buys
that encourage reduction of the money supply.
government securities with an agreement of
▪ Two examples of this include calling in debts that
repossession, from the commercial banks. It is a
are owed to the government and increasing the
short term borrowing from the central bank,
interest paid on bonds so that more investors
against securities, to inject money to meet the
will buy them. The latter policy raises the
gap between the demand for money (loans) and
exchange rate of the currency due to higher
deposits in the bank.
demand and, in turn, increases imports and
▪ Reverse Repo rate: It is the rate at which the RBI
decreases exports.
borrows money from the commercial banks.
▪ Both of these policies will reduce the amount of
Banks deposit money in RBI when there is no
money in circulation because the money will be
other profitable option to invest the short-term
going from banks, companies and investors
excess liquidity or when there is uncertainty in
pockets and into the government’s pocket where
the market for a significant period of time.
it can control what happens to it.
▪ Increase in these interest rates means that the
RBI is making it expensive for the commercial
There are many methods used to control inflation;
banks to borrow money (in case of reverse repo
some work well while others may have damaging
rate, lucrative to keep the deposits in RBI), thus
effects. For example, controlling inflation through
limiting the injection of money the market. RBI
wage and price controls can cause a recession and
does this to decrease the liquidity in the market.
cause job losses.
RESERVE RATIOS
QUESTION 10
▪ Cash Reserve Ratio: Banks are required to keep
Q. Which one of the following is likely to be the
a fraction of deposit liabilities in the form of
most inflationary in its effect? [2013 - I]
liquid cash, CRR, with the RBI to ensure safety
(a) Repayment of public debt
and liquidity of the deposits.
(b) Borrowing from the public to finance a budget
▪ Statutory Liquidity Ratio: Every bank in India has
deficit
to maintain a minimum proportion of their net
(c) Borrowing from banks to finance a budget
demand and time deposits as liquid assets in the
deficit
form of cash, gold, precious and semiprecious
(d) Creating new money to finance a budget
stones.
deficit
▪ If there is increase in the reserve ratios, the total
Answer: D
amount of deposits left with commercial banks
which it can give as commercial loans decreases
and hence there is reduction in the loan granting QUESTION 11

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Q. With reference to inflation in India, which of
the following statements is correct? [2015-I]
(a) Controlling the inflation in India is the
responsibility of the Government of India only
(b) The Reserve Bank of India has no role in
controlling the inflation
(c) Decreased money circulation helps in
controlling the inflation
(d) Increased money circulation helps in
controlling the inflation
Answer: C

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Q. 5 Consider the following statements with
MCQS FOR PRACTICE reference to Consumer Price Index (CPI):
1. It accounts for all goods and services produced
Q.1 With reference to the recently launched WPI in an economy.
Food Index, consider the following statements: 2. It includes prices of imported goods.
1. It measures the changes in prices at the level of 3. Weights in CPI differ according to production
producers. level of each good.
2. It considers 2011-12 as the base year. Which of the statements given above is/are
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
correct? (a) 1 and 2 only
(a) 1 only (b) 2 only
(b) 2 only (c) 1 and 3 only
(c) Both 1 and 2 (d) 1, 2 and 3
(d) Neither 1 nor 2

Q.2 With respect to economy, which of the


following correctly describes the term skewflation?
(a) It is a rise in the price of one or a small group of
commodities over a sustained period of time.
(b) It means declining rate of inflation over the last
four economic quarters of a financial year.
(c) It means declining inflation due to huge imports
over a period of time.
(d) It is a measure of increasing prices particularly for
the service sector.

Q. 3 Which of the following rates can be increased


to decrease inflation in the economy?
1. Statutory Liquidity Ratio
2. Repo rate
3. Bank rates
Select the correct answer using the code given
below:
(a) 1 only
(b) 1 and 2 only
(c) 2 and 3 only
(d) 1, 2 and 3

Q. 4 Arrange the following items of the Wholesale


Price Index (WPI) in the decreasing order of their
weights:
1. Primary Articles
2. Fuel and Power
3. Manufactured Products
Select the correct answer using the code given
below:
(a) 1>2>3
(b) 3>1>2
(c) 2>1>3
(d) 1>3>2

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▪ Skewflation is an episodic price rise pertaining to
MCQS WITH ANSWER AND one or a small group of commodities. It is an
EXPLANATION unusual inflation, with inflation in one particular
sector for a particular period of time, while the
other sector is experiencing no changes at all or
Q.1 With reference to the recently launched WPI facing deflation. (Hence option A is correct)
Food Index, consider the following statements: ▪ As food commodities are regularly affected by
1. It measures the changes in prices at the level of market forces (i.e. Demand-Supply), such
producers. commodities are most vulnerable to skewflation.
2. It considers 2011-12 as the base year.
Which of the statements given above is/are Q. 3 Which of the following rates can be increased
correct? to decrease inflation in the economy?
(a) 1 only 1. Statutory Liquidity Ratio
(b) 2 only 2. Repo rate
(c) Both 1 and 2 3. Bank rates
(d) Neither 1 nor 2 Select the correct answer using the code given
Answer: C below:
(a) 1 only
Explanation: (b) 1 and 2 only
▪ WPI food index is a new Food price Index (c) 2 and 3 only
launched on 12 May 2017 as part of revised WPI (d) 1, 2 and 3
series with base year 2011-12. WPI food index Answer: D
measures the changes in prices of food items at
the level of producers. (Hence both statements 1 Explanation:
and 2 are correct) ▪ When RBI increases Statutory Liquidity Ratio
▪ The WPI Food index is compiled by taking the (SLR) and Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR), banks are
aggregate of WPI for 'Food Products' under left with low reserves hence liquidity in the
'Manufacture Products' and 'Food Articles' under market get reduced.
'Primary Article' using weighted arithmetic ▪ RBI uses Cheap money policy to counter
mean. (Indices for Food Articles and Food deflationary trends. To reduce inflation the RBI
Products were being released separately in WPI adopts Dear money policy wherein it increases
(2004-05) also. But no separate estimate like WPI SLR, CRR, Repo rate and Bank rates. (Hence
food index was being generated then). option D is correct)
▪ Together with the Consumer Food Price Index ▪ Repo rate is the rate at which the central bank of
released by Central Statistics Office, this would a country (Reserve Bank of India in case of India)
help monitor the price situation of food items lends money to commercial banks in the event of
better. any shortfall of funds. Repo rate is used by
monetary authorities to control inflation.
Q.2 With respect to economy, which of the
following correctly describes the term skewflation? Q. 4 Arrange the following items of the Wholesale
(a) It is a rise in the price of one or a small group of Price Index (WPI) in the decreasing order of their
commodities over a sustained period of time. weights:
(b) It means declining rate of inflation over the last 1. Primary Articles
four economic quarters of a financial year. 2. Fuel and Power
(c) It means declining inflation due to huge imports 3. Manufactured Products
over a period of time. Select the correct answer using the code given
(d) It is a measure of increasing prices particularly for below:
the service sector. (a) 1>2>3
Answer: A (b) 3>1>2
(c) 2>1>3
Explanation: (d) 1>3>2
Answer: B
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Explanation:
▪ In India, headline inflation is measured through
the WPI (latest base year 2011-12) – which
consists of 697 commodities (services are not
included in WPI in India).
▪ Weight of components in WPI – Primary Articles
(weight: 22.62%), Fuel & Power (weight: 13.15%)
and Manufactured Products (weight: 64.23).
Hence, the correct answer is 3>1>2. (Hence
option B is correct)

Q. 5 Consider the following statements with


reference to Consumer Price Index (CPI):
4. It accounts for all goods and services produced
in an economy.
5. It includes prices of imported goods.
6. Weights in CPI differ according to production
level of each good.
Which of the statements given above is/are
correct?
(a) 1 and 2 only
(b) 2 only
(c) 1 and 3 only
(d) 1, 2 and 3
Answer: B.

Explanation:
▪ Consumer Price Index (CPI) does not account for
all goods and services produced in an economy
because goods purchased by consumers does
not represent all the goods which are produced
in a country. Hence, statement 1 is not correct.
▪ CPI includes prices of goods consumed by the
representative consumer; hence it includes
prices of imported goods. Hence, statement 2 is
correct.
▪ The weights in CPI differ according to purchase
pattern of consumers. It does not vary according
to production levels. Hence, statement 3 is not
correct.

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